All right, a very difficult card to cap in my opinion, but I think I'm dialed in.
Fight Pick #1:
Spenser Fisher +125 over Frankie Edgar.
For those of you that follow the UFC, you should know these names. Fisher has been around forever in the 55 division and Edgar has made a big name for himself by defeating Tyson Griffin in a 3 round decision in his debut and following it up with an impressive 2nd win.
I'm on the King Spenser Fisher for a number of reasons. #1.) I hate the cat..and fighters I hate usually win. 2.) Compare the opposition. This is a huge fight for Edgar, a decent opponent for Fisher. Here's his UFC fight stats and an overall record of 21-3 in MMA out of the highly touted Militich Camp:
Win Sam Stout Unanimous Decision UFC® Fight Night™: Sam Stout vs Spencer Fisher 06/12/2007 3 5:00
Loss Hermes Franca Technical Knock Out UFC® Fight Night™ Rashad Evans vs Sean Salmon 01/25/2007 2 3:30
Win Dan Lauzon Technical Knock Out UFC® 64: UNSTOPPABLE 10/14/2006 1 4:38
Win Matt Wiman Technical Knock Out UFC 60: Hughes vs. Gracie 05/27/2006 2 1:43
Loss Sam Stout Majority Decision UFC 58: USA vs. Canada 03/04/2006 3 5:00
Win Aaron Riley Technical Knock Out UFC® Fight Night™ 3 01/16/2006 1 5:00
Win Thiago Alves Submission (Other) UFC® Fight Night™ 2 10/03/2005 2 4:43
Everyone says Edgar's strengths are his wrestling and stamina. Well at 55, your all great on the ground and in cardio. You can't tell me Fisher can't handle 3 rounds with this kid. He will pick him apart and either submit him or win a majority decision.
2 units to win 2.5 units on Spenser "The King" Fisher +125
Fight Pick #2: THE MAIN EVENT
I will take the dog value and roll with Bisping. Here's why..1.) I hate him and fighters I hate usually win. Seriously though, look at the matchup. Rashad is a great wrestler but Bisping is a beast for his size. I think he's good enough to counter Rashad's takedowns. Striking, everyone keeps forgetting the only title of merit Bisping has held is for kickboxing. The dude has great strikes and the way Rashad bobs back and forth, he very well could walk into Bisping's right foot and say night night. I really don't understand the high line. Rashad is so highly touted but LOST against Tito (sorry..I know we disagree on that one), and was unimpressive against a juiced up Bonnar. In fact, I bet Bonnar takes him in the next match. Anyways, Bisping has a penchant for getting in trouble. When you get rocked by Elvis Sinosic, there is definetely holes in your stand up. Anyways, this value is too good to pass up and Bisping could very well end the fight standing. Rashad will NOT go after Bisping, mark my words. This is going to be a boring fight as they will "feel each other out" for most of the 1'st. Someone will win the 2nd, and they will both play conservative to go for decision in the 3rd. I really can't see Rashad submitting Bisping or knocking him out.
1 unit to win 2.75 units on Michael "the Count" Bisping
BEST BET:
Roll with me on Thiago Silva to upset Houston Alexander. Everyone is riding Houston's jock right now because of flashy 1st round knockouts. He is going to have to go more than one round on Saturday night. No way Silva gets knocked out early, maybe late, but he's much more technical and has more ability. I'm not impressed with either of Houston's two wins in the UFC, but the same argument could be made for Silva. However, with that being said, I can't back Alexander. Ground game..advantage Silva, ground defense..advantage Silva, Submissions...huge advantage Silva...All I can say is, if Alexander knocks him out, he has my respect and I will not feel bad I lost money on him. But it aint' gonna happen. Alexander is gonna come out like a pit bull, Silva will weather the storm, and then you'll see Alexander get winded and desperate as he tries to make it up on the scorecard. In the 3rd, when Alexander goes for broke, Silva catchs him with a submission and either ends it or dominated the 3rd round.
BEST BET:
Thiago Silva to beat Houston Alexander
2 units to win 2.5 units
As you can see, I'm not too heavy on anything. No 3 unit or bigger plays..opinions if you want em:
Karo the Heat to win by submission or strikes
Lauzon in a laugher
Gono but closer than expected
Doerksen to upset Herman (I hate Herman by the way which means he will win)
no opinion on others..I'm just betting the 3 I posted.
GL EVERYONE>>Ricky, call me if your playing the UFC, I got a question for you.
