Bet the card the way I do and you almost always make money.
I disagree with this board here's my card:
Mike Swick for 3 Units (-125) (BEST BET) You guys are nuts if you think Swick will lose to Yushin Okami in his home state. Get over it and realize Swick is the real deal. He's athletic, he has heavy hands, his take down defense is superb. He's fighting an athlete, not a fighter tonight. Swick's conditioning will get us a submission in the 3rd.
Josh Koschneck 1 Unit (+190)
Best fight on the card except for Cummo/Haynes which we won't get to see tonight. So you guys think Diego is just gonna destroy him huh? We'll see. Koz is the better wrestler and the better athlete. Diego is the better striker and has better submissions. Koz and Diego fought on fight night and if you go look at that fight don't tell me Diego is gonna dominate him. He might win, but Koz is in his head and will either win a decision or get screwed on a decision. I can't see either guy tapping because of their ground skills.
Heath Herring -275 1 Unit (This is my best bet but why bother with a -275 fav)
This cat loses in the UFC again and he's out. Imes hasn't fought in over a year. Tough first fight back. Herring was a pride fighter and if you read his interviews about his first fight in the UFC, you will see that tonight might put Imes back in the hospital. I personlly think Herring is a top 7 heavyweight but his UFC debut was a shocker as he lost a 3 round decision in one of the most boring fights I've ever seen.
Kendall Grove -145 1 Unit
I won on Da Spyder twice so far, I'll keep riding him and his Team Punishment training (team punishment hit for us as a 3:1 dog on Thursday as posted with McCully). I really don't like Ortiz, but I respect the hell out of his fight camp. Dean Lister, Justin MCCully, Kendall Grove are all doing well under the Team Punishment banner. I expect Kendall to win by submission tonight.
I never back this many reality fighters, but Koz is in Diego's head. Watch the weigh in clip on UFC.tv or the clips on Sherdog. Juice, no Pro V1's bet but I will enjoy my free round tomorrow at Windswept.
Good luck boys...hit em straight.