Looking for NFL input
I'm in a NFL pool where we bet fake money. $500 max per line, min 6 games/week and min $1000/week.
I'm in second place by $200 going into the final weekend.
For football, I generally stay away the last week. I find it really tough to cap. Who's starting? Who's motivated? Who needs the win? For the most part, I find the final week a crapshoot.
This is what I'm thinking so far:
NE. -13.5. Big spread but NE has history to play for, NYG......nothing. I'd love to bet the first half line (I will for real $), but we only allow totals and game lines.
Minny -3. They need a win and a Wash loss to make the playoffs. Wash plays at the same time, so they will have to play for everything. Denv is much better at home than on the road, but last week, it seemed they have given up.
SD -9. Win, and they get third seed and avoid Jax first round and also avoid NE until the AFC champ game. This is if Pitt wins during the day. LT might sit, but Turner and Sproules are pretty good.
Pitt -3. See above.
Cinci/Mia O 36. Too low for two teams that will want to up some stats.
Leans:
GB -4. They will want to rebound after last week. Favre will start, but Rodgers not too bad, either.
Wash -8. The need it. Cowboys will rest it's stars after TO got injured last week. I'm worried that 8 is too many points though.
Tenn -6.5 I will wait to bet this until the day games have went. I will bet Tenn if I need it.
I will also check the weather for some unders.
Thanks for any help you can provide.
posted by sherlock37
4 replies
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0 likes
Sherlock,
Bro. what's up?
Man I'd go with UNDER in Pitt./Balt. the Ravens quit a few weeks ago and now they'll be going with rookie Troy Smith again....Pitt. is going to rest Big Ben, they are talking about only 1 qtr. or NOT at all.....then throw in both teams def. and UNDER 35- looks awful good to me.
Good luck bro. I hope that helped some????????
PHIL
BeeSmart
posted by beesmart
Dec. 28 2007 3:27pm -
0 likes
Thanks!
I also see 70% chance of very cold showers in Baltimore
In Denver, temperature is high 41 and winds 16mph. Line there is 41.5
posted by sherlock37
Dec. 28 2007 4:03pm -
0 likes
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS UNDER 40
SUNDAY, JAN 6TH
*** Weather forecast looks pretty bad...So Ca expecting a really bad storm that will run through monday...The field will be a swamp come this sunday...With both teams being really hot in December and playing excellent defense...It can only help the cause !
SD UNDER 40 ( BB PLAY )
The Wolf
posted by wolfman
Jan. 3 2008 9:11pm -
0 likes
Thanks Wolf.
I won the fourth quarter in the pool, since my opponent collapsed and went 3-12.
On to the playoffs. Stakes increase. I got that bet in before the line moved off 40. Thanks.
posted by sherlock37
Jan. 3 2008 10:43pm