14 replies
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2-0 ATS last night
8-0 ATS in the last 8.
Hope you rode...have a great week!
posted by pc7588
June 29 2009 6:43am -
0 likes
"PC7588"
2-0 ATS last night
8-0 ATS in the last 8.
Hope you rode...have a great week!
PC $$$$$$ lately ..... you been following the U21? Got anything England/Germans?
posted by moneycanada
June 29 2009 9:05am -
0 likes
6-29 mlb
CUBS/PITTS OVER 8 EVEN
BOL
posted by maximus
June 29 2009 1:57pm -
0 likes
MLB 1st-Half Season Package
Premium Plays
Matchup: Chicago-N at Pittsburgh
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Mon)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) HARDEN, R vs. (L) DUKE, Z
Play: Pittsburgh (ML +103)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: June 29, 2009 @ 11:49:26 AM EDT
Not sure how much longer the public can continue to support this Cubs team. This game is another prime example as the line is off a good 20 cents here. No reason at all for the Cubs to be getting this kind of respect from the linesmakers.
The Cubs come into this game having just been shutout and are now hitting an abysmal .247 on the year, .237 on the road. Losers of 6 of their last 7 games, this team looks an average team at best and are much worse then that on the road where they are 14-23.
The Pirates when playing at home has been one of the best kept secrets in baseball this year going 21-13 on the year. The normally weak hitting Pirates are hitting almost .300 in their home games.
Cubs starter Harden has been very average all year. His ERA is around 5.00 and since coming back from the DL a few starts ago, he has been actually worse. Duke on the other hand has been consistent all year long. Much like his Pirate teammates he also has flew under the radar.
Better pitcher, hitting team and home field advantage. Plus throw in the travel last night for one team (Cubs). No way this line should be around even. Hard to believe this number but we will take it, with the Pirates.
Handicapper: Jason Sharpe
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Matchup: Minnesota at Kansas City
Time: 8:10 PM EDT (Mon)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) BLACKBURN, N vs. (R) HOCHEVAR, L
Play: Over (9.0 -115)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: June 29, 2009 @ 11:49:27 AM EDT
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB Top Play: OVER the total in Kansas City vs Minnesota @ 8:10 PM ET: Hochevar vs Blackburn – Each of these clubs have a current roster of position players that includes three switch-hitters and five left-handed batters. The significance in that is that each of these starting pitchers has shown a strong tendency in their careers to struggle much more against left-handed hitters than they do against right-handed bats. What we will see from the Royals and Twins lineups tonight is a pretty strong emphasis on left-handed lumber but the right-handed bats that are in there will include some dangerous hitters and hot sticks. In other words, this is a troublesome match-up for both starting pitchers in this one.
The Royals Luke Hochevar has been hit at a .303 clip by left-handed batters in his career. The Twins Nick Blackburn has a .299 BAA versus left-handed hitters this season and a .304 BAA in his career! Even though he has a 1.64 ERA in two career appearances (one start) at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, he does have a .293 BAA there. In fact, the road has not been kind to Blackburn throughout his career. His best numbers have come at home. Away from the Metrodome, Blackburn is 6-13 with a 4.69 ERA and a .301 BAA. Also, Blackburn has proven to be much more successful in day games than at night. The Twins right-hander is just 10-13 at night with a 4.65 ERA and a .308 BAA. Blackburn’s most recent start was concerning. He allowed 11 hits in 8 innings. This included an RBI single to the opposing pitcher (it was an interleague game) and many of the outs were hard hit balls. There were numerous line drive outs and Blackburn was fortunate there was not more damage done against him.
Kansas City’s Hochevar is coming off of a surprisingly strong start in his last outing. However, we’re not going to over-react to just one start. Hochevar is still just 8-16 in his MLB career with a 5.87 ERA and his struggles against lefties are very concerning here. Denard Span is now back for the Twins and Jason Kubel has been knocking the cover off of the ball. Justin Morneau and Joe Maeur are two of the most dangerous hitters in baseball. All of the aforementioned hitters will be standing in on the left-hand side of the box against the Royals right-hander tonight. The Royals bullpen has also struggled this season and this has particularly been true in recent home games. Kansas City has allowed 53 runs in their last five games at Kauffman Stadium. The Twins have averaged five runs per game in their last dozen road games and the Royals are also much better offensively when at home in comparison with on the road as they hit 26 points higher at Kauffman Stadium. This looks like a back and forth game where neither pitcher is able to get into rhythm. Play OVER the total in Kansas City as a Top Play selection.
Handicapper: Scott Rickenbach
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Matchup: Detroit at Oakland
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Mon)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) PORCELLO, R vs. (L) ANDERSON, B
Play: Detroit (ML -108)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: June 29, 2009 @ 11:49:26 AM EDT
The A's are playing awful baseball. The offense has been almost non-existent and the starting pitching has suddenly slumped. Oakland is on a five-game skid coming into tonight's action, and rookie southpaw Brett Anderson has lost all but one of his home starts. Rick Porcello hasn't been quite as sharp of late for the Tigers, but he's still in better form than Anderson, and has a much better attack to support him. I'll spot the reasonable number on the road with the Tigers.
Handicapper: Dave Cokin
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Matchup: Houston at San Diego
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Mon)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) OSWALT, R vs. (R) GEER, J
Play: San Diego (ML +134)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: June 29, 2009 @ 11:49:26 AM EDT
The Astros have lost Oswalt’s last two starts, 5-2 and 4-3. This is a real trouble spot for Oswalt, as the Astros are 0-6 as a road favorite with Oswalt when they lost his last two starts. In addition, the Astros are 0-5 when Roy Oswalt starts on the road after a quality start at home in which they lost, despite being the favorite in four of the five.
The Padres have won their last two 7-3 and 2-0 and will not throw in the towel here. San Diego is a very nice 17-3 at home after a win as a dog in which they scored 3 runs or less. It is also worth mentioning that the Astros are a money-burning 5-11 as a favorite of more than 120 in the first game of a series when facing a team that won at least their last two games.
These two started against each other back on May 10th in Houston. The Astros won easily 12-5 as a big favorite. The Padres are actually terrific when seeking revenge vs a starting pitcher. San Diego is 5-0 at home when they lost the last time they faced this starting pitcher. Meshing perfectly with this one is the fact that the Astros are 0-4 as a favorite when they won the last time they faced their opponent’s starting pitcher!
Finally, Houston is 0-7 THIS season when they lost by one run in their starter’s last start and 0-4 with Oswalt when he threw more than 105 pitches in his last start. San Diego has a ton of line value here.
MTi’s FORECAST: SAN DIEGO 5 Houston 3
Handicapper: Ed Meyer
posted by vegastaco
June 29 2009 4:48pm -
0 likes
Moneycanada,
Really haven't been following it. With all that talent on the pitch and subs in the net, my leans would be England and the over. I think Theo Walcott is one of the best young players in the world and I read in The Sun (London Paper) that Walcott is pissed to hell that he hasn't seen a more prominent role for the team. He will start and should play the full 90 against Germany. His speed is incredible and should wear the German left side ragged. I'll take a look at it more in depth, but my lean would be England first to win and then the over.
posted by pc7588
June 29 2009 5:21pm -
0 likes
LMAO...
4-0 Germany...just saw the result on soccernet.
posted by pc7588
June 29 2009 5:22pm -
0 likes
Tuesday, June 30th
No doubt in my mind. Roll with me on the TWINS Vs. Kansas City
$$$Minnesota Twins$$$
posted by lusaka
June 30 2009 5:17pm -
0 likes
Lusaka, not a bad play, but Bannister can pitch a gem here and there. I'm going after the total in that game. Let's go for 9-0 ATS in the last 9 GP...
I'm all over the under 9 -115 in KC..I would take this down to 8 and I see 8 1/2 +105 on bookmaker, I got 9 this morning, but don't be afraid of the 1/2 run less if you use bookmaker.
Baker and bannister in KC/Twins
Why I like it:
As a Royals fan, I can tell you the K is still a pitcher's ballpark. As mentioned earlier, Bannister has been known to throw gems,and against Minny, he's done well as his number's attest with a 3-1 record and ERA of 3.66 in 7 starts against the Twinkies. Baker is 5-3 with a 3.03 ERA against the Royals in 8 starts. I can tell you this about the Royals' bats, they are dead cold. Guillen and DeJesus are doing all right, but the rest of the team is not showing up. Guys like Willie Bloomquist, Meier, Callaspo and Teahan are really disappointing me. I keep expecting Billy Butler to go off, but it just hasn't happened. bannister can tame the M and M boys (Morneau and Mauer)as he has done throughout his career. You wanna talk backends? Soria and Nathan are two all stars who can hold that run total down and they both have good set up men. I gotta play the under boys as we go for 9 in a row without a loss.
2** on KC/Minny under 9..take it down to 8
GL
posted by pc7588
June 30 2009 6:44pm -
0 likes
$$$$$
9 in a row ATS..easy under.
9-0 in last 9
Congrats Lusaka on Twinkies.
posted by pc7588
July 1 2009 12:04am -
0 likes
en fuego, great work pciddy$$$$
posted by ricky
July 1 2009 12:11am -
0 likes
Thursday, June 2nd
Looking for more accolades from the highly respected capper -- PC Mack Diddy...
I will share my "No doubt in my mind pick"..This time...It's a Dog play.
PHILLIES ML (+125)...
Best road team on ESPN Vs. .500 team at home (Atlanta)...not really relevant
Undefeated Rookie Pitcher Vs. Veteran Pitcher in Vasquez...Yawn!
Trying to avoid a sweep to a divisional foe...to early to care
Having the best Thursday record of any other MLB team....coincidence
9-0 at Turner Field (prior to this series) - Lucky!
Make all the excuses you want, but when you put the intangibles together....It's a 3.8/5 star play.
Roll with me on the Phillies.
posted by lusaka
July 2 2009 1:04pm -
0 likes
MLB 1st-Half Season Package
Premium Plays
Matchup: Philadelphia at Atlanta
Time: 7:10 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: (L) HAPP, J.A. vs. (R) VAZQUEZ, J
Play: Atlanta (ML -135)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: July 2, 2009 @ 12:40:15 PM EDT
Play On: Atlanta w/Vazquez
Note: When the Braves send Javier Vazquez to the mound against the Phillies tonight they will do so knowing he owns a commanding 1.34 ERA in his last six home starts. In those games Vazquez has issued 8 walks against 48 strikeouts. With Vazquez 5-1 with a 3.00 ERA in his last six home team starts against Philadelphia, look for the Braves to continue their winning ways against the Phils here this evening.
Handicapper: Marc Lawrence
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Matchup: Milwaukee at Chicago-N
Time: 8:05 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) McCLUNG, S vs. (R) DEMPSTER, R
Play: Milwaukee (ML +140)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: July 2, 2009 @ 12:40:15 PM EDT
Im going to continue to ride the Brew crew as they are playing good baseball, while the Cubbies are trying to find their 2008 magic that has been gone since th injury bug and the Milton Bradely deal that has not worked out. Dempster is a 2008 wonder biy that has flammed out in 2009, look for the brewers to knock him around while the cubs offense continues to struggle vs. right handed pitching.
Handicapper: Pat Hawkins
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Matchup: Chicago-A at Kansas City
Time: 8:10 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: (L) BUEHRLE, M vs. (L) CHEN, B
Play: Chicago-A (ML -140)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: July 2, 2009 @ 12:40:15 PM EDT
I really like the CWS in this game vs the struggling KC Royals...the Sox have moved over the .500 mark for the first time in a long time and this team has quietly won 12 of their L16 games overall...M.Buehrle has had some of his best career days vs the Royals and I expect him to add to those numbers here...the Sox are hitting the baseball well and should rough up B.Chen in this game who hasn't started a major league game in quite some time...this is a tough spot for him and the KC Royals...the Sox are 20-6 in Buehrles last 26 starts vs. Royals...10-2 in Buehrles last 12 starts as a road favorite...the Royals are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. American League Central...2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter...1-7 in their last 8 home games...0-6 in their last 6 Thursday games...CWS are a LOCK
My numbers really like an "Under" play here as well...Good luck as always! BILL MARZANO
Handicapper: Bill Marzano
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Matchup: Baltimore at Los Angeles-A
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) GUTHRIE, J vs. (R) LACKEY, J
Play: Under (9.5 -125)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: July 2, 2009 @ 12:40:15 PM EDT
Thursday Night MLB "TOTAL" Bailout on Orioles/Angels UNDER 9.5
Neither Guthrie nor Lackey has been at their best this season, but both are getting there and that makes this line seem high. Guthrie's ERA is 3.44 over his last 3 starts and Lackey's ERA is only 2.86 over his last 3 starts. Baltimore has struggled to score runs on the road to begin with (just 3.9 this season) and the cross country trip should have the bats a little more sluggish than usual tonight. The Under is 4-0 in Lackey's last 4 starts vs. the Orioles, 6-1 in his last 7 home starts, and 24-6 in his last 30 home games vs. teams outscored by their opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season (the average total score in this situation is 6.4 runs). In addition, the Under is 5-1 in Guthrie's last 6 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Expecting a pitcher's duel tonight in Game 1 of this series so we'll play the Under.
Handicapper: Jimmy Boyd
posted by vegastaco
July 2 2009 5:56pm -
0 likes
MLB 1st-Half Season Package
Premium Plays
Matchup: Atlanta at Washington
Time: 6:35 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) KAWAKAMI, K vs. (L) DETWILER, R
Play: Atlanta (ML -129)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: July 3, 2009 @ 12:01:40 PM EDT
Atlanta Braves -125 over Washington Nationals: Braves are +16 using my Fibonacci mythology.
I will now start using my proprietary Fibonacci charts, time series, Golden Ratio and other Gann and Fib ratios more and fundamental analysis less for the rest of the year!
Key Factors:
Braves receive +4 based on upward trend and momentum.
Braves receive +3 based on superior 5-1 plus/minus score
Braves receive +3 based on team support.
Nationals receive -3 based on inferior 1-5 +/- score
Nationals receive -3 based on team resistance.
Pick Courtesy Of: Sean O'Connell
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Matchup: Seattle at Boston
Time: 7:10 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) HERNANDEZ, F vs. (R) WAKEFIELD, T
Play: Seattle (ML +108)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: July 3, 2009 @ 12:06:18 PM EDT
We catch a lot of value in this game as this one is almost opposite of most games where the teams control the line and not the starters. Tim Wakefield have been unbeatable at home as hew is 6-0 with the Red Sox going 7-0 in his seven starts at Fenway. However unbeaten and dominating are two different things and Wakefield has been far from the latter. He has a 3.55 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in those seven games which is definitely good but certainly not great. Boston has averaged 8.1 rpg in his home starts so that definitely has something to do with the record. Getting eight runs tonight will definitely be a challenge against Felix Hernandez who is pitching lights out of late. He has tossed seven straight quality outings while allowing one or no runs in six of those games. His ERA over this seven-game stretch is a remarkable 0.85 and he has simply been in the zone. In his career against Boston Hernandez is 3-1 with a 3.05 ERA and that improves to 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in two starts at Fenway Park which includes his one-hit shutout three years ago. Those memories will definitely help him out tonight. The Mariners are 12-4 in Hernandez’s last 16 road starts against a team with a winning record. Seattle is 9-2 in its last 11games when its opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. The Red Sox meanwhile are 1-7 in Wakefield’s last eight starts against the Mariners. Seattle also falls into a solid underdog situation. Play on underdogs that are starting a pitcher whose WHIP is 1.00 or better over his last five starts and with a bullpen whose season ERA is 3.33 or better. This situation is 31-14 (68.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 3* Seattle Mariners
Pick Courtesy Of: Matt Fargo
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Matchup: Arizona at Colorado
Time: 8:10 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) SCHERZER, M vs. (L) DE LA ROSA, J
Play: Over (9.5 -105)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: July 3, 2009 @ 12:08:48 PM EDT
The Rockies return home after a 5-4 road trip, as Colorado hosts struggling Arizona. The D-Backs are coming off consecutive one-run losses in Cincinnati, dropping their record to 31-48. Off yesterday's UNDER against the Reds, Arizona has hit the OVER in 13 of its past 15 off an UNDER. Both teams have hit the OVER consistently this season off one-run setbacks, as Arizona has nailed the OVER in nine of 13 games, while Colorado has drilled the OVER this season in eight of 11 games off a one-run loss, following Wednesday's 1-0 defeat to the Dodgers. Jorge De La Rosa has proved to be a very inconsistent pitcher for the Rockies. Not bad, just inconsistent. Case in point, De La Rosa delivered consecutive solid outings at the beginning of May against the Marlins and Pirates, allowing 3 ER and striking out 22 in 15 IP. In the lefty's next two starts against the Braves and Dodgers, De La Rosa allowed 14 ER in just 7 IP, while his strikeout total dipped to seven. Max Scherzer has seen the OVER his in six of his last seven starts for the D-Backs, despite an impressive 1.80 ERA on the road. Out of the six meetings so far this season, all in Phoenix, two games involving Dan Haren totaled a combined three runs. In the other four games, the OVER hit three times, while double-digit runs were scored in three games. I'll take the Rockies and Diamondbacks to finish OVER the total.
Pick Courtesy Of: Kevin Rogers
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Matchup: Baltimore at Los Angeles-A
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) HERNANDEZ, D vs. (R) SANTANA, E
Play: Los Angeles-A (ML -148)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: July 3, 2009 @ 12:04:08 PM EDT
I really like the Angels in this game vs the Orioles...the Angels are coming into this game off a tough series with the Rangers while the same can be said for the O's with Boston...the Angels rebounded with a nice win last night 5-2 with J.Lackey on the hill and will need the same from E.Santana...Santana just hasn't returned to form from last year due to injury but this will be a key start for him...the Angels are 4-0 in Santanas last 4 home starts vs. Orioles...7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record...11-2 in their last 13 games following a win...33-16 in Santanas last 49 starts as a home favorite...the Oriloes are 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a right-handed starter...16-39 in their last 55 road games...8-20 in their last 28 vs. American League West...13-38 in their last 51 games as a road underdog...7-19 in the last 26 meetings in Los Angeles...7-21 in the last 28 meetings...Angels are a LOCK
Pick Courtesy Of: Bill Marzano
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posted by vegastaco
July 3 2009 4:01pm -
0 likes
9 in a row ATS, going for #10
St. Louis @ Cincy
1:10 PM EST
Guys, I'm taking the over. I had the over last night personally and thought I was a goner, but sure enough the back ends for both teams gave up 6+ runs and put me in the money. Cincy at home on the 4'th should be fireworks. Pujols has been sluggin the ball and is already at 31 dingers before the all star break. It's only a matter of time until we start hearing that he can break Barry's record if he keeps this pace up. Micah Owings and Brad Thompson are NOT going to engage in a pitcher's duel. I see both lineups getting it done today. Phillips has been a catalyst for the reds offense lately and the Reds big sticks are finally breaking out of their slumps. Colby Rasmus and Rick Ankiel are both hitting well for the Cards and Pujols has been on an absolute tear. I'm taking the over fellas.
HAPPY 4'th OF JULY!
2** on Cincy/St. Louis over 9 -115
I would take this sucker at 9 1/2 +105 which is what I see at bookmaker currently. I got 9.
posted by pc7588
July 4 2009 10:30am