THREAD MLB Sept 1, 2010

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Chicago White Sox-137

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posted by takis28

Sept. 1 2010 1:11am

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Capping the calendar: September's best and worst pitchers

Like our waistlines after a finger-licking Labor Day barbecue, MLB rosters have expanded to accommodate the final month of the season.

And as college football and the NFL barge onto the scene, MLB pitchers take the final spotlight in hopes of leading their teams on to the playoff trail. Which ones can we count on and which ones figure to belly up? Check it out.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of September. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in September team starts, winning 33 percent or less of their efforts.

To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each September over the last three years.

September’s best pitchers

Joe Blanton, 10-5

It’s not so much that Blanton is incredibly effective in the last month of the season. Instead, it is more of a function of the right hander keeping his team in the game, especially with Philadelphia finding a way to win in the late innings. To his credit Blanton has lowered ERA 1.25 in last 10 starts.

Kevin Correia, 8-3

The San Diego hurler has been among the better pitchers in the National League since the All-Star break. Mostly a journeyman in his career, when his pitching coach or the catcher see his slumping shoulders they get on him to stand taller, which increases his velocity and movement on his pitches, making Correia more effective.

Zack Greinke, 10-5

He’s not as dominate this season, lacking the late movement on fastball which led to more strikeouts. Last year’s AL Cy Young winner could still create havoc, with Kansas City having 14 games against playoff contenders this month, putting Greinke and Royals to be in spoiler role.

Josh Johnson, 7-3

The 6-foot-7 righty is closing in on career high in innings pitched and still could tie or better previous season win total (15) and exceed high marks in ERA and WHIP with a typical strong finish.

Jair Jurrjens, 10-3

This sturdily built right hander has been pitching better month by month since coming off the DL in late June. If he throws like usual this September, Atlanta could hold off Philadelphia and win the division.

Jon Lester, 12-3

The talented left hander has been a big-game pitcher late in the season and in the playoffs and is one of the best home-field hurlers in baseball and will look to extend his dominance yet again.

Ted Lilly, 11-5

This is Lilly’s sixth stop in his career and he is making a case for hanging around L.A. with how well he’s pitched in Dodgers uniform. He’s on pace to have career lows in batting average allowed and WHIP, with the former occurring in 2002, ironically the last time he was traded in-season.

Vicente Padilla, 9-3

Most baseball fans and sports bettors, for that matter, wouldn’t list Padilla as a clutch pitcher. Yet, late in the season, this Nicaraguan continues to come up big.

Wandy Rodriguez, 8-4

For a solid portion of last year, Rodriquez was arguably the best LH chucker in the National League. After a very slow start to 2010, Rodriguez has scouts talking again about his command and is averaging over a strikeout per inning in his past 10 starts. Houston might be going nowhere, but Wandy’s stock is rising again.

C.C. Sabathia, 14-2

Try this: Google “late season clutch MLB pitchers” and guaranteed Sabathia’s name will be at the top of the first page. Off being the first pitcher in 41 years to win five or more games in August three years in a row, the left hander wants the ball in the big games and is on track for best year of a very solid career.

Joe Saunders, 10-5

We’re not certain if this lefty will be able to match previous numbers pitching for Arizona, but has a bulldog mentality in the clutch.

September’s worst pitchers

Matt Cain, 5-10

San Francisco is losing ground to San Diego and in the wildcard chase and can’t afford another mediocre month from Cain when it matters most.

Zach Duke, 3-8

He’s a near fixture on this list month after month. If Duke were right handed, he would be in the minor leagues since opposing teams have hit over .300 against him in his career.

Matt Garza, 5-10

It’s strictly a matter of maintaining focus and not letting emotions overcome him. Garza has the ability to be a big winner. Fastball command will leave him, forcing Garza to steer pitches to correct accuracy while his heater straightens out, making him more hittable.

Tim Lincecum, 4-9

It’s not like the two-time Cy Young winner is having a season like Tiger Woods, but with slight build and losing MPH on fastball this year, Lincecum is not noted finisher late in the year. There are questions abound about his long term future.

Paul Maholm, 3-7

Maholm is another Pirates’ lefty that would be lucky to break glass with his fastball. What makes Maholm better than Duke is his plus changeup that he can work in or out on right-hand hitters. Nevertheless, he has to be near perfect most of the time and pitching for Pittsburgh further narrows that margin of error.

posted by takis28

Sept. 1 2010 1:20am

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Bettors’ best friend: Wednesday’s wagering tips

Lines to keep an eye on

Philadelphia at Los Angeles Dodgers – L.A. opened as a -115 favorite but has dropped to -110.
Oakland at New York Yankees – New York opened at -150 and is now listed at -145.
New York Mets at Atlanta – Atlanta opened at -175 but is now at -170.

Weather to watch

St. Louis at Houston- chance of showers or thundershowers.
Pittsburgh at Chicago – chance of scattered thunderstorms.
Texas at Kansas City – 60 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms.

Who’s hot

Philadelphia is 25-12 in its last 37 games.
New York is 84-32 in last 116 home games.
New York Liberty (WNBA) is 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.

Who’s not

Cleveland is 6-15 in last 21 games.
Pittsburgh has lost 14 straight road games.
Houston is 7-2 in last nine games.

Key stat

8 – number of wins the Pittsburgh Pirates have in their last 52 road games this year.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Josh Hamliton’s wonky right knee. Hamilton had his second cortisone shot of the season in his right knee at the beginning of August, but it didn’t help much. He was in the lineup as Texas’ DH Monday and Tuesday. Hamilton is scheduled to have a lubrication injection after Tuesday’s game.

Game of the day

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers

Notable quotable

“I’ve done countless exams and talked to doctors. It’s not the (ulnar) ligament, it’s not the Tommy John thing. We’re just trying to figure out what we can do to get the swelling out where you can bend your arm.”

“This is how I’ve always been as far as my body. I figure no matter what it is, I can just deal with it and pitch through it.”
-Atlanta Braves starter Derek Lowe on the elbow discomfort he has experienced for the last six weeks. Lowe, who took a cortisone shot on Sunday, is 2-4 over his last nine starts.

Tips and notes

Manny Ramirez expected to start Wednesday. The Chicago White Sox have their new slugger in uniform, but are expected to wait until Wednesday’s games against the Cleveland Indians.

Aroldis Chapman’s is in Cincinnati and available if he’s needed out of the bullpen. The 22-year-old signed a huge contract worth more of $30 million after defecting from Cuba 13 months ago. He brings a 105-mph fastball to Cincinnati’s bullpen.

A-Rod eying Sunday return. Alex Rodriguez has started swinging again in the batting cage and should be ready to return to the lineup when he’s eligible to come off the DL on Sunday.