GLTA..

My updated record: 22-20-2 ATS (lost on Char. 12/14, 2-1 ATS last night, won on Spurs under, won Orlando, Lost on Mavs over)

Tonight:

Roll with me on Dallas/Cleveland under 193 1/2.

I'm not posting college hoops because of a "capper" on this site, but I'll start to be more of a contributor on the NBA this year. Season is starting to get where it feels like the teams are defining themselves and I feel good about the season we have left in the NBA. Let's see what we can do to improve on that 22-20-2 boring ass record:

ON A SIDE NOTE:

The reason I post pretty close to tip is to watch and monitor line movement as well as where the action is laying. I'll post early when I think it's advantageous and I'll wait until the last minute if it behooves me. But the logic is to post when the line is good. Try it sometime, for example.>I'm advocating you lay on BC right now based on the article I posted in the NCAA football section. I have the Eagles at 4, it's currently at 5, and by the time the game kicks, you'll be looking at higher. I saw someone bitch on the main page about not getting the plays posted earlier, but frankly, if it's my money, I could care less about someone's computer schedule...

So...on the positive side of the coin lay on Boston College if you like the play because the line will be better. And study lines and post them when it's good for the site..because 8:00 AM lines and 5:00PM lines can be entirely different..

Back to tonight's play (A FULL HOUR BEFORE TIP$$$$$)

Enough of the sarcasm..I like this under for a number of reasons.

Start with history: (From Vegas Insider.com)

PREVIOUS MEETINGS

Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result

10/31/07 DAL 92 @ CLE 74 DAL -2.5 184.0 DAL/U

03/21/07 DAL 98 @ CLE 90 DAL -3 187.0 DAL/O

03/01/07 CLE 92 @ DAL 95 DAL -9.0 189.5 CLE/U

03/29/06 DAL 94 @ CLE 107 CLE -2.0 184.5 CLE/O

03/14/06 CLE 87 @ DAL 91 DAL -7.5 186 CLE/U

04/03/05 DAL 80 @ CLE 100 DAL -3 198 CLE/U

03/26/05 CLE 86 @ DAL 117 DAL -7.5 197 DAL/O

Look at the totlas going back to 3/26/05..these two teams haven't gone over tonight's number in 3 years...

..The Cavs are averaging a whopping 16.3 loss average on the road in their last 10. 16.3!!!! Scrubs will be in the 4'th if the game is out of hand.

..Did I throw in the Cavs have serious issues in Dallas losing the last 8.

Current trends:

Cleveland is 3-0 on the under in their last 3 games.

Dallas is on a 6-1 run on the under in their last 7.

With all that being said, this is still a tough call. I like Dallas as well but feel this is a safer play. Mavericks should blow them out but the Cavs seem to be coming out of their funk so I'm going to lay off the side and hope Dirk can dominate inside and the Mavs can play some defense on LeBron. Avery Johnson predicates defense, but the Mavs aren't afraid to run. I'm banking on the fact that the Cavs won't be able to score tonight and will play good defense to get it to a meaningless 4'th quarter.

GL tonight..nothing big But Cavs under 193 1/2 for me.