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   Supporting documentation

   The game-by-game numbers for each team, showing the likelihood of victory in each game. For Arizona’s next three games, for example, we have them as unlikely to win against Dallas (35%) or Carolina (25%) but a clear favorite at St. Louis (65%).

   Arizona

   win @ San Francisco

   win vs. Miami

   loss @ Washington

   loss @ NY Jets

   win vs. Buffalo

   35% vs. Dallas

   25% @ Carolina

   65% @ St. Louis

   80% vs. San Francisco

   45% @ Seattle

   35% vs. NY Giants

   20% @ Philadelphia

   97% vs. St. Louis

   55% vs. Minnesota

   30% @ New England

   65% vs. Seattle

   Atlanta

   win vs. Detroit

   loss @ Tampa Bay

   win vs. Kansas City

   loss @ Carolina

   win @ Green Bay

   40% vs. Chicago

   20% @ Philadelphia

   50% @ Oakland

   40% vs. New Orleans

   35% vs. Denver

   40% vs. Carolina

   15% @ San Diego

   20% @ New Orleans

   45% vs. Tampa Bay

   10% @ Minnesota

   80% vs. St. Louis

   Baltimore

   win vs. Cincinnati

   win vs. Cleveland

   loss @ Pittsburgh

   loss vs. Tennessee

   20% @ Indianapolis

   45% @ Miami

   75% vs. Oakland

   45% @ Cleveland

   45% @ Houston

   5% @ NY Giants

   40% vs. Philadelphia

   60% @ Cincinnati

   35% vs. Washington

   45% vs. Pittsburgh

   5% @ Dallas

   50% vs. Jacksonville

   Buffalo

   win vs. Seattle

   win @ Jacksonville

   win vs. Oakland

   win @ St. Louis

   loss @ Arizona

   50% vs. San Diego

   50% @ Miami

   60% vs. NY Jets

   35% @ New England

   80% vs. Cleveland

   80% @ Kansas City

   85% vs. San Francisco

   75% vs. Miami

   45% @ NY Jets

   30% @ Denver

   45% vs. New England

   Carolina

   win @ San Diego

   win vs. Chicago

   loss @ Minnesota

   win vs. Atlanta

   win vs. Kansas City

   45% @ Tampa Bay

   60% vs. New Orleans

   75% vs. Arizona

   65% @ Oakland

   99% vs. Detroit

   60% @ Atlanta

   45% @ Green Bay

   60% vs. Tampa Bay

   70% vs. Denver

   45% @ NY Giants

   50% @ New Orleans

   Chicago

   win @ Indianapolis

   loss @ Carolina

   loss vs. Tampa Bay

   win vs. Philadelphia

   win @ Detroit

   60% @ Atlanta

   55% vs. Minnesota

   96% vs. Detroit

   45% vs. Tennessee

   45% @ Green Bay

   75% @ St. Louis

   35% @ Minnesota

   55% vs. Jacksonville

   55% vs. New Orleans

   55% vs. Green Bay

   45% @ Houston

   Cincinnati

   loss @ Baltimore

   loss vs. Tennessee

   loss @ NY Giants

   loss vs. Cleveland

   loss @ Dallas

   15% @ NY Jets

   25% vs. Pittsburgh

   25% @ Houston

   35% vs. Jacksonville

   30% vs. Philadelphia

   10% @ Pittsburgh

   40% vs. Baltimore

   10% @ Indianapolis

   30% vs. Washington

   35% @ Cleveland

   80% vs. Kansas City

   Cleveland

   loss vs. Dallas

   loss vs. Pittsburgh

   loss @ Baltimore

   win @ Cincinnati

   15% vs. NY Giants

   10% @ Washington

   15% @ Jacksonville

   55% vs. Baltimore

   40% vs. Denver

   20% @ Buffalo

   55% vs. Houston

   30% vs. Indianapolis

   10% @ Tennessee

   5% @ Philadelphia

   65% vs. Cincinnati

   5% @ Pittsburgh

   Dallas

   win @ Cleveland

   win vs. Philadelphia

   win @ Green Bay

   loss vs. Washington

   win vs. Cincinnati

   65% @ Arizona

   90% @ St. Louis

   75% vs. Tampa Bay

   45% @ NY Giants

   50% @ Washington

   95% vs. San Francisco

   90% vs. Seattle

   55% @ Pittsburgh

   55% vs. NY Giants

   95% vs. Baltimore

   50% @ Philadelphia

   Denver

   win @ Oakland

   win vs. San Diego

   win vs. New Orleans

   loss @ Kansas City

   win vs. Tampa Bay

   60% vs. Jacksonville

   45% @ New England

   75% vs. Miami

   60% @ Cleveland

   65% @ Atlanta

   80% vs. Oakland

   45% @ NY Jets

   95% vs. Kansas City

   30% @ Carolina

   70% vs. Buffalo

   35% @ San Diego

   Detroit

   loss @ Atlanta

   loss vs. Green Bay

   loss @ San Francisco

   loss vs. Chicago

   2% @ Minnesota

   15% @ Houston

   20% vs. Washington

   4% @ Chicago

   35% vs. Jacksonville

   1% @ Carolina

   35% vs. Tampa Bay

   20% vs. Tennessee

   30% vs. Minnesota

   2% @ Indianapolis

   30% vs. New Orleans

   5% @ Green Bay

   Green Bay

   win vs. Minnesota

   win @ Detroit

   loss vs. Dallas

   loss @ Tampa Bay

   loss vs. Atlanta

   45% @ Seattle

   55% vs. Indianapolis

   35% @ Tennessee

   35% @ Minnesota

   55% vs. Chicago

   45% @ New Orleans

   55% vs. Carolina

   75% vs. Houston

   35% @ Jacksonville

   45% @ Chicago

   95% vs. Detroit

   Houston

   loss @ Pittsburgh

   loss @ Tennessee

   loss @ Jacksonville

   loss vs. Indianapolis

   70% vs. Miami

   85% vs. Detroit

   75% vs. Cincinnati

   30% @ Minnesota

   55% vs. Baltimore

   25% @ Indianapolis

   45% @ Cleveland

   55% vs. Jacksonville

   25% @ Green Bay

   50% vs. Tennessee

   50% @ Oakland

   55% vs. Chicago

   Indianapolis

   loss vs. Chicago

   win @ Minnesota

   loss vs. Jacksonville

   win @ Houston

   80% vs. Baltimore

   45% @ Green Bay

   35% @ Tennessee

   55% vs. New England

   45% @ Pittsburgh

   75% vs. Houston

   25% @ San Diego

   70% @ Cleveland

   90% vs. Cincinnati

   98% vs. Detroit

   50% @ Jacksonville

   55% vs. Tennessee

   Jacksonville

   loss @ Tennessee

   loss vs. Buffalo

   win @ Indianapolis

   win vs. Houston

   loss vs. Pittsburgh

   40% @ Denver

   85% vs. Cleveland

   65% @ Cincinnati

   65% @ Detroit

   55% vs. Tennessee

   60% vs. Minnesota

   45% @ Houston

   45% @ Chicago

   65% vs. Green Bay

   50% vs. Indianapolis

   50% @ Baltimore

   Kansas City

   loss @ New England

   loss vs. Oakland

   loss @ Atlanta

   win vs. Denver

   loss @ Carolina

   15% vs. Tennessee

   5% @ NY Jets

   20% vs. Tampa Bay

   3% @ San Diego

   20% vs. New Orleans

   20% vs. Buffalo

   20% @ Oakland

   5% @ Denver

   20% vs. San Diego

   40% vs. Miami

   20% @ Cincinnati

   Miami

   loss vs. NY Jets

   loss @ Arizona

   win @ New England

   win vs. San Diego

   30% @ Houston

   55% vs. Baltimore

   50% vs. Buffalo

   25% @ Denver

   60% vs. Seattle

   65% vs. Oakland

   40% vs. New England

   60% @ St. Louis

   25% @ Buffalo

   70% vs. San Francisco

   60% @ Kansas City

   25% @ NY Jets

   Minnesota

   loss @ Green Bay

   loss vs. Indianapolis

   win vs. Carolina

   loss @ Tennessee

   45% @ New Orleans

   98% vs. Detroit

   45% @ Chicago

   70% vs. Houston

   65% vs. Green Bay

   45% @ Tampa Bay

   40% @ Jacksonville

   65% vs. Chicago

   70% @ Detroit

   45% @ Arizona

   90% vs. Atlanta

   45% vs. NY Giants

   New England

   win vs. Kansas City

   win @ NY Jets

   loss vs. Miami

   win @ San Francisco

   40% @ San Diego

   55% vs. Denver

   99% vs. St. Louis

   45% @ Indianapolis

   65% vs. Buffalo

   65% vs. NY Jets

   60% @ Miami

   65% vs. Pittsburgh

   45% @ Seattle

   80% @ Oakland

   70% vs. Arizona

   55% @ Buffalo

   New Orleans

   win vs. Tampa Bay

   loss @ Washington

   loss @ Denver

   win vs. San Francisco

   55% vs. Minnesota

   85% vs. Oakland

   40% @ Carolina

   50% vs. San Diego

   60% @ Atlanta

   80% @ Kansas City

   55% vs. Green Bay

   45% @ Tampa Bay

   80% vs. Atlanta

   45% @ Chicago

   70% @ Detroit

   50% vs. Carolina

   NY Giants

   win vs. Washington

   win @ St. Louis

   win vs. Cincinnati

   win vs. Seattle

   85% @ Cleveland

   99% vs. San Francisco

   55% @ Pittsburgh

   55% vs. Dallas

   55% @ Philadelphia

   95% vs. Baltimore

   65% @ Arizona

   50% @ Washington

   65% vs. Philadelphia

   45% @ Dallas

   55% vs. Carolina

   55% @ Minnesota

   NY Jets

   win @ Miami

   loss vs. New England

   loss @ San Diego

   win vs. Arizona

   85% vs. Cincinnati

   65% @ Oakland

   95% vs. Kansas City

   40% @ Buffalo

   98% vs. St. Louis

   35% @ New England

   30% @ Tennessee

   55% vs. Denver

   60% @ San Francisco

   55% vs. Buffalo

   45% @ Seattle

   75% vs. Miami

   Oakland

   loss vs. Denver

   win @ Kansas City

   loss @ Buffalo

   loss vs. San Diego

   15% @ New Orleans

   35% vs. NY Jets

   25% @ Baltimore

   50% vs. Atlanta

   35% vs. Carolina

   35% @ Miami

   20% @ Denver

   80% vs. Kansas City

   10% @ San Diego

   20% vs. New England

   50% vs. Houston

   15% @ Tampa Bay

   Philadelphia

   win vs. St. Louis

   loss @ Dallas

   win vs. Pittsburgh

   loss @ Chicago

   loss vs. Washington

   80% @ San Francisco

   80% vs. Atlanta

   45% @ Seattle

   45% vs. NY Giants

   70% @ Cincinnati

   60% @ Baltimore

   80% vs. Arizona

   35% @ NY Giants

   95% vs. Cleveland

   40% @ Washington

   50% vs. Dallas

   Pittsburgh

   win vs. Houston

   win @ Cleveland

   loss @ Philadelphia

   win vs. Baltimore

   win @ Jacksonville

   75% @ Cincinnati

   45% vs. NY Giants

   45% @ Washington

   55% vs. Indianapolis

   65% vs. San Diego

   90% vs. Cincinnati

   35% @ New England

   45% vs. Dallas

   55% @ Baltimore

   30% @ Tennessee

   95% vs. Cleveland

   San Diego

   loss vs. Carolina

   loss @ Denver

   win vs. NY Jets

   win @ Oakland

   loss @ Miami

   60% vs. New England

   50% @ Buffalo

   50% @ New Orleans

   97% vs. Kansas City

   35% @ Pittsburgh

   75% vs. Indianapolis

   85% vs. Atlanta

   90% vs. Oakland

   80% @ Kansas City

   45% @ Tampa Bay

   65% vs. Denver

   San Francisco

   loss vs. Arizona

   win @ Seattle

   win vs. Detroit

   loss @ New Orleans

   loss vs. New England

   20% vs. Philadelphia

   1% @ NY Giants

   50% vs. Seattle

   20% @ Arizona

   75% vs. St. Louis

   5% @ Dallas

   15% @ Buffalo

   40% vs. NY Jets

   30% @ Miami

   55% @ St. Louis

   35% vs. Washington

   Seattle

   loss @ Buffalo

   loss vs. San Francisco

   win vs. St. Louis

   loss @ NY Giants

   55% vs. Green Bay

   25% @ Tampa Bay

   50% @ San Francisco

   55% vs. Philadelphia

   40% @ Miami

   55% vs. Arizona

   55% vs. Washington

   10% @ Dallas

   55% vs. New England

   60% @ St. Louis

   55% vs. NY Jets

   35% @ Arizona

   St. Louis

   loss @ Philadelphia

   loss vs. NY Giants

   loss @ Seattle

   loss vs. Buffalo

   2% @ Washington

   10% vs. Dallas

   1% @ New England

   35% vs. Arizona

   2% @ NY Jets

   25% @ San Francisco

   25% vs. Chicago

   40% vs. Miami

   3% @ Arizona

   40% vs. Seattle

   45% vs. San Francisco

   20% @ Atlanta

   Tampa Bay

   loss @ New Orleans

   win vs. Atlanta

   win @ Chicago

   win vs. Green Bay

   loss @ Denver

   55% vs. Carolina

   75% vs. Seattle

   25% @ Dallas

   80% @ Kansas City

   55% vs. Minnesota

   65% @ Detroit

   55% vs. New Orleans

   40% @ Carolina

   55% @ Atlanta

   55% vs. San Diego

   85% vs. Oakland

   Tennessee

   win vs. Jacksonville

   win @ Cincinnati

   win vs. Houston

   win vs. Minnesota

   win @ Baltimore

   85% @ Kansas City

   65% vs. Indianapolis

   65% vs. Green Bay

   55% @ Chicago

   45% @ Jacksonville

   70% vs. NY Jets

   80% @ Detroit

   90% vs. Cleveland

   50% @ Houston

   70% vs. Pittsburgh

   45% @ Indianapolis

   Washington

   loss @ NY Giants

   win vs. New Orleans

   win vs. Arizona

   win @ Dallas

   win @ Philadelphia

   98% vs. St. Louis

   90% vs. Cleveland

   80% @ Detroit

   55% vs. Pittsburgh

   50% vs. Dallas

   45% @ Seattle

   50% vs. NY Giants

   65% @ Baltimore

   70% @ Cincinnati

   60% vs. Philadelphia

   65% @ San Francisco

   

   posted by drtnapper07

   Oct. 7 2008 2:58pm