Have had a bad week so layed low for a few days. I have 3 NFL plays today:

Baltimore @ Cincy

This game almost always goes over. Let's look at the numbers:

**Baltimore is 8-6-1 ATS this year on the over.

**Cincy is 10-4-1 ATS this year on the over.

**Both teams average over 21 points scored a game.

**The over is 5-1 ATS at home for the Bengals in their last 6.

**The first game in Baltimore this year was 31-24.

With Cincy and Baltimore both desperately needing wins, the end of the game will push both teams to score if needed. It could be a defensive struggle but I don't see it. In fact, I think both QB's are going to have trouble with the opposing D's and will make critical mistakes that will help us on the over.

PC 2.5** on over 38

Carolina @ New Orleans

Gotta take the over in this one. New Orleans is absolutely cranking averaging over 42 points a game in their last five. Again, a team with something to play for this Sunday.  The first game in Carolina went under, I expect this game to be fireworks. Cam is going to make mistakes which will lead to New Orleans points but he will also make some big plays and get us quick scores. New Orleans will work the pass with Carolina's atrocious secondary.  I think Cam will put up a big game and I think New Orleans will match with even more firepower. Carolina has won four out of their last 5 games and they will really push to make a statement for next year and get the big upset win today. I wouldn't touch the side but I will play the over.

PC 3*** on over 54 1/2

Dallas @ New York

I'm taking the Giants as my best bet tonight. Dallas is in serious disarray. I keep hiring Romo is fine and that's exactly what I would be saying if I was the Cowboys press machine. I simply don't believe it. He's going to start and play, but I'm expecting interceptions and the Giants will force Dallas to throw to beat them. I'm not really a fan of either team but I don't see how the Giants lose this golden opportunity to not only smack their rivals, but obviously go to the playoffs in a win or go home scenario. DeMarco Murray has cooled off, Felix is going to get carries, but I just don't think it matters. The Giants should be able to pick apart the secondary of Dallas and I really think we see a big win here from the Giants. It's my best bet of the day.

PC 4**** on the New York Giants -3