Ok I have been up and down last week or so a few bad breaks and then a few good breaks yesterday.
I have 1 Major play and I don't post or play them often !
25 UNIT PLAY CINCY -2 LINE HAS FLIPED O -1 BUT ALREADY BET THIS ON FRIDAY.
PLAY # 2
TEASER 6 PTS ------------------- STEELERS -1 Titians +8.5
z
MY play:
Thought we should keep it to one thread weekly. I'll roll with Z's because we should have a weekly one. Deleted the other thread..Great day yesterday as the PCBeach plays went 3-0.
I absolutely love the under 39 in Seattle/Buffalo. Here's why:
Logic wise:
**New offense in SEattle. Julius Jones/Maurice Morris, a hurting Hasselback, a brand new TE (although that's probably an improvement) who will be nervous, big losses at WR and new receivers learning a new playbook.
**Buffalo's defense is a legit top 7 unit. They will play great at home where they ranked 2nd in the NFL in points allowed. (That's only at home). Playing a revamped offense, the Bills could win this game outright as a 3 point dog. The only reason I lose this play is defense special teams touchdowns. The offenses will not beat me.
**Buffalo's offense is based on a steady diet of Marshawn Lynch. The Seahawks run defense is legit and should contain Marshawn like they did REggie, Steven, and Frank and Edge last year. I put Lynch in that category and he's not an elite back that can break the Hawks defense down. They will force the Bills to throw and I think the punters will be kicking a bunch on Sunday.
Trends:
last year both teams went 9-7 on the under.
in 16 games Buffalo went over 17 points only 4 times.
in 16 games Buffalo allowed over 20 points only 6 times.
last year seattle started the season 4-1 ATS on the under...3 years in a row with a 4-1 ATS under start for the Hawks.
I really like this under..injuries, new players, new schemes, a pumped home defense and a veteran road defense, I think this under is the play.
ROLL WITH ME ON UNDER 39 in Seattle at Buffalo for my first NFL play. I'm going to post one play a week in NFL for 5 units and ride you fellas for another 6 units total in NFL. Let's roll fellas. I'll only bet HOF or old timer plays in NFL this year. My big gun (to me) and whatever you fellas throw out.
Let's roll
PC7588
GP Charter Member
Posts: 3185
Joined: Mon Jan 12, 2004 9:34 am
Location: Panama City Beach, FL
Private message
Well then, there is a 3 Team Parlay.
Cincy
Buf*Sea U
Buf
I think that is solid.
Good Luck Gents.
Tenny
Pitts
Miami
Fellas I'm taking this now as I like it a lot.
Clev +7.(bought the half). Are u kidding me with this. Big Ben isn't 100% and public is all over Pitt. I will gladly take the home team here plus a td on a Sunday night game. I'll have this for a medium size play. Gl if you follow. I took it now as I don't want the line to go down to 6.
Tonight i'm on south florida -3(bought the half at -115) my line is -3 1/2 -105. Medium size wager for me on this one.
gl if you follow
Pushed last night.
today i'm on tulane +14(bought a point) medium to large type of play.
gl
Join thousands of sports handicappers sharing expert picks, proven strategies, and insider insights. Whether you're posting your analysis or following top performers, our community helps you make smarter betting decisions and potentially increase your profits.