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PC NFL Sunday

We've had a good season. Let's keep it going:


Kansas City @ Indy:


The Chiefs are 2-0 ATS in their last 2 on the road at San Diego (+13, lost by 3) and at home vs. Minny (+3 won outright).  After a slow start, the Chiefs are definitely playing competitive football and have adjusted to the losses of Eric Barry and Jamaal Charles. They still have good talent in the front seven and should be able to contain Painter and the Colts offensively. On the other side of the ball, Freeney and Mathis will give the Chiefs fits and force KC to throw the ball. I'm expecting a low scoring game as both teams are going to have trouble scoring. In addition, let's look at some numbers:


**KC is 7-3 ATS on the under in their last 10 games.


**The total is 4-1 ATS on the under in Indy the last 5 times these two teams played each other in Indianapolis.


For me, I have to play the under.


PC 2.5** on under 38 1/2


 


Tampa Bay @ San Fran:


I am taking the Niners to cover the number today. This one seems like a no brainer to me but a lot of the pub loves Tampa in this one. The Niners are 3-0-1 ATS on the year, the Bucs 2-2. Tampa did not come close to covering against a bad Colts team on Monday night football last week while San Fran shocked the world by winning at Philly. The Niners are rolling (god that sounds funny) Tampa is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games at San Fran. San Fran is 12-4 SU at home in their last 16 games at Candlestick. The pub keeps thinking Tampa is a good team and I keep arguing against that. Let's take the Niners today in what should be a 7 point plus win.


PC 3.5** on San Fran -3 +100


Sunday night Football:


The Falcons have had this one circled since last year. They have to have a better game plan for this team and I think their season hinges on a good effort tonight. They are a great team at home and I expect them to play one of the best games we will see this year in prime time. Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 against Atlanta with one of those wins coming in the playoffs last year.  This game is very similar as to when I posted on Atlanta having to win against Philly. I really think you will see a great Atlanta effort tonight. I'm not saying they are going to win, but I do think they are going to come out and play very competitive football in a game that will be decided by 4 points or less either way.


PC 3*** on Atlanta +5 1/2


 


Good luck today.  I might post on the baseball game after hitting the under in the Tigers game last night to run MLB to 3-1 in the post season with a solid +13ish units so far.


 


Have a great Sunday.


 

pc7588

posted by pc7588

Oct. 9 2011 10:59am

1 replies

  1. 0 likes

    Adding MLB:


    I have to take the under again today for 2 units. Garcia seemed to have arm fatigue but he's righted the ship and I think Grienke will do much better today. Not a huge write up, but if the sun is out, it's always harder to hit in Milwaukee with the shadows.


    PC 2** on under 7 1/2 -105

    pc7588

    posted by pc7588

    Oct. 9 2011 11:17am

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