Picks for Thurs, Dec 4th

glta

User Avatar

posted by ricky

Dec. 4, 2008 10:37am

11 replies:

  1. NHL

    BOSTON -145

    TORONTO +120

    TORONTO+1.5 + SAN JOSE ML PARLAY

    CFB

    RUTGERS-10

    IN NFL I'M RIDING MR W FROM BALLINPICKS HE'S ON FIRE 3-0 ON WEEKEND.

    GL :wink:

    User Avatar

    posted by takis28

    Dec. 4, 2008 12:37pm
  2. NFL

    SD - 9

    Both teams have been a dissappointment and completely horrible on both sides of the ball. But I'll take SD to cover in this spot. The Bolts are backed into a corner and I think they actually attempt to play up to their ability tonight.

    GL Fellas!

    User Avatar

    posted by starks104

    Dec. 4, 2008 3:34pm
  3. Hey Guys,

    OAK @ SD -9.5 (42)

    The interesting stat I uncovered in this game is the total. First of alI, let's look at the numbers.

    OAK pass off #32 rush off #10

    OAK pass def #7 rush def #29

    SD pass off #9 rush off #26

    SD pass def #31 rush def # 15

    From the numbers, we can expect OAK will first attempt to run the ball and control the pace of the game. I don't expect many points from OAK this evening. They don't have the ability to exploit that SD weak pass defense. As for SD, they will be kept in check most of the game. I expect them to try and establish a run game vs OAK's 29th ranked rush defense. OAK matches up well vs the pass imo.

    Lets look at the trends.

    OAK is 1-1-7 U L9 games in wk 14

    OAK is 7-16 U L23 vs AFC W

    OAK is 3-7 U L10 games

    OAK is 0-4 U L4 games**

    SD is 3-7 U L10 games

    SD is 0-4 U L4 games**

    OAK/SD is 3-7 U L10 meetings

    Lets dig a bit deeper and look at the 1h for both these teams last 4 games. Both teams have played 0-4 U 1h in last four games!!

    SD 1h (AVG = 7.5 pts)

    vs ATL = 7 pts

    vs INDY = 10 pts

    @ PITT = 7 pts

    @ KC = 6 pts

    OAK 1h (AVG = 4 pts)

    vs KC = 3 pts

    @ DEN = 10 pts

    @ MIA = 3 pts

    @ CAR = 0 pts

    I expect both teams to try and establish the run early. This coupled with SD's historical slow starts and a very under rated OAK defense leads to my play in this game.

    Play OAK/SD 1h U21 (med)

    GL,

    Rock

    User Avatar

    posted by rockman

    Dec. 4, 2008 4:25pm
  4. Hey Guys,

    LV @ Rutgers -10

    These teams are heading in opposite directions. LV has gone 0-4 L4 games allowing an average of 33 ppg and only scoring 17. While Rutgers has found its groove going 4-0 L4 games while scoring an average of 42 ppg and only allowing 18.

    Something interesting about LV is they have only played 3 road games this year. They went 1-2 on the road scoring an average of 21 ppg and allowing 32. This team is 5-6 overall but more importantly doesn't travel well. Rugters, on the other hand, is 4-2 @ home and the KEY stat is they are 14-6 ATS vs < .500 teams. Also, the home team is 3-0 SU/ATS last 3 meetings.

    I also found that LV is not protecting their QB, Hunter Cantell this year as they allow allowed 18 sacks. Coincidently, Rutgers has 26 sacks this year. Hunter will be running for his life tonight.

    Let's look at a few common opponents, say within the last four (4) games. These are more relevant to the situation.

    RUT @ PITT ... RUT win 54-34 (+20)

    LV @ PITT ... PITT win 41-7 (-35)

    RUT vs SYR ... RUT win 35-17 (+18)

    LV @ SYR ... SYR win 28-21 (-7)

    The numbers speak for themselves here. The key stat imo is the passing yards allowed by LV. PITT passed for 230 yards and even SYR passed for 179 yards. This doesn't bode well for LV, ranked 80th vs the pass against the 28th ranked pass offense, averaging 250 YPG. Remember, this number is skewed downward because Rutgers just started their explosion four weeks ago.

    Lets look at Rutgers last four (4) games. They averaged 328 yards passing...well above their yearly average

    vs ARMY (ranked 61st pass def) = 359 yards passing

    vs USF (ranked 49st pass def) = 328 yards passing

    vs SYR (ranked 86st pass def) = 276 yards passing ... only because they ran for 207 yards

    vs PITT (ranked 53st pass def) = 348 yards passing

    In summary, LV has not been a good road team and coupled with their inability to stop the pass will result in a Rutgers win this evening. I expect Rutgers to pass over 300 yards and avenge last years loss. I say Rutgers by 17.

    Play Rutgers -10 (med) ... may upgrade later if the line moves accordingly

    GL,

    Rock

    User Avatar

    posted by rockman

    Dec. 4, 2008 4:26pm
  5. AND THE CHATROOM GOES DOWN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRGGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

    User Avatar

    posted by phantom

    Dec. 4, 2008 7:11pm
  6. WTF happened fellas???

    STFU

    User Avatar

    posted by close_call

    Dec. 4, 2008 7:11pm
  7. WTF AGAIN??

    User Avatar

    posted by close_call

    Dec. 4, 2008 7:23pm
  8. need quarters for the meter fellas....plug away.......

    User Avatar

    posted by phantom

    Dec. 4, 2008 7:27pm
  9. I just emailed Ricky

    User Avatar

    posted by hilly

    Dec. 4, 2008 7:34pm
  10. WTF?????

    User Avatar

    posted by samurai

    Dec. 4, 2008 7:51pm
  11. fixed ;)

    User Avatar

    posted by ricky

    Dec. 4, 2008 7:56pm

Post a reply:

You must to post a reply.

got picks? — Where Sports Handicappers Share Winning Strategies

Join thousands of sports handicappers sharing expert picks, proven strategies, and insider insights. Whether you're posting your analysis or following top performers, our community helps you make smarter betting decisions and potentially increase your profits.

Why Choose got picks?

  • 📊 Expert Analysis: Daily picks from proven handicappers
  • 💬 Active Community: Real-time discussions and strategy sharing
  • 📈 Track Record: Follow users with proven winning histories
  • 🎯 Multiple Sports: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, and more