this one's pretty good.

Rockys Winner Circle

PUBLISHERS PREFERRED PLAY (7-2)

ALABAMA -17 ov Mississippi State

MSU came in nicely for us last week as our SEC GAME OF YEAR, but now the charts and the tables have turned, as this is a big negative spot for the Bulldogs here. While the road team has covered the spot the last 3 meetings, can't help but notice that MSU now a superb (depends on how you look at it) 0-9 ATS on the road lately, and that takes precedence here. MSU also 3-16 ATS as SEC dog, and just can't get it done; in games they lose - MSU 2-30 ATS when they lose outright, against a team off an outright loss. Tide 2-7 ATS last 9 in series, but bounce back off UT going 7-2-1 last 10. MOST IMPORTANT data is that Tide top ranking defense will have no trouble stopping the MSU offense, and thats the ball game. Last season a decimated Alabama team went on the road and beat the stuffings out of MSU 38-0, and this one looks like more of the same. Alabama looking to become bowl eligible (have 5 wins now) just off a bye, and know they have to go and get this one aggressively with games against LSU and Auburn up on deck. Its the battle of the trenches, and the matchups all favor HEAVILY the Crimson Tide. ALABAMA ROLLS 45-10

10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK (5-4)

RICE +7.5 ov Fresno State

while FSU finally got back on track with its blowout win last week over SMU, not that excited about backing them on the road again this week, against perennially tough home dog in Rice. Owls 6-1-1 ATS in November, and goes hand in hand with series home team that is now at 4-1 ATS. Rice also 3-0 ATS this season at home, and that figures to continue here today against a FSU defense that has gone "soft" and no longer intimidates opponents as it did earlier in the season, even though that early stomping of Washington proves nothing, as the Huskies have been a disaster all season long and KSU is going through a down season. FRESNO on 4-12 road favorite streak, and just can't ignore Rice at home now 15-2 as home dogs, and on 10-2 spread run. Season ago Bulldogs won on field goal on last play of the game. Just may end that way again, but believe Rice ground game will dominate. RICE 31-23

10* NEWSLETTER GAME OF THE WEEK (7-2)

ARIZONA STATE -10 ov Stanford

was shocked last week, losing Gophers here against INDIANA of all teams, outright no less....so we go back with a home team this week, with a hungry and effective ASU club that will dominate a young, and still inexperienced and overworked offensive and defensive lines. Stanford 3-8-1 ATS on Pac Ten road and won't find the going easy after ASU blew many opportunities last week against Cal, and will make amends here. Couple bad calls blew probable ASU cover last week in front of a rabid home crowd at Cal - but what has happened to Stanford attack lately? Punchless and thats death in the desert this weekend. ASU 8-2 ATS in first of back to back home games and series host a golden 4-0 ATS lately in this matchup. Sun Devils coach Koetter now 18-3 ATS in outright wins at home, and should get this one easy, as I already mentioned how ASU will completely dominate line of scrimmage here today. Hard to see fortunes turn here as ASU averaging 40 points per game at home, win an average win margin of 22. Cardinals barely over 9 points in 3 of last 4 games, and don't have firepower to swap points here. Last 8 matchups in series have seen double digit victories, and this will be no different. Our UNDERDOG GAME OF YEAR comes into this weekend action 22-0 ATS lifetime, our MOUNTAIN WEST GAME OF YEAR is 3-0 ATS LIFETIME, and our STEAM GAME OF THE YEAR is on 4 game win streak and now is at 17-1 ATS LIFETIME, and the greater news is that its all part of this weeks late phone service package for just $99. If thats not enough to wet your appetite for winners, then don't forget about our NFL DIVISIONAL game of year on Sunday, plus college POWER PLAYS that have only gone 29-1 ATS in their last 30 appearances on our late phones. A great NOVEMBER TO REMEMBER ($349) is waiting for you in the WINNERS CIRCLE. Get on the phone now and make that call - its never out of style to have a great weekend - start here and now 1-866-299-4270. ARIZONA STATE 44-14

DOG POUND

IOWA STATE +6 ov Nebraska

NEW MEXICO STATE +3 ov Mid Tennessee

KENTUCKY +24 ov Georgia

FLORIDA ATLANTIC +13 ov Troy State

TEXAS A&M +12 ov Oklahoma

NOTRE DAME +7 ov Tennessee

OREGON +22 ov California

NFL 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (1-6-1)

PITTSBURGH +1.5 ov Philadelphia

More than State bragging rights are on the line in this one, as Steelers looked terrific in dominating win over the Patriots last weekend. Don't expect any type of letdown here by Steelers, coming off that big win against one undefeated team will only fuel their fire to knock off the last one standing in the NFL. With Eagles RB Westbrook doubtful here, Steelers defense will have a free hand at sending the house on McNabb all day long, making life miserable behind center. Pitt QB Big BEN proved us wrong last week, (#4 rated passer in NFL) and is having just an outstanding season and if Boller could move the ball through the air for Baltimore last week, just think what that Steeler passing game will be able to do, with that balanced offense. Pitt also decent home dog lately with 17-7 spread run under Cowher. Philly against AFC teams lately 9-18 ATS and Pitt under Big Ben at QB now on 5-0 outright, and spread run. PITT 15-4-1 home ATS vs upper level teams (.700 win % or better) whle Eagles 1-6 off outright win with spread loss. Another upset in the wings...PITTSBURGH 24-20