We've had a good season, gonna continue the roll. 4-1 ATS last week, here's what I have for today:

Kansas City @ NY Jets:

Why is this line so high? Seriously? Sure Kansas City is 5-7 but they are on an ATS roll covering their last 4 in a row. Three teams have mauled them, Buffalo, Detroit, and Miami. In the first 2, they lost their best player on either sid of the ball, All pro's Eric Barry and Jamaal Charles. It took them awhile to adjust, and they did. I look at the Jets and this team doesn't look like one that will kill anyone. Very similar to the Buffalo game in my opinion. At 5-7 Kansas City is still in it for the weak AFC west, only two games out and they play both teams in front of them, Oakland and Denver. The Jets at 7-5 are in must win circles too. So I see a competitive game. Kansas City limited Chicago to 3 points and knocked out Matt Forte. The receiving corp and QB for New York leaves a lot to be desired, Shonnie is banged up, LT is out. Not the greatest tight end. A lot of points for this game and I will back the hotter ATS team.

PC 2.5** on Kansas City + 10 1/2

New Orleans at Tennessee

A lot of people I respect are on the Saints today and think it's easy money. I'm not so sure of that. At 7-5, the Titans are in the thick of the playoff race for a wildcard.  New Orleans is not as good on grass and there are some interesting stats to note. Let's look at them:

**New Orleans is 1-5 SU in their last 6 against Tennessee.

**Tennessee is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games.

**New Orleans road defense ranks: Passing 22nd, Rushing 25'th

**Tennessee is 4-1-1 ATS in it's last 6 games against the Saints.

This game reminds me of Cowboys/Zona last week. Cowboys were the obvious play, but they always have trouble in Arizona. Same goes for New Orleans, on paper, they should win this game handily, but they always seem to have trouble with the Titans. It's a big game for both teams, but I don't see Chris Johnson and the Titans just laying down to might Drew Brees and the Saints. I have to back the dog in this one.

PC 2** on Tennesse +3 +120

Atlanta @ Carolina

I hate taking road favorites, absolutely hate it. But I have to in this one. The Falcons usually run wild against the Panthers, with Turner absolutely lighting up the Cats every time he faces them. This will be a good game plan against the worst rushing defense in the NFL. It also keeps Cam off the field. Atlanta has a lot to play for and they should be able to get after Carolina on both sides of the ball. Steve Smith has cooled off after a hot start and Carolina is running into a desperate, talented Falcons team. I think they take a big lead and hold off Carolina late. Atlanta is 5-1 SU in their last 6 against Carolina, let's hope it continues. Two plays in this one.

PC 2.5** on Atlanta  -3 +105

PC 1.5* on 1st half under 23 1/2

Buffalo at San Diego (best bet of the day):

I'm rolling the over all day all the time. Both teams have the POTENTIAL to score big and against these defenses, I expect it.  San Diego and Buffalo are in desperation mode and have offenses that can put points up in a hurry. Rivers looks like he is righting the ship on his interceptions and this is a game that he is going to put up monster numbers. I'm not throwing a huge write up on this one. My gut tells me this game goes over 56 and that's more than enough for what we need.

PC 3.5** on over 47 1/2 in Buffalo @ San Diego

Good luck, have a great NFL Sunday!!!!