PC's NCAA tourney plays:

Rolling these two to start after doing my research:

Gentlemen,
I'm all over these two first round plays:

Morehead State vs. Louisville:
Don't believe the hype on Mr. Pitino and his Louisville Cardinals. I am all over Morehead State to cover this number if not win outright. Let's look at some numbers:
**Morehead State has won 12 out of their last 13 games.
**OVC player of the year Kenneth Faried should feast on Louisville's weak inside game.
**Morehead State is 5'th in the country allowing 63.1 points a game.
**Morehead state is 10-8 on the road, Louisville is 6-7.
**Morehead lost by 6 to Florida in a game they were winning with 4 minutes to go. They lost by double digits to Ohio State, but were within 4 points with 8 minutes to go when their starting point guard got his 4'th foul and the offense fell apart early in the season.
This team has a history of playing big in games they have no chance. The line has already moved 2 full points, get it now before it goes anymore. PC is on this one. I see a very similar matchup as Villanova/American which cashed easily.

Let's roll
PC 3.5*** on Morehead State +9ish and it's going to go down by tip. ( I got it at 10)

VCU vs. USC in a play-in game:

While the line has USC by almost 5, I think VCU is going to play the respect factor as many fans and teams are chirping that both of these teams stole their bids. VCU is getting no respect and while I respect USC, I don't see any reason not to back the dog here. USC and VCU both play in your face defense and I think VCU has the better offensive team. In what should be a tight game, I will take the dog and roll on VCU.
PC 2** on VCU +4 1/2

posted by pc7588

March 14, 2011 5:59pm

ncaab

1462 views

45 replies last reply April 4, 2011 11:27pm by pc7588

45 replies:

NIT Picks for round I:

Tuesday Mar 15'th:

Harvard @ Oklahoma State

Usually the Cowboys are a run and gun team but Harvard should slow them down and try to dictate pace of play. I was surprised to see the following facts on these teams:

**Okie state has been a defensive juggernaut against strong offensive teams allowing 63 (Kansas), 52 (Nebraska a defensive team), 64 (Oklahoma), 60 (Baylor) and 68 (Texas Tech) to have an impressive 5-0 ATS ledger on the under in their last 5 games. They are 7-2 ATS on the under in their last 9 games.

**Harvard is 6-1 ATS under tonight's listed under in 7 games against teams who made the NCAA dance this year. My point in this is when they play quality competition, they dictate pace of play and keep the number low to have a chance at winning.

Both of these teams seem to play much better defense against quality opponents and the unfamiliarity of playing each other leads me to believe that these two teams will have a low scoring affair in Stillwater. In addition, Okie State is a 7 point favorite and Harvard will work very hard to stay in this game to have a shot at the end. Will this happen, I don't think so. I'm not laying the chalk against a team that should have gone to the big dance but I do think that Harvard will be game to the challenge and eventually fade in the second half. This game should land around 125 from what I see and I would take it down to 130.

PC 3*** on Harvard/Okie State under 132

Murray State @ Mo State

In what is becoming a disturbing trend for Bears fans, Mo State wins 25 games but doesn't make the NCAA tourney. This team is an absolute monster at home. Don't believe me? Before conference play started in the valley, the Bears went 7-1 ATS at home against non conference foes and blew almost everyone out by double digits plus. They have the Valley player of the year and I don't think this team is packing up the tents after losing to upstart Indiana State in the Valley finals in St. Louis. In non conference play the Racers were 2-7 ATS on the road and Mo State is a damn tough place to play. Expect the bears to put it to the Racers tonight in a gym that is a tough place to win. I like Mo State by double digits.

PC 2** on Mo State

NCAA tourney record: 0-0 ATS (2 pending)

NIT tourney record: 0-0 ATS (2 pending)

GL

posted by pc7588

March 14, 2011 8:38pm
MONMOUTH SIR$$$$$$

posted by ricky

March 15, 2011 9:42am
MONMOUTH $$$$$$$$$$$$

good start to the post season.

NCAA 0-0 ATS (2 pending)

NIT 2-0 ATS +5 units

Will keep posting as we get into it.

posted by pc7588

March 16, 2011 5:07pm

Adding one for Thursday:

Just got off the phone with Dollarbillz and we talked a lot about this game. We both think the under in Kentucky/Princeton is a solid play. Kentucky has been a defensive juggernaut and does not run and gun like we are used to seeing, look at these numbers on points allowed:

Date	Matchup	Line	Total	ATS Result
03/13/11	KEN 70 @ FLA 54	-1	137	WIN/U
03/12/11	KEN 72 @ ALA 58	-6.5	129.5	WIN/O
03/11/11	MISS 66 @ KEN 75	-8.5	145	WIN/U
03/06/11	KEN 64 @ TENN 58	-1.5	139	WIN/U
03/01/11	VAN 66 @ KEN 68	-8.5	146.5

This team is clearly playing solid defensive basketball to end the season in addition the team is not deep running only six players. If Princeton is smart, they will make Kentucky work on both ends of the floor. I see no reason that this game doesn't stay under for us on Thursday.

PC 2.5** on Kentucky/Princeton under 131 1/2

GL....let's roll.

posted by pc7588

March 16, 2011 9:07pm

RICKY...MONMOUTH$$$$$$

NCAA tourney: 1-0 +2 units (2 pending)

NIT tourney 2-0 +5 units (1 4***** coming Monday)

Let's Roll!!!!

Hope ya hit whatever your on.

posted by pc7588

March 16, 2011 11:52pm
Awesome call on Morehead St. , hit it ATS & SU, Thanks!!!

posted by astroman

March 17, 2011 4:02pm
Morehead STATE$$$$ Anyways, let's keep rollin:

NIT: 2-0 ATS +5 units

NCAA: 2-0 ATS +5.5 units (1 pending)

Here's my plays for Friday:

Oakland vs. Texas

If you have been following Oakland during the tourney the past few years, you know this team can score and loves to launch the 3 point ball. Texas is very physical inside with Tristan Thompson and also has their own bombers. I remember watching Oakland this year and during the tournament in year's past and one thing that has always stood out to me is their frenetic pace of play. Oakland is averaging a whopping 85 points a game and they aren't afraid to give up the points either. Texas is very athletic at the #1 and #2 and will run with them. Texas is good for 75++ a game and with Oakland throwing down in a run and game I expect this game to easily eclipse 160. We shouldn't have to sweat this one. Even if Texas blows them out, Oakland only knows one way to play: Full tilt pedal to the metal. I'm on the over in this game.

PC 2.5** on over 154

Indiana State vs Syracuse

yes, you know I'm backing the valley. Indiana State has been playing very good basketball and is really showing they can play at both ends of the floor. The main reason I am on this play is two fold:

1.)Cuse lacks inexperience at the point. I'm a big believer that the point guards are a huge asset if they have tourney experience. Cuse is very solid, but again, lacks that true leader at the point we have seen in years past. Indiana State has Jordan Pritnney who is finally healthy and a key cog in ball control. They also have Jake Odum at the point, who was wonderful against the press and handling the offense in St. Louis during the Valley tourney. I actually give the edge at guards to Indiana State.

2.) The total: With such a low total of 129 in most spots, the bookmakers fully expect a half court set kind of offense. I honestly don't know how deep Cuse is, but Indiana State has loads of players that get time, they go 11 deep. They are weak inside, but when they pack in that zone and hit their 3's, they are a tough matchup for anyone. I think the Sycamores will be more than happy to match 2-3 zones with Cuse and see who can hit more 3's. In what should be a closer than expected game, I think Indiana State stays just inside the number to get us a win.

PC 2** on Indiana State +12 1/2

Texas A and M vs. Florida State

Why does Mark Turgeon get no respect? FSU has some big wins this year but this is the kind of game that Turgeon loves. A and M plays great defense and is very patient on the offensive side of the ball. FSU will be frustrated by the end of the 1'st half and Turgeon has had the aggies here before. Texas A and M has had some nice runs in the dance and Turgeon isn't going out in the first round. Remember this team opened the season 15-2 and has played some of the best opponents the Big XII has to offer. While FSU has played the likes of Duke and Kansas, I can't see them winning a battle of attrition in a low scoring game. I got A and M by 3+++ and that's enough to cover the number.

PC 2** on Texas A and M -1

GL..let's keep it rollin!

posted by pc7588

March 17, 2011 4:23pm
Updating:

NIT 2-0 ATS +5 units

NCAA 3-0 ATS +8 units.

Friday plays:

Ut/Oakland over 154 2.5 units

A and M -1 2 units

Indiana State +12 1/2 2 units

GL!!!! enjoy the madness

posted by pc7588

March 17, 2011 5:12pm
Thanks for the plays Chris! I've been riding you and will stay on board...PC is on FIRE!!!!

I'll throw a play in myself. I love UCLA +1 later today. I know Michigan St has a great tourney history and Izzo is a master. However, this team is not that deep and I like the athleticism that UCLA brings to the table. Good luck guys!!

posted by honicky23

March 17, 2011 5:22pm
thanks Bruce! Hope your doing well. Long time no talk/see. Go bruins!

posted by pc7588

March 17, 2011 7:05pm
Well I'm glad I didn't jinx the undefeated thread! Bruins made us sweat but won a close one.

Good luck today boys and ride PC while he's hot! Trust me...I've seen him do this many times before!!

posted by honicky23

March 18, 2011 11:53am
Texas over$$$$ Let's hope the streak continues.

NIT: 2-0 ATS +5 units

NCAA: 4-0 ATS +10.5 units (2 plays pending Texas A and M -1 and Indiana State +12 1/2)

I have two solid plays for Saturday on the board. Will post them later tonight.

Great call on UCLA Honicky!

posted by pc7588

March 18, 2011 4:54pm
1-2 yesterday

Updated:

NIT 2-0 ATS +5 units

NCAA: 4-2 ATS +6.1 units

Gonzaga/BYU:

I watched both early games and Jimmer, well, he's Jimmer. He's excellent and my choice as the Naismith player of the year. However, with that being said, I don't know how good the supporting cast is. They got hammered by San Diego State and BYU didn't pull away until late. The Zags were who we thought they were (Still love that Dennis green quote) and handily beat a team that hasn't been to the dance in a long time in St. John's. I'mt taking the over in this one fellas. I think it will be a shoot-out. I think Jimmer and the Zags will have an epic battle, and I think the Zags will cover also. I'm double dipping this game but more weight on the over as I really like the styles we are going to see. Gonzaga does not have a defensive answer for Jimmer and I don't see BYU stopping the balanced 3 point attack of Gonzaga that destroyed St. John's. I'm rolling side and total. The favorite and the over.

6:45 PM CST

PC 3.5+++ on over 149

PC 1.5** on Gonzaga -1 1/2

West Virginia @ Kentucky:

We nailed the under in the first Kentucky game. Let's nail the 1H under this time. UK (as we all know) got ousted by West Virginia last time and I see more of the same today. However, Calipari will do whatever it takes to keep his team in the dance and I think they will focus on a very solid defensive effort. With that being said, I still think WVA will win outright, but my best play on this game is the 1H under. I look at the styles of the two teams and both play hard nosed basketball. In addition, UK and WVA have experience issues in this dance. B. Knight only gets 2 points against Princeton? PRINCETON? I thought this kid was the next John Wall? Both teams will be nervous early with players who are in their first dance and that leads to bad shots and bad passes. With these teams being defensively sound, the 1H under has to be the play.

PC 2.5** on WVA/UK 1st Half under 61 1/2

I might have one more later tonight. I'm still looking at KSU/Wisky and Temple/SD State and Cincy/UCONN. I got a 4**** for Monday coming too.

posted by pc7588

March 19, 2011 9:47am
1-2 but hit the big boy to limit the damage.

NIT: 2-0 ATS +5 units

NCAA 1-2 ATS +5.2 units

NIT: I know it's going off soon so I'll keep the write up short.

Wichita State plays slow ball anc is very talented defensively. They were supposed to be the class of the Valley and ended up faltering halfway during the conference seaosn. Virginia Tech thought they were in after beating Duke but got "screwed" yet again and had to settle for the NIT. I know both teams well and really expect that this early morning east coast start time is going to throw WSU off and also keep the score low. I'm tellin ya, in games where WSU has to play low, they do really well. I think V Tech covers but it's going to be a low scoring affair.

PC 2** on VTech/Wichita State under 130

NOTE: 11:00 AM EST tip off

Washington vs. UNC
Has anyone been watching Carolina lately? In the ACC tourney, this team had to come from behind twice from double digits to get to the third match with Duke, which promptly blasted them. Washington is clicking on all cylinders and I don't think UNC has anyone that can handle Isiah Thomas (no relation) the incredible guard for Washington. I watched the pac 10 semis and championship and what this kid did against Zona was incredible. They also have a very talented big man which I think is the Tar Heels achilles heel. I'm on both side and total in this one.

PC 3*** on Washington +5

PC2** on Washington/UNC over 158

I will be back for the night sesssion.

posted by pc7588

March 20, 2011 9:56am
Night cap Sunday:

2-1 ATS on the day so far: +3 Wash over +2 Wash, lost WSU under -2.2

NIT 2-1 ATS +3.8 Units

NCAA: 7-4 ATS +10.2 Units

Nightcap:

Zona/Texas:

I'm taking the over again. UT can push the pace and Zona is a high scoring team. We saw the Pac 10 put up an easy over against UNC and Zona is a better offensive team than Washington in my opinion. I have followed UT all year and when a team wants to run, they will be happy to oblige.

PC 3*** on Zona/Texas over 140

VCU/Purdue

Seems like a high line, and I'm taking the mid major to keep it respectable. VCU looked great against Gtown and Purdue was equally impressive. VCU's style of play should keep us within the number. Playing poker so my write up is small but I do believe in this play.

PC 2** on VCU +9

posted by pc7588

March 20, 2011 2:34pm
God I am bitter about yesterday's total in the Zona game. Predo, sorry if I was cussing up a storm, can't believe the way that game finished to beat my over by a point. Anyways, I'm over. it. Will update record later tonight/tomorrow wanted to get these plays on the board.

Mo State @ Miami

I'm on the over. Miami traditionally plays good defense, but there ar some good reasons to take the over.

**Miami is 4-1 ATS on the over in their last 5 games at home.

**Mo State is 5-0 ATS on the over in their last 5 games on the road.

**The bears will run if they have too and as evidenced by the numbers on the season (Mo State 8-5 ATS away and Miami 9-6 ATS at home) these teams situationally score well.

The main reason I like this over is the teams winning margin. Both teams average very close to 70 points a game while allowing in the mid 60's on defense. Mo State can bomb and has two legitimate scorers that NEVER get into foul trouble. In addition Mo State is great at the free throw line. I expect Miami to come out swinging and Mo State to come back bombing. The over is the play for me.

PC 3.5*** on over 135

New Mexico @ Alabama

I originally was going to post this play as a 4**** but line movement has me scared and I'm going to back it at as a 2** play. I like New Mexico to cover the 6 at Tuscaloosa against Alabama. As many of you know, I live in Birmingham now and I'm surprised at the response the Bama fans have given about their team not making the dance. This has led many to believe that Bama will make a statement tonight agaiinst a quality New Mexico team. With that being said, I have to back the dog as New Mexico has played better quality opposition (I still think the SEC is garbage, including Kentucky, they will get roped by Ohio State next week) and has beaten BYU by double digits right before the dance started while Kentucky trounced Bama by 18 in a game that was not that close. I'm backing my instincts on this one and taking the dog. Yes Bama plays great defense, but they have NO offense and I don't expect them to absolutely shut down a lobos team that is averaging 73.4 points a game. I really liked this play as a 4**** but I'm going to roll 2 because the line has moved 1 1/2 points today. I'm against the public, and they are driving this number up, but it's March, it's tourney time, and dogs bark loud.

PC 2** on New Mexico +6

1* play:
I'll take Okie State to cover the number against Wash state. Okie State was closer to the NCAA dance than people know and I can't expect them to just lay down in this game. They have some scoring and Wash State really hasn't impressed me.
PC 1* on Okie State+6 1/2

GL tonight. Will update the records after I get out of these work clothes.

posted by pc7588

March 21, 2011 6:14pm
Updating records:

NIT 2-1 ATS +3.8 Units

NCAA: 8-5 ATS +8.9 Units (3-2 ATS on Sunday)

GL WHATEVER YOUR ON

posted by pc7588

March 21, 2011 6:15pm
rolled mo st. over gr8 call. keep up the gw.

posted by evolution

March 22, 2011 9:20am
4***** banger

Not a lot of time but I got a good chunk on this one.

I am all ove the under 143 1/2 in the Wichita State game tonight on ESPN2. The shockers play great defense at home and they will NOT get into a run and gun game tonight. They can score when they have too, but it's simply not the way the shockers play. I am keeping the write up short, otherwise I post some stats for ya.

One big one to keep in mind: Wichita State is allowing 63.1 points a game defensively. They average 72 a game scored. WSU is not going to go postal offensively tonight. I'm on it.

PC 4**** on under 143 1/2 Let's ROLL!!!!

posted by pc7588

March 23, 2011 6:42pm
updating:

NIT 3-3 ATS +4.0 Units 1-2 ATS last post but won .2 units Mo state over +3.5 units, lost bama (by a point!) -2.2 units, lost Okie State -1.1 units.

NCAA: 8-5 ATS +8.9 Units (3-2 ATS on Sunday)

posted by pc7588

March 23, 2011 6:45pm
updating: NIT 3-4 ATS -0.4 units lost he 4 star on WSU under)

NCAA: 8-5 ATS + 8.9 units

Today:

I'm taking Arizona. When this tourney started I told a partner in crime that I liked Zona to go to the Final four based on their inside out play. I, of course, pussed out and picked Duke. Well, I'm not going to doubt myself twice. For anyone that watched that Duke/Zona game, I don't think anyone could have beaten Arizona that day. Today's matchup is a good one for Zona. You can match Kemba with Williams and have star fire power. The main reason I like this game for the Cats is the depth and role players for Arizona. Some guys came up big against SDSU for the Huskies to make the 8, but the crowd will definitely be behind Zona (like they were for SDSU right Chris?)

With that being said, here's some numbers as to why I like this game for the dog:

Arizona's offensive average vs UCONN"s defensive average:+11 points for Zona

UCONNs offensive average vs. Arizona's defensive average: +5.5.

So with this stat I got Zona +6.5 points ahead. Second factor: Home field advantage, I give Zona another point here to have them winning by 7 1/2.

Then I'm looking at free throw % and free throw intangibles: Arizona ranked first in the Pac 10 with a 74.7% in team free throws. Derrick Williams who shoots in the 80%'s has gone to the line more than any other player in college basketball this year. UCONN is at 75.9% so that's a wash, but for me Zona'd depth and ability to get to the line could spell trouble for a UCONN team that does not have depth.

Lastly, UCONN has only two scorers who averaged more than 10 points a game this year. Mr. Walker and Jeremy Lamb. We saw how athletic Zona played and they have a much better compliment of role players. I think the wrong team is favored but I have mad respect for Coach Calhoun and his post season credentials. With that being said, I still roll Zona.

PC 3*** on Zona +2 1/2

See ya Sunday

posted by pc7588

March 26, 2011 10:16am
I'm adding one

1.5 units on under 133 in the Florida Butler game. I remember seeing this classic live during the Mike Miller regime and it was an absolute barn burner. Florida has the potential to play great defense against anyone and Butler is a very methodical team. I'm taking the under for a small play.

PC 1.5** on under 133

posted by pc7588

March 26, 2011 1:10pm
BS on the Butler under, OT cost us that one but we'll take the gift on Zona. Updated: NCAA tourney: 9-6 +10.2 units

NIT: 3-4 ATS -0.4 units

Sunday games:

Will post in the AM, I will definitely have a play in the UNC/Kentucky game and still looking at my Jayhawks over VCU and if they can cover the double digit lines. I will have a solid play on the Heels and Cats. Have a good night GP!

If you play the UFC, I got small action on Dan Hardy at +180 as a dog, but I mean small.

posted by pc7588

March 26, 2011 9:34pm
BIG BIG DAY FOR ME, I'M RISKING 11 UNITS

Kansas vs. VCU:

I was all ove VCU early and predicted for them to have a good tournament. With that being said, it's time for them to bow out to Kansas and realize they had a great run. I'm not touching the side, I'm taking the total. I love the under in this game today. Kansas neutralized the guard play of Richmond and completely took them out of their game. We all know FSU has a great defense, but that game only went over because of OT. Shaka Smart's team has great perimiter shooting, but they will have serious trouble against Kansas's defense on the perimiter. Taylor is an all Big XII defender at the 1, Morningstar is one of our best defensive players, and Tyrell Reed and Isiah Johnson are quick and agile. No way VCU "out athletes" the Jayhawks at the 3 point line. Inside, Kansas's twin tower Morris boys and Robinson are deep and physical. VCU will not get a lot of 2nd chance points and Kansas is deep enough to avoid foul problems. On the other side of the ball, VCU has been playing great defense and when they match up against a team that plays good defense, the totals are low. Check out these stats:

**Against Georgetown and USC they allowed 56 and 46 points respectively.

**Kansas is 3-0 ATS on the under this tourney allowing Boston U 53 points, The Illini 59 points, and Richmond 57 points.

**Kansas held RIchmond to 33% shooting from the field (22 of 66)

Kansas is getting better as the tournament progresses and while I have loads of respect for VCU and their coach, this Jayhawk team is not going to miss out on this chance. They are averaging 17 point win margins this tourney and as much as VCU is going to be convinced they have a chance, I think the Jayhawks defense will continue to dominate like it has in the tourney.

PC 2.5** on Kansas under 68 1/2 First Half

PC2.5** on Kansas under 146 1/2 for the game

UK vs UNC

What a great traditional matchup. Let's throw some stats out first:

**The under is 9-5 ATS in Carolina's last 14 games.

**The under is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

**UNC is 4-1 ATS on the under as a dog in 5 games this year.

**Kentucky is 2-0-1 ATS on the under in this year's tourney.

**Carolina is 8-3 ATS on the under away from the dean dome this year in lined games.

Can you see where I'm headed? This game will not turn into a run and gun in my opinion. It's a huge game obviously, and both teams have lots of young players who I think are going to come out tight. I've followed Roy Williams for the last 20 years and usually, defense isn't a strong point. One trend he has is that his teams at Kansas and UNC have the penchant for going stretches of a game without being able to score. UNC looked great in their game against Marquette and I think they are the better team on the court today. That Kentucky line is skewed in my opinion. Their win over Ohio State gives them the edge, but this team has not blown anyone out in the tourney beating lowly Princeton by 2, WVA by 8 although they were down most of the game, and very respectfully taking down top seed Ohio State by 2 with a late Braiden Knight dagger. This should be a great game with two great coach's but I'm taking 3 plays on this game.

PC 2** on UNC + 1 1/2

PC 2.5** on Kentucky/UNC under 146 1/2

PC 1.5** on under 69 first half.

Good luck all, great day for hoops. My best bet is the KU under if you only want to play one. But I'm betting these as I have them laid out. Notice yesterday that the under should have come in on the Butler game (lost because of OT), the under easily cashed in the Zona game. The elite 8 tightens teams up and they play better defense. Big totals today for the teams but I'm rolln under on 1H's and games in both and expect UNC and KU to advance. Have a great Sunday.

LET's ROLL$$$$$

posted by pc7588

March 27, 2011 11:12am
AARRGGGHHHHH> My jayhawks are going home. So bitter right now but at least we hit the first two plays. I have a HUGE play tomorrow for Oregon/Creighton in the CBI. Let's finish off today with a UNC and under hit.

updated after the KU debacle:

NCAA tourney: 11-6 +15.2 units

NIT: 3-4 ATS -0.4 units

3 on the board:

UNC + 1 1/2 2 units

UNC 1H under 69 1.5 units

UNC under 146 1/2 2.5 units

let's roll. (Any VCU alumni want to buy my tickets to Houston PM me and they won't be cheap.)

posted by pc7588

March 27, 2011 4:55pm
Well, my Hawks lost, but went 4-1 ATS on the day. Hope you made some cash whatever your on. Here's my updated record and a 3.5*** for Monday:

NCAA tourney: 12-7 +15.5 units

NIT: 3-4 ATS -0.4 units

CBI Finals Game 1:

Oregon @ Creighton:

Long time coach Dana Altman left Creighton this year to greener pastures and more cash at Oregon. Creighton had a solid start to the season but faltered towards conference play and had to settle for a CBI berth for their post season dancing. Let's look at some factors in this game:

1.)Altman recruited all but 2 players on the Creighton team. Don't tell me he doesn't know who their best players are and how to stop them.

2.)Oregon was supposed to be garbage this year, but Altman led them to a berth in this tourney and they have quality wins over teams like UCLA, Boise State, Washington, and Southern Cal among others. They had covers against other NCAA tourney teams like Arizona and Mizzou to name a few.

3.) Creighton hasn't beat anyone. Their schedule was not very impressive and they didn't react to it. I think they are lucky to be in this final.

I'm on Oregon to cover this win and I think win this game. I'm going to take the points to be safe but Oregon is a solid play monday night.

PC 3.5*** on Oregon +5

Let's ROLL!

posted by pc7588

March 27, 2011 7:11pm
I'm on the over+140 gl tonight PC

posted by takis28

March 28, 2011 7:02am
PC MY PLAYS TONIGHT BEST 2 OUT OF 3

Creighton -4 (-140) bought pts

Over +140 -110

posted by takis28

March 28, 2011 6:02pm
Creighton -4 (-140)

Over +140 -110

posted by takis28

March 28, 2011 10:17pm
HEY PC THIS PLACE IS DEAD BUD GL REST OF THE WAY CHEERS

posted by takis28

March 28, 2011 10:51pm
Nice hits Tak O!

posted by pc7588

March 30, 2011 6:51pm
Nice hits Tak O!

posted by pc7588

March 30, 2011 6:51pm
Final Four, let's roll:

VCU vs. Butler

I was all over the under in both games in the elite 8 and if wasn't for overtime, would have swept the board easily. With that being said, still turned a nice profit on these two. So, with both elite 8 games picked to go under, you would think I'm on the under, but Hell no. I am taking the over and taking it for four units! Here's why:

**Both teams are rested. Both played extremely emotional games in advancing to the final four and both have coaches who will get the teams back into the flow. Will there be nerves? yes? Will the trends we have seen continue? yes

**The #1 trend that impresses me about VCU is their incredible 3 point shooting. This team just continues to bomb no matter who the opponent is. The Rams pose strong matchup problems for Butler as their top forward can step out and drill 3's like he did against my Jayhawks. Butler also has some sharp shooters and both teams will be able to shoot their way back into the game. I looked at this game and I think we're going to go over 140. Kansas has a phenomenal defense and at times, held VCU scoreless for minutes as they made their run to get back in it. However, VCU went right at them and hit some huge 3's that eventually put KU away. Butler is the king of hitting timely 3's and this team will have to match the running of VCU. Put simply, I think they will get picked apart if they play half court sets and I think they will try to get Rodriguez into foul trouble by attacking the basket. VCU has outscored everyone from 3 point land and I don't expect that to stop. I'm taking the over fellas.

PC 4**** on over 132 1/2

UCONN vs Kentucky:

What a great run by Kentucky. What an inspired performance by UCONN's Kemba Walker. Living in SEC country, I see a lot of Kentucky and at first thought, I thought they were a great defensive team. As the tourney wore on, I learned they are a decent defensive team, but the SEC doesn't have a lot of high scoring teams. UCONN can score and I don't see anyone that can match up against Kemba. Braiden Knight has matured for Kentucky and looks like a prime time player and finally starting to justify his stature as the most sought after recruit not named Harrison Barnes from last year. I'm taking UCONN to cover for us Saturday. Kentucky will not have the better coach. Calipari is a stud but Calhoun is the king of the NCAA tourney and this is an opportunity he's not going to miss out on. Here's some great stats to consider:

**UCONN did not lose one game outside of the big east this year.

**#3 seeds are 4-0 ATS and SU as dogs of 4 or less

**Calipari as a coach in the dance is only 23-1-1 ATS in the dance in his career.

**Calhoun is 13-5 SU and 11-7 ATS against the SEC.

I think Kentucky has done well in this tourney and they are the favorite to win it all. However, I can't back them to win this thing. In a tournament full of chaos, let the dogs continue to be king. UCONN wins this game.

PC 2.5** on UCONN +3

PC 1* on UCONN ML +130

posted by pc7588

March 30, 2011 10:33pm
Wichita State-140

posted by takis28

March 31, 2011 5:40pm
gooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

posted by takis28

March 31, 2011 8:57pm
Wichita State-140

70+units tonight PCDADDY YOUR TURN TOMORROW TO GIVE THE WINNA

posted by takis28

March 31, 2011 9:05pm
Nice hit takis. I don't think I've ever bet 70 units on anything!! WSU looked great against Bama though.

My two plays for today are VCu over 133 (it's now up to 134 1/2) and UCONN +3 and ML +130 (this line is now down to 2 1/2)

I was asked this morning in an email if I would still take them with the line moves and the answer is yes. However, if that VCU total creeps up any more, I would say back it down. I'm a little scared of 135, and while I think the scoring will take us over 140, I hate giving away points. I think UCONN is going to win outright so line movement in that one doesn't scare me at all.

If you want a soccer win to pass the time take a parley of LIverpool -155 (a tie is a push and doesn't kill the parley) and Stoke/Chelsea under 2 1/2 -140 pays around 2:1.

Have a great Saturday guys and gals.

posted by pc7588

April 2, 2011 9:01am
Re Post from earlier this week:

Final Four, let's roll:

VCU vs. Butler

I was all over the under in both games in the elite 8 and if wasn't for overtime, would have swept the board easily. With that being said, still turned a nice profit on these two. So, with both elite 8 games picked to go under, you would think I'm on the under, but Hell no. I am taking the over and taking it for four units! Here's why:

**Both teams are rested. Both played extremely emotional games in advancing to the final four and both have coaches who will get the teams back into the flow. Will there be nerves? yes? Will the trends we have seen continue? yes

**The #1 trend that impresses me about VCU is their incredible 3 point shooting. This team just continues to bomb no matter who the opponent is. The Rams pose strong matchup problems for Butler as their top forward can step out and drill 3's like he did against my Jayhawks. Butler also has some sharp shooters and both teams will be able to shoot their way back into the game. I looked at this game and I think we're going to go over 140. Kansas has a phenomenal defense and at times, held VCU scoreless for minutes as they made their run to get back in it. However, VCU went right at them and hit some huge 3's that eventually put KU away. Butler is the king of hitting timely 3's and this team will have to match the running of VCU. Put simply, I think they will get picked apart if they play half court sets and I think they will try to get Rodriguez into foul trouble by attacking the basket. VCU has outscored everyone from 3 point land and I don't expect that to stop. I'm taking the over fellas.

PC 4**** on over 132 1/2

UCONN vs Kentucky:

What a great run by Kentucky. What an inspired performance by UCONN's Kemba Walker. Living in SEC country, I see a lot of Kentucky and at first thought, I thought they were a great defensive team. As the tourney wore on, I learned they are a decent defensive team, but the SEC doesn't have a lot of high scoring teams. UCONN can score and I don't see anyone that can match up against Kemba. Braiden Knight has matured for Kentucky and looks like a prime time player and finally starting to justify his stature as the most sought after recruit not named Harrison Barnes from last year. I'm taking UCONN to cover for us Saturday. Kentucky will not have the better coach. Calipari is a stud but Calhoun is the king of the NCAA tourney and this is an opportunity he's not going to miss out on. Here's some great stats to consider:

**UCONN did not lose one game outside of the big east this year.

**#3 seeds are 4-0 ATS and SU as dogs of 4 or less

**Calipari as a coach in the dance is only 23-1-1 ATS in the dance in his career.

**Calhoun is 13-5 SU and 11-7 ATS against the SEC.

I think Kentucky has done well in this tourney and they are the favorite to win it all. However, I can't back them to win this thing. In a tournament full of chaos, let the dogs continue to be king. UCONN wins this game.

PC 2.5** on UCONN +3

PC 1* on UCONN ML +130

pc7588

4538

posted March 30, 2011 10:33pm

posted by pc7588

April 2, 2011 9:02am
I keep my units to myself next time lost 20units yesterday.

Tough card tonight gl

posted by takis28

April 2, 2011 9:18am
GL today!

posted by pc7588

April 2, 2011 9:50am
CONGRATS ON CONN PCDADDY

posted by takis28

April 2, 2011 11:32pm
U2 sir!!!! Lost the VCU over by a 1/2 point but at least you and I hammered UCONN!

posted by pc7588

April 3, 2011 3:28pm
PC NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP:

I'm taking UCONN and laying the 3. Here's why:

Matchups: UCONN plays in the very physical and demanding Big East. Butler plays a very similar style of basketball but plays in a conference that doesn't have the star power or strength of the Big East. They will have a very hard time matching up inside with this team. I also think UCONN has the better athletes and scorers inside the paint and this game will hinge on rebounding and interior play in my opinion.

Star power: We all know about Kemba and Mack, but the clear edge goes to Kemba and his ability to take over a game. Can Butler's methodical style of play slow him down? Maybe, but for me, there is a clear difference in ability with these players and the edge goes to Kemba for me.

Role players: Again, the edge goes to UCONN for me, better inside, a consistently better starting five, and a deeper bench.

Coaching experience: Everyone talks about Butler being here last year and giving Duke all they wanted last year. Let's not forget Coach Calhoun has been here MANY times before and has his team playing the villain card against clean and pristine Butler. I'm not saying Butler is not up to the challenge, but I really think UCONN has the better coach in this game and he knows how to win it.

Intangibles: Edge to Butler. They are the cinderella, America is rooting for them to win it. But UCONN just has too much for me to not bet on them. I'm never a guy who release big units on the final game of the year and I won't start now. For me the play is on UCONN based on the factors above. Kemba just isn't going to be denied.

Do they cover the 3? I think so. Do I think it will be close to the 3 points? Yes I do, but as a gambler, I'm taking the Huskies to hang another a banner in their storied gym in Storrs. I just can't pull the trigger on the dog and I usually like dogs as a general rule of thumb.

PC 3*** on UCONN -3 as my final play of the year in college hoops.

GL whatever your on.

Opinion: First half over 61 I'm not counting on record. Think Butler will come out stroking it and UCONN will match that. No national champ nerves in this one, they will be firing until the coach's make the right defensive adjustments.

Enjoy the game, I've enjoyed posting on here again. I will see you guys for the NBA playoffs. Until then, thanks for the posts and emails and PM's. Keep rolling GP!

posted by pc7588

April 4, 2011 5:52pm
GL PC bought 1 pt on Huskies for tonight.

posted by takis28

April 4, 2011 7:12pm
UCONN$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

Finished the NCAA tourney at 14-8 +17.8 units

NIT: 3-4 -0.4 units

CBI lost 4.4 units.

NBA 2-0 +5 units

MLB: 2-2 +1.2 units

Enjoyed it fellas. Have a great MLB season and finish to the NBA!

UCONN$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ by double digits.

posted by pc7588

April 4, 2011 11:27pm

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