Daily Picks for Saturday Jan. 12'th
GLTA.....
Big XII starts today$$$$
I'll post one a little later on. Waiting for the total of Texas/Mizzou and the total on NU/KU...that's gonna be the banger if the number is where I think it is. Everyone thinks Doc Sadler is laying a trap in lincoln..but before you throw your hard earned greenbacks on Nebraska today..remember KU just got back from Boston College who they hammered by 25. I'm gonna pull a BIGMESSY and just keep shoutin how great my team is. But anyone that doesn't think KU is the #1 team in the country...go watch em play. They are 9 deep and a great team to bet on because the deep bench will cover your line and their 2nd string would be starting at almost any college in the country. I"m staying away from the KU side but I will play the total if the linesmakers screw up the number like I think they will.
My card for GP today:
BEST BET: ROll with me on Kansas under 133 @ Nebraska. This number could go either way over the course of the day, but I've been waiting for this game all week and think the under is our course of action. As a die hard Kansas fan, I know how we do in Lincoln. Doc or no Doc, Nebraska always has trouble with KU's defense and KU has owned them in Lincoln. Here are some numbers from Vegas Insider on previous meetings head to head:
Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
02/17/07 Nebraska 39 @ Kansas 92 KAN -16.5 131.0 KAN/P
01/29/07 Kansas 76 @ Nebraska 56 KAN -5.5 130.0 KAN/O
03/11/06 Nebraska 65 @ Kansas 79 KAN -12.0 128.5 KAN/O
02/08/06 Kansas 69 @ Nebraska 48 KAN -5 134 KAN/U
01/21/06 Nebraska 54 @ Kansas 96 KAN -12.0 128.5 KAN/O
02/05/05 Kansas 78 @ Nebraska 65 KAN -7.5 135 KAN/O
01/19/05 Nebraska 57 @ Kansas 59 KAN -17.0 132 NEB/U
03/03/04 Nebraska 67 @ Kansas 78 N/A /
02/15/04 Kansas 55 @ Nebraska 74 N/A /
Look at Kansas's trips to lincoln: THey allowed 56 and 48 the last two years with some of the players from this young team. Rush usually has a field day as well in Lincoln. I know Doc is doing some great things and deserves his props, but this KU team is a juggernaut, and it's not because of the offense. The defensive side of the ball for KU is rock solid. I advocate both the Hawks and the under, but my GP play is on an under winner as Kansas just rolls Nebraska with the same old story...Huskers can't score against KU's defense.
On the Huskers side of the floor, Doc is a master of slow ball and spread scoring. He rarely runs and guns and he is smart enough to know that the ONLY chance he has of winning this game is to slow down the high flying Jayhawks. I've seen Nebraska play twice this year and they run a great set when the offense is humming. However, they won't be able to score except for pounding inside. Throw in both teams suspect free throw shooting (Jayhawks are one of the worst teams in the country at 63%) and your gonna see the Kansas Subs cruise the Hawks into yet another 2Half blowout.
My card:
**Kansas Jayhawks under 133 (watch the line, you might get more. I already booked but will add on if it keeps going up)
4.4 units to win 4 units.
**Kansas -10
1.1 unit to win 1 unit
**Iowa State +12
2.2 units to win 2 units.
Mo Valley....can't post it but if your a dog lover the ones that play in Dan Gable land are a GOW type play for me in the Valley for 5 units.
posted by pc7588
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Jesus..the line just dropped to 130 1/2...get it quick if you want it. I'm locked at 133 but looks like they are laying on my plays at bookmaker or some heavy hitter agrees with me.
If you like the KU under play it now..I would advocate down to 128
posted by pc7588
Jan. 12 2008 10:53am -
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Are you ready for some football? It's a good thing this season's almost over because I'm starting to get it from my wife. She understands my Sunday ritual, but I think two days, two weeks in a row is getting too much for her. I get away with so much!
Green Bay -7.5 Big bet. I believe in Seatte.......at home. On the road, I fade them and win. Hmmm, let's go to the tundra without a running game. One dimensional teams cannot win in the playoffs (unless you have Brady at QB)
NE/Jax O 50. I'll lay 50 points. Did you see what Ben without any WR's did to the Jax secondary? I say the Pats score at least 35. Can Jax score more than 14? For sure!
Good luck all.
posted by sherlock37
Jan. 12 2008 11:31am -
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PC....Great write-up bro!! I would just like to correct you on one thing. I guess you can say I am calling you out, but I call it like I see it and I see it wrong here......
You said...."I'm gonna pull a BIGMESSY and just keep shoutin how great my team is."
What you SHOULD HAVE said is this......
I'm gonna pull a BIGMESSY and just keep shoutin how great my TEAMS ARE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Thats right my friend.....multiple teams just dominating their respective sports worlds!!!
GOOD LUCK ON YOUR PLAYS BRO!!! I'm with ya!
posted by thebigmessy
Jan. 12 2008 11:32am -
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NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION? (THE BUFFALO BILLS OF MLS)
BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES FOOTBALL (I'M STILL BITTER THEY DIDN'T COVER THE BOWL GAME)
BOSTON COLLEGE HOOPS (NIT...NIT....NIT.....NIT....NIT....NIT)
BOSTON BRUINS....UHHH..WE'LL LEAVE THAT ALONE
But hey, the Red Sox and Patriots look good.
posted by pc7588
Jan. 12 2008 11:59am -
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ST Johns -3 on a buy for a small play.
to win
GL
12-18-1 current record
posted by towin
Jan. 12 2008 12:04pm -
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BB of early action
UCLA -6
GLTA
to win
posted by towin
Jan. 12 2008 12:30pm -
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GREEN BAY OVER 43
GREEN BAY -7-
Both VERY STRONG PLAYS !
GLTA,
BeeSmart
p.s. GO BEARS!
posted by beesmart
Jan. 12 2008 12:45pm -
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Drake's mascot is the bulldogs
Dan Gable is the wrestling coach from Iowa.
PLAY ON DRAKE FELLAS...and work on your mascots$$$
posted by pc7588
Jan. 12 2008 12:53pm -
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Saturday's Hoops....
330 to win 300:
Washington State +6.5
Creighton -1.5
220 to win 200:
Houston -1
Marquette -6.5
Montana State +5
110 to win 100:
William & Mary +1
Indiana State +2.5
Utah State -3
Chris, i like Drake also
i will update my record later
posted by phball101
Jan. 12 2008 1:57pm -
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PC, how could you forget the 30-4 Celtics (best record in the NBA) Good times right now for Boston fans!!!
posted by bonestix
Jan. 12 2008 2:09pm -
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And I like the celts..only team up there I could root for. (Or maybe when Borque was with the Bruins). But yeah, you got a Jayhawk leading you to the promised land, one who stayed during the bad times and stabbings and deserves a shot at the Grail. Great move getting the Big 3...I'll root for you noreasters all day on that team.
posted by pc7588
Jan. 12 2008 2:12pm -
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wash st +6
houston -2
posted by bigpimpin409
Jan. 12 2008 2:35pm -
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SEAHAKS +7.5 UND 44
JAGS +13.5 UND 50.5
posted by cowboysfan
Jan. 12 2008 3:47pm -
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I think the Jags get exposed today.
Patriots - 13
MESSY where you at bro???
GL Fellas!!!
posted by starks104
Jan. 12 2008 4:00pm -
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in last years elite eight round of the NFL playoffs, i believe every dog covered....not happening this year. I do like a dog tomorrow though
330 to win 300:
Green Bay -7.5
New England -13
GL Guys
posted by phball101
Jan. 12 2008 4:14pm -
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Random hockey pick on the main forum.
NJ/Buff O 5 -115
Pitt/Atl O 5.5 -125
SJ -1.5 +125
posted by sherlock37
Jan. 12 2008 4:19pm -
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Going against the grain on this pick from what I see so far, but liking the Hawks to cover the spead, I am in from +8 - +9 as of monday, but still like it at the +7.5 iit is now and will post as a
SEATTLE +7.5 3 UNITS
Don't get me wrong, love the Favre story big time, and really want em to win it all this year, well thats could be a push... but Seattle has been there the last couple years and have the experience as well as Favre old coach, and who knows Favre better.... not many. I think they keep it close but my money is on the points.
posted by wylie2
Jan. 12 2008 4:32pm -
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my cbb plays
clemson -9.5
drake -6
ark st +4
watchout for so illy....exec has a 600% play on them today.
goodluckfellas!
posted by phantom
Jan. 12 2008 4:43pm -
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PATRIOTS----ALL AROUND TONIGHT
1Q -3
1H -7.5
Game -13
GOOD LUCK BOYS!!!!
PS....Its beautiful weather for up here this time of year...That will spell trouble for the Jag-offs. Good Luck with your plays, but just keep in mind what happened to VInce Young last week!! Take a close look at the QB's on the 8 teams remaining....Does one stand out from all the rest??? (Its like that song they used to sing on Sesame Street---Which of these things!!!" Anyway, he doesn't have the ability to lead his team any further!!! Mark my words.....B-L-O-W-O-U-T
posted by thebigmessy
Jan. 12 2008 7:05pm -
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Tonight in the NBA going with the Celts tonight agianst the wiz. The wiz playing good ball but Boston are a machine. They have played great ball when playing b2b or on a quick rest. They will handle the wiz.
Also playing the Magic tonight v. the Jazz. We have a good rd team vs a good home team here. But im rolling with the Magic having revenge against the Jazz from earlier in the season, plus Utah just coming off a big win vs the Suns.
Finally rolling with the evil empire and their leader the HOODY. Pats and Bill with an extra week to prepare for a team, Pats will take away the running game. Sure that Jags will get some yards but it will be nothing what they are used to. Eventually they will need to throw to keep up with Brady and Company.
Boston -7
Magic +7
pats -13
GL
to win
13-19-1
posted by towin
Jan. 12 2008 7:19pm -
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Ok one NBA tonight
Dallas Mavericks / LA Clippers ( Total O 90 -110 ) for 1st Half
GL fellas....$$$$
posted by close_call
Jan. 12 2008 7:21pm