Didn't do so well in the start of UEFA champions league..but we'll see how it ends up. At EURO 2008 I started -2.3 units and ended up absolutely destroying. So stay with me, I broke my own rule and forced plays. But we're in the UK today and I gotta go with some plays in the EPL:
And guess what..Mr Wonderful, my man crush, Christiano Ronaldo picks Chelsea as his first game back to the pitch this Sunday..LOOK FOR MY 1st GAME OF THE MONTH 4 banger this Sunday.
Anyways..Saturday's card:
Remember to bet tonight, most of you fellas aren't up at 4:00 AM with Hilly and I keep America safe.
EPL BET:
Let's go after it again. Not a best bet, but I like enough to post. Stoke City has been our team this year (3-0 ATS on the overs) and we're going again. MJ and I lost on Pool over last time, but all that talent up front with Mr. Gerrard and the brilliant Spainard should make Pool cover the over on their own. But my fighters from Stoke will get the proverbial 1 and make Pool think about if for awhile. MJ..if we lose this one, I'm done playing totals on Pool. Anyways, Stoke city over goes to 4-0 today
Risking 2.8 units to win 2 units on Stoke city over 2 1/2 against Liverpool LOSS
EPL BEST BET:
I'm going with Middlesborough +185 to win in 90 minutes @ Sunderland. This is a derby..where two teams are from the same area/city. Huge rivalry and I'll take the dog. Here's why:
Even though Middlesborugh lost a solid striker in Turkish international Sanli is out with a torn MCL. However, there is good news...3 starters return and are fit.
I like the uncertainty for Sunderland. keane is a good manager with solid strategy, but he has major injury issues, unfit players, and 4 strikers to start in 2 spots unless he changes formation to a 3 in the front. Anyways, what that jibberish means is that Sunderland has some great talent, but they haven't played together and some key components in the midfield are injured or just returning to form.
Middlesborough badly wants this game. They haven't won the away part of this derby in over 5 years.
Sunderland is 0-2 at home.
Both teams have allowed 6 goals this year..good defense and I'll take Middlesborough's continuity to start the season. (Losing Sanli hurts, but they get a good striker back from injury to take his spot). Sunderland is going to have trouble jelling and getting through the defense. They better hope for some solid set pieces.
I like the dog, but I'm going small because I'm heavily vested on Sunday.
1 unit to win 1.85 units on Sunderland LOSS
SUNDAY EPL:
The big one, a rematch from Moscow. A chance for Stamford Bridge to let United know they are contenders. I am all over Chelsea +115 to beat Man United in the first epic battle of the EPL season.
Ronaldo is begging his coach, Sir Alex to play. He made an appearance against Villereal but I have to question his fitness. The big blue wall of Chelsea is physical and I would not risk the mega star's injury to an early return. As badly as I admire Ronaldo for begging to play chelsea, he should be smarter. If he plays, and I think he will, it will benefit Chelsea big time. SAF is a legend in England, and he's smart enough to build his offense around Ronaldo. No disrespect to all world players Tevez and Rooney, but Ronaldo is the epicentre of futbol. he is in my humble opinion, the best offensive player in the world. But, he's not ready for this and there's no way United can change their type of play this quickly. There's a reason the total is at 2, the books don't think United can bulge the bag against Cech and that solid defense. Let's not forget Chelsea has allowed a grand total of 2 goals so far this year in the EPL (4 games).
I'm hoping Ballack is finally in 90 minute form (I expect him to start) and Essien and Drogba start. if those 3 happen, I wouldn't be surprised if Chelsea won by 2 goals.
I'm on the Blues
CHELSEA
SEPTEMBER GAME OF THE MONTH 4****
4 units to win 4.6 units (+115)
backing the draw line +195 for 1 unit not counting on record.
2nd Sunday EPL play:
Man City/Portsmouth over 2 1/2 +105.
In 4 games, Man City is averaging 4 goals per contest. (16 goals)
In 3 games, Porstmouth is averaging 3.75 goals per contest (11 goals)
The two traditionally attack each other offensively and it makes sense in this year's campaign. Man City is a markedly different team than last year's side and Pompey has good goal scoring. Neither goalie impresses me and I think the juice should be on the over.
1.5 units to win 1.6 units on over 2 1/2 +105 WIN
Dog play:
Wigan +285 game line (if it ties it's a push)
We hit easily against Tottenham last week and I'm going to fade them again. Wigan is much better this year and has the ability to pull the upset at White Hart Lane in the London burbs. Spurs have only scored 4 goals this year and Wigan has been very consistent. Amr Zaki is the rookie of the year waiver wire fantasy pick up as he has already scored 4 goals and burned the opposition with his speed. If you get a chance to check out Wigan, check out this cat. He is amazingly quick and good on the ball.
1 unit to win 2.85 units on Wigan tie is a push PUSH
Good luck players..my complete EPL card..skipping La Liga this week because I like these 4 games.
