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NEWSLETTERS FOR WEEK OF 10/8

Newsletters 10/10 -10/14

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Confidential Kick-Off!! The Gold Sheet!!

America's Handicapping Leaders For 50 Seasons!

11 RUTGERS over *Syracuse

Late Score Forecast

RUTGERS 47 - *Syracuse 14

Long-time Big East sources tell us Rutgers can't wait to get back on gridiron

after suffering back-to-back losses for 1st time since '05. Normally-potent

Scarlet Knight attack (32 ppg), featuring productive QB Teel (5th in pass

efficiency) & tireless RB Rice (622 YR, 10 TDs), should quickly recapture its

mojo vs. a Syracuse defense yielding 38 ppg. Scouts further report

beleaguered Orange HC Robinson (only 6-23 SU at 'Cuse) used 9 true frosh to

increase team's overall mobility & speed vs. WV. That strategy didn't work,

as Mounties scored on 9 of their 1st 11 possession en route to 55-14 bashing

in Carrier Dome. And after facing the productive offenses of Maryland &

Cincy, look for an angry, quick Rutgers "D" to smother Orange attack that's

surpassed 20 pts. just once in past 13 games. 'Cuse's team leader sr. LB/DE

McClain says he is "sick" with what's going on. That won't change.

10 ILLINOIS over *Iowa

Late Score Forecast:

ILLINOIS 28 - *Iowa 17

Ending Wisconsin's 14-game winning streak was proof that HC Ron Zook has

turned Illinois fortunes around. An old adage is that "good players make

good coaches" and the Illini are an example of that, having out-recruited the

vast majority of their opponents the last few years. Iowa is one of the

teams Zook has out-recruited, and injuries or suspensions have sapped the

Hawkeyes of several key players, most notably WRs Andy Brodell & Dominique

Douglas, OT Dace Richardson, LB Mike Klinkenborg, and TE Tony Moeki. As a

result, Hawkeye HC Kirk Ferentz has played 11 true frosh, the most since he's

been at Iowa. Zook says QB Juice Williams & WR Rejus Benn (both banged up

vs. Badgers) are on track to play vs. Iowa. Hawkeye prowess at home has

faded, as Iowa is just 2-6 vs. the number last 8 at once-feared Kinnick

Stadium.

10 AIR FORCE over *Colorado St.

Late Score Forecast:

AIR FORCE 27 - *Colorado St. 19

Amazingly, snakebit CSU has now gone the equivalent of a full season (12

games!), as well as a calendar year, since its last win on October 7, 2006.

And MWC sources suggest the fight is simply out of depleted Rams, who failed

to circle the wagons vs. beatable San Diego State last week, prompting

sources to speculate that veteran HC Sonny Lubick might announce retirement

soon. So we're a bit surprised that CSU is laying points to a rejuvenated AFA

bunch, especially with sr. QB Carney enjoying the freedom associated with new

HC Calhoun's shotgun that replaced Fisher DeBerry's more-restrictive option.

Moreover, veteran Falc "D" creating all sorts of havoc with variety of blitz

schemes orchestrated by shrewd d.c. DeRuyter, which ought to further fluster

desperate Ram QB Hanie.

10 *CINCINNATI over Louisville

Late Score Forecast:

*CINCINNATI 47 - Louisville 27

This game exemplifies how fast things can change these days in college

football. Last year, under defensively-oriented Mark Dantonio, Cincy had an

offense that produced 20 ppg and barely supported its stubborn defense. This

year, with Brian Kelly having installed his spread offense and added transfer

QB Ben Mauk (a former starter at Wake Forest), the Bearcats have rolled up 43

ppg. With the offense giving rest to the ball-hawking defense (which leads

the nation with 25 takeaways), the stop unit is yielding only 12.7 ppg.

Meanwhile, the loss of coach Bobby Petrino to the pros is obviously resulting

in an adjustment phase for Louisville to new HC Kragthorpe. And the Cardinal

defense-without NFL first-round DT Amobe Okoye up front and three DBs in the

secondary-is giving up 31 ppg! Cincy 5-0 vs. spread TY.

10 HOUSTON over *Jacksonville

Late Score Forecast:

HOUSTON 16 - *Jacksonville 13

(Sunday, October 14)

Credit Gary Kubiak for bringing stability, toughness and confidence to 3-2

Houston. His deal for QB Matt Schaub has provided consistency and leadership

at that key position, and Schaub's strong arm gives the Texans the ability to

threaten the entire field. Underdog Houston has a history of playing well

vs. the Jaguars, going 8-2 vs. the spread overall and 4-1 in Jacksonville,

with 6 straight-up wins in the series! And the Texans are much stronger up

front on defense TY with amazing rookie DT Amobe Okoye joining LY's two

rookie keepers, LB DeMeco Ryans and DE Mario Williams (a combined 8 sacks for

the trio so far TY). The conservative nature of the Jacksonville offense

should help keep this game tight all the way, giving Houston a chance to

steal another win.

TOTALS: UNDER (38) in the Tennessee-Tampa Bay game-Titans defense much better

than people expected; injuries limiting the options of Jon Gruden on

offense....UNDER (43) in the New Orleans-Seattle game-Without the power of

Deuce up the middle, foes effectively limiting the effectiveness of Drew

Brees and Reggie Bush.

HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games): GEORGIA (-7) at Vanderbilt-After last

week's rout in Knoxville, HC Richt returns to basics, and does not stop, with

embarrassed Bulldogs...TENNESSEE (-6.5) at Mississippi State-Huge QB edge for

Vols; Florida's back-to-back losses give UT genuine hopes of reaching the

title game!...UTAH (-13.5) vs. San Diego State-Aztecs have to win more than

one game before we believe their defense is sound enough to stop a good

spread attack...CALIFORNIA (-14) vs. Oregon State-If Beavers continue their

turnover ways on the road at Cal, Bears' speed will have the number covered

by halftime...WASHINGTON (+3) at Green Bay-Redskins have the talented

secondary (four No. 1 picks) to keep Favre in check; the emerging offense to

win the game.

posted by phantom

Oct. 8 2007 10:17pm

33 replies

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THE GOLDSHEET

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 14

KANSAS CITY 20 - Cincinnati 17--Banged-up Bengals are expected to welcome back injured LBs Ahmad Brooks (groin) and Rashad Jeanty (shin), both inactive for their last contest vs. the mighty Pats. But this game a tough call early due to K.C. QB Huard's shoulder injury. If he's okay, Chiefs should control ball with Larry Johnson after K.C.'s embarrassing 10-YR performance last week vs. the Jaguars. But if it's Brodie Croyle for Chiefs, must give edge to veteran Carson Palmer and visiting Cincy.

(06-Cincy 23-K. CITY 10...K.18-12 C.34/116 K.25/113 K.23/35/1/176 C.13/19/0/120 C.1 K.2)

(06-Cincinnati +2 23-10...SR: Kansas City 12-11)

UNDER THE TOTAL JACKSONVILLE 16 - Houston 12--J'ville beginning to intimidate foes in Sonny Liston-like fashion, especially with monster DTs Stroud & Henderson again tossing around opposing OLmen & RBs like rag dolls (K.C. only 10 YR last week!). And hurtin' Houston "O" still could be minus main playmakers RB A. Green, WRs A. Johnson & rookie Jacoby Jones. But with Jag QB Garrard taking few risks downfield, Texans' current main weapon, PK K. Brown (5 FGs vs. Miami, 3 of 50+ yards!) could keep Houston close enough to cover for 9th time last 11 in series. Series "under" 7 of last 8.

(06-HOU. 27-Jack. 7...H.21-14 H.34/131 J.25/102 H.25/34/0/218 J.14/28/0/118 H.0 J.2)

(06-Hou. 13-JACK. 10...H.21-16 H.42/148 J.19/118 J.15/34/4/204 H.17/35/0/158 H.0 J.0)

(06-HOUSTON +9 27-7, Houston +10 13-10...SR: Houston 6-4)

Miami 21 - CLEVELAND 16--Miami still not winning, although Cam Cameron's bunch has come close (lost by exactly a FG each time) in first three away from home. Even if it's QB Cleo Lemon subbing for Trent Green (concussion last week), keep in mind Lemon played extensively toward the end of LY, had directed the Dolphins to the lead last week at Houston, and was lauded by Cameron in camp TY. And RB Ronnie Brown (360 YR last 3) continues to provide an effective infantry component. Meanwhile, balance on Cleveland "O" could be impacted if Jamal Lewis (foot) is out, while QB D. Anderson still prone to picks (8 in 2007).

(05-CLEVELAND -2' 22-0...SR: Miami 9-5)

CHICAGO 23 - Minnesota 13--Have all due respect for Minny's gnarly top-rated rush defense. But Bears have won last six meetings at home vs. the Vikes, and QB Griese's winning TDP last week at G.B. gives their fortunes a big boost. It was Chicago's "generosity" that was killing the Bears (led NFL with 14 giveaways through Week Four). The Vikes have a bright star in RB Adrian Peterson (383 YR, 5.0 ypc), but even if Tarvaris Jackson is ready to return, is Minny QBing good enough?

(06-Chi. 19-MINN. 16...C.19-11 M.24/97 C.21/51 C.23/41/2/274 M.21/31/0/189 C.0 M.2)

(06-CHI. 23-Minn. 13...M.21-6 M.35/192 C.25/83 M.21/39/4/156 C.6/19/3/24 C.2 M.1)

(06-Chicago -3' 19-16, CHICAGO -9 23-13...SR: Minnesota 48-42-2)

Philadelphia 20 - NY JETS 16--Will it be Kellen Clemens at QB for the 1-4 Jets? Why not, especially after Chad Pennington's 5 ints. the last two games? Meanwhile, LT Tra Thomas (out last game with knee injury) expected to return for Philly, which would be good news for Donovan McNabb, who was sacked one Billion times (actually 12) by the Giants on this field in Eagles' last game. Like rested Eagles more if Brian Westbrook (abdomen) back in lineup.

(2007 Preseason: NY Jets +2' beat Philadelphia 13-11 at Philadelphia)

(03-PHILADELPHIA -3 24-17...SR: Philadelphia 7-0)

BALTIMORE 19 - St. Louis 13--Injury-riddled St. Louis is 0-5 SU and 1-4 vs. the spread, while 3-2 Baltimore is still seeking its first cover of the season! Both have been plagued by injuries in the OL & elsewhere. Frustrated Steve McNair has called Raven gameplans inadequate, while Ram HC Scott Linehan has taken over the playcalling duties for his team. If only Linehan could heal the four OLmen (two starters) he has lost to injury. Last week he held out QB Marc Bulger, RB Steven Jackson, WR Isaac Bruce, and backup WR Dane Looker to help them heal.

(03-ST. LOUIS -7 33-22...SR: St. Louis 2-1)

Tennessee 17 - TAMPA BAY 16--Bucs have some serviceable RB replacements for injured Cadillac Williams. But the loss of veteran LT Luke Petitgout threatens to cripple the T.B. offense in several ways. And, with Tennessee playing better-than-expected defense (ranking third through Week Four), will take the points with hot underdog Titans (13-2 last 15 in role!). Vince Young (3 ints. last week) has proven to be a quick study and should correct matters, and he's getting solid ground support TY.

(03-TENNESSEE -6' 33-13...SR: Tennessee 7-1)

Washington 20 - GREEN BAY 17--G.B., with its eight-game win streak ended and only a mini running game to support Brett Favre, might find tough going through the air vs. the talented Washington secondary with its four first-round picks. With HC Joe Gibbs and RB Clinton Portis, you know Washington will try to exert ball control on offense and to prey upon Favre's occasional impatience while the Redskins are on defense. Their prospects improve if WR Santana Moss (groin) able to return.

(04-Green Bay -1' 28-14...SR: Green Bay 17-13-1)

Carolina 20 - ARIZONA 17--Kurt Warner's days rivaling the D-backs' fireballing Jose Valverde as the best reliever in the Valley of the Sun are now altered with Matt Leinart's collarbone injury forcing Warner into the starting lineup. Will Ken Whisenhunt's Cardinal offense suffer without that usual help from bullpen? We'll see. Carolina not gaining many style points with David Carr (mere 274 YP in two starts) at QB, but Steve Smith is still a playmaker deluxe, and Panthers are notoriously scrappy as a road dog (15-3-2 last 20 in role).

(05-Carolina -2' 24-20...SR: Carolina 4-2)

New England 31 - DALLAS 23--With more than three months to go, many are already labeling this contest as a preview of Super Bowl LXII. It's way too early for that, but the prospects of seeing Tom Brady (74%, 16 TDs, 2 ints. ) vs. young gun Tony Romo (60%, 11 TDs, 3 ints. prior to Buffalo on Monday) and Randy Moss (34 recs. & 7 TDs) vs. Terrell Owens (19 & 3 before MNF) make things very interesting. Scheduling has so far been favorable for both teams. With Rodney Harrison back, will shade known quantity of Brady & Belichick over Romo and Phillips.

(03-NEW ENGLAND -4 12-0...SR: Dallas 7-2)

Oakland 24 - SAN DIEGO 23--Norv Turner's old team (he was 9-23 with Oakland in 2004-05) vs. his new guys. Yes, last week's 41-3 victory at Denver might finally lead to the outpouring Charger fans have been waiting for. But let's not ignore the fact that the Raiders, under uplifting youthful HC Lane Kiffin, are vastly improved, and that Kiffin has found some answers in the OL to unlock a productive ground game (LaMont Jordan 424 YR, Justin Fargas 261), to be augmented by former Colt Dominic Rhodes (suspension completed). And the defense is among the leaders in interceptions per game (2.7).

(06-S. Diego 27-OAK. 0...S.14-9 S.48/194 O.20/87 S.8/11/0/108 O.8/19/0/42 S.0 O.1)

(06-S. DIEGO 21-Oak. 14...15-15 S.25/110 O.26/84 O.17/30/2/161 S.15/32/1/150 S.0 O.0)

(06-San Diego -3 27-0, SAN DIEGO -13' 21-14...SR: Oakland 55-38-2)

*SEATTLE 24 - New Orleans 10--Let's see. Deuce McAllister is through for the season. 2006 Pro Bowl QB Drew Brees has 1 TDP vs. 9 interceptions! Reggie Bush is averaging 3 ypc. The defense has only one sack and two interceptions. And the Saints have been outscored 44-7 in the fourth Q. Add to the mix that Seattle is improved on defense TY and that HC Mike Holmgren is furious about his team's zero-point, 144-yard production last week at Pittsburgh, and there's a good chance Seattle makes its Qwest Field magic work on Sunday Night Football. TV--NBC (04-Seattle -2' 21-7...SR: Seattle 5-4)

MONDAY, OCTOBER 15

*ATLANTA 24 - NY Giants 23--Chance on the national TV stage for the Vick-less Atlanta players to prove they're not "dogs." Will it be Byron Leftwich (2 for 8 last week) as the Falcon starter replacing erratic Joey Harrington? Whether or not, we'll side with home dog (14-7 last four weeks prior to Dallas-Buffalo game). If speedy RB Jerious Norwood able to neutralize N.Y. pass rush just a little bit, Atlanta QBs will get some good shots vs. Giants' improving but still problematic secondary (rookie Aaron Ross' two ints. last week duly noted). CABLE TV--ESPN

(06-Giants 27-ATL. 14...N.28-16 N.38/259 A.26/223 N.17/30/2/165 A.14/27/1/106 N.0 A.1)

(06-NY Giants +3 27-14...SR: Atlanta 10-8)

MONDAY NIGHT HISTORY

NY Giants and Atlanta on Monday Night

NY Giants are 10-22-1 straight-up and 11-21-1 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football;

7-8 straight-up and 7-8 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football.

Atlanta is 8-8 straight-up and 6-10 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football;

1-11 straight-up and 4-8 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football.

2007 MONDAY NIGHT RESULTS

Cincinnati -2Â½ beat Baltimore 27-20 at Cincinnati o40

San Francisco -3 beat Arizona 20-17 at San Francisco u45

Washington +6Â½ beat Philadelphia 20-12 at Philadelphia u39

Tennessee +4Â½ beat New Orleans 31-14 at New Orleans n45

New England -7Â½ beat Cincinnati 34-13 at Cincinnati u53Â½

NFL KEY RELEASES

MIAMI by 5 over Cleveland

OAKLAND by 1 over San Diego

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

UNDER THE TOTAL in the Houston-Jacksonville game

NFL RATINGS & POINTSPREAD RECORDS

All teams measured from the TOP RATING of zero. HFV - Home Field Value. Deduct allotted points for HFV from rating of Home Team. R - Current Power Rating. SUR - Straight-Up Won-Loss Record. PSR - Won-Loss Record vs. Pointspread. O/U-Total Over-under record (number of games that went over-number of games that went under). PF & PA - Average Points Scored For and Against. Results at Home listed under Home. Results on Road listed under Away. Teams with a bold + or - have had their ratings moved 2 points or more for the better (+) or worse (-) since last week.

TOTAL HOME AWAY

TEAM R HFV SUR PSR O/U PF-PA PSR PF-PA PSR PF-PA

Arizona 8 3 3-2 3-1-1 3-2 24-22 2-0 22-17 1-1 25-26

Atlanta 10 2 1-4 3-2 2-3 14-20 1-1 23-22 2-1 8-19

Baltimore 6 2 3-2 0-5 2-1 18-19 0-2 23-18 0-3 14-20

Buffalo 11 3 1-3 2-2 1-3 10-23 2-0 16-15 0-2 5-32

Carolina 8 2 3-2 3-2 2-3 20-20 0-2 14-27 3-0 23-15

Chicago 6 3 2-3 1-4 3-2 17-23 0-2 15-22 1-2 19-24

Cincinnati 6 3 1-3 2-2 2-2 27-32 1-1 20-27 1-1 33-38

Cleveland 10 3 2-3 3-2 4-0 25-30 2-1 28-31 1-1 21-30

Dallas 0 4 4-0 4-0 3-1 38-18 2-0 40-21 2-0 36-15

Denver 7 1 2-3 0-5 4-1 15-27 0-3 13-28 0-2 18-26

Detroit 12 4 3-2 2-2-1 3-2 23-31 1-0 29-22 1-2 20-37

Green Bay- 6 3 4-1 4-1 4-1 25-19 2-1 22-21 2-0 29-15

Houston 9 2 3-2 3-2 3-2 23-20 2-1 22-17 1-1 25-24

Indianapolis -2 4 5-0 3-2 3-2 33-18 3-0 37-15 0-2 26-22

Jacksonville 5 3 3-1 2-2 1-3 16-10 0-2 12-10 2-0 20-11

Kansas City 10 3 2-3 2-2-1 1-4 13-17 0-1 10-14 2-1 14-19

Miami 10 2 0-5 1-2-2 3-2 19-28 0-2 19-36 1-0 20-23

Minnesota 11 2 1-3 1-1-2 1-3 17-15 1-1 20-13 0-0 14-17

New England -4 4 5-0 5-0 4-1 36-13 3-0 37-13 2-0 36-14

New Orleans- 9 2 0-4 0-4 1-2 13-30 0-2 14-24 0-2 12-36

NY Giants 7 3 3-2 3-2 3-1 25-25 2-1 21-21 1-1 30-31

NY Jets 10 2 1-4 1-3-1 3-1 19-28 0-1 23-33 1-2 17-24

Oakland 10 3 2-2 2-2 4-0 26-25 0-2 24-30 2-0 28-20

Philadelphia 6 4 1-3 1-3 1-3 21-18 1-1 34-21 0-2 8-16

Pittsburgh 3 4 4-1 4-1 2-3 26-9 3-0 28-6 1-1 24-14

St. Louis 14 2 0-5 1-4 1-4 14-27 1-2 20-26 0-2 5-30

San Diego+ 4 3 2-3 2-3 4-1 22-21 1-1 15-17 1-2 26-24

San Francisco 12 3 2-3 2-2-1 1-4 13-20 1-1 10-16 1-1 17-27

Seattle 6 4 3-2 2-3 1-4 17-15 1-1 22-14 1-2 14-16

Tampa Bay 6 3 3-2 3-2 2-3 19-15 2-0 28-9 1-2 13-20

Tennessee 4 2 3-1 3-1 0-3 21-15 1-1 20-18 2-0 22-12

Washington 9 2 3-1 2-1-1 0-3 22-13 1-1 22-13 1-0 20-12

College Analysis

KEY TO FOOTBALL ANALYSES

Home team in CAPS. *â€”indicates night game. Statistics after game writeups are listed in the following order: Score of game, first downs, rushing attempts/rushing yards, passes completed/passes attempted/passes intercepted/passing yards, and fumbles lost. In each statistical category the leader is listed first. Scores and pointspreads (in parentheses) are results of most recent meetings in series. Pâ€”Pick Game. SRâ€”Series Record (official league games only), with team leading in series, number of games won, lost and tied. NLâ€”No Line. OPRâ€”Average Opponentsâ€™ Power Rating (at the time they met) of all TGS-rated teams played. TGS Key Releases are underlined and denoted with a star ().

Some frequently-appearing abbreviations. HCâ€”Head Coach (also, college Homecoming Game, when listed in score line). â€œOâ€â€”Offense. â€œDâ€â€”Defense. DDsâ€”Double Digits. OLâ€”Offensive Line or Lineman. DLâ€”Defensive Line or Lineman. KR-Kick Returner. o.c.â€”Offensive Coordinator. d.c.â€”Defensive Coordinator. YRâ€”Yards Rushing. YPâ€”Yards Passing. recs.â€”Receptions. ints.â€”Interceptions. STsâ€”Special Teams. ypgâ€”Yards per Game. ppgâ€”Points per Game. ypcâ€”Yards per Carry (or Catch, for receivers). LYâ€”Last Year. TYâ€”This Year. Yâ€”Year or Years. TDPâ€”Touchdown Passes. FAâ€”Free Agent. SUâ€”Straight Up. Games are listed in the Don Best rotation used in the majority of Las Vegas sportsbooks.

All score predictions are made with Las Vegas pointspreads and over-under lines in mind. Please note: All selections indicating a preference for the underdog do not necessarily forecast the underdog as the straight-up winner of the game. A predicted victory by the favorite of less than the pointspread on the game indicates the underdog is the preferred side in the game.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11

*Florida State 23 - WAKE FOREST 10--Gee, do you think fiercely-proud Seminoles will remember that last year Wake handed them one of most humiliating losses in recent school history? Count on it. Revamped FSU offense (just 23 ppg) no juggernaut. But 'Noles (only 1 turnover last 3 games) don't figure to accommodate resourceful Deacon stop unit (5 return TDs) with giveaways. Rock-solid State defense leads visitors to satisfying revenge win. CABLE TV--ESPN

(06-W. For. 30-FLA. ST. 0...W.18-9 W.46/169 F.23/26 W.13/20/0/138 F.9/28/4/113 W.0 F.0)

(06-Wfu +8' 30-0 05-FSU -21 41-24 04-Fsu -13' 20-17...SR: Florida State 21-3-1)

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 12

*Hawaii 40 - SAN JOSE STATE 27--ESPN can't be happy that Hawaii's Colt Brennan might miss this one with sprained ankle (think of Mick Jagger absent from a Rolling Stones performance!). Although June Jones' Red Gun still serviceable with backup QB Graunke at controls, not sure Warriors can extend margin too far if "D" performs like it did last week vs. Utah State, especially with SJSU QB Tafralis (300+ YP each of last 3) in nice groove. CABLE TV--ESPN

(06-HAWAII 54-Sjsu 17...H.28-12 H.26/151 S.38/82 H.29/40/1/417 S.7/17/1/110 H.1 S.2)

(06-HAWAII -25 54-17 05-Hawaii -6 45-38 04-HAWAII -22' 46-28...SR: SJS 15-14-1)

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 13

Purdue 30 - MICHIGAN 24--Look for Purdue's offense to rebound against vulnerable Michigan 2ndary after struggling against speedy Ohio State defense. Wolverines needed more than return of QB Chad Henne to fulltime duty to turn the tide last week (4 E. Mich TOs helped), but doubt Boiler QB Curtis Painter (19 TDP, only 3 ints.) will oblige with similar giveaways. Respect Michigan's offensive talent, but Wolverines just 3-6-1 last 10 as home favorite. (04-Mich. +4 16-14...SR: Mich. 40-12)

Rutgers 47 - SYRACUSE 14--Orange offense rarely scores (12 ppg, excluding upset at Louisville). And defense (allowing 485 ypg!) can't stop anyone. Other than that, everything is swell at Syracuse. Rutgers' star RB Rice, who was headed to SU before former HC Pasqualoni was fired, leads disappointed Knights (2 straight losses) to cushy win. Scouts report plenty of tickets available at once-packed Carrier Dome.

(06-RUT. 38-Syr. 7...R.18-11 R.44/217 S.31/122 R.10/15/0/146 S.10/19/1/69 R.0 S.1)

(06-RUT. -15 38-7 05-Rut. +2' 31-9 04-SYR. -6' 41-31...SR: Syracuse 28-8-1)

OHIO 23 - Eastern Michigan 22--Ohio U. has had a negative turnaround in the rushing game this season (103rd in rushing, 108th in run defense). If EMU can solve turnover problems (the Eagles have 14 giveaways in their last 3 games), they should be in this game all the way. Bobcat passing attack was ineffective in loss at Buffalo, and RB McRae was held to less than 100 YR for the 5th straight game.

(06-Ohio 16-E. MICH. 10...O.17-14 O.51/278 E.33/120 E.13/25/1/107 O.7/12/0/46 O.0 E.0)

(06-Ohio -6' 16-10...SR: Ohio 14-11-1)

NORTHWESTERN 40 - Minnesota 27--Northwestern's defense might be mediocre (ranked 72nd), but Minnesota's stop unit is in considerably worse position (118th in total defense and turnover margin; worst pass defense in the nation). Meanwhile, Gopher QB Adam Weber's flashy start has faded (3 TDPs, 5 ints. last 3 games), and Wildcat QB Bacher found his groove against Michigan State (520 YP, 5 TDPs).

(04-MINNESOTA -14' 43-17...SR: Minnesota 49-28-5)

OHIO STATE 40 - Kent State 3--This isn't the time to go against Ohio State side gathering momentum for national championship run. Buckeyes have outscored foes 111-21 in last 3 games, and defense led by super-quick LB Laurinaitis, has allowed the fewest points in the country. OSU overcame QB Boeckman's uncharacteristic 3-int. performance to handle Purdue, so Buckeyes should bash Kent, even if Chris Wells (injured ankle) can't go (Maurice Wells 15 carries for 74 YR in relief vs. Purdue).

(DNP...SR: Ohio State 1-0)

South Carolina 27 - NORTH CAROLINA 16--Though new UNC mentor Butch Davis was able to upset his schizoid former employer Miami-Florida week ago, don't see much carry-over vs. surging South Carolina (4 straight covers), thriving on road under Spurrier (8 straight spread wins). Tar Heels still-learning soph QB Yates figures to get a "schooling" by tight-covering 'Cock 2ndary (SEC-best 46%, 6 ints., just 2 TDs) that held Kentucky star QB Woodson to only 2 TDP in 38-23 victory. Meanwhile, Carolina's cookin' RS frosh QB Smelly (535 YP, 4 TDP in his 2 starts TY) has plenty of "fun" operating the "Fun and Gun" vs. young, unfinished Tar Heel defense (27 ppg). (DNP...SR: North Carolina 34-16-4)

MIAMI-FLORIDA 21 - Georgia Tech 20--Revenge-minded Hurricanes having hard time establishing even keel under new HC Shannon. And relentless Tech blitzes figure to perplex Miami's shaky sr. QB Wright (4 ints. at Carolina). Although Ramblin' Wreck offense still relying heavily on workhorse sr. RB Choice (32 carries each of last 2 games), jr. QB Bennett (309 YP) & emerging 6-3, 220 RS frosh D. Thomas (9 catches for 139 yards) pitched in effectively during last week's close loss at Maryland.

(06-GA. TECH 30-Miami 23...M.18-16 G.33/87 M.34/71 M.20/31/1/246 G.12/28/0/195 G.1 M.3)

(06-TECH -4' 30-23 05-Tech +18 14-10 04-Miami -14 27-3...SR: Georgia Tech 8-4)

Virginia Tech 31 - DUKE 13--This matchup no contest in recent seasons, and spread not so roomy since Duke has covered 5 straight TY. Still, Hokie offense a work in progress with true frosh QB T. Taylor at trigger, but Beamer has STs going and VT 9-2 vs. number last 11 as a road favorite.

(06-VA. TECH 36-Duke 0...V.22-12 V.33/102 D.41/58 V.16/27/1/316 D.8/14/0/81 V.0 D.1)

(06-TECH -35 36-0 05-Tech -20' 45-0 04-TECH -29' 41-17...SR: EVEN 7-7)

CINCINNATI 42 - Louisville 27--NFL-caliber sr. QB Brohm & Cardinal attack still dangerous. And getting away from increasingly-disgruntled home faithful won't hurt Louisville's sagging confidence. But see no reason to buck burgeoning Bearcats (6-0 SU, 5-0 vs. spread). Happenin' new HC Kelly (formerly at C. Michigan; 22-5-2 vs. spread since 2005!) has invigorated offense. And Cincy stop unit (25 takeaways) making many more plays than languishing Card defense (allowed at least 38 points in 4 of last 5).

(06-LVL. 23-Cincy 17...L.22-19 C.52/212 L.25/105 L.20/37/1/324 C.10/28/0/129 L.2 C.1)

(06-LVL. -25 23-17 05-Lvl. -21' 46-22 04-LVL. -22' 70-7...SR: Cincinnati 26-20-1)

Alabama 27 - MISSISSIPPI 26--Bama has played in 4 straight tightly-contested games (Houston was threatening to tie in final minute week ago), so will support a more competitive Ole Miss squad that's covered 4 straight as SEC dog in Oxford. Rebels productive QB Adams (61%, 8 TDs, just 4 ints.), who has an additional key target with now-healthy, big-play soph WR McCluster (3 catches for 48 yds. vs. La Tech), should have time to do this thing vs. Tide "D" that's recorded an SEC-low 5 sacks.

(06-ALA. 26-Miss. 23 (OT)...A.21-17 A.42/228 M.35/119 A.16/28/0/206 M.14/21/0/168 A.0 M.0)

(06-ALA. -16 26-23 (OT) 05-Ala. -13' 13-10 04-ALA. -12 28-7...SR: Alabama 43-9-2)

Georgia 34 - VANDERBILT 21--Both squads off disappointing losses, but have much more trust in revenge-minded UGA (see Looking for an Angle) to bounce back as conference visitors, where poised Dawgs are now 23-4 SU last 27. Big QB edge to UGA versatile triggerman Stafford (58%, 7 TDs, 3 ints.) over Vandy QB Nickson (5 of 16 vs. Auburn), whose confidence has been shaken following early benching vs. Tigers. 'Dores not stepping up vs. SEC upper division so far, getting outscored 44-3 by halftime in Bama & Auburn setbacks.

(06-Vandy 24-GA. 22...G.21-17 G.35/136 V.29/101 G.20/30/0/237 V.15/29/2/190 V.0 G.1)

(06-Vandy +14 24-22 05-Georgia -16 34-17 04-GEORGIA -23 33-3...SR: Georgia 47-18-2)

Toledo 28 - BUFFALO 27--Buffalo victories are rare. But improved Bulls already have two MAC wins TY (albeit one of them at Temple), and Toledo's defensive unit (43 ppg) is just as dubious as UB's. Rockets have turned to 6-3 true frosh QB D.J. Lenehan (2 ints. last week vs. Liberty). But not sure Bulls ready yet to lay points.

(05-TOLEDO -30' 38-15...SR: Toledo 5-2)

KANSAS 46 - Baylor 14--Versatile, determined KU (4-0 vs. spread) fought through a few mistakes to win at K-State and now needs one more victory to reach 6-0 after going 6-6 LY and being snubbed by bowls. Powerful FB/TB McAnderson keeping defenses honest while fiery 5-11 QB Reesing generates FDs & TDs. All-Big XII CB Talib now has 4 TDC at WR! Bears 1-6 last 7 as road dog.

(06-BAY. 36-Kansas 35...B.24-22 K.46/284 B.15/66 B.33/55/2/394 K.11/24/1/98 B.1 K.0)

(06-BAYLOR -3' 36-35...SR: Baylor 5-3)

New Mexico 22 - WYOMING 21--With NM's crafty HC Rocky Long reportedly adding a few wrinkles during bye week, points worth taking with combative Lobo squad that's covered 19 of past 28 in underdog role. NM's effective QB Porterie (66%, 7 TDs, 3 ints), workhorse RB Ferguson (560 YR in 125 tries; 8 TDs) & sure-handed WRs M. Smith & T. Brown (combined 75 catches) can trade all the way in what has recently been a hotly-contested MWC battle (last 3 decided by 4, 3, & 7 pts.).

(06-Wyo. 14-N. MEX. 10...W.19-12 W.37/114 N.35/78 W.19/32/2/204 N.11/32/0/112 W.1 N.1)

(06-Wyo. -1' 14-10 05-Unm +6' 27-24 04-UNM -9 16-9...SR: Wyoming 32-27)

Tennessee 31 - MISSISSIPPI STATE 16--Now that talented but young UT defense played fast and smart in resounding 35-14 romp vs. Georgia (held Dawgs to just 243 yds., 1 meaningful TD), won't hesitate to buck offensively-limited MSU squad lacking much stability at QB with true frosh Carroll (just 93 YP vs. UAB), seeing action due to injury to Henig (see Special Ticker). Vols sizzling sr. QB Ainge (66%, 10 TDs, just 2 ints., 282 ypg passing) and deep RB stable does plenty of business vs. aggressive, but overworked Bulldog defense that yielded 83 combined pts. vs. LSU & South Carolina. (DNP...SR: Tennessee 26-15-1)

MIAMI-OHIO 31 - Bowling Green 24--Miami has won and covered 6 of last 7 in this series, and RedHawk defense has yielded just 2 TDs in 2 MAC games this season. Bowling Green's "D" has allowed 32 ppg, including 35 to Temple. Falcon attack ranks 6th in passing, but QB Tyler Sheehan's 5 ints. at BC showed the soph still hasn't fully matured.

(06-Miami 9-B. GREEN 7...13-13 B.33/129 M.37/73 B.13/24/0/131 M.12/24/0/130 M.1 B.0)

(06-Miami-Ohio +4 9-7 05-Bowling Green +9 42-14...SR: Bowling Green 35-23-5)

UTAH 34 - San Diego State 16--We've seen these false alarms from SDSU before, so we're not going to bite on Aztec bait just yet after win over snakebit Colorado State. Not convinced Chuck Long's bullet-riddled "D" has cured its sloppy-tackling tendencies, and worth noting that Utah "O" finally looking as advertised in preseason with QB B. Johnson now healthy and RB Mack (295 YR last 2) emerging as infantry diversion.

(06-Utah 38-S. DIEGO ST. 7...U.23-15 S.45/204 U.41/192 U.13/28/1/167 S.9/20/5/83 U.1 S.0)

(06-Utah -9 38-7 05-Sds +10 28-19 04-Utah -19 51-28...SR: Utah 13-12-1)

CENTRAL MICHIGAN 37 - Army 20--Credit resilient Army for finding way to muster 2 straight home wins despite little help from its punchless offense. However, Black Knights' luck figures to run out at Mount Pleasant, where host CMU is 9-0-1 vs. spread its last 10. Chips' super soph QB LeFevour (5 TDP, 146 YR at Ball State last week) hitting his stride under new HC Butch Jones. (05-Central Michigan -2 14-10...SR: Central Michigan 1-0)

HOUSTON 37 - Rice 21--Cougars stepping way down in class after admirable effort at Alabama. Cross-town rival Rice notched its 1st victory of season last week at Southern Miss, with help from seven turnovers by host. How long can sputtering Owl offense (just 67 YP vs. Eagles!) trade with potent Houston attack? Rice ground game got boost from true frosh RB Hill (100 YR, including 54-yard TD) in win over USM.

(06-Hou. 31-RICE 30...H.17-14 R.31/131 H.28/96 H.22/35/0/233 R.12/26/1/152 H.0 R.1)

(06-Hou. -14' 31-30 05-HOU. -15' 35-18 04-Rice +4' 10-7 at Reliant...SR: Houston 24-9)

OREGON 44 - Washington State 20--Acknowledge Wazzu's sell-out effort last week vs. ASU, but not sure Cougs can dig deep again after emptying chamber in another losing effort. Besides, Bill Doba's blitz packages that flustered Sun Devil QB Carpenter aren't likely to work vs. UO's mobile Dennis Dixon, and shudder to think what damage Ducks' spread option can cause vs. burnable WSU "D" that's allowing 46 ppg on road.

(06-WASH. ST. 34-Ore. 23...O.25-20 W.41/193 O.31/104 O.28/47/2/367 W.20/23/1/179 W.2 O.2)

(06-WSU +3' 34-23 05-Ore. -4 34-31 04-Ore. +3' 41-38...SR: Oregon 39-38-7)

Wisconsin 24 - PENN STATE 19--Look for Wisconsin to rebound from loss at Illinois (and end of 14-game winning streak) with a resolute effort facing Penn State squad that's only had success against flawed or injured teams this season. PSU QB Morelli has thrown 5 ints. in last 2 games, while counterpart Tyler Donovan threw for 392 yds. at Illinois last Saturday. Expect Badger RB P.J. Hill to be ready, and he & vet Wisconsin OL should have some success vs. grudging Nittany Lion defense. TV--ABC

(06-WIS. 13-Penn St. 3...W.20-12 W.45/167 P.19/36 W.16/26/0/174 P.19/36/1/165 W.2 P.2)

(06-WIS. -7 13-3 05-PSU -12 35-14 04-WIS. -3 16-3...SR: Wisconsin 8-4)

NEBRASKA 31 - Oklahoma State 30--Husker offense quite competitive, but Bill Callahan has not been able to plug the leaks in the NU defense, which last week endured its second 600-yard allowance TY at Missouri. Cowboy offense, powered by WR Adarius Bowman & RB Dantrell Savage, scoring 36 ppg in Big XII play. But OSU's chances better if QB Zac Robinson (check status) able to play.

(06-OKLA. ST. 41-Neb. 29...N.29-25 O.41/267 N.40/211 N.21/39/0/241 O.13/21/1/229 O.1 N.1)

(06-OKLAHOMA STATE +5' 41-29...SR: Nebraska 37-4-1)

Texas 32 - IOWA STATE 20--Mack Brown takes on former UT co-defensive coordinator Gene Chizik, now the head man in Ames. Premium talent in short supply at ISU, but Longhorns' youth in secondary & OL, plus some absences at WR, making things tougher TY for Colt McCoy (10 TDs, 10 ints.). The Bass/Scales RB duo easing a bit of pressure on sr. QB Cylcone QB Meyer.

(06-TEXAS 37-Iowa St. 14...T.24-21 T.40/193 I.27/21 I.25/45/2/302 T.19/24/1/246 T.1 I.0)

(06-TEXAS -25' 37-14...SR: Texas 6-0)

Illinois 27 - IOWA 17--Must check health status of Illinois offensive cogs QB Juice Williams & WR Rejus Benn, but still comfortable backing resurgent Illini. Few teams have as many injury problems as Iowa, and stodgy Hawkeyes are at a distinct speed disadvantage. Iowa defense starting to crack, as Hawkeyes have yielded 65 points vs. Indiana & Penn State after giving up just 35 in first four. Illini HC Zook holding better cards.

(06-Iowa 24-ILL. 7...Il.21-20 Ia.42/154 Il.35/121 Il.12/39/4/194 Ia.17/27/1/190 Ia.0 Il.0)

(06-Iowa -21 24-7 05-IOWA -18' 35-7 04-Iowa -12 23-13...SR: Illinois 37-28-2)

Boston College 35 - NOTRE DAME 14--Although we can't confirm the rumor that the Pope has switched his allegiance to BC, we can confirm that ND is going to facing a lot more vs. Eagles than it did vs. crippled UCLA, which was down to a walk-on 3rd-string QB last week in Pasadena. That's not the case vs. BC's NFL-bound sr. QB Ryan, who should move vs. Irish defense, as did most competent foes in first month of season. And training wheels still on Charlie Weis' "O" that still can't throw downfield with much consistency. TV--NBC

(04-Boston College +7 24-23...SR: Notre Dame 9-7)

Western Michigan 25 - NORTHERN ILLINOIS 24--Mustering just 25 points in losses to C. Michigan & Temple the last two weeks an indication of Northern Illinois' trouble in the red zone. Husky RB Justin Anderson has run for 163 ypg the last 4, but NIU has won just one. WMU lost to Akron on an 89-yard free-kick return on final play last week, and recent defensive shortcomings just what Huskies (4-0 last 4 as home dog) need.

(06-W. MICH. 16-N. Ill. 14...W.21-10 W.40/129 N.22/0 W.29/44/1/251 N.14/25/3/157 W.0 N.0)

(06-WMU +3 16-14 05-NIU -10 42-7 04-Niu -19' 59-38...SR: Western Michigan 20-11)

Tcu 27 - STANFORD 19--Okay, we know Jim Harbaugh motivated his Stanford team to play waaaay over its head vs. USC. But it might be a bigger challenge to get Cardinal ready for an encore after monumental upset over Trojans. And, while Stanford celebrating, TCU seething after another narrow defeat (at Wyo). Frog "O" buoyed by return of RB A. Brown, and let's see how Cardinal OL deals with TCU's ravenous blitzers. (FIRST MEETING)

CALIFORNIA 41 - Oregon State 20--Guessing which OSU team shows is up about as tricky as predicting who will shine at next GOP presidential debate. But since Beavers (23 TOs!) still apt to self-destruct at any moment, would rather trust Jeff Tedford's potent Cal attack that can burn overagressive OSU "D" and make Beavs pay dearly if they lapse into giveaway mode. Banged-up Bear "D" in better shape after bye week, too.

(06-Cal. 41-ORE. ST. 13...C.25-16 C.33/142 O.24/56 C.22/31/1/341 O.23/34/0/244 C.0 O.1)

(06-Cal. -9 41-13 05-Osu +16 23-20 04-Cal. -6' 49-7...SR: California 33-27)

Fresno State 30 - IDAHO 23--Tempted with Fresno now that frosh RB Matthews (167 YR at Nevada) has emerged. And Idaho likely again going with little-used 5th-yr. sr. QB Nooy (only 8 completions at SJSU) while starter Enderle heals hand injury. But slashing RB D. Jackson has returned to Vandal lineup, and clever HC Akey's scheming kept Idaho competitive vs. more-potent foes than Bulldogs in September.

(06-FSU 34-Ida 0...F.23-11 F.42/290 I.30/107 F.14/23/2/109 I.30/107 F.14/23/2/109 I.10/30/1/92 F.0 I.0)

(06-FRESNO ST. -11' 34-0 05-Fresno St. -28' 40-10...SR: Fresno State 5-4)

Air Force 27 - COLORADO STATE 22--Never mind that CSU probably the "best 0-5 team" in country. Rams (on 12-game losing streak!) have forgotten how to win, and some MWC sources now wondering how long it will be before Sonny Lubick announces retirement. With QB Hanie absorbing weekly beatings, doubt Rams can outscore resourceful AFA bunch that rediscovered RB Hall (169 YR) in win over UNLV.

(06-A. FORCE 24-Colo. St. 21...A.24-16 A.64/318 C.27/106 C.14/23/2/282 A.8/13/0/102 A.2 C.0)

(06-AFA -6 24-21 05-CSU -3' 41-23 04-AFA +1' 47-17...SR: Air Force 25-19-1)

*AKRON 26 - Temple 21--Though Akron buoyed by near miraculous 39-38 comeback win at Western Michigan (Zips scored final 16 pts. in last 4:54, including 89-yd. free kick return on final play!), still prefer to "take" with equally excited Temple squad that snapped 8-game losing streak in last-minute 17-15 upset win vs. Northern Illinois. Owls strong-armed, fiery jr. QB DiMichele (former Toronto Blue Jay draftee has 561 YP last 2 games) can burn zipless Zip defense that's permitted 1806 yds. last 4 games. Hootin' Owls are 7-1 vs. spread last 8 vs. MAC teams. (DNP...SR: Temple 9-7)

*Lsu 31 - KENTUCKY 16--LSU coming off incredibly draining 28-24 comeback victory vs. Florida, but don't foresee any letdown, especially with shocking Southern Cal upset putting undisputed No. 1 Tigers in driver's seat for BCS title game. LSU's formidable RB trio of Hester, K. Williams & blazing soph Holliday (combined 185 YR vs. tough Florida front 7) will allow versatile QB Flynn to work play-action vs. ill-equipped UK stop unit (11th in SEC run defense, 5 ypc). Wildcats all-star QB Woodson, who made several key mistakes in South Carolina loss, won't "fix it" vs. stifling LSU defense (6.4 ppg, 1.3 ypc, 18 sacks, 41% allowed, 10 ints., 1 TD).

(06-LSU 49-Ky. 0...L.28-14 L.43/268 K.23/61 L.19/25/0/278 K.16/41/1/166 L.0 K.0)

(06-LSU -26 49-0...SR: LSU 38-15-1)

*Auburn 27 - ARKANSAS 19--Compelled to go with revenge-minded Auburn squad that has won 12 of its last 13 on SEC road. Tigers have cleaned up their mistakes (only 3 giveaways in last 3 weeks). And with steadier QB Cox benefiting from return of unsuspended star RB Lester (77 YR vs. Vandy), Auburn outscores strong, but one-dimensional Hog attack, led by unreliable QB Dick. Fast, swarming Auburn front (3.2 ypc) atones for unusually-poor effort vs. Ark. LY (gave up season-high 279 YR).

(06-Ark. 27-AUB. 10...Ar.17-16 Ar.45/279 Au.31/60 Au.17/29/0/153 Ar.7/10/0/87 Ar.0 Au.0)

(06-Ark. +15 27-10 05-Aub. -7' 34-17 04-AUB. -13 38-20...SR: Auburn 9-6-1)

*UAB 24 - Tulane 23--Poor pointspread role for UAB (just 3-10-1 as favorite since 2005) under former HC Watson Brown, although Blazers have quietly covered 3 straight (all as big underdog) for new mentor Callaway (former Georgia o.c.). Tulane has veteran DL & best weapon on field in sr. RB Forte (578 YR in last 3 games). Green Wave's green soph QB Scelfo had just 154 YP, no TDP last week at Army, however.

(04-TULANE +18 59-55...SR: Tulane 3-2)

*Connecticut 21 - VIRGINIA 20--Check status of UVa RB Peerman, who was ACC's leading rusher prior to hurting his foot in 1st Q at Middle Tennessee. Even if Peerman available, favor fundamentally-sound UConn (just 1 TO in each of first 5 games). Huskies have extra week of prep, patient leadership at QB with juco Lorenzen, two quality RBs in sophs D. Brown & Dixon, and a solid defense. Upset no big surprise. (FIRST MEETING)

*LOUISIANA TECH 24 - New Mexico State 23--With NMS's prolific QB Holbrook (check status) hampered by nagging rib injury, favor defensively-tougher La Tech squad thrilled to be back in Ruston following challenging 3-game road trip. Bulldogs competent QB Champion should perform like one vs. yielding Aggie defense (41 ppg).

(06-N. MEX. ST. 50-La. Tech 23...N.32-22 L.29/135 N.26/133 N.43/57/0/518 L.23/40/3/296 N.1 L.1)

(06-NMS -12' 50-23 05-LTU -10' 34-14...SR: New Mexico State 4-2)

*TULSA 48 - Marshall 27--True, Tulsa's defense (47 ppg last 4!) very vulnerable. But so is Marshall's young, depth-shy stop unit. So, compelled to lay points with more dynamic Hurricane & consistently-productive sr. QB P. Smith (1827 YP & 15 TDP on 62% in first 5 games). Visiting Herd just 2 covers in last 20 away from Huntington! (FIRST MEETING)

*MICHIGAN STATE 27 - Indiana 26--Indiana attack developing rapidly, as QB Kellen Lewis taking advantage of emerging sophs Ray Fisher (9 recs., 106 yds. vs. Minny) & Bryan Payton (13 carries, 90 yds., 3 rush TDs vs. Gophers) to augment Hoosier attack. Lewis & WR James Hardy tormented MSU defense last season, as Lewis had a season-high 5 TD passes (4 to Hardy) in 46-21 upset. Spartan defense has failed last two games, so take any points with improved Hoosiers.

(06-IND. 46-Mich. St. 21...I.26-8 I.51/185 M.26/66 I.15/26/1/261 M.14/28/1/149 I.2 M.1)

(06-IND. +7 46-21 05-MSU -18 46-15 04-Msu -3 30-20...SR: Michigan State 39-14-2)

*TEXAS TECH 41 - Texas A&M 27--Bigger--but slower--A&M has had its problems lately with TT, as Red Raiders are 11-2 vs. spread last 13 in series, including 6-0 in Lubbock! And QB Harrell (28 TDP) and RS frosh WR Crabtree (17 TDC already!) on record-breaking pace! Aggies will try to control ball with QB McGee & bruising RB J. Lane (10 TDR), but TT defense tends to rise up in this rivalry.

(06-Tx. Tech 31-TX. A&M 27...T.24-22 A.47/250 T.11/41 T.32/45/0/392 A.9/20/1/103 T.1 A.0)

(06-Tech +2' 31-27 05-TECH -15 56-17 04-TAM -2' 32-25 (OT)...SR: Texas A&M 34-30-1)

*OKLAHOMA 31 - Missouri 27--OU's defense has sprung a few leaks last three games, giving up 354 YP and 21 points at Tulsa, blowing a 24-7 lead at Colorado, and allowing 324 YP vs. Texas. Thus, will side with 5-0 Missouri and Tigers' versatile spread offense, as TEs Rucker & Coffman (62 combined recs.) ever so reliable, and speedy RS frosh Maclin helping QB Daniel both his rushing and receiving.

(06-Okla. 26-MO. 10...O.21-20 O.52/231 M.27/76 M.23/46/3/284 O.11/19/0/127 O.2 M.1)

(06-Oklahoma +1' 26-10...SR: Oklahoma 63-23-5)

*KANSAS STATE 31 - Colorado 23--It's obvious there is some coaching (and QBing) going on at Colorado. But host K-State will be pretty much dead in the Big XII North if it loses a second straight division game at home. It turned out the Buffaloes had things easy in last week's 43-23 win at porous Baylor. Not so vs. determined, defensively-tougher K-State with OLB/DE I. Campbell pressuring QB.

(06-Ksu 34-COLO. 21...K.19-16 C.40/225 K.38/188 K.22/26/0/251 C.10/18/0/145 K.0 C.1)

(06-Ksu +3' 34-21 05-Colo. -7' 23-20 04-COLO. +2' 38-31...SR: Colorado 43-18-1)

*SOUTHERN MISS 33 - Smu 19--Eagles kicking themselves for handing previously-winless Rice 7 turnovers (and a victory) at Hattiesburg last week. As long as USM offense avoids repeat of that suicidal performance, host's defensive superiority should be decisive factor in this matchup. Star Eagle soph RB Fletcher will run wild vs. swiss-cheese SMU stop unit (allowed 31+ points & 500+ yards in 4 of 5 games). (FIRST MEETING)

*SOUTH FLORIDA 35 - Ucf 17--Following emotional, upset win over West Virginia, not surprised by USF's ho-hum victory at lightly-regarded Florida Atlantic. But Bulls will summon another rip-snortin' effort against shellshocked cross-state rival UCF, which gave up 28 points in mistake-filled 3rd Q during loss at E. Carolina. Huge defensive edge for host USF, which has covered 6 of last 7 in front of burgeoning Tampa faithful.

(06-S. Fla. 24-UCF 17...20-20 U.34/140 S.38/100 S.22/32/1/333 U.19/44/2/219 S.0 U.1)

(06-South Florida -1 24-17 05-SOUTH FLORIDA -7' 31-14...SR: South Florida 2-0)

*UTEP 45 - East Carolina 40--An extra scoreboard might be needed to keep track of tally in this one, as UTEP & ECU have peppered their last 2 foes with a combined 185 points! Miners have more YR in last 3 games than all of LY, so no surprise if rapidly-maturing RS frosh QB Vittatoe leads host to another heart-stopping win. (FIRST MEETING)

*Byu 27 - UNLV 22--Maybe Wayne Newton will last longer on "Dancing with the Stars" than UNLV in the MWC race. But regional sources insist Rebs worth another look back at Sam Boyd Stadium, where they've provided good value as dog (8-4 last 12 in role). UNLV "D" sturdier than last two versions torched by better BYU attacks, and RB Summers (another 100 YR at Air Force) balancing Mike Sanford's Shotgun Spread.

(06-BYU 52-Unlv 7...B.28-18 B.41/308 U.26/92 B.20/25/1/266 U.19/38/4/216 B.0 U.2)

(06-BYU -28' 52-7 05-Byu -12 55-14 04-Unlv +10 24-20...SR: BYU 11-3)

*ARIZONA STATE 31 - Washington 13--Although RS frosh QB Locker providing uplift for U-Dub program, he's still a work in progress, and other elements of Husky attack (especially 100th-ranked passing game) not keeping pace. So trading points with Dennis Erickson's more refined ASU "O" could prove problematic. Note Sun Devils' 11-2 mark last 13 laying DDs at Tempe.

(06-Asu 26-WAS. 23 (OT)...W.16-15 A.34/190 W.35/126 A.16/23/0/170 W.14/32/2/148 A.0 W.0)

(06-Asu -1' 26-23 (OT) 05-ASU -16' 44-20...SR: Washington 15-11)

SOUTHERN CAL 33 - Arizona 17--We're tempted to call Dr. Phil for help in this one, with Arizona continuing to display schizo tendencies, and SC's frame of mind hard to gauge after historic upset loss vs. Stanford. But continuing sloppiness and possible absence of QB Booty (little-used backup Sanchez likely to start) makes Trojan recommendation dicey. Past Mike Stoops Cat teams have played SC tough, and Pete Carroll's defensive schemes should allow "Air Zona" spread to dink effectively. TV-ABC

(06-S. Cal 20-ARIZ. 3...S.22-8 S.42/202 A.19/M16 S.24/39/1/179 A.14/25/1/170 S.1 A.1)

(06-Usc -21 20-3 05-USC -37' 42-21 04-USC -35 49-9...SR: Southern Cal 24-6)

ADDED GAMES

*ARKANSAS STATE 28 - La.-Lafayette 24--Sun Belt opposition not blinking at sight of ASU just because Indians played Texas and Tennessee tough. And now that ASU "D" springing leaks, ULL's potent infantry (with RB Fenroy back in action) can keep Ragin' Cajuns within earshot.

(06-LA.-LAF. 28-Ark. St. 13...18-18 L.41/265 A.38/233 A.13/30/0/132 L.10/18/1/107 L.1 A.1)

(06-ULL -6 28-13 05-ASU -11 39-36 04-ULL -3' 27-24...SR: La.-Lafayette 18-16-1)

*La.-Monroe 30 - NORTH TEXAS 29--Look out for ULM's "Tazmanian Devil" (RB Taz Dawson 100+ YR first five of '07), who could damage suspect UNT front 7. But Todd Dodge's Mean Green spread offense proving it can do business vs. Sun Belt defenses, and road chalk unfamiliar territory for Warhawks.

(06-LA.-MON. 23-N. Tex. 3...L.21-7 L.47/216 N.25/74 L.12/19/0/193 N.11/21/2/63 L.1 N.0)

(06-ULM -7 23-3 05-Ulm -4' 24-19 04-UNT -8 45-30...SR: La.-Monroe 12-11)

*Middle Tennessee State 29 - MEMPHIS 27--Blue Raider offense getting big spark from athletic true frosh QB Dasher, who was recruited by much higher-profile programs as a DB. And MTS defense (allowing just 16 ppg in last 3) hanging tough. Memphis owns only 2 SU wins over Bowl Subdivision teams in last 1+ seasons.

(DNP...SR: Middle Tennessee State 12-7-1)

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 14

*BOISE STATE 51 - Nevada 13--Wouldn't blame Nevada HC Ault for diverting team charter away from Boise after Wolf Pack has taken its lumps vs. Broncos (and how, losing and failing to cover last 7 meetings, never closer than 31!). And now Ault breaking in a new triggerman (soph Kaepernick) after QB Graziano was KO'd vs. Fresno. Do you think Ian Johnson is licking his chops for shot at bottom-ranked Nevada rush "D?" CABLE TV--ESPN

(06-Boise St. 38-NEV. 7...B.25-4 B.52/178 N.22/106 B.20/27/1/299 N.6/15/0/35 B.0 N.4)

(06-Bsu -2' 38-7 05-BSU -20' 49-14 04-Bsu -25 58-21...SR: Boise State 21-12)

COLLEGE KEY RELEASES

PURDUE by 6 over Michigan

WISCONSIN by 5 over Penn State

AUBURN by 8 over Arkansas

BOISE STATE by 38 over Nevada (Sun., Oct. 14)

posted by phantom

Oct. 9 2007 2:48pm
0 likes

Pointwise

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COLLEGE KEY RELEASES

GEORGIA over Vanderbilt RATING: 1

PENN STATE over Wisconsin RATING: 1

TEXAS TECH over Texas A&M RATING: 2

KANSAS over Baylor RATING: 3

COLORADO over Kansas State RATING: 4

WAKE FOREST over Florida State RATING: 4

CINCINNATI over Louisville RATING: 5

CENTRAL MICHIGAN over Army RATING: 5

NFL KEY RELEASES

NEW ENGLAND over Dallas RATING: 2

OAKLAND over San Diego RATING: 3

TENNESSEE over Tampa Bay RATING: 4

SEATTLE over New Orleans RATING: 4

ATLANTA over New York Giants RATING: 5

posted by phantom

Oct. 9 2007 2:49pm
0 likes

October 09, 2007 - by Andy Iskoe

LAST WK SEASON PCT

7-5-1 32-37-3 42.9

As each week of the season passes, the list of undefeated and winless teams usually becomes shorter. The difficulty of going through a season unbeaten or without a win is almost impossible in this era of free agency and parity.

Such was the case this past weekend, at least for those teams yet to lose. Four teams entered last week having yet to lose. While Indianapolis and New England continued unbeaten with double digit wins, the Green Bay Packers were not as fortunate. Overcoming a 10-point deficit the Chicago Bears put an end to Green Bayâ€™s perfect season on Sunday night. At press time Dallas was to play in Buffalo on Monday night attempting to improve to 5-0 against the Bills.

At the other end of the spectrum imperfection continued for the three teams that began the week without a win. Miami and St. Louis each fell to 0-5 while New Orleans returned from its bye only to suffer a come-from-ahead loss to visiting Carolina to drop to 0-4.

Six of last seasonâ€™s dozen playoff teams have losing records although only the Saints remain winless. Itâ€™s still early enough in the season for these teams to regain their form from last year and make a run for the playoffs, but their take will be challenging.

Rushing the football on offense and playing excellent rush defense continues to be a key to success. Teams that have been able to rush for more than 100 yards this season while holding their foes to under 100 rushing have gone 30-13 ATS.

There will be six teams with byes this week, which means only 13 games are on the schedule. Enjoying a week of rest are Buffalo, Denver, Detroit, Indianapolis, Pittsburgh and San Francisco.

Sunday, Oct. 14:

Bengals -3Â½ at Chiefs (41Â½) : Cincinnati has played with itsr usual lack of discipline in starting 1-3 and comes off of a Bye week. The Bengals are far more talented than the Chiefs, who play conservatively and hope to capitalize on opponentsâ€™ miscues. The week of rest should have the Bengals primed for their best effort of the season following an embarrassing home effort against New England. BENGALS.

Texans +6Â½ at Jags (37): Since entering the league in 2002, the Texans have fared well against Jacksonville, winning 6 of 10 meetings and covering 8. Last season Houston swept the season series, effectively costing the Jags a playoff berth. The Jags have started the season playing excellent defense and being conservative on offense, resulting in low scoring games. UNDER.

Dolphins +4Â½ at Browns (45): Miami continues winless and has now lost starting QB Trent Green. Lightly tested backup Cleo Lemon takes over an offense that has been able to run the ball, but has struggled with the pass. Cleveland continues to improve but itâ€™s dangerous to ask a team that is rarely favored to win, much less by more than a FG. DOLPHINS.

Vikings +6 at Bears (37Â½): Before the Bye week, Minnesota struggled mightily on offense. Despite a ground game that rushed for over 120 yards in each game, the Vikings were rarely able to find the end zone. Chicagoâ€™s offense has similarly struggled notwithstanding a second half comeback against Green Bay. The Bears have topped 300 yards in total offense just once, gaining 303 in the loss at Detroit. UNDER.

Eagles -3 at Jets (41): Philly has started the season 1-3 despite mustarding three of their four foes. QB Donovan McNabb has been inconsistent, but should be better prepared following the Eaglesâ€™ Bye. The Jets have been unable to establish their ground game, topping 69 rushing yards just once in five games. Their rush defense has also been below average. Philadelphia has the better defense, is rested and well coached. EAGLES.

Rams +10 at Ravens (37): St. Louis continues to be hurt by injuries to its starting QB and RB. The second stringers did put up good stats last week against Arizona but they still lost for a fifth straight time. Baltimoreâ€™s offense was unable to find the end zone in a 9-7 win at San Francisco but match up well against the Rams. Especially in the running game as the Ravens have rushed for at least 100 yards in each game while not allowing any foe to top 100 yards. RAVENS.

Titans +3 at Bucs (38): Both teams have performed better than expected this season as each has posted a winning record to date. The Bucs are faced with the greater adversity having to replace starting RB Cadillac Williams, who has been lost for the season. The Titans have been outstanding underdogs dating back to last season, winning 8 of 9 straight up in that role, covering all 9. TITANS.

Redskins +3 at Packers (41): Both teams have played well this season with each losing just once. Both teams are somewhat one dimensional on offense with the Redskins excelling at running the ball. Green Bay has QB Brett Favre directing a potent pass attack. Both defenses have played well and are allowing under 20 points per game. UNDER.

Panthers NL at Cards: Both starting quarterbacks are out for this game as Arizonaâ€™s Matt Leinart was injured in last weekâ€™s win at St. Louis and Carolinaâ€™s Jake Delhomme is out for the season with David Carr now the starter. Arizonaâ€™s running game is improved, but adjustments may be in order now that Kurt Warner will be the full time QB. Four of Arizonaâ€™s five games have been decided by exactly a FG. Carolina has won both games straight up this season when made the dog. PANTHERS.

Patriots NL at Cowboys: Dallas played on Monday night so no line was available at press time. Advance lines had New England about a FG favorite on the road. Itâ€™s hard to dispute the Patriots being favored. The best in the AFC has shown they are still better than the best in the NFC. Prior to Monday night, the teams were a combined 9-0 SU and ATS Both have potent offenses that are complimented by strong defenses. Both teams run for over 130 yards in every game and each had allowed more than 100 yards rushing just once. OVER.

Raiders +10 at Chargers (44): Oakland is clearly an improved team over last season when scoring more than 21 points just once. Already this season the Raiders have put at least 20 on the board in each game and have one of the better rushing attacks in the league, averaging over 225 yards in their three games before their Bye. San Diego had its best game in blowing out Denver 41-3 last Sunday, which may have inflated both the line and total. UNDER.

Saints +7 at Seahawks (43): We keep waiting for the Saints to break out of their season long slump, but it keeps looking more as if 2006 was an aberration. Following the Bye, New Orleans was unable to hold a lead against visiting Carolina and is now 0-4. Seattle was manhandled in Pittsburgh last week as the offense was held to a net 144 yards. The defense did not play badly. The schedule does favor the Seahawks who return home after a two game road trip. The Saints take to the road for the first time in a month. SEAHAWKS.

Monday, Oct. 15

Giants -3Â½ at Falcons (43): The Giants have played better than expected in starting 3-2 despite having to replace RB Tiki Barber and having many defensive concerns. The defense has played well in the last three games. The Falcons have improved since the start of the season and have been competitive in three of their four losses. Atlanta is likely to favor a slow pace. UNDER.

posted by phantom

Oct. 9 2007 9:36pm
0 likes

Week 6 Vegas Report :

Despite New England, Indianapolis and Pittsburgh all winning and covering, bookmakers still enjoyed another winning Sunday.

Thatâ€™s because just about everybody bet the Green Bay Packers to beat the Chicago Bears on the nationally televised Sunday night game, the bookâ€™s biggest handle game of the week along with the Monday night matchup. Dallas winning but not covering the spread .

Bookmakers also did well when four favorites â€“ Baltimore, Houston, Tennessee and New Orleans â€“ failed to cover the spread even though three of them won.

â€œAs long as there is an NFL, the books will always flourish,â€ said Mike Seba, senior oddsmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

It has been a strange first five weeks with underdogs going 42-28-5 (60 percent). The Baltimore Ravens and Denver Broncos are each 0-5 against the spread. The Ravens have a winning straight-up mark.

The Oakland Raiders and Cleveland Browns are a combined 8-0-1 â€˜overâ€™ in their nine games this season.

Bookmakers wonâ€™t have to worry about two huge public teams this week as both Indianapolis and Pittsburgh are idle.

But the Packers are in action, hosting Washington.

The oddsmakers at LVSC sent out Green Bay minus 4 Â½. The line is either 3 or 3 Â½ depending on the book.

â€œOur 4 Â½ is a little high,â€ Seba said.

â€œWashington has a good defense and Green Bay looked really bad in the second half

(against the Bears).â€

The Redskins-Packers total is 40 Â½ or 41. The Redskins, along with the Titans, are the only two teams to have gone â€˜underâ€™ in all of their games this season.

The Titans are plus 3 at Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers are without their best offensive lineman, Luke Petitgout, and are down to third-string tailback Earnest Graham with Carnell Williams and Michael Pittman sidelined.

â€œI think it will close 3,â€ Seba said of the Titans-Buccaneers matchup.

â€œI donâ€™t see how Tampa Bay scores points here. Tennessee plays hard every week.â€

The Titans have won 13 of their last 14 versus NFC South Division competition. The Titans also are on a 13-3 ATS run.

Seba respects the Raiders enough to make them just an 8-point road underdog against San Diego. The Chargers are minus 10 following their dismantling of the Broncos in Denver. Oakland was idle last week.

â€œAll the San Diego believers are back on board,â€ Seba said.

â€œIf the Raiders arenâ€™t ready now, theyâ€™ll never be ready. They would have been 14-point underdogs last year.

â€œAsking the Chargers to win by double-digits is a lot to ask considering how theyâ€™ve played.â€

Injuries have forced several quarterback changes, including Kansas City going from Damon Huard to Brodie Croyle and Miami forced to switch from Trent Green to Cleo Lemon.

Seba made a one-point adjustment from Huard to Croyle. The Chiefs are 3-point home underdogs against Cincinnati.

â€œI think the line will come up,â€ Seba said. â€œKansas City really struggles to score and thatâ€™s not going to change with Croyle playing quarterback. I think money will be on the Bengals.â€

Seba said no adjustment was needed for the Dolphins going with Lemon instead of Green, who suffered a concussion Sunday against Houston. Cleveland is a 4 Â½-point home favorite against the winless Dolphins. The Browns havenâ€™t been this large of a favorite since 2003.

â€œI think 4 Â½ is the right number,â€ Seba said. â€œYou never want to lay a lot of points with Cleveland.

Teams with no wins right now really play hard.â€

The Dolphins failed to beat the Texans, but did cover the spread. They could be live again as an underdog with Zach Thomas back at middle linebacker and Ronnie Brown playing at a high level. Brown has a combined 571 rushing and receiving yards the past three weeks.

__________________

posted by phantom

Oct. 9 2007 9:38pm
0 likes

Big dogs

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

5 big dog plays from p. steeles private play hotline

They are Louisville , Notre dame, Temple , Syracuse ,Idaho

posted by phantom

Oct. 9 2007 9:39pm
0 likes

NFL thru Week 5 STATS

ATS

Favorites --- 27

Dogs --- 42

Pushes --- 7

Over --- 38

Under ---37

Pushes ---1

posted by takis28

Oct. 9 2007 10:16pm
0 likes

Week 6 Vegas Report :

Despite New England, Indianapolis and Pittsburgh all winning and covering, bookmakers still enjoyed another winning Sunday.

Thatâ€™s because just about everybody bet the Green Bay Packers to beat the Chicago Bears on the nationally televised Sunday night game, the bookâ€™s biggest handle game of the week along with the Monday night matchup. Dallas winning but not covering the spread .

Bookmakers also did well when four favorites â€“ Baltimore, Houston, Tennessee and New Orleans â€“ failed to cover the spread even though three of them won.

â€œAs long as there is an NFL, the books will always flourish,â€ said Mike Seba, senior oddsmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

It has been a strange first five weeks with underdogs going 42-28-5 (60 percent). The Baltimore Ravens and Denver Broncos are each 0-5 against the spread. The Ravens have a winning straight-up mark.

The Oakland Raiders and Cleveland Browns are a combined 8-0-1 â€˜overâ€™ in their nine games this season.

Bookmakers wonâ€™t have to worry about two huge public teams this week as both Indianapolis and Pittsburgh are idle.

But the Packers are in action, hosting Washington.

The oddsmakers at LVSC sent out Green Bay minus 4 Â½. The line is either 3 or 3 Â½ depending on the book.

â€œOur 4 Â½ is a little high,â€ Seba said.

â€œWashington has a good defense and Green Bay looked really bad in the second half

(against the Bears).â€

The Redskins-Packers total is 40 Â½ or 41. The Redskins, along with the Titans, are the only two teams to have gone â€˜underâ€™ in all of their games this season.

The Titans are plus 3 at Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers are without their best offensive lineman, Luke Petitgout, and are down to third-string tailback Earnest Graham with Carnell Williams and Michael Pittman sidelined.

â€œI think it will close 3,â€ Seba said of the Titans-Buccaneers matchup.

â€œI donâ€™t see how Tampa Bay scores points here. Tennessee plays hard every week.â€

The Titans have won 13 of their last 14 versus NFC South Division competition. The Titans also are on a 13-3 ATS run.

Seba respects the Raiders enough to make them just an 8-point road underdog against San Diego. The Chargers are minus 10 following their dismantling of the Broncos in Denver. Oakland was idle last week.

â€œAll the San Diego believers are back on board,â€ Seba said.

â€œIf the Raiders arenâ€™t ready now, theyâ€™ll never be ready. They would have been 14-point underdogs last year.

â€œAsking the Chargers to win by double-digits is a lot to ask considering how theyâ€™ve played.â€

Injuries have forced several quarterback changes, including Kansas City going from Damon Huard to Brodie Croyle and Miami forced to switch from Trent Green to Cleo Lemon.

Seba made a one-point adjustment from Huard to Croyle. The Chiefs are 3-point home underdogs against Cincinnati.

â€œI think the line will come up,â€ Seba said. â€œKansas City really struggles to score and thatâ€™s not going to change with Croyle playing quarterback. I think money will be on the Bengals.â€

Seba said no adjustment was needed for the Dolphins going with Lemon instead of Green, who suffered a concussion Sunday against Houston. Cleveland is a 4 Â½-point home favorite against the winless Dolphins. The Browns havenâ€™t been this large of a favorite since 2003.

â€œI think 4 Â½ is the right number,â€ Seba said. â€œYou never want to lay a lot of points with Cleveland.

Teams with no wins right now really play hard.â€

The Dolphins failed to beat the Texans, but did cover the spread. They could be live again as an underdog with Zach Thomas back at middle linebacker and Ronnie Brown playing at a high level. Brown has a combined 571 rushing and receiving yards the past three weeks.

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:31pm
0 likes

Killer Sports/MTI

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Heres the plays than the writeups guys good luck rip

5*Pats -5..38~17

4*Houston + 6 1/2...~Jags 24~23

4* Tenny over 38

Tenny 24~21

Teaser of the Month

5-star Miami +15, Chicago +5, Baltimore +0â€™

who knows if this is true but this is what it says

The combined record of this weekâ€™s teaser trends is 109-1-1.

Perfect NFL Systems ACTIVE Week 6

system sports Data Query Language

The league is 10-0 ATS (+16.3 ppg) since 12/31/2005 as a dog after a

win as a home favorite in which they made more field goals than touchdowns.

(HOU)

The league is 0-12 ATS (-13.5 ppg) since December 17th 2006 as a

home favorite when they stopped their opponent on at least 10 third downs

attempted as a favorite last week. (JAC, GB)

The league is 0-12 ATS (-8.8 ppg)since December 26th 2005, at home

after a road loss last week in which their opponent never had goal to go.

(NYJ)

The league is 0-9 ATS (-14.6 ppg) since December 10th 2006 at home

after a road loss in which they converted more than 50% of thier 3rd downs.

(NYJ)

The League is 0-10 ATS (-11.9 ppg) since November 05, 2006 within 3 of

pick at home when on a 1 game SU and ATS losing streak. (KC, TB, GB)

The League is 0-8 ATS (-14.0 ppg) since December 10, 2006 as a favorite

the week after on the road in which their completion percentage was at least

ten points higher than their season-to-date average. (JAC, TB)

The League is 7-0 ATS (10.9 ppg) since October 24, 2004 as a road dog

the week after a loss on the road as a dog in which they led after each of the

first three quarters. (MIA)

The League is 0-10 ATS (-16.0 ppg) since November 23, 2006 within

3 of pick after a loss in which they were winning at the end of the third

quarter. (NYJ, GB))

The League is 0-8 ATS (-10.4 ppg) since October 08, 2006 as a home

favorite the week after a straight up win as a favorite in which they had at

least 3 more penalties than their season-to-date average. (ARZ)

The League is 0-11 ATS (-14.0 ppg) since December 10, 2006 as a home

favorite the week after in which they had at least three fewer minutes of

possession time than their season-to-date average. (SEA, TB)

The League is 7-0 OU (25.1 ppg) since October 22, 2006 within 3 of

pick the week after a straight up loss when the line was within 3 of pickâ€™em

in which they had at least three fewer minutes of possession time than their

season-to-date average. (KC)

The League is 7-0 OU (17.2 ppg) since October 31, 2004 as a favorite

after a loss at home as a favorite in which they were winning at the end of

the third quarter. (GB)

The League is 10-0 OU (11.2 ppg) since September 25, 2005 as a home

favorite when they lost by 19+ points last week against a non-divisional

opponent. (SEA, TB)

The League is 0-6 OU (-16.3 ppg) since December 04, 2005 as a road

7+ dog the week after a straight up loss in which they had at least 100 more

yards of offense than their season-to-date average. (STL)

MTiâ€™s OU Trend of the Week!!

Rams ravens over

SYSTEM ANALYSIS

Skins

COLLeGe sYsTeM OF THe WeeK

Northern illi

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:32pm
0 likes

Power ~ Sweep

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLLEGE

4* BYU (over UNLV)

3* Colorado State (overAir Force)

3* Memphis (over Middle Tennessee)

2* Texas (over Iowa St.)

2* Louisville (over Cincinnati)

2* LSU (over Kentucky)

UNDERDOG PLAY-O-THE WEEK :Mississippi St. +7.5 (over Tennessee)

COMPUTER CORNER:

Penn St. by 10.4 over Wisconsin dif. 4.9

Boston College by 7.3 over Notre Dame dif. 6.2

Oklahoma by 14.6 over Missouri dif. 5.6

Memphis by 8.1 over Tennesse dif. 4.0

NFL

4* Philadelphia (over N.Y.Jets)

3* New England (over Dallas)

2* Oakland (over San Diego)

2* Cleveland (over Miami)

OVER/UNDER NFL:

3* Redskins/Packers UNDER 41

3* Raiders/Chargers UNDER 44

2* Panthers/Cardinals OVER 40

2* Rams/Ravens UNDER 37.5

2* Dolphins/Browns OVER 43

PRO STAT PLAY : Philadelphia

PRO ANGLES : (3) Cleveland

SYSTEM SECTION

Play on any team that allowed 28 or more points last week if they have a bye on deck.

1995-2007 29-10-1 74%

This Weeks Plays : Cleveland & Arizona

Totals

3* Totals..Was/GB...Under.......Oak/SD....Under

2*'s....Mia/Cle....Over....Stl/BLT...Under....Car/Ari....Over

Projected Scores:...Green Bay...20-10....Tennessee...21-20...Chicago...17-14

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:33pm
0 likes

Marc l Smart box

DEEP SIX

As we continue to extol the virtues of playing with rest during the college football season, letâ€™s expand our look into GAME SIX. It seems teams taking on a conference opponent fare rather well with a breather as evidenced by an overall 127-101-1 ATS in all games since 1980.

Bring them in off a SU loss and they improve to 73-49 ATS. We find four teams in that role this week â€“ New Mexico, Oregon, SMU and Washington.

A rather nice tightener comes about when we bring the opponent in off a win, as GAME SIX rested teams playing off a SU loss are 41-20 ATS when taking on a foe off a SU win. New Mexico and SMU answer the bell this week.

The best of all roles occurs when our GAME SIX rested team is off back-to-back losses and taking on an opponent off a win as these teams are 20-5 ATS. We find two teams in that role this week â€“ New Mexico and SMU.

Donâ€™t doze off and fall into a deep sleep this week. Wake up to the fact that there are some â€˜smartâ€™ sides on this weekâ€™s card...

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:33pm
0 likes

marc l Trends

College Football 2-Minute Handicap

Wednesday, Oct 10

Navy SERIES: 5-2 L7â€¦

9-2 A off BB HGâ€¦

10-4 w/ rest off SU W (8-3 A/Neutral)â€¦

3-1 Game Sixâ€¦

1-6 aft Air Force

PITTSBURGH 9-1 H vs non conf opp off SU Wâ€¦

5-1 favs in 1st of BB HGâ€¦

4-1 Game Sixâ€¦

1-4 favs off SU L 21 > pts

Thursday, Oct 11

Florida St 7-2 aft NC Stateâ€¦

7-3 bef HG vs Miami-Flaâ€¦

0-4 A w/ conf revengeâ€¦

1-4 A off BB HG

WAKE FOREST SERIES: 7-3 L10 / 3-1 Hâ€¦

6-1 L7 as HDâ€™sâ€¦.

6-2 dogs Game Sixâ€¦

1-3 bef Navyâ€¦

5-15 H vs conf opp w/ revenge (2-7 as dogs)

Friday, Oct 12

Hawaii SERIES: Visitor 6-3â€¦

4-1 A Game Sevenâ€¦

4-1 RFâ€™s vs con opp w/ revengeâ€¦

0-4 on Weekdaysâ€¦

2-6 A bef BB HG

SAN JOSE ST 4-0-1 bef Fresno Stâ€¦

5-1 HDâ€™s 6 > pts w/ conf revengeâ€¦

4-1 H Game Sevenâ€¦

4-1 vs undefeated opp (Gm 7 >)

Saturday, Oct 13

Purdue 4-1 as RDâ€™s off BB HGâ€¦

1-6 dogs Game Sevenâ€¦

3-12 as conf RDâ€™s 7 < ptsâ€¦

3-7 aft HG vs Ohio State

MICHIGAN SERIES: 5-1 L6 / 3-0 Hâ€¦

4-1 off BB DD SU Wâ€¦

1-4 H Game Sevenâ€¦

2-6 bef Illinoisâ€¦

2-6 in 2nd of BB HGâ€¦

2-5 HFâ€™s 7 < pts

Rutgers SERIES: 3-1 L4â€¦

0-5 L5 as RFâ€™sâ€¦

1-7 A vs conf opp w/ revengeâ€¦

1-6 off BB HGâ€¦

4-11 Game Six (0-6 A)

SYRACUSE SERIES: 5-1 L6 Hâ€¦

4-1 aft West Virginiaâ€¦

11-2 in 2nd of BB HGâ€¦

13-4 as HDâ€™s 8 > ptsâ€¦

1-4 Game Seven

Kent State 4-0 aft Miami-Ohâ€¦

4-1 A vs non conf oppâ€¦

3-1 Game Sevenâ€¦ 1-5 L6 vs Big 10â€¦

3-7 as RDâ€™s 21 > pts

OHIO STATE 6-1 Game Sevenâ€¦

5-2 as HFâ€™s off BB RGâ€¦

1-6 aft Purdueâ€¦

1-4 bef Michigan Stâ€¦

3-10 as non conf favs 21 > pts

S Carolina 5-0 off BB HGâ€¦

4-1 A Game Sevenâ€¦

0-4 as non conf RFâ€™sâ€¦

1-4 aft Kentuckyâ€¦

2-6 vs ACC opp

N CAROLINA SERIES: Host 4-0â€¦ 4-1 vs SEC oppâ€¦

6-2 H Game Sevenâ€¦

2-8 as non conf HDâ€™sâ€¦

2-8 in 2nd of BB HGâ€¦

1-4 bef Wake Forest

Georgia Tech SERIES: 2-0 L2â€¦

10-3 conf dogs < 5 ptsâ€¦

7-3 as RDâ€™s vs conf opp w/ revengeâ€¦

1-5 Game Sevenâ€¦

1-4 aft Marylandâ€¦

1-4 in 2nd of BB RG

MIAMI FLA 0-3 H w/ conf revengeâ€¦

1-7 Game Sevenâ€¦

1-4 bef Florida St

Virginia Tech SERIES: 5-1 L6â€¦

9-0 aft Clemsonâ€¦

4-0 as DD RFâ€™sâ€¦

7-1 A vs conf opp w/ revengeâ€¦

7-2 bef Boston Collâ€¦

1-4 A Game Seven

DUKE 5-0 bef RG vs Florida Stâ€¦

1-5 bef Restâ€¦

2-8 in 2nd of BB HGâ€¦

2-6 Game Sevenâ€¦

3-8 aft HG vs Wake Forest

Louisville 4-0 as RDâ€™s vs conf op w/ revengeâ€¦

1-4 off Weekday gameâ€¦

2-7 in 1st of BB conf RGâ€™sâ€¦

4-12 Game Seven

CINCINNATI SERIES: 2-7 L9 / 0-4 Hâ€¦

3-0 H aft Rutgersâ€¦

4-1 as HFâ€™s off BB RG

Georgia SERIES: 6-1 L7 Aâ€¦

5-0 RFâ€™s w/ conf revengeâ€¦

4-1 A aft Tennesseeâ€¦

10-3 in 2nd of BB RGâ€¦

0-4 Game Sevenâ€¦

1-6 bef Florida

VANDERBILT 0-7 Game Sixâ€¦

1-7 vs conf opp w/ revengeâ€¦

1-6 H bef S Carolinaâ€¦

1-3 aft RG vs Auburn

Wash St SERIES: 4-1 L5â€¦

1-7 bef UCLAâ€¦

2-10 Game Sevenâ€¦

2-7 as conf RDâ€™s 13 > ptsâ€¦

3-10 aft Ariz Stâ€¦

2-5 A vs conf opp w/ revenge

OREGON 6-1 Game Sixâ€¦

5-1 bef Washingtonâ€¦

4-1 H w/ conf revengeâ€¦

9-2 w/ restâ€¦

0-4 as favs off SU conf home fav

Wisconsin SERIES: 3-1 L4â€¦

9-1 Game Sevenâ€¦

4-1 aft Illinoisâ€¦

9-3 as conf RF/RD 4 < ptsâ€¦

5-2 in 2nd of BB RG

PENN STATE 5-1 H w/ conf revengeâ€¦ *4-1 favs aft Iowaâ€¦ 1-3 Game Seven

Oklahoma St SERIES: 4-1 L5â€¦

5-1 bef HG vs Kansas Stâ€¦

0-5 A vs conf opp w/ revengeâ€¦

2-6 Game Sevenâ€¦

2-5 aft Texas A&M

NEBRASKA 9-0 H Game Sevenâ€¦

5-1 favs < 10 pts in 1st of BB HGâ€¦

7-3 HFâ€™s w/ conf revengeâ€¦

1-5 before Texas A&M

Texas 6-0 Game Sevenâ€¦

7-1 aft Oklahomaâ€¦

13-2 in 2nd of BB RGâ€¦

7-3 A vs conf opp w/ revengeâ€¦

1-4 as DD RFâ€™s

IOWA ST SERIES: 3-1 L4â€¦

0-5 aft Texas Techâ€¦

0-4 H off BB SU road Lâ€¦

1-7 as HDâ€™s 7 > pts w/ conf revengeâ€¦

1-6 bef Oklahomaâ€¦

1-3 Game Seven

Boston Coll SERIES: 3-1 L4 / 3-1 L4 Aâ€¦

4-0 as RFâ€™s off 3 straight HGâ€¦

5-1 bef Va Techâ€¦

3-1 A Game Sevenâ€¦

1-5 as non conf RFâ€™s 7 > pts

NOTRE DAME 4-1 Game Sevenâ€¦

8-2 bef USCâ€¦

0-4 vs ACC oppâ€¦

1-7 H off BB RG

Oregon St SERIES: Visitor 4-0â€¦

4-0 aft Arizonaâ€¦

4-1 A w/ conf revengeâ€¦

4-1 vs undefeated opp (Gm 6 > )â€¦

1-6 dogs Game Seven

CALIFORNIA 5-1 when undefeated (Gm 5 >)â€¦

4-1 Game Sixâ€¦

5-2 favs 7 > pts vs con opp w/ revengeâ€¦

0-4 w/ restâ€¦

2-7 aft Oregon

Lsu 8-1 as RFâ€™s vs conf opp w/ revengeâ€¦

4-1 Game Sevenâ€¦

11-3 bef Auburnâ€¦

1-6 aft HG vs Florida

KENTUCKY 5-0 H Game Sevenâ€¦

5-1 in 1st of BB HGâ€¦

10-3 bef Floridaâ€¦

7-3 aft S Carolinaâ€¦

*7-3 HDâ€™s 7 > pts w/ conf revenge

Indiana *3-14 A aft score 30 > Ptsâ€¦

1-4 aft Minnesotaâ€¦

1-4 Game Sevenâ€¦

2-6 vs conf opp w/ revenge

MICHIGAN ST SERIES: 5-1 L6â€¦

*0-6 as conf favs < 10 ptsâ€¦

0-5 H w/ conf revengeâ€¦

1-4 aft Northwesternâ€¦

2-8 H Game Sevenâ€¦

3-7 in 1st of BB HG

Missouri SERIES: Visitor 4-1â€¦

6-2 in 1st conf RGâ€¦

3-1 Game Sixâ€¦

5-2 dogs w/ conf revengeâ€¦

1-4 aft Nebraska

OKLAHOMA 7-2 aft Texasâ€¦

10-3 as conf HFâ€™s 15 < ptsâ€¦

1-9 off 3 straight A/Neutralâ€¦

4-12 bef Iowa Stâ€¦

2-5 as DD HFâ€™s vs conf opp w/ revenge

Colorado 4-1 Game Sevenâ€¦

0-4 bef Kansasâ€¦

1-4 dogs in 2nd of BB RGâ€¦

1-4 RDâ€™s w/ conf revenge

KANSAS ST 6-1 in 1st of BB HGâ€¦

1-6 as non conf DD HFâ€™sâ€¦

2-12 Game Sixâ€¦

1-4 bef California

C Florida 0-7 Game Sixâ€¦

0-6 w/ non conf revengeâ€¦

1-10 vs Big East oppâ€¦

2-6 in 2nd of BB RG

S FLORIDA 3-0 H Game Sixâ€¦

4-1 favs in 2nd of BB non cong gmsâ€¦

6-2 favs vs non conf opp w/ revengeâ€¦

3-1 vs Florida schools

Washington

4-1 A w/ conf revengeâ€¦

8-3 bef HG vs Oregonâ€¦

0-3 A w/ restâ€¦

1-7-1 Game Sixâ€¦

1-5 aft USC

ARIZONA ST

SERIES: 3-0 L3â€¦

8-3 H Game Sevenâ€¦

1-5 aft Wash Stâ€¦

1-5 HFâ€™s vs conf opp w/ revengeâ€¦

1-4 bef Californiaâ€¦

2-6 off BB RG

Arizona 5-1 aft Oregon Stâ€¦

5-1 A w/ conf revengeâ€¦

5-2 Game Sevenâ€¦

1-4 dogs on 2nd of BB RGâ€¦

2-5 as dogs 17 > pts

USC SERIES: 1-3 L4 Hâ€¦

6-1 bef Notre Dameâ€¦

5-1 aft Stanfordâ€¦

9-2 in 2nd of BB HG

NFL 2-Minute Handicap

Sunday, Oct 14

Cincinnati SERIES: 3-1 L4â€¦

7-1 vs AFC Westâ€¦

0-4 conf favs off DD ATS lossâ€¦

OCT: 1-8 non div favs

KANSAS CITY 5-0 Game Sixâ€¦

23-3 H when scoring 24 > pts vs non div oppâ€¦

1-8 H w/rev in games 4-10 vs < .500 opp

Houston SERIES: 5-1 L6/3-0 L3Aâ€¦

SU winner 5-0 Game Sixâ€¦

4-0 bef Titansâ€¦

4-0 vs opp w/revâ€¦

0-8 dogs when W/L record is .500 >

JACKSONVILLE SU winner 11-0 Game Fiveâ€¦

33-1 when win SU vs .500 > oppâ€¦

OCTOBER: 0-5 H w/revâ€¦

1-10 if .500 > div favs off BB SUATS wins

Miami 8-0 non div dogs 6 > ptsâ€¦

0-4 Game Six

CLEVELAND 14-2 off SU loss vs opp off BB SU lossesâ€¦

10-2 < .500 favs off SU lossâ€¦

1-4 O/U Game Six

Minnesota 5-0 div RDâ€™s 4 > pts vs .666 < oppâ€¦

6-1 w/rest vs opp off SU winâ€¦

4-1 Game Fiveâ€¦

11-2 dogs w/rev vs div opp off SU winâ€¦

OCT: 1-10 A if < .500 â€¦

8-78 when lose SU vs div opp

CHICAGO SERIES: 4-0 L4 Hâ€¦

OCT: 6-0 vs div opp off BB SU lossesâ€¦

1-4 O/U Game Six

Philadelphia 9-0 aft NY Giantsâ€¦

4-0 vs AFC East oppâ€¦

0-5 RFâ€™s off RG vs opp off BB SU lossesâ€¦

OCT: 1-6 A off DD SU lossâ€¦

1-4 A Game Fiveâ€¦

REID: 11-2 off SU fav loss (1-1 this year)

NY JETS SERIES: 1-3 L4â€¦

SU loser 1-15 Game Six

St. Louis SERIES: 3-0 L3â€¦

0-11 RDâ€™s if < .500 vs .500 > opp w/revâ€¦

6-1 O/U Game Six

BALTIMORE SU winner 16-1 Game Sixâ€¦

2-9 aft allowing 7 < pts

Tennessee 4-0 A vs .500 > opp off SUATS lossâ€¦

3-0 A Game Fiveâ€¦

24-3 non div dogs off SU win 4 > ptsâ€¦

15-2 .500 > dogs vs .500 > opp w/revâ€¦

FISHER: 7-1 if .500 > dog vs opp off SU loss

TAMPA BAY SERIES: 0-4 L4â€¦

4-0 H Game Sixâ€¦

11-3 HFâ€™s < 3 pts

Washington 10-3 vs .500 > opp off SUATS lossâ€¦

1-4 Game Five

GREEN BAY SERIES: 6-0 L6 / 5-0 L5 Hâ€¦

SU winner 15-2 Game Six

Carolina 9-1 A off SU win < 8 pts vs opp off SU win,,,

9-3 A vs opp w/revâ€¦

2-7 O/U Game Six

ARIZONA 8-0 H vs opp off SU dog winâ€¦

OCT: 8-1 favs off div gameâ€¦

4-1 Game Six vs opp off SUATS win

New England SU winner 14-2 Game Sixâ€¦

*13-2 vs .666 > opp off DD SU winâ€¦

OCT: 6-1 A off non div SU win vs opp w/revâ€¦

12-2 off BB SU wins of 14 > pts

DALLAS 20-8 HDâ€™s (1-6 SU & 2-5 ATS bs .800 > opp)â€¦ 12-96 when lose SUâ€¦

PHILLIPS: 8-1 vs undefeated opp

Oakland 5-0 SUATS if .500 > off DD SU dog winâ€¦

OCT: 9-2 RDâ€™s off SU winâ€¦

0-4 w/restâ€¦

1-9 off BB SU wins vs < .500 opp off SU dog winâ€¦

1-7 w/rev vs div opp off BB SU lossesâ€¦

1-5 O/U Game Five

SAN DIEGO SERIES: 7-1 L8 / 3-1 L4 Hâ€¦

10-1 vs div opp off SU dog winâ€¦

0-7 H in 2nd off BB div gamesâ€¦

3-7 O/U Game Sixâ€¦

TURNER: 1-11 div favs > 5 pts (0-1 this year)

New Orleans 11-2 RDâ€™s if < .500 off DD ATS loss vs .500 > oppâ€¦

2-7 Game Fiveâ€¦

PAYTON: 5-0 dog vs .500 > opp

SEATTLE SERIES: 3-0 L3...

5-0 H bef div HGâ€¦

1-6 Game Sixâ€¦

2-8 off DD ATS lossâ€¦

HOLMGREN: 3-11 fav off DD loss

Monday, Oct 15

NY Giants OCT: 8-1 A off BB SUATS winsâ€¦

12-3 A when O/U line is 42 > ptsâ€¦

0-4 off BB SU wins vs < .500 opp w/revâ€¦

1-5 Game Sixâ€¦

COUGHLIN: 0-4 RF off BB SUATS wins

ATLANTA SERIES: 3-1 L4 / 1-5 L6 Hâ€¦

4-0 dogs vs opp off DD SU winâ€¦

9-3 dogs off SU loss (2-1 this year)

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:35pm
0 likes

TOM SCOTTâ€™S ANGLE OF THE WEEK

Posted: 2007-10-10

Expectations are high, confidence is overflowing, visions of postseason glory are dancing in your head, then, all of a sudden, BANG! You get ambushed and your dreams of an undefeated season are gone. How do you pick yourself back up and get ready for another game? As our database testifies, most often you donâ€™t, especially if you were 5-0 before the dream buster. We looked at all teams who started the season with five straight wins, then lost game six to see how they responded in game seven. Like we said, it ainâ€™t pretty. There have been 76 of those teams (there are three this week) since 1980. Only 29 of them covered the spread in game seven. If they were playing a .400 or better opponent, the record got even worse at 23-42 to the number and, if that .400 or better foe was off an ATS loss, the mark slipped to 8-23.

Put this one in your system book for future reference:

PLAY AGAINST any College team who started the season 5-0, lost Game Six and is playing a .400 or better opponent who failed to cover the spread in its last game. 26 Year ATS = 23-8 for 74%

This weekâ€™s play = MICHIGAN minus the points over Purdue

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:35pm
0 likes

5-0 FATS CAT angle of the week

PLAY AGAINST any 5-0 college team on the road in Game Six if they are off a win of 28 or more points and are facing an opponent that won less than 10 games last season.

ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 5-20

Play Against: Connecticut

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:35pm
0 likes

Marc L Stat of the week

North Carolina's Butch Davis is 2-20 ATS as a college head coach

in games in which his team fails to socre 21 points.

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:35pm
0 likes

Navy at Pittsburgh

October 10, 2007

By Brian Edwards

VegasInsider

Editor's note: Brian Edwards is on a 4-1 run with his pay-if-they-win-only picks. Don't miss tonight's winner!

Regardless of the matchup, these mid-week games are scheduled primarily for gamblers, and we love every minute of it, especially on a night when the MLB Playoffs are on the sidelines.

We have a Big East team playing host to an Independent tonight. Most sports books are listing Pittsburgh (2-3 straight up, 2-2 against the spread) as a four-point favorite with a total of 52. Bettors can back the Midshipmen to win outright for a plus 170 return (risk $100 to win $170).

Dave Wannstedtâ€™s team won its first two games, but the Panthers have lost three in a row. They are coming off a pair of woodshed beatings vs. UConn (14-34) and at Virginia (14-44).

Prior to that, Pitt covered the number in a 17-13 loss at Michigan State as an 11 Â½-point underdog. The Panthers beat up on two scrub squads leading into the trip to East Lansing, knocking off both Eastern Michigan (27-3) and Grambling State (34-10).

Navy (3-2 SU, 1-3-1 ATS) has won back-to-back games, including a 31-20 win over Air Force as a two-point â€˜chalk.â€™ QB Kaipo-Noa-Kaheaku-Enhada ran for a pair of fourth-quarter touchdowns, including a 78-yard scamper to put the game on ice. He finished with 101 rushing yards and 78 passing yards to pace the Midshipmen.

The spread cover against the Falcons was the first of the year for Navy. Paul Johnsonâ€™s team won 30-19 at Temple in its season opener, but it failed to produce profit as a 22-point â€˜chalk.â€™

Bettors backing the Midshipmen as a 17-point underdog in a 34-17 loss at Rutgers came up with pushes. Next, Navy lost outright to Ball St. 34-31 as a 7 Â½-point home favorite. Then the Middies had to rally for a 46-43 victory over Duke as 14-point home favorites.

Back to Pitt, a team that has been hit hard by injuries from the outset of the season. For starters, the teamâ€™s best player, senior WR Derek Kinder, went down with a season-ending ACL tear. Kinder was off a 57-reception, 847-yard year as a junior.

Starting QB Bill Stull (thumb) remains out indefinitely. Also, DT Gus Mustakas and OT Justin Pinkston are gone for the season.

Wannstedt gave true freshman QB Pat Bostick the first start of his career in the loss at UVA. Bostickâ€™s numbers were decent (17-30, 179 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT), but he and Kevan Smith have combined for nine interceptions in 126 pass attempts since Stull went out.

Bostick isnâ€™t the only true freshman starting in the backfield. LeSean McCoy has taken the tailback job from LaRod Stephens-Howling. McCoy has rushed for 503 yards on 84 carries for six touchdowns, averaging 6.0 yards per carry.

During Paul Johnsonâ€™s six-year tenure, Navy has been a steady money maker in road underdog situations. The Midshipmen are 12-3-1 ATS in 16 games as a road â€˜dog.

Pittsburgh owns a 7-4 spread record in 11 games as a home â€˜chalkâ€™ under Wannstedt.

The â€˜overâ€™ is 3-1 for Navy, 2-1 for Pitt.

This is the first meeting between Navy and Pitt since 1989, but this series started back in 1912. Pitt leads is 20-13-2 in the head-to-head rivalry.

Tip Of The Day

Dave Wannstedt is 3-12 SU & 5-10 ATS with Pittsburgh against winning opponents

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:36pm
0 likes

nfl RESTED REID

In his NFL career, when playing with rest, Philadelphia head coach Andy Reid is 12-1 SU & 10-3 ATS.

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:36pm
0 likes

Winning Points

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

****BEST BET

SOUTH CAROLINA over NORTH CAROLINA* by 27

Hereâ€™s what can happen when you are trying to turn a program around, as Butch

Davis is at Chapel Hill â€“ just when you would like to have a breather so that the

kids can celebrate a major upset, you end up facing the wrong team at the wrong

time. Considering how gassed the Tar Heels looked in the second half last week,

when a 27-0 halftime lead nearly got away vs. Miami, and that this is the seventh

straight week without a bye, getting fresh both physically and mentally becomes a

problem. There are no such issues for South Carolina, which not only has a couple

of extra days to prepare, but also brings a much better focus than this line is

accounting for in a non-conference game. Steve Spurrier is trying to declare North

Carolina â€œhisâ€, in terms of recruiting, a territory he will badly need if his program

is to compete with the S.E.C. elite. There are 17 players in the South Carolina program

from the northern neighbor state, including three starters, and there were

eight players signed in last yearâ€™s recruiting class. On the field it means a chance for

that outstanding pass defense to frustrate young Tar Heel QB T. J. Yates, and as

each week goes by look for Chris Snelley to get more comfortable in the Gamecock

schemes, and for the passing game to continue to open up. We can already see the

potential that is there, with 709 yards passing and five TD throws in less than 10

quarters since replacing Blake Mitchell vs. L.S.U., and a young Tar Heel defense

can certainly be exploited. SOUTH CAROLINA 37-10.

***BEST BET

GEORGIA over VANDERBILT* by 24

It is rare that we ever have a BEST BET turn out to be as dead of a clunker as the

performance turned in by Georgia last week, when the Bulldogs were taken apart

from the opening snap by a Tennessee team playing its best game of the season. But

there was a silver lining to that black cloud, however, and it is the ability to come

right back here in a favorable price range. Now we get a talented team with a lot

of pride that can bounce back with a vengeance with two prime motivators â€“ the

desire to eliminate the bad taste of that dismal showing in Knoxville, and also the

fact that they will spend the early part of the week against being haunted by films

of a 24-22 upset loss that they suffered between the hedges vs. Vanderbilt last year.

They will also bring that fire to the line of scrimmage to take advantage of a

Commodore team that will have had its confidence shaken badly in that early surrender

at Auburn, when it was 28-0 in the second quarter and they never did put

up a fight. While Bobby Johnson has his most experienced team there is still that

problem of a lack of playmakers on offense, and in their first two S.E.C. step-up

games this season they could manage only 17 points and 453 yards combined in

falling to Alabama and Auburn. That was despite catching those opponents in

much different settings than this one (remember that Auburn was in that post-

Florida letdown mode on Saturday), and in a rare case of having to take the best

punch from a superior opponent their glass jaw will show. GEORGIA 37-13.

**PREFERRED

Virginia Tech over Duke* by 2

The fact that Duke has opened 3-0 ATS in A.C.C. play will not impress anyone;

it will be dismissed as the oddsmakers setting the numbers so high because of their

ineptitude. But that 3-0 run has come by 23.5 points, or more than a full TD per

game, and for once there really is a playmaker to build around â€“ QB Thaddeus

Lewis. All he has done so far is throw for 1,505 yards and 15 TDâ€™s, with five of

those scoring strikes coming from 40 yards or more, and he is only going to get

better as he gains more confidence, and more experience at reading defenses. Now

we are once again going to see a line that is far too high in a league game, with

Virginia Tech carrying far too high of a valuation for an offense that simply can not

get untracked. In their first two A.C.C. outings they could only muster a combined

20 first downs and 460 yards, and if not for five touchdowns from the special

teams and defense the last three weeks that unit would be even more fully

exposed. But sometimes scoreboards mislead. VIRGINIA TECH 26-24.

**PREFERRED

Oregon* over Washington State by 28

With Bill Dobaâ€™s depleted Cougar defense having allowed an average of 45.7 points

and 520.7 yards in going 0-3 SU and ATS on the road, what would be the last

thing that he wants this week? How about: 1. Going on the road to face one of the

most explosive offenses in the country; and 2. Having that offense playing not only

with extra physical freshness following a bye week, but also with a prime revenge

motive to get their passions stimulated as well? Unfortunately for Doba, in what is

likely his last trip to Eugene as the Washington State head coach, that is exactly the

scenario here. The Oregon offense has been unstoppable so far this season except

for the Ducks own mistakes in that bitter 31-24 loss to Cal two weeks ago (they

turned the ball over four times, including that frustrating fumble at the goal line

in the closing moments), and if the execution is as crisp as we expect they may

weave up and down the field like a basketball fast break here. There just is not anything

that the Cougar defense can do about it. OREGON 48-20.

**PREFERRED

South Florida* over Central Florida by 2

Oh how they are dreaming in Tampa right now, with the Bulls suddenly moved

way up among the nationâ€™s elite in the latest polls, and with a schedule ahead that

actually makes a run at the BCS Title game absolutely in play. But first things first.

This is still only a good, not great, team, and the burden of high expectations can

creates something that is too much for this class too deal with. And speaking of too

much, we have this weekâ€™s pointspread. The bottom line is that regardless of where

the polls show the favorite, the talent gap is not all that wide between these programs.

And while the favorite is over-rated the underdog is every bit as much an

under-rated item, having to play through a -10 turnover ratio the last three games

that has colored the Golden Knight scoreboards in the wrong hue (like losing at

East Carolina despite leading by 13 first downs and 119 yards). With Kevin Smith

operating behind that solid OL to dictate a slow tempo, it will not be a surprise if

this one goes right down to the final drive. SOUTH FLORIDA 23-21.

**PREFERRED

Brigham Young over U.N.L.V.* by 21

We have always maintained that bad teams are even worse than they appear to be,

largely because the opposition will take them lightly, using such games as a week

to coast a bit. As such, when we do find the rare setting in which the superior team

is going to bring its â€œAâ€ game against a weaker opponent, we have a great opportunity

to step in. This is one of those games. The key for us from a value standpoint

is that the Rebels have turned in some decent performances this season,

which helps to keep this line low. And from a focus standpoint some of those

efforts help to get Brigham Youngâ€™s attention â€“ the Cougars will be the first team

to play at Sam Boyd Stadium since Utah was shutout 27-0, which certainly has

them forewarned. But the real key is that they will be preparing for U.N.L.V. perhaps

as well as any opponent all season; having had two full weeks to gear up, and

with only a home game vs. Eastern Washington on deck, they can bring a game

plan that will exploit every one of the many Rebel weaknesses. B.Y.U. 35-14.

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:36pm
0 likes

Power Plays 4*'s

NCAA:

4* South Carolina

4* Kansas

4* New Mexico

4* Oregon

4* Penn State

4* Notre Dame

4* BYU

4* Arizona State

4* UL-Monroe

NFL:

4* Cleveland

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:37pm
0 likes

Winning Points

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

****BEST BET

Tennessee over *Tampa Bay by 17

Tampa Bay had a golden opportunity to take control of the NFC South

Division, while showing the football world they were indeed a good team

if they could have beaten defending Super Bowl champion Indianapolis on

the road. The Buccaneers couldnâ€™t have asked for a better situation. The

Colts were missing five key starters, including their best running back

(Joseph Addai), wide receiver (Marvin Harrison) and defensive player (safety

Bob Sanders). Instead, the Buccaneers got embarrassed. The outcome

really shouldnâ€™t have been a surprise despite the Buccaneersâ€™ winning

record. The Bucsâ€™ victories arenâ€™t that impressive in retrospect coming

against St. Louis, New Orleans and Carolina whose combined record is 3-

11.At the time those victories looked good, but we now know Marc Bulger

couldnâ€™t throw for the Rams and the Saints are frauds. The Titans are far

from the Colts, but they still are a superior AFC club that has defeated NFC

South teams 13 of the past 14 times.Tennessee is a phenomenal 13-3 (81

percent) ATS in its last 16 games. The Titans are road-tested, having won

their last five away contests. The Titans are well-coached, have a solid

defense and an exciting playmaker with Vince Young at quarterback.The

Buccaneersâ€™ offense took a severe hit two weeks ago losing their best runner,

Cadillac Williams, and best offensive lineman, Luke Petitgout. Both are

gone for the season.The Buccaneers are desperate to replace Petitgout and

now their running back situation has become critical, too, with backup

Michael Pittman (check status) going down against the Colts with an ankle

injury.Tampa Bay is left with third-string Earnest Graham as its main ballcarrier.

The Titans are getting a great year from defensive lineman Albert

Haynesworth.They have yet to surrender a point during the fourth quarter

this season.TENNESSEE 27-10.

***BEST BET

*Kansas City over Cincinnati by 14

Letâ€™s be perfectly honest here, neither of these teams are likely going to the

playoffs. Both have serious blemishes. The Bengals are the least physical

team in this matchup and thatâ€™s going to hurt them in this most hostile of

road settings, Arrowhead Stadium. The Bengals havenâ€™t really recovered

from when the Patriots beat them last year in Cincinnati.They have lost 11

of their last 17 games. Thereâ€™s bad chemistry with the Bengals, Marvin

Lewis doesnâ€™t have control of some of his players, there are skill position

injuries and a cluster injury problem at linebacker leaving the Bengals nearly

decimated at the position. Because of that, coupled with the Bengalsâ€™ soft

middle, look for Larry Johnson to finally produce a big game.The Bengals

entered their bye last week ranked 28th in rush defense. If Johnson is running

well, it sets up the Chiefsâ€™ passing game, which isnâ€™t as feeble as one

might think with Eddie Kennison due back, tight end Tony Gonzalez still

highly effective and rookie Dwayne Bowe stepping up to become a force.

Kansas City coach Herm Edwards may elect to go with second-year man

Brodie Croyle at quarterback since starter Damon Huard (check status) suffered

a bruised shoulder last Sunday.The former Alabama star has a much

bigger arm than Huard.The key for the Chiefs is not committing turnovers.

The Bengals are 4-23 under Lewis when not winning the turnover battle.

The Bengals didnâ€™t have reliable tailback Rudi Johnson (check status) in

their last game and lack quality depth at wide receiver behind Chad

Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh.The Bengals donâ€™t have much character

to begin with and when they arenâ€™t winning their team makeup doesnâ€™t

suggest a lot of mental fortitude.The Chiefs defense has picked up with the

return of Jared Allen from suspension. He has 3 _ sacks in three games.

KANSAS CITY 28-14.

**PREFERRED

Philadelphia over *New York Jets by 13

Look for a strong effort from the Eagles, having had two weeks to prepare.

The extra rest should allow the Eagles to get back injured tailback Brian

Westbrook, tight end L.J. Smith and cornerback Lito Sheppard, three vitally

important players. The Jets are reeling, having lost three in a row for the

first time under second-year coach Eric Mangini. The fans have already

turned on them. New York lacks playmakers.Thomas Jones was expected

to boost the ground attack. Heâ€™s still looking for his first touchdown. Only

once has Jones rushed for more than 67 yards. Quarterback Chad

Pennington is immobile and has trouble throwing the ball more than 30

after repeated shoulder surgeries. Many Jets fans are pulling for Mangini to

pull Pennington in favor of untested second-year man Kellen Clemens.The

Jets are having protection problems. Philadelphia defensive coordinator

Jimmy Johnson loves to blitz from all angles. Sheppard is the Eaglesâ€™ best

cover corner. Having him back allows the Eagles to blitz with confidence.

The Eagles couldnâ€™t move the ball at all in their last game, suffering 12 sacks

against the Giants.Donovan McNabb wonâ€™t be under that type of pressure.

The Jets have just 12 sacks in their last nine games. The combination of

McNabb, an aggressive blitzing scheme and the Jetsâ€™ low morale is more

than enough for Philadelphia to earn an easy cover. PHILADELPHIA 29-16.

**PREFERRED

*Seattle over New Orleans by 17

Its official, the winless Saints are back to being the Aints. Itâ€™s not just the

New Orleans fans wearing bags over their heads. So are the Saints offensive

linemen, who have played terrible. Stripped of decent pass protection and

bruising running back Deuce McAllister, Saints quarterback Drew Brees has

a hideous touchdown-to-interception ratio of 1-to-9. Reggie Bush is proving

to be overrated. Heâ€™s averaging 36.7 yards rushing and 30.5 yards receiving.

The Saintsâ€™ defense isnâ€™t any better, recording one sack all season, while

holding only one foe under 31 points. Itâ€™s not a big surprise the Saints have

lost by an average margin of 18.6 points. The Seahawks return home following

two road trips. Seattle is solid on offense with an improved receiving

corps for Matt Hasselbeck and Shaun Alexander is rushing for nearly

400 yards. Itâ€™s easy to overlook the Seahawksâ€™ defense and special teams.

Both are underrated. Seattleâ€™s defense has speed and playmakers. It has produced

16 sacks and five interceptions, while yielding an average of 14.8

points per game. Julian Peterson heads a linebacking group that ranks

among the best. Seattleâ€™s special teams have been special returning both a

kickoff and punt for touchdowns. Josh Brown hasnâ€™t missed a field goal in

eight tries.The Saints have no fire anymore.The Seahawks are excited to be

home. SEATTLE 31-14.

*Jacksonville over Houston by 2

Houston is 6-4 lifetime against Jacksonville.The Texans have 20 wins versus

the rest of the NFL during their five plus years as a franchise.The Texans

always seem to get up for the Jaguars, having swept them last year.Houston

has covered five of the past six in this series during the past three years.

The Jaguars appear to have their outstanding rush defense back in order.

Jacksonville certainly shouldnâ€™t lack for incentive since it was the Texans

that mainly kept them from making the post-season by beating them twice.

A lot depends on the status of wide receiver Andre Johnson and running

back Ahman Green, the Texansâ€™ and Matt Schaubâ€™s two most potent

weapons. JACKSONVILLE 14-12.

*Cleveland over Miami by 4

Itâ€™s tempting to take points when the Browns are favored. But all the

Dolphins do is lose â€“ eight straight losses now. Ronnie Brown has been

magnificent rushing for more than 100 yards in three straight games, while

compiling 571 all-purpose yards during this span.Thereâ€™s been no help for

Brown, though, and thatâ€™s probably not going to change with Trent Green

suffering a concussion and the rest of Miamiâ€™s quarterbacks untested.The

Browns are averaging 29.7 points in their last four games with quarterback

Derek Anderson displaying a powerful arm and wide receiver Braylon

Edwards beginning to fulfill his vast potential. Cleveland may not have

Jamal Lewis (check status), who injured his foot last week.BROWNS 23-19.

*Chicago over Minnesota by 1

Minnesota could prove dangerous if the Bearsâ€™ defense still remains crippled.

The Vikings have lost three in a row by a combined 13 points and have

had two weeks to prepare.They have the linemen to pressure the quarterback,

are nearly impossible to run against and their star rookie runner,

Adrian Peterson, is averaging 95.7 yards rushing. Peterson is on a pace to

run for more than 1,520 yards. Quarterback Tarvaris Jackson is expected

back after missing the last two games because of a strained groin muscle.

Minnesotaâ€™s offense has managed only four touchdowns with Jackson and

backup Kelly Holcomb behind center. Chicago has won and covered its

past six home meetings versus the Vikings. CHICAGO 17-16.

*Baltimore over St. Louis by 12

The Ravens have won eight of their last nine home games versus NFC competition.

The winless Rams havenâ€™t faced a defense the caliber of

Baltimoreâ€™s yet and theyâ€™ll be on a grass field. Both teams have multiple

injuries in their offensive lines, which could keep scoring down. Gus

Frerotte probably will start again for ailing Marc Bulger. The 36-year-old

Frerotte usually is good for several turnovers a game. Steve McNair and the

Ravens offense, however, arenâ€™t exactly setting the world on fire managing

just one touchdown during the last 10 quarters.A Steven Jackson sighting

would be a much welcomed sign for St. Louis. BALTIMORE 24-12.

*Green Bay over Washington by 3

Even with an open date looming the following week, the Packers may be

in flat spot off division games against the Vikings and Bears. Itâ€™s tough to

step in against Green Bay considering how hot the Packers have been starting

with their winning their last four games from last year.You can only go

so far, though, without a consistent balanced attack and the Packers ranked

last in run offense. Redskins quarterback Jason Campbell is learning on the

job. Heâ€™ll need his two best wideouts, Santana Moss (groin) and Antwaan

Randle El (hamstring), who are batting injuries because the Packersâ€™

defense is much improved. GREEN BAY 15-12.

Carolina over *Arizona by 1

Ken Whisenhunt definitely has improved the Cardinals. Asking the

Cardinals to cover margins, however, is something new. The Panthers got

past the Cardinals in the desert two years ago and could do it again.

Carolina is 12-3-1 ATS when getting points. Kurt Warner gets the start at

quarterback for Arizona with Matt Leinart suffering a broken collarbone.

Warner has been the more effective quarterback. But will he have star wide

receiver Anquan Boldin, who has missed the past two games? There are

questions on the Carolina side, too.To back the Panthers with any confidence

weâ€™d have to know if Jake Delhomme (check status) is behind center

rather than David Carr. CAROLINA 21-20.

New England over *Dallas by 7

Itâ€™s hard to play against either of these two clubs.The Patriots are the first

team to open the season with five victories of at least 17 points. Their

offense has yet to be challenged averaging 36.4 points. Dallas entered its

Monday night matchup against Buffalo ahead of pace to finish with the

most points in a season.The Cowboys were averaging 37.7 points and Tony

Romo already had 11 touchdown passes and three 300-yard passing games.

The Cowboys will have one less day to prepare, but their defense is getting

healthier with the return of linebacker Greg Ellis and top cover cornerback

Terence Newman. NEW ENGLAND 29-22.

*San Diego over Oakland by 11

The Chargers may have served notice they are back after burying Denver

on the road. Can the Chargers now be trusted again? They have 11 Pro

Bowl players back from last year.The Raiders are better than last year, but

may not have their best back, LaMont Jordan, and are 0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS in their

last seven versus San Diego. LaDainian Tomlinson has scored 14 touchdowns

against the Raiders, the most heâ€™s had against any club. Philip Rivers

should get a boost in confidence after a fine showing against a strong

Denver secondary, but still has only thrown one more touchdown pass

than interceptions. SAN DIEGO 21-10.

New York Giants over *Atlanta by 4 (Monday)

The Giants have won six straight road games against the Falcons, including

last season. Atlanta is only 4-15 ATS at home versus teams with a winning

mark.The smallish Falcons cornerbacks figure to have problems against 6-

foot-5, 235-pound Plaxico Burress, who already has seven touchdowns this

season.The Giants are helped, too, with the return of power running back

Brandon Jacobs. Until encountering problems at Tennessee last week, the

Falcons had shown signs of picking up Bobby Petrinoâ€™s offense putting up

746 yards and 41 downs in their two previous games.The Giants have 17

sacks, but 12 of those came in a single game. NY GIANTS 24-20.

NFL Totals

**UNDER: Washington at Green Bay â€“ The Redskins have only broken

20 points once, while the Packersâ€™ young wideouts face problems

against the Redskinsâ€™ tough secondary.

UNDER: Oakland at San Diego â€“ The last five in the series have gone

under with each team trying to establish ball-control by staying on the

ground.

UNDER: Houston at Jacksonville â€“ This has been an intense, defensive-

minded series with six of the past seven head-to-head meetings going

below the total.

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:37pm
0 likes

Sports Memo Best Bets:

Rynning: Kent State

Covers: Central Michigan

Jones: Tulsa Over

Veno: South Carolina

Crow: Central Michigan

Trushel: Central Florida

Cash: Tennessee

Klein: Illinois

Black: Miami (NFL)

Palermo: Washington (NFL)

Jay: Tampa Bay Under (NFL)

Otto: Philadelphia (NFL)

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:37pm
0 likes

SportsReporter:

NFL:

Best Bet: Minnesota

Best Bet: New England Over 46

NCAA:

Best Bet: Purdue

Super Best Bet: Louisville

Best Bet: Houston

Best Bet: Oregon

Best Bet: Iowa State

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:37pm
0 likes

Marc Lawrence MidWeek Alert Newsletter:

Best Bets:

Oklahoma State (NCAA)

Air Force (NCAA)

Miami (NFL)

Other Contenders:

Colorado (NCAA)

Indiana (NCAA)

Rutgers (NCAA)

Tennessee (NFL)

posted by phantom

Oct. 10 2007 3:38pm
0 likes

RED SHEET

OCTOBER 13, 2007 VOLUME 39, NUMBER 7

OREGON 55 - Washington State 20 - (3:30 EDT) -- Line opened at Oregon minus 17, and is now minus

17Â½. How about the Ducks moving up 5 slots in the rankings (#8 in USA, & #9 in AP)

despite not even playing last week? Weekly losses among the elites result in such odd

actions. But the funny thing is that Oregon is rated even higher than it had been, before its

loss to California 2 weeks back. Obviously, the voters recognize the true worth of this

squad, despite that slippage vs #2 Cal, in a game which featured 4 killer turnovers. The

Ducks are scoring at a 43.6 ppg clip, ranking 4th in rushing. They had last week off, in

which to regroup, so note that Oregon is 14-3 ATS, off a bye. Enter the Coogs, with their

102nd rated "D", allowing 42, 47, 48 pts in their 3 road games so far. Revenge, anyone?

RATING: OREGON 89

Georgia 41 - VANDERBILT 14 - (6:00) -- Line opened at Georgia minus 7, and is still minus 7. Well, the

Bulldogs let us down, big time, with their less than stellar showing at Tennessee, in which

they came from a 328 RY output, in their rout of OleMiss to a mere 69 RYs vs the Vols. The

result was a 11 or 12 place drop in the polls, but still a Top 25 squad, which, not only has all

motivation that it needs, due to last year's embarrassment, but is posted as a mere 7-pt

chalk. Going back to 1975, the only games in which the Bulldogs were posted as single

digit favorites in this series, they've won by the following scores: 30-14, 27-17, 41-3, 35-16,

62-35, 24-13, & 47-3. That's 7-0 ATS, folks, with plenty to spare. Vandy has proven it can't

stay with powers, as 10Â½ & 20Â½ ATS losses to Alabama & Auburn attest.

RATING: GEORGIA 89

Air Force 27 - COLORADO STATE 17 - (5:30) -- Line opened at ColoradoSt minus 3, and is now minus 3Â½.

The Falcons have been a nice surprise over the first half of the season, as their 4 wins

match their entire total over the '06 campaign. And it could easily read 5-1, as their loss to

Navy a couple of weeks back, saw the 'Force with an impressively balanced 237 RYs & 237

PYs, along with a 25-18 FD edge. And balance has hardly been the Falcons' trademark

over the years. They punted just twice in their win over a very competitive UNLV squad a

week ago, with Hall's 169 RYs representing the most by a Falcon RB in 16 years. The

Rams are in off managing only 16 FDs vs the nation's 118th rated defense.

RATING: AIR FORCE 88

Rutgers 41 - SYRACUSE 13 - (12:00) -- Line opened at Rutgers minus 15Â½, and is now minus 16Â½. Two

weeks ago, the Orange shocked the football world, with their upset of Louisville, as 37-pt

underdogs. Thus, the faithful dared hope that their nightmare could possibly be over. But

it wasn't to be. The 'Cuse followed that one with an absolute clunker at Miami-Ohio, in

which they managed only 66 RYs, & but for the grace of Miami's self-destructive tendencies,

only a 3-pt Syracuse loss. Then entirely back to normal in last week's 55-14 home loss

to WVa. Sure, the Knights have underachieved thus far, but check a 69-15 scoring edge in

their last 2 vs the 'Cuse. Orange: a 138-46 pt deficit at home this year.

RATING: RUTGERS 88

Purdue 31 - MICHIGAN 30 - (12:00) -- Line opened at Michigan minus 4Â½, and is now minus 5Â½. As we

wrote a week ago, the Boilermakers would find the going a bit rough vs OhioSt's rock of a

defense, & surely proved out, as they were held scoreless by the Bucks, until the final 10

seconds. But only top-ranked LSU has a higher rated "D" than OhioSt, so the woes of

Purdue's Painter (23rd rated passer with 17 TDs & only 3 INTs) & Co were pretty much

expected. But not so this week, as the Wolves of Michigan rank 48th, 40th, & 45th in

rushing, passing, & total defense. The visitor is a solid 10-1-1 ATS in games involving the

Boilers, as well as 24-11 ATS in Wolverine contests. Call the upset in scoreboard lighter.

RATING: PURDUE 88

SUNDAY

NFL

Tennessee 24 - TAMPA BAY 19 - (1:00) -- Line opened at TampaBay minus 2Â½, and is now minus 3. The

brilliant accomplishments of the Titans, under the leadership of Vince Young, just continue

on. An amazing 14-2 spread run, winning 9 of their last 11 on the field. A week ago, Young

was an unlikely 0/3 (touchdown passes to interceptions), & yet Tennessee still prevailed,

20-13, over Atlanta, missing the spread by a mere pt (what else is new in the NFL?). But

that line miss only served to move the success of the underdog in Tennessee games to

mind-blowing 12-0 ATS. So here we go again, grabbing the Titans in the role of dogs,

thanks to the recent improvement of the Bucs, who covered their last 2 HGs by 34 pts, but

who are also in off a 28-12 FD deficit in their stepup shot at Indy. Upset call.

RATING: TENNESSEE 88

NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): PennSt, Kansas, OklahomaSt, TexasTech - NFL: Miami, NewEngland, Atlanta

LINE MOVES (from largest to smallest moves): MississippiSt (+9 to +6Â½); Kentucky (+11Â½ to +9); Tulsa

(-11Â½ to -14); Illinois (-1Â½ to -3Â½); BostonCollege (-12 to -14); Idaho (+12Â½ to +10Â½); TexasA&M (+10 to

+8); FloridaSt (-4Â½ to -6); Cincinnati (-8Â½ to -10); NorthCarolina (+7Â½ to +6); Arkansas (-1Â½ to -3); ArizonaSt

(-9Â½ to -11); SMU (+10Â½ to +9) - NFL: Houston (+8 to +6Â½); StLouis (+11 to +10); Oakland (+11 to +10);

NewOrleans (+7Â½ to +6Â½)

- TIME CHANGES: There are no Time Changes as of Noon on Tuesday.....

RATINGS: 89 & ABOVE: SUPERIOR PLAY

88 & BELOW: ABOVE AVERAGE PLAY

posted by phantom

Oct. 11 2007 4:20pm
0 likes

MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK

NCAA

5* TCU over Stanford by 16

4* Indiana over Michigan State by 10

3* South Carolina over North Carolina by 14

UPSET OF WEEK: Iowa over Illinois by 7

NFL

5* Philadelphia over Jets by 14

4* Minnesota over Chicago by 7

3* San Diego over Oakland by 1

TOTALS

5* Under Miami-Cleveland

4* Over Minnesota-Chicago

3* Under Redskins-Packers

posted by phantom

Oct. 11 2007 4:22pm
0 likes

By Erick Smith, USA TODAY

After a wild first five weeks of the season, I promised myself no more talk about upsets. Nothing could top Appalachian State beating Michigan or 37-point underdog Syracuse winning at Louisville. Or Oklahoma losing to Colorado. Or Florida losing at home to Auburn.

Then the college football world stopped spinning. Stanford won at Southern California. The same Southern California that had won 35 straight home games. The same Southern California that was favored by 41 points. The same Southern California that seemed destined to play in the BCS title game ever since it walked off the Rose Bowl field last January.

So where does this leave the Trojans?

It is hard to imagine that any team could recover from such a horrific loss. It is one thing to lose to a ranked team. The Cardinal, however, were entering the game at 1-3 and had allowed 141 points in three Pac-10 games. In addition, the Trojans must now determine the status of quarterback John David Booty, who broke his finger in the loss.

But all the news is not bad. Pete Carroll's team only fell to No. 7 in the coaches' poll. They are No. 10 in the media poll. And there also is plenty of time and the right schedule for a rise back into title contention.

FIND MORE STORIES IN: Texas | Iowa | Oklahoma | Missouri | Southern California | BCS | Stanford | Arizona State | Erick Smith

The final eight weeks will bring more upsets (there's that word again). That much is certain. And Southern Cal still can impress voters and the computers with road games ahead against No. 2 California, No. 8 Oregon and No. 13 Arizona State. Those three teams are a combined 15-1.

Of course, the Trojans now have no margin for error and winning in Eugene, Berkeley and Tempe during a stretch of four games will not be easy.

If they could complete that gauntlet, however, it would not be an up- â€¦ um, a surprise to see USC in New Orleans on Jan. 7.

No. 1 LSU at No. 18 Kentucky, 3:30 p.m.

Some risky fourth-down gambles paid off for Les Miles and the Tigers against Florida or we could really have seen the national title picture shaken up. LSU needs to be better prepared for 60 minutes this week because the Lexington crowd will make sure the Wildcats play to their highest level. LSU 23, Kentucky 17.

No. 2 California vs. Oregon State, 7 p.m.

The Beavers have some history on their side with three straight wins in Berkeley. On the downside, they currently are last in the nation with 23 turnovers in six games. Not exactly the type of disciplined play necessary to beat the Golden Bears. California 40, Oregon State 20.

No. 3 Ohio State vs. Kent State, noon

No more doubts about the Buckeyes defense after it throttled the Purdue offense. Todd Boeckman tossed three interceptions, however, and that will cause concern with the toughest part of the OSU schedule coming in a few weeks. Ohio State 31, Kent State 6.

No. 4 Boston College at Notre Dame, 3:30 p.m.

Cheer, cheer for young Notre Dame. The Irish finally are in the win column. It just took seven turnovers by UCLA. No chance the Eagles will be as generous with the football. Boston College 30, Notre Dame 14.

No. 5 Oklahoma vs. No. 11 Missouri, 6:30 p.m.

This looks like the preliminary meeting between the best team in the Big 12 North and South. It could also be a coming-out party for Chase Daniel and the Tigers if the defense can find a way to slow down Sam Bradford. Oklahoma 31, Missouri 24.

No. 5 South Florida vs. Central Florida, noon

The Bulls can enjoy their new role of being the top-ranked team in the state of Florida. The challenge ahead will be whether they can handle the success. South Florida 30, Central Florida 13.

No. 7 Southern California vs. Arizona, 3:30 p.m.

Usually it was lions or some other animals that were hunted at the Coliseum. This week it will be Wildcats as the Trojans are eager to make amends for last week's debacle. Southern California 41, Arizona 17.

No. 8 Oregon vs. Washington State, 3:30 p.m.

A week off came at the right time for the Ducks. They needed the 14 days to recover from the heart-breaking loss to California. Oregon 42, Washington State 20.

No. 10 Virginia Tech at Duke, noon

Beamer Ball came back in a big way last week with a punt return, interception return and kickoff return for a touchdown against Clemson. None of those heroics are needed this week for the Hokies. Virginia Tech 31, Duke 10.

No. 12 South Carolina at North Carolina, 3:30 p.m.

This is not your father's Steve Spurrier team. The Gamecocks coach is now winning with defense and a conservative offense. My guess is that South Carolina fans don't mind. South Carolina 28, North Carolina 19.

No. 13 Arizona State vs. Washington, 10:15 p.m.

So how good are the Sun Devils? Perhaps this is telling: They went to Stanford and won 41-3 the week before the Cardinal stunned Southern California. Arizona State 35, Washington 24.

No. 15 Wisconsin at Penn State, 3:30 p.m.

Two weeks into the season, this looked like the decisive game in the Big Ten. Now both the Badgers and the Nittany Lions are trying to avoid completely falling off the conference map and heading to Detroit or El Paso for the holidays. Penn State 28, Wisconsin 17.

No. 16 Hawaii at San Jose State, 8 p.m. (Friday)

Finally a chance for viewers to see Colt Brennan on national television. It might be too late for him to have legitimate Heisman hopes, but the Warriors still have the carrot of the BCS to play for. Hawaii 42, San Jose State 23.

No. 17 Cincinnati vs. Louisville, 7 p.m.

With the way the Bengals are falling apart, the Bearcats might be the best football team in the city of Cincinnati. Cincinnati 34, Louisville 24.

No. 19 Illinois at Iowa, noon

Maybe it is time to finally bury the fireronzook.com domain name and start a new site for athletics directors needing someone to rebuild their program: hireronzook.com. Illinois 28, Iowa 20.

No. 20 Kansas vs. Baylor, 12:30 p.m.

That's no misprint. The 5-0 Jayhawks are in the poll and stand ready to soar even higher with a convenient schedule that does not include Oklahoma or Texas and has Missouri coming to Lawrence on the final day of the regular season. Kansas 45, Baylor 16.

No. 21 Florida State at Wake Forest, 7:30 p.m. (Thursday)

The search for a quarterback may be finally over for the Seminoles. The lights appear to finally have turned on for Xavier Lee, and the FSU offense hopes it has reached the end of the tunnel. Florida State 31, Wake Forest 17.

No. 22 Texas at Iowa State, 12:30 p.m.

Not much has gone right for Gene Chizik or the Longhorns since he left his defensive coordinator job in Austin and took over at Iowa State. After two straight losses, we will see if Texas has some fight left. Texas 30, Iowa State 19.

No. 23 Georgia at Vanderbilt, 6 p.m.

The Commodores won in Athens last year, one week after the Bulldogs were pounded by Tennessee. Don't be surprised if history repeats itself. Georgia 23, Vanderbilt 20.

No. 24 Purdue at Michigan, noon

Don't look now, but the Wolverines are positioned quite nicely in the Big Ten. The Boilermakers, meanwhile, must try to stay on track after last week's struggle against Ohio State. It won't be easy. Their last win in Ann Arbor was in 1966. Michigan 27, Purdue 21.

No. 25 Auburn at Arkansas, 7:45 p.m.

With unhappy fans in both Auburn and Fayetteville, Tommy Tuberville and Houston Nutt will be playing a game of musical chairs. Whichever one loses has to sit on the hot seat. Arkansas 21, Auburn 20.

Last week's record: 11-5 (9-7)

Season record: 103-23 (54-56)

posted by phantom

Oct. 11 2007 4:22pm
0 likes

College Football Trends

Wednesday, October 10th

Navy at Pittsburgh, 8:00 EST ESPN

Navy: 27-7 ATS off a home win

Pittsburgh: 12-28 ATS off an Over

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Thursday, October 11th

Florida State at Wake Forest, 7:45 EST ESPN

Florida State: 1-6 ATS off a win by 17+ points

Wake Forest: 5-1 Under off a combined score of 60+ points

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Friday, October 12th

Hawaii at San Jose State, 8:00 EST ESPN

Hawaii: 14-5 ATS as a favorite

San Jose State: 12-1 Under off a win

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Saturday, October 13th

Purdue at Michigan, 12:00 EST

Purdue: 2-10 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points

Michigan: 14-7 Under off a win

Rutgers at Syracuse, 12:00 EST

Rutgers: 1-5 ATS off BB home games

Syracuse: 23-6 ATS at home off a home game

Eastern Michigan at Ohio U, 12:00 EST

Eastern Michgian: 7-1 ATS in October

Ohio U: 3-7 ATS off a loss as a favorite

Minnesota at Northwestern, 12:00 EST

Minnesota: 6-17 ATS away off a road game

Northwestern: 8-2 ATS after allowing 37+ points

Kent State at Ohio State, 12:00 EST

Kent State: 2-9 ATS off a home game

Ohio State: 10-1 ATS off an Under

South Carolina at North Carolina, 12:00 EST

South Carolina: 7-0 ATS in road games

North Carolina: 2-10 ATS at home off a win by 6 points or less

Georgia Tech at Miami FL, 12:00 EST

Georgia Tech: 0-7 ATS off a road loss by 3 points or less

Miami FL: 13-3 Under in home games

Virginia Tech at Duke, 12:00 EST

Virginia Tech: 7-0 ATS off a win as a road underdog

Duke: 3-10 ATS in home games

Louisville at Cincinnati, 12:30 EST

Louisville: 5-1 Under off a home loss

Cincinnati: 10-1 ATS off an ATS win

Alabama at Mississippi, 12:30 EST

Alabama: 5-14 ATS as a favorite

Mississippi: 5-1 Under off a home win

Georgia at Vanderbilt, 12:30 EST

Georgia: 8-0 ATS off a loss by 21+ points

Vanderbilt: 7-20 ATS at home in October

Toledo at Buffalo, 1:00 EST

Toledo: 6-12 ATS vs. conference opponents

Buffalo: 7-3 Over off a home game

Baylor at Kansas, 2:00 EST

Baylor: 0-7 ATS off BB conference games

Kansas: 6-1 Over off a conference win

New Mexico at Wyoming, 2:00 EST

New Mexico: 6-0 ATS off a home loss

Wyoming: 2-12 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games

Tennessee at Mississippi State, 2:30 EST

Tennessee: 14-2 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less

Mississippi State: 14-28 ATS off an Under

Bowling Green at Miami OH, 3:00 EST

Bowling Green: 4-12 ATS vs. conference opponents

Miami OH: 5-1 Under after winning 2 of their last 3 games

San Diego State at Utah, 3:00 EST

San Diego State: 6-16 ATS away off a conference win

Utah: 9-0 ATS at home off a win as an underdog

Army at Central Michigan, 3:30 EST

Army: 6-1 Over off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

Central Michigan: 10-0 ATS off a road game

Rice at Houston, 3:30 EST

Rice: 8-1 ATS vs. conference opponents

Houston: 7-2 Over off a non-conference game

Washington State at Oregon, 3:30 EST

Washington State: 7-1 Over after losing 3 of their last 4 games

Oregon: 8-2 ATS off an ATS loss

Wisconsin at Penn State, 3:30 EST

Wisconsin: 6-1 ATS after gaining 475+ total yards

Penn State: 20-8 Under off a home conference win

Oklahoma State at Nebraska, 3:30 EST

Oklahoma State: 6-0 Over off a loss by 3 points or less

Nebraska: 14-2 ATS after allowing 325+ passing yards

Texas at Iowa State, 3:30 EST

Texas: 15-3 Over off an ATS win

Iowa State: 15-5 ATS at home after losing 3 of their last 4 games

Illinois at Iowa, 3:30 EST

Illinois: 10-2 Under in road games

Iowa: 2-9 ATS vs. conference opponents

Boston College at Notre Dame, 3:30 EST

Boston College: 6-1 Under as a road favorite

Notre Dame: 4-12 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Western Michigan at Northern Illinois, 4:00 EST

Western Michigan: 10-3 Over as a favorite

Northern Illinois: 0-8 ATS off a road game

TCU at Stanford, 5:00 EST

TCU: 6-0 ATS off BB conference games

Stanford: 1-8 ATS in home games

Oregon State at California, 5:00 EST

Oregon State: 16-8 ATS off a home conference win

California: 16-2 Over after scoring 3 or less first-half points

Fresno State at Idaho, 5:00 EST

Fresno State: 0-7 ATS off a road game

Idaho: 10-2 Under off 3+ losses

Air Force at Colorado State, 5:30 EST

Air Force: 22-10 ATS away off a home win

Colorado State: 0-7 ATS off a conference loss

Temple at Akron, 6:00 EST

Temple: 12-4 Over as a road underdog

Akron: 2-8 ATS off a conference win

LSU at Kentucky, 7:00 EST

LSU: 5-1 ATS as a road favorite

Kentucky: 14-4 Under off a road conference loss

Auburn at Arkansas, 7:00 EST

Auburn: 7-2 Over off a home win by 17+ points

Arkansas: 5-1 ATS in October

Tulane at UAB, 7:00 EST

Tulane: 1-10 ATS off a loss by 3 points or less

UAB: 9-2 Under after losing 2 of their last 3 games

Connecticut at Virginia, 7:00 EST

Connecticut: 20-8 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents

Virginia: 10-22 ATS off ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games

New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech, 7:00 EST

New Mexico State: 5-1 ATS off a shutout loss

Louisiana Tech: 1-7 ATS off BB road games

Marshall at Tulsa, 7:00 EST

Marshall: 1-9 ATS in road games

Tulsa: 11-3 ATS off a road game

Indiana at Michigan State, 7:00 EST

Indiana: 8-0 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games

Michigan State: 4-14 ATS vs. conference opponents

Texas A&M at Tech Tech, 7:00 EST

Texas A&M: 7-20 ATS as a road underdog

Texas Tech: 39-19 ATS as a home favorite

Missouri at Oklahoma, 7:00 EST

Missouri: 0-7 ATS away off a win by 28+ points

Oklahoma: 11-4 ATS off BB conference games

Colorado at Kansas State, 7:00 EST

Colorado: 1-8 ATS away off an ATS win

Kansas State: 22-9 ATS at home off a loss

SMU at Southern Miss, 7:30 EST

SMU: 4-14 ATS after allowing 525+ total yards

Southern Miss: 14-4 ATS off BB losses

Central Florida at South Florida, 8:00 EST

Central Florida: 2-8 ATS vs. Big East opponents

South Florida: 6-0 Under off a road win

East Carolina at UTEP, 9:05 EST

East Carolina: 9-1 ATS off a conference win

UTEP: 1-6 ATS after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

BYU at UNLV, 9:30 EST

BYU: 11-3 ATS off a road game

UNLV: 2-7 ATS in October

Washington at Arizona State, 10:00 EST

Washington: 0-6 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less

Arizona State: 15-5 ATS at home off a road win

Arizona at USC, 10:00 EST

Arizona: 6-0 ATS away off 3+ conference games

USC: 1-8 ATS in October

Added Games:

Louisiana Lafayette at Arkansas State, 7:00 EST

LA Lafayette: 6-16 ATS off a combined score of 60+ points

Arkansas State: 5-1 Under off BB ATS losses

Louisiana Monroe at North Texas, 7:00 EST

LA Monroe: 10-2 Over off an ATS win

North Texas: 0-8 ATS off an ATS win

Middle Tennessee State at Memphis, 8:00 EST

Mid Tenn State: 6-1 ATS in October

Memphis: 2-11 ATS at home off a conference win

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Sunday, October 14th

Nevada at Boise State, 8:00 EST ESPN

Nevada: 8-1 ATS off an ATS loss

Boise State: 6-1 Under off a win by 35+ points

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

_________________

posted by phantom

Oct. 11 2007 4:24pm
0 likes

College Football Trend Report

NAVY (3 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 3) - 10/10/2007, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

NAVY is 94-64 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all games since 1992.

NAVY is 94-64 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

NAVY is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

NAVY is 47-19 ATS (+26.1 Units) in road games since 1992.

NAVY is 47-19 ATS (+26.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.

NAVY is 50-20 ATS (+28.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

NAVY is 41-18 ATS (+21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

NAVY is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA ST (4 - 1) at WAKE FOREST (3 - 2) - 10/11/2007, 7:45 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons

WAKE FOREST is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAWAII (6 - 0) at SAN JOSE ST (3 - 3) - 10/12/2007, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

SAN JOSE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

HAWAII is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

HAWAII is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons

HAWAII is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PURDUE (5 - 1) at MICHIGAN (4 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

PURDUE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

PURDUE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

PURDUE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

MICHIGAN is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RUTGERS (3 - 2) at SYRACUSE (1 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

SYRACUSE is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

SYRACUSE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

RUTGERS is 2-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons

RUTGERS is 2-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E MICHIGAN (2 - 4) at OHIO U (2 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

E MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons

OHIO U is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (1 - 5) at NORTHWESTERN (3 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENT ST (3 - 3) at OHIO ST (6 - 0) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

OHIO ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

OHIO ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

OHIO ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

OHIO ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

OHIO ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

OHIO ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

OHIO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S CAROLINA (5 - 1) at N CAROLINA (2 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

S CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

S CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

S CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

S CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

S CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

S CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

S CAROLINA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

N CAROLINA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA TECH (3 - 3) at MIAMI (4 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons

GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA TECH (5 - 1) at DUKE (1 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons.

VIRGINIA TECH is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons

VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (3 - 3) at CINCINNATI (6 - 0) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

CINCINNATI is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons

LOUISVILLE is 2-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA (4 - 2) at OLE MISS (2 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 12:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

ALABAMA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

OLE MISS is 2-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons

ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA (4 - 2) at VANDERBILT (3 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 6:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

GEORGIA is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

VANDERBILT is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.

VANDERBILT is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

VANDERBILT is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons

VANDERBILT is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TOLEDO (2 - 4) at BUFFALO (2 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TOLEDO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

TOLEDO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons

TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (3 - 3) at KANSAS (5 - 0) - 10/13/2007, 12:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

BAYLOR is 47-71 ATS (-31.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

BAYLOR is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

BAYLOR is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

BAYLOR is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

BAYLOR is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

KANSAS is 50-77 ATS (-34.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

KANSAS is 40-74 ATS (-41.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

KANSAS is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons

BAYLOR is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO (3 - 2) at WYOMING (4 - 1) - 10/13/2007, 2:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

NEW MEXICO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

WYOMING is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons

WYOMING is 1-1 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (3 - 2) at MISSISSIPPI ST (4 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 2:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TENNESSEE is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.

TENNESSEE is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOWLING GREEN (3 - 2) at MIAMI OHIO (3 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 3:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons

MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO ST (2 - 3) at UTAH (3 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 3:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

SAN DIEGO ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons

UTAH is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARMY (3 - 3) at C MICHIGAN (3 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

C MICHIGAN is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

C MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons

C MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RICE (1 - 4) at HOUSTON (2 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

RICE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

RICE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

HOUSTON is 1-1 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons

HOUSTON is 2-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON ST (2 - 4) at OREGON (4 - 1) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons

OREGON is 1-1 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (5 - 1) at PENN ST (4 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

PENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons

PENN ST is 1-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (3 - 3) at NEBRASKA (4 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 12:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

NEBRASKA is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons

OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (4 - 2) at IOWA ST (1 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TEXAS is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

TEXAS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

IOWA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons

TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ILLINOIS (5 - 1) at IOWA (2 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

IOWA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

IOWA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

IOWA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

IOWA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

IOWA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons

IOWA is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON COLLEGE (6 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (1 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

NOTRE DAME is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

NOTRE DAME is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W MICHIGAN (2 - 4) at N ILLINOIS (1 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 4:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

W MICHIGAN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

N ILLINOIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

N ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

N ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TCU (3 - 3) at STANFORD (2 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 5:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TCU is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

TCU is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

TCU is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

STANFORD is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

STANFORD is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

STANFORD is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

STANFORD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

STANFORD is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON ST (3 - 3) at CALIFORNIA (5 - 0) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

CALIFORNIA is 1-1 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons

CALIFORNIA is 1-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRESNO ST (3 - 2) at IDAHO (1 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 5:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

FRESNO ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

FRESNO ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

FRESNO ST is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.

FRESNO ST is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

FRESNO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons

FRESNO ST is 2-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AIR FORCE (4 - 2) at COLORADO ST (0 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 5:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

AIR FORCE is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

COLORADO ST is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in October games since 1992.

COLORADO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

COLORADO ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

COLORADO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons

COLORADO ST is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEMPLE (1 - 5) at AKRON (3 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 6:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LSU (6 - 0) at KENTUCKY (5 - 1) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

LSU is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

LSU is 1-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons

LSU is 1-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AUBURN (4 - 2) at ARKANSAS (3 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 7:45 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons

ARKANSAS is 1-1 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULANE (1 - 4) at UAB (1 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TULANE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

TULANE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

TULANE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

UAB is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

UAB is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (5 - 0) at VIRGINIA (5 - 1) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

CONNECTICUT is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 3) at LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons

LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARSHALL (0 - 5) at TULSA (3 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

MARSHALL is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

MARSHALL is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

MARSHALL is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

MARSHALL is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

MARSHALL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

TULSA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (5 - 1) at MICHIGAN ST (4 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

MICHIGAN ST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

MICHIGAN ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

MICHIGAN ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

MICHIGAN ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

MICHIGAN ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons

MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS A&M (5 - 1) at TEXAS TECH (5 - 1) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TEXAS TECH is 51-27 ATS (+21.3 Units) in home games since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 51-27 ATS (+21.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 70-45 ATS (+20.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 90-64 ATS (+19.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 42-21 ATS (+18.9 Units) in October games since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

TEXAS TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons

TEXAS TECH is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSOURI (5 - 0) at OKLAHOMA (5 - 1) - 10/13/2007, 6:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

OKLAHOMA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

OKLAHOMA is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons

OKLAHOMA is 1-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (4 - 2) at KANSAS ST (3 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 6:15 PM

Top Trends for this game.

KANSAS ST is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games since 1992.

KANSAS ST is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

KANSAS ST is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

KANSAS ST is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

KANSAS ST is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

KANSAS ST is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

KANSAS ST is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU (1 - 4) at SOUTHERN MISS (2 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 7:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

SOUTHERN MISS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCF (3 - 2) at S FLORIDA (5 - 0) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

S FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons

S FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E CAROLINA (3 - 3) at UTEP (4 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 9:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.

E CAROLINA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BYU (3 - 2) at UNLV (2 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 9:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

BYU is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

BYU is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

BYU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

BYU is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

UNLV is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

UNLV is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

BYU is 2-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons

BYU is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (2 - 3) at ARIZONA ST (6 - 0) - 10/13/2007, 10:15 PM

Top Trends for this game.

WASHINGTON is 45-68 ATS (-29.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

ARIZONA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons

ARIZONA ST is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (2 - 4) at USC (4 - 1) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

ARIZONA is 47-74 ATS (-34.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

USC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

USC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

ARIZONA is 2-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons

USC is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAFAYETTE (1 - 5) at ARKANSAS ST (2 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons

ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (1 - 4) at NORTH TEXAS (0 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

LA MONROE is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons

LA MONROE is 2-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 5) at MEMPHIS (2 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEVADA (2 - 3) at BOISE ST (4 - 1) - 10/14/2007, 8:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

BOISE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons

BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

_________________

posted by phantom

Oct. 11 2007 4:24pm
0 likes

NCAAF

Dunkel Index

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11

Game 103-104: Florida State at Wake Forest

Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 92.348; Wake Forest 93.376

Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 1; 40

Vegas Line: Florida State by 6; 43 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+6); Under

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 12

Game 105-106: Hawaii at San Jose State

Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 96.000; San Jose State 77.876

Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 18; 65

Vegas Line: Hawaii by 19; 70

Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+19); Under

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 13

Game 107-108: Purdue at Michigan

Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 96.230; Michigan 97.792

Dunkel Line: Michigan by 1 1/2; 52

Vegas Line: Michigan by 6; 56

Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+6); Under

Game 109-110: Rutgers at Syracuse

Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 94.483; Syracuse 79.051

Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 15 1/2; 58

Vegas Line: Rutgers by 18; 55 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+18); Over

Game 111-112: Eastern Michigan at Ohio

Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 71.825; Ohio 71.114

Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 1; 49

Vegas Line: Ohio by 5; 44 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+5); Over

Game 113-114: Minnesota at Northwestern

Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 79.888; Northwestern 91.689

Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 12; 62

Vegas Line: Northwestern by 7; 65 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-7); Under

Game 115-116: Kent at Ohio State

Dunkel Ratings: Kent 76.953; Ohio State 113.220

Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 36 1/2; 41

Vegas Line: Ohio State by 29 1/2; 46 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-29 1/2); Under

Game 117-118: South Carolina at North Carolina

Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 101.211; North Carolina 88.953

Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 13 1/2; 54

Vegas Line: South Carolina by 6 1/2; 47

Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-6 1/2); Over

Game 119-120: Georgia Tech at Miami (FL)

Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 95.050; Miami (FL) 91.879

Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 3; 38

Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 3; 42 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+3); Under

Game 121-122: Virginia Tech at Duke

Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 97.271; Duke 87.279

Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 10; 44

Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 13 1/2; 46

Dunkel Pick: Duke (+13 1/2); Under

Game 123-124: Louisville at Cincinnati

Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 86.155; Cincinnati 107.500

Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 21; 61

Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 10; 66

Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-10); Under

Game 125-126: Alabama at Mississippi

Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 92.139; Mississippi 87.708

Dunkel Line: Alabama by 4 1/2; 44

Vegas Line: Alabama by 7; 49 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+7); Under

Game 127-128: Georgia at Vanderbilt

Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 92.788; Vanderbilt 88.988

Dunkel Line: Georgia by 4; 47

Vegas Line: Georgia by 7; 44 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+7); Over

Game 129-130: Toledo at Buffalo

Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 68.753; Buffalo 78.461

Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 10; 66

Vegas Line: Buffalo by 2; 61

Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-2); Over

Game 131-132: Baylor at Kansas

Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 78.114; Kansas 106.944

Dunkel Line: Kansas by 29; 54

Vegas Line: Kansas by 24; 61

Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-24); Under

Game 133-134: New Mexico at Wyoming

Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 90.957; Wyoming 90.231

Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 1; 55

Vegas Line: Wyoming by 4; 49 1/2

Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+4); Over

Game 135-136: Tennessee at Mississippi State

Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 100.863; Mississippi State 85.478

Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 15 1/2; 56

Vegas Line: Tennessee by 7; 52

Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-7); Over

Game 137-138: Bowling Green at Miami (OH)

Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 81.674; Miami (OH) 76.608

Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 5; 53

Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 2 1/2; 57 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+2 1/2); Under

Game 139-140: San Diego State at Utah

Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 81.199; Utah 92.560

Dunkel Line: Utah by 11 1/2; 50

Vegas Line: Utah by 15; 55

Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+15); Under

Game 141-142: Army at Central Michigan

Dunkel Ratings: Army 71.347; Central Michigan 89.399

Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 18; 57

Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 11; 54

Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-11); Over

Game 143-144: Rice at Houston

Dunkel Ratings: Rice 73.142; Houston 87.814

Dunkel Line: Houston by 14 1/2; 62

Vegas Line: Houston by 21; 67

Dunkel Pick: Rice (+21); Under

Game 145-146: Washington State at Oregon

Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 82.337; Oregon 112.318

Dunkel Line: Oregon by 30; 65

Vegas Line: Oregon by 17 1/2; 69

Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-17 1/2); Under

Game 147-148: Wisconsin at Penn State

Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 95.248; Penn State 98.469

Dunkel Line: Penn State by 3; 52

Vegas Line: Penn State by 6 1/2; 44

Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+6 1/2); Over

Game 149-150: Oklahoma State at Nebraska

Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 92.883; Nebraska 91.386

Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 1 1/2; 58

Vegas Line: Nebraska by 4; 63

Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+4); Under

Game 151-152: Texas at Iowa State

Dunkel Ratings: Texas 94.056; Iowa State 79.109

Dunkel Line: Texas by 15; 49

Vegas Line: Texas by 16 1/2; 53 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+16 1/2); Under

Game 153-154: Illinois at Iowa

Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 95.564; Iowa 84.475

Dunkel Line: Illinois by 11; 42

Vegas Line: Illinois by 3 1/2; 44

Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-3 1/2); Under

Game 155-156: Boston College at Notre Dame

Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 100.966; Notre Dame 96.444

Dunkel Line: Boston College by 4 1/2; 41

Vegas Line: Boston College by 14; 46 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+14); Under

Game 157-158: Western Michigan at Northern Illinois

Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 76.929; Northern Illinois 76.656

Dunkel Line: Even; 66

Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 4; 59

Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+4); Over

Game 159-160: TCU at Stanford

Dunkel Ratings: TCU 90.728; Stanford 92.321

Dunkel Line: Stanford by 1 1/2; 43

Vegas Line: TCU by 6; 47 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+6); Under

Game 161-162: Oregon State at California

Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 89.817; California 112.921

Dunkel Line: California by 23; 54

Vegas Line: California by 14; 57

Dunkel Pick: California (-14); Under

Game 163-164: Fresno State at Idaho

Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 87.457; Idaho 72.105

Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 15; 59

Vegas Line: Fresno State by 10; 57

Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-10); Over

Game 165-166: Air Force at Colorado State

Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 86.318; Colorado State 83.548

Dunkel Line: Air Force by 3; 39

Vegas Line: Colorado State by 4; 47

Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+4); Under

Game 167-168: Temple at Akron

Dunkel Ratings: Temple 63.319; Akron 80.623

Dunkel Line: Akron by 17; 51

Vegas Line: Akron by 10; 48 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Akron (-10); Over

Game 169-170: LSU at Kentucky

Dunkel Ratings: LSU 110.983; Kentucky 104.000

Dunkel Line: LSU by 7; 57

Vegas Line: LSU by 9 1/2; 54

Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+9 1/2); Over

Game 171-172: Auburn at Arkansas

Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 99.761; Arkansas 97.902

Dunkel Line: Auburn by 2; 47

Vegas Line: Arkansas by 3; 54 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+3); Under

Game 173-174: Tulane at UAB

Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 66.939; UAB 74.573

Dunkel Line: UAB by 7 1/2; 46

Vegas Line: UAB by 3; 49

Dunkel Pick: UAB (-3); Under

Game 175-176: Connecticut at Virginia

Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 96.645; Virginia 92.267

Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 4 1/2; 47

Vegas Line: Virginia by 3 1/2; 44

Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+3 1/2); Over

Game 177-178: New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech

Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 63.602; Louisiana Tech 76.477

Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 13; 41

Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 7; No Total

Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-7); N/A

Game 179-180: Marshall at Tulsa

Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 72.765; Tulsa 91.324

Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 18 1/2; 73

Vegas Line: Tulsa by 14; 69 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-14); Over

Game 181-182: Indiana at Michigan State

Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 94.129; Michigan State 88.210

Dunkel Line: Indiana by 6; 59

Vegas Line: Michigan State by 5 1/2; 62

Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+5 1/2); Under

Game 183-184: Texas A&M at Texas Tech

Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 92.641; Texas Tech 104.044

Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 11 1/2; 62

Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 8; 70

Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-8); Under

Game 185-186: Missouri at Oklahoma

Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 104.199; Oklahoma 111.141

Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 7; 63

Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 10 1/2; 61

Dunkel Pick: Missouri (+10 1/2); Over

Game 187-188: Colorado at Kansas State

Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 97.485; Kansas State 100.360

Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 3;

Vegas Line: Kansas State by 5 1/2;

Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+5 1/2);

Game 189-190: SMU at Southern Mississippi

Dunkel Ratings: SMU 72.192; Southern Mississippi 85.558

Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 13 1/2;

Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 9;

Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-9);

Game 191-192: Central Florida at South Florida

Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 83.533; South Florida 101.028

Dunkel Line: South Florida by 17 1/2;

Vegas Line: South Florida by 11 1/2;

Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-11 1/2);

Game 193-194: East Carolina at UTEP

Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 85.543; UTEP 82.224

Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 3;

Vegas Line: UTEP by 2 1/2;

Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+2 1/2);

Game 195-196: BYU at UNLV

Dunkel Ratings: BYU 96.794; UNLV 82.983

Dunkel Line: BYU by 14; 39 1/2

Vegas Line: BYU by 10 1/2; 49 1/2

Dunkel Pick: BYU (-10 1/2); Under

Game 197-198: Washington at Arizona State

Dunkel Ratings: Washington 96.446; Arizona State 104.839

Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 8 1/2; 52 1/2

Vegas Line: Arizona State by 12 1/2; 54

Dunkel Pick: Washington (+12 1/2); Under

Game 199-200: Arizona at USC

Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 84.743; USC 101.277

Dunkel Line: USC by 16 1/2; 53

Vegas Line: USC by 21 1/2; 57 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+21 1/2); Under

Game 201-202: UL Lafayette at Arkansas State

Dunkel Ratings: UL Lafayette 66.286; Arkansas State 73.823

Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 7 1/2; 67

Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 9; 59

Dunkel Pick: UL Lafayette (+9); Over

Game 203-204: UL Monroe at North Texas

Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 74.821; North Texas 59.592

Dunkel Line: UL Monroe by 15; 65

Vegas Line: UL Monroe by 7 1/2; 62 1/2

Dunkel Pick: UL Monroe (-7 1/2); Over

Game 205-206: Middle Tennessee State at Memphis

Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 77.903; Memphis 77.756

Dunkel Line: Even; 51

Vegas Line: Memphis by 4; 55 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+4); Under

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 14

Game 231-232: Nevada at Boise State

Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 83.797; Boise State 107.669

Dunkel Line: Boise State by 24; 64

Vegas Line: Boise State by 26 1/2; 61

Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+26 1/2); Over

posted by phantom

Oct. 11 2007 4:26pm
0 likes

NCAAF

Long Sheet

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 11

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FLORIDA ST (4 - 1) at WAKE FOREST (3 - 2) - 10/11/2007, 7:45 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons

WAKE FOREST is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, October 12

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HAWAII (6 - 0) at SAN JOSE ST (3 - 3) - 10/12/2007, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

SAN JOSE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

HAWAII is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

HAWAII is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons

HAWAII is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, October 13

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PURDUE (5 - 1) at MICHIGAN (4 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

PURDUE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

PURDUE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

PURDUE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

MICHIGAN is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RUTGERS (3 - 2) at SYRACUSE (1 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

SYRACUSE is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

SYRACUSE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

RUTGERS is 2-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons

RUTGERS is 2-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E MICHIGAN (2 - 4) at OHIO U (2 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

E MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons

OHIO U is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (1 - 5) at NORTHWESTERN (3 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENT ST (3 - 3) at OHIO ST (6 - 0) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

OHIO ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

OHIO ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

OHIO ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

OHIO ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

OHIO ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

OHIO ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

OHIO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S CAROLINA (5 - 1) at N CAROLINA (2 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

S CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

S CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

S CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

S CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

S CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

S CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

S CAROLINA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

N CAROLINA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA TECH (3 - 3) at MIAMI (4 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons

GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA TECH (5 - 1) at DUKE (1 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons.

VIRGINIA TECH is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons

VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (3 - 3) at CINCINNATI (6 - 0) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

CINCINNATI is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons

LOUISVILLE is 2-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA (4 - 2) at OLE MISS (2 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 12:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

ALABAMA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

OLE MISS is 2-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons

ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA (4 - 2) at VANDERBILT (3 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 6:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

GEORGIA is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

VANDERBILT is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.

VANDERBILT is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

VANDERBILT is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons

VANDERBILT is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TOLEDO (2 - 4) at BUFFALO (2 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TOLEDO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

TOLEDO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons

TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (3 - 3) at KANSAS (5 - 0) - 10/13/2007, 12:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

BAYLOR is 47-71 ATS (-31.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

BAYLOR is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

BAYLOR is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

BAYLOR is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

BAYLOR is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

KANSAS is 50-77 ATS (-34.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

KANSAS is 40-74 ATS (-41.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

KANSAS is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons

BAYLOR is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO (3 - 2) at WYOMING (4 - 1) - 10/13/2007, 2:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

NEW MEXICO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

WYOMING is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons

WYOMING is 1-1 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (3 - 2) at MISSISSIPPI ST (4 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 2:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TENNESSEE is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.

TENNESSEE is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOWLING GREEN (3 - 2) at MIAMI OHIO (3 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 3:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons

MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO ST (2 - 3) at UTAH (3 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 3:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

SAN DIEGO ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons

UTAH is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARMY (3 - 3) at C MICHIGAN (3 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

C MICHIGAN is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

C MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons

C MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RICE (1 - 4) at HOUSTON (2 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

RICE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

RICE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

HOUSTON is 1-1 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons

HOUSTON is 2-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON ST (2 - 4) at OREGON (4 - 1) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons

OREGON is 1-1 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (5 - 1) at PENN ST (4 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

PENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons

PENN ST is 1-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (3 - 3) at NEBRASKA (4 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 12:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

NEBRASKA is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons

OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (4 - 2) at IOWA ST (1 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TEXAS is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

TEXAS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

IOWA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons

TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ILLINOIS (5 - 1) at IOWA (2 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

IOWA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

IOWA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

IOWA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

IOWA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

IOWA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons

IOWA is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON COLLEGE (6 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (1 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

NOTRE DAME is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

NOTRE DAME is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W MICHIGAN (2 - 4) at N ILLINOIS (1 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 4:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

W MICHIGAN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

N ILLINOIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

N ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

N ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TCU (3 - 3) at STANFORD (2 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 5:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TCU is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

TCU is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

TCU is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

STANFORD is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

STANFORD is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

STANFORD is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

STANFORD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

STANFORD is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON ST (3 - 3) at CALIFORNIA (5 - 0) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

CALIFORNIA is 1-1 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons

CALIFORNIA is 1-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRESNO ST (3 - 2) at IDAHO (1 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 5:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

FRESNO ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

FRESNO ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

FRESNO ST is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.

FRESNO ST is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

FRESNO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons

FRESNO ST is 2-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AIR FORCE (4 - 2) at COLORADO ST (0 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 5:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

AIR FORCE is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

COLORADO ST is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in October games since 1992.

COLORADO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

COLORADO ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

COLORADO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons

COLORADO ST is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEMPLE (1 - 5) at AKRON (3 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 6:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LSU (6 - 0) at KENTUCKY (5 - 1) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

LSU is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

LSU is 1-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons

LSU is 1-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AUBURN (4 - 2) at ARKANSAS (3 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 7:45 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons

ARKANSAS is 1-1 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULANE (1 - 4) at UAB (1 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TULANE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

TULANE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

TULANE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

UAB is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

UAB is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (5 - 0) at VIRGINIA (5 - 1) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

CONNECTICUT is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 3) at LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons

LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARSHALL (0 - 5) at TULSA (3 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

MARSHALL is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

MARSHALL is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

MARSHALL is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

MARSHALL is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

MARSHALL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

TULSA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (5 - 1) at MICHIGAN ST (4 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

MICHIGAN ST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

MICHIGAN ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

MICHIGAN ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

MICHIGAN ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

MICHIGAN ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons

MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS A&M (5 - 1) at TEXAS TECH (5 - 1) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TEXAS TECH is 51-27 ATS (+21.3 Units) in home games since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 51-27 ATS (+21.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 70-45 ATS (+20.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 90-64 ATS (+19.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 42-21 ATS (+18.9 Units) in October games since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

TEXAS TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons

TEXAS TECH is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSOURI (5 - 0) at OKLAHOMA (5 - 1) - 10/13/2007, 6:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

OKLAHOMA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

OKLAHOMA is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons

OKLAHOMA is 1-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (4 - 2) at KANSAS ST (3 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 6:15 PM

Top Trends for this game.

KANSAS ST is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games since 1992.

KANSAS ST is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

KANSAS ST is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

KANSAS ST is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

KANSAS ST is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

KANSAS ST is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

KANSAS ST is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU (1 - 4) at SOUTHERN MISS (2 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 7:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

SOUTHERN MISS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCF (3 - 2) at S FLORIDA (5 - 0) - 10/13/2007, 12:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

S FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons

S FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E CAROLINA (3 - 3) at UTEP (4 - 2) - 10/13/2007, 9:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.

E CAROLINA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BYU (3 - 2) at UNLV (2 - 4) - 10/13/2007, 9:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

BYU is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

BYU is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

BYU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

BYU is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

UNLV is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

UNLV is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

BYU is 2-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons

BYU is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (2 - 3) at ARIZONA ST (6 - 0) - 10/13/2007, 10:15 PM

Top Trends for this game.

WASHINGTON is 45-68 ATS (-29.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

ARIZONA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons

ARIZONA ST is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (2 - 4) at USC (4 - 1) - 10/13/2007, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

ARIZONA is 47-74 ATS (-34.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

USC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

USC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

ARIZONA is 2-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons

USC is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAFAYETTE (1 - 5) at ARKANSAS ST (2 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons

ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (1 - 4) at NORTH TEXAS (0 - 5) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

LA MONROE is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons

LA MONROE is 2-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 5) at MEMPHIS (2 - 3) - 10/13/2007, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, October 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEVADA (2 - 3) at BOISE ST (4 - 1) - 10/14/2007, 8:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

BOISE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons

BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

posted by phantom

Oct. 11 2007 4:26pm
0 likes

NCAAF

Short Sheet

Thursday, October 11th

Florida State at Wake Forest, 7:45 ET ESPN

Florida State: 1-6 ATS off a win by 17+ points

Wake Forest: 5-1 Under off a combined score of 60+ points

Friday, October 12th

Hawaii at San Jose State, 8:00 ET ESPN

Hawaii: 14-5 ATS as a favorite

San Jose State: 12-1 Under off a win

Saturday, October 13th

Purdue at Michigan, 12:00 ET

Purdue: 2-10 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points

Michigan: 14-7 Under off a win

Rutgers at Syracuse, 12:00 ET

Rutgers: 1-5 ATS off BB home games

Syracuse: 23-6 ATS at home off a home game

Eastern Michigan at Ohio U, 12:00 ET

Eastern Michgian: 7-1 ATS in October

Ohio U: 3-7 ATS off a loss as a favorite

Minnesota at Northwestern, 12:00 ET

Minnesota: 6-17 ATS away off a road game

Northwestern: 8-2 ATS after allowing 37+ points

Kent State at Ohio State, 12:00 ET

Kent State: 2-9 ATS off a home game

Ohio State: 10-1 ATS off an Under

South Carolina at North Carolina, 12:00 ET

South Carolina: 7-0 ATS in road games

North Carolina: 2-10 ATS at home off a win by 6 points or less

Georgia Tech at Miami FL, 12:00 ET

Georgia Tech: 0-7 ATS off a road loss by 3 points or less

Miami FL: 13-3 Under in home games

Virginia Tech at Duke, 12:00 ET

Virginia Tech: 7-0 ATS off a win as a road underdog

Duke: 3-10 ATS in home games

Louisville at Cincinnati, 12:30 ET

Louisville: 5-1 Under off a home loss

Cincinnati: 10-1 ATS off an ATS win

Alabama at Mississippi, 12:30 ET

Alabama: 5-14 ATS as a favorite

Mississippi: 5-1 Under off a home win

Georgia at Vanderbilt, 12:30 ET

Georgia: 8-0 ATS off a loss by 21+ points

Vanderbilt: 7-20 ATS at home in October

Toledo at Buffalo, 1:00 ET

Toledo: 6-12 ATS vs. conference opponents

Buffalo: 7-3 Over off a home game

Baylor at Kansas, 2:00 ET

Baylor: 0-7 ATS off BB conference games

Kansas: 6-1 Over off a conference win

New Mexico at Wyoming, 2:00 ET

New Mexico: 6-0 ATS off a home loss

Wyoming: 2-12 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games

Tennessee at Mississippi State, 2:30 ET

Tennessee: 14-2 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less

Mississippi State: 14-28 ATS off an Under

Bowling Green at Miami OH, 3:00 ET

Bowling Green: 4-12 ATS vs. conference opponents

Miami OH: 5-1 Under after winning 2 of their last 3 games

San Diego State at Utah, 3:00 ET

San Diego State: 6-16 ATS away off a conference win

Utah: 9-0 ATS at home off a win as an underdog

Army at Central Michigan, 3:30 ET

Army: 6-1 Over off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

Central Michigan: 10-0 ATS off a road game

Rice at Houston, 3:30 ET

Rice: 8-1 ATS vs. conference opponents

Houston: 7-2 Over off a non-conference game

Washington State at Oregon, 3:30 ET

Washington State: 7-1 Over after losing 3 of their last 4 games

Oregon: 8-2 ATS off an ATS loss

Wisconsin at Penn State, 3:30 ET

Wisconsin: 6-1 ATS after gaining 475+ total yards

Penn State: 20-8 Under off a home conference win

Oklahoma State at Nebraska, 3:30 ET

Oklahoma State: 6-0 Over off a loss by 3 points or less

Nebraska: 14-2 ATS after allowing 325+ passing yards

Texas at Iowa State, 3:30 ET

Texas: 15-3 Over off an ATS win

Iowa State: 15-5 ATS at home after losing 3 of their last 4 games

Illinois at Iowa, 3:30 ET

Illinois: 10-2 Under in road games

Iowa: 2-9 ATS vs. conference opponents

Boston College at Notre Dame, 3:30 ET

Boston College: 6-1 Under as a road favorite

Notre Dame: 4-12 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Western Michigan at Northern Illinois, 4:00 ET

Western Michigan: 10-3 Over as a favorite

Northern Illinois: 0-8 ATS off a road game

TCU at Stanford, 5:00 ET

TCU: 6-0 ATS off BB conference games

Stanford: 1-8 ATS in home games

Oregon State at California, 5:00 ET

Oregon State: 16-8 ATS off a home conference win

California: 16-2 Over after scoring 3 or less first-half points

Fresno State at Idaho, 5:00 ET

Fresno State: 0-7 ATS off a road game

Idaho: 10-2 Under off 3+ losses

Air Force at Colorado State, 5:30 ET

Air Force: 22-10 ATS away off a home win

Colorado State: 0-7 ATS off a conference loss

Temple at Akron, 6:00 ET

Temple: 12-4 Over as a road underdog

Akron: 2-8 ATS off a conference win

LSU at Kentucky, 7:00 ET

LSU: 5-1 ATS as a road favorite

Kentucky: 14-4 Under off a road conference loss

Auburn at Arkansas, 7:00 ET

Auburn: 7-2 Over off a home win by 17+ points

Arkansas: 5-1 ATS in October

Tulane at UAB, 7:00 ET

Tulane: 1-10 ATS off a loss by 3 points or less

UAB: 9-2 Under after losing 2 of their last 3 games

Connecticut at Virginia, 7:00 ET

Connecticut: 20-8 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents

Virginia: 10-22 ATS off ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games

New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech, 7:00 ET

New Mexico State: 5-1 ATS off a shutout loss

Louisiana Tech: 1-7 ATS off BB road games

Marshall at Tulsa, 7:00 ET

Marshall: 1-9 ATS in road games

Tulsa: 11-3 ATS off a road game

Indiana at Michigan State, 7:00 ET

Indiana: 8-0 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games

Michigan State: 4-14 ATS vs. conference opponents

Texas A&M at Tech Tech, 7:00 ET

Texas A&M: 7-20 ATS as a road underdog

Texas Tech: 39-19 ATS as a home favorite

Missouri at Oklahoma, 7:00 ET

Missouri: 0-7 ATS away off a win by 28+ points

Oklahoma: 11-4 ATS off BB conference games

Colorado at Kansas State, 7:00 ET

Colorado: 1-8 ATS away off an ATS win

Kansas State: 22-9 ATS at home off a loss

SMU at Southern Miss, 7:30 ET

SMU: 4-14 ATS after allowing 525+ total yards

Southern Miss: 14-4 ATS off BB losses

Central Florida at South Florida, 8:00 ET

Central Florida: 2-8 ATS vs. Big East opponents

South Florida: 6-0 Under off a road win

East Carolina at UTEP, 9:05 ET

East Carolina: 9-1 ATS off a conference win

UTEP: 1-6 ATS after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

BYU at UNLV, 9:30 ET

BYU: 11-3 ATS off a road game

UNLV: 2-7 ATS in October

Washington at Arizona State, 10:00 ET

Washington: 0-6 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less

Arizona State: 15-5 ATS at home off a road win

Arizona at USC, 10:00 ET

Arizona: 6-0 ATS away off 3+ conference games

USC: 1-8 ATS in October

Added Games:

Louisiana Lafayette at Arkansas State, 7:00 ET

LA Lafayette: 6-16 ATS off a combined score of 60+ points

Arkansas State: 5-1 Under off BB ATS losses

Louisiana Monroe at North Texas, 7:00 ET

LA Monroe: 10-2 Over off an ATS win

North Texas: 0-8 ATS off an ATS win

Middle Tennessee State at Memphis, 8:00 ET

Mid Tenn State: 6-1 ATS in October

Memphis: 2-11 ATS at home off a conference win

Sunday, October 14th

Nevada at Boise State, 8:00 ET ESPN

Nevada: 8-1 ATS off an ATS loss

Boise State: 6-1 Under off a win by 35+ points

posted by phantom

Oct. 11 2007 4:27pm
0 likes

NCAAF ADDITIONAL

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Tips and Trends

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Thursday, October 11

#21 Florida State at Wake Forest (ESPN | 7:30 PM)

Florida State is back in the Top 25 for the first time since the preseason thanks to the play of QB Xavier Lee, who made his first start of the season in a 27-10 win at North Carolina State last Saturday. Lee completed 16-of-27 passes for 257 yards, including four and a touchdown to WR Greg Carr (140 yards). EDGE: FLORIDA STATE

This is a big revenge game for the Seminoles, who were blanked 30-0 by Wake Forest last year, which marked the first time ever the team suffered a shutout at home in head coach Bobby Bowden's 31 years with the program. EDGE: FLORIDA STATE

The Demon Deacons have won three in a row following an 0-2 start, but they have still failed to cover two of those games as favorites, nearly blowing a 25-point lead in a 41-36 win at Duke last Saturday. EDGE: FLORIDA STATE

Florida State is 21-3-1 straight-up in the all-time series with Wake Forest.

Wake Forest is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games vs. teams with a winning record.

Florida State is 2-6-1 in the last 9 meetings, all as a favorite.

The UNDER is 22-10 in Florida State's last 32 road games.

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Friday, October 12

#16 Hawaii at San Jose State (ESPN | 8 PM ET)

This will be one of the few times all season Hawaii QB Colt Brennan will have to showcase himself on national television. The Heisman Trophy candidate is nursing an ankle injury (check Pregame Wire for latest status) and left last week's 52-37 win over Utah State in the first half. He was replaced by backup Tyler Graunke, who threw for 246 yards and three touchdowns, leading the Warriors to their best start since 1981 at 6-0. Hawaii has posted a school-record 10 straight conference wins. EDGE: HAWAII

San Jose State has won three straight games behind QB Adam Tafralis following an 0-3 start in which all of those losses took place on the road. Tafralis has thrown for at least 302 yards in each of the wins, and the Spartans have won their last two at home by a combined 28 points. EDGE: SAN JOSE STATE

Hawaii's last two visits to San Jose have both resulted in wins, but they were decided by a combined 10 points. The Spartans have also limited each of their opponents to less than 300 yards of total offense during their three-game winning streak. EDGE: SAN JOSE STATE

San Jose State is 15-13-1 straight-up in the all-time series with Hawaii.

San Jose State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games.

The OVER is 22-5-1 in Hawaii's last 28 conference games.

The UNDER is 17-5-1 in San Jose State's last 23 conference games.

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What bettors need to know: Florida State at Wake Forest

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Florida State Seminoles at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+6)

FSU seeks revenge

Almost 11 months ago on a cold and wet night in Tallahassee, FSU suffered one of its worst defeats in school history. Wake Forest shut out the Seminoles in a shock 30-0 victory and Florida Stateâ€™s players still cringe at the thought.

"I don't even want to talk about it," Seminoles receiver Greg Carr told the South Florida Sun-Sentinel this week. "Seriously. Because it just â€“ I don't know. It's hard to describe or explain."

FSU cornerback Tony Carter is just as blunt. "It was just nasty, man," he said. "I just remember the fans leaving and feeling like we disappointed a lot of people, and people didn't believe in us anymore. Hopefully we can go up and make their fans feel that."

FSU opened this season with a disappointing 24-18 loss to Clemson but bounced back to win its last four games. Itâ€™s not just revenge that the Seminoles have to play for on Thursday. They broke back into the Top 25 this week and will be eager to cement their place in the rankings with another win.

Mistakes hurting Seminolesâ€™ defense

The Florida State defense is ranked 18th in the league in yards (302.6) and ninth in points (15.6) per game, but it comes into this weekâ€™s clash on the back of a poor performance.

The defense allowed 10 points in the first quarter of Saturdayâ€™s 27-10 win against North Carolina State. Although Florida State held the Wolfpack scoreless for the rest of the game, repeated mistakes made life difficult for the Seminoles.

They had 24 missed tackles against N.C. State, and were hit with two pass interference penalties and three penalties overall.

â€œYou pay for it on the scoreboard,â€ Mickey Andrews, FSU's defensive coordinator, said of the errors in the Tallahassee Democrat. â€œI don't think we were totally prepared for getting in a fight.

Andrews said his players were not disciplined in the first quarter.

â€œAfter that we played pretty good football. We still haven't played 60 minutes. We're going to have to this week.â€

The Seminoles face a Wake Forest offense that boasts an effective ground game and scores an average 27.6 points per contest.

Deaconsâ€™ go-to guy

When in need of something special, Wake Forest usually looks to its proven playmaker â€“ Kenneth Moore. In Saturdayâ€™s hard-fought 41-36 win over Duke, the wide receiver once again came up with the big play when his team needed it.

With the Deacons clinging to a 34-29 lead in the fourth quarter against rallying Duke, Moore ran for 53 yards and a TD to clinch the win.

"He has the ability to change a game around real quickly," Wake quarterback Riley Skinner told the Raleigh News & Observer. "We try to get the ball to him as many times as we can because something good's going to happen."

Moore also scored a TD in the second quarter of that game and caught 11 passes for 100 yards. He has 38 catches for 360 yards and a team-leading four touchdowns for the season, and ranks among the ACC's leaders in all-purpose yards.

History favors FSU

Wake Forest produced a famous win in Tallahassee last season, but that went against the historical trend in this matchup. Florida State has a dominant 21-3-1 record in the overall series, and had defeated the Demon Deacons 14 straight times before they met in 2006.

FSU still owns a five-game win streak in Winston-Salem, home of the Demon Deacons. The Seminoles havenâ€™t lost there since 1973.

But Wake Forest does have the edge in ATS statistics. The Deacons have covered the spread against the Seminoles in three consecutives games.

posted by phantom

Oct. 11 2007 4:29pm
0 likes

Gator's "Right" Angle Technical Analysis

Listed below are some of Gator's Angles and Technical Situations for upcoming games. Each week Gator will post his NFL and College Angles and Technical Situations for that weeks games.

at Ball State Cardinals by NL Western Kentucky O/U NL

Ball State Cardinals are 7-1-0 ATS After 1 Overs (All Lines)

at Michigan Wolverines by 5.5 Purdue Boilermakers O/U 56.0

Purdue Boilermakers are 18-33-4 O/U All Games (All Lines)

Purdue Boilermakers are 5-15-1 O/U After 1 Losses (All Lines)

Purdue Boilermakers are 1-11-0 O/U After 2 ATS Loss (All Lines)

Purdue Boilermakers are 0-6-0 O/U After 2 ATS Loss (3 -> 6.5)

Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 17.5 at Syracuse Orangemen O/U 55.5

Syracuse Orangemen are 4-13-0 O/U After 2 Losses (All Lines)

at Ohio Bobcats by 4.5 Eastern Michigan Hurons O/U 44.0

Ohio Bobcats are 2-11-0 O/U After 1 Away (All Lines)

at Northwestern Wildcats by 7.0 Minnesota Golden Gophers O/U 66.0

Northwestern Wildcats are 1-8-1 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)

at Ohio State Buckeyes by 30.0 Kent Golden Flashes O/U 46.5

Ohio State Buckeyes are 26-13-1 ATS As Home (All Lines)

Kent Golden Flashes are 1-7-0 O/U As Away Dog (All Lines)

South Carolina Gamecocks by 7.0 at North Carolina Tar Heels O/U 47.0

North Carolina Tar Heels are 9-2-0 O/U After 1 Wins (All Lines)

at Miami Hurricanes by 2.5 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets O/U 42.0

Miami Hurricanes are 17-38-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)

Miami Hurricanes are 20-36-0 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)

Miami Hurricanes are 13-31-0 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)

Miami Hurricanes are 7-22-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)

Miami Hurricanes are 7-20-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)

Miami Hurricanes are 2-11-0 O/U After 1 Losses (All Lines)

Miami Hurricanes are 3-11-0 ATS After 1 Overs (All Lines)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 0-5-0 O/U All Games (PK -> 2.5)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 8-20-1 O/U As Dog (All Lines)

Virginia Tech Hokies by 13.5 at Duke Blue Devils O/U 45.5

Duke Blue Devils are 9-2-1 O/U As Home (All Lines)

Duke Blue Devils are 9-1-1 O/U As Home Dog (All Lines)

Alabama Crimson Tide by 6.5 at Mississippi Rebels O/U 49.5

Mississippi Rebels are 3-12-2 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)

Georgia Bulldogs by 7.0 at Vanderbilt Commodores O/U 44.5

Georgia Bulldogs are 4-13-0 O/U As Away Favorite (All Lines)

at Kansas Jayhawks by 25.0 Baylor Bears O/U 61.0

Baylor Bears are 1-11-0 ATS After 2 ATS Loss (All Lines)

at Wyoming Cowboys by 3.5 New Mexico Lobos O/U 49.0

Wyoming Cowboys are 0-5-0 O/U After 2 Wins (All Lines)

New Mexico Lobos are 17-7-0 ATS After 1 Losses (All Lines)

Tennessee Volunteers by 7.0 at Mississippi State Bulldogs O/U 52.0

Tennessee Volunteers are 2-11-0 O/U After 2 Home (All Lines)

Mississippi State Bulldogs are 20-37-2 ATS All Games (All Lines)

Mississippi State Bulldogs are 14-30-2 ATS As Dog (All Lines)

Mississippi State Bulldogs are 6-16-0 ATS As Home Dog (All Lines)

at Central Michigan Chippewas by 13.5 Army Black Knights O/U 54.5

Central Michigan Chippewas are 7-1-0 ATS After 1 Overs (All Lines)

at Houston Cougars by 21.0 Rice Owls O/U 66.5

Houston Cougars are 6-0-1 O/U After 1 Unders (All Lines)

Rice Owls are 22-5-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)

Rice Owls are 20-5-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)

Rice Owls are 11-3-0 O/U As Away (All Lines)

Rice Owls are 8-1-0 O/U After 1 Wins (All Lines)

Rice Owls are 5-0-0 ATS After 4 Overs (All Lines)

at Oregon Ducks by 18.0 Washington State Cougars O/U 68.5

Washington State Cougars are 16-6-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)

at Penn State Nittany Lions by 7.0 Wisconsin Badgers O/U 44.5

Penn State Nittany Lions are 1-7-0 ATS After 1 Wins (7 -> 9.5)

Wisconsin Badgers are 5-0-0 ATS After 1 Losses (7 -> 9.5)

Texas Longhorns by 16.0 at Iowa State Cyclones O/U 53.5

Texas Longhorns are 12-3-0 O/U After 1 Unders (All Lines)

Iowa State Cyclones are 1-12-0 ATS After 3 Losses (All Lines)

Iowa State Cyclones are 8-23-0 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)

Illinois Fighting Illini by 3.5 at Iowa Hawkeyes O/U 44.0

Iowa Hawkeyes are 25-10-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)

Iowa Hawkeyes are 7-1-0 ATS As Home (3 -> 6.5)

Boston College Eagles by 13.5 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish O/U 46.5

Boston College Eagles are 5-0-0 O/U As Favorite (10 -> 13.5)

Texas Christian Horned Frogs by 6.0 at Stanford Cardinal O/U 47.0

Texas Christian Horned Frogs are 11-3-0 O/U All Games (3 -> 6.5)

Texas Christian Horned Frogs are 8-0-0 O/U As Away (3 -> 6.5)

Stanford Cardinal are 14-35-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)

Stanford Cardinal are 1-7-0 O/U All Games (3 -> 6.5)

Stanford Cardinal are 12-32-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)

Stanford Cardinal are 1-7-0 O/U As Dog (3 -> 6.5)

Stanford Cardinal are 4-13-0 O/U After 2 Unders (All Lines)

Stanford Cardinal are 5-16-0 O/U After 1 Away (All Lines)

Stanford Cardinal are 0-5-0 O/U After 1 Away (3 -> 6.5)

Fresno State Bulldogs by 10.0 at Idaho Vandals O/U 57.5

Fresno State Bulldogs are 4-14-0 ATS After 1 Overs (All Lines)

at Akron Zips by 10.0 Temple Owls O/U 48.5

Temple Owls are 10-2-0 O/U After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)

Temple Owls are 5-0-0 O/U After 1 Unders (All Lines)

Louisiana State Fighting Tigers by 9.5 at Kentucky Wildcats O/U 54.0

at Arkansas Razorbacks by 3.0 Auburn Tigers O/U 49.5

Auburn Tigers are 11-3-0 ATS As Dog (All Lines)

Auburn Tigers are 3-11-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)

Auburn Tigers are 19-7-0 ATS As Away (All Lines)

Auburn Tigers are 9-2-0 ATS As Away Dog (All Lines)

Auburn Tigers are 2-9-0 O/U As Away Dog (All Lines)

at UAB Blazers by 3.0 Tulane Green Wave O/U 49.5

UAB Blazers are 7-22-1 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)

at Virginia Cavaliers by 3.5 Connecticut Huskies O/U 44.0

Virginia Cavaliers are 27-10-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)

Virginia Cavaliers are 12-1-0 ATS As Home (3 -> 6.5)

at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs by 7.5 New Mexico State Aggies O/U NL

New Mexico State Aggies are 1-8-0 ATS All Games (7 -> 9.5)

New Mexico State Aggies are 11-23-0 ATS As Away (All Lines)

New Mexico State Aggies are 0-5-0 ATS As Away (7 -> 9.5)

New Mexico State Aggies are 3-12-0 ATS After 2 ATS Loss (All Lines)

at Tulsa Golden Hurricanes by 14.0 Marshall Thundering Herd O/U 70.5

Marshall Thundering Herd are 10-23-1 ATS As Away (All Lines)

Marshall Thundering Herd are 5-0-0 O/U After 2 Away (All Lines)

at Michigan State Spartans by 4.5 Indiana Fightin Hoosiers O/U 62.5

Michigan State Spartans are 24-41-1 ATS All Games (All Lines)

Michigan State Spartans are 12-25-1 ATS As Home (All Lines)

Michigan State Spartans are 11-25-0 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)

Indiana Fightin Hoosiers are 15-31-1 ATS As Dog (All Lines)

Indiana Fightin Hoosiers are 0-5-0 ATS As Dog (3 -> 6.5)

Indiana Fightin Hoosiers are 9-21-1 ATS After 1 Home (All Lines)

at Texas Tech Red Raiders by 9.5 Texas A&M Aggies O/U 69.5

Texas Tech Red Raiders are 35-19-1 O/U All Games (All Lines)

Texas Tech Red Raiders are 17-7-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)

Texas Tech Red Raiders are 23-4-1 O/U After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)

Texas A&M Aggies are 10-2-0 O/U As Away Dog (All Lines)

at Oklahoma Sooners by 10.5 Missouri Tigers O/U 61.0

Oklahoma Sooners are 7-1-0 O/U After 1 Wins (10 -> 13.5)

at Kansas State Wildcats by 5.5 Colorado Buffaloes O/U 49.5

Kansas State Wildcats are 8-1-0 ATS After 1 Losses (3 -> 6.5)

at Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles by 9.0 Southern Methodist Mustangs O/U 56.0

Southern Methodist Mustangs are 10-0-0 O/U After 1 Home (All Lines)

at South Florida Bulls by 11.5 UCF Golden Knights O/U 54.5

South Florida Bulls are 10-26-1 O/U All Games (All Lines)

South Florida Bulls are 3-12-0 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)

South Florida Bulls are 3-13-1 O/U As Home (All Lines)

South Florida Bulls are 1-8-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)

South Florida Bulls are 3-11-1 O/U After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)

South Florida Bulls are 4-13-1 O/U After 1 Away (All Lines)

Brigham Young Cougars by 10.5 at UNLV Rebels O/U 49.5

UNLV Rebels are 22-39-2 ATS All Games (All Lines)

at Southern California Trojans by 21.0 Arizona Wildcats O/U 57.0

Southern California Trojans are 24-11-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)

Southern California Trojans are 24-11-0 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)

Arizona Wildcats are 14-27-1 O/U All Games (All Lines)

Arizona Wildcats are 2-11-1 O/U After 1 Away (All Lines)

UL Monroe Indians by 7.5 at North Texas Eagles O/U 62.5

North Texas Eagles are 0-6-0 O/U All Games (7 -> 9.5)

North Texas Eagles are 0-5-0 O/U As Dog (7 -> 9.5)

North Texas Eagles are 3-11-0 ATS After 1 Unders (All Lines)

at Memphis Tigers by 4.0 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders O/U 55.5

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are 5-0-0 O/U After 2 ATS Wins (All Lines)

posted by phantom

Oct. 11 2007 10:27pm
0 likes

Sports Marketwatch - Early Moves Edition

NFL Week 6

10/12/2007 11:01 AM EST

by Daniel Fabrizio

SportsInsights

Welcome to this week's edition of the Sports Marketwatch, where Daniel Fabrizio, founder of SportsInsights.com, gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NFL point-spread market. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketplace!

Every week he speaks directly with the line managers at some of the sports betting industryâ€™s largest sportsbooks about which games the public is chasing and the Sharps are pounding. Dan takes a look at whatâ€™s in store for this week in the NFL.

Sports Marketplace â€“ NFL Week 6

Recapping Last Week

NFL Week 5 continued the sportsbook industryâ€™s streak of profitable Sundays. All the big decisions went the way of sportsbook. Green Bay and New Orleans losing outright, plus Baltimore failing to cover broke up a lot of junk (Teaser/Parlay bets) on Sunday. The door was slammed shut on the Public on Monday Night when the heavily-bet Dallas Cowboys won in dramatic fashion but failed to cover.

The Public posted their fourth consecutive losing week. SportsInsights.com analysis shows that in games with over 65% of the action on one side, the Public went 2-4-1. For the season that makes the Public 17-26-4. SportsInsights Games to Watch analysis continued its positive momentum, posting a 2-1 weekend. Overall, that makes the Games to Watch column 8-7.

View Last Weekâ€™s Column

*Source: SportsInsights

Looking Ahead to this Week

We anticipate New England, Cincinnati, Tennessee, and the New York Giants to be the most â€œlopsided-betâ€ games of the week. Look for handle sizes to remain strong as the Public looks to recoup loses from the last couple of Sundays. Visit SportsInsights to view LIVE wagering statistics from multiple online sportsbooks.

NFL Week 5 Sports Marketwatch â€“ Games to Watch

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

This is a good match-up that is distorted by the Publicâ€™s love of offense. Houston, with its 7th best passing offense, started the season well at 2-0 â€“ before dropping a relatively close game versus the Colts, losing 30-24. Although a loss, that showing vs. Indy caused the Public to notice the Texans.

Meanwhile, Jacksonville has quietly built a 3-1 record based on its defense. The Jaguars dominate the line of scrimmage. They have given up a stingy 41 points in four games and are improving every week. On the other hand, although Houston won last week, they barely beat a struggling Miami squad.

Two out of every three bets are coming in on Houston, but sharp money is holding the line at Jacksonville -6.5. We will â€œBet Against the Publicâ€ and take the side of the smart money as well as the sportsbooks.

Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5

Tennessee Titans vs Tampa Bay Bucs

When a line looks â€œsoftâ€ (meaning it looks too good to be true!), itâ€™s often a sign to go â€œthe other way.â€ This is a good contrarian indicator that is confirmed by SportsInsightsâ€™ exclusive Betting Percentages. Almost 75% of the bets placed are coming in on Tennessee. The Public loves Vince Young and sees The Titans as a potential powerhouse.

We like Tampa Bay as a good value play. The Bucs lost big to Indy and are banged up in the Running Back position. However, itâ€™s their defense that is going to win this game, not their offense. Tampaâ€™s fast defense should be able to contain Vince Young and bring our readers a win. Weâ€™ll take Tampa Bay -2.5.

Tampa Bay Bucs -2.5 (BetCascade or TradeSports)

Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots

This game is an example where our readers might feel queasy going with the â€œSports MarketWatchâ€ play. Dallas is relatively new to the â€œpowerhouseâ€ club and looked horrible on Monday Night Football.

On the other hand, an â€œangeredâ€ and motivated Patriot team is scorching the rest of the NFL by an average of almost 24 points per game! Thatâ€™s not a typo; New England has outscored its opponents 182-65 in five games.

That kind of performance gets attention. And a lot of it! This game will be the most lopsided-bet game of the week, with almost 90% of the action on the Patriots. Public money has pounded New England from -4 to -6. Youâ€™re getting an extra 2 points.

We like that kind of value as well as Dallas as a good, solid â€œHome Dogâ€ value. Letâ€™s â€œbuyâ€ Dallas on its weak Monday Night performance, and sell a super high Patriot team. A sick stomach often means a good contrarian, value play.

Dallas Cowboys +6 (SportsInteraction.com)

So, hereâ€™s a wrap-up of SportsInsights analysis for this weekâ€™s Games to Watch for NFL Week 5.

Games to Watch (8-7)

Tampa Bay Bucs -2.5

Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5

Dallas Cowboys +6

It should be another exciting NFL Weekend. Keep Sports Marketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools.

Iâ€™ll be back next Friday with the new edition of the Sports Marketwatch.

Enjoy the games!

Daniel Fabrizio

President

posted by phantom

Oct. 13 2007 1:24pm

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