Picks for Saturday April 12th
Perfect 2-0 +2.60 Units yesterday for my mlb posts on GP! I will update this post with today's plays! GLTA !!!
Today's MLB Games
Minny +101 (Bonser) (W)
2008 BP GP MLB Record: 9-3 +6.76 Units (based on 1$ per unit)
Results
FLA +160 (Nolasco) (W)
DET -110 (D-Train) (W)
Cinci (Harang) pkish (W)
FLA +107 (Hendrickson) (W)
KC +130 (Bale) (L)
Clev +107 (Byrd) (L)
SF +120 (Sanchez) (W)
Det +107 (Bonderman) (W)
TB -132 (Sonnanstine) (L)
KC +113 (Greinke) (W)
TB -125 (Shields) (W)
Disclaimer ... These plays you see posted here by me are plays simply selected by looking at Opening Lines, Line Movements, and Public %'s ... Nothing else, No Research, simply predicting what Vegas is saying by line sets and moves. As you will also notice, Most are DOG Plays!
posted by dab2dap
16 replies
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0 likes
2-0 in pucks yesterday.
Overall: 6-1 playoff record +4.25 units!!
Det/Nsh U 5 -125
Mtl/Bos U5 EV
Unders are the way to go in the playoffs. Unfortunately, the game turns into a trap game with fewer penalties being called.
posted by sherlock37
April 12 2008 9:50am -
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1-2 yesterday for -2.45 units
Tried to narrow it down, but I really like these. All for 2 units
Zona -145 I find Zona's been underated all year and now they have Haren on the mound
Pitt -122. Just like last year, Snell's starting the year very well. The Pitt bats should be able to gets some hits off Arroyo
Bos/NYY O 9.5 -115. I hit the under, but today I think the over is the way to go. Mussina can be hit and I think Beckett's still clearing some cobwebs.
TB/O's O 9.5. This should go over with ease.
posted by sherlock37
April 12 2008 10:07am -
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Now I know why I do not play totals....because I can't!
These puck guys have been tearing it up!! Another winning night by these two (Takis & Sherlock) and I may start drinking Molson's!!!! BP nice work as well!! Messy, you have been making awful plays you fucking loser.
MLB 08 3-6 (-6.8 Units)
Early action....
Chicago WHITE Sox (Floyd) ----------- +120 (3 Units) 300-360
Verlander (0-1, 6.17 ERA) faced Chicago in his last start and gave up a career-high nine runs -- four earned -- and seven hits in 5 2-3 innings of a 13-2 home loss on Sunday. He fell to 1-5 with a 6.00 ERA in nine starts against the White Sox. He is 0-3 with a 5.97 ERA in five starts at U.S. Cellular Field, and the Tigers have lost all of those games. He's given up eight homers and 33 total hits over 28 2-3 innings in those outings. Verlander will also be counted on to give Detroit some innings after its bullpen was forced to record every out in a 5-2 win on Friday to open this series That is a HUGE factor IMO. With no bullpen, the Sox (WHITE that is) have a good shot at running away with this game! FLOYD is 2-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.03 and a WHIP of 1.348.
His team's record is 4-1 in these starts. Floyd is however looking for his first win at home in two seasons!!
NY Mets (Santana) ------------ -145 2 Unit (290-200)
Two studs going head to head here!! I like the home team and shit, anytime you can get Santana under 150 is great!!! Also, Sheets hasn't fared well against New York, going 3-2 with a 5.45 ERA in six starts while allowing the Mets to hit .317 off him. This helps too!!!
BoSoX (Beckett) --------------- -160 1 Unit (160-100)
Going with Beckett at home against a washed up Mussina. The Sox need to get jump started and this is a great spot to do it!! In his last nine starts in the series, Mussina is just 2-3 with a 7.08 ERA, having allowed 70 hits and 13 home runs in just 48 1-3 innings.
posted by thebigmessy
April 12 2008 10:38am -
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Messy. I like NYMs too, but I didn't list it. Sheets has been lights out this year. The under is tempting too, but it's 7.
Here is Wunderdog's free play..
Game: Atlanta at Washington (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Atlanta -1.5 runs +100 (runline)
When John Smoltz takes the mound, the Braves expect to win. Over the last two years when Smoltz has been on the hill and the Braves are on the road and win, they are 14-2 against the -1.5 runline. The Nats were 11-30 in home losses last year against the 1.5 runline and that's where the value lies in the game today. The Nats surprised with a 3-0 start, but are now on an eight-game losing streak. They have scored just three runs in their last two games. Smoltz is 54-16 against teams that average under one homerun per game and 31-11 against the runline vs. NL teams scoring under 4.4 runs per game. We'll ride the Braves to roll to a convincing win on the road behind Smoltz.
posted by sherlock37
April 12 2008 10:57am -
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3 Prep Races on TV today - here we go!
Fairly chalky day IMO, but well try to find some $$$
Gulfstream Park, Race#10 (HOLY BULL)
#2 Hey Byrn 5/2 to WIN
Might play a smaller bet on #4 Webgem to place.
Keeneland, Race#9 (BLUE GRASS STAKES)
#1 Cool Coal Man 4/1 to WIN
Also take a look at #3 Cowboy Call at 15/1, might touch it to show for a small wager.
Oaklawn, Race#11
#4 Gayego 5/2 to WIN
I will also play a 4/8 Exacta Box
posted by southern5061
April 12 2008 12:48pm -
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Wunderdog free NBA play
Game: Minnesota at Memphis (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Memphis -3.5 (-110)
The Grizzlies have had a long season and the win column has been difficult to find. They have, to their credit, not quit. Their best stretch of the season has been over their last 14 games where they have played to a 7-7 record. The one area they have shined all season is at home against teams that are not playoff-bound. Since the first of the year, Memphis has just 13 wins but nine of them have come at home vs teams not heading for the playoffs. They are 9-1 SU and 9-1 ATS against the weaker teams. That short list includes five double-digit wins, and a margin of victory of 10.5 ppg. Minnesota has just one win in their last seven games, and four of the losses have been complete blowouts. Minnesota is 28-37 ATS this season as an underdog and 11-23 ATS after covering the spread in their last game. Memphis gets this one, and we will back them at home.
posted by sherlock37
April 12 2008 12:52pm -
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Mets -135 to start GL
2-1 posted MLB last night and a nice pick ride on the Tigers, thanks BP!
posted by hilly
April 12 2008 12:56pm -
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4-0 in posted plays. i have played sparingly and hit my spots. i think i found another one for us.
milw -2 1/2 over n.j.
nets are eliminated from playoffs and have nothing to play for. carter is ques. but i think he'll play. nets have beaten bucks three times this season. prof. athletes are also competitors and don't like to lose. i think the home crowd will push this team to a win tonight.
gl if you follow.
posted by jtmoney16
April 12 2008 2:22pm -
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wassup guys, record 5-5, + .06 units
early play
red sox RL +115
BOL
posted by maximus
April 12 2008 3:24pm -
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MLB
Houston: B Backe -125
GL
posted by takis28
April 12 2008 5:21pm -
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1-1 again yesterdy, 2-2 ATS +0.7 units
MLB:
I'm going after San Diego tonight. For those that play fantasy with me, they know I hate Dereke Lowe. But tonight, I have to roll on Young and the Dodgers. There are so many new faces in L.A. that the team hasn't really jelled yet. Andruw is hitting under 100%, we got new management, new pitching, and a somewhat questionable bullpen. Let's not kid ourselves, the bats in San Dee Aygo as my boy Ron Burgendy would say, are not all that up to snuff. But in this game, I'll take the Pads to win the 2nd game in the series.
2 units San Diego +125
MLB:
I'll roll on over 9 in the Seattle/Halos tilt tonight in Seattle. Huge pitchers park but I have to believe, especially after what we saw last night, that this game will go over. The pub is currently 2:1 favoring the under.
Some stats:
**Both Garland starts this year had final scores of 9-1 and 4-10.
**Last year Garland lost 11-5 at Seattle to the relatively same offensive team.
**Cali's bullpen without K Rod had serious trouble last night giving up 3 runs, 2 BB's, and 5 hits in 2.1 innings.
**Last year the two teams went 6-3 ATS on the over.
Silva is garbage, he can't K anyone, but he does limit damage. I think the good sticks and baserunning of Chone and Company will be too much for the M's. But, they've had success against Garland and he's not the best of road pitchers.
2** on Seattle/California over 9
GL fellas...Had a rough day in futbol, hoping the night card gets it back. Riding with BP as well, as a Royals fan I can't believe Tomko actually won a game this year. That's 1 game more than I projected. And Boof hasn't pitched badly this year, should come together for him tonight.
posted by pc7588
April 12 2008 6:00pm -
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I got smoked in futbol today..here's my unauthorized,non copyrighted TEAM FLA 3 team parley:
JT: Milwaukee NBA
BP: Minny MLB
PC: Seattle over 9
1 unit to win 6...hook me up team fla..I gotta get 5 units back from my futbol loss.
I'm also riding the Northerners in Hockey tonight. It's the time of year where about 7 of us in Florida start watching pucks$$$
posted by pc7588
April 12 2008 6:15pm -
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0-1 in MLB so far today. WIll have the evening card in a bit. Here are some Nascar picks for everyone. Especially BigMouthy and PC. LOL!!
Ticket # 39745476 Placed: ONLINE-1 on: 04/12/2008 @ 03:19 PM NASCAR TOP 5 - SUBWAY FIT 500
04/12/2008 @ 05:00 PM TONY STEWART +130 - PROP
Ticket # 39745477 Placed: ONLINE-1 on: 04/12/2008 @ 03:19 PM NASCAR TOP 5 - SUBWAY FIT 500
04/12/2008 @ 05:00 PM JEFF BURTON +450 - PROP
Ticket # 39745478 Placed: ONLINE-1 on: 04/12/2008 @ 03:19 PM NASCAR TOP 5 - SUBWAY FIT 500
04/12/2008 @ 05:00 PM MARK MARTIN +160 - PROP
Ticket # 39745534 Placed: ONLINE-1 on: 04/12/2008 @ 03:20 PM ODDS TO WIN THE SUBWAY FIT 500
04/12/2008 @ 05:00 PM TONY STEWART +925 - TNT
posted by hilly
April 12 2008 6:25pm -
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hit with sd over last night
gonna try it again tonight
dods-pads over 8-110
good luck
+728 overall
in the race tonight i'm on harvick+200
and truex+150 in the top 5
posted by newman12
April 12 2008 6:30pm -
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Evening MLB:
Houston under 10.5 -115 $$$$
Cubs ML +138 Loss
GL
Late add: Rays -115 - Loss
posted by hilly
April 12 2008 6:36pm -
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1-1 pending the Sox rain delay...Nice hit on the doggie WHITE sox, but beat by another NY team as the Mets lose!! Will update record after the BoSoX!!!
I am on PC's bootleg TEAM FLA Parlay!! Lets hit it hard!!!
GOOD LUCK BOYS!!
posted by thebigmessy
April 12 2008 8:04pm