NEWSLETTERS FOR 10/2 WEEKEND
RED SHEET:
89- Fla St, UAB 88- Tex A&M, Iowa, Boise St 87- BC, UCLA, NMex
88- Cin 87- Atl, AZ, Carol
TRENDS:
Illinois SERIES: 3-1 L4 / 5-2 L7 A… Zook 10-2-1 dog > 1 point
IOWA 7-0 off SU loss vs opp w/ rev… 13-1 L14 home gms
Indiana 7-0-1 dogs 5 > 1st con RG… 3-15-1 aft score 30 >
WISCONSIN 4-0 favs 3 > vs .666 > opp… 7-41 when allow 24 >
Colorado SERIES: 1-6 L7 / 1-4 L5 A… 4-0 con RF’s < 10
OKLAHOMA ST 4-0 2nd BB HG’s… 2-29 when lose SU vs opp w/ rev
Clemson SERIES: Visitor is 9-2-1… 24-42 favs vs con opp
WAKE FOREST SERIES: 11-3-1 L15… 1-5 home vs opp off SU fav loss
Iowa State SERIES: 2-6 L8 / 0-6 L6 A… 0-4 away vs opp w/ rev
NEBRASKA SERIES: Host is 11-2… 16-3 when win SU w/ rev
Unlv SERIES: 4-0 L4 A… 5-1 RD’s 8 > vs .500 > opp
WYOMING SERIES: Host is 0-6… 3-0 L3 as favs… 6-2 L8 vs con opp
Texas SERIES: 1-3 L4 / 0-3 L3 A… 4-1 Game Four
MISSOURI SERIES: Host is 5-1… 5-0 vs opp off BB SU & ATS wins
Arizona SERIES: Dog is 13-3… 1-7 DD RD’s… 9-61 if allow 30 >
CALIFORNIA SERIES: 7-2 L9… 18-2 when win SU and score 30 >
Nevada SERIES: 3-0 L3… 21-2 when win SU… 0-6 away vs con
SAN JOSE ST 6-1 home bef BB RG’s… 6-1 w/ rev vs < .500 con opp
South Florida 1-8 when score < 20… 2-10 when allow 21 >
MIAMI FLA 9-3 when score 21 > & allow < 20… 0-5 2nd BB HG’s
San Diego 5-0-2 as RD’s 3 > pts… 5-1 off non-con gm
NEW ENGLAND SERIES: 5-1 L6 / 4-0 H… 12-2 as HF’s 3 > pts 6-1 L7
Denver 6-2 A between HG… 7-3 RD’s 4 <… 3-11 vs opp off BB RG
JACKSONVILLE 5-1 vs AFC West… 11-3 H off BB RG… 8-3 HF’s 3 < Pts
Houston 0-5 vs non-div AFC opp… 0-4 vs undefeated opp
CINCINNATI 5-1 H vs .250 < opp… 21-4 H vs opp off BB SU L
Indianapolis SERIES: 4-0 L4… 9-1 A Game Four… 4-1 RF’s 3 >
TENNESSEE 1-4 vs undefeated opp… 3-10 H vs div 0-5 L5
Philadelphia 4-0 vs opp off Mon… 0-3 bef Cowboys… 3-10 L13 vs AFC
KANSAS CITY OCT: 5-1-1 H… 4-1-1 bef Bye… 4-1 Game Four
Detroit 4-0 A bef BB HG… OCT: 8-2 off SU L… 1-4 aft Bye
TAMPA BAY 1-6 H vs opp w/ rest… 1-5 aft Pack… 1-4-2 Game Four
St Louis SERIES: 0-3 L3… OCT: 8-1 L9… 5-1 Game Four
NY GIANTS SERIES: 3-7-1 L11 H… OCT: 1-10 H vs non-div
Buffalo SERIES: 3-0 A… 4-0 bef Dolphins… 6-1-1- A vs NFC
NEW ORLEANS 0-6 Game Four… 1-6 HF/HD 3 < pts… 3-8-1 H vs AFC
Seattle 0-4 vs opp off Bye… OCT: 1-10 A vs opp off SUATS W
WASHINGTON SERIES: 7-3 L10 3-0 L3… 7-3 off Bye 4-1 off SU W
NY Jets EDWARDS: 6-1-1 vs opp off BB SU L… 0-3 Game Four
BALTIMORE SERIES: 5-0 L5 / 3-1 L4 A… 5-1-1 H vs opp w/ rev
Minnesota SERIES: 5-1 L6 / 4-1 L5 A… 4-0 in 2nd of BB RG
ATLANTA 7-0 H w/ rev… 4-1 in Game Three… 8-2 vs AFC East
Dallas 6-2 aft Niners… 2-13 A vs AFC… 3-11 A bef BB HG
OAKLAND 6-1-1 bef Bye… OCT: 0-11 L11… 2-6 HF/HD 3 < pts
San Francisco SERIES: 7-2 L9 / Visitor 1-6… 8-2 aft Cowboys
ARIZONA 6-1 H vs opp off BB SU L… OCT: 11-3 off BB SUATS L
Monday October 3
Green Bay SERIES: 4-1 L5… 6-0 aft Bucs… 7-1 A Mondays
CAROLINA 1-9 HF 3 > pts… OCT: 3-11-1 H… 3-8 off BB L 0-4 H
ASA FIRST AND GOAL:
3*- AZ+ 2*- Ind+ 1*- Pur, 'Bama+, NMex+
3*- Jax 2*- Hou+ 1*- Wash, Buf/NOrl un 38'
Power Sweep 10/1 College
4* Colorado
3* W Virginia
3* Tex Tech
2* Alabama
2* Ariz State
2* Wisconsin
Underdog Play
Hawaii
Power Sweep 10/2 Pros
4* Kansas City
3* Jacksonville
2* New England
2* Dallas
O/U
3* Cowboys/Raiders O
3* Jets/Ravens U
3* Colts/Titans O
2* Seahawks/Skins U
2* Eagles/Chiefs O
posted by phantom
4 replies
-
0 likes
SUNSHINE FORECAST
NFL Computer Predictions
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, October 2, 2005
San Diego Chargers (+5½) at New England Patriots
Power Rating Projection:
New England Patriots 20 San Diego Chargers 16
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
New England Patriots 13 San Diego Chargers 10
Denver Broncos (+4) at Jacksonville Jaguars
Power Rating Projection:
Jacksonville Jaguars 19 Denver Broncos 18
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Jacksonville Jaguars 13 Denver Broncos 12
Houston Texans (+9½) at Cincinnati Bengals
Power Rating Projection:
Cincinnati Bengals 26 Houston Texans 16
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Cincinnati Bengals 26 Houston Texans 16
Indianapolis Colts (-7) at Tennessee Titans
Power Rating Projection:
Indianapolis Colts 26 Tennessee Titans 17
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Indianapolis Colts 28 Tennessee Titans 20
Philadelphia Eagles (+2½) at Kansas City Chiefs
Power Rating Projection:
Kansas City Chiefs 26 Philadelphia Eagles 20
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Kansas City Chiefs 31 Philadelphia Eagles 26
Detroit Lions (+6½) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Power Rating Projection:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24 Detroit Lions 14
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19 Detroit Lions 8
Historical trend: Take Detroit Lions ( Domination by Detroit Lions, 8-3, 72.7% )
Historical trend: Take Detroit Lions ( Domination by underdog, 9-2, 81.8% )
St Louis Rams (+3) at New York Giants
Power Rating Projection:
New York Giants 27 St Louis Rams 18
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
New York Giants 30 St Louis Rams 21
Buffalo Bills (-1) at New Orleans Saints
Power Rating Projection:
Buffalo Bills 24 New Orleans Saints 18
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Buffalo Bills 24 New Orleans Saints 19
Seattle Seahawks (+2) at Washington Redskins
Power Rating Projection:
Washington Redskins 21 Seattle Seahawks 18
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Washington Redskins 22 Seattle Seahawks 7
Washington Redskins (1 star)
Angle: Home Grass versus Road Turf
Go with Washington Redskins ( Allowed between 11 and 16 points in previous game, 14-5, 73.7% )
Angle: After Bye Week
Go against Washington Redskins ( Favored, Previous game was on the road, 22-44-3, 33.3% )
New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens
Power Rating Projection:
Baltimore Ravens 23 New York Jets 18
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Baltimore Ravens 23 New York Jets 17
Minnesota Vikings (+6) at Atlanta Falcons
Power Rating Projection:
Atlanta Falcons 27 Minnesota Vikings 20
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Atlanta Falcons 35 Minnesota Vikings 21
Atlanta Falcons (1 star)
Dallas Cowboys (+3) at Oakland Raiders
Power Rating Projection:
Oakland Raiders 23 Dallas Cowboys 21
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oakland Raiders 27 Dallas Cowboys 25
San Francisco 49ers (+3) at Arizona Cardinals
Power Rating Projection:
Arizona Cardinals 23 San Francisco 49ers 13
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Arizona Cardinals 17 San Francisco 49ers 7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday, October 3, 2005
Green Bay Packers (+3) at Carolina Panthers
Power Rating Projection:
Carolina Panthers 21 Green Bay Packers 19
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Carolina Panthers 18 Green Bay Packers 17
SUNSHINE FORECAST OFFICIAL PICKS NFL
Official NFL Picks
October 2, 2005
Washington Redskins (-2) 22 vs. Seattle Seahawks 7
Atlanta Falcons (-6) 35 vs. Minnesota Vikings 21
SUNSHINE FORECAST COLLEGE
CFB Computer Predictions
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tuesday, September 27, 2005
Toledo(+9½) at Fresno State
Power Rating Projection:
Fresno State 33 Toledo 27
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Fresno State 38 Toledo 31
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wednesday, September 28, 2005
Cincinnati(+14) at Miami-Ohio
Power Rating Projection:
Miami-Ohio 33 Cincinnati 22
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Miami-Ohio 34 Cincinnati 24
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday, September 29, 2005
Air Force(+4) at Colorado State
Power Rating Projection:
Colorado State 27 Air Force 26
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Colorado State 27 Air Force 26
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Friday, September 30, 2005
Pittsburgh(+1½) at Rutgers
Power Rating Projection:
Rutgers 23 Pittsburgh 22
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Rutgers 18 Pittsburgh 17
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Saturday, October 1, 2005
Illinois(+1 at Iowa
Power Rating Projection:
Iowa 35 Illinois 13
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Iowa 35 Illinois 13
Indiana(+19) at Wisconsin
Power Rating Projection:
Wisconsin 40 Indiana 16
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Wisconsin 42 Indiana 19
Syracuse(+20½) at Florida State
Power Rating Projection:
Florida State 32 Syracuse 14
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Florida State 28 Syracuse 10
Michigan(+4) at Michigan State
Power Rating Projection:
Michigan State 32 Michigan 24
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Michigan State 34 Michigan 27
Colorado(-3) at Oklahoma State
Power Rating Projection:
Oklahoma State 27 Colorado 18
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oklahoma State 22 Colorado 13
Virginia(-3½) at Maryland
Power Rating Projection:
Virginia 27 Maryland 19
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Virginia 24 Maryland 16
Clemson(-6) at Wake Forest
Power Rating Projection:
Clemson 24 Wake Forest 16
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Clemson 17 Wake Forest 10
Virginia Tech(-11) at West Virginia
Power Rating Projection:
Virginia Tech 27 West Virginia 12
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Virginia Tech 21 West Virginia 7
Historical trend: Take West Virginia ( Domination by home team, 6-2, 75.0% )
Mississippi at Tennessee
Power Rating Projection:
Tennessee 25 Mississippi 14
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Tennessee 20 Mississippi 9
Iowa State(+4½) at Nebraska
Power Rating Projection:
Nebraska 21 Iowa State 13
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Nebraska 21 Iowa State 3
Nebraska (1 star)
Angle: Fourth Straight Home Game
Go with Nebraska ( Won previous three games, Underdog, PK or NL in at least one of 1st three games, 14-6-1, 70.0% )
Historical trend: Take Nebraska ( Domination at home by Nebraska, 4-0, 100.0% )
Historical trend: Take Nebraska ( Domination by favorite at Nebraska, 4-0, 100.0% )
Baylor(+24½) at Texas A+M
Power Rating Projection:
Texas A+M 42 Baylor 19
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Texas A+M 47 Baylor 24
Ball State(+36) at Boston College
Power Rating Projection:
Boston College 52 Ball State 15
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Boston College 59 Ball State 21
Navy(-6) at Duke
Power Rating Projection:
Navy 30 Duke 18
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Navy 28 Duke 16
Kent State(+2½) at Eastern Michigan
Power Rating Projection:
Kent State 32 Eastern Michigan 29
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Kent State 37 Eastern Michigan 34
Florida(-4) at Alabama
Power Rating Projection:
Florida 23 Alabama 22
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Florida 19 Alabama 18
Louisiana State at Mississippi State
Power Rating Projection:
Louisiana State 24 Mississippi State 16
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Louisiana State 18 Mississippi State 10
Historical trend: Take Favorite ( Domination by favorite, 6-2, 75.0% )
Historical trend: Take Louisiana State ( Domination by Louisiana State, 8-0, 100.0% )
Historical trend: Take Louisiana State ( Domination on the road by Louisiana State, 4-0, 100.0% )
Nevada-Las Vegas(+16½) at Wyoming
Power Rating Projection:
Wyoming 34 Nevada-Las Vegas 14
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Wyoming 31 Nevada-Las Vegas 10
Historical trend: Take Nevada-Las Vegas ( Domination by visiting team, 6-1, 85.7% )
Connecticut(-9½) at Army
Power Rating Projection:
Connecticut 30 Army 17
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Connecticut 33 Army 7
Connecticut (1 star)
Angle: After Bye Week
Go against Connecticut ( Playing on the Road, Favored by 7½+ Points, 50-90-2, 35.7% )
Minnesota(-3) at Penn State
Power Rating Projection:
Penn State 27 Minnesota 23
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Penn State 27 Minnesota 23
Texas(-14½) at Missouri
Power Rating Projection:
Texas 36 Missouri 24
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Texas 41 Missouri 28
Angle: After Bye Week
Go against Texas ( Playing on the Road, Favored by 7½+ Points, 50-90-2, 35.7% )
Utah(+3½) at North Carolina
Power Rating Projection:
Utah 25 North Carolina 19
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Utah 20 North Carolina 14
Southern Cal(-17) at Arizona State
Power Rating Projection:
Southern Cal 41 Arizona State 26
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Southern Cal 48 Arizona State 33
Washington(+22) at U.C.L.A.
Power Rating Projection:
U.C.L.A. 41 Washington 10
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
U.C.L.A. 40 Washington 10
Historical trend: Take U.C.L.A. ( Domination at home by U.C.L.A., 4-0, 100.0% )
Historical trend: Take U.C.L.A. ( Domination by U.C.L.A., 7-0-1, 100.0% )
Arizona(+15½) at California
Power Rating Projection:
California 38 Arizona 16
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
California 38 Arizona 17
Temple(+29) at Bowling Green
Power Rating Projection:
Bowling Green 49 Temple 20
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Bowling Green 56 Temple 26
Washington State(+2½) at Oregon State
Power Rating Projection:
Oregon State 32 Washington State 31
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Washington State 44 Oregon State 31
Washington State (1 star)
Historical trend: Take Oregon State ( Domination by Oregon State, 5-0, 100.0% )
S-M-U(+11½) at Marshall
Power Rating Projection:
Marshall 38 S-M-U 14
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Marshall 37 S-M-U 13
Utah State(-2½) at Idaho
Power Rating Projection:
Utah State 25 Idaho 23
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Utah State 22 Idaho 20
Oregon at Stanford
Power Rating Projection:
Stanford 29 Oregon 28
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oregon 32 Stanford 31
Southern Miss(-7) at East Carolina
Power Rating Projection:
Southern Miss 30 East Carolina 19
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Southern Miss 27 East Carolina 17
Historical trend: Take Southern Miss ( Domination by Southern Miss, 7-1, 87.5% )
Historical trend: Take Southern Miss ( Domination by favorite, 6-2, 75.0% )
Historical trend: Take Southern Miss ( Domination on the road by Southern Miss, 4-0, 100.0% )
Central Michigan(+11) at Akron
Power Rating Projection:
Akron 39 Central Michigan 23
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Akron 45 Central Michigan 29
Nevada-Reno(-4) at San Jose State
Power Rating Projection:
San Jose State 42 Nevada-Reno 31
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
San Jose State 47 Nevada-Reno 36
Historical trend: Take Nevada-Reno ( Domination by favorite, 5-0, 100.0% )
South Florida(+22) at Miami-Florida
Power Rating Projection:
Miami-Florida 29 South Florida 15
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Miami-Florida 29 South Florida 16
Angle: After Winning as 20-Point Dog
Go against South Florida ( Underdog by 10 or more points, 4-9-1, 30.8% )
Notre Dame(+3½) at Purdue
Power Rating Projection:
Purdue 30 Notre Dame 23
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Purdue 30 Notre Dame 24
Rice(+19½) at U-A-B
Power Rating Projection:
U-A-B 42 Rice 18
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
U-A-B 48 Rice 24
Buffalo at Western Michigan
Power Rating Projection:
Western Michigan 34 Buffalo 23
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Western Michigan 37 Buffalo 26
Houston(+3) at Tulsa
Power Rating Projection:
Tulsa 33 Houston 26
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Tulsa 37 Houston 31
Kansas(+15½) at Texas Tech
Power Rating Projection:
Texas Tech 40 Kansas 16
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Texas Tech 49 Kansas 12
Texas Tech (1 star)
Angle: Fourth Straight Home Game
Go with Texas Tech ( Won previous three games, Underdog, PK or NL in at least one of 1st three games, 14-6-1, 70.0% )
Kansas State(+6½) at Oklahoma
Power Rating Projection:
Oklahoma 28 Kansas State 21
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oklahoma 26 Kansas State 19
New Mexico State(+10½) at Louisiana Tech
Power Rating Projection:
Louisiana Tech 33 New Mexico State 21
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Louisiana Tech 34 New Mexico State 22
New Mexico(+3) at Texas Christian
Power Rating Projection:
New Mexico 26 Texas Christian 25
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
New Mexico 25 Texas Christian 24
South Carolina(+12½) at Auburn
Power Rating Projection:
Auburn 32 South Carolina 10
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Auburn 38 South Carolina 3
Auburn (1 star)
Angle: Fourth Straight Home Game
Go with Auburn ( Won previous three games, Underdog, PK or NL in at least one of 1st three games, 14-6-1, 70.0% )
UTEP(-3) at Memphis
Power Rating Projection:
Memphis 29 UTEP 26
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Memphis 31 UTEP 28
Brigham Young(-2½) at San Diego State
Power Rating Projection:
Brigham Young 30 San Diego State 26
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Brigham Young 30 San Diego State 27
Historical trend: Take Brigham Young ( Domination by Brigham Young, 6-1, 85.7% )
Boise State(-11) at Hawaii
Power Rating Projection:
Boise State 42 Hawaii 37
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Boise State 42 Hawaii 38
Florida Atlantic(+3 at Louisville
Power Rating Projection:
Louisville 46 Florida Atlantic 11
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Louisville 49 Florida Atlantic 13
Arkansas State(-2) at UL-Monroe
Power Rating Projection:
Arkansas State 27 UL-Monroe 22
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Arkansas State 31 UL-Monroe 14
Arkansas State (1 star)
Historical trend: Take Arkansas State ( Domination by visiting team, 4-0, 100.0% )
Historical trend: Take UL-Monroe ( Domination by underdog, 4-0, 100.0% )
Middle Tennessee(+17) at Vanderbilt
Power Rating Projection:
Vanderbilt 32 Middle Tennessee 19
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Vanderbilt 31 Middle Tennessee 17
U-C-F(-3½) at UL-Lafayette
Power Rating Projection:
UL-Lafayette 25 U-C-F 22
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
UL-Lafayette 21 U-C-F 19
Florida A+M at Florida Intl
Power Rating Projection:
Florida Intl 35 Florida A+M 24
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Florida Intl 40 Florida A+M 28
S E Louisiana at Tulane
Power Rating Projection:
Tulane 33 S E Louisiana 0
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Tulane 35 S E Louisiana 0
SUNSHINE OFFICIAL COLLEGE PICKS
Official College Picks
October 1, 2005
Nebraska (-4½) 21 vs. Iowa State 3
Connecticut (-9½) 33 at Army 7
Washington State (+2½) 44 at Oregon State 31
Texas Tech (-15½) 49 vs. Kansas 12
Auburn (-12½) 38 vs. South Carolina 3
Arkansas State (-2) 31 at UL-Monroe 14
posted by phantom
Sept. 28 2005 4:07pm -
0 likes
According to our powerful database it seems Game 4 of
the College Football season is a critical stepping stone for
teams who check in off a win. When they are at home off a
victory, and have the benefit of a week of rest, they are an
especially strong play against the spread.
Since 1980, Game 4 home teams off a win with rest are
50-30 ATS on the blind. No less than EIGHT teams are in
that role this week, namely - Florida State, Louisiana
Lafayette, Missouri, Nebraska, Oklahoma State, Rutgers,
UCLA and UAB. When taking on a conference foe in this
desired spot, they improve to 35-19 ATS (all except Florida
State qualify).
Conference dogs in this role are 15-4 ATS (check Missouri
and Rutgers), while conference revengers are at their best
going 17-2 ATS. Rutgers, Missouri & Nebraska fit that bill.
There you have it. A powder-fresh approach to Game 4
scenarios. Now, raise your hand if you're sure.
INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK
Since 1984 NAVY is 34-0 ATS in games they win
SU away from home.
posted by phantom
Sept. 28 2005 4:09pm -
0 likes
MIAMI OH over Cincinnati by 10
This is one of the oldest rivalries in the nation and one of the
most hotly contested. There is no love lost between these teams
and emotion can often be the deciding factor. It’s a dog series
with the pup cashing five of the last six and Cincinnati is a
sparkling 9-0 ATS as underdogs with rest in its last nine chances.
Miami revenge is there but with this kind of number and those
kind of stats we shade the Bearcats in this war.
Thursday, September 29th
COLORADO ST over Air Force by 4
Air Force covered the number as an underdog again last week,
running the Pilot record to 23-9 ATS in their last 32 conference
games as the short. Colorado State got off to a bad start with
losses at Colorado and Minnesota but the Rams can revive their
season with a win here. Our biggest problem with taking CSU is
its horrendous 0-8-1 ATS mark in league openers.
Friday, September 30th
RUTGERS over Pittsburgh by 3
The SMART BOX tells us to take the Scarlet Knights in this game
and we are. Rutgers has failed to cover only five times in its last
18 times as an underdog and that 15-4 angle does nothing but
feed our confidence. Confidence is the reason Pitt is 0-3 vs lined
teams. Dave Wannstedt has eroded the confidence of Tyler Palko,
who was playing as well as any QB at the end of last season.
Panthers can’t score and unless the foe's uni says YSU, can’t win.
5* BEST BET
TEXAS A&M over Baylor by 35
The Aggies obviously didn’t show up for that game against
Texas State last Thursday but we have a strong idea that
they’ll be ready to play this one. In one of 2004’s most
stunning upsets, the Aggies laid 25 in Waco and lost the
whole game giving Baylor its biggest win in years and its
first win over A&M since 1985. Baylor’s 3-0 record (albeit
against the likes of Army, Samford and SMU) gives us a
playable line and its 37-game conference road losing streak
(14 covers) gives us a play. Confidence comes in knowing
the Aggies are 12-0 ATS in SU revenge wins against a foe
that is off BB wins. Fire up the Poulan. We're stackin' up
the pile for winter.
BOSTON COLLEGE over Ball St by 35
The line is way too rich for us to play Boston College, especially
after the Eagles overtime win at Clemson, their first ACC win.
With undefeated Virginia up next, we can’t see BC being too
interested in this game. It doesn’t matter. Ball State has never
beaten a BCS conference team on the road and, in their last four
tries, were outscored 226-10. Yuk!
Navy over DUKE by 14
This may be Duke’s last chance at a win this season but it’s really
not a very good chance. Navy figures to outrush the Dukies like
everybody else does and the Middies are a money making 25-7
ATS on the road when they gain more ground yards than their
opponent. They're also well rested,having last played a game
back on September 10th.
MARYLAND over Virginia by 1
This is the toughest team Virginia has played this season and the
Cavs haven’t exactly been lighting up the cash register. However,
this will also be the most affordable line – if you don’t mind
taking a team that has won just two of its last seven road games.
Maryland has been a good underdog in conference play (7-0
ATS +7 or less). Look for the series host to improve to 6-1 ATS.
WAKE FOREST over Clemson by 6
Want excitement? Become a Clemson fan. The Tigers got a last
second field goal to beat Texas A&M, two late TD’s to beat
Maryland, lost to Miami in double overtime and lost to Boston
College last week in overtime. The Tigers might be glad to see a
Wake Forest team they have defeated in nine of the last 11
meetings. The problem for the IPTAY bunch is that Clemmie has
only three covers in those 11 games. No thanks. Tigers flatline.
Virginia Tech over W VIRGINIA by 8
West Virginia is an amazing 4-0 on the season and has only this
game and a home game against Louisville standing between
them and a major bowl game – if not an undefeated season.
Unfortunately, the Mounties probably won’t win this. They are
going against a team that is 13-1 ATS in its last 14 games against
non-conference opposition. The Hillbillies fit a handful of
powerful technicals but that Tech defense is too tough to fade.
TENNESSEE over Mississippi by 14
The short week for Tennessee comes at a time when the Orange
is in its worst role. The Vols are a loathesome 2-15 ATS in their
last 17 chances as home favorites against .250 or better
opposition. We would like to know the exact status of the Ole
Miss quarterbacks before we jump but we can assure you that
Tennessee is not on our contender list. Neither is Mississippi.
NEBRASKA over Iowa St by 10
You could have seen that Iowa State stumble at Army coming
from the moon. The Cyclones were still celebrating the Iowa win
as they boarded the plane for West Point. We can guarantee you
that they’re not celebrating any more. Lincoln is an easier place
to play than it once was but it’s anything but easy, especially when
the Cornhuskers have revenge. ISU never wins here (0-6 ATS last
six visits) and is 1-9 ATS in conference openers. Can’t see why the
Cyclones will win today. Be smart and stay inside the box.
E MICHIGAN over Kent St by 3
The Eagles pulled a game out in overtime against rival Central
Michigan last week and definitely have an offensive edge against
these Flashes. Kent gave up a bunch on the road last week to a
team that hadn’t scored a meaningful offensive touchdown all
season. The Eastern defense isn’t good enough for us to back
them as a favorite but we don’t want a reeling Kent team either.
ALABAMA over Florida by 3
Bama was obviously looking ahead last week as it stoically went
through the motions in a 24-13 win over Arkansas. Florida,
meanwhile, was taking target practice against the woeful
Kentucky defense. This game will be different for both clubs.
Tide checks in at 34-14 ATS as a dog against an opponent off a
win. In addition, Bama has held 13 of its last 15 regular season
foes to season-low yards, including all four this year. Defense
wins big games like these and the Elephants hold that trump
card in this matchup.
Lsu over MISSISSIPPI ST by 10
Lsu has beaten Missy State eight times in a row and the Tigers
own a remarkable 39-5-1 ATS mark in their last 45 SEC wins. Both
teams are coming off tough games but Mississippi State will have
a couple of extra days to rest. It shouldn’t matter. The Bulldogs
just don’t have the horses that LSU does. State is a woeful 3-27
ATS in its last 30 home losses.
WYOMING over Unlv by 11
The Cowboys thought they could win the Mountain West and
the way things are shaking out, they can. The win at Air Force, a
conference loss by Utah and three straight home games, including
this one, will leave Wyoming in good shape. The Pokes can’t
afford to slip up here but there’s no guarantee they won’t. The
Rebels were a tiny field goal away from beating New Mexico on
the road and Mike Sanford has injected a toughness that was
missing under John Robinson. Big dog an intriguing idea here.
Connecticut over ARMY by 6
The Cadets proved that they’re not just scrimmage dummies with
their gutty effort against Iowa State. UConn isn’t as good as the
Cyclones, especially defensively, so don’t automatically pencil in
the Huskies on your ticket. Army doesn’t win many games but
under Bobby Ross they don't need the win, just the points.
PENN ST over Minnesota by 6
Both teams pulled out last minute wins last week and both could
be emotionally spent today. Don’t believe that for a minute. These
two are playing for respect and the winner will go into Week Six
at 5-0 for the year. We like the fact that in matchups of 4-0 teams
road favorites who covered their last game are 1-7 ATS. Penn State
has the better defense and if the Lions can hold down Minnesota’s
powerful running game on the grass, the Lions will snap a fourgame
series losing skein. Yes, we know Joe Pa has acted more like
a non-caring stepfather to us thus far this season.
Utah over N CAROLINA by 1
Not real sure what this Carolina team is about. The Tar Heels got
just a field goal against a middle rung Wisconsin defense then,
just one week later, put up 31 against an NC State stop unit
regarded as one of the nation’s ten best. We know what Utah is
about. The Utes fear no one and can play well anywhere. With
UNC’s 1-7 ATS mark in its last eight non-ACC home games and
Utah’s 14-3 ATS mark vs non-cons, we would only take the Utes.
Southern Cal over ARIZONA ST by 10
The Trojans went to Oregon last week and kicked our asses with
a stirring 45-point run to ruin a 13-0 Ducks lead and our 5 GOM
in the process. They are now on a 22-7 ATS run and a 28-15 ATS
mark on the road against avenging teams. Arizona State isn’t
reading the USC record books. The Sun Devils are looking for a
way to slow down the Trojan offense. ASU KNOWS it can score on
Troy and the hope is that they can score enough to give them a
chance to win late. Hey, it could happen - a week late, of course.
UCLA over Washington by 27
Through three quarters, Washington had as many chances as a
team deserves to get touchdowns against Notre Dame. The
Huskies couldn’t get it done. Something, an interception, a
fourth-down stop, a penalty, something always foiled the drive.
If they don’t improve that efficiency against this team, they’ll
get blown to smithereens. UW hasn’t covered against the Bruins
since ’96 and, guess what, the SMART BOX says take the Uclans.
We will.
IDAHO over Utah St by 1
This is certainly not a game we want to sink our teeth into but
we will provide a few numbers for those of you who must play.
Utah State is a paltry 3-25 SU with only seven covers in its last 28
road games. Idaho has won only nine of its last 47 lined games.
Do you see something there that is worth money? We don’t.
Oregon over STANFORD by 3
We must know the status of Trent Edwards before we make any
kind of call here. Edwards left the Cal Davis game in the first
quarter and watched in agony as the Division 1-AA Aggies
became the first non-Division I team to ever beat the Cardinal.
No way we can support a team that falls on its face like that. But
we don’t want the Ducks coming off that USC blitzkreig, either.
S Mississippi over E CAROLINA by 10
Southern Mississippi should rule the CUSA now that all the good
teams have left but, you know what, East Carolina thinks it can
compete in the league. The Pirates played West Virginia tooth
and nail in Morgantown and welcome the chance to beat one
of the loop’s premier teams, if there is one. But no edges exist
that are powerful enough to coax a pick out of us.
AKRON over C Michigan by 10
In a battle of MAC middle-rungers, there really isn’t much of an
advantage to either side. Central was supposed to be better this
season and they are. The Chips beat Miami at Miami and this
site isn’t as formidable. Akron was supposed to be worse without
Charlie Frye and it's not. The Zips won at Middle Tennessee,
played Purdue well into the fourth quarter and gave Northern
Illinois all it wanted. Like we said - no advantage.
SAN JOSE ST over Nevada by 1
There could be a worse handicapping matchup on the card but
we really don’t see it. Nevada is 0-9 SUATS in its last nine road
games and Jose has one win in its last 13 lined games. Nevada
did get a meaningful win at home against UNLV earlier this year
but we’ll have to see the Wolfpack win on the road before we
go with them, even against the sorry Spartans.
MIAMI FL over S Florida by 28
Miami silenced a few critics with its domination of Colorado but
we must remember that the Buffaloes were totally out of their
element. South Florida knows the weather conditions and, in their
first Big East road game, knows exactly how to deal with them.
Dealing with Miami’s lightning fast defense is another thing and
we’re not sure USF’s run oriented attack is a good fit for success.
USF may need gallons of Red Bull to get back up after
stunning Louisville in its Big East opener last week.
PURDUE over Notre Dame by 3
Disparate results from last week might shade the line a little to
the Boilermakers but they are reeling emotionally after losing a
game they had won. Notre Dame knew it was going to win in
Washington and it did, easier than the score indicated, but UW
exposed some serious deficiencies in that Irish secondary. We’re
curious to see how Tiller and his team respond to that bitter loss
but not curious enough to pay for the privilege.
UAB over Rice by 21
Rice got an unexpected week off when Rita came swishing her
skirts at the Texas Gulf coast but it really doesn’t matter if the
Owls have a whole year off – they would have had problems
here. UAB is a real contender for CUSA honors (the Blazers almost
beat Tennessee in Knoxville) and won’t let this win slip away.
The SMART BOX gives us all the support we need to make us
don our Blazers for this Saturday night party.
W MICHIGAN over Buffalo by 10
The Broncos eked out a win over hapless Temple last Saturday
and could actually pick up a second consecutive win here. Buffalo
has never won a MAC road game (0-26) and the Bulls aren’t
showing any signs of being able to get that virgin victory this
season, averaging ONE POINT PER GAME. For the record,
Western’s win was its first victory over a lined team in 14 tries.
Forget this MAC tragedy.
TULSA over Houston by 1
Houston was another team given the week off by Rita and the
Cougars needed it. They were exhausted and banged up from
that 44-41 loss at Texas El Paso the week before. Some were
surprised that Houston was able to play the Miners toe to toe
but the biggest surprise of the week was Tulsa’s 52-point win at
North Texas. Bad numbers abound on both sides. We’ll stay away.
3* BEST BET
TEXAS TECH over Kansas by 25
Kansas and that bushel of points may seem attractive to
you but we know that the Jayhawks are a pitiful 1-14 ATS
as underdogs of more than 14 points in conference play.
We also know that Texas Tech is 47-6 ATS in its last 53
conference home wins and that the Red Raiders will score
100 if they get the opportunity. Tech hasn’t played anybody
yet but Kansas isn’t exactly BCS material and they faced the
likes of Florida Atlantic, Appalachian State and Louisiana
Tech. Mike Leach is a possessed man.
OKLAHOMA over Kansas St by 10
Kansas State finally blew out one of those doughnuts on its
schedule and now faces Oklahoma on a definite uptick. K-State
has home loss revenge against the Sooners and has covered seven
in a row on this field. Oklahoma has struggled this season because
of insecurity at QB and the same leaky secondary that did the
Sooners in last year. Kansas State may be able to do some business
here but we’re not going to bet on it.
VANDERBILT over Mid Tenn St by 16
Vandy will try to keep its miracle season intact with a win over
its neighborhood rival. Middle Tennessee has struggled with its
offense this year (Vandy hasn’t) and will need some points to
hold off Jay Cutler and his crew. We’re not sure they can do it.
LA TECH over N Mexico St by 11
Neither one of these teams has a win this season and, if it weren’t
for this game, both could end the season winless. NMSU is 4-19
SU and 8-15 ATS in its last 23 road games but Tech is nothing
special at home. We’re not interested.
TCU over New Mexico by 1
The Frogs captured their second straight overtime win, this time
on the road at BYU, and served notice to the rest of the Mountain
West that, if they do go down, it ain’t gonna be easily. While all
that was going on, New Mexico was involved in a border war
with Texas El Paso. Hard to imagine either of these teams having
anything left in their emotional tanks; we'll grab the points.
AUBURN over S Carolina by 16
South Carolina learned the reality of the running game against
Alabama two weeks ago. The Gamecocks learned that you have
to have one to win in the SEC and you have to stop the other
guy’s to do the same. Auburn can do both and the Tigers are
primed to make a march toward the SEC West championship.
MEMPHIS over Texas El Paso by 3
We watched Memphis stumble all over the field against Ole MIss
and watched Texas El Paso fall way behind Houston before storming
back to win in overtime. Both teams have flaws but we think the
Miners are the better team. The road equalizes advantages in affairs
like these. Don’t be surprised if Memphis wins.
Byu over SAN DIEGO ST by 3
The Mormons led throughout the game against TCU but couldn’t
put the Horned Frogs to sleep and finally gave up the ghost in
the overtime period. Now, the Cougars go on the road to a place
that has been kind to them. With four straight wins and covers
in San Diego, BYU travels with confidence here.
BOISE ST over Hawaii by 14
Boise shook off two tough losses to open the season with a
convincing mauling of a very capable Bowling Green team. The
Broncos should be able to put up some points against a weak
Hawaii defense and they are 34-6 ATS when they score 38 or more.
The Warriors well remember last year’s 69-3 pounding in Boise
and will put forth an inspired effort here. It may not be enough.
posted by phantom
Sept. 28 2005 4:11pm -
0 likes
GOLD SHEET
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
IOWA STATE by 8 over Nebraska
TEXAS A&M by 35 over Baylor
NORTH CAROLINA by 14 over Utah
NFL KEY RELEASES
TAMPA BAY by 17 over Detroit
DALLAS by 7 over Oakland
UNDER THE TOTAL in the Indianapolis-Tennessee game
CKO Vol. 44 September 29 - October 3 No. 5
11 SAN FRANCISCO over Arizona
Late Score Forecast:
SAN FRANCISCO 28 - Arizona 20
(Sunday, Oct. 2 at Mexico City)
10 NOTRE DAME over *Purdue
Late Score Forecast:
NOTRE DAME 30 - *Purdue 21
10 NAVY over *Duke
Late Score Forecast:
NAVY 35 - *Duke 17
10 *PENN STATE over Minnesota
Late Score Forecast:
*PENN STATE 24 - Minnesota 16
10 *IOWA over Illinois
Late Score Forecast:
*IOWA 38 -Illinois 10
TOTALS: OVER (47) in San Diego-New England game-Charger offense back on track
with the return of TE Gates making things easier for all; Pats defense
getting very thin in back seven...OVER (46.5) in St. Louis-N.Y. Giants
game-Eli is arriving-fast-and the artificial turf installed LY in N.Y. helps
promote the speed game.
MIAMI OHIO (-10.0) 33 Cincinnati 26
04:00 PM Pacific Time Wednesday, Sep-28 - Stats Matchup
The Redhawks have been disappointing so far this season, as their potentially very good offense has sputtered (5.2 yards per play against 3 teams that would combine to allow 5.5 yppl to an average offense) while their defense has allowed a horrendous 6.4 yppl to teams that would average a combined 5.2 yppl against an average defense. Cincinnati is a young team, but the Bearcats are arguably more talented than Miami as a whole and the Bearcats have been pretty solid defensively, allowing just 5.1 yppl (to teams that would average 5.1 yppl against an average defense). Cincy has been just 0.4 yppl worse than average on offense (4.9 yppl against teams that would allow 5.3 yppl to an average attack) and the Bearcats have been better overall from the line of scrimmage than the Redhawks this season. Miami does have a whopping 6 points edge in special teams and have the home field in their favor, but my ratings make the line on this game just 6 ½ points.
posted by phantom
Sept. 28 2005 4:13pm