MJWINS info for MNF

this is what was sent to me via email,take it for what its worth guys.GL tonight.


New England improved to 8-1 SU and 6-2-1 ATS with its dominating 29-6 win over visiting Buffalo last week. In winning straight-up for the 23rd time in their last 24 games, the defending world champs held the Bills’ offense to zero points while forcing five turnovers.

Since the 2001 season, New England has won 30 of 34 games straight-up after November 1. However, it’s on a spread slide of 1-5-1 versus AFC West competition. The Pats have also covered just twice in their last seven after facing the Bills.

The Patriots will face a stiffer challenge tonight as Kansas City enters the game ranked first in the NFL in total offense at better than 422 yards per game. On the other side of the line of scrimmage, New England counters with a unit ranked 11th in the league in total defense (315 yards per game) and fifth in scoring defense (16.9 points per contest).

New England is a staggering 19-3-3 versus the number in its last 25 games. Part of that success is due to quarterback Tom Brady, who owns the AFC’s longest streak of consecutive games with a touchdown pass at 12.

This will be the second time that Brady has faced the Chiefs. In the first encounter in September of 2002, Brady threw for a career-high 410 yards and tied his career best with four touchdown passes as the Pats won a 41-38 overtime thriller over the visiting Chiefs.

The Patriots have been the first team to score in 14 consecutive games, one short of the all-time mark set by the 1978 Miami Dolphins. They enter this game ranked 10th in total offense (328 yards per game) and sixth in scoring offense (26.3 points per outing).

In Monday night road games the Patriots are 3-12 straight-up and 6-9 against the number all-time. However, they’ve won three of their last four Monday night affairs straight-up dating back to a 30-24 win over the visiting Chiefs in December of 2000. They’ve scored exactly 30 points in each of those three Monday night wins. They’re also on a Monday night spread run of 4-1 since the 2000 season.

New England is 8-2-1 against the number in its last 11 away from Foxboro. However, the Patriots have had big-time troubles winning straight-up in Kansas City. In fact, the Patriots haven’t won at Kansas City since the then-Boston Patriots scored a 31-24 win over the Chiefs at Municipal Stadium on Dec. 6, 1964. Since then, they’re 0-6-1 straight-up in Kansas City.

Kansas City, 3-6 SU/ATS, failed to win or cover for the second straight week in losing 27-20 at New Orleans last Sunday. But the Chiefs, who have played their last two on the highway, will be glad to get back to Arrowhead Stadium where they’re on a spread run of 31-9-2 as a home dog.

In their two most recent home games, the Chiefs have won and covered both while downing division leaders Atlanta (56-10) and Indianapolis (45-35).

Running back Priest Holmes is again listed as doubtful after missing last week’s game versus the Saints with a knee injury. However, Holmes, who has more rushing touchdowns (14) than 30 other teams, has been spelled nicely by Derrick Blaylock. He ran for 186 yards last week against New Orleans as Kansas City has the NFL’s top rushing attack at an average of 164.2 yards per game.

Quarterback Trent Green has passed for better than 300 yards in three straight games for the Chiefs, who are ranked third in the league in scoring at 28.6 points per outing. The Kansas City defense has struggled, though, as it is ranked 27th in total defense (352.3 yards per game) and 29th in scoring defense (26.4 points per contest).

In Monday night home games, the Chiefs are on runs of 10-6 straight-up and 11-4-1 versus the number.

Yes Kansas City lost its two most recent meetings with the Patriots in 2002 and 2000, but never have the Chiefs dropped three straight on the scoreboard versus New England. All-time, Kansas City holds a 15-10-3 advantage straight-up over the Pats, including a 3-0 mark at Arrowhead. Since 1990, the Chiefs hold a slim 4-3 straight-up lead in this series.

Kansas City is on spread runs of 4-1 versus AFC East teams and 6-1 against teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better. They’ve also covered five of their last six off of back-to-back straight-up losses.

The two teams differ somewhat in turnover-ratio as the Pats are plus-4 and the Chiefs are minus-5.

Totals Tip: Six of the last seven meetings have gone over the total. Meanwhile, the Patriots have gone over in three straight road games while the Chiefs have topped the posted price in three of their last four overall.


posted by deewlay

Nov. 22 2004 6:06pm

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