Picks for Thursday April 17th
YESSIR! Another BP Winner and it was another DOG Play !!!! I will update this post with Today's BP Selection if any! Cappy, by the way, Thank You for the kind words and name drop!!! You are a good man, and always have been!!! See you all later today!!! Good Luck All !!!
Today's MLB Games
No Play / Pass Thursday
2008 BP GP MLB Record: 12-4 +$919 (based on $100 per bet)
Results
COL +124 (Redman) (W)
Bal +114 (Albers) (W)
Minny +140 (Blackburn) (L)
KC +105 (Greinke) (W)
Minny +101 (Bonser) (W)
FLA +160 (Nolasco) (W)
DET -110 (D-Train) (W)
Cinci (Harang) pkish (W)
FLA +107 (Hendrickson) (W)
KC +130 (Bale) (L)
Clev +107 (Byrd) (L)
SF +120 (Sanchez) (W)
Det +107 (Bonderman) (W)
TB -132 (Sonnanstine) (L)
KC +113 (Greinke) (W)
TB -125 (Shields) (W)
Disclaimer ... These plays you see posted here by me are plays simply selected by looking at Opening Lines, Line Movements, and Public %'s ... Nothing else, No Research, simply predicting what Vegas is saying by line sets and moves. As you will also notice, Most are DOG Plays!
posted by dab2dap
11 replies
-
0 likes
Day ball (still home sick!!)
Two I like today.
Reds +115. Good. I get juice with Volquez. And.. Lilly has not been great this year. Volquez has only given up 1 ER this year.
St.L -115. Good value here n StL at home with Lohse on the hill. StL is 7-1 at home this year.
posted by sherlock37
April 17 2008 10:36am -
0 likes
Free pick from Wunderdog
Game: Houston at Philadelphia (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Houston +159 (moneyline)
It has been a very suspect start of the '08 season for Brett Myers. He has been touched up for five HRs in just 18 innings of work, and his ERA is a stout five. Myers has had difficulty with his role as starter, then reliever, then starter again. His last eight starts have lead to the Phillies going 1-7, and his ERA is a ridiculous 6.02. He has also allowed 11 HRs in just 46 innings. Most forget that Brandon Backe has pitched to an ERA in the 3's over all his appearances the last three years. Going back to last September he has allowed an average of two runs over his last eight starts. Like the value in these odds and will back the Stro's here.
posted by sherlock37
April 17 2008 10:39am -
0 likes
Two hockey pick for you.
Flyers -135. I think they've outplayed Wash in all three games. Wash has that look of a team that is just happy to make it to the dance.
Colo +105 I think the Avs have been the best team in this series
posted by sherlock37
April 17 2008 12:28pm -
0 likes
day play
St. Louis -115
posted by gocubsgo22
April 17 2008 12:41pm -
0 likes
Thursday:
Balt -120 (WINNA!!)
Royals U9 -115 (WINNA)
Tampa +116 (WINNA)
Yanks U10 -110 (LOSS) - wtf Paplebon is human?
2 team Canadians -220/Mets -168 (LOSS)
GL fellas
posted by hilly
April 17 2008 4:28pm -
0 likes
Got robbed on StL. Looked like I was going 2-0 in day games.
Two run lines I see this evening.
Jays -1.5 +105
Pads -1.5 +135
posted by sherlock37
April 17 2008 5:17pm -
0 likes
waddup waddup, record 10-10, + .61 units
today's picks
white sox -107
rockies +155
BOL
posted by maximus
April 17 2008 6:12pm -
0 likes
4-5 ATS after post on 4.15.08
Here's my card tonight:
Side note: If I don't post the Handicapping contest game, I'm on it anyways for my standard 2 units. But I'm not counting those and you guys know BP and I both advocate not playing a lot of games in one day or session of gambling. (All though I had my days in the tourney with 9 to 11 plays in all sports, so yeah, I'm guilty too). Anyways, I'll post two daily on GP until other things get going. Slow start for me, but I'll take it with the wacky start to the year.
Some PC notes on the season:
**Did you notice 8 former all stars have hit the DL by week 3.
**Zona is 8-2 in their last 10..and haven't been more than -175 to open in any of those 10 games.
**Washington has scored 16 runs in the last 7 games..do the math...see write up below. They are also 1-9 in that stretch.
**As a big totals fan, the trend is for warm weather to open up scoring. Cities in the midwest without domes or enclosure (Kansas City, both Chicagos, etc) STAY AWAY FROM THE OVER UNTIL MAY. Even though Texas and Atlanta might start jacking it, wait until warm weather to consistently go over in cold cities. I know it sounds wacky but I eliminate 1/2 my card on totals in about 5 seconds every day.
Tonights Action:
Game of the Week:
4 units on under 9 1/2 -115 ( I would take to 8 1/2)
Risking 4.6 to win 4 units
Washington, as mentioned above, can't score. Why? Is it the stadium? Can't be PC..they just built a new one for the Nats and the ball is supposed to carry well? Are the Nats hurt like always? Nope, they have everyone including Zimm and Johnson and a bunch of solid 2nd tier hitters?
The Nats are terribly coached. As a glutton of punishment, I like rooting for cellar dwellers (GO ROYALS..what's our magic number?) and I have taken a hankering to the Nats.
Anyways, they haven't broken 5 runs but 3 times this year. That translates to a lack of big innings. Makes sense doesn't it? Mets have some big bats but you would be surprised to know the Met's pitching is ranked 6'th in MLB in ERA with a 3.41 ledger.
The pub is at 90% plus on the over figuring a fill in starter for the Mets and Lannon for the Nats will give it up. I don't think so..and Slam or Hippy or any New Yorker..give me a weather update if you have a chance..but I love this under tonight in Shea hopefully with the wind blowing in.
Let's roll
PC's first Game of the Week:
Washington/New York Mets under 9 1/2
Listed must go
4.6 units to win 4 units
Play #2:
(also in contest)
KC over 9 1/2 -105
Listed must go
2.1 to win 2 units
As I always tell Como in our fantasy draft, remember the Royals/Halos tilts on the over. As a trend (one of three I throw at GP every year..remember the Giants over at home after the all star break) this one is usually cash money and in the 4'th year of mention at GP. Scared to death of pub number on the over and Hilly (a good capper) is on the under, but I'll take my chances with the first two games in the series split on the total. Tomko is bound to get drilled and a vet lineup like the Halos is probably the one to do it. Even though I'm a Garland fan, his 3 games this year have all gone over easily.
Date Opp SC Dec IP R ER H BB SO HR H/Open H/Close Tot Op Tot Cl
4/01/08 at MIN 9-1 W 8.0 1 1 6 1 0 0 +115 +110 9.0-130 9.0+100
4/06/08 TEX 4-10 L 5.0 7 7 8 2 2 2 -170 -170 9.0-125 9.5-110
4/12/08 at SEA 3-8 L 5.0 6 3 12 1 0 1 -115 -105 9.0-110 9.0-110
I'll take my chances..hoping my Royals continue their march to AL DOMINANCE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
2.1 unit to win 2 units on halos/Royals over 9 1/2
Tomko/Garland must go
GL GP..damn I'm happy MLB is back.
posted by pc7588
April 17 2008 6:18pm -
0 likes
good to c u pc and glad bases are back.....where is billz and the hooker plays from above totals...lol.......
im takin shot with hot detroit bats +110
gl all
posted by bozoclown1
April 17 2008 6:22pm -
0 likes
white sox looking good, after crazy ass extensive research, im making rockies my big play
rockies +155 big
but for units purpose , even if i win, i still post here as a 1 unit play
right right
posted by maximus
April 17 2008 9:45pm -
0 likes
u on the right side pc.....of all the times that ive had mark gridz screw me....he screwed me tonight by leaving people on ......unreal...this a tough one to swallow
posted by bozoclown1
April 18 2008 12:53am