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trends and angles for 1/28

Friday, January 28th

Cleveland () at New York () 7:05 ET

Cleveland - 11-6 ATS away after a home win

New York - 1-6 ATS vs. Cleveland

Toronto (-4) at Charlotte (198.5), 7:05 ET

Toronto - 7-26-1 ATS after making 25 or more FTs

Charlotte - 13-7 Over at home

Washington (213) at Orlando (-4) 7:05 ET

Washington - 12-4 ATS vs. team with same season S/U and ATS revenge

Orlando - 4-9 ATS home with same season revenge

Miami (-9.5) at Atlanta (199), 7:35 ET

Miami - 7-1 ATS vs. division opponents

Atlanta - 0-11 ATS when TO's decrease in three straight

Phoenix (-5.5) at Boston (220), 7:35 ET

Phoenix - 5-3 ATS away after two away wins

Boston - 1-5 ATS after making 10 or more 3's

Utah (194.5) at Minnesota (-7.5), 8:05 ET

Utah - 8-2 ATS away after 3 straight outrebounding opponents by 5 or more

Minnesota - 1-7 ATS after making 10 fewer FTs than YTD average

Philadelphia () at New Orleans (), 8:05 ET

Philadelphia - 3-10 ATS vs. team with same season revenge

New Orleans - 6-2 ATS Home with away tomorrow

Denver (194.5) at Milwaukee (-3.5), 8:35 ET

Denver - 16-8 Under 1st game of back-to-back away

Milwaukee - 1-10 ATS vs. Denver

Sacramento () at Houston (), 9:35 ET

Sacramento - 5-9 ATS away with no rest vs. rested

Houston - 16-2 Under after committing <15 fouls in a game

L.A. Clippers (188) at Portland (-3.5), 10:05 ET

L.A. Clippers - 5-1 ATS away after playing two consecutive at home

Portland - 3-9 ATS home with same season revenge

Seattle (-5) at Golden State (204), 10:35 ET

Seattle - 8-10 ATS after leading at halftime in a loss

Golden State - 17-9 ATS home with same season revenge

New Jersey (191.5) at L.A. Lakers (-3), 10:35 ET

New Jersey - 29-6 ATS when TO's increased in three straight

L.A. Lakers - 2-9 ATS after failing to come within 10 pts. of the line

**Denotes Time Change

TODAY'S FORECAST

Friday, January 28, 2005

MST TV Hoops Index Forecast

5:00p ESPN New York* 1 over Cleveland

5:00p TSNCSN Toronto ½ over Charlotte*

5:00p CSN Orlando* 4 over Washington

5:30p Miami 7 over Atlanta*

5:30p FSN Boston* ½ over Phoenix

6:00p Minnesota* 10 over Utah

6:00p CSN New Orleans* even with Philadelphia

6:30p ALTFSN Milwaukee* 3½ over Denver

7:30p ESPN Houston* 4 over Sacramento

8:00p FSN Portland* 5 over L.A. Clippers

8:30p FSNSeattle 2½ over Golden State*

8:30p FSNYES L.A. Lakers* 7 over New Jersey

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Friday, January 28th

Brown at Princeton, 7:30 ET

Brown - 6-0 ATS off a win by 20+ points

Princeton - 2-10 ATS as a home favorite of 10+ points

Yale at Pennsylvania, 8:00 ET

Yale - 1-5 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points

Pennsylvania - 5-1 ATS off an ATS win

Added Games:

Canisius at Fairfield, 7:30 ET

Canisius - 1-5 ATS in road games

Fairfield - 10-3 ATS after playing BB games as a home favorite

Iona at Marist, 7:30 ET

Iona - 3-11 ATS off a home conference win

Marist - 8-0 ATS vs. conference opponents

**Denotes Time Change

Today's Games

MST Our Favored Team Rating Sprd Our Underdog Team Rating

5:30p Fairfield* 84.3 12 Canisius 77.4

5:30p Marist* 82.7 7 Iona 80.6

5:30p Princeton* 87.9 10½ Brown 82.5

6:00p Pennsylvania* 89.3 15½ Yale 78.8

* Home Team = +5 pts. ** Neutral Court

All four Ivy League teams playing tonight are playing the first league games of their season. Brown-Yale was postponed due to snow last week.

Brown won six of last eight games and is 7-6. but they are 1-5 in last visits to this site, with losses by 7,26,28, 22 and 4 points. Princeton is playing first D-I foe in last three weeks, they're 8-4 so far this season.

Yale lost six of last seven games, but they took Boston College to double OT, and BC is one of only two left in D-I without a loss. Yale lost last six visits to this site by 8,11,9,10,17 and 6 points, as Quakers are 11-2 in last 13 series games, with home side 5-1 in last six.

Fairfield won six of last seven games vs Canisius, but 5 of the six wins were by 8 or less points, including a OT win in Buffalo earlier this season, 81-80. Dogs are 6-2 vs spread in Canisius' league games, 2-0 on road. Host won four of last five games and is 4-2 as MAAC fave.

Marist won its last seven games and is 8-0 vs spread in league, 5-0 at home; home side won five of their last 6 vs Iona, with Gaels losing last three visits to Marist by 16,1,2 points. Iona won its last three games after 0-5 start in MAAC; they're 1-4 on road in league.

Friday's games

Game of the Day:

Nuggets @ Bucks-- George Karl makes his debut as Denver coach at site of his last stop; Nuggets lost 17 of last 22 games, so he work cut out. Denver covered 4 of last eleven road games. Bucks are 3-2 in their last 5 games, covering last three- three of their last four tilts went over the total. Nuggets are 1-8-1 vs spread when they have another game the next night.

Elsewhere, home side won both Cleveland-Knick gams this year, with Cavs losing here 98-88. Cavaliers failed to cover the game that came after their last four wins; over is 4-1-1 in their last six. Knicks lost seven in row, 11 of last 12; they covered one of last eight at home.

Bobcats are 1-15 in last sixteen games, with ten straight losses, seven of which went over total. Toronto lost 12 of last 13 road games, but is 12-8 vs spread in last 20 games overall. Raptors shot 51% Sunday, as they came back from 4-point deficit at half, beating Bobcats by 11.

Wizards won their last four games and 11 of last 13, as they scored 111.2 ppg in last five and covered last four. Magic lost three of last four games and failed to cover last five, but they've won five of six at home. Wiz won an earlier meeting, 106-96, back in November.

Suns won last three games and scored 122 ppg since the MVP, Steve Nash, returned to lineup. Celtics won their last four home games, but six of their last seven overall stayed under total. Suns covered just one of their last 9 games, one of their last six on road.

Hawks lost five of last six games; they're 0-3 vs Miami this year, losing by 1,14,19 points- eight of their last 11 games stayed under total. Heat failed to cover the game after their last four wins; eight of their last 10 went over.

76ers scored 107.8 ppg in last four games (2-2); they just beat Hornets 95-91 at home 11 days ago, grabbing 17-point halftime lead despite shooting 39% for game. Hornets stayed under last five games, scoring just 82.8 ppg, but they're 9-2 vs spread in last eleven games.

Minnesota on four-game win streak, as they held their last three foes to 87 or less points, but they're still 2-6-1 vs spread in last nine at home. Utah has Kirilenko back, they split their last eight games, with last four going over.

Kings won seven of last nine games, with both losses to Spurs; they've split pair of home court wins vs Houston this season, losing here 104-101 in first week of season. Rockets won four in row and eight of last 10, with seven of last eight games staying under.

Clippers and Portland traded pair of home court wins, as Clips lost 94-81 here in first road game of season; they just beat Lakers, their second win in row after 2-7 skid. Blazers lost 13 of last 16 games, as injuuries have taken toll on team that is now totally guard-oriented.

Nets are 4-2 last six games, with last five going over the total, as Jersey scored 103.8 ppg in last four; this is their fourth road game in six nights. Lakers scored 91 ppg in losing two games earlier this week; they're 0-5-1 vs the spread in their last six games.

Warriors lost 12 of last 13 games, with last five over the total, as Golden State allowed 107.7 ppg last three tilts; they lost by 19 at Seattle two weeks ago, as Sonics had just nine turnovers and shot 51%. Sonics are 9-2 vs the spread after a loss this season.

__________________

phantom

posted by phantom

Jan. 28 2005 2:23pm

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