Here's what I have on tap for UFC 64:
Undercard:
All lines from Betcris when I booked them.....
Chasin Dogs:
Playing all 3 for 50.00 and hoping I hit one if not two:
Risking 50.00 to win 125.00 on Junior Assuncao
Line...
Assuncao +250
Guida -275
Risking 50.00 to win 170.00 on Dan Lauzon over Spenser Fisher
Line...
Lauzon..+365
Fisher..-435
Risking 50.00 to win 130.00 On Kenny Florian in the Lightweight Title Fight
Line...
Ken Flo +260
The Muscle Shark Sherk -310
All right, I got 150.00 in play..to cover that wager I'll play one high ML fight..this is my best bet, but don't go large on it. Next fight on Fitch after he dominates Hironaka who is making his UFC debut.
BEST BET: Risking 470.00 to win 150.00 on Jon Fitch.
This fight will be very entertaining, but Fitch will TCOB and either win by submission or unaminous decision.
So now I have 620.00 in play on four fights..here's my thought on the headliner:
Ace vs. Silva
What a great fight. A true test for Rich. This is by no means my best bet and a very tough fight to call. Both are incredible strikers, both are in top shape with a slight lean to Franklin who is quite possibly the best MMA conditioned fighter I've seen. (Anyone watch his barely break a sweat 5 round unanimous decision against Loasiou?). Franklin can also take a punch which we saw in his last two fights. Silva is a true warrior. No disrespect to Crippler Chris Leiban, but Silva has fought and beaten much better overseas. This is a true grudge fight as for the first time in a long time, UFC is head to head with Pride. I really think this fight is going to come down to who lands the big punch. Don't let Franklin's gaudy record of 22-1 fool you. Those who follow this sport know that Silva is world class. I am torn on this fight but I am going to have to roll on the Brazilian. It's been a long time since Hughes, Lidell, or Franklin have lost. I also look at Franklin's long layoff due to injury. From what I've read and studied, it really does look like this is going to top even last PPV's Penn/Hughes classic.
Roll with me on Anderson Silva +185 for 2 units.
GL MESSY...I wouldn't mind losing this one if I hit a dog and Fitch. I hate the idea of a non UFCer holding the belt. See ya in the chat on fight night.