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SUPER BOWL SUNDAY!

Colts / Saints UNDER 57

pisswilly

posted by pisswilly

Feb. 7 2010 2:16pm

9 replies

  1. 0 likes

    Colts -5 over 57 $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

    Teaser Colts +1 over 51 $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

    buddy415

    posted by buddy415

    Feb. 7 2010 2:25pm
  2. 1 likes

    Hmmm.  Saints plus 5.5 and under....More confidence in Da Saints!  Great value at +165 ML..

    lusaka

    posted by lusaka

    Feb. 7 2010 6:21pm
  3. 0 likes

    Based on what I've seen, the moneyline on the Saints is almost a sucker bet.  69% of the public is betting on the Saints ML while only 31% on the Colts.  Bookmakers aren't stupid enough to set the line where they are going to take a huge hit.  Based on a simple math, if 69 people bet $100 to win $180 and only 31 people bet on $200 to win $100, if the dog wins, books would take -$6,220 hit.  On the flip side, if the fav wins, then books would make +$3,100.  Anything can happen, but which would you think is more likely to happen?

    Back when the Patriots played the Eagles, I flew to Vegas and unloaded on the Patriots ML and won.  It took me 5 to 6 hours to go through just about every casino to get the best value and to spread out the bets since none of the books would take the whole amount of what I wanted to bet.  The best price Patriots ML I got back then was -190 when the line was -7.

    The Colts are favored by only -4.5 and yet their ML is -200, so what does that tell you?  It's way too expensive for the Colts to lose.

    Hopefully I didn't jinx myself by saying all of this since I unloaded on the Colts ML again.  I'm sitting in a hotel room nervous wreck.

    jkecc

    posted by jkecc

    Feb. 7 2010 8:03pm
  4. 0 likes

    Under is looking good ain't it?  Good call Pisswilly and thank God I wasn't tempted to play a teaser since I would've sided with the over.

    jkecc

    posted by jkecc

    Feb. 7 2010 8:05pm
  5. 0 likes

    I gotta learn to keep my trap shut.  I jinxed myself with my posts since the 2nd half lines are indicating that the game is going to end up REALLY close and the Colts could actually lose the game.  Hopefully, they will just win the freaking game, so I can at least break even.

    jkecc

    posted by jkecc

    Feb. 7 2010 8:13pm
  6. 0 likes

    Great call Lusaka bro$$$

    ricky

    posted by ricky

    Feb. 7 2010 10:59pm
  7. 1 likes

    Somebody check in with Jkecc.  Last time I heard from him, he was alone in a hotel room...Hang in there brother....

    The media hype can be convincing. Bet smart!  We are all here for GP brothers

    lusaka

    posted by lusaka

    Feb. 8 2010 9:47am
  8. 0 likes

    stupid colts.  blah

    stantheman

    posted by stantheman

    Feb. 8 2010 1:19pm
  9. 0 likes

    GREAT CONGRATS LUSAKA$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

    YOU WERE CONFIDENT YOU DESERVE $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

    EXCELLENT CALL RIGHT ON $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

    coolrick1

    posted by coolrick1

    Feb. 8 2010 4:50pm

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