NFL Football Round 3:
Still banging the NFL, 2-1 last week and 0-2 on small parlays. If it wasn't for Minny's collapse it would have been a huge week but still made 1.2 units last week to bring it to +16 units through the first two weeks. I got a good card this week:
New England @ Buffalo: I, do not believe the hype on Buffalo. Cmon, they rallied to beat the Raiders (scrub team) and beat my Chiefs who are clearly the worst team in the NFL right now. New England dismantled Miami on the road and San Diego at home. This line keeps dropping because everyone is on Buffalo but I am not biting, I think Brady and the New England juggernaut is back this year and they will steamroll the Bills today.
**New England is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 at Buffalo
**Buffalo is 6-14-1 ATS in their last 22 at home.
PC 2.5** on New England -7
San Fran @ Cincy:
I'm hopping back on what i think will be my cash cow team this year. The Bengals. I love the fact I'm getting juice on a home team laying 3. Anyways, Cincy is 2-0 ATS and AJ Green and Andy Dalton, as I stated week 1, are really a future to look at. Tight End Jermaine Gresham is 2 years away from being a Michael Finley talked about kind of guy, but he's solid. C Benson isn't getting suspended today while he appeals, but even if he does sit out, Scott has been a very capable backup in the past. Look at these numbers:
**San Fran is 1-5-1 ATS in it's last 7 against Cincy
**San Fran is 1-7 SU in it's last 8 games on the road.
This is Cincy's home opener after a win and a loss on the road. I think they are going to be fired up and cover this one by at least 10.
PC 4**** on Cincy -3 +115
Kansas City @ San Diego
Grab your you know what's with me and roll on KC +14 1/2 @ San Diego. Crazy right? The Chiefs with the least amount of points scored, the Chargers coming off an embarressing loss at New England? I know, I know, sounds crazy. But before you call me a Chiefs homer, look at these numbers:
**San Diego is 1-4 ATS in it's last 5 games including 0-2 this year.
**The under is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 at San Diego.
I'm only putting one unit on this game but I have a weird feeling that KC will stay competitive in this game.
PC 1* on KC +14 1/2
Houston @ New Orleans
I'm taking the Saints to cover the number. Much like Buffalo, I don't know how "for real" the Texans are. They beat a terrible Colts team and what looks like a rebuilding Miami team. Meanwhile the Saints only played a 1/2 and lost in the last seconds at home to Green Bay and they dismantled the Bears last week. This is going to be Houston's first real test and I'm not with the public riding on the Texans. They have a lot of talent but they have yet to be tested by an offense like New Orlean's. Think this one is a solid play.
PC 2.5** on New Orleans -3 1/2
NY Jets @ Oakland
My last play. Well, Oakland and Jets should be a defensive game. We know the Raiders scored a ton of points at Buffalo, but this is the Jets. On the other side, the Raiders will want to step up their defense and the Jets aren't exactly a high octane kind of offense. I think this game has under written all over it with old fashioned smash mouth defensive football. Jets should give the Raiders fits, I can't see them running well against New York. I also can't see Sanchez getting big plays in the Black hole.
PC 3.5** on under 41
team parlay: Jets under 41, Cincy -2 1/2 -110 (bought down), New England -7
1 unit to win 6