Pats/Steelers
-12.5??
You gotta love the spot the Steelers are in. The Pats have shown in the last two games that they are not untouchable. They left the last two games with narrow victories against mediocre opponents.
Now, we have the Steelers. I hope Palomalou and Holmes are both active this weekend. I'd hate to see the Pats get another freebie (a la Indy/Harrison).
Here's are some factors I see that have brought the Pats back down to Earth.
Weather. Although their running game is Ok, the Pats have relied heavily on the passing attack to Welker and Moss (and a side of Stallworth). The cold weather has brought a reliance on the running game. this is keeping teams closer, preventing blow-outs.
Age. Although very good, I've noticed Brusci, Vrable and Seau are not as fast as earlier in the year. I think weather and wear-down contributes to this. This is why Philly and Ravens were able to score on NE. Balt averaged 16 ppg before last night. They only scored 24, but it could have been more. For the first time in a couple of months, Balt's offence looked pretty good. Did I mention Boller looked good? Boller!
Experience. The Steelers now have two games to examine to see how to beat the Pats. I think this will help this weekend. Remember, Philly and Balt are average teams this year, and they made the Pats look average.
Like it or not (BigMessy), the writing is on the wall here. The Steelers have a very legitimate shot of winning this game and now, we get 12.5 points. I might add a half unit on the ML as well.
posted by sherlock37
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Thats funny....Another freebie????
Steelers moneyline huh? If you actually believe they will lose, then yes put it on the ML...I was thinking of putting some money on the ML against the Pats the rest of the year just in case...But, I do not see them losing. You may find a better advantage taking the points if you truly believe that the Pats have been figured out! As far as experience....well, watching the Pats doesnt give the Steelers any experience! Good Luck...but for everytime I hear I am a loser for being a homer....I think of how much the haters are losing!!!
posted by thebigmessy
Dec. 4 2007 11:54pm -
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BTW, if you are going to play Pitt you better hurry up because I do not see the line higher than 11 anywhere right now!!! Let it keep going down!! Hope the Steelers come better prepared than they did vs the 2-8 J-E-T-S!!!
posted by thebigmessy
Dec. 5 2007 12:00am -
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Be careful in this spot, this may just be where the pats turn back into the ATS machine. Everyone is painfully aware NE didn't come close to covering the past 2 games, against mediocre to bad teams.
I'm sure a team with the reputation & defense of Pitt + 2 TD's is going to get a lot of action. Could be a buzzsaw rolling back the other way.
posted by flavo-ice
Dec. 6 2007 2:12pm -
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I just read your post.
I don't think your a homer..in fact, the exact opposite. I love that you love the Pats..I'm seeing the Royals for free because of that love affair$$$$$
See ya in June for the 3 game set$$$
posted by pc7588
Dec. 6 2007 2:15pm -
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9-3 ATS....I'll take those numbers every year!!!
Let me know which series you will be coming for.....I'll have to hurry and get tickets for the KC Royals series becasue they go QUICK!!! LMFAO!!
Sox usually sell em for twenty-five bucks a piece!! If we wait, scalpers will be look to save face by selling em for a saw-buck!!!
posted by thebigmessy
Dec. 6 2007 8:06pm -
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Well..if you get Johan it won't matter...
Hey, I'm not talkin ATS...I'm talkin your 0-1 in Pats bets involving KC Royals tickets$$$$
I'm bringing Juice with me too. They only play 3 in Fenway and I think it will fall in June.
As for Royals tickets being cheap, cmon..the whole country is lining up outside booths as we speak waiting for the Alex Gordon show to come to town$$$$
Brian Bannister..Cy Young
Joakim Soria..Rolaids Fireman of the Year
Jose Guillen...AL MVP and home run champ
posted by pc7588
Dec. 6 2007 8:31pm -
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The sun down there must be getting to you!!! What you ought to do is come up here and clear your head with this cold weather and be a part of history and attend a game as the 2007 New England Patriots go UNDEFEATED!!!
I am actually looking foward to you guys coming up....I feel bad because you have probably never been to a real BALL PARK!!! I am pretty sure UC has his Red Sox gear already as he saw the light throughout the playoffs and World Series!!!$$$$$$$$$$$$!!!
posted by thebigmessy
Dec. 7 2007 3:24am -
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13-0!
10-3 ATS!
posted by thebigmessy
Dec. 10 2007 12:11am -
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Do you think the Pats will win the Superbowl?
posted by pc7588
Dec. 10 2007 7:42am -
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Congrats to Pats backers.
It looked for the first drive....
Then.... Brady took over. Again
As for the Lions:
They are who we thought they were.
posted by sherlock37
Dec. 10 2007 8:21am -
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Anthony Smith got beat like a rented mule! PC i think we have a chance.
posted by bonestix
Dec. 10 2007 10:28am -
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Bill Simmon's a writer on ESPN and a die hard Boston sports fan, writes this in his column.
Steelers (+10.5) over PATRIOTS
Adam from Indy writes, "Congrats! You and the rest of New England are rooting for the '04 and '05 Colts: record-breaking offense, iffy defense and no running game. The Colts, on the other hand, have had some tough losses, a great running game, a physical defense and they're completely out of the spotlight. Sound familiar?"
(Um ... yes ... yes, it does ...)
posted by sherlock37
Dec. 10 2007 11:24am -
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On another note, if the AFC championship were held today (Indy @ NE), what do you think the spread would be.
I think -7 pats
posted by sherlock37
Dec. 10 2007 11:55am -
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I DO believe the Patriots will win the Superbowl. An Indy-Pats showdown in Foxboro would make for a great game on the Road to the Championship but I would be lying if I didnt admit that I would like to see the defending Superbowl champs eliminated prior to that!!
Shit talking aside, The PAts have the weapons, are focused and most importantly are having fun! They will have Home field advantage throughout the playoffs. Whether or not a "blueprint" actually exists for how to defend the Pats, the question is, who has the resources to do so??
Now, a better question is....Will the PAtriots cover the rest of the way and Will they cover in the SuperBowl!!!??!!
posted by thebigmessy
Dec. 10 2007 12:12pm -
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Arghhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
I sure hope that the BoSox sing Santana, and well maybe the Pats can sign Tomlinson, and shit while we are at it the Bruins could use Crosby. I wish I could move to Boston and be able to walk around with my dick hangin out....wait no I don't I hate the smell of fish.
Congrats fellas on a hell of a run for your city.
posted by hilly
Dec. 10 2007 12:31pm -
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Hilly, maybe the Celtics can work out a deal for Steve Nash! Early line on the Pats/Jets game is 24 1/2. Unless the weather is a factor, the Pats will try to win this game by 50!!!
posted by bonestix
Dec. 10 2007 12:38pm -
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Wow, what a thought...that would be freakin awsome.
posted by hilly
Dec. 10 2007 1:06pm -
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http://www.bostonherald.com/sports/football/patriots/view.bg?articleid=1049800
posted by thebigmessy
Dec. 10 2007 10:41pm