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Trend for College Bowls.

Found this post on another board. Looks good. GL and lets kill the man!

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First let me say this trend worked well last year but who knows how it will do this season. Just thought it was worth tracking

Teams that played a tougher schedule and were ranked higher last bowl season went 12-1-1

TEAM line RANK/SOS score

Example

Mia-OH -13 (5/75) Lville (43/81) ...Mia-OH 49-28

Just so you understand what the numbers mean: In the above game Miami Ohio was -13 for their bowl game. They were ranked 5th and played the 75th toughest schedule in the regular season. Lville was ranked 43rd and played the 81st toughest schedule. So this would qualify as a play on Miami Ohio because they played a tougher schedule and were ranked higher. the final score was 49-28 Miami so they did cover

2003 - 2004 BOWL GAMES/RESULTS

TEAM line RANK/SOS score

Mia-OH -13 (5/75) Lville (43/81) ...Mia-OH 49-28 1-0

NCSt -11 (35/47) Kansas (73/76) ...NCST 56-26 2-0

Ore St +2'(33/54) N. Mex(49/70) ...Oreg St 55-14 3-0 dog 1-0

VA -3(29/30) Pitt (36/44) ... .....Virg 23-16 4-0

TTech -10(31/25) Navy (61/114) ...TT 38-14 5-0

UTAH -2'(20/50) SO MISS (34/66) ...Utah 17-0 6-0

MIZZ +3(38/58) ARK (22/27) .....Ark 24-14 7-0

BC +2'(40/34) COL ST (55/69) ....BC 35-21 8-0 dog 2-0

IOWA +4(13/19) FL (37/41) .....Iowa 37-17 9-0 dog 3-0

OK ST +3(27/65) MISS (17/43) ....Miss 31-28 9-0-1

CLEM +5 (25/42) TENN (15/24) ....Clem 27-14 9-1-1

TUL +7(57/84) GA TECH (54/10) ....Geo Tech 52-10 10-1-1

MICH +7(10/23) USC (1/12) ....USC 28-14 11-1-1

K ST -7(14/77) OHIO ST (7/13)....Ohio St 35-28 12-1-1 dog 4-0

you can see it was pretty impressive. Overall it was 12-1-1 and the dogs also went 4-0 in both outright wins and against the spread

Now lets look at all the bowl games from last season:

TEAM line RANK/SOS score

Mem-3 (39/96) No. Tx (42/87) ...Memphis 27-17

Mia-OH -13 (5/75) Lville (43/81) ...Mia-OH 49-28 1-0

NCSt -11 (35/47) Kansas (73/76) ...NCST 56-26 2-0

TCU +10 (21/80) Boise (4/98) ....Boise 34-31

Ore St +2'(33/54) N. Mex(49/70) ...Oreg St 55-14 3-0 dog 1-0

Hou +11(62/72) Haw (50/83) ...Hawaii 54-48

Nwestern +6 (67/35) BG (26/105) ...BG 28-24

Cal +3(51/11) Va Tech (32/60) ...Calif 54-49

VA -3(29/30) Pitt (36/44) ... .....Virg 23-16 4-0

Neb -3(18/40) Mich St (48/29) ...Neb 17-3

TTech -10(31/25) Navy (61/114) ...TT 38-14 5-0

UCLA +3(64/9) Fres St (46/73) ... Fresno 17-9

Tex -9'(8/31) Wash St (16/16)....Wash St 28-20

WISC +3(52/15) AUB (30/48) ....Aub 28-14

MIN -5'(19/63) ORE (44/28) ......Minn 31-30

UTAH -2'(20/50) SO MISS (34/66) ...Utah 17-0 6-0

MIZZ +3(38/58) ARK (22/27) .....Ark 24-14 7-0

BC +2'(40/34) COL ST (55/69) ....BC 35-21 8-0 dog 2-0

IOWA +4(13/19) FL (37/41) .....Iowa 37-17 9-0 dog 3-0

WV +4'(41/26) MARY (11/64) ....Mary 41-7

PUR +3'(24/21) GA (12/22) .....Geo 34-27

OK ST +3(27/65) MISS (17/43) ....Miss 31-28 9-0-1

CLEM +5 (25/42) TENN (15/24) ....Clem 27-14 9-1-1

TUL +7(57/84) GA TECH (54/10) ....Geo Tech 52-10 10-1-1

LSU +6'(2/38) OK (3/3) ....LSU 21-14

FSU -2(9/1) MIA (6/14) .....Mia 16-14

MICH +7(10/23) USC (1/12) ....USC 28-14 11-1-1

K ST -7(14/77) OHIO ST (7/13)....Ohio St 35-28 12-1-1 dog 4-0

I posted this to show if you played all the higher ranked teams you would of went 25-3 straight up . The only teams to lose were Virg Tech, Texas and Tenn.

or

21-6-1 ATS. Losers Virg Tech, Texas, Tenn, Hawaii, BG, Boise/ Miss-Ok tied

Here is this years list. Your list might vary as it seems everyone has a different ranking but this will be pretty close:

RANK + SOS BOTH HIGHER

North Texas (52/116) vs. Southern Miss (49/61) WIN

Georgia Tech (47/13) vs. Syracuse (55/64)

Cincinnati (50/46) vs. Marshall (53/94)

Wyoming (60/83) vs. UCLA (43/25)

UAB (37/77) vs. Hawaii (56/90)

Fresno State (18/97) vs. Virginia (17/54)

Toledo (23/95) vs. Connecticut (40/100)

Oregon State (39/9) vs. Notre Dame (48/20)

Alabama (45/35) vs. Minnesota (44/28)

Purdue (25/44) vs. Arizona State (21/23)

Louisville (4/71) vs. Boise State (7/107)

Miami (15/7) vs. Florida (29/57)

Wisconsin (14/56) vs. Georgia (12/16)

Florida State (16/30) vs. West Virginia (30/81)

Michigan (11/22) vs. Texas (6/4)

Southern Cal (2/45) vs. Oklahoma (1/14)

RANK HIGHER ONLY

Memphis (24/73) vs. Bowling Green (19/102)

Oklahoma State (26/18) vs. Ohio State (28/10)

Iowa State (59/49) vs. Miami OH(33/99)

Colorado (42/12) vs. UTEP (35/89)

N. Carolina (54/1) vs. Boston College (32/79)

New Mexico (38/69) vs. Navy (31/93)

California (8/63) vs. Texas Tech (22/6)

Northern Illinois (36/113) vs. Troy (46/105)

Texas A&M (34/8) vs. Tennessee (20/36)

LSU (10/65) vs. Iowa (13/38)

Utah (5/98) vs. Pittsburgh (27/82)

Auburn (3/51) vs. Virginia Tech (9/31)

You can see the first play would have been on S. Miss because they were higher ranked and played a tougher schedule and they won. Next up would be Georgia Tech

Now should this trend not continue please don't blame me. Nothing is for sure. I just thought this trend was worth watching and if you like a team that fits than it might help you make a decision

ricky

posted by ricky

Dec. 17 2004 7:03pm
ncaaf

6 replies

  1. 0 likes

    I don't know if anyone followed this but it might come out dead even after tonight's championship game. However a few listings were wrong --- for example tonight USC and Okla were a split with USC being ranked #1 in almost all polls and Okla #2 but ranked lower with SOS. So the bet would be USC tonight, not Okla. Auburn did not cover last night so the outcome was aboout 13 - 14 going into tonight. ODD????

    graymagus

    posted by graymagus

    Jan. 4 2005 11:31pm
  2. 0 likes

    That sos is huge...where do you guys find the strength of schedule for a college football team???

    thanks!!!

    mrwinstrol5

    posted by mrwinstrol5

    Aug. 13 2005 1:07pm
  3. 0 likes

    This was the shit last year if I remember right...

    ricky

    posted by ricky

    Dec. 19 2005 7:18pm
  4. 0 likes

    anybody know where to get the Rank and SOS info for this year??? better yet, anybody want to go through and post them all :lol:

    ricky

    posted by ricky

    Dec. 21 2005 12:31pm
  5. 0 likes

    There are several different rankings out there, just like there are several polls. The SOS is consistent but the rankings are not. Do you know whose rankings were used for this system.

    Here are some links as a result of a Gogle search.

    http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=college+football+2005+ranking+and+sos [google.com]">http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=co [google.com] ... ng+and+sos

    TOD

    team_of_destiny

    posted by team_of_destiny

    Dec. 21 2005 5:42pm
  6. 0 likes

    I like Saragin rankings. To see other years besides 2006, change the number 6 in the URL below to say 5 (for 2005). i.e., ......fbt05.html.........

    http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt06.htm?loc=interstitialskip [usatoday.com]">http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/ [usatoday.com] ... titialskip

    goat-

    posted by goat-

    Aug. 30 2007 4:59pm

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