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Preakness Past Performances

Here is your link -


http://www1.drf.com/tc/preakness/2011/profile-assets/PPs/2011-preakness-stakes-pps.pdf


Note - Nehro, who would be the clear cut pick here is not in the Preakness (Bred for distance and prearing for the Belmont)


Note - The Derby was run at a dog's pace with the slowest 1/2 and 3/4 run in over 60 years. I doubt we see that at the Preakness. DIALED IN actually ran a great Derby and passed 11 of the 18 colts and lost by 7 lengths. Unfortunately, the front runners were not tired due to the slow pace. This may all play into DIALED IN'S favor.


As of now, I assume DIALED IN will be 15 to 20 lengths back at the 1/4 and 1/2 and this is fine. Heck 24 lengths back will be fine as long as the clip off some fast fractions. DIALED IN will be clippin these horses off one by one through turn 4 and the stretch and will get up for an exciting finish with . . . ?


Will post later.

drtnapper07

posted by drtnapper07

May 20 2011 12:54pm

2 replies

  1. 1 likes

    Okay - Here are may ratings with comments -












































































    11



    Animal Kingdom



    9.32


     

    Derby Raises rating - Maybe too much ?



    7



    Midnight Interlude



    9.21


     

    If SA Derby is BS and Derby was for real - Toss this guy out



    5



    Shackleford



    9.17


     

    Will likely be caught but hits board ?



    9



    Much Macho Man



    9.13


     

    Wants the slower pace - A fast pace may mean 4th or 5th



    10



    Dialed In



    9.10


     

    Wants the fast pace & wants to be 15-20 Lengths off of it



    14



    Mr. Commons



    9.05


     

    Best New-comer ? ? ?



    8



    Dance City



    9.00


     

    Should be on the lead - 46-3/5 for the 1/2 would be nice



    6



    Sway Away



    8.83


      

    3



    King Congie



    8.81


      

    1



    Astrology



    8.80


     

     



     


    Got to choose either a fast pace or slow pace


    If fast/normal pace 46's-1/2 and 1:10/11-3/4, then Dialed In with Shackleford (10-5-?) in play


    If slow pace (like the Derby) 48 or so and 1:12/13, then Animal Kingdom & Mucho Macho Man are in play (11-9-?)


    I am throwing Midnight Interlude out again as the SA Derby can't be trusted and nothing to see in the Derby - Jockey change may help.


    Would love to be playing Nehro & Dialed In in an Exacta. Nehro would likely be the favorite ahead of Animal Kingdom.


    Going to play DIALED IN and going to watch the 1/2 mile split - If you hear DIALED-IN is way way way back as they go into one and you see 46.5 or so for the 1/2 mile, you will see DIALED IN come up and hit 1st or 2nd. "Here comes DIALED IN" will be the call.


     


    EX-


    10-5


     


    TRI-


    10 - 5,9 - 5,9


    10 - 5,11 - 5,11


     


    SUPR -


    10,11 - 10,11 - 5,9 - 5,9


     


     

    drtnapper07

    posted by drtnapper07

    May 20 2011 3:39pm
  2. 0 likes

    Finished -


    1.) Shackleford -


    2.) Animal Kingdom -


    3.) Astrology -


    4.) Dialed In -


    5.) Dance City -


    6.) Mucho Macho Man


    Note the Bold Notes below -











































































    11





    Animal Kingdom





    9.32



     

    Derby Raises rating - Maybe too much ?





    7





    Midnight Interlude





    9.21



     

    If SA Derby is BS and Derby was for real - Toss this guy out





    5





    Shackleford





    9.17



     

    Will likely be caught but hits board ?





    9





    Much Macho Man





    9.13



     

    Wants the slower pace - A fast pace may mean 4th or 5th





    10





    Dialed In





    9.10



     

    Wants the fast pace & wants to be 15-20 Lengths off of it





    14





    Mr. Commons





    9.05



     

    Best New-comer ? ? ?





    8





    Dance City





    9.00



     

    Should be on the lead - 46-3/5 for the 1/2 would be nice





    6





    Sway Away





    8.83



      


    3





    King Congie





    8.81



      


    1





    Astrology





    8.80



     
    drtnapper07

    posted by drtnapper07

    May 22 2011 1:48pm

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