An interesting trend
What's up fellas$$$$ I just came across this and thought you all might like to know this. Feel free to check my numbers.
Teams that have won in the NFL this year have covered the spread 52 out of 60 times (87%). Here is the weekly breakdown.
Week 1: Winners were 14-2 ATS
Week 2: Winners were 14-2 ATS
Week 3: Winners were 11-2-1 ATS
Week 4: Winners were 13-0-1 ATS
Total: 50-6-2
This means that the lines have been irrelavent the first 4 weeks, just pick the winners.
It also means don't bet a dog unless you think they can win outright.
I'll continue to track this every week so we can see if it holds up.
Good luck all!!!
posted by gyphin
6 replies
-
0 likes
What's up fellas$$$$ Here is an update of this trend.
Teams that have won in the NFL this year have covered the spread 64 out of 74 times (86%). Here is the weekly breakdown.
Week 1: Winners were 14-2 ATS
Week 2: Winners were 14-2 ATS
Week 3: Winners were 11-2-1 ATS
Week 4: Winners were 13-0-1 ATS
Week 5: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Total: 64-8-2
Week 5 Breakdown:
Outright wins by dogs: 6
Favorites win and cover: 6
Favorites win and not cover : 2
Intersting:
Denver has been involved in both pushes and one of the losses ATS by a winner. They also have lost outright as a small favorite. This seems to be the one team the oddsmakers have nailed.
This means that the lines have been irrelavent the first 5 weeks, just pick the winners.
It also means don't bet a dog unless you think they can win outright.
I'll continue to track this every week so we can see if it holds up.
Good luck all!!!
posted by gyphin
Oct. 13 2004 2:41pm -
0 likes
What's up fellas$$$$ Here is an update of this trend.
Teams that have won in the NFL this year have covered the spread 76 out of 88 times (86%). Here is the weekly breakdown.
Week 1: Winners were 14-2 ATS
Week 2: Winners were 14-2 ATS
Week 3: Winners were 11-2-1 ATS
Week 4: Winners were 13-0-1 ATS
Week 5: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Week 6: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Total: 76-10-2
Week 6 Breakdown:
Outright wins by dogs: 5
Favorites win and cover: 7
Favorites win and not cover : 2 (NYJ & ATL)
This means that the lines have been irrelavent the first 6 weeks, just pick the winners.
It also means don't bet a dog unless you think they can win outright.
I'll continue to track this every week so we can see if it holds up.
Good luck all!!!
posted by gyphin
Oct. 19 2004 9:14am -
0 likes
What's up fellas$$$$ Here is an update of this trend.
Teams that have won in the NFL this year have covered the spread 88 out of 102 times (86%). Here is the weekly breakdown.
Week 1: Winners were 14-2 ATS
Week 2: Winners were 14-2 ATS
Week 3: Winners were 11-2-1 ATS
Week 4: Winners were 13-0-1 ATS
Week 5: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Week 6: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Week 7: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Total: 88-12-2
Week 7 Breakdown:
Outright wins by dogs: 7
Favorites win and cover: 5
Favorites win and not cover : 2 (PHL & NE)
This means that the lines have been irrelavent the first 7 weeks, just pick the winners.
It also means don't bet a dog unless you think they can win outright.
I'll continue to track this every week so we can see if it holds up.
Good luck all!!!
posted by gyphin
Oct. 30 2004 12:10am -
0 likes
What's up fellas$$$$ Here is an update of this trend.
Teams that have won in the NFL this year have covered the spread 100 out of 116 times (86%). Here is the weekly breakdown.
Week 1: Winners were 14-2 ATS
Week 2: Winners were 14-2 ATS
Week 3: Winners were 11-2-1 ATS
Week 4: Winners were 13-0-1 ATS
Week 5: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Week 6: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Week 7: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Week 8: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Total: 100-14-2
Week 8 Breakdown:
Outright wins by dogs: 4
Favorites win and cover: 8
Favorites win and not cover : 2 (PHL & SEA)
This means that the lines have been irrelavent the first 8 weeks, just pick the winners.
It also means don't bet a dog unless you think they can win outright.
I'll continue to track this every week so we can see if it holds up.
Good luck all!!!
posted by gyphin
Nov. 4 2004 9:52pm -
0 likes
What's up fellas$$$$ Sorry I've been away for a few weeks. I was busy preparing and planning for my wedding. Now that I got hitched last Saturday I'm back to resume my post as a degenerate gambler. But enough about me, here is an update of this trend.
Teams that have won in the NFL this year have covered the spread 126 out of 144 times (87.5%). Here is the weekly breakdown.
Week 1: Winners were 14-2 ATS
Week 2: Winners were 14-2 ATS
Week 3: Winners were 11-2-1 ATS
Week 4: Winners were 13-0-1 ATS
Week 5: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Week 6: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Week 7: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Week 8: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Week 9: Winners were 13-1 ATS
Week 10: Winners were 13-1 ATS
Total: 126-16-2
Week 9 Breakdown:
Outright wins by dogs: 9
Favorites win and cover: 4
Favorites win and not cover : 1 (IND)
Week 10 Breakdown:
Outright wins by dogs: 6
Favorites win and cover: 7
Favorites win and not cover : 1 (GB)
Interesting that both times in the last two weeks that a team won and didn't cover was against Minnesota.
This means that the lines have been irrelavent the first 10 weeks, just pick the winners.
It also means don't bet a dog unless you think they can win outright.
I'll continue to track this every week so we can see if it holds up.
Good luck all!!!
posted by gyphin
Nov. 18 2004 7:21pm -
0 likes
What's up fellas$$$$ Here is an update of this trend.
Teams that have won in the NFL this year have covered the spread 153 out of 176 times (87%). Here is the weekly breakdown.
Week 1: Winners were 14-2 ATS
Week 2: Winners were 14-2 ATS
Week 3: Winners were 11-2-1 ATS
Week 4: Winners were 13-0-1 ATS
Week 5: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Week 6: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Week 7: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Week 8: Winners were 12-2 ATS
Week 9: Winners were 13-1 ATS
Week 10: Winners were 13-1 ATS
Week 11: Winners were 13-2-1 ATS
Week 12: Winners were 14-2 ATS
Total: 153-20-3
Week 11 Breakdown:
Outright wins by dogs: 4
Favorites win and cover: 9
Favorites win and not cover : 2 (SEA & MIN)
Push: 1 (GB/TEX)
Week 12 Breakdown:
Outright wins by dogs: 6
Favorites win and cover: 8
Favorites win and not cover : 2 (ATL & PIT)
This means that the lines have been irrelavent the first 12 weeks, just pick the winners.
It also means don't bet a dog unless you think they can win outright.
I'll continue to track this every week so we can see if it holds up.
Good luck all!!!
posted by gyphin
Dec. 3 2004 8:18pm