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Picks for Wed, March 19th

glta

ricky

posted by ricky

March 19 2008 8:38am

18 replies

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    Nice little bonus hit on the Celts Money Line last night!!!

    Looking at A.I's return to Philly last night....Thoughts??

    Nuggets HOT Trends:

    Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.

    Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.

    Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.

    Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

    Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

    Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

    Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall

    Nuggets COLD Trends:

    Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.

    Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

    Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.

    Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

    Nuggets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.

    76ers HOT Trends:

    76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.

    76ers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

    76ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

    76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.

    76ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

    76ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.

    76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.

    76ers are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.

    76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

    76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

    76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

    76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

    76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

    Nothing Cold for Philly!!

    Nuggets are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

    Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings

    The question is, can Denver play any defense against Philly?? Denver avgs 13 more points per game and gives up ten more than Philly. On the road, Denver avgs 8 more points but gives up an avg of 18 more than Philly. This just seems like one of those games where Iverson will go off just to stick it to Philly. Gotta look into this more....

    thebigmessy

    posted by thebigmessy

    March 19 2008 9:45am
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    Ride with caution. Wunderdog's free picks. They're 0/4 since I've started posting them here. Take my word though, they've been pretty hot this preseason.

    Game: Colorado at Chicago White Sox (4:00 PM Eastern)

    Pick: Colorado +101 (moneyline)

    Ubaldo Jimenez gets the ball for the Rockies vs. Jose Contreras. Neither has impressed thus far during the spring. The White Sox have given up 142 runs thus far, or 6.76 runs per game. The Rockies have done much better as they rank fourth in fewest runs allowed. We look for the Rockies to do what every team has done against the Sox this spring - score plenty and win this one on the road.

    Game: New York Yankees at Pittsburgh (7:00 PM Eastern)

    Pick: Pittsburgh +123 (moneyline)

    The Yankees travelled to Blacksburg, VA yesterday to play a charity game against the Virginia Tech Hokies. The entire team made the trip except for Matsui, Rivera (two innings yesterday against minor leaguers) Mussina and Molina. It is likely since all the starters went on the trip, that most will not take to the road again tonight against the Pirates. It will be Phil Hughes vs. Matt Morris and we will take the Pirates here against what should be a lot of secondary Yankee players.

    Game: Arizona at Seattle (10:00 PM Eastern)

    Pick: Arizona +116 (moneyline)

    Micah Owings will face Jarrod Washburn in a game under the lights tonight. The Diamondbacks have been producing a lot of runs this spring, as have the Mariners. Neither team has pitched well, and we look for the D-Backs' bats to stay hot. This game looks to be a high-scoring affair and we will take the D-Backs to out-slug the M's for the win.

    sherlock37

    posted by sherlock37

    March 19 2008 11:08am
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    Another free gem from Wunderdog:

    Game: Detroit at Cleveland (8:00 PM Eastern)

    Pick: Game Total UNDER 185.5 -110

    The Pistons gave up more points last night to Denver than to any team they have faced all season, but they also scored more than they have against any team all season. It really fills the pot chock full of value for tonight's games in Cleveland. The scoring explosion makes the odds-makers rachet it up a notch, from where this total should really be. The general public is thinking big after last nights explosion, as evidenced by this line climbing. Think again! These teams are the epitomy of low scoring teams. The last seven times these teams have met in Cleveland, all have gone UNDER the total! They aren't sneaking under the total either. The last six have gone UNDER by at least 15 points! The games these teams have played in Detroit have been no different. The last 10 times they have met, and the game did not go into overtime, every single one went UNDER. That is 17-0 UNDER the last 17 times these teams have met in a regular season game that did not go OT! The 10 played in Detroit did not eke under the total either, as the average margin under the total has been 15.2 ppg! The 17 games played have seen the highest output between these teams to be 183! The average total points in the 17 games has been 168.8ppg. Detroit has been at their defensive best, after the rare game in which they give up triple digits. They have done so 18 times this season, and have come back to play 12 of 18 under in their next game (67%). The last 14 times they have given up 100+, they have allowed just 86.4 ppg to teams that average 97.3 ppg. That's 12.3 points less than their opponents normally average! These teams combined on the season have played UNDER in 34 of 58 games (59%) when the total is posted in the 180s. Another ugly defensive struggle is in order, and we will play UNDER in this one.

    sherlock37

    posted by sherlock37

    March 19 2008 2:10pm
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    Run till the FINAL FOUR

    Record 15-16.. bounce back day

    NBA

    GOLDEN STATE -9

    GS needs this game in the race against Denver, and GS beat this Clipper team 122 to 105 in their last meeting. I can easily see another Double Digit win.

    PHILADELPHIA -3.5

    A fired up Sixers team with the first game back for the real AI. Denver is 12-20 on the road and 0-6 when playing back to back. Sixers have been playing sneaky ball as of late, and Ill roll with them.

    NCAA

    MORGAN STATE +16.5

    I love playing ON the team that gets the shaft by the NCAA Tourney. That team is ARZ St. however, and I play on playing them at some point during the NIT. But Va Tech, got the shaft from their coach, with he ridiculous outburst. Win or lose, i think some of the players resent what he did, and well see if they play hard for him or not.

    MIAMI, OHIO +4

    Best bet of the day, backing a MofOH team that beat Xavier, South Alabama, and Illinois. Ill roll with them as a straight up doggy dog.

    southern5061

    posted by southern5061

    March 19 2008 3:58pm
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    Still debating AI and the Nuggets....looking at the Cavs for tonight as well. Will be back to update and let you guys know what I am going to do!

    thebigmessy

    posted by thebigmessy

    March 19 2008 4:36pm
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    CBB

    Tulsa -4 BEST BET

    GL

    takis28

    posted by takis28

    March 19 2008 5:11pm
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    Good dog in hockey today.

    Ovechkin and the Capt +115. They have a shot at the playoffs, they're hot as hell and Chicago would like a lottery pick.

    sherlock37

    posted by sherlock37

    March 19 2008 5:28pm
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    Takis-

    I love that Tulsa play! I also like the over 120. It's dropped a full 2 pts. since this morning (from 122)!

    This stands out to me:

    Miami 4-10 ATS away from home.

    Tulsa 13-2 ATS home.

    I'm playing this for 3 units and parlaying for 1 unit to the over 120.

    6-5-1 ATS last three weeks.

    GLTA

    Frosty

    frosty

    posted by frosty

    March 19 2008 5:38pm
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    Wednesday's pick 'n rolls......

    UTEP -1.5

    Santa Barbara +12.5

    Utah State +8.5

    GL Guys 8)

    phball101

    posted by phball101

    March 19 2008 5:53pm
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    MUST PLAY TONIGHT

    NHL TAKE CAROLINA! ATLANTA PLAYED LAST NIGHT. CAROLINA NEEDS WIN TO KEEP AHEAD OF WASHINGTON.

    I AGREE WITH SHERLOCK WITH WASHINGTON IN THE HUNT FOR A PLAYOFF SPOT. BUT THEY DID PLAY LAST NIGHT AND CHICAGO WAS OFF.

    SAFE PLAY IS CAROLINA.

    kellysguns

    posted by kellysguns

    March 19 2008 6:09pm
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    I HAVE BEEN HOT IN HOCKEY.

    kellysguns

    posted by kellysguns

    March 19 2008 6:11pm
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    I completely agree with Carolina, but it's -170 on the road

    sherlock37

    posted by sherlock37

    March 19 2008 6:20pm
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    thanks fellas for the kind words yesterday.

    pc, thanks for reminding me about them royals bro at home. i forgot about that shit.

    i hit last night with robert morris pretty easy. just looking again and i think this is another easy one.

    over in hawks/nets 195 1/2. both teams have been playing well offensively lately and both are trying for the playoffs. i see this one crossing 200. gl if you follow.

    jtmoney16

    posted by jtmoney16

    March 19 2008 6:34pm
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    "sherlock37":36zchlz4

    I completely agree with Carolina, but it's -170 on the road

    juice will be high now end of season soon gl

    takis28

    posted by takis28

    March 19 2008 6:36pm
  15. 0 likes

    "phball101":2rod6fc6

    Wednesday's pick 'n rolls......

    UTEP -2

    Santa Barbara +12

    Utah State +8

    GL Guys 8)

    Updated lines......

    phball101

    posted by phball101

    March 19 2008 7:41pm
  16. 0 likes

    Takis... great call on Tulsa BRO! GREAT!

    southern5061

    posted by southern5061

    March 19 2008 9:49pm
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    Nice cover with Tulsa! Over didn't come thru though- still won 2 units though!

    7-6-1 for March +4 Units

    Any others you guys like for tonight?

    frosty

    posted by frosty

    March 19 2008 9:53pm
  18. 0 likes

    "southern5061":1g3m9f4w

    Takis... great call on Tulsa BRO! GREAT!

    thxs gr8 hit for me gl

    takis28

    posted by takis28

    March 20 2008 1:46am

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