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trends for 2/23

UMass survived trip to Rhode Island two weeks ago, winning 49-44; Rams lost last seven games, but as dog on road, are 3-2-1, losing by 8,10,20,14,6,2 pts- they are 2-10 in league. UMass is 1-3 as home fave, with wins by 4,13,16 points.

Duke beat Georgia Tech 82-65 as 10-pt favorite back on Feb 5, but they lost last three road games and are 4-4 in last eight games overall. Tech has Elder back in lineup; underdog is 5-1 vs spread in their ACC games at home. Jackets are 2-8 vs spread in last ten games.

Duquesne won 72-67 at LaSalle in first meeting, back on Jan 29; they lost their last five games and are 3-9 in A-12, 1-5 at home. Explorers 5-1 vs spread on road, 3-3 SU, losing by 29,8,12 pts. Three of their four Ws in league have been on the road.

Syracuse won first meeting 79-65 over St John's, but Orange lost four of last six games and are 1-9 against spread in last ten games. Red Storm are 3-10 in league 4-2 as road dog, with losses by 4,1,9,22,11,2 points- they covered three of their last four games.

West Virginia upset Pitt 83-78 in OT in first meeting; they won four of last five games, are 2-3 as road dog, losing by 38,8,12,7 pts. Pitt covered just one of last 5 games; they're 2-4 as home favorite, winning by 1,4,7, 20,11,2 points. Panthers are 8-4 in Big East.

Drexel won 66-59 at George Mason in first meeting, as 2-pt dog; Patriots are 1-6 on CAA road, 0-3 as a road dog, losing by 3,13,4,8 points. Drexel is 4-3 as a home fave, winning by 1,26,21,28,18- they lost their last two games at home.

Towson State beat James Madison 86-69 on Jan 19, as 7-pt favorite, but that was their last win, as they lost nine games in row but covered four of last five. James Madison lost last eight games; they're 5-3 vs spread at home, 1-0 as a home favorite.

Buffalo won last four games, including win at Fresno on Saturday, when they shot 27% from floor; Buffalo has covered five of seven home games in MAC, four in a row- they beat Marshall 78-65 in first meeting, as 10-pt favorite. Marshall split last four games after an 0-10 start in MAC play.

Ball State lost 77-67 at Toledo in first meeting; they're 0-5 in last five games (1-4 vs spread). Toledo is 3-1 as road dog, 2-5 SU on road, with losses by 5,2,1,8 and 2 points. Cardinals are 2-4 as home fave, losing last 3 tries. Rockets won three of last four games.

Ohio U is 6-1 at home in MAC, but only one of the 6 wins was by more than 10 points (4-2 as home fave). Eastern Michigan won three of last four games, after a 3-7 start in MAC- they're 2-3 as road dog, losing by 3,8,13,10 and 6 points.

East Carolina fired its coach yesterday in his sixth year on job, so hard to imagine them covering 11-pt spread being 3-10 in C-USA, 1-1 as home fave, with wins by 7,3,3 points. USM is 3-3 as road dog, losing by 8,14, 10,9,3,32 pts; they lost last seven games, last three by 22,32 and 12 points.

Hofstra won four in row and seven of last eight, 0-4 as road dog, as favorites covered seven of their eight road games in CAA- their road losses are by 7,12,16,18. Old Dominion is 14-2 in CAA, 4-4 as home fave, with wins by 13,33,13,14,9,14,11 and six points. ODU got 67-66 win in first meeting, on Long Island.

Butler won first meeting 50-37 over Youngstown; they are 2-5 on Horizon road, with wins by 5,23 pts- they lost three of last four league games. Penguins are 2-12 in Horizon, 4-3 as home dog, losing by 6,23,1,29 and 7 points. YSU is 6-3 vs spread in its last nine games.

Loyola won first meeting vs Cleveland State 70-55 on Jan 3; Ramblers won last three games, are 7-7 in the league, 3-2-1 as road dog, 3-3 SU. Cleveland St lost its last three games; underdog is 5-1 vs spread in their Horizon League home games.

Miami is 11-3 in MAC; they beat Akron 74-63 in the first meeting, as 6-pt favorites. Zips are 5-2 as a home fave in MAC, winning by 12,16,8,39,15,2 pts- they won nine of last 11 games. Red Hawks are 3-3 as dog on road, with losses by 19,11 and four points.

Central Michigan is 3-12 in MAC, but they won two in row, including Bracket Buster win over Cleveland St in last game; they lost MAC opener 81-72 at Kent St on Dec 1. Flashes lost last three games, scoring just 64.3 ppg; they're 1-2 as road fave, 2-5 SU on foreign soil.

VCU needed OT to win at William&Mary in the first meeting; Rams are 11-5 in CAA, 3-3 as a home fave, with wins by 12,4,23,8,10 pts. Tribe covered three of last four games; they're 2-5 as road dog, with losses by 13,8,26,33,21,29,8 points.

Charlotte won its last five games and seven of last eight but they're 1-4 as home fave, with wins by 12,6,7,20, 1 and 4 pts. Memphis has won three in row and six of last seven games; they're 5-1 vs spread in league road games, 2-0 as road dog, loising by 2,3,13 points.

South Carolina beat Tennessee 66-63 in first meeting; Vols lost six of last seven games, and are 2-4 at home in SEC. Gamecocks lost five of six on SEC road, with only win at Georgia; they're 0-6 in league if they allow more than 63 pts, a figure Tennessee has hit in two of their last seven games.

Georgia is just 2-10 in SEC, but they covered four in a row, with losses by 7,15,9 pts; they're 3-3 as a home dog. Mississippi State is 4-6 in last ten games, having lost their last five on road. Georgia is 2-4 at home, 2-2 in last four, with home losses by 7,21,16,7 points.

Boston College is 11-1 in Big East; they trailed by six in last minute at home vs Villanova, but rallied for win. Wildcats won five of last seven games; they're 1-4 in last five tries as home fave, with wins by 38,5,8,8 pts. Eagles' only loss was by three at Notre Dame.

Providence is 1-11 in Big East, Seton Hall 3-9; Pirates lost five of last six games and are 1-5 vs spread in their home games. Friars are 0-5 on Big East road, 2-3 as a road dog, with losses by 9,5,20,8,2 points- at 3-5 as a Big East dog, they're 3-1-1 vs spread in last five games

Xavier went to George Washington and won 66-65 as 10-pt dog on Jan 25; they're 4-1 last five games, 5-1 at home in A-12, with wins by 21,24,12,14,13 points. Colonials are 5-0 since that Xavier loss, with four of five at home; they are 4-1 on A-12 road, however.

Baylor is 1-11, with nine losses in row, but they're 4-2 as road dog, with losses by 19,29,12,26,16,12 points. Kansas State lost last six games after 3-3 start in Big 12; they lost last three home games, including Saturday loss when Oklahome scored layup at buzzer for win.

Iowa lost four of five games since Pierce was let go, as Hawkeyes are 2-1 as road dog, with dog covering four of their five Big 11 road games- they beat Minnesota 66-60 in first meeting, as 8-pt faves. Gophers lost 3 of last four games, scoring just 55.8 ppg in those games.

You know you're awful when you're 10-point dog to a team on 10-game losing streak; Penn State is last team to lose to Michigan, 66-62, on Jan 15. Wolverines are 1-3 as Big 11 favorite. Lions lost last seven games, are 2-4 as road dog, losing by 21,26,6,5,27,15 points.

Illinois won 78-66 at Northwestern in first meeting Jan 15; Illini should finish regular season unbeaten, but they are 1-4 vs spread in last five games- only one of their last five wins is by more than 13 pts. Wildcats covered their last five games, winning three of last four SU.

Auburn is 1-5 vs spread on SEC road, 1-4 as a road dog, with losses by 37,36,15,21 and 12 pts. Kentucky is 11-1 in SEC, 3-4 as home fave, with wins by 4,15, 31,3,9,16 points. Wildcats covered just two of last six games, and could be looking ahead to Bama Saturday.

Florida went to Nashville and beat Vanderbilt 82-65 in Jan 15 game; Gators 4-2 as SEC home favorite, with wins by 8,23,8,31,37 pts. Vandy is 2-2 as a road dog, with losses by 15,9,5,6 pts; they covered last three and won four of last six games SU.

Wright St and Illinois-Chicago are both 7-7 in Horizon Raiders won first meeting 72-61 in Dayton and are 3-1 as road dog in league, with losses by 2,14,5,14 and 22 points. UIC is 3-3 as home fave; they're 3-5 in last 8 games- they have only two Horizon wins by 8+ points.

TCU won three of last four games and is now 6-6 in its C-USA games, but they're 1-5 on road. TCU won its first game vs Tulane 73-62 on Jan 12, as 11.5-pt fave. Green Wave lost four of last five games (0-5 vs pts); they're 1-5 vs spread at home, losing by 14,18,36,19.

UAB lost its last four games, three by four or less pts; they're 3-3 on C-USA road. Saint Louis covered its last four games but lost six of last seven; they're 3-2 as home dog, losing four of six at home. Two of their last three home games went into overtime.

Green Bay is 10-4 in Horizon; they're 2-5 as favorite at home, winning by 2,23,5,4,4 pts; they won the first game at Detroit 60-54 Jan 26. Titans are 1-5 against spread in last six road games; they're 3-7 last 10 tilts, and lost on buzzer beater in last game vs Ohio U.

Northern Illinois lost 11 of last 15 games and three in row; they lost 78-67 at Bowling Green in first meeting. Falcons won last three games and are 2-2 as road dog with losses by 24,3,8 points in seven tries. NIU is 3-0 in its last three tries as a home favorite.

Wichita State won 63-61 at SMS in first meeting, but they lost last three games and are just 1-6 as a home fave, winning by 10,15,2,11,6,10 points, before getting blown out in second half of last home game, Creighton. Bears are 3-1 as a Missouri Valley road underdog.

Southern Illinois won five games in row since losing by six at Northern Iowa Feb 5; Salukis are 1-6 as home fave in Valley, winning by 12,6,1,8,24,11,4 pts. UNI is 3-1 as road dog; they won five of last six games, with only loss by a point at Creighton.

Illinois State lost its last three league games but won at Green Bay Saturday in Bracket Buster; Redbirds are 4-2 as road dog (3-4 SU); they beat Bradley 69-62 in first meeting at Normal. Braves lost seven of last eight games, but they are 4-1 as a home favorite.

Charleston won five of last seven games; they won the first meeting vs Furman, 68-53 but are 1-5 vs spread on road, losing four of last five away from home, and covering just one of last five overall, while Furman has covered just one of last six overall.

phantom

posted by phantom

Feb. 23 2005 3:25pm

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