Banging week last week: 4-1 ATS +14 .8 units

I got 3 plays for a total of 9 units and 2 parlay for 1.5 units.

Here's my card:

Green Bay @ Carolina 12:00 PM CST

I'm taking over 45 1/2 (and I expect this to go up)

Boy cam sure proved me wrong but he still didn't cover. Carolina goes against an opportunistic defense in Green bay and I'm breaking down my over in 3 categories.

1.) Green Bay's Defense vs Cam will equal points. I think Cam's inexperience is going to lead to botched fumbles, interceptions, maybe even a pick six. This is NOT the cardinals defense and while that would lead to less offense for Carolina, I think it leads to more scoring for Green Bay as their defense will create a shortened field and possibly a score.

2.) Playing from behind. I think Green Bay is going to get theirs. They score so quickly and have 3 wide receivers, if not 4 that our top tier. Driver, James, Nelson, and Jennings along with talented a TE named Finley is just too much for this defense to cover. Green Bay is going to score and Carolina does have the ability to put up points on big plays. Green Bay blitzes and Cam gets single coverage with Steve Smith. I think he's going to have a big day for all you fantasy ballers out there that own Steve Smith. With that being said, look for Cam to have to try and match the pace with Rodgers and the Pack.

3.) Is Green Bay's defense overrated? They got picked apart by Drew and the Saints. Granted Brees is the better QB but are his role players that much better than Carolina? I don't know. panthers have a good 1-2 in running backs Stewart and Williams, as good as the Saints. They have Steve smith, he's as good as Colston, they have some weapons. I'm not really sold on the Pack's defense so let's see if Cam can get us 21 and the pack 28.

PC 3.5*** on over 45 1/2 (take up to 48) this line is going to go up, I guarantee it unless the weather is bad.

Philly at Atlanta 7:15 PM CST Sunday Night

I'm not sold on Philly just yet. Sure they looked good in their first game against St. Louis. But let's put that in perspective. The #1 WR and the #1 RB (Ademoluia and Jackson) both got hurt and Bradford still put yards up on the board. Let's remember that bookmakers set the win total for Philly (AFTER all the trades) at 9 1/2 wins and had the Falcons at 10.  With Atlanta knowing they have to have a win to avoid the dreaded 0-2 start, I see the Falcons winning this game straight up at home. The Falcons at home the last two years in the regular season is a mind blowing 7-1 SU in 2010 and 6-2 SU in 2009. They also went 13-3 last year in the regular season. The public has jumped on the Michael Vick experience but I don't see the red stop sign in Atlanta. I see an opportunity to cash Sunday night on the Falcons in a game they absolutely have to have. Julio is going to get his looks with Roddy covered by the former Raiders star corner. Tony G always does well against Philly and I still think the Philly front seven isn't all that and will be challenged by the Falcons running game. I have to play the Falcons this week.
PC 2.5 ** on Atlanta +2 1/2

Tampa Bay @ Minnesota

12:00 PM CST

I have to roll the home Vikings to win and cover this game. AP and the Vikings had a decent game at San Diego and I personally think Tampa doesn't have a lot of talent on both sides of the ball. Yes, Freeman had a nice season last year but the Bucs defense is old and not all that. They couldn't get it done against Detroit at home and I'm not buying that Detroit and Tampa are two teams on the rise. AP should get his and the Vikings defense led by Jared Allen is going to go off at home against one hit wonders LaGarette Blount and Josh Freeman. I think Tampa starts blowing the whistles as the Vikings win convincingly. Look at these numbers:

**Tampa Bay is 1-3-1 ATS at Minnesota in their last 4 games

**Minnesota is 13-4 ATS at home in their last 17 games.

**Tampa Bay had 59 rushing yards against Detroit, Minnesota had 159 @ San Diego last week.

PC 3*** on Minnesota -3

Parlay:  Minnesota under 41 1/2, Cleveland over 39 1/2,  New England -7 1 unit to win 6.

Parlay: Minny -3, Atlanta +2 1/2, GB over 45 1/2....5 unit to win 3 units.

Let's Roll GP nation.

Sherlock, post em up again sir. Great job last week. let's keep that cash rollin$$$