Elite XC 7/26
Lawler over Smith now 3u/1.4u - Same line as i got the first time around and same bet as watching the first fight only confirmed my analysis. Smith is a middle of the pack slugger in my opinion, while lawler is close to a top ten middleweight. This line is low, had been waiting to see if it drops as elite xc has done a good job hyping smith for this fight. I think lawler should have ended it in the first the first time around. Was a little hesitant. This time he does end it, late first or early second.
Smith does have KO power, but as i said the first time, SLawler has a chin and has only been KO'd once. Lawler should win this fight atleast 80% of the time, making this a significantly off line and hence a 3u play.
posted by terpkeg
July 21, 2008 1:24pm
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