15 replies
-
0 likes
Little early hoops for anyone looking for some action.
Miami -8 tips at 11:30 eastern
Miami returns 4 starters from a team that under achieved last year, Marist lost the majority of their scoring from last year and is very young with lots of Freshman and transfers.
I'll take the "home team"
HOF 3-0
posted by hilly
Nov. 15 2007 11:06am -
0 likes
Hi Guys,
A great match-up between these two teams tonight. The Ducks come into this game defeating AZA St, an unbeaten team, at the time. I would say Oregon is feeling very good about themselves at the moment.
Here is a nice system that I found. College Football teams who defeat unbeaten foes (5-0 or better) are awful in their follow-up game as favorites away from home when favored between -10 to -21.5 points. In this situation, they're just 32% ATS including 0 for 9 vs. an opponent off a win.
We all know last year that the Wildcats defeated Oregon 37-10 as a 13.5 dog. I know the 6-0 turnover ratio was the difference as the yards gained were about equal.
Lets look at the numbers this year. Here is the KEY difference imo. The Wildcats have improved immensely on the offense, particularily their passing game (ranked #9...316 pypg). The Ducks pass defense is questionable as it ranks 105th (270 pypg).
With basically the same teams playing tonight and the home field advantage, I'm taking the points!!
Play ARIZONA WILDCATS +11
In the other match-up...I would lay the points and take ARK ST -15
Good Luck,
Rockman
posted by rockman
Nov. 15 2007 1:06pm -
0 likes
Arizona is 7-4 in November under Stoops, with a win against a Top 25 team At HOME in EVERY November since 2004.
2004: W at home vs. Top 15 ASU
2005: W at home vs. Top 5 UCLA
2006: W at home vs. Top 5 Cal
2007: ???
The catch is, this is their last football game in November this year. They play at ASU on Dec. 1.
posted by hilly
Nov. 15 2007 1:17pm -
0 likes
ok fellas this is not helping my cause here at all. here's a little run down of last night for me. you guys might get a little laugh. i see yesterday the line on wisc. milw is -3 over ball st. i start to thinking to myself. damn, i know ball state is a small team and i believe one of their best players was suspended. i think back and remember that wis. milw wasn't very good last year but still better than ball st. i check and see they have a couple of guys bigger than them. i say damn this shit looks easy. i decide to not check anything else out as to whether or not these two teams have played each other or anything like that. i simply say why not and do this.
Wager details for ticket number 41450946-1:
Wager Type: Spread (or run line)
Accepted By: Internet
Wager Status: Win
Risk / To Win Amount: 550.00 / 500.00 (USD) Accepted 11/14/2007 5:11 PM - EST
Amount Paid: 500.00
Sport / Period: NCAA Basketball / Game
Line:
Wisconsin Milwaukee (Basketball) 11/14/2007 7:00:01 PM - (EST)
-3 -110
Now i'm at dinner and at a sports bar type of place and unc/davidson is on. i look up see the ticker and notice that wisc. mil is losing 35-20 at halftime. i think to myself and go damn that's not looking good. i laughed briefly to myself and said well let's just see what the second half line is. i call up and its -3 1/2. i say no play and hang up. i then think well if these guys should wear them down it would be most likely in the second half. so what do i do:
Wager details for ticket number 41463449-1:
Wager Type: Spread (or run line)
Accepted By: Call Center
Wager Status: Win
Risk / To Win Amount: 575.00 / 500.00 (USD) Accepted 11/14/2007 8:01 PM - EST
Amount Paid: 500.00
Sport / Period: NCAA Basketball / 2nd Half
Line:
Wisconsin Milwaukee (Basketball) 11/14/2007 7:02:00 PM - (EST)
-3½ -115
Yup i double and go double or nothing. I get home and my wife was allready sleeping so i decided to go straight to bed. i didn't catch the end of the game and had no clue what had happened. sure enough, the cocksuckers not only covered the second half but covered the spread. lmao lmao lmao.
now this does not help my time i want to take away here does it. lol. in any event, i won a dime last night so i should be happy about that. i thought you guys might get a kick out of that. as far as games today, i haven't even looked so i have no clue who's even playing. lol.
gl fellas with your wagers.
posted by jtmoney16
Nov. 15 2007 1:40pm -
0 likes
Lost a close one last night by a bucket...
here's what we are on tonight
Houston -2 vs VCU
Oklahoma +7 vs Memphis
2007-2008 Season
NCAABB (2-2)
posted by slam
Nov. 15 2007 2:26pm -
0 likes
Slammo..bad news is VCU played this morning bro. Good news is you saved cash. Houston lost 73-72
posted by hilly
Nov. 15 2007 2:40pm -
0 likes
Lost my first GOW, I was hyped on that game and they fell apart in the 2H.
Big XII tonight:
Roll with me on Oklahoma/Memphis under 150 1/2. Memphis is deservedly at the top of the polls with a very talented team. Oklahoma has looked good and put up big numbers against patsies early this year. Capel and company predicate success with defense and tonight, I see defense.
ROLL WITH ME ON OU/MEM under 150 1/2
Big XII: 1-1 ATS
Mo Valley : 2-2 ATS
Mo Valley GOW: 0-1 ATS (Lost on Indy State)
GL tonight.
posted by pc7588
Nov. 15 2007 3:13pm -
0 likes
Yeah...i'm an idiot... Sorry about that gents...
posted by slam
Nov. 15 2007 3:15pm -
0 likes
LOL JTMONEY!....it was only a DREAM!
posted by phantom
Nov. 15 2007 3:36pm -
0 likes
Tonight I'm rollin with the under 125.5 in Georgetown. I have a lean to Michigan keeping this one inside the number but will only play the Under. Under 125.5 posted play but will watch this one as I feel it will go up with 75% of the pub on the over right now.
Miami came in easy for us this afternoon, lets keep rollin!
HOF 4-0
posted by hilly
Nov. 15 2007 3:39pm -
0 likes
.
HOF Members -
Please note the Daily Picks post by BeeSmart --- Commenting that the Board is dead.
Please - Make it a point to post now and then on the Daily Thread.
The purpose of this board is NOT to entirely allienate the Daily Picks.
BTW - I'm playing the two Home Teams in CFB.
I will be Deer Hunting the entire week-end with no computer access -- Good Luck to all Kick the bookie's ass.
- Dirt
.
posted by drtnapper07
Nov. 15 2007 4:41pm -
0 likes
Sup fellas nice to see evry1 still around. Lots off talent in this group, I personnally havent been around much but will post from time to time in here.
Tonight im playing:
Arizona+10.5 and
Spurs+2
no write ups just picks sorry if you need 1 but thats what I do!
Goodluck fellas$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
posted by gtnp
Nov. 15 2007 5:41pm -
0 likes
GT, thanks for the insight into the celts game.....u probably don't even remember....but i played celts because of what u said......
haha..
thanks again!
goodluck tonite!
phant
posted by phantom
Nov. 15 2007 5:58pm -
0 likes
"Drtnapper07":3mthixzc
.
HOF Members -
Please note the Daily Picks post by BeeSmart --- Commenting that the Board is dead.
Please - Make it a point to post now and then on the Daily Thread.
The purpose of this board is NOT to entirely allienate the Daily Picks.
BTW - I'm playing the two Home Teams in CFB.
I will be Deer Hunting the entire week-end with no computer access -- Good Luck to all Kick the bookie's ass.
- Dirt
.
GOODLUCK WITH UR HUNTING....SHOOT STRAIGHT!!
posted by phantom
Nov. 15 2007 5:59pm -
0 likes
lol, that's funny Slam. How bout Eric Maynor and them VCU Rams. Picking up where they left off last year.. fyi.....VCU has a very athletic club. Maybe a little bit better than last year.. That's your inside tip on the Rams. They will make a great road dog and probably an average home fav..
On the other hand. Great idea guys. I like what you have done with the private board. There are some great guys out there, but it has become just a pure headache viewing so much bullshit just to fine a little gold. Anyway, keep up the good work and let's make a lil side loot...
**
I also like Zona tonight. The Ducks hold the title and spot of being the 105th ranked defense vs the pass and the Cats like to go Airborne early and often. The #2 spot has been a death sin to every team that has been fortunate to land there and the Ducks could face the same dilemma. Dixon is a freak though, so I will hold my breath and take the 11.5 points..
If anyone can get a number, there is a game in Va tonight. Va.Wise vs Longwood. Book Longwood if you can get the street meat to throw you a number. This game will get ugly early. There is no hope for Va.Wise what so ever. If not, look at the Under in the NC State**William and Mary game. The Tribe can play a little D and they are a slow tempo kind of team. Running isn't in their vocabulary. They can shoot 3's, but NC.St's size should off-set that.
Zona + 11.5 ( CFB )
Under 134.5 NC ST - W&M ( CBB )
Good Luck,
Sunday
posted by sundaybreak
Nov. 15 2007 6:55pm
Post a Reply
You must login to post a reply.