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NFL: SKINS +1-!! RAIDER NATION -2-! YOUR STEELERS -3-! SHORT AND SWEET!
posted by joeweaver
Aug. 21 2004 11:32am -
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NFL
CINCY +4
DET vs CLEV OVER TOTAL 38
MIAMI -1.5
GL all and lets go kick some ass..
-Trilogy
posted by trilogy251
Aug. 21 2004 12:26pm -
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Hey fellas, been a while since posting here. I have a strong play for tonight that I hope hits for us. Here's my MLB card.
8 UNIT PLAY
PLAY ON UNDER 11 Colorado/Montreal
Joe Kennedy is toeing the hill for Colorado against Livan Hernandez and the suddenly respectable Montreal Expos. I love the pitching matchup to keep the total low. Here's why...
Let's start with Livan. He's pitched brilliantly since the all star break and would have a much better record if he was on a different club. Check out these numbers.
Livan's starts since July 15'th...every total since the 15'th that he's been the starter, the total has been under 10. (9,4,9,8,4,10,). This is against powerhouse lineups similar to Colorado. Livan's only start this year was a 3-1 win against the Rockies in Olypmic stadium. For the year the total is 3-1 in favor of the under between these two. Livan has an era of 3.58 for the year and 3.47 on the road this year. In terms of the rest of the Expos, Nick Johnson, one of the biggest sticks in the Expos lineup, will be out of tonight's game.
On the Rockies side, Joe Kennedy has been the best ERA pitcher for Colorado this year. His ERA on the year is 3.88. In his last five starts (2 after coming off the DL)his ERA is 3.21.
In terms of trends, the Expos have seen two straight unders come in after 7 straight OVERS. This doesn't worry me as those numbers have come in against the San Fran Giants in San Fran and similar offensive minded teams. Montreal and Colorado went under easily in the first game in Coors Field. No reason to see one of the year's most popular under teams (Montreal) cash in again. Colorado has seen 4 out of their last five cash on the under; including 3 out of the last 4 at home. Colorado is 31-30 on the OVER at home and 3-7 in the last 10. Montreal is 8-2 on the OVER in their last 10 but 2-0 Under in the last 2 and 3 out of 4 in the series under.
Joe Kennedy is 4-1 on the Under in his last five starts.
LIvan is 3-2 on the OVER in his last 5 starts.
Good luck on this game if you play it. I think the numbers and trends, along with Livan's brilliance and the lack of Nick Johnson make this UNDER 11 the biggest play I've made in two weeks. Good luck if your on it.
PLAY ON UNDER 11 Rockies if you choose.
Good luck whatever your on.
My remaining card that hasn't gone off yet:
San Fran over 9 1/2...3 units
Braves under 8 1/2 ....3 units
Colorado Under 11.....8 units
Cubs ML -160..........2 units
Oakland ML -165.......3 units
Side note: I've ridden Oakland during their latest 3 game winning streak. As many of you know, I follow trends in baseball and have made good money this year. I'm up for the year a nice amount by playing some of these trends. I will back the A's and the favorable schedule for the next week or so. History suggests they always go on a crazy run in August. (Last two years..10 in a row and 13 out of 15 in 2003 and 9 in a row and 16 out of 17 in 2002.) I think this run is starting now and this will be the 4'th day I'm on it. If Oakland continues to win, think about hopping on the train for the same unit play for a consistent number of days.
posted by pc7588
Aug. 21 2004 4:16pm -
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We have a developing situtation on a possible
Pre-Season GOY pick !!!!
posted by sundaybreak
Aug. 21 2004 4:50pm -
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Didn't post yesterday, but went 3-0 on posted plays on Thursday to run overall baseball record to 38-30. Today I like one evening game:
1) Expos (+105) - Expos aren't that bad against left handed pitchers going 17-20 and Rockies are bad against right handed pitchers going 34-54. Kennedy for Rockies has pitched well but only has 1 win in last 13 starts. Hernandez is 3-0 with 2.69 era last 3 starts. Expos have won 9 of last 13 games and have their ace going tonight as a dog.
I will pickride PC's under 11 for this game as both are good pitchers and both have good era's even if this game is in Colorado.
Good luck everyone!!
posted by jernov99
Aug. 21 2004 5:22pm -
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Ok guys, this is crazy for pre-season, but we are rolling with 2 picks tonight !!!
One will be for $50 and the other for $250
Research has been done and now it's time to collect once again, with of course just a little luck.
BET WISELY and only what you can afford !!!
San Fran + 3 ******** $ 50
Miami -1.5******** $250 ( GOY ? )
Feel strong about both, but Miami's 3rd team has me worried against the Skins running game. I still have to roll with this pick.
Public is all over Chicago and the line dropped a half point. READ BETWEEN THE LINES !!!!!!
Good Luck 2 All and please
BET WISELY $$$$$$$$
4-1 Pre-season
posted by sundaybreak
Aug. 21 2004 6:19pm -
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DENVER-2
DEN/SEA UNDER 37
posted by kalind
Aug. 21 2004 8:33pm