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10:30 PM EDT

1 STAR SELECTION (2% of Bankroll)

FRESNO STATE +2 over Wisconsin

In a Top-25 matchup on Saturday, the Bulldogs play host to the Badgers, with both teams looking to remain unbeaten on the season.

Wisconsin has yet to be tested this season, as the team has rolled at home past Akron and Marshall in consecutive weeks. Meanwhile, Fresno State has only played one game thus far, as it knocked off Rutgers on the road by a 24-7 final back on September 1st. The Bulldogs are 10-1 in home openers under Pat Hill, winning each of the last nine years. The highest-ranked opponent the team has ever beaten was then 10th-ranked Oregon State in September of 2001, and now Fresno looks to repeat that performance against the current #10 team.

There is no question that Fresno State has the skill to beat Wisconsin, and being at home certainly helps the Bulldogs' chances. It’s an absolutely nasty environment for visitors, all the worse for teams making their first appearance in Fresno, as the Badgers are here.

Wisconsin has struggled on the road of late, going 0-6 ATS away from home last 6 games, and our database research shows that despite 2 big home wins to start the season, road favorites in their 3rd game have struggled against opponents off a solid victory themselves. This is detailed by a PRO INFO SPORTS NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM that states:

In Game 3, play AGAINST a road favorite off 2 home SU wins of 21+ points scoring less than a combined 143 points vs. an opponent off a SU win of 3+ points & ATS win.

Since 1982, these teams are 0-12 ATS, failing to cover the number by more than 11 ppg on average. Wisconsin qualifies as a PLAY AGAINST team, while Fresno State is active for several “Game 2” POWER SYSTEMS, all of which indicate a play on the Bulldogs. One that has been red-hot of late recommends:

In Game 2, play ON a non-conference non-Independent home underdog off a road SU & ATS win scoring 16+ points.

Just since 2001, this POWER SYSTEM is 12-0 ATS, beating the spread by more than 12 ppg on average. It’s already 2-0 this season with covers by Vanderbilt over South Carolina and Temple over Connecticut.

This should be a tough, hard-fought game, but we look for the Bulldogs to take all that the Badgers bring and prevail with a SU & ATS victory.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: FRESNO STATE 28 WISCONSIN 24