Picks for SATURDAY, Nov 8th

glta

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posted by ricky

Nov. 5, 2008 12:38am

13 replies:

  1. UGLY DOGS 2008 25-23-1 (around the Mendoza line with the hooks and juice)

    UGLY DOGS were 2-1 last week

    Nov 1 UGLY DOGS

    Win #47 DUKE +7½ @Wake Forest

    Loss #48 AUBURN +7 @Mississippi

    Win #49 @TEXAS TECH +6 vs Texas

    Good luck degenerates and be careful, manage your cheese......

    NOV 8 UGLY DOGS buyin’ the hooks

    UGLY DOG #51 VANDERBILT +24½ (B+½) @ Florida

    UGLY DOG #52 NOTRE DAME +4 (B+½) @ Boston College

    UGLY DOG #53 @LSU +4 (B+½) vs Alabama

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    posted by goat-

    Nov. 5, 2008 4:51am
  2. Texas Tech eeks out another win at home before losing to OK in 2 weeks

    @TEXAS TECH -3 vs OK St

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    posted by goat-

    Nov. 5, 2008 5:04am
  3. Penn State at Iowa Over 42.5

    I see the game total >48 on this one

    Good Luck To All

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    posted by the_rookie10

    Nov. 6, 2008 1:28am
  4. Couple of Trend Games (haven't checked all the games yet but I noticed these two right away b/c their opponents played each other two weeks ago):

    NORTHWESTERN +11

    IOWA +7.5

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    posted by jdelt88

    Nov. 6, 2008 2:41am
  5. BOXING

    ROY JONES JR +210 (who knows what will happen)

    GL Fellas

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    posted by close_call

    Nov. 6, 2008 11:19am
  6. Anyone know why the line went from 6½ to 3½ overnight?

    Nov 08 155 CLEMSON +3½-110 @ 156 FLORIDA STATE -3½-110

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    posted by goat-

    Nov. 7, 2008 6:22pm
  7. Goat..... Dr. Bob is why:

    __________________________________________________________

    3 Star Selection

    ***Clemson 24 FLORIDA ST. (-5.5) 20

    12:30 PM Pacific, 08-Nov-08

    I won with Clemson last week against an overrated Boston College team and I’ll take the Tigers again versus an overrated Florida State squad. Florida State’s 6-2 record was built against a pretty easy schedule of teams and their 4-2 mark in game against Division 1A competition is misleading given that the Seminoles have only out-gained those teams 5.1 yards per play to 5.0 yppl. After compensating for their opponents, the Seminoles rate at 0.1 yppl worse than average on offense and just 0.2 yppl better than average defensively – which is clearly mediocre. Clemson, meanwhile, is a misleading 2-4 in their 6 games against 1A opposition, as the Tigers have out-gained those teams 5.2 yppl to 4.5 yppl and while the Tigers rate at just average offensively they are 1.2 yppl better than average defensively after adjusting for their opposition. These teams are about the same offensively (both average), but Clemson has a HUGE edge defensively. The reason for Clemson’s 2-4 record in 6 games against 1A foes is a -12 turnover margin in those 6 games. Even with the turnover issues, the Tigers have lost just one game by more than 5 points and that was to #1 Alabama. My math model favors Clemson in this game and Florida State applies to a negative 59-108-2 ATS situation. I’ll take Clemson in a 3-Star Best Bet at +4 points or more and for 2-Stars at +3 ½ or +3 points.

    3 Star Selection

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    posted by phball101

    Nov. 7, 2008 7:31pm
  8. here are all of the Dr.'s plays for Saturday:

    _________________________________________________________________

    Rotation #113 Nevada (+1) 3-Stars at -1 or better, 2-Stars from -1 1/2 to -3 points.

    Rotation #125 Illinois (-7) 2-Stars at -8 or less.

    Rotation #136 South Carolina (-12) 3-Stars at -14 or less, 4-Stars at -11 or less, 2-Stars up to -16.

    Rotation #147 Army (+11) 3-Stars at +10 or more, 2-Stars down to +7.

    Rotation #155 Clemson (+5 1/2) 3-Stars at +4 or more, 2-Stars down to +3.

    Rotation #194 USC (-21) 2-Stars at -21 or less.

    Rotation #197 New Mexico (-3 1/2) 3-Stars at -4 or less, 2-Stars up to -6.

    Strong Opinion - Rotation #137 Georgia (-11) Strong Opinion at -11 or less.

    Strong Opinion - Rotation #162 Iowa (+7 1/2) Strong Opinion at +7 or more.

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    posted by phball101

    Nov. 7, 2008 7:33pm
  9. FLA -24 one of the hottest teams in the country and can anyone stop them? I dont think vandy can... Offensively no and defensivly no. Tebow and harvin ran all over them and i see them doing it again big time. BOISE ST -21 HALF they play utah st...need i say more? USC -20.5 another team thats red hot. SC needs to prove they are the best team and want a shot at the title. Look for them to blow out every team they are up against

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    posted by mr_joffie

    Nov. 8, 2008 3:42am
  10. Thanks capcon1 and phball101 for the recon, a 3 pt swing means something gone awry since the line was set (player suspensions) AND/OR money has swung (via Dr Bob's influence). There are bettor games today for me................ I'm staying off the roller coaster ride that is Bobby Bowden chasing the shadow of Joe Paterno............ LOL

    Speaking of Joe Pa, I like {161} Penn St -7 @ Iowa. Penn St coming off a bye week, Iowa coming off a loss at Ill last week. Joe needs style points to bust a move.

    My 2 chalk plays today are Penn St & Texas Tech. For Tex Tech, I like the home team in this series........ Many talking heads in sports (TV/Radio) have outlined a very logical case for OK St over Tex Tech here so be careful on this one. The talking heads say OK St is the best 1 loss team, blah, blah, blah. Well, those same talking heads maintained last week that TCU is/was the best 1 loss team. How's that working out for them (TCU) after that comeback win late in the 4th by Utah? So now they're the best team with 2 losses............. and so it goes

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    posted by goat-

    Nov. 8, 2008 8:14am
  11. goat.....the dr moves the lines every thursday evening, when his plays are released.

    here is my saturday card:

    330 to win 300:

    Florida State -4

    Texas Tech -3.5

    220 to win 200::

    Bowling Green -2.5

    Bama -3.5

    Cal +22

    San Jose State -7

    Oregon State -7.5

    GL Guys!!!

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    posted by phball101

    Nov. 8, 2008 1:54pm
  12. Do we have any boxing opinions? Is Jones running on empty or does he have a puncher's chance?

    Nov 08 11:00 PM EST

    9983 JOE CALZAGH -330

    9984 ROY JONES JR +260

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    posted by goat-

    Nov. 8, 2008 2:11pm
  13. A couple for today............

    * * * RICE OVER 55- * * *

    * * * Okla. -27 * * *

    * * * Houston Over 56- * * *

    GLTA,

    BeeSmart

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    posted by beesmart

    Nov. 8, 2008 2:50pm

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