11 replies
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NHL
BOSTON -145
TORONTO +120
TORONTO+1.5 + SAN JOSE ML PARLAY
CFB
RUTGERS-10
IN NFL I'M RIDING MR W FROM BALLINPICKS HE'S ON FIRE 3-0 ON WEEKEND.
GL
posted by takis28
Dec. 4 2008 12:37pm -
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NFL
SD - 9
Both teams have been a dissappointment and completely horrible on both sides of the ball. But I'll take SD to cover in this spot. The Bolts are backed into a corner and I think they actually attempt to play up to their ability tonight.
GL Fellas!
posted by starks104
Dec. 4 2008 3:34pm -
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Hey Guys,
OAK @ SD -9.5 (42)
The interesting stat I uncovered in this game is the total. First of alI, let's look at the numbers.
OAK pass off #32 rush off #10
OAK pass def #7 rush def #29
SD pass off #9 rush off #26
SD pass def #31 rush def # 15
From the numbers, we can expect OAK will first attempt to run the ball and control the pace of the game. I don't expect many points from OAK this evening. They don't have the ability to exploit that SD weak pass defense. As for SD, they will be kept in check most of the game. I expect them to try and establish a run game vs OAK's 29th ranked rush defense. OAK matches up well vs the pass imo.
Lets look at the trends.
OAK is 1-1-7 U L9 games in wk 14
OAK is 7-16 U L23 vs AFC W
OAK is 3-7 U L10 games
OAK is 0-4 U L4 games**
SD is 3-7 U L10 games
SD is 0-4 U L4 games**
OAK/SD is 3-7 U L10 meetings
Lets dig a bit deeper and look at the 1h for both these teams last 4 games. Both teams have played 0-4 U 1h in last four games!!
SD 1h (AVG = 7.5 pts)
vs ATL = 7 pts
vs INDY = 10 pts
@ PITT = 7 pts
@ KC = 6 pts
OAK 1h (AVG = 4 pts)
vs KC = 3 pts
@ DEN = 10 pts
@ MIA = 3 pts
@ CAR = 0 pts
I expect both teams to try and establish the run early. This coupled with SD's historical slow starts and a very under rated OAK defense leads to my play in this game.
Play OAK/SD 1h U21 (med)
GL,
Rock
posted by rockman
Dec. 4 2008 4:25pm -
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Hey Guys,
LV @ Rutgers -10
These teams are heading in opposite directions. LV has gone 0-4 L4 games allowing an average of 33 ppg and only scoring 17. While Rutgers has found its groove going 4-0 L4 games while scoring an average of 42 ppg and only allowing 18.
Something interesting about LV is they have only played 3 road games this year. They went 1-2 on the road scoring an average of 21 ppg and allowing 32. This team is 5-6 overall but more importantly doesn't travel well. Rugters, on the other hand, is 4-2 @ home and the KEY stat is they are 14-6 ATS vs < .500 teams. Also, the home team is 3-0 SU/ATS last 3 meetings.
I also found that LV is not protecting their QB, Hunter Cantell this year as they allow allowed 18 sacks. Coincidently, Rutgers has 26 sacks this year. Hunter will be running for his life tonight.
Let's look at a few common opponents, say within the last four (4) games. These are more relevant to the situation.
RUT @ PITT ... RUT win 54-34 (+20)
LV @ PITT ... PITT win 41-7 (-35)
RUT vs SYR ... RUT win 35-17 (+18)
LV @ SYR ... SYR win 28-21 (-7)
The numbers speak for themselves here. The key stat imo is the passing yards allowed by LV. PITT passed for 230 yards and even SYR passed for 179 yards. This doesn't bode well for LV, ranked 80th vs the pass against the 28th ranked pass offense, averaging 250 YPG. Remember, this number is skewed downward because Rutgers just started their explosion four weeks ago.
Lets look at Rutgers last four (4) games. They averaged 328 yards passing...well above their yearly average
vs ARMY (ranked 61st pass def) = 359 yards passing
vs USF (ranked 49st pass def) = 328 yards passing
vs SYR (ranked 86st pass def) = 276 yards passing ... only because they ran for 207 yards
vs PITT (ranked 53st pass def) = 348 yards passing
In summary, LV has not been a good road team and coupled with their inability to stop the pass will result in a Rutgers win this evening. I expect Rutgers to pass over 300 yards and avenge last years loss. I say Rutgers by 17.
Play Rutgers -10 (med) ... may upgrade later if the line moves accordingly
GL,
Rock
posted by rockman
Dec. 4 2008 4:26pm -
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AND THE CHATROOM GOES DOWN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRGGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
posted by phantom
Dec. 4 2008 7:11pm -
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WTF happened fellas???
STFU
posted by close_call
Dec. 4 2008 7:11pm -
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WTF AGAIN??
posted by close_call
Dec. 4 2008 7:23pm -
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need quarters for the meter fellas....plug away.......
posted by phantom
Dec. 4 2008 7:27pm -
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I just emailed Ricky
posted by hilly
Dec. 4 2008 7:34pm -
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WTF?????
posted by samurai
Dec. 4 2008 7:51pm -
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fixed
posted by ricky
Dec. 4 2008 7:56pm