I got 3 for ya:
BEST BET: Roger Huerta to win by decision or knockout over one of my favorites, Clay the Carpenter Guida. This is going to be a great fight as both go forward and both are rock solid at standup and jujitsu. You won't see much hesitation in this fight and I think Huerta is the tougher and better at stand up. On the ground, Guida is tireless and does nothing but go for submissions. I will take Huerta to win 2-1 on the rounds.
2 units on Roger Huerta +105ML
Prediction: Huerta by decision
Pick #2:
Troy Mandenelaz +120 to beat Richie Hightower.
Of all the fighter this season, Hightower seemd to learn and get better at an excelerated rate. His learning curve is great but I think he's fighting a guy who is smarter and will use his experience. Troy had good stand up and from what I remember of the show, Hightower isn't exactly a ground and pound guy. Very good value and I would have set the line the other way.
1 unit on Try +120
Pick #3:
I'll take John Kepenhavor (spelling?) -120 over JRock
The man from team hughes is physically ripped and obviously in shape. But he got drilled by George on the show and really didn't show me anything. No take downs, not much stand up, just basically got drilled as he was tentative. Kepenhavor on the other hand almost had Tommy Spears beat with a guillotine in the first. He just wasn't strong enough to win the next two rounds. I also think John is much tougher, both mentally and because of where he came from. He is literally fighting for his life as he needs the fights and the money and the job much more than Jrock. Blue collar win tonight in what could be a bloody war.
1 unit on John Kepenhavor -120
GL.
Small card for me. I'm very excited to see the Huerta/Guida fight. Should be absolutely great. Nothing really jumps out but I might add a unit or 2 on Huerta or Troy if my hoops go well.
