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Just loked at the o/u for last night. 9 out of 11 unders hit, with one pushing. Game after all star break trend ?
FYI & GL to all
posted by zmatty
July 16 2004 8:20am -
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2-1 ATS yesteday with a 4 unit profit.
Here's my card for today:
Cleveland/Seattle...pitching change...Cliff Lee vs. Blackley
Cleveland is 7-3 in their last 10 on the under ATS. Cliff Lee is 3-2 in his last five starts on the under with two dominating performances over Texas (4-1) and Oakland (4-1). I don't know much about Blackley, but consider these facts.
J. Olereud...released not playing.
B. Boone....hitting 235% on the year.
R. Aurilla...released
P. Borders and D. Wilson..both catchers released or designated for assignment.
Throw in Seattle's league leading home under ATS record (26-15 UNDER record at home this year)and the hitter's park.
I'll PLAY THE UNDER 8 1/2 -120 FOR 5 UNITS.
W. Sox vs. A's Buehrle vs. Zito.
Real simple. I'm a trend bettor and I cashed on the A's last night. I'll keep pounding the A's in this series at home as Oakland has now won 14 out of the last 15 against the Sox in the Coliesum. Yes, 14 out of the last 15 in Oakland have gone to the A's.
PLAYING OAKLAND -115 FOR 3 UNITS
Red Sox vs. Angels
Martinez vs. Escobar
I think the total is way too low in this one. When looking at the 8 1/2E total, look at the same game a month earlier. Escobar and the Angels won a wild one as Pedro escaped with a no decision 8-7 in Anaheim. In addition, Anaheim won the last two meetings in Boston (10-7,7-6) and I see the rested and retooled BoSox looking for some payback. Pedro also has a very modest 3-3 4.40 ERA and record on the road this year. With Guillen, Vlad, Anderson, and those pesky leadoff hitters Eckstein and Figgins, I see another over. The three games played this year have produced totals of 17,13 and 9.
I'm playing the OVER 8 1/2 Even total for 3 units. Juice free play
RECAP:
+4 units on the week.
Seattle under 8 1/2 -120 5 units
Red Sox over 8 1/2 Even 3 units
A's ML -115 3 units
Good luck today whatever your on.
posted by pc7588
July 16 2004 12:05pm -
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NY METS/PHILADELPHIA OVER 9
MILLWOOD VS. ERICKSON -- LAST THREE STARTS FOR MILLWOOD AN ERA OF 7.13. BOTH TEAMS HAVE THE BATS,,,AND I LOOK FOR PHILLY TO DEFINATLY PUT YP SOME RUNS AGAINST ERICKSON IN HIS FIRST START BACK SINCE APRIL...
PITTSBURG PIRATES -104
BURNETT VS BENSON... BENSON HAS BEEN PUTTING ON A SHOW AS OF LATE...BURNETT HAS BEEN HORRIBLE AWAY FROM HOME, WITH A ROAD ERA OF 7.79, WHILE BENSON HAS A LAST THREE ERA OF AN INCREDIBLE 1.64,,,BURNETT IS 1-7 THIS YEAR AS A FAVORITE
CLEVELAND -120
PC SAID ENOUGH ABOUT THIS GAME AND I'M GOING TO ROLL WITH THAT...
posted by slam
July 16 2004 12:56pm -
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Very tough loss yesterday to swallow. Cleveland pitching couldnt hang on to Westbrooks lead, that one hurts. Lets come back STRONG today with Pitt at home. I love this game as K Benson takes the mound againts a struggling Florida Marlins teams. I am taking Pitt for my one play today
posted by dr_evil
July 16 2004 1:28pm -
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Loss on National League on Tuesday to run record to 18-21 since keeping track June 19. Need to focus 2nd half of season and play less games and not to bet anything if no games look good. Here is what I bet this morning before I went to work:
1) Dodgers (-122) - LA is 10-2 last 12 overall and D-Backs are 4-20 last 24 games. D-Backs are 2-8 in Webb's last 10 starts and Ishii pitched a complete game 1 hitter against Arizona last time he faced them. Arizona is 1-8 last 9 against the Dodgers.
2) Indians (even) - Have to adjust my writeup since pitching change to Blackley, would still take Indians at -125. Clev has won Lee's last 6 starts and Seattle is 4-16 in last 20 games.
Will probably increase my bets from this morning when I get home since I really like these games today. Good luck everyone!!
posted by jernov99
July 16 2004 3:44pm -
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You have to love winning two games with ease (including one blowout), and then losing two close ones (that is the story of my gambling life), which results in losing the juice. That really sucks! Anyway, time to move on:
DETROIT +5 (Small Play)
Season Record: 25-27
3-5 Large Plays
15-11 Average Plays
7-11 Small Plays
GOOD LUCK!!!!!
Del-T
posted by jdelt88
July 16 2004 4:57pm -
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Philly-120
and over 8 1/2
2 team parlay!
Bank it I need beer money!!!!!!!!!
I'm rich biatch!
posted by moneybags82
July 16 2004 6:22pm