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   MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 10/4-10-10

   Newsletter oct 4th -10th

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Marc Lawrence Playbook

   3 BEST BET

   Lsu over VANDERBILT by 3

   Despite last week's stunning loss to Middle Tennessee, Vandy

   is experiencing its best start in two decades. We have to go

   back to 1984 to find the Commodores with four wins going

   into game six. Curiously, in that year, Vandy was at home

   against LSU, laid 14 points to the Tigers and lost the whole

   game. This year’s winning record was fashioned by five

   straight games against losing teams. Still, with the Bengals

   looking dead ahead to games with Florida and Auburn up

   next, we'll opt for the Commies. This just in: .500 > conference

   home dogs, off a SU home favorite loss as a double-digit

   favorite, are 11-3 ATS. Take the generous offering.

   GAME OF THE WEEK UPSET UPSET

   Georgia over TENNESSEE by 7

   Despite a valiant effort in Florida, a remarkable comeback

   win in Baton Rouge and last week’s win over Mississippi,

   Tennessee still isn’t playing well. Don’t expect the Vols, and

   their 2-headed QB, to improve against a Georgia team that

   has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings in

   the series. Tennessee is a great road team but the Vols have

   covered just eight of their last 30 home games and stands

   2-15 ATS here versus .600 or better opposition. Well-rested

   Georgia is on our mind today.

   5* best bet

   PURDUE over Iowa by 17

   It wasn’t hard to see Iowa’s big bounceback against Illinois

   coming last week. The Hawkeyes had been humiliated at

   Ohio State and were seething about their dismal effort. This

   one is a little tougher to figure. Iowa still doesn’t have a

   running game and is vulnerable in the secondary. Will Purdue

   have a Notre Dame hangover? Joe Tiller has now beaten

   seven of the eight teams that followed the Irish on Purdue’s

   schedule. Boiler revenge could be the deciding factor (Boilers

   are 36-3 ATS in its last 30 revenge wins). That and the fact

   that Joe Tiller is the answer to this week's Trivia Teaser (see

   page 2). FYI: Iowa is 4-31 ATS in SU losses to avenging teams,

   including 1-18 ATS when playing off a win. Just Due It.

   4
   BEST BET

   UCLA over California by 14

   Cal has dominated this series of late but Ucla hasn’t been this

   good for a while. We’ll see how good the Golden Bears are

   today. After a five-game stretch to open the season where

   Cal didn’t face a winning team, the jury is still out on the

   Berkeley boys. We do know the best part of this week's

   SMART BOX comes to bat for the Bruins. With Cal just 3-16

   ATS on the road off a win in games in which they allow 28 or

   more points (UCLA is averaging 42 PPG this season), look for

   the series host to improve to 5-0-1 ATS. Bruins ruin Cal's hopes

   of a perfect season.

   E CAROLINA over Rice by 4

   Owls have been crushed early on and East Carolina is certainly

   better than it has been over the past couple of years. Rice hasn’t

   had a lot of success over the past decade but what success it did

   enjoy came because of a relentless running game that eventually

   wore down its opponents. Unfortunately, the Owls have

   abandoned the option and have become just another lousy team.

   WASHINGTON ST over Stanford by 14

   Stanford has somehow found a way to cover against Washington

   State no matter what the status of the two teams. The Cardinal is

   11-2 ATS against Wazzu in the last 13 meetings, including five in

   a row here. We have two problems with taking Stanford. One is

   Trent Edwards, the Cardinal QB. Will he play and, if he does, will

   he finish? The other is Bill Doba, the WSU coach. This guy finds

   ways to win games he shouldn’t and wins games he should.

   NEBRASKA over Texas Tech by 3

   Is there a bigger revenge game in college football this season?

   We don’t think so. Nebraska went chugging into Lubbock last

   year and limped back to Lincoln with the worst loss in school history

   in their pockets, a 70-10 ass kicking. We know these aren’t your

   father’s Cornhuskers or even your older brother’s but they will be

   pumped to the max to even the score. Besides, does anybody know

   if the Red Raiders are any good? This is their first road game and

   Nebraska is 24-0 SU in home Big 12 games after playing at home.

   VIRGINIA TECH over Marshall by 31

   Virginia Tech passed a test last week. It wasn’t a major exam but it

   was a test. The Hokies derailed West Virginia’s undefeated express

   with a convincing 34-17 win and, with a favorable schedule ahead,

   appears to be headed for the ACC title game. Marshall can’t win

   this game (the Herd lost at Central Florida, for God’s sake) but our

   Smart Box tells us not to do the Hokie Pokie here.

   UAB over Smu by 22

   Smu beat Tcu in Dallas, then proceeded to lose its next two

   games by a combined 97-18 score. After a break in the action at

   Huntington, the Ponies travel to Birmingham to try and stop

   another offensive machine. With the Horses standing at 5-54-1

   ATS when they allow 28 or more, we’ll either lay this or leave it.

   Utah over COLORADO ST by 3

   We touched upon Utah’s remarkable record as a road dog last

   week and we’ll revisit that mark here. following last week's loss

   at North Carolina they are 20-3 ATS as road dogs. They're also

   12-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a conference pup, with ten

   outright wins in the batch and only one of the three losses by

   more than three points. Of course, that loss was to Colorado State

   who is improving on a weekly basis. Take it or fake it.

   LA TECH over Hawaii by 6

   In Hawaii’s last road game, the Rainbows shut out an Idaho team

   that was without three of its starting offensive lineman and its

   best running back. As far as we know, the Bulldogs are healthy.

   What isn’t so healthy is the Louisiana Tech pointspread log. LT has

   never won or covered against the Rainbows. But since Hawaii is

   just 3-9 ATS in its last 12 road games, we’ll pass.

   W MICHIGAN over Ball St by 10

   It’s not very often that you see a team as bad as Western Michigan

   have a chance to win a third straight game. Ball State, with just

   three covers and one win in its last 15 road games, is a good

   candidate to make that happen for the Broncos. Robbie Haas takes

   over for the injured Ryan Cubit at QB for WMU and we don’t

   expect the Ponies to miss a beat. We ain’t layin’ it, though.

   TOLEDO over E Michigan by 27

   Fans sitting on the fifty yard line in the Glass Bowl will feel like

   they’re at a tennis match as the offenses go up and down the

   field with little or no resistance met. Matt Bohnet is almost as

   good as Toledo’s Bruce Gradkowski and Bohnet has the best WR

   in the league in Eric Desauliers. Eastern looks like a live dog in this

   game until you see Toledo sitting at 32-1 SU and 22-6 ATS in its

   last 33 home games – not to mention 25-2 ATS in its last 27 wins!

   FLORIDA over Mississippi St by 34

   The Gators were ambushed in Tuscaloosa last week and normally

   it might need more than a week to get back to a winning mental

   attitude. Unless, of course, Mississippi State is coming to town.

   The Starkville Dogs have lost 20 consecutive SEC road games with

   only 5 covers in the mix and Florida is anxious to erase both the

   loss to Alabama and that embarrassment in Mississippi last season

   (Gators laid 24 - lost the game on the field). Need we remind you

   Florida is 28-3-1 ATS in SU revenge victories. Lay it!

   TULANE over Houston by 3

   Houston is not a good road team to start with, but when you ask

   them to beat a team who is playing with revenge, they get even

   worse. The Cougars have faced that situation 21 times in the last

   few years and have cashed exactly three tickets. That won’t win

   any endorsements from us. Here’s the problem: Is this a road game

   for Houston? You decide.

   LOUISVILLE over N Carolina by 17

   The Tar Heels have won two games in the past two weeks that

   says a lot about their character. They fended off the revengeminded

   Wolfpack of NC State two weeks ago then got revenge

   of their own against Utah this week. Now they leave the Tar Heel

   State with more revenge to settle. We have to see the Heels beat

   somebody good on the road before we take them in a place like

   this (No, NC State wasn’t a road game - it’s across the street).

   Ohio St over PENN ST by 1

   The Buckeyes have had an extra week to get ready for this game

   which many believed would be their toughest conference test of

   the season. We agree this will be a tough game, mostly because

   of the physical play of both defenses, but we don’t know about

   the word test. THIS will be the test - Can Ohio State overcome its

   pathetic 1-11 ATS mark on the road after a double-digit win?

   Smart Box says OSU. We'll stay on the sidelines for now.

   MICHIGAN over Minnesota by 3

   You just knew that Michigan was going to play at the top of its

   game in East Lansing last week. The Wolverines had not lost

   (14-0 ) when standing at exactly .500, at least not since 1980, and

   their backs were to the wall in conference play. Now, the Wolves

   face a team that cannot seem to beat them. Minnesota has one

   win in its last 23 meetings with just eight covers. Still, Michigan

   might be a little flat here. For sure, Minnesota won’t.\

   Akron over BUFFALO by 13

   Akron coach JD Brookhart has never lost a game to a sub .500

   opponent. Buffalo is 0-6 ATS in its last six games vs .600 or better

   opposition. But the story of this game has to be the offensive

   disparity on the field. Going into last weekend, the Bulls were

   averaging ONE point per game. Akron’s offense was rolling along

   at a 28 ppg clip. We won’t go anywhere near the Bulls today.

   Air Force over NAVY by 3

   After the loss to Colorado State, Fisher DeBerry stated that his

   team had only one thing left to play for, the Commander-in-Chief

   trophy. This is where that quest starts. The stats are negative for

   both teams in this situation and the only significant edge for either

   team is in the Falcon experience at the quarterback position. Air

   Force loses that advantage with its porous defense and poor ball

   security. Still, we’ll look hard at the Pilots if they remain the dog.

   IOWA ST over Baylor by 3

   Baylor made a lot of big chalk players review their handicapping

   policies with that staunch effort in College Station. The Bears are

   apparently a lot better than the vast majority of bettors thinks.

   They have covered 17 of their last 25 games as opposed to Iowa

   State which has just four covers in its last 17 league games. Coming

   off that big game with Nebraska with a double revenge game

   with Missouri dead ahead, ISU will have trouble focusing here.

   We’ll focus on a much improved Baylor Bear and the points.

   WYOMING over Tcu by 10

   This might be TCU’s toughest test of the season. Yes, we’re saying

   it will be harder to win in Laramie than it was in Norman and

   we’re saying it with confidence. That doesn’t mean the Frogs won’t

   do it. They overcame an inspired BYU team and an 18-point deficit

   in Provo and handed Bob Stoops his first September loss ever in

   Norman. TCU may be an attractive dog to some but we won’t

   fade the Cowboys on the plateau. Not this year against a team

   that is riding a 10 game ATS win streak.

   San Diego St over UNLV by 7

   This one has the potential to be as bad as the above game is good.

   Although they are improving by the game, San Diego State has

   no road wins this season and has only five wins in its last 25 trips

   away from the Navy bases. UNLV’s only win in its last ten games

   was a three-point win over Idaho as a 13-point favorite earlier

   this year. Not interested.

   SOUTHERN CAL over Arizona by 42

   There are tons of numbers involving both teams in this game but

   the most telling set is Arizona’s 9-61 ATS mark in its last 70 games

   when the Wildcats allow 30 or more. Southern Cal will get 30,

   most likely by the half. In their last 18 home games, the Trojans

   are 18-0 SU, 15-3 ATS and have averaged 43 ppg. USC is 13-3 ATS

   in games off a pointspread miss under Pete Carroll. Add our

   Incredible Stat of the Week adds to the mix and it’s either lay it or

   leave it for us.

   BOWLING GREEN over Ohio by 27

   You know that new offense that Ohio miraculously found against

   Kent State? Well, the Bobcats better bring it with them to Doyt

   Perry Stadium. Bowling Green has averaged 44 ppg on this field

   over the past three-plus years and has covered 21 of its last 30

   conference games here. Ohio is a meager 6-23 ATS in its last 29

   games allowing 30 or more. Don’t like that BG defense, though.

   COLORADO over Texas A&M by 3

   If you watched the last two games that Texas A&M played, you

   would never bet on the Aggies again. The kid from Texas State

   passed the A&M secondary dizzy and the Baylor defense stymied

   the Aggie offense from start to finish. But Texas A&M was a

   prohibitive favorite in both of those games. Here, the Aggies are

   the underdogs and that’s the only thing keeping us from loading

   up on Colorado. A&M is a pitiful 2-13 ATS in its last 15 road games

   against winning teams and is 2-41 ATS in its last 43 road losses.

   NEVADA over Idaho by 10

   We won’t pretend to know who’s going to win or cover this but

   we will tell what we do know. Nevada is a far different team at

   home than it is on the road. Idaho is bad everywhere. In all fairness

   to the Vandals, they have played representatively this season at

   tougher venues but they are crippled by injuries right now.

   Wouldn’t lay this but there’ll be no potatoes for dinner tonight.

   memphis ove c fla by 7

   Memphis isn’t the greatest road team in the world and, with a

   raw freshman QB forced into action because of injuries, probably

   won’t erase that reputation this year. But taking Central Florida,

   who has one home win in its last eight tries, is too risky to imagine.

   Tigers' huge edge in the ground game puts them in the winner's

   circle.

   BOSTON COLLEGE over Virginia by 10

   Virginia’s schedule to this point hasn’t contained anything like

   what the Cavs will see here. Boston College is a tough, physical

   team that historically defends its home turf with passion,

   particularly in conference play. With a loss to Florida State in its

   last league home game, expect the Eagles to play with that same

   passion here. After getting routed by a Maryland team that has

   struggled this season, we don't dare take Virginia. Look for BC's

   O'Brien to improve to 10-2 ATS at home against a conference foe

   off a loss.

   FLORIDA ST over Wake Forest by 28

   Now, we know that Wake Forest isn’t good. In fact, last week's

   cover against Clemson was the Deacons' first in their last nine

   games. We also know that the Seminole offense isn’t exactly

   explosive. Nor does the Tribe relish the role of DD favorites with

   five straight failures in that role. But there’s nothing wrong with

   the FSU defense (allowing 82 rush yards per game). Wake is 0-15

   SU and 2-12 ATS when the Deacons don’t run for 150 yards.

   MIAMI FL over Duke by 31

   Another Sunshine State mismatch pits the hopeless Dukies against

   an improving Miami Hurricane. No one will give Duke a look here

   but keep in mind that the Devils are a stunning 13-5 ATS in their

   last 18 tries as road underdogs. Miami has covered less than half

   the time in its last 30 home games and definitely won’t be at an

   emotional peak for this – not with Temple up next.

   PITTSBURGH over Cincinnati by 13

   On the list of disappointing teams of 2005, Pittsburgh is right at

   the top. Dave Wannstedt appears to be completely lost on the

   sidelines, the offensive line can’t protect Tyler Palko and the

   Panthers have no running game. Cincinnati, however, isn’t much

   better than the Youngstown State team that is Pitt’s only victim

   of the year. With neither team capable of winning, we’ll pass.

   OKLAHOMA ST over Missouri by 1

   You can’t accuse Missouri of rolling over and playing dead for

   Texas. The Tigers played their hearts out, at least in the first half,

   and used a year’s worth of emotion in that titanic battle. What do

   they have left here? A far better QB, a much better running game,

   and, for one of the few times in the last four years, no coaching

   disadvantage. Oklahoma State is struggling under new head coach

   Mike Gundy but does own over 100 yards the better defense.

   KANSAS ST over Kansas by 10

   After ten straight losses with no covers in this series, the Jayhawks

   rose up and knocked down their instate rivals last season. Those

   wins are uplifting and positive for the program, particularly one

   that’s being resurrected. That win came in Lawrence. This game is

   in Manhattan where Kansas has lost and failed to cover five in a

   row by a combined margin of 44-221. Kansas State is 17-4 ATS in

   its last 21 conference revenge wins.

   S CAROLINA over Kentucky by 10

   We’re not really sure how South Carolina will respond to the loss

   of their starting QB Blake Mitchell but we do know how the

   Gamecocks have performed in the role they fit today. SC is 3-9

   ATS in its last 12 tries as home chalk and has covered just nine of

   its last 26 SEC games. Kentucky, despite decades of mediocrity, is

   10-2 ATS as road dogs with rest. We just watched the tape of

   Kentucky’s game at Indiana. More mediocrity.

   army by 6

   Army has lost 38 of its last 41 games and cannot be played at this

   number. Central Michigan has NEVER won a lined non-conference

   road game (0-16 SU; 3-13 ATS since hitting the Big Board in 1999)

   and is suddenly favored to do so. The Chippewas cannot be played

   at this number.

   TEXAS over Oklahoma by 10

   This is a game Texas HAS to win. The Longhorns have lost five

   straight times to Oklahoma with no covers, all by double digits

   and three times as the favorite. It has been the focus of the Cows

   since the beginning of the season. On paper, it looks like the

   Sooners don’t have a chance but it's looked that way before. Texas

   has certainly outperformed OU on the field this season and the

   Horns clearly have the better team. Could this be Mack Brown’s

   year? Before snapping the rubber band you might want to think

   about this... Bob Stoops has been a double-digit dog once in his

   career. He won the whole game (Florida St. in 2000 Orange Bowl).

   Maryland over TEMPLE by 19

   Temple doesn’t win many games, three of its last 29 to be exact,

   but the Owls are not an easy pointspread win. The Hooters have

   covered five of their last seven as a touchdown-plus home dog

   despite winning only one of the seven games. Maryland owns a

   reputation as an awesome favorite but the Terps are a lowly 1-6

   ATS in their last seven non-conference games as the chalk.

   Disinterested road favorites are never high on our priority list.

   NFL

   4* best bet

   Chicago over CLEVELAND by 10

   It had to happen and this is the week. No, not another reliefaid

   signing by Jeff George. And no, not another appearance

   by those Damn Yankees in the playoffs. We're talking the

   first time new Browns head coach Romeo Crennel dons the

   role of a favorite. After taking 24 points in their first three

   games, Cleveland will lay some to the improving Bears. We

   think it's a mistake, given the fact that Chicago has held all

   three of their foes to season low yards in 2005. Look for the

   Windy City boys to improve to 9-1 ATS as dogs with rest.

   5
   BEST BET

   JACKSONVILLE over Cincinnati by 13

   Marv Lewis has done the job. He took one of the worst

   teams in the league and, in a few short years, has made

   the Bengals a feared adversary. He has one thing left to do

   other than the obvious. He needs to make Cincinnati more

   competitive on the road. The Striped Cats are a woeful 8-52

   SU in their last 60 road games against .500 or better teams.

   Like Chicago, the Jags have also held every foe to a season

   low yardage mark this season. With the 'Ville 4-0 ATS off a

   double digit defeat, it's Jack or the track here, hobo.

   Tennessee shouldn’t be favored on the road against anyone and

   Houston shouldn’t be favored anywhere. If you need to make a

   move, check out this week's Awesome Angle on page 2. Can't

   lay points with winless Texans.

   3
   BEST BET

   DALLAS over Philadelphia by 6

   We already know that the Eagles are a superb road team.

   Like several other teams in the league, Dallas is far better

   at home than it is on the road but better is a relative word.

   Contributing factor here is Bill Parcells' sterling mark at

   home in division games (30-9 SU & 26-7-2 ATS when his club

   is .500 or more). That and the fact he is 5-0 ATS in his NFL

   career when playing off three ATS losses against a foe that

   is off a SU dog win. Chip in the fact that Super Bowl losers

   are 10-26-2 ATS as road chalk against .500 or better

   opposition the next year and we suddenly have the makings

   of an upset. How about them Cowboys!

   SAN DIEGO over Pittsburgh by 1

   The well rested Steelers are 16-4 ATS as October dogs in their

   last 20 tries and they are a dominating 9-1-1 ATS against these

   Chargers in the last 11 meetings. San Diego needs to win every

   home game it plays and the Chargers are good enough to do it.

   Still, let's see where this number settles before snapping the

   rubber band.

   DENVER over Washington by 6

   Once again, we’ll remind you that the Redskins are at the bottom

   of the league’s average points scored per game list and will likely

   be there when the season ends - yet they are 3-0. Because of

   that, we must point out that Denver is 96-11 SU and 76-28-3 ATS

   at home when the opponent scores less than 18 points. Those

   numbers include 16 wins in a row with 12 covers. The last loss in

   this role for the Broncos? Against Washington, of course.

   Miami over BUFFALO by 1

   Buffalo is starting to become desperate. The Bills badly need for

   rookie QB JP Losman to have a good game, especially at home,

   to renew the enthusiasm of one of the best home crowds in the

   NFL. There is no better opponent for that event in the minds of

   the Bills than the Miami Dolphins. Unfortunately for Buffalo,

   Dave Wannstedt doesn’t coach Miami anymore. Nick Saban does

   and he can figure out a way to keep Losman from having a killer

   game. No sense trying to make a struggling team win. Besides,

   Bills are 0-5 ATS against rested opponents.

   DETROIT over Baltimore by 1

   Detroit 'should' win this game. Not because the Lions are that

   good or that Joey Harrington is actually going to play like an

   NFL quarterback instead of impersonating one. The Lions should

   win because Baltimore’s offense is even worse than the stagnant

   Lion attack. The Raven defense is getting worn down earlier than

   usual because of numerous three-and-outs by the inept Balto

   attackers. This is a bad game between two bad teams.

   Tennessee over HOUSTON by 3

   Another pair of bad teams in a Sunday full of terrible matchups.

   Tennessee shouldn’t be favored on the road against anyone and

   Houston shouldn’t be favored anywhere. If you need to make a

   move, check out this week's Awesome Angle on page 2. Can't

   lay points with winless Texans.

   Indianapolis over SAN FRANCISCO by 14

   Here’s some information that’s worth something. Indianapolis is

   7-0 ATS off a division road game in its last seven tries and an

   amazing 75-5-2 ATS in its last 82 SU road wins. Frisco has some

   positive numbers but they are very small, kinda like its chance to

   win the game. The Forty Niner secondary can’t cover the Colt

   receivers with ATV’s. No thank you.

   Carolina over ARIZONA by 3

   Arizona befuddled us. Rather, the people who said that the

   Cardinals were a lock to win the NFC West blew our minds. Yes,

   the Cards have the skill people to win a weak division but their

   offensive line is one of the NFL’s worst and the defense is average

   at best. Carolina can take advantage of that weak offensive line

   with its strong running game. The only thing keeping us from

   posting Carolina is its terrible record as a favorite (Going into

   the Green Bay game last Monday, the Panthers were 5-20 ATS in

   their last 25 chances as chalk).

   GREEN BAY over New Orleans by 3

   The Packers are getting worse and, unless they won at Carolina

   on Monday, will be winless at this stage of the season for the

   first time since the year 4 BF. New Orleans has been competitive

   in most games this season but so has Green Bay. The Saints just

   have more wins. Sooner or later, the Pack will have one of those

   breakout games and we probably won’t fade them at home until

   they do. You know Favre is dying inside.

   Tampa Bay over NY JETS by 1

   Signing Vinny Testeverde as anything but a peanut vendor is a

   waste of time and we’re not ready to back a maiden QB

   (Bollinger) who was sacked 5 times in his debut against an

   aggressive defense like Tampa’s. Still, the NFL and the linemaker

   have a way of evening things out and until Tampa Bay covers a

   road game in between home games (0-8 ATS) we’ll sit idly by

   and watch Vinny throw incomplete goobers all over the stadium.

   ST LOUIS over Seattle by 3

   Mike Martz spent a couple of days in the hospital last week with

   some kind of flu. Maybe Mike had some time to think about the

   things he does that cost his team games (reverse pitches that

   result in turnovers inside the 10-yard line). The Rams are still a

   decent home team but Seattle is terrible on the road, particularly

   in October. The Seahawks have covered once in their last 14

   division road games in the Pumpkin month. We would take the

   Rams here but we heard that Martz will be back on the sidelines

   and we’re not taking any chances on his mental recovery.

   New England over ATLANTA by 3

   You could say that New England is vulnerable right now because

   of the plethora of injuries that has struck the club. But you and

   us aren’t the only ones who know of those injuries. The line will

   be adjusted, overadjusted if Michael Vick plays. Taking a look at

   the Patriots as puppies finds a 26-11 ATS mark in their last 37

   tries, including five straight ATS wins against NFC teams. We ain’t

   fadin’ that, nor our 'Super Respect' angle reported earlier this

   year in this newsletter

   

   posted by phantom

   Oct. 6 2005 2:30pm
2. 0 likes

   Sunshine Forecast College

   CFB Computer Predictions

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Tuesday, October 4, 2005

   Troy(+3) at North Texas

   Power Rating Projection:

   North Texas 26 Troy 25

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   North Texas 24 Troy 23

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Wednesday, October 5, 2005

   Miami-Ohio(+3) at Northern Illinois

   Power Rating Projection:

   Northern Illinois 26 Miami-Ohio 25

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Miami-Ohio 23 Northern Illinois 22

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Thursday, October 6, 2005

   No Carolina State(+5½) at Georgia Tech

   Power Rating Projection:

   Georgia Tech 27 No Carolina State 20

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Georgia Tech 24 No Carolina State 17

   Historical trend: Take Georgia Tech ( Domination by Georgia Tech, 6-2, 75.0% )

   Florida Atlantic(+6) at UL-Lafayette

   Power Rating Projection:

   UL-Lafayette 28 Florida Atlantic 22

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   UL-Lafayette 27 Florida Atlantic 20

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Friday, October 7, 2005

   Syracuse(+4½) at Connecticut

   Power Rating Projection:

   Connecticut 32 Syracuse 17

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Connecticut 30 Syracuse 16

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Saturday, October 8, 2005

   Illinois(+4½) at Indiana

   Power Rating Projection:

   Indiana 29 Illinois 19

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Indiana 26 Illinois 16

   Historical trend: Take Indiana ( Domination by home team, 6-2, 75.0% )

   West Virginia(-3) at Rutgers

   Power Rating Projection:

   West Virginia 25 Rutgers 20

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   West Virginia 20 Rutgers 15

   Historical trend: Take Rutgers ( Domination by home team, 6-2, 75.0% )

   Wisconsin(-7) at Northwestern

   Power Rating Projection:

   Wisconsin 30 Northwestern 21

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Wisconsin 29 Northwestern 20

   Virginia(+6½) at Boston College

   Power Rating Projection:

   Boston College 28 Virginia 26

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Boston College 28 Virginia 27

   Wake Forest(+20) at Florida State

   Power Rating Projection:

   Florida State 37 Wake Forest 13

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Florida State 35 Wake Forest 10

   Duke(+35) at Miami-Florida

   Power Rating Projection:

   Miami-Florida 36 Duke 3

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Miami-Florida 34 Duke 0

   Cincinnati(+13) at Pittsburgh

   Power Rating Projection:

   Pittsburgh 28 Cincinnati 20

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Pittsburgh 24 Cincinnati 17

   Missouri(-5½) at Oklahoma State

   Power Rating Projection:

   Oklahoma State 22 Missouri 21

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Oklahoma State 17 Missouri 16

   Kansas(+7) at Kansas State

   Power Rating Projection:

   Kansas State 24 Kansas 23

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Kansas State 21 Kansas 20

   Historical trend: Take Kansas State ( Domination at home by Kansas State, 4-0, 100.0% )

   Historical trend: Take Kansas State ( Domination by Kansas State, 7-1, 87.5% )

   Historical trend: Take Kansas State ( Domination by favorite, 7-1, 87.5% )

   Historical trend: Take Kansas State ( Domination by favorite at Kansas State, 4-0, 100.0% )

   Kentucky(+12½) at South Carolina

   Power Rating Projection:

   South Carolina 29 Kentucky 20

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   South Carolina 30 Kentucky 20

   Louisiana State(-14) at Vanderbilt

   Power Rating Projection:

   Louisiana State 32 Vanderbilt 18

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Louisiana State 30 Vanderbilt 17

   Central Michigan(Pk) at Army

   Power Rating Projection:

   Army 27 Central Michigan 24

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Army 26 Central Michigan 22

   Oklahoma(+13½) vs. Texas

   Power Rating Projection:

   Texas 32 Oklahoma 23

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Texas 33 Oklahoma 24

   Maryland(-27) at Temple

   Power Rating Projection:

   Maryland 33 Temple 13

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Maryland 29 Temple 9

   Minnesota(+7½) at Michigan

   Power Rating Projection:

   Michigan 30 Minnesota 21

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Michigan 29 Minnesota 19

   Akron(-13) at Buffalo

   Power Rating Projection:

   Akron 23 Buffalo 21

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Akron 18 Buffalo 16

   Air Force(+1½) at Navy

   Power Rating Projection:

   Navy 29 Air Force 28

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Navy 32 Air Force 31

   Baylor(+10) at Iowa State

   Power Rating Projection:

   Iowa State 29 Baylor 17

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Iowa State 24 Baylor 13

   Texas Christian(+5) at Wyoming

   Power Rating Projection:

   Wyoming 31 Texas Christian 21

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Wyoming 31 Texas Christian 21

   San Diego State(-9) at Nevada-Las Vegas

   Power Rating Projection:

   San Diego State 30 Nevada-Las Vegas 25

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   San Diego State 31 Nevada-Las Vegas 27

   Arizona(+36) at Southern Cal

   Power Rating Projection:

   Southern Cal 50 Arizona 11

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Southern Cal 55 Arizona 16

   Georgia(+3½) at Tennessee

   Power Rating Projection:

   Georgia 26 Tennessee 17

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Georgia 21 Tennessee 13

   Ohio(+22½) at Bowling Green

   Power Rating Projection:

   Bowling Green 41 Ohio 16

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Bowling Green 44 Ohio 19

   Historical trend: Take Bowling Green ( Domination by Bowling Green, 6-0, 100.0% )

   Texas A+M(+3) at Colorado

   Power Rating Projection:

   Colorado 26 Texas A+M 25

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Texas A+M 24 Colorado 23

   Idaho(+10) at Nevada-Reno

   Power Rating Projection:

   Nevada-Reno 35 Idaho 27

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Nevada-Reno 40 Idaho 32

   Iowa(+4) at Purdue

   Power Rating Projection:

   Purdue 30 Iowa 23

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Purdue 30 Iowa 24

   Memphis(-4) at U-C-F

   Power Rating Projection:

   Memphis 33 U-C-F 21

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Memphis 33 U-C-F 21

   Rice(+6) at East Carolina

   Power Rating Projection:

   East Carolina 37 Rice 26

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   East Carolina 43 Rice 32

   Stanford(+12½) at Washington State

   Power Rating Projection:

   Washington State 32 Stanford 24

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Washington State 35 Stanford 26

   Texas Tech(-3½) at Nebraska

   Power Rating Projection:

   Texas Tech 30 Nebraska 18

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Texas Tech 33 Nebraska 10

   Texas Tech (1 star)

   Angle: Fourth Straight Home Game

   Go against Nebraska ( Won previous three games, Favored in 1st three games, 5-15, 25.0% )

   Marshall(+35) at Virginia Tech

   Power Rating Projection:

   Virginia Tech 42 Marshall 7

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Virginia Tech 39 Marshall 3

   S-M-U(+21) at U-A-B

   Power Rating Projection:

   U-A-B 37 S-M-U 15

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   U-A-B 37 S-M-U 16

   Utah(+4) at Colorado State

   Power Rating Projection:

   Utah 28 Colorado State 23

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Utah 26 Colorado State 21

   Hawaii(+4½) at Louisiana Tech

   Power Rating Projection:

   Louisiana Tech 29 Hawaii 25

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Louisiana Tech 29 Hawaii 26

   Ball State(+10) at Western Michigan

   Power Rating Projection:

   Western Michigan 46 Ball State 27

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Western Michigan 51 Ball State 32

   Eastern Michigan(+20½) at Toledo

   Power Rating Projection:

   Toledo 45 Eastern Michigan 17

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Toledo 51 Eastern Michigan 23

   Mississippi State(+27½) at Florida

   Power Rating Projection:

   Florida 33 Mississippi State 9

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Florida 27 Mississippi State 3

   Houston(-1½) at Tulane

   Power Rating Projection:

   Tulane 32 Houston 28

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Tulane 37 Houston 33

   North Carolina(+12) at Louisville

   Power Rating Projection:

   Louisville 42 North Carolina 23

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Louisville 49 North Carolina 30

   Ohio State(-3) at Penn State

   Power Rating Projection:

   Penn State 27 Ohio State 22

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Penn State 24 Ohio State 19

   Historical trend: Take Penn State ( Domination by home team, 7-1, 87.5% )

   Brigham Young(+7½) at New Mexico

   Power Rating Projection:

   New Mexico 26 Brigham Young 24

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   New Mexico 24 Brigham Young 23

   Tulsa(+12) at Southern Miss

   Power Rating Projection:

   Southern Miss 38 Tulsa 25

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Southern Miss 44 Tulsa 31

   San Jose State(+6½) at Utah State

   Power Rating Projection:

   Utah State 31 San Jose State 19

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Utah State 28 San Jose State 17

   Fresno State(-26) at New Mexico State

   Power Rating Projection:

   Fresno State 45 New Mexico State 22

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Fresno State 58 New Mexico State 23

   Fresno State (1 star)

   Oregon(+8½) at Arizona State

   Power Rating Projection:

   Arizona State 41 Oregon 29

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Arizona State 48 Oregon 35

   California(+2½) at U.C.L.A.

   Power Rating Projection:

   California 29 U.C.L.A. 24

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   California 35 U.C.L.A. 17

   California (1 star)

   Angle: Fourth Straight Home Game

   Go against U.C.L.A. ( Won previous three games, Favored in 1st three games, 5-15, 25.0% )

   UL-Monroe(+23) at Arkansas

   Power Rating Projection:

   Arkansas 34 UL-Monroe 17

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Arkansas 33 UL-Monroe 16

   The Citadel at Mississippi

   Power Rating Projection:

   Mississippi 43 The Citadel 8

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Mississippi 42 The Citadel 7

   Portland State at Boise State

   Power Rating Projection:

   Boise State 54 Portland State 5

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Boise State 59 Portland State 10

   

   posted by phantom

   Oct. 6 2005 2:31pm
3. 0 likes

   SUNSHINE FORECAST

   NFL Computer Predictions

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Sunday, October 9, 2005

   Chicago Bears (+3) at Cleveland Browns

   Power Rating Projection:

   Cleveland Browns 19 Chicago Bears 15

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Cleveland Browns 12 Chicago Bears 8

   Angle: After Bye Week

   Go against Cleveland Browns ( Favored, Previous game was on the road, 24-44-3, 35.3% )

   New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers

   Power Rating Projection:

   Green Bay Packers 23 New Orleans Saints 21

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Green Bay Packers 27 New Orleans Saints 24

   Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Jets

   Power Rating Projection:

   New York Jets 20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   New York Jets 17 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16

   Seattle Seahawks (+3) at St Louis Rams

   Power Rating Projection:

   St Louis Rams 25 Seattle Seahawks 21

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   St Louis Rams 29 Seattle Seahawks 26

   New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons

   Power Rating Projection:

   Atlanta Falcons 24 New England Patriots 23

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   New England Patriots 29 Atlanta Falcons 28

   Miami Dolphins (+2½) at Buffalo Bills

   Power Rating Projection:

   Buffalo Bills 24 Miami Dolphins 17

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Buffalo Bills 24 Miami Dolphins 17

   Baltimore Ravens (+2) at Detroit Lions

   Power Rating Projection:

   Baltimore Ravens 17 Detroit Lions 15

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Baltimore Ravens 10 Detroit Lions 9

   Tennessee Titans (+1½) at Houston Texans

   Power Rating Projection:

   Houston Texans 23 Tennessee Titans 20

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Houston Texans 25 Tennessee Titans 21

   Indianapolis Colts at San Francisco 49ers

   Power Rating Projection:

   Indianapolis Colts 31 San Francisco 49ers 17

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Indianapolis Colts 38 San Francisco 49ers 24

   Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals

   Power Rating Projection:

   Carolina Panthers 24 Arizona Cardinals 18

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Carolina Panthers 24 Arizona Cardinals 19

   Philadelphia Eagles (-3½) at Dallas Cowboys

   Power Rating Projection:

   Philadelphia Eagles 26 Dallas Cowboys 18

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Philadelphia Eagles 28 Dallas Cowboys 21

   Historical trend: Take Philadelphia Eagles ( Domination by Philadelphia Eagles, 11-4-1, 73.3% )

   Washington Redskins (+7) at Denver Broncos

   Power Rating Projection:

   Denver Broncos 24 Washington Redskins 16

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Denver Broncos 20 Washington Redskins 13

   Cincinnati Bengals (+3) at Jacksonville Jaguars

   Power Rating Projection:

   Cincinnati Bengals 22 Jacksonville Jaguars 17

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   Cincinnati Bengals 19 Jacksonville Jaguars 14

   Historical trend: Take Jacksonville Jaguars ( Domination by Jacksonville Jaguars, 8-2-1, 80.0% )

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Monday, October 10, 2005

   Pittsburgh Steelers (+3) at San Diego Chargers

   Power Rating Projection:

   San Diego Chargers 25 Pittsburgh Steelers 22

   Statistical Projections

   Too early for statistical projections

   SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

   San Diego Chargers 31 Pittsburgh Steelers 27

   

   posted by phantom

   Oct. 6 2005 2:33pm
4. 0 likes

   Mejia CFB

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Last week: 40-15 |Season to date: 227-60 (79.1%) straight up 2004 season record: 469-156 (75.0 %)

   Projected Scores

   Week 6

   North Texas 24 Troy 16

   Northern Illinois 23 Miami (Ohio) 17

   Georgia Tech 27 North Carolina State 16

   Connecticut 27 Syracuse 12

   Maryland 31 Temple 3

   Army 26 Central Michigan 20

   Michigan 37 Minnesota 24

   Texas 23 Oklahoma 17

   Navy 31 Air Force 24

   Akron 30 Buffalo 13

   LSU 27 Vanderbilt 3

   San Diego State 34 UNLV 28

   Utah 27 Colorado State 24

   Southern California 46 Arizona 10

   Nevada 34 Idaho 24

   Purdue 27 Iowa 20

   East Carolina 34 Rice 13

   Bowling Green 47 Ohio 24

   Memphis 27 Central Florida 20

   Western Michigan 41 Ball State 10

   Toledo 45 Eastern Michigan 24

   Arkansas 48 Louisiana-Monroe 14

   Louisiana Tech 31 Hawaii 30

   Houston 38 Tulane 19

   UAB 38 Southern Methodist 16

   Ohio State 31 Penn State 20

   Fresno State 34 New Mexico State 21

   Utah State 26 San Jose State 20

   Southern Mississippi 23 Tulsa 13

   La.-Lafayette 23 Florida Atlantic 20

   Boise State 45 Portland State 16

   Arizona State 52 Oregon 28

   Louisville 45 North Carolina 19

   Virginia Tech 36 Marshall 6

   Miami (Fla.) 47 Duke 0

   Florida 43 Mississippi State 9

   Iowa State 26 Baylor 10

   Oklahoma State 34 Missouri 31

   Texas Tech 34 Nebraska 31

   New Mexico 27 Brigham Young 24

   Boston College 17 Virginia 13

   UCLA 38 California 27

   Northwestern 38 Wisconsin 34

   Pittsburgh 34 Cincinnati 17

   Washington State 34 Stanford 24

   West Virginia 24 Rutgers 10

   South Carolina 44 Kentucky 24

   Colorado 19 Texas A&M 13

   Tennessee 27 Georgia 16

   Florida State 33 Wake Forest 13

   Indiana 34 Illinois 23

   Kansas State 28 Kansas 24

   Wyoming 31 TCU 23

   Mississippi 33 The Citadel 7

   

   posted by phantom

   Oct. 6 2005 2:34pm
5. 0 likes

   2-Minute Handicapper

   By Marc Lawrence

   10/04/05

   A quick read into the handicap on this week's card. Compliments Marc Lawrence's PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter.

   COLLEGE FOOTBALL

   Tuesday, October 4

   Troy 5-3 dogs w/rev… 0-6 away vs opp off DD SU loss… 1-5 away vs .500 < opp… 1-5 L6 away vs Sun Belt… 3-6 L9 away

   N TEXAS 26-0 SU win streak vs Sun Belt… 14-1 L15 home vs con opp… 6-2 home off BB SU losses… 3-28 when score < 21… 2-6 home bef BB RG’s… outscored 108-9 last 2 gms

   Wednesday, October 5

   Miami Ohio 6-1 after Cincinnati… 5-1 RD’s off SU win… 14-6 L20 vs con opp… 11-5 away off BB SU wins

   N ILLINOIS 4-1 1st BB HG’s… 9-4 home & 9-3 favs off SU loss… 17-10 home & 22-12 favs vs con opp

   Thursday, October 6

   NC State SERIES: 2-10-1 L13 / 1-6-1 L8 A… 11-0 L11 as RD’s… 7-0 dogs vs opp off SU loss… 5-1 away w/ rev

   GA TECH SERIES: Fav is 4-0 L4… 16-10 fav off DD SU loss… 3-16-1 HF’s < 12 off SU & ATS loss… 8-15-1 L24 home

   Friday, October 7

   Syracuse 3-37 when lose SU vs opp w/ rev (2-17 vs con)… 1-7 L8 away vs opp w/ rev… 3-17 L20 con RD’s… 5-24-1 RD’s < 18 vs .600 > opp

   U CONN 12-5-2 L19 as favs… 0-7-1 w/ rev… 1-7-1 aft score 35 > … 2-9-3 when allow 24 > … 1-4-1 home vs Big East

   Saturday, October 8

   Illinois Zook 7-2 L9 as RD… 23-3 as dogs when score 28 > … 0-6 vs opp w/ rev… 2-14 aft allow 35 > … 2-8 Game Six… 3-9 L12 away

   INDIANA SERIES: 1-3 L4 / 3-1 L4 H… 5-33-1 when lose SU… 7-17-1 L25 vs con opp… 17-31 home off SU loss

   W Virginia SERIES: 1-3 L4 A… 10-1 w/ Rodriguez when win SU away… 15-6 L21 vs con opp… 6-3 L9 as RF’s… 15-10 away off SU loss

   RUTGERS 4-1 2nd BB HG’s… 8-3-1 L12 home… 13-5-1 L19 as dogs… 0-5 w/ rev off SU & ATS win vs opp off DD SU loss

   Wisconsin SERIES: 1-7 L8 / 1-7 L8 A… 10-1 L11 when win SU away… 11-7 L18 vs con opp… 8-40 if allow 24 >

   N’WESTERN 7-1 w/ rest… 6-1 home w/ rev… 6-2 L8 after allow 30 > … 12-7 L19 as dogs… 2-6 2nd BB HG’s

   Virginia 1-6 2nd BB RG’s… 1-4 L5 as dogs… 2-5 L7 when score 21 < … 8-14 L22 away

   BOST COLL 8-2 2nd BB HG’s… 11-3 vs .700 > opp… 17-10 favs off BB SU wins… 5-8 L13 home

   Wake Forest SERIES: 5-2 L7… 18-10-2 L30 as dogs… Deacons on current 1-8 ATS run

   FLORIDA ST 7-3-1 2nd BB HG’s… 1-5 L6 as DD favs… 1-7 off BB SU wins vs < .500 opp… 1-6 bef Virginia

   Duke 8-1 Game Six… 8-3 dogs 20 > … 13-5 L18 RD’s… 13-6 L19 away… 33-18 dogs off BB SU & ATS losses

   MIAMI FLA 0-3 Game Five… 1-9 home after allow 10 < … 7-14 L21 home… 1st meeting as ACC opponents

   Cincinnati 6-1 away vs Big East… 0-7 w/ Dantonio when lose SU… 0-4 away vs < .500 opp… 0-4 aft allow 35 > vs < .500 opp… 3-6 L9 away

   PITTSBURGH 11-3 aft Rutgers… 0-6 HF’s vs opp off SU loss… 1-10 off weekday game

   Missouri SERIES: 4-1 L5 / 3-0 L3 A… 4-0 RD’s vs .650 > opp… 6-2 L8 as dogs… 1-7 off BB HG’s… 2-8 w/ rev aft allow 35 >

   OKLA STATE 14-7 L21 as favs… 13-7 L20 home… 22-14 home vs opp off SU loss… 2-30 when lose SU vs opp w/ rev

   Kansas SERIES: 1-10 L11 / 0-5 L5 A… 13-20 away & 11-20 dogs vs opp off SU loss…

   KANSAS ST 4-1 L5 w/ rev… 28-5 when win SU off SU loss (21-2 vs .400 > opp)… 20-12 home vs opp off SU loss… 35-20 home vs con opp… loss LY snapped 11 games series win streak

   Kentucky 7-0 as dogs > 5 w/ rev vs opp off SU loss… 7-1 2nd RG of season… 10-2 RD’s w/ rest… 4-1 DD dogs vs < .500 opp

   S CAROLINA SERIES: Host is 2-5… 8-3 L11 when score 30 > … 3-9 L12 HF’s… 9-17 L26 vs con opp

   Lsu 40-5-1 when win SU away vs con opp… 7-1 RF’s vs .750 opp… 10-3 L13 away… 12-6 L18 vs con opp… 24-15 away vs opp off SU win… 1-8 aft Mississippi St

   VANDERBILT SERIES: 4-1 L5… 12-6 L18 vs con opp… Vandy playing 4th of 5 straight HG’s

   C Michigan 3-1 Game Six… 3-12 L15 away & 4-14 as dogs vs non con… 5-10 L15 away

   ARMY 2-5 bef BB RG’s… 4-11 L15 home… Black Knights currently on 3-37 SU losing streak (0-9 MRT)

   Oklahoma 8-4 as dogs vs opp w/ rev… Sooners on 5-12 ATS run… Stoops 6-2 SUATS as con dog

   Texas SERIES: 0-5 SU & ATS L5… 7-4 away w/ rev… 2-8 as favs 10 <

   Maryland Friedgen 26-4 when win SU and hold opp to 20 < … 4-1 aft Virginia… 24-17 as favs vs opp w/ rev… 1-6 L7 as favs vs non con… 3-7 L10 as favs

   TEMPLE 5-0 home w/ rev off DD SU loss… 8-1 as dogs 8 > off SU loss of 14 > … 9-2 off DD SU loss… Owls on 3-25 SU run… 2-5 vs ACC

   Minnesota SERIES: 1-3 L4… 10-2 off 1st loss of season… 1-4 2nd BB RG’s… 3-10 L13 reg season if score < 30… 13-21 away w/ rev

   MICHIGAN 4-0 L4 aft Michigan St… 4-10 L14 as favs… 3-6 L9 home

   Akron SERIES: 4-1 L5… Brookhart 7-0 vs < .500 opp… 11-6 away vs opp w/ rev

   BUFFALO 0-6 vs .600 > opp… 4-13 L17 when score < 20… 10-16 L26 as dogs… Bulls averaging 6.0 ppg on offense

   Air Force SERIES: 1-5 L6 / 0-3 L3 A… 15-9 L24 away vs non con… 2-9 aft Colorado State

   NAVY SERIES: Fav is 1-5… 30-3 when win SU as favs… Middies on 17-6-1 ATS run… 1-5 1st BB HG’s… 17-32-1 home vs non con

   Baylor Bears on 16-7-1 ATS run… 3-1-1 bef Nebraska… 1-12 RD’s vs opp off SU loss… 29-48 dogs vs con opp… 22-39 dogs w/ rev

   IOWA STATE SERIES: 3-1 L4… 5-1 aft Nebraska… 10-5 as favs vs opp w/ rev… 4-13 L17 vs con opp

   Tcu 1-8 RD’s 12 < vs opp off BB SU wins… 1-3 bef Army… 4-10 L14 when allow 30 > … 5-10 L15 away

   WYOMING Cowboys on 10-0 ATS run… 4-0 aft UNLV… 4-1 2nd BB HG’s… 6-2 L8 vs con opp… 2-8 as favs off DD SU win

   San Diego St SERIES: 3-0 L3… 5-2 vs opp w/ rev… 1-8 Game Six… 4-15 off BB ATS wins

   UNLV SERIES: Fav is 5-1… 1-7 L8 as favs… 8-22 home vs con opp… 8-13 home w/ rev

   Arizona SERIES: 0-3 L3… 7-1 away off SU DD loss vs .600 > opp… 0-4 2nd BB HG’s… 1-7 L8 DD RD’s… 9-61 when allow 30 > … 3-7 L10 away

   USC 8-0 DD HF’s vs opp w/ rev… 8-0 as favs 24 > … 12-2 L14 HF’s… Trojans on current 8-3 ATS run

   Georgia SERIES: 4-1 L5… 5-1 w/ rest… 26-13 away vs opp off SU win… 12-7 away w/ rev… 1-8-1 aft score 20 > …1-5 L6 away

   TENNESSEE 14-3 2nd BB HG’s… 2-15 home vs .600 > opp… 8-41 when score < 20… 8-21 L29 home… 2-9 L11 as favs

   Ohio U SERIES: 0-6 L6 / 0-3 L3 A… 0-4 away w/ rest… 3-10 away w/ rev… 8-19 L27 vs con opp

   BOWL GRN 8-3 L10 as favs… 15-6 home off SU win… 20-9 home vs con opp… 10-6 home vs opp off SU win

   Texas A&M 0-21 away when allow > 28… 2-41 when lose SU away… 2-13 away vs .500 > opp… 2-9 bef Oklahoma St… 3-7 dogs vs opp w/ rev

   COLORADO SERIES: 5-1 L6… 8-2 HF’s 21 < opp BB RG’s… 7-3 home w/ con rev… 5-9 L14 home

   Idaho 3-1 Game Six… 0-6 away off home… 7-12 L19 away vs con opp

   NEVADA 22-2 when win SU… 5-2 L7 home… 3-24 when score 21 < … 1-5 aft San Jose St… 3-5 home vs opp w/ rev

   Iowa 8-2 L10 vs con opp… 5-2 L7 as dogs… 3-39-1 when lose SU off SU & ATS win… 1-7 away aft Illinois… Hawkeyes lost last 2 RG’s by combined score of 9-54

   PURDUE SERIES: 4-1 L5… 36-3 when win SU w/ rev… 11-1 home Game Five… 10-4 L14 home

   Memphis 1-7 bef Houston… 1-7 1st of BB RG’s… 2-6 L8 away… 1-4 L5 RF’s… 6-10 L16 as favs

   C FLORIDA 5-1 Game Five… 2-6 dogs off non con… 5-12 L17 vs con opp… *Knights on current 3-16 SU run

   Rice 4-1-1 Game Five… *7-3 L10 RD’s… *13-6 RD’s off BB SU losses… 1-4 2nd BB RG’s

   E CAROLINA *3-0 ATS w/ new HC Holtz… 5-1 L6 home… 26-5 when win SU… 1-4 L5 as con HF’s

   Stanford SERIES: 11-2 L13 / 5-0 L5 A… *22-9 dogs vs opp off SU loss… *27-12 dogs off SU win… 5-10-1 L16 away

   WASH STATE 0-6 bef UCLA… *1-7 L8 vs con opp… *3-9 L12 home… 5-12 L17 as favs

   Texas Tech SERIES: 4-1 L5… 22-11 favs vs opp off SU win… 35-22 vs con opp… 28-18 favs vs opp w/ rev… 1st road game TY

   NEBRASKA 16-3 when win SU w/ rev (playing with revenge for worst loss in school history)… 2-8 off SU win… 4-8 L12 as dogs… 3-6 dogs off BB SU wins

   Marshall 4-0 dogs 14 > … 1-5 vs opp off BB SU wins… 4-17 when lose SU… 2-6 L8 away… 11-20 away off SU win

   VA TECH Hokies on 8-0 ATS run… 14-1 L15 vs non con… 7-2 aft West Virginia… 25-8 home & 33-13 favs vs non con… 1-5 favs > 24

   Smu 0-6 2nd BB RG’s… 5-54-1 when allow 28 > … 1-5-1 away vs opp off BB SU wins

   UAB 3-0 Game Five… 4-1 L5 home… 13-7 L20 home vs con opp… 1-7 vs con opp off SU loss… 1-5 home aft score 35 >

   Utah 20-3 RD’s … 6-4 dogs vs rev… 21-11 as dogs vs con opp… 2-16 when allow 30 >

   COLO STATE SERIES: 5-2 L7 / 2-1 L3 H… 7-1-1 home w/ rev off SU & ATS win… 14-7 L21 home w/ rev… 1-5 2nd BB HG’s

   Hawaii SERIES: 3-0 L3… 3-9 L12 away… 11-17 away vs opp w/ rev

   LA TECH 5-3 home w/ rev… 0-4 con favs < 6… 2-13-1 off ATS win… 2-20-1 when lose SU

   Ball State 7-0 off SU DD loss vs opp off SU DD win… 8-2 aft score 7 < … 3-11 L14 away… 5-14 away & 7-19 as dogs off BB SU losses… Gonads outscored 157-3 on road TY

   W MICHIGAN SERIES: 1-3 L4… 4-1 home off BB SU wins… 5-2 favs vs opp off DD SU loss… 2-14 w/ rev… 2-13 after score 30 >

   E Michigan SERIES: Visitor is 5-1… 6-1 1st BB RG’s… 5-1 bef N Illinois… Eagles on 8-3 ATS run… 6-3 L9 away… 0-4 as dogs 28 < vs Toledo

   TOLEDO SERIES: 4-1 L5… 5-0 off SU loss vs opp w/ rev… 10-1 favs off DD SU loss… 25-2 when win SU… 0-4 as DD favs off BB ATS losses

   Miss State SERIES: 4-1 L5 / 2-8 L10 A… 15-8 as dogs vs opp w/ rev… 2-10 L12 away… 1-5 aft LSU… 6-14 dogs off BB SU losses

   FLORIDA 23-8 when allow < 20… 6-3 L9 home… 1-4 home off BB RG’s… Alabama/LSU sandwich

   Houston SERIES: 2-5 L7… 3-16-2 away vs opp w/ rev… 1-5 vs con opp w/ rev… 3-13 dogs vs opp w/ rev… 19-30 away & 23-37 dogs vs con opp

   TULANE 13-2 HF’s < 17 … 15-7 favs off SU win… 7-2 L9 as favs

   N Carolina 9-2 L11 non con RD’s… 4-1 away off home vs non con… 8-4 L12 as dogs… playing with 34-0 shutout revenge from LY

   LOUISVILLE SERIES: 3-1 L4… 7-0 L7 home… 12-1 vs ACC… 11-4 L15 as favs… 11-18 home vs opp w/ rev

   Ohio State SERIES: 7-3 L10 / 0-3 L3 away… 0-7 away vs opp off SU & ATS win… 1-11 away off DD SU win… 1-5 away w/ rest… 2-9 L11 RF’s

   PENN STATE 4-2 L6 HD’s… 2-38 when lose SU home… 5-13 SU & 7-11 ATS L18 vs con opp

   Byu 10-0 con dogs < 20 w/ rev… 4-0 2nd BB RG’s… 9-1 con RD’s w/ rev… 1-5 aft San Diego St

   NEW MEXICO SERIES: 3-1 L4… 13-4 L17 when win SU… 15-7 L22 vs con opp… 2-8 L10 when allow > 20

   Tulsa SERIES: 0-4 L4… 4-2 L6 as DD dogs… 5-12 L17 vs non con

   SOU MISS 13-4 L17 as favs… 14-7 home vs opp off SU loss… 26-16 home vs con opp

   San Jose St 8-4 1st BB RG’s… 1-6-1 RD’s 10 < … 3-9-1 L13 RD’s… 7-13-1 L21 as dogs

   UTAH STATE 6-2 Oct HG’s… 1-8 vs .333 < opp… 1-6 L7 vs con opp… 3-7 L10 as favs

   Fresno St 7-1 away off DD SU win… 6-2 L8 as favs… 0-5 as favs 2 > w/ rest… 1-6 w/ rest… 18-31 away vs con opp

   NEW MEX ST 8-0 vs opp off DD SU win… 3-0 Oct HD’s… 8-1 vs .600 > opp… 10-3 aft score 17 < … 9-4 L13 dogs vs con opp

   Oregon SERIES: 2-8 L10 / 0-4 L4 A… 6-2 L8 RD’s… 10-4 L14 away… 4-13 reg season gms if allow 30 >

   ARIZONA ST SERIES: SU winner is 20-3… 7-3 L10 when score 30 > … 7-11 L18 vs con opp… 11-18 as favs off SU loss

   California SERIES: 6-1-1 L8… 8-1-1 favs or dogs < 14 vs UCLA… 8-2 L10 vs con opp… 11-4 as dogs off BB SU wins… 39-21 as dogs vs opp off SU win

   UCLA SERIES: Host is 4-0-1… 9-2 w/ rev off DD SU win… 6-3 L9 vs con opp… Bruins on 11-5 ATS run… 0-14-1 as favs if allow 30 > … 13-20 home w/ rev

   ADDED GAMES

   UL Monroe 6-1 away vs opp off BB SU losses… 5-2 L7 away vs non con… 9-2 away vs .333 < opp… 2-5 Game Six

   ARKANSAS 6-1 off BB SU losses… 19-11 home vs opp w/ rev… 1-8 DD favs when < .500… 2-10 aft Alabama

   Fla Atlantic Owls on current 4-8 ATS run (0-4 MRT)

   UL LAFAYETTE 0-8 as favs < 5… 0-5 HF’s vs con opp… 1-8 as favs vs opp off SU loss

   NFL Week Four (BYES: Kansas City, Minnesota, NY Giants, Oakland):

   Sun OCT 9th

   Chicago 4-0-1 vs opp w/ rest… 8-1 dogs w/ rest… 0-7 A vs .333 < opp… 0-5 RD’s 4 < pts… 1-4 Oct RG… 1-4 bef Vikings

   CLEVELAND 4-1 H vs NFC… 4-1 favs 4 < pts… OCT: 4-1 H… 3-1 Game Four… OCT: 8-3 vs opp off SU L… 1-5 H vs .333 < opp… 2-5 off SU L but ATS W

   New Orleans 6-1 bef div HG… 5-1 bef Falcons… 4-1 vs opp off Monday… 6-2 A in between HG…1-4 vs NFC North… 2-5-2 Game Five

   GREEN BAY SERIES: 7-2 L9… 10-2 off Monday… 6-2 H vs non-div NFC opp… *1-5 H off BB SU L

   Tampa Bay 5-1 favs vs AFC… 0-8 A in between HG… 0-5 OFF BB SU W… 0-4 A vs AFC… 1-8 A vs opp off BB SU L… 2-6 RF 3 < pts… OCT: 2-5 away

   NY JETS SERIES: 6-1 L7 / 4-0 L4 H… 12-3 bef Bills… 9-2-1 H vs opp off BB SU W… 8-3 vs 1.000 opp… 3-17 H vs non-div bef div RG… 1-4 L5 as HD’s… 2-6 Game Five… 3-7 H bef BB RG

   Seattle 9-1 dogs 6 > w/ rev… 7-2-1 aft Redskins… 6-2 L8 A vs div… 0-4 w/ div rev… OCT: 1-13 A vs div… 1-6 game Five… 2-8 A bef BB HG

   ST LOUIS SERIES: 4-1 L5… OCT: 8-2 L10… 7-2 H bef Monday gm… 5-2 Game Five… 1-4-1 div HF/HD 3 <… 2-6-1 off RG vs Giants

   New England 8-1-1 vs NFC… 6-1 Game Five… 5-1 aft Chargers… 0-8 vs non-con opp off BB SUATS W… 1-9 favs off SU L… OCT: 1-5 favs off ATS L… 1-5 in 1st of BB RG

   ATLANTA SERIES: 6-2 L8… 6-0 as non-con dog off SU DD W… 0-5-2 in 2nd of BB HG… 1-6 H off non-div con gm… 2-9 L11 as HD’s… 1-4 off BB SU W… 1-4 Game Five

   Miami 4-1 w/ rest… 4-1-1 dogs vs opp off BB SU L… 0-6 off SU dog W… 1-6 A w/ div rev… OCT: 1-5 vs con opp… 2-9 A vs div

   BUFFALO 6-0-1 in 1st of BB H div gms… 5-1 vs div off 2 non-div gms… 7-3 bef Jets… 0-5 vs opp w/ rest… 1-4 H vs div opp w/ rev

   Baltimore 8-1 A aft score 14 < pts… 7-1-1 pk/dog in 1st non div RG… OCT: 5-1 L6 RG… 9-2 Game Four… 4-1 A vs NFC… 9-3 vs opp off SU DD L… 7-2 RF/RD 3 < pts… 0-4 L4 as dogs

   DETROIT SERIES: 4-1 L5 / 3-0 L3 A… 6-1 in 1st of BB HG… 1-5 vs .333 < opp… 1-5 L6 vs AFC opp… 2-6 off RG vs Bucs

   Tennessee 5-0 as RF’s vs .333 < opp… 0-5 bef Bengals… 1-6 A in between HG… 1-5 Game Five… 1-4 A w/ div rev… 1-4 A vs .000 opp… 1-4 A off BB SU L

   HOUSTON SERIES: 3-0 L3… 6-0 H vs div… OCT: 4-1 vs div… OCT: 5-2 off non-div gm… 3-1 dogs vs opp off BB SU L

   Indianapolis 7-0 off div RG… 5-0 A vs NFC opp… 75-5-2 when win SU A… 1-5 bef Monday gm… 1-4 vs NFC West

   SAN FRAN 8-1 bef Bye… 6-2 HD’s 4-10 pts… 7-3 aft Cardinals… OCT: 5-2 L7 HG… *OCT: 0-4 dogs off BB SU L… 1-5 H vs AFC Opp

   Carolina 5-0 vs NFC West… 4-0 vs non-div NFC opp… 7-1 in 1st of BB RG… *OCT: 11-2 vs opp off SUATS L… 8-2 A vs opp w/ rev… 1-6 L7 as RF’s… 1-6 favs vs .333 < opp

   ARIZONA SERIES: 3-1 L4… 4-0 aft Niners… 5-1 vs NFC South… 4-1 in 2nd of BB HG… *OCT: 12-4 H w/ rev… *OCT: 11-3 off BB SUATS L… 1-5 bef Bye… *2-5 dogs off SU fav L

   Philadelphia SERIES: 12-4-1 L17 / 7-2 L9 A… 7-0 vs div off BB non-div… 9-2 div RF’s… 8-2 in 2nd of BB RG… 4-1-1 A off SU dog W… *9-3 off SU road L… 6-2 vs div opp w/ rev… 1-4-1 bef Bye Week

   DALLAS 9-1 bef Giants… OCT: 8-1 H w/ rev… 7-1 HD’s 6 < pts… 5-1 off BB RG… 7-2 off SU road L… 8-3 H w/ div rev… 6-2 in 1st off BB home div gms

   Washington SERIES: 6-2 L8 / 4-0 L4 A… 8-0 non-div RD’s off SU W vs opp off SUATS W… 6-1 non-con RD 3 > pts…

   DENVER OCT: 12-3 H vs opp off SUATS W… 6-1 bef Patriots… 4-1 H vs NFC East… OCT: 9-3 off DD ATS L… 0-9 as HF’s off SU dog W… 0-4 L4 H vs NFC

   Cincinnati 5-1 non-div dogs… LEWIS: 5-2 vs opp off SU L… 4-1 Game Five… 4-1 A off BB SU W… 4-1 in 1st of BB RG… OCT: 3-8 off SU W

   JACKSONVILLE 4-0 off SU DD L… 6-2 vs non-div AFC opp… 4-12 off SU fav L… 1-7-1 bef Steelers… OCT: 2-10 vs opp off BB SU W… OCT: 2-9 home

   Mon OCT 10th

   Pittsburgh SERIES: 9-1-1 L11 / 3-0 L3 A… OCT: 16-4 dogs… 8-3-1 Monday dogs 5 < pts… 1-8-1 bef Jaguars… 1-5 Mondays vs opp off SUATS W… 2-5 A bef Bye

   SAN DIEGO 6-1 vs .666 > opp… OCT: 6-2 HF vs opp off SU L… 1-5 bef RG vs Raiders… 1-4 Game Five

   Marc Lawrence INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK

   Nebraska is 24-0 SU at home in conference games when undefeated on the season

   

   posted by phantom

   Oct. 6 2005 5:33pm
6. 0 likes

   REDSHEET

   INDIANA 34 - Illinois 17 - (12:00 EDT) -- Line opened at Indiana minus 4½, and is now minus 6. There is no questioning the obvious improvement of this year's Hoosier edition. The acquisition of head coach Terry Hoeppner from Miami-Ohio has been a decided plus, with Indy off to a 3-1 start. Its only miss came at Wisconsin, where gridiron giants fear to tread. That 17 pt miss was a highly misleading final, as the Hoosiers held the Badgers to just 103 RYs (2.7 ypg), winding up with a scant 8-yd deficit by game's end. QB Powers has tossed for 14 TDs in the early going, & note Indy running for 305 yds in its 22-pt cover over Kentucky in its only other lined game hoster. The Illini have been stung for 294, 376, & 301 RYs in their last 3 tilts, allowing 44 ppg. Indy lost to Illini in final 0:30 year ago. Revenge.

   RATING: INDIANA 89

   BOWLING GREEN 56 - Ohio U 14 - (6:00) -- Line opened at BowlingGreen minus 23, and is now minus 22½. Plain & simple, the potent Falcons are on a mission. They were thoroughly embarrassed in their trip to Boise,suffering 48-20 loss, which was actually worse (trailed 48-6 in the 4th), allowing 34 FDs & 337 RYs. That was their 3rd consecutive RG to start the season, & with a 1-2 record, could have easily pulled a walk-thru the following week. But it wasn't the case, with their brilliant QB Jacobs leading a 70-7 stomping of Temple, a team which had looked decent in its previous 6 quarters. Jacobs now has 14 TD tosses in its 3 games vs foes other than Boise. He threw for 389 yds in LY's 25-pt win at Ohio, & figures to repeat, as the Bobcats sport a 1-8 ATS run away from home. Lay the wood.

   RATING: BOWLING GREEN 89

   TOLEDO 51 - Eastern Michigan 10 - (7:00) -- Line opened at Toledo minus 20½, and is still minus 20½. The scoreboard-busting Rockets are back in action, & are chomping at the bit, as they've lived with their 44-14 setback at Fresno for 11 long days. The Bulldogs, of course, are among the

   true powers, with only a handful of squads in the entire nation notdreading such a venture. But the fact is that Toledo went that one without its splendid leader, QB Bruce Gradkowski, as he stalked the sidelines with the aftereffects of a concussion. He will be ready here, & that spells trouble for the Eagles, who were riddled by him a year ago (22-of-27 for 338

   yds). The Rockets are 11-2 ATS home chalks, & continue rebound.

   RATING: TOLEDO 88

   CENTRAL FLORIDA 27 - Memphis 20 - (6:00) -- Line opened at Memphis minus 4, and is now minus 3. Difficult to find a team which can contain the overland exploits of the Tigers' DeAngelo Williams, who is now averaging 187 RYpg. We are never dismissive of the importance of the running game, & know that his mere presence intimidates many an opponent. But he

   cannot do it by himself, with Memphis down to 3rd string QBing. Thus, the fact that the Tigers have reached the 30-pt mark 10 times since LY, must take a back seat to that predicament. The Knights snapped their 17-game losing streak in their last HG, in a 13 pt cover. The underdog is on a 14-4 ATS run in Memphis games, so call another upset.

   RATING: CENTRAL FLORIDA 88

   VIRGINIA TECH 54 - Marshall 3 - (12:00) -- Line opened at VirginiaTech minus 33, and is now minus 35. Laying a ton of wood here, but when any Beamer squad is smoking, as this Hokie edition surely is, there is simply no other way to go. Not only is this a vintage Tech defense, with rankings of 3rd in total, 1st in scoring, & 2nd in passing "D", but it is also is its usual self in the important turnover column, ranking only behind UAB in the entire nation. And the emergence of Vick at QB (15-of-17 at WestVirginia last week) has erased any earlier apprehension concerning that unit. Tech is on a 9-0 spread run, with the Herd a huge step down from recent editions, with 13 & 8½ pt line losses since its KansasSt debacle.

   RATING: VIRGINIA TECH 88

   Tennessee Titans 30 - HOUSTON TEXANS 24 (1:00) -- Line opened at Houston minus 2, and is now minus 3. No, this isn't a simple case of bucking a team which is unfamiliar with the chalk role, altho that tendency is normally profitable. The fact is that the upstart Texans have been pegged as favorites 5 times previous, with a so-so 2-3 log. So that angle is a wash. The fact Houston is averaging only 8 ppg, with Carr suffering 15 sacks in just 3 games, easily overshines the fav onus. And how about the Titan psyche edge of atonement for a pair of setbacks in this series a year ago, one of which came directly off a Monday Night game at GreenBay. Last week's Titan wipeout at Indianapolis also gives us added value.

   RATING: TENNESSEE 88

   NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): ColoradoSt, Florida, Purdue, Northwestern - NFL: Chicago, Arizona, San Diego

   

   posted by phantom

   Oct. 6 2005 5:35pm
7. 0 likes

   USA Today.com/Eric Smith

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   No. 1 Southern California vs. Arizona, 3:30 p.m.

   After trailing at halftime in their last two games, Pete Carroll will make sure the Trojans start fast this week and are not looking ahead to their trip to Notre Dame. Southern California 49, Arizona 10.

   No. 2 Texas vs. Oklahoma, 1 p.m.

   Five straight wins by the Sooners by a combined margin of 189-54 has the Texas faithful ready to exact some serious revenge. OU, off to its worst start under Bob Stoops, appears vulnerable. Adrian Peterson is hurt. Rhett Bomar is shaky at quarterback. However, Mack Brown is on the Longhorns sideline, meaning the game will not be won easily. Texas 21, Oklahoma 17.

   No. 3 Virginia Tech vs. Marshall, noon

   Marcus Vick wasn't making an obscene gesture at West Virginia fans last week. He was just telling them that the Hokies belonged at No. 1 in the polls. Virginia Tech 40, Marshall 3.

   No. 4 Georgia at No. 7 Tennessee, 3:30 p.m.

   Last year, the Volunteers won the SEC East by going into Athens and upsetting the Bulldogs. Georgia gets to return the favor in Knoxville. Georgia 20, Tennessee 19.

   No. 5 Florida State vs. Wake Forest, noon

   The Demon Deacons have not been pushovers in this series, holding the halftime lead in two of the last three games. Don't be surprised if they again stay close into the third quarter. Florida State 34, Wake Forest 17.

   No. 6 Ohio State at No. 18 Penn State, 7:45 p.m.

   Are the Nittany Lions really back? The win against Minnesota at least puts Joe Paterno's team in the conversation. A win against Ohio State makes them the talk of the Big Ten. Penn State 17, Ohio State 16.

   No. 8 Miami (Fla.) vs. Duke, 3:30 p.m.

   If Blue Devils fans were not already focused on basketball season, watching this game should do the trick. Miami (Fla.) 45, Duke 6.

   No. 9 California at No. 16 UCLA, 7:30 p.m.

   The two other unbeaten teams in the Pac-10 decide who is the top contender to Southern Cal. The Golden Bears should control both lines of scrimmage, which usually decides most games. California 26, UCLA 24.

   No. 11 LSU at Vanderbilt, 7 p.m.

   The Commodores were one of the stories of September. October started with a loss to Middle Tennessee and doesn't get any better with the Tigers and Georgia up next. LSU 30, Vanderbilt 14.

   No. 13 Texas Tech at Nebraska, 4 p.m.

   Bill Callahan continues to keep the Huskers unbeaten with smoke and mirrors. Those drinking the Kool-Aid in Lincoln should note this is the only ranked opponent on Nebraska's schedule. Don't make your reservations to the Rose Bowl just yet. Texas Tech 28, Nebraska 21.

   No. 14 Wisconsin at Northwestern, noon

   With four of their next five games on the road, the unbeaten Badgers will be asked to prove themselves as Big Ten contenders. The Wildcats never go quietly at home. Wisconsin 30, Northwestern 24.

   No. 15 Florida vs. Mississippi State, 12:30 p.m.

   Yes, there is already a firecoachmeyer.com website. Nice to know it only took five games for Florida fans to lose patience. Ron Zook must be smiling in Champaign. Florida 41, Mississippi State 10.

   No. 17 Boston College vs. No. 25 Virginia, 1 p.m.

   Before taking over the Eagles, Tom O'Brien spent 15 years as an assistant under George Welsh in Virginia. You think he is eager to win in his first crack against the Cavaliers? Boston College 27, Virginia 17.

   No. 20 Arizona State vs. Oregon, 10:15 p.m.

   The last two teams to play Southern California had similar results with strong first halves and disappointing efforts in the final 30 minutes. The team that reverses the trend will win. Arizona State 35, Oregon 28.

   No. 22 Louisville vs. North Carolina, 4:30 p.m.

   This looked like a mismatch before the season. But now the Tar Heels have posted two quality wins and the Cardinals suddenly have questions after their loss to South Florida. Louisville 31, North Carolina 24.

   No. 23 Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina State, 7:30 p.m. (Thursday)

   Wolfpack coach Chuck Amato is feeling the heat after a losing record last year and a slow start in 2005. But at least he has his red shoes and white sunglasses to distract his detractors. Georgia Tech 26, North Carolina State 23.

   No. 24 Michigan vs. Minnesota, 1 p.m.

   It didn't take long for the Wolverines to fight their way back into the Top 25. The overtime win at Michigan State could be the catalyst for the start of something big, especially against the Gophers, who were dismantled by Penn State. Michigan 30, Minnesota 21.

   Last week's record: 17-2 (11-7-1)

   This season's record: 81-14 (49-38-2)

   

   posted by phantom

   Oct. 6 2005 7:44pm
8. 0 likes

   Sports Reporter

   CFB

   Super Best Bet

   Tex A&m By 17

   Best Bets

   Virginia By 10

   C Florida By 8

   Nebraska By 9

   Recommended

   Rutgers, Minnesota, ohio St.

   NFL

   Best Bets

   Denver By 18

   Tennessee By 9

   Recommended

   New Orleans By 6

   St. Louis By 11

   

   posted by phantom

   Oct. 7 2005 3:51pm
9. 0 likes

   Alex Smart

   Iowa -4.0

   Sat Oct 8 '05 4:30p

   Joe Tillers Purdue Boilermakers (2-2, 0-1 Big Ten) face Kirk Ferentz and the Iowa Hawkeyes (3-2, 1-1) at home on ESPN TV this week in what promises to be another hard fought Big 10 confrontation . The Boilermakers have people wondering if the team can recover from two straight losses that saw the suspect secondary and defense allow 91 points and 1,193 yards to conference opponents the Gophers and Irish. The prognosticators ,who told all that would listen before the season started, that this Purdue team would contend for national championship, are now no where to be heard. Now that almost everyone has jumped off the bandwagon, I think I will jump on, for at least one game. Bottom line: This is a desperate and talented Purdue team, with a chip on their shoulders in a critical situation on home field. With that said I feel the team will be ready to come up with a top notch performance on both sides of the ball against a mediocre Iowa team. Final notes: The Boilers are 33-4 SU at home against unranked teams under coach Joe Tiller. No Bolier Tiller coached team has ever been 2-3 .I am betting that trend continues. Chalk is 11-6 ATS L/17 in this series and the home team owns a 8-3 ATS mark L/11 meetings.

   Play on Purdue

   Baltimore Ravens @ Detroit Lions u33.0

   Sun Oct 9 '05 1:00p

   Both Detroit and Baltimore have top notch defenses and struggling offenses. I expect this trend to continue this week as Motowns man under center Joey Harrington and his talented but underachiev-ing side kicks continue to miss converting key opportunities in the red zone against staunch Raven D that is allowing 17.3 PPG on 260 YPG. The same holds true for the Ravens starting QB Anthony Wright and his star RB Jamal Lewis who are getting little protection from a under achieving offensive line and scoring a league low 10 PPG. The Total is not as low as you might think and I look for it to go even lower before game time. Final note: Ravens have gone ‘under’ in 10 of their L/11 road games. Lions have gone under in 4 of their L/5 overall. Play on the UNDER

   LT Profits

   Iowa +4.5

   Sat Oct 8 '05 4:30p

   These teams look pretty evenly matched on paper, but it appears to us that Iowa has a huge edge in the morale department!

   Purdue had Big Ten title aspirations entering this season, particularly since the Boilermakers do not face either Ohio State or Michigan this year. However, those dreams went up in smoke two weeks ago with a loss at Minnesota, and this looked like a demoralized team last week in an embarrassing 49-28 home loss to Notre Dame. The defense offered very little resistance vs. the Irish, permitting 440 passing yards to Brady Quinn as well as allowing Notre Dame to succeed on 10 out of 16 third down conversion attempts.

   Now do not forget that Iowa began this season ranked in the Top 10 in the country. However, they quickly lost two games early on to a couple of quality opponents (Ohio State, Iowa State) to fall out of the national picture. Still, unlike Purdue, the Hawkeyes have kept on battling as demonstrated by their 35-7 rout of Illinois last week. Drew Tate is completing 68 percent of his passes this season while averaging a good 7.28 yards per attempt, and he should have a field day vs. this Purdue pass defense that made Brady Quinn look like Peyton Manning last week.

   Mike Rose

   Oklahoma +14.0

   Sat Oct 8 '05 1:00p

   Could this finally be the year HC Mack Brown and the Texas Longhorns get over the hump vs. the Oklahoma Sooners? It’s quite possible, but history tells us that Oklahoma won’t go down without a fight.

   UT has steamrolled through three of their four opponents, and pulled off a huge win in Columbus that has many predicting a blowout victory in the Red River Shoot-out. Oklahoma stumbled out of the gates losing to TCU and UCLA, while struggling to put away a mediocre Tulsa team. They are coming off their most impressive effort of the season, but may have suffered an ultimate blow while doing so. RB Adrian Peterson hurt his ankle in the second quarter vs. K-State and sat the second half out. His status for this game is yet to be determined.

   Nonetheless, I look for the Sooners to keep this one closer than the point-spread suggests. The Sooners hold an enormous mental edge over the Horns since they’ve taken five straight in the series. I look for their defense to really give the Horns offense problems. They’re great at containing the run (65 YPG), but woeful against the pass. QB young throws one of the ugliest balls in the country, so I don’t look for their passing game to be that much of a factor. They will have to contain the Horns on the ground though, but you can expect the Sooners to be up for the challenge.

   Tennessee -3.0

   Sat Oct 8 '05 3:30p

   The Vols and Dawgs meet this afternoon for a fantastic afternoon SEC clash. Tennessee clipped the hedges a year ago as 12-point road dawgs and halted the Dawgs 17-game home winning streak. No doubt Georgia will look to return the favor, but the Vols will come out determined in this one and hold serve.

   Georgia hasn’t been tested whatsoever this season. They opened up the season by throttling Boise State, and followed that up with three non-cover performances vs. S. Carolina, UL-Monroe, and Mississippi St. Tennessee has already gone up against the likes of a decent UAB squad, Florida, and LSU. The Vols already have a divisional loss, and must win this game in order to help their cause down the road for a bid to the Sec Championship.

   UGA QB DJ Shockley will be asked to win this game with his arm, and I’m not sold that he can do it with his performances this year. The Vols will shut down the Dawgs ground attack, and blitz like madmen on passing downs. Shockley’s yet to face a ferocious a “Dâ€Â

   

   posted by phantom

   Oct. 7 2005 3:52pm
10. 0 likes

    Gerry Dulac's NFL Forecast

    Week 5

    Steelers at Chargers

    When: 9 p.m. Monday at Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, Calif.

    Records: Steelers (2-1); Chargers (2-2).

    The skinny: Since losing to San Diego in the 1994 AFC Championship game - one of the most debilitating defeats in franchise history - the Steelers have beaten the Chargers four consecutive times. However, only one of those was in San Diego, and that was the meaningless 2000 season finale. The Chargers and Steelers share something in common, aside from a Western Pennsylvania-area head coach: They each ended a significant New England streak. The Chargers did it last week, beating the Patriots, 41-17, to end their 21-game home unbeaten streak.

    Prediction: Steelers, 24-21

    Bears at Browns

    When: 1 p.m. Sunday at Cleveland, Ohio.

    Records: Bears (1-2); Browns (1-2).

    The skinny: Believe it or not, despite coming off a 24-7 loss to the Bengals, despite a bye weekend, Chicago remains in first place in the division - testament to the anemic state of the NFC North rather than the relative quality of the Bears. However, despite their record, the Bears have played good defense, ranking second in the NFC in overall defense (267.0) and pass defense (175). They will need a little of that against Trent Dilfer, who has never lost a home start against the Bears (4-0), throwing five touchdowns with no interceptions in those games.

    Prediction: Browns, 14-13

    Ravens at Lions

    When: 1 p.m. Sunday at Detroit, Mich.

    Records: Ravens (1-2); Lions (1-2).

    The skinny: After an 0-2 start, Baltimore has decided to shrink its season to 14 games, which means the Ravens consider themselves 1-0 after their 13-3 victory against the Jets. In the What-Else-Is-New Department: The Ravens have many problems on offense, starting with running back Jamal Lewis, who has rushed for only 138 yards in three games and is averaging 2.5 yards per carry. Detroit, meantime, has a problem at quarterback because Joey Harrington can't seem to get the ball to his trio of No. 1 draft picks. If he ever figures it out .

    Prediction: Lions, 14-10

    Patriots at Falcons

    When: 1 p.m. Sunday at Atlanta, Ga.

    Records: Patriots (2-2); Falcons (3-1).

    The skinny: Since 2003, New England has compiled an impressive 21-1 record against teams with a winning record, including playoffs, proof the Patriots are rarely unprepared for a big game. The lone defeat came last season in Heinz Field, when the Steelers ended their NFL-record 18-game winning streak. The mark does not include last week's 41-17 defeat to San Diego because the Chargers were 1-2 when the game was played. The Patriots will need some of that history because they play in Atlanta and Denver the next two weeks.

    Prediction: Patriots, 23-16

    Dolphins at Bills

    When: 1 p.m. Sunday at Orchard Park, N.Y.

    Records: Dolphins (2-1); Bills (1-3).

    The skinny: History has shown that the team that wins the first game usually sweeps the AFC East division series. That has been the case the past six years, with Miami and Buffalo each doing in three times. But it is the Bills, who have lost three in a row, who are desperately hoping for a repeat of last season when they swept the Dolphins. They are certainly following a similar pattern to last season, when they started 0-4 and had to win eight of their final 10 games to finish 9-7. The Dolphins, coming off a bye week, are accustomed to fast starts. They're trying to be 3-1 for seventh time in the past eight seasons.

    Prediction: Bills, 19-14

    Saints at Packers

    When: 1 p.m. Sunday at Green Bay, Wis.

    Records: Saints (2-2); Packers (0-4).

    The skinny: Only Brett Favre could add to his legend in a defeat. Playing with a half-plate of cheese, Favre almost brought Green Bay back to an improbable victory in Carolina, throwing four touchdowns and rallying his team from a 19-point deficit before falling, 32-29. But, after an 0-4 start, Favre will have to engineer an even greater comeback for the Packers, better than last year. The Pack started 1-3 in 2004 and still made the playoffs. It can be accomplished this year, too, because the NFC North remains the league's answer to urban blight.

    Prediction: Packers, 30-21

    Titans at Texans

    When: 1 p.m. Sunday at Houston, Texas.

    Records: Titans (1-3); Texans (0-3).

    The skinny: Tennessee Coach Jeff Fisher needs one victory to reach career No. 100, but he earned his first win in Houston when his team was known as the Oilers. Fisher might have to wait for the milestone victory. Houston is still searching for its first victory, though the Texans are getting closer, witness their 16-10 loss in Cincinnati last week. Plus, the Texans have had success against the Titans, sweeping the series last season. Maybe this time the Texans will have enough sense to close the roof at Reliant Stadium.

    Prediction: Texans, 16-13

    Buccaneers at Jets

    When: 1 p.m. Sunday at E. Rutherford, N.J.

    Records: Buccaneers (4-0); Jets (1-3).

    The skinny: Tampa Bay hasn't started 5-0 since 1997, which was five years before the Bucs won Super Bowl 37. That was also the last time they played the Jets in East Rutherford, N.J. The Bucs come to town with the NFL's No. 1 overall defense and the top-ranked rush defense, which is not good news for RB Curtis Martin, who has just 226 yards in four games. That is also not good news for quarterback Brooks Bollinger, who might have to throw the ball to have some measure of success against the Bucs. Inevitably, it won't be good news for the Jets.

    Prediction: Buccaneers, 14-10

    Seahawks at Rams

    When: 1 p.m. Sunday at St. Louis, Mo.

    Records: Seahawks (2-2); Rams (2-2).

    The skinny: It was at this point last year, in very similar circumstances, in which Seattle's season turned around. The Seahawks were 3-0 and leading the Rams, 24-7, in the fourth quarter in St. Louis. But the Rams rallied for a 33-27 victory, precipitating a three-game Seattle losing streak and a tumble that ended with a 9-7 record. To add insult, the Rams even beat the Seahawks in a wild-card playoff game to make it a 3-0 sweep in 2004. The psychological scars are still evident, especially after a 20-17 overtime loss in Washington.

    Prediction: Rams, 28-21

    Colts at 49ers

    When: 4:05 p.m. Sunday at San Francisco, Calif.

    Records: Colts (4-0); 49ers (1-3).

    The skinny: What do Marc Bulger, Donovan McNabb, Drew Bledsoe and Josh McNown have in common? They each managed to pierce the San Francisco secondary for at least 342 yards passing. Now the 49ers, who have lost three in a row since a season-opening victory against the Rams, have to stop Peyton Manning. The good news: The only 300-yard passing game by a Manning this season was Eli, who had 352 yards against San Diego. The 49ers will start rookie quarterback Alex Smith, the No. 1 overall pick in the draft. Two words: Look out!

    Prediction: Colts, 30-7

    Panthers at Cardinals

    When: 4:15 p.m. Sunday at Tempe, Ariz.

    Records: Panthers (2-2); Cardinals (1-3).

    The skinny: Arizona needed to go out of the country to post its first victory of the 2005 season. Actually, all the Cards needed to do was face the 49ers secondary, which is awful in any city. Josh McNown, who started for injured Kurt Warner, had a career-best 385 yards passing against the 49ers, though he won't have the same success against Cardinals. The Cards' best weapon: Kicker Neil Rackers, who is 16-for-16 on field goals, the most by a kicker after four games in NFL history. Rackers enjoyed the rarified air in Mexico City, registering seven of his league-high 14 touchbacks against the 49ers.

    Prediction: Panthers, 20-17

    Eagles at Cowboys

    When: 1 p.m. Sunday at Irving, Texas

    Records: Eagles (3-1); Cowboys (2-2).

    The skinny: Nobody likes spending time in Dallas more than Terrell Owens, who has 28 catches, 401 yards and seven touchdowns in four games at Texas Stadium. And nobody likes playing the Cowboys more than Andy Reid, who is 10-2 lifetime against the Cowboys and has outscored them, 345 to 155, in those games. The Eagles are 25-4 in their last 29 NFC East games a and their quarterback, Donovan McNabb, has won 16 of his last 17 starts. But the Cowboys are the last division team to beat the Eagles (Oct. 12, 2003), and could do it again. The Upset Special.

    Prediction: Cowboys, 28-24

    Redskins at Broncos

    When: 4:15 p.m. Sunday at Denver, Colo.

    Records: Redskins (3-0); Broncos (3-1).

    The skinny: Washington is not a very impressive 3-0 team - all three victories are by 3 points or fewer - but the Redskins don't care. They are trying to start 4-0 for the first time since 1991, when they were 11-0 en route to a victory in Super Bowl XXVI. Denver, meantime, has been impressive during its three-game winning streak, beating division rivals San Diego and Kansas City and winning in Jacksonville last week. The Broncos, though, will have to stop their former running back, Clinton Portis, if they want to make it four in a row.

    Prediction: Broncos, 17-13

    Bengals at Jaguars

    When: 8:30 p.m. Sunday at Jacksonville, Fla.

    Records: Bengals (4-0); Jaguars (2-2).

    The skinny: OK, so Cincinnati hasn't started 4-0 since the last time the Bengals made it to the Super Bowl (1988). And the offense, fueled by Carson Palmer (only NFL quarterback to post a 100-plus passer rating in every game this season), ranks No. 1 in yards per game (384.4) and second in points per game (26) in the AFC. But the Bengals have been beating up on teams with a combined 3-11 record. They need to win a road game against a team such as Jacksonville, which ranks third in the NFL in total defense, to validate their status as a legitimate playoff contender.

    Prediction: Jaguars, 17-16

    The Dulac records

    Last week: 12-2 SU(.857)

    Season record: 42-18 (.700

    

    posted by phantom

    Oct. 7 2005 3:52pm
11. 0 likes

    EDGE Volume 6 Issue 9 October 5 - October 11

    Ken A. Kevin O’Neill

    Georgia at Tennessee

    Saturday, October 8

    This is a huge game for both teams in the SEC East. Georgia had a bye week while Tennessee was at home. This series has a lot of rich history. Both the Bulldogs and Volunteers are 1-3 ATS.

    With that mentioned Georgia has been a favorite in each of four games this season. Tennessee should be a small favorite in this game. Georgia is 4-1 ATS against Tennessee since 2000. Georgia is 12-6 ATS on the road since 2001.

    Tennessee is 8-21 ATS at home since 2001. Georgia is 4-1 ATS in its fifth game of the season since 2000. Tennessee is 2-3 ATS in its fifth game of the season since 2000.

    Play on Georgia

    Ken A’s College and NFL Football Five-Star Games combined

    Maryland at Temple

    Saturday, October 8

    Maryland is 6-2 ATS in their last eight away lined games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Maryland is 14-6 ATS their last 20 games when listed as double digit favorites. The Terrapins are 5-2 ATS in that span as double digit road favorites. Temple is 3-8 ATS their last 11 games at home versus ACC opponents. The Owls are 1-5 ATS their last six lined games. The Owls’ opponents have covered the spread by an average of 20.6 points per game in those games. Look for the Terrapins to build off their big win versus Virginia as they hand the Owls another resounding defeat.

    Play on Maryland

    Brian Hansen is smashing the books with his football selections

    this season as he is hitting 67% overall. Brian is 24-10

    (71% winners) with his NFL Selections at Vegas Experts!

    Brian Hansen

    Robert Ross

    West Virginia at Rutgers

    Saturday, October 8

    Rutgers mopped the floor with`Pittsburgh last Friday night and has the confidence to do the same with the Mountaineers. Last year’s game was close with the Scarlet Knights falling by five at home as a 15-point dog so that close outcome will give them confidence that they can win outrighthere. West Virginia failed to cover its last five a year ago and was 2-4 ATS in road/neutral site games. This game will be anything but neutral with Rutgers’ growing in popularity and fan support. Mountaineers off a tough battle with Virginia Tech and have Louisville on deck.

    Play on Rutgers

    Robert Ross has been a professional sports handicapper for two

    decades. Join Robert on a daily basis for guaranteed side and

    totals selections in all major sports and pay only after you win!

    Memphis at Central Florida

    Sunday, October 8

    Memphis managed a good performance against UTEP on Saturday night, getting a 27-20 win in a game that saw them out-gained 505-374. A key play was true freshman QB Billy Barefield’s block on DeAngelo Williams 74-yard TD run. Barefield, elevated from third string due to injuries, is a gutsy kid, but he only averaged 4 yards per pass attempt and passing is not strength. Central Florida is improved and has played a couple of good games. Their bad loss to South Florida was flattered by USF’s subsequent dismantling of Louisville. This is a good spot with an improved team, go with Central Florida.

    Play on Central Florida

    Kevin O’Neill is winning in both college and pro football. It

    doesn’t get any better than Kevin O’Neill’s NFL Triple Play

    package. KO is now 95-52-6 (64.7%) ATS with these 3 game

    Triple Plays since 2002, including 9-3 (75%) this year

    

    posted by phantom

    Oct. 7 2005 3:53pm
12. 0 likes

    EDGE Volume 6 October 5 - October 11

    Tom Scott

    Indianapolis at San Francisco

    Sunday, October 8

    Regardless of whether it’s Tim Rattay or Alex Smith at quarterback, the 49’ers offense cannot be expected to match the high-powered Colts’ attack. While the San Francisco offense managed only 8 first downs and failed to register a point vs. the Cardinals, the Colts got on track by scoring 31 points at Tennessee. The 49’ers defense figures to be an exhausted unit as they were on the field for almost 38 minutes in the high altitude of Mexico City. Peyton Manning must have been drooling when he saw Josh McCown torch the 49’ers suspect secondary for 366 yards gaining an average of 7.5 yards per pass play. Manning and the Colts should be able to score AT LEAST as many as the Cardinals (31) did. The Colts are 9-2 ATS the last 11 times they were coming off a victory vs. an opponent from their own division. Look for them to cover the big number in this blowout victory.

    Play on Indianapolis

    All-Time Documented NFL Champion Ben Burns bloodied the books with Arizona, his Sunday Night Game of the Year. Ben is now a perfect 4-0 his last four “Game of the Yearâ€Â

    

    posted by phantom

    Oct. 7 2005 3:54pm
13. 0 likes

    Rob Veno

    Ohio State at Penn State

    Saturday, October 8

    Now that the Nittany Lions have Ohio State’s full attention, expect nothing less than a shutdown defensive effort out of the Buckeyes. The nation’s #1 ranked rushing defense has allowed just 41 yards per game and overall, Ohio State owns college football’s 4th ranked defensive unit. After already facing Texas QB Vince Young, don’t expect the Buckeyes to be at all awed by Penn State’s Michael Robinson. Ohio State figures to be able to bottle up Robinson and force him into multiple unfavorable passing situations which is an area he does not excel in. Robinson’s lack of passing accuracy still a major concern and while upgrade in the wide receiving corps is evident, they’ll be hard pressed to consistently bail out the offense here.

    Meanwhile, expect the Buckeyes potent tandem of Ted Ginn Jr. and Santonio Holmes to make a couple of scoreboard changing plays to assist their defense in this game. Ohio State is easily the vastly more experienced offensive team and they also possiss the superior defensive personnel, andwith full focus and extra week of preparation time, they should have no problems covering this very small 3pt number.

    Play on Ohio State

    

    posted by phantom

    Oct. 7 2005 3:54pm
14. 0 likes

    Marc Lawrence and his son the Cincinnati Kid from the edge

    Marc Lawrence

    Missouri at Oklahoma State

    Saturday, October 8

    You can’t accuse the Missouri Tigers of rolling over and playing dead for the Texas Longhorns. The Tigers played their hearts out, at least in the first half, and used a year’s worth of emotion in that titanic battle. What do they have left here? Well, for starters, they have a far better quarterback, a much better running game, and for one of the few times in the last four years, no coaching disadvantage. However, although Oklahoma State is struggling under new head coach Mike Gundy, they do have the better defense in this matchup by over 100 yards allowed per game.

    Play on Oklahoma State

    Deal yourself a winning hand with The Cincinnati Kid this weekend for all his major moves on the football card, you’ll be glad you did.

    Cincinnati Kid

    Utah at Colorado State

    Saturday, October 8

    We touched upon Utah’s remarkable record as a road dog last week and we’ll revisit that mark here. Following last week’s loss at North Carolina they are 20-3 ATS as road dogs. They’re also 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a conference pup with ten outright wins in the batch and only

    one of the three losses by more than three points. Of course, that loss was to Colorado State who is improving on a weekly basis. Take it or fake it.

    Play on Utah

    Be sure to join Marc Lawrence this Saturday for his College Football False Favorite Game of the Month. September’s College Football False Favorite Game of the Month was Pittsburgh (+9) over Nebraska, an easy winner, so don’t miss out!

    

    posted by phantom

    Oct. 7 2005 3:55pm
15. 0 likes

    KEVIN O’NEILL’S

    THE MAX

    The Maximum Profit Football Weekly

    • Volume 6 Issue 7 October 6-10, 2005 •

    Thoughts On Stats

    Stats: A couple of people have commented on the stats that we’ve been sending out later in the week. They don’t seem to dovetail with other stats that they see. There’s a good reason. Our stats don’t include games played against 1-AA teams or lower. Stats are only logged for games involving 1-A teams. As impressed as we are with Texas Tech’s beating Sam Houston State and Indiana State by a combined 143-28, it would be silly to count those stats in trying to determine how the Red Raiders match up against real teams. It is a bit of a stretch even including Tech’s win over Florida International, but FIU is actually a 1-A team, playing in the Sun Belt this season. Nice schedule, Texas Tech. Maybe you can play the Washington Generals next year.

    The more games that teams have played against 1-A teams, the more likely statistical analysis will be predictive. Three or four games is a good benchmark for 1-A games. Be aware of that instead of just blindly using the numbers.

    Thanks, Gail: Those stats are provided by Gail Fayad of Friends of Mike Lee Sports. Gail and I exchange some newsletter content, she provides stats, and I offer her a writeup from the Max that appears in the Moneymaker newsletter each week. They have some more detailed stats in their publication and if you’re interested in learning more you can call Gail at 1-949-661-2238.

    Questions: I don’t mind answering serious questions, but a lot of people are calling with questions that are easily and clearly answered in my books, especially the most recent Real World Sports Betting: How Real People Make Real Money in the Global Sports Marketplace. If you need the book call me. If you have the book take the time to read it. If it is worth calling in about it is worth you making the time to actually educate yourself on this activity.

    Heinous: As this goes to print, there is not a team in the NFL yet that is 0-4 and therefore fitting into our “Heinous Teams of the NFLâ€Â

    

    posted by goat-

    Oct. 8 2005 4:47pm