Picks for *****Sunday*****, October 17
GLTA 
NCAAFB record: 10-9 (+2.0 units)
NFL record: 5-4 (+1.5 units)
posted by ricky
23 replies
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0 likes
One shot, one kill, makes sense to me...Why waste ammo when you can save it for later prey? Let's cash in on 1 game and quit your whining about nothing.
TENNESSEE TITANS OVER Houston
How about those SD Chargers last week over Juagars 34-21?
One shot, one kill...Works for me.
posted by wolfman
Oct. 13 2004 6:59pm -
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My bad...Should I'm still stuck on last week...LMAO
TENNESSEE TITANS OVER Houston
Line is at -6.5 TEN...Might be 7 or higher perhaps later in the week...Don't ask, I don't know.
Still good as dead...One shot, one kill...Works all the time, just don't miss.
posted by wolfman
Oct. 13 2004 7:06pm -
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Must be the Vicodin...Can't spell and not making sense but dollars...Jaguars, I know...This damn back is hungry for Vicodin when I should be taking Viagra...Nothing like a hard on for hours...Well, don't take a beating if you can't handle the heat...One shot, one kil...Just point it towards TENNESSE TITANS baby.
posted by wolfman
Oct. 13 2004 7:11pm -
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Atlanta (-5) No one is talking about Atlanta D, but believe it or not, they're one of the best in the business. Atlanta D should contain Tomlinson and Company. Don't let SD success the last two weeks at home fool you. SD is not that good on D so Michael Vick should have a field day in the dome. Look for an easy win by ATL after they slept through Detroit.
Good luck all.
posted by a_t_s
Oct. 14 2004 9:57am -
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I agree with A_T_S - Atlanta D will contain Tomlinson and after him they have nothing... San Diego shouldn't score more than 13 points. San Diego D is suspect & Vick has to be getting impatient with the WCO. Look for the coaches to let him run outside a bit more, and watch Atlanta dominate the game.
Atlanta -5
Philadelphia -9.5 (BIG) -
Revenge game vs. one big IR list of Carolina, off a bye week, healthy and at home - With no steve smith at WR & a banged up Steven Davis being the only substantial RB in the lineup, it should be a laugher.
posted by tigertimsju
Oct. 15 2004 11:17am -
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very average last week, with buf blowing my perfect upset special wins.
Anyway heres this weeks:
Average Plays:
SF +10, the jets are just not this good.
Den -1.5. Collins is good for 3 turnovers
Wash - playing a hunch
Atl - ATS is still the man
Lock of the week:
KC -1.5 - jack just cant score, and kc is to potent on offence
Upset special
Cin +3
Upset specials ATS(3-0), win out right (2-1)
Average plays 9-7
Locks - 3-1
posted by portchop
Oct. 15 2004 7:09pm -
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These are my picks for Sunday - I will be out of town, so I have already placed my bets:
Miami +5.5
Tennessee -6.5
Kansas City -2.5
Denver -2
And for Sunday night:
Minnesota -3.5, Under 51
GOOD LUCK
posted by po_man
Oct. 16 2004 10:46pm -
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MY NEW "FORGETABOUTIT" PLAY OF THE DAY...
ATL -5
ATL POSSESSES TOO MUCH TEAM SPEED FOR SD TO KEEP UP WITH. SD HAS FAIRED WELL AGAINST SLOWER TEAMS BUT SHOULD BE EXPOSED IN ATL. OF ATL'S ONLY LOSS, IT CAME AGAINST ANOTHER TEAM WITH GREAT SPEAD ON BOTH SIDES OF THE BALL, DETROIT, WHO ALSO EXCELLS ON TURF.
IN THEIR 3 WINS, IT CAME AT THE EXPENSE OF TEAMS THAT DIDN'T FAIR TOO WELL AGAINST THE RUN (HOU/ TENN EARLY IN THE YR/ AND JAX NOW THAT IT HAS STROUD PLAYING END LIKE IT DID @ SD)
BASICALLY, TEAM SPEED CAN DOMINATE THE GAME MUCH LIKE ST/LUIS DURING THEIR 2 DOMINATING YRS. EVEN THEN, THEY HAD TROUBLE WITH TAMPA, ANOTHER TEAM THAT HAD TREAMENDOUS TEAM SPEED.
SD'S 2 LOSSES CAME AGAINST TEAMS THAT FIT THE DESCRIPTION, DENVER AND THE JETS (WHICH IS THE MAIN REASON FOR THE JETS EARLY SUCCESS W/ THE DRAFTING OF JONATHON VILMA AND PROMOTION OF VICTOR HOBSON...2 OF THE FASTER LB'S IN THE LEAGUE). THESE ARE ALSO 2 TEAMS THAT FALL IN THE BOTTOM HALF OF THE TOP 10 TEAMS VRS. THE RUN. THEY CONTAINED LT WHICH EXPOSED BREES.
HERE ARE SOME TID-BITS TO QUALIFY MY THEORY...
*LT HAS A 3.8 AVG ON THE ROAD AND ONLY 1 OF HIS 4 TDS. HE HAS 6 REC FOR 6 YRDS.
*AGAINST DEN AND THE JETS, THESE WERE BREES #'S...
121 YDS 48% COMP AND 59% QB RATING
146 YDS 42% COMP AND 47% QB RATING
THIS IS ATTRIBUTED TO THE D ABILITY TO CONTAIN LT
PART OF SD'S SUCCESS IS LT'S ABILITY TO RUN ON 1ST DOWN...
50 CARRIES FOR 231 AND A 4.9 AVG.
THIS GIVES BREES THE BALL, ON AVERAGE, W/ A 2 AND 5.
* ON 2ND AND LESS THAN 6, BREES HAS HIT FOR 6 OF 7 PASSES (85%) FOR 74 YRDS (OVER 11 YRDS/COMP). THESE MAY BE SMALL #'S BUT THEY KEEP A DRIVE ALIVE.
* ON 2 AND 6+, HE IS 20 OF 35. THIS IS STILL A DECENT AVG (57%) BUT IT ALSO SHOWS 14 MORE TIMES WHERE THEY WERE IN A 3RD IN LONG
WHEN ATL IS SUCCESSFUL AGAINST LT, THEY WILL EAT BREES ALIVE.
* WHEN BEHIND IN 04, THESE ARE BREES #'S
50% COMP/ HIS ONLY 2 INTS/ 67 QB RATING AND 4 OF HIS 7 SACKS.
5/7 SACKS HAVE COME ON 3RD DOWN WHICH HE WILL BE IN PLENTY FORCING HIM TO FACE 2 OF THE TOP 5 NFC SACK LEADERS.
* WHEN BEHIND IN HIS CAREER
60% COMP/ 21TDS VRS. 25 INTS/ AND A 73 QB RATING
* WHEN SD'S BEHIND BY 8-14, HERE ARE BREES #'S
45% COMP AND A 56 QB RATING
*WHEN BEHIND BY 8-14, HERE ARE LT'S #'S...
27 CARRIES FOR 91 YDS. FOR A 3.4 AVG.
* IT ONLY SHOWS FOR 2 GAMES WHERE BREES HAS PLAYED ON TURF, COULD BE WRONG. BUT, HERE ARE THE #'S...
57% COMP/ 0 TDS WITH 2 INTS/ AND A 58 QB RATING
UNFORTUNETLY, THERE ISNT ENOUGH DATA TO SEE HOW LT HAS FAIRED W/ 6+ IN THE BOX. BUT HERE ARE THE #'S ANYWAYS...
6 CARRIES FOR 14 YARDS AND A TD.
* IRONICALLY, ATL IS FIRST IN RUN OFFENSE AND DEFENSE
THEY ONLY STRUGGLE WITH THE PASS WHERE SD STRUGGLES DEFENSIVELY
EVEN THOUGH SD IS ,STATISTICALLY, GOOD AGAINST THE RUN, LOOK FOR DUNN TO GET OFF A COUPLE OF NICE RUNS.
HOPEFULLY, THIS HELPS THOSE WHO ALREADY LIKED ATL
OTHER PLAYS
GB +2 (DETROIT CANT REALLY RUN SO I JUST FEEL GB JOKE DEFENSE WONT BE AS PATHETIC. ALSO, GREEN HAS TO GET OFF THIS GAME. BUT, MOST OF ALL, THERE STILL IS A PSYCHOLOGICAL EFFECT SOME TEAMS HAVE OVER OTHERS. CALL IT A GUT FEELIN MOSTLY)
K.C-2 ( JAX LOST THEIR 2 DE'S AND THEY ALREADY DIDNT HAVE A PASS RUSH. GREEN WILL HAVE ALL DAY TO THROW. JAX CANT RUN WITH THAT LINE SO KC RUN D WONT BE AS EXPOSED. SO FAR, KC PASS D IS NOT THAT BAD)
JETS-10 (SF JUST LOST PETERSON AND COULD NOT HAVE ERIC JOHNSON SUITED WHO IS THEIR BEST WEAPON THIS YR. IN THEIR ONLY VICTORY, HE HAD 162 AND A TD AND THEY BARELY WON AGAINST ARIZONA. THE T.O. DEPARTMENT HAS A 12-13 SWING)
UNDER 31 IN MIAMI/BILLS ( BOTH TEAMS GAME AVGS TOTALS ARE 30 OR LESS AGAINST WHO EVER THEY HAVE ALREADY PLAYED. JUST IMAGINE WHEN THEY PLAY EACH OTHER).
PHILLY-9 (WHY NOT?).
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THE NOVEL. THE WAY THIS NFL YEAR HAS BEEN, NONE OF THESE PLAYS MIGHT COME IN SO I ADVISE YOU TO FADE ME..."F" IT, GET ME SOME MORE HENNY AND LIGHT ME UP ANOTHER FUENTE...PEACE
GL AND MAKE $$$$$$$$$$$$$$
THE NOOCH
posted by thenooch
Oct. 17 2004 1:39am -
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Last Week: 2-3
MIAMI (Gold) L
BUFFALO (Large) W
HOUSTON (Large) L
OAKLAND (Average) L
SAN DIEGO (Average) W
Overall: 7-15-1
0-3 Gold Plays
3-5-1 Large Plays
4-7 Average Plays
This Week's Plays (I have a bunch, but I love this card just like I did in Week 4 when I got smashed):
SAN FRANCISCO +10 (Gold Play)
OAKLAND +2 (Gold Play)
NEW ORLEANS +3.5 (Large Play)
CHICAGO Pick (Large Play) (unfortunately, this line has moved to Chi -1.5)
GREEN BAY +3 (Large Play) (I waited here and got my 3)
SEATTLE +4.5 (Large Play) (I got this one early in the week just like Chi.)
CINCINNATI +3 (Average Play)
HOUSTON +6.5 (Average Play)
GOOD LUCK!!!!! I think it's finally my week to cash in big, especially after 7-1 College Football day!
Del-T
posted by jdelt88
Oct. 17 2004 4:27am -
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HOUSTON -170 (Average Play) (this is going to be a tough series)
NEW YORK -110 (Average Play) (my broom is ready)
Playoff Record: 4-5
2-1 Large Plays
2-4 Average Plays
GOOD LUCK!!!!!
Del-T
posted by jdelt88
Oct. 17 2004 5:37am -
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Look for these plays to bounce back this week. #1 Tie Sea & Pitt,#2 Den,#3 Kan,#4 Mia,#5 Sdg.
posted by spampy
Oct. 17 2004 8:19am -
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SHORT ON TIME AND BRAINS !! 10-16 NFL!! 38-29 COLLEGE !! DOLPHINS +6 !! JETS -10!! SEAHAWKS + 3.5 !! SKINS +1!! OAKLAND +1.5!! GL
posted by joeweaver
Oct. 17 2004 9:44am -
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Went 2-1 last week, but Seahawks screwed me over. Here are my best 3 games I like this week:
1) Vikings (-3.5)
2) Chiefs (-2)
3) Lions (-2)
All bets were made Friday to take advantage of 5% juice on Sportsbook.
Good luck everyone!!
posted by jernov99
Oct. 17 2004 10:19am -
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Free Pick
Kansas City vs. Jacksonville Over 44, Sun@1:00p
Good Luck
"Big Dan"
posted by bigdanusa
Oct. 17 2004 10:50am -
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4 from me 2day. Gonna put the same 1UNIT on each since I'm pretty far ahead this week (don't need to get too greedy). $$$
Jaguars +2.5
Lions -2.5
Eagles -9
Steelers +3
GLTA!
posted by ricky
Oct. 17 2004 11:02am -
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Good Morning. Those good look Ricky. I like Det as well !
We had another money making Sat thanks in part to the $$ Clemson Tigers $$ All in All, A NICE Day $$
My 1 pick for today that I like is
Oakland + 2 3 Units
As long as Collins is the QB. Bet Oak at home and against Oak on the road.
Good Luck 2 ALL $$$$$$
and BET WISELY $$$$
Just have guys. dont try to replace your full-time job with a hobby !
NCAA 25-19 + 4.7 units
NFL 7-5 - 0.8 units
$ Diamond Cutter $ 7-2 + 46.9 units
posted by sundaybreak
Oct. 17 2004 11:19am -
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play of the week--cowboys -3
best bet-seattle--seahawks+3.5
opinions--raiders +2 and the jags +2.5
Good luck fellas i hope the rooms in a good mood for monday night football....................we lose were on edge
posted by cokeman1395
Oct. 17 2004 11:54am -
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phball101 plays today
NFL:
Atlanta -5
Houston +6
Denver -1.5
Pittsburgh +3
Philadelphia -9.5
and for totals....
Tenn/Houston Over 45
NY Jets/San Fran Over43
GLTA!!!!!!!!!!!!!:twisted:
posted by phball101
Oct. 17 2004 12:00pm -
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EAGLES -9.5
BENGALS +3
FALCONS -4.5
CHIEFS -2.5
NY JETS OVER 43
Late games I am liking PITT and OAK.......
Good luck and smart betting!!!!!!!!!
posted by wardawg14522
Oct. 17 2004 12:46pm -
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Haven't posted since last year. But her goes:
Par'd ATL -5 & BUF -4.5
K.C. -2.5
GLTA!
posted by hevman
Oct. 17 2004 1:07pm -
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"phball101":2w29m2v1
phball101 plays today
NFL:
Atlanta -5
Houston +6
Denver -1.5
Pittsburgh +3
Philadelphia -9.5
and for totals....
Tenn/Houston Over 45
NY Jets/San Fran Over43
GLTA!!!!!!!!!!!!!:twisted:
well, 4-1 on sides today including the big dog houston going into tennessee and getting the outright victory(brilliant)! totals sucked though, and for tonight......
Minnesota -3.5
Under 53
posted by phball101
Oct. 17 2004 7:15pm -
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for tonight i got...
MIN -3.5 (4 UNITS)
NFL Record:
3-3 +0 UNITS
posted by allbee
Oct. 17 2004 7:55pm -
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Yo J-Ball...It's brilliant to be 4-1 but I think you meant to say 4-3 (totals) LOL...It's cool, you stand corrected...Nothing like betting anything on tv huh? Let me do this for you buddy...5-4 (shoot-out in NO)
...Not so brilliant !!! Damn, talk about the monkey curse...SD lost a tough one or gave that away...Screw covering the spread, I wanted my boys to win...Monkey curse was on TEN...Curse of the 3's? 3 INT's...3 straight losses at home and 3rd time the charm for the Wolf? Not so brilliant...Win some, lose some...I guess I missed with that stone, the damn target moved...LOL...One shot, one miss...What can I say?
Is it thanksgiving yet?
posted by wolfman
Oct. 17 2004 11:56pm