NEWSLETTERS FOR WEEK OF 10/1
THE GOLD SHEET
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7
Carolina 20 - NEW ORLEANS 19--Saints (0-3) desperate to get back in NFC South race, but now they'll have to do it without their "hammer," RB Deuce McAllister (ACL). Going back to LY's NFL title game in Chicago, N.O. has now lost four straight by 25, 31, 17 & 17! Drew Brees (1 TD, 7 ints. TY) off target, and without Deuce, opponents can now focus more attention on Reggie Bush. Carolina has covered six straight as a visitor in the series!
(06-CAR. 21-N. Orl. 18...N.22-20 C.29/167 N.23/63 N.28/38/0/344 C.19/29/0/157 C.0 N.1)
(06-Car. 31-N. ORL. 21...C.20-13 C.33/106 N.17/61 N.20/29/1/236 C.23/27/0/207 C.0 N.1)
(06-CAROLINA -7 21-18, Carolina -3 31-21...SR: Carolina 14-10)
KANSAS CITY 20 - Jacksonville 10--Chiefs improving, as Larry Johnson smashed for 125 YR at S.D., and impressive rookie WR Dwayne Bowe had his second straight good game (8 for 184 yds., 1 TD). Recent return of DE Jared Allen to join with DE Tamba Hali and LBs Donnie Edwards & Deron Johnson gives K.C. a very timely pass rush. Are reports from Jacksonville true that Jags' big DTs Henderson & Stroud are slowing due to the wear & tear of past few years? Chiefs 12-4-1 vs. spread last 17 home.
(06-K. CITY 35-Jack. 30...J.24-23 K.40/170 J.22/113 J.23/40/1/284 K.16/25/2/225 K.1 J.0)
(06-KANSAS CITY -2' 35-30...SR: Jacksonville 4-2)
WASHINGTON 27 - Detroit 20--Acknowledge that the Mike Martz' Detroit "O" is effectively spreading the field and taxing opposing defenses (as the Bears discovered last week). But still no indication that Lions' own porous pass defense can hold up for 60 minutes. Thanks to now-healthy Clinton Portis and LaDell Betts combo providing a potent Washington ground force, QB Jason Campbell can take big-play shots to WRs Moss & Randle El against Detroit's shaky secondary. Jon Kitna has been sacked 21 times in 4 games.
(04-Washington +3' 17-10...SR: Washington 28-10)
OVER THE TOTAL TENNESSEE 31 - Atlanta 19--Not quite the Vince Young-Michael Vick showdown this one figured to be when schedule was announced! And for his part, Young certainly not disappointing (Tenn. now 3-0 vs. line TY, and 13-2 last 15 on board!), although Norm Chow's carefully-constructed offense mostly relying on physical ground component to provide balance and move chains. Joey Harrington (4 TDs, 0 ints. last 2 games, both at home) improving, but so is confident, aggressive Titan defense. But with Joey developing in Petrino attack, Tenn. should get back on LY's 13-3 "over" track.
(03-Tennessee -6' 38-31...SR: Tennessee 6-5)
Miami 17 - HOUSTON 16--Based on early results, Cam Cameron not faring any better in Miami than he did in his last stint as a head coach with the Indiana Hoosiers in the late '90s. But Cameron might finally be catching a break, especially if Houston again minus the big-play components (WRs A. Johnson & and rookie speedburner J. Jones, plus RB A. Green) it was when losing in Atlanta last week. Dolphin QB Trent Green still shaky looking downfield, but at least RB Ronnie Brown (246 YR, 12 recs. last 2) providing solid production.
(06-HOU. 17-Miami 15...H.19-15 M.14/70 H.33/65 M.23/39/0/219 H.22/29/1/211 H.1 M.0)
(06-HOUSTON +3' 17-15...SR: Houston 2-0)
PITTSBURGH 24 - Seattle 23--Rematch of Super Bowl "Extra Large" (XL) in the 2005 season, won by the Steelers by virtue of a couple of big plays, several drops by Seahawk receivers, and a few marginal calls by the "zebras." Mike Holmgren now holds a big experience edge over rookie counterpart Tomlin. And, while Pittsburgh S Troy Polamalu (check status) suffered an abdominal injury last week, Seattle's extra-dimension OLB Julian Peterson coming off huge game (3 sacks, 2 forced fumbles at S.F.). Steelers "over" 37-11-1 at home; Seahawks "over" 15-4-1 away.
(05-Pittsburgh -4 21-10 (Super Bowl XL)...SR: Seattle 8-7)
NEW ENGLAND 38 - Cleveland 21--First meeting of Bill Belichick vs. former def. coord. Romeo Crennel since the latter left to take over in Cleveland after the Super Bowl of the 2004 season. Browns can't match the Pats' enhanced 2007 firepower, but they have improved their own offense enough to go "over" 6 of their last 9 on the road & all 4 TY! N.E. "over" 8 of last 9 (prior to Monday nighter in Cincy), with Tom Brady never looking better. One Derek Anderson mistake might be enough help for Pats to cover big number.
(04-New England -11 42-15...SR: Cleveland 12-8)
Arizona 23 - ST. LOUIS 16--Banged-up Rams at least will have starting CB Fahkir Brown off the suspended list for this game, not that he will make a definitive difference considering all their offensive injuries (especially RB Steve Jackson, groin; check status; and OL). And things have changed greatly in Arizona, with Ken Whisenhunt daring to employ a two-QB system, E. James (354 YR) running well despite OL injuries, and the defense (DT Darnell Dockett 5½ sacks TY) playing with renewed fury.
(06-St. Lou. 16-ARIZ. 14...A.20-18 A.28/101 S.28/63 S.21/31/0/301 A.19/28/3/246 S.2 A.1)
(06-Ariz. 34-ST. LOU. 20...S.26-24 A.37/137 S.23/107 S.27/45/3/287 A.15/24/0/179 A.0 S.0)
(06-St. Louis +4' 16-14, Arizona +6' 34-20...SR: St. Louis 31-24-2)
NY GIANTS 24 - NY Jets 16--Same home stadium for both, but Giants the home team, as they control the tickets (thus, will have more fans). Their 12-sack performance vs. Philly was eye-opening, and surprising RB Derrick Ward boosted his rushing total to 353 yards. Meanwhile, the Jets are having problems running, pass rushing (only 3 sacks TY), and intercepting (only 2 picks in 4 games). Nature of rivalry says underdog "Jets," but fundamentals say "Giants."
(2006 Preseason: NY Jets -2' beat NY Giants 20-12 at East Rutherford)
(03-NY Giants -2' 31-28 (OT)...SR: NY Giants 6-4)
Tampa Bay 21 INDIANAPOLIS 20--Both teams have won the Super Bowl since Jon Gruden replaced Tony Dungy in Tampa Bay in 2002. Now, veteran QBs Manning & Garcia match wits in trying to crack the defenses of Tampa-Two zone gurus Tony Dungy & his former def. coord., Monte Kiffin, still with the Bucs. Garcia (64%, no ints. TY) saw Indy LY in his first start replacing Donovan McNabb with the Eagles. Check last week's injuries of Marvin Harrison, Joseph Addai & Cadillac Williams, as Colts' injuries would greatly even things out. But even with all at full health, Bucs playing well, with defense enjoying youthful infusion and also limiting big plays.
(03-Indianapolis +4' 38-35 (OT)...SR: Indianapolis 6-4)
DENVER 27 - San Diego 20--Chargers scored a rare sweep in 2006 over the Broncos, who are a rather startling 1-10 vs. the spread their last 11 home games! Now, both teams are down in the dumps, searching to find ways to win. With super-quick CBs Champ Bailey & Dre' Bly to go one-on-one vs. S.D. WRs, you can be sure Denver will gang up on LaDainian Tomlinson and dare Philip Rivers to beat them. While the Broncs having problems stopping the the run, the Charger defense (26 ppg) greatly misses former def. coord. Wade Phillips.
(06-S. Diego 35-DEN. 27...S.21-20 D.35/158 S.29/125 S.19/26/2/217 D.13/28/1/168 S.0 D.0)
(06-S. DIEGO 48-Den. 20...S.22-19 D.28/162 S.36/143 S.15/23/0/276 D.17/30/0/166 S.1 D.1)
(06-San Diego +2' 35-27, SAN DIEGO -7' 48-20...SR: Denver 52-41-1)
Baltimore 19 - SAN FRANCISCO 13--With Alex Smith suffering a shoulder injury, it could be up to 14-year veteran Trent Dilfer (only 12 of 33 last week, with 2 ints.) to try to beat the team he enjoyed a Super Bowl victory with back in the 2000 season. Niners HC Nolan later left Baltimore to take over in S.F.! Now, the Ravens (0-5 last 5 as road favorite) have more guns as each tries to avoid falling under .500. Niners "under" 9 of last 13; might be best way to go.
(03-BALTIMORE -3 44-6...SR: EVEN 1-1)
*GREEN BAY 27 - Chicago 20--Will ride with surging Packers (eight straight wins) and Brett Favre vs. Chicago's injury-thinned defense. Change to Brian Griese (3 ints. last week at Detroit) was not the answer for Bears' offense, while G.B. exhibiting impressive intangibles and momentum. Even without a forceful ground game, record-setting QB Favre demonstrating recent uncommon care with the ball (66%, only two ints. TY). Do Bears miss RB Thomas Jones more than they thought? REGIONAL TV--NBC
(06-Chi. 26-G. BAY 0...C.18-14 C.36/109 G.23/103 C.19/27/1/252 G.16/30/2/164 C.0 G.1)
(06-G. Bay 26-CHI. 7...G.20-13 C.24/135 G.34/97 G.21/42/1/276 C.8/28/5/181 G.0 C.1)
(06-Chicago -3' 26-0, Green Bay +3 26-7...SR: Chicago 88-79-6)
MONDAY, OCTOBER 8
*Dallas 27 - BUFFALO 13--While Dallas' OL is big & healthy and Cowboys defense has welcomed back CB Terence Newman & LB Greg Ellis, Buffalo is thin in the OL, ripped with injuries on defense, and hoping that QB J.P. Losman will make a quick recovery from a sprained knee and perhaps be available (check status). Tony Romo (11 TDs, 3 ints.) "in a zone" right now, and Wade Phillips' defense becoming more aggressive. The latter is likely to be too much vs. Bills' rookie QB Trent Edwards (22 of 28, 1 TD, 1 int. in starting debut). CABLE TV--ESPN
(03-DALLAS -4 10-6...SR: Dallas 6-3)
MONDAY NIGHT HISTORY
Dallas and Buffalo on Monday Night
Dallas is 21-16 straight-up and 19-17-1 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football;
14-12 straight-up and 9-17 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football.
Buffalo is 8-5 straight-up and 8-4-1 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football;
9-15 straight-up and 9-14-1 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football
HEAD-TO-HEAD MEETINGS SINCE 1996 (not necessarily Mon. night)
2003 Reg. Seas.: Dallas -4 beat Buffalo 10-6 at Dallas
1996 Reg. Seas.: Buffalo +6' beat Dallas 10-7 at Buffalo
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN (1993-07)
Favorites vs. Pointspread
Favored by 1-6½ points Won 84, Lost 89, Tied 4
Favored by 7 points or more Won 32, Lost 25, Tied 2
Total Favorites Won 116, Lost 114, Tied 6
Home Teams vs. Pointspreads
Home Team Favorite Won 84, Lost 85, Tied 6
Home Team Underdog Won 29, Lost 31
Home Team at Pick Won 1, Lost 0
Total Home Team Won 114, Lost 116, Tied 6
2007 MONDAY NIGHT RESULTS
Cincinnati -2½ beat Baltimore 27-20 at Cincinnati o40
San Francisco -3 beat Arizona 20-17 at San Francisco u45
Washington +6½ beat Philadelphia 20-12 at Philadelphia u39
Tennessee +4½ beat New Orleans 31-14 at New Orleans n45
NFL KEY RELEASES
KANSAS CITY by 10 over Jacksonville
TAMPA BAY by 1 over Indianapolis
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
OVER THE TOTAL in the Atlanta-Tennessee game
College Analysis
KEY TO FOOTBALL ANALYSES
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 4
*Kentucky 27 - SOUTH CAROLINA 25--Although RS frosh QB Smelley gave South Carolina's "fun & gun" a lift in 38-21 win vs. Mississippi State, still prefer hot, confident 5-0 UK (best start since 1954!), ready, willing and able to end 7-game series losing streak. Cats sizzling Heisman hopeful sr. QB Woodson (67%, 16 TDs, 1 int.) owns more proven big-play weapons at WR (Burton & Lyons have combined 53 catches) than 'Cocks. And Brooks' opportunistic squad (+7 TO margin) less likely to make crucial error than Carolina (11 giveaways, -4 TO margin). Coming Cats now 9-1 vs. spread last 10. TV--ESPN
(06-S. Car. 24-KY. 17...S.21-17 S.39/190 K.27/62 K.18/32/1/289 S.15/23/1/193 S.0 K.0)
(06-Usc -4' 24-17 05-USC -12' 44-16 04-Usc -13 12-7...SR: South Carolina 11-6-1)
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 5
*LOUISVILLE 41 - Utah 31--Since L'ville's beleaguered defense wasn't adequately tested vs. nicked-up & limited North Carolina State week ago, interested in taking generous number with Utah, 15-5 in profitable road dog role since '97. Utes now-healthy QB B. Johnson, tackle-breaking 6-2, 220 RB Mack (328 YR last 3 games) & mates equipped to trade points with Brohm-led Cards, who haven't looked as scintillating under new HC Kragthorpe as under predecessor Petrino (generating 7 ppg fewer TY).
TV--ESPN (DNP...SR: Utah 2-0)
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 6
TEMPLE 30 - No. Illinois 27--Temple just 1-27 SU last 3+Ys, but believe hungry, more athletic Owls (3-2 vs. spread, outgained Army 463-329!) able to eke out much-needed win vs. struggling NI squad (trailed Central Mich. 35-10 at H!) getting unsteady play from mistake-prone jr. QB Nicholson (9 ints. so far; benched in 2nd H vs. CMU last week). Husky DL is seriously banged-up, and NI on road for 3rd straight week.
(06-N. ILL. 43-Temple 21...N.26-12 N.35/89 T.22/M6 N.27/42/1/377 T.20/29/1/322 N.0 T.2)
(06-NORTHERN ILLINOIS -32 43-21...SR: Northern Illinois 2-0)
West Virginia 47 - SYRACUSE 13--Developing Orange QB A. Robinson starting to find quality WRs T. Smith & M. Williams with more regularity. But sinking Syracuse defense springing leaks fore (allowed 966 YR vs. Washington, Illinois & Miami-O.) and aft (permitted 845 YP at Iowa & Louisville). Mountaineer soph QB Jarrett Brown a capable replacement if injured star Pat White can't make post.
(06-W. VA. 41-Syr. 17...W.23-14 W.45/457 S.35/81 S.9/22/0/146 W.13/20/1/105 W.2 S.1)
(06-WVA -25' 41-17 05-Wva +2 15-7 04-WVA -15' 27-6...SR: Syracuse 30-24)
RUTGERS 27 - Cincinnati 26--Rejuvenated Bearcats brimming with confidence after mauling 5 non-conf. foes by a combined 232-53! Creative new HC Kelly & QB Mauk (Wake transfer) have brought balance to offense, and relentlessly-attacking Cincy defense already has 21 takeaways. Revenge-minded Rutgers fortunate to escape with straight-up win.
(06-CINCY 30-Rut. 11...C.15-14 C.46/125 R.21/50 C.11/15/0/277 R.21/42/4/238 C.3 R.0)
(06-CINCY +6' 30-11 05-RUTGERS -13' 44-9...SR: Rutgers 7-4-1)
ILLINOIS 30 - Wisconsin 23--Wisconsin's HC Bielema has a 17-1 record at the school, but by his own admission, the Badgers don't get any points for style. Illinois HC Ron Zook, conversely, is getting lots of production from frosh sensation WR Rejus Benn (scored a TD on his first KO return as a collegian), and defense is markedly improved thanks to sr. LB J Leman & star soph CB Vontae Davis. Badger defense far from bulletproof. Illini take another step forward if QB Juice Williams minimizes mistakes.
(06-WIS. 30-Ill. 24...W.16-14 I.41/121 W.41/99 W.15/26/1/217 I.13/30/1/171 W.1 I.1)
(06-WIS. -21 30-24 05-Wis. -20' 41-24 04-WIS. -15 24-7...SR: Illinois 35-33-7)
INDIANA 45 - Minnesota 26--Indiana bounced back with an impressive performance at Iowa, as the defense recorded 9 sacks and QB Kellen Lewis threw for 322 yards in a romp at Iowa City. Not impressed with Minny's half-pt. cover against Ohio St., as Gophers remain last in national pass defense. Improved Hoosiers capable of avenging last season's humiliation at Metrodome.
(06-MINN. 63-Ind. 26...I.26-24 I.37/165 M.25/163 M.22/33/0/378 I.27/47/3/335 M.0 I.0)
(06-MINN. -6 63-26 05-Minn. -12' 42-21 04-IND. +17' 30-21...SR: Minnesota 36-25-3)
MICHIGAN STATE 42 - Northwestern 19--In the 3 games since star RB Sutton was injured, NU QB Bacher has thrown 7 ints. and no TD passes. Bacher under constant pressure, and the Wildcat OL will have problems keeping aggressive MSU defensive front at bay. Spartan QB Hoyer improving each week (323 YP last week; 6 TD passes, only 1 int. the last 2 weeks).
(06-Msu 41-N'WSRN 38...M.25-19 N.35/177 M.28/96 M.32/43/2/340 N.16/30/2/263 M.1 N.0)
(06-Msu -8 41-38 05-Northwestern +13 49-14...SR: Michigan State 32-15)
Miami-Florida 26 - NORTH CAROLINA 13--Hurricanes blowing away their backers' money on road lately, covering just 1 of last 7 away from Orange Bowl. Still, former Miami HC Butch Davis has a long way to go with Tar Heels. Favor visitor based on sr. QB Wright's experience edge over RS frosh Carolina counterpart Yates and superior Hurricane defense.
(06-MIAMI 27-N. Carolina 7...N.17-14 M.31/144 N.28/58 N.13/36/2/186 M.15/26/0/180 M.0 N.1)
(06-MIAMI -19 27-7 05-MIAMI -20' 34-16 04-UNC +21' 31-28...SR: EVEN 5-5)
Wake Forest 23 - DUKE 21--Although SU wins remain elusive, slowly-blossoming Blue Devils have covered 4 straight (all on road). Soph QB T. Lewis (9 TDP last 3 games) sparking offense, and Duke defense mostly holding its own. Defending ACC champ Wake (covered just 5 of last 26 as chalk!) gets all it can handle from scrappy host.
(06-W. FOR. 14-Duke 13...D.24-14 D.39/62 W.24/57 D.21/32/0/305 W.22/29/0/235 W.2 D.2)
(06-WFU -20' 14-13 05-Wfu -13' 44-6 04-WFU -16' 24-22...SR: Duke 53-32-2)
BALL STATE 45 - Central Michigan 27--Still-potent CMU offense & versatile soph star QB LeFevour will do some business against Ball defense that lacks many difference-makers. But won't buck cresting Cardinal attack that's soared to 2115 yards in just last 4 games! BSU's super soph QB N. Davis (14 TDP, only 2 ints.), who drew scholarship offers from some Big Ten & Big East schools, living up to hype.
(06-C. MICH. 18-Ball St. 7...C.21-13 C.45/173 B.25/53 C.18/30/1/171 B.23/30/2/160 C.1 B.3)
(06-CMU -10 18-7 05-Cmu -4 31-24 (OT) 04-CMU -3' 41-40...SR: Central Michigan 20-18-1)
AUBURN 21 - Vanderbilt 16--Price rising while Auburn's "emotional reservoir" lowers following draining 20-17 upset at Florida, so will take extra value with bowl-seeking 3-1 Vandy, an eye-opening 8-1 last 9 as road dog. 'Dores evolving jr. dual-threat QB Nickson (57%, 132 YR) & balanced attack should move chains vs. Tiger stop unit probably missing premier DE Groves due to injury. And though RB Lester returns from suspension, don't see Auburn running roughshod vs. toughening Vandy front 7 (just 3.4 ypc, 3 TDs). Tuberville just 3-8 last 11 as home chalk. (DNP...SR: EVEN 19-19-1)
BOSTON COLLEGE 37 - Bowling Green 26--NFL-caliber BC sr. QB Ryan will eventually outduel Bowling's soph triggerman Sheehan (7 TDP last 2 games). But Eagles looking ahead to upcoming holy war vs. Notre Dame, and Falcons have covered 7 of last 8 as double-digit dog. (FIRST MEETING)
BUFFALO 26 - Ohio 24--Although progress at Buffalo not coming as fast as HC Turner Gill might like, this should be a good spot for the Bulls. Ohio U. star RB McRae has been held to a total of 185 YR in Bobcats' last 3 games, all losses, as nagging OL injuries have slowed the ground game. Chance for UB win vs. hurting foe.
(06-OHIO 42-Buffalo 7...O.18-10 O.43/223 B.23/39 O.14/20/0/147 B.15/27/0/132 O.1 B.0)
(06-OHIO -17' 42-7 05-Ohio -4' 34-20 04-OHIO -13 34-0...SR: Ohio 9-4)
ARMY 24 - Tulane 23--Don't overreact to Army's double-digit win over Temple last week, as Owls presented Knights with 5 giveaways. In fact, host's sputtering attack has produced only 7 TDs in first 5 games. Since Green Wave defense showed some pluck vs. powerful LSU, prefer to take with Tulane, which owns top offensive weapon on field in sr. RB Forte (303 YR in recent win over SE Louisiana).
(06-TULANE 42-Army 28...T.35-16 T.40/177 A.23/73 T.33/46/0/409 A.16/24/2/194 T.1 A.0)
(06-TULANE -5 42-28 04-TULANE -6' 45-31...SR: Tulane 8-5-1)
MICHIGAN 45 - Eastern Michigan 6--Not entirely convinced everything is right again at Michigan despite 3 straight wins, but Lloyd Carr's Wolverines certainly have a foe they can "bully" this week. Doubt EMU's 115th-ranked attack has the tools to exploit Michigan's defensive weaknesses. Return to health of Wolverine QB Henne (18 of 27 passing, 193 YP & 3 TDs vs. NU) a major plus. (05-MICH. -29' 55-0...SR: Michigan 7-0)
WYOMING 27 - Tcu 13--Success not coming as easily for current Frogs as past couple of TCU editions. And whatever the benefits of HC Patterson's QB rotation are likely to be lost if RS frosh Dalton sidelined (for better or worse, soph M. Jackson in pilot's chair until further notice). Prefer the better balance of Wyo attack (RB Moore 198 YR at Ohio), and note Poke "D" surprisingly stout vs. run thus far (only 72 ypg!).
(06-TCU 26-Wyoming 3...T.20-11 T.41/188 W.26/28 T.11/18/2/244 W.15/28/1/137 T.1 W.1)
(06-TCU -6' 26-3 05-Tcu +7 28-14...SR: TCU 2-1)
TEXAS A&M 35 - Oklahoma State 22--Both coaches under fire--A&M's Franchione for information on his website and OSU's Gundy for his dubious tirade. But their problems don't change the facts that the Cowboys have defensive and pointspread problems on the road (2-9 last 11 away), and that Aggies rediscovered powerful Jorvorskie Lane (123 YR last week vs. Baylor), allowing them 43 minutes of ball control.
(06-Tx. A&M 34-OSU 33 (OT)...T.24-21 T.48/231 O.37/226 T.17/27/1/192 O.10/22/1/133 T.1 O.0)
(06-Tam +3 34-33 (OT) 05-TAM -20 62-23 04-Tam +7 36-20...SR: Texas A&M 16-6)
MISSISSIPPI STATE 27 - Uab 17--MSU improved, but still reluctant to lay high number vs. never-say-die UAB (scored final 14 pts. in 38-30 loss at Tulsa), whose new HC Callaway spent many years as an assistant in SEC (Auburn, Ala. & Georgia). Blazer "D" won't mind facing run-first Bulldogs after visits to Michigan St., Florida St. & Tulsa TY. MSU hasn't covered as DD home chalk since 2001 (only 3-9 in role last 10+Ys.)!
(06-Msu 16-UAB 10 (OT)...M.19-14 M.44/166 U.32/94 U.12/26/2/116 M.14/23/0/115 M.2 U.0)
(06-Msu +9' 16-10 (OT) 04-Uab -11' 27-13...SR: EVEN 1-1)
KENT STATE 24 - Miami-Ohio 23--Miami-O got a boost from seldom-used sr. RB Cory Jones, who ran for 125 yds. & 2 TDs on 12 carries to key win vs. Syracuse. Scatback Kent RB Jarvis (3rd in the country in rushing) obviously a superior weapon, as is diminutive Flash QB Edelman. However see value in RedHawk team that's 1-0 in MAC play & coming off an uplifting win over a Big East foe.
(06-Kent St. 16-MIAMI 14...M.20-16 K.33/142 M.41/130 K.14/22/1/244 M.20/35/1/167 K.1 M.1)
(06-Ksu +12' 16-14 05-Miami -6' 27-10 04-MIAMI -19 47-27...SR: Miami-Ohio 27-20-2)
KANSAS STATE 31 - Kansas 21--KU is scoring 53.5 ppg! But that outpouring has come in 4 home games vs. weak teams. As last week's series of Top 25 upsets shows, it's who you beat that counts the most, not how big you win vs. lesser foes. We'll side with revenge-minded, versatile KSU (won 7 straight as home chalk), which has battered Auburn's Brandon Cox & Texas' Colt McCoy into 6 ints. in two road games and has 4 return TDs TY.
(06-KANSAS 39-Kan. St. 20...U.21-20 U.36/247 S.30/118 S.23/44/3/244 U.11/23/2/108 U.2 S.3)
(06-KANSAS -2' 39-20 05-KSU -6 12-3 04-KANSAS +3 31-28...SR: Kansas 63-36-5)
MISSISSIPPI 24 - Louisiana Tech 16--Although Ole Miss dropping in class following a series of bowl-caliber squads, still not comfortable laying DDs with a Rebel squad ranked dead last in SEC in both rush and pass defense (11th in scoring at 33 ppg). La Tech's competent ground game & low-risk, short-to-medium range aerial attack (only 3 TOs last 3 games!) should move sticks & run clock vs. offensively-potent Ole Miss contingent just 1-7-1 as Oxford chalk since '04. Take. (DNP...SR: Miss. 7-1)
Colorado 23 - BAYLOR 20--Last week's big upset over Oklahoma spells "pointspread inflation" and "possible letdown" in this road excursion for CU (2-8-1 vs. line last 11 as visitor). And let's not overlook the fact that RS frosh QB Cody Hawkins has tossed 6 ints. his last 3 games. A&M played keepaway last week vs. Baylor, whose offense should improve back at home.
(06-Baylor 34-COLO. 31 (OT)...C.22-20 C.49/276 B.26/110 B.31/44/2/272 C.9/25/3/75 B.1 C.0)
(06-Baylor +5 34-31 (OT)...SR: Colorado 8-6)
CLEMSON 20 - Virginia Tech 12--Can't count on much production from Tech offense with true frosh QB T. Taylor (just 66 YP in home win over N. Carolina) still learning the ropes. Conversely, Clemson jr. QB Harper has thrown 12 TD passes and just 1 int. this season. Tigers seek revenge for upset loss at Blacksburg last season, and Clemson "D" bounces back facing No. 112th-ranked attack.
(06-VA. TECH 24-Clem. 7...V.15-8 V.58/224 C.28/80 V.9/15/0/108 C.11/28/1/86 V.1 C.1)
(06-VIRGINIA TECH +4 24-7...SR: Clemson 17-11-1)
Oklahoma 30 - Texas 16--In battle of suddenly disappointed Red River rivals, will side with Oklahoma, especially with UT's Colt McCoy (4 ints. last week) again nursing sore neck/shoulder. Sooners have the better OL-RB group. Colorado successfully doubled OU WR threat M. Kelly (7 TDs TY) last week (no catches; no passes directed toward him!). Not sure young Longhorn secondary can do the same. Quicker OU "D" keeps its focus after last week's 17-point fourth-Q collapse at Boulder. (at Dallas, TX)
(06-Texas 28-Okla. 10...13-13 T.32/124 O.36/124 O.15/27/2/209 T.11/18/0/108 T.0 O.3)
(06-Texas -3' 28-10 05-Texas -14 45-12 04-Okla. -7 12-0 all at Dallas...SR: Texas 57-39-5)
MISSOURI 33 - Nebraska 20--Tigers (3-0 vs. spread) enjoyed bye week to further diversify their spread offense to attack the several rebuilding elements of the Nebraska defense (35 ppg, 479 ypg last 3 TY). Mizzou QB Chase Daniel (66%, 13 TDs, 4 ints.) and TEs Rucker & Coffman are known attack elements, now additionally supported by speedy 6-1 RS frosh WR Maclin (3 TDC, 1 TDR, 2 PR TDs). MU 7-1-1 vs. spread last 9 at home.
(06-NEB. 34-Mizzou 20...M.21-20 N.47/183 M.32/119 M.20/38/2/244 N.14/22/0/236 N.2 M.1)
(06-NEB. -6 34-20 05-MIZZOU -1 41-24 04-NEB. +2' 24-3...SR: Nebraska 63-34-3)
PENN STATE 22 - Iowa 9--Bruised & battered Hawkeyes in no shape to contest what figures to be an angry, motivated Penn State crew coming home after losing at Michigan & Illinois. Nittany Lion QB Morelli's 3 ints. at Illinois less likely to be repeated in Happy Valley. Meanwhile, Iowa QB Christensen was sacked 9 times last week, and Hawkeye RBs Young & Sims haven't been over the 100-yd. mark since the opener, when both topped that number. Penn State "D" allowing only 2.3 ypc & ranks 5th in sacks. (04-Iowa +3 6-4...SR: Penn St. 11-8)
FLORIDA STATE 32 - North Carolina State 6--Not interested in backing woeful Wolfpack, which is 0-4 SU & vs. spread against major foes while committing 17 turnovers in those games. Mobile jr. QB Lee gave retooling Fla. State attack a boost off bench in confidence-building win over Bama. And, after holding Colorado scoreless for first 56 minutes of victory at Boulder, gnarly 'Nole defense also shut out Tide until late in 4th Q.
(06-N. CAR. ST. 24-Fla. St. 20...N.19-16 N.37/150 F.32/96 F.16/29/1/249 N.13/22/0/190 N.0 F.0)
(06-NCS +10 24-20 05-Ncs +12' 20-15 04-Fsu -6' 17-10...SR: Florida State 18-9)
Georgia 40 - TENNESSEE 28--Strongly recommend revenge-minded UGA (see Looking for an Angle), which has become highly-unpredictable on offense under clever o.c. Bobo. So, Dawgs terrific soph QB Stafford (10-3 as starter) & explosive supporting cast (now-healthy sr. RB T. Brown had 180 YR vs. Ole Miss!) should continue to excel vs. troubled UT defense (38 ppg, 5.2 ypc) that won't benefit from bye week. And with UGA's fast-maturing front 7 providing steady pressure, Vols sr. QB Ainge won't easily find comfort level in Knoxville, where UT is 0-10 as SEC chalk since '04!
(06-Tenn. 51-GA. 33...T.27-14 G.27/145 T.34/115 T.25/38/0/268 G.14/25/3/175 T.0 G.1)
(06-Tenn. -2' 51-33 05-Ga. +3 27-14 04-Tenn. +12' 19-14...SR: Tennessee 19-15-2)
NEVADA 30 - Fresno State 16--Whereas Nevada soph QB Graziano (10 TDP last 3) becoming increasingly comfortable running Chris Ault's Pistol, Fresno's unsteady jr. counterpart Brandtstater (only 8 of 22 last week vs. La Tech) still not looking downfield with much confidence. Moreover, Pat Hill scaling back Bulldog playbook due to OL injuries. And no need to twist our arm to recommend Wolf Pack in Reno, where Nevada is 12-0 (!) as home chalk since HC Ault returned to sidelines in '04.
(06-FRES. ST. 28-Nev. 19...N.21-19 F.38/212 N.34/168 N.18/34/0/183 F.16/24/0/124 F.1 N.1)
(06-FSU -12' 28-19 05-NEVADA +15' 38-35 04-FSU -26 54-17...SR: Fresno State 23-13-1)
ALABAMA 30 - Houston 24--Bama's demanding HC Saban was displeased with his squad's mental & physical toughness in 21-14 loss vs. Florida State, but not sure redemption-minded Tide able to pull away from offensively-combustible Houston squad (34 ppg) that owns 2 quality triggermen in alternating RS frosh Keenum & soph Joseph (896 YP last 3 games). Either Coug QB should have ample time vs. Bama defense lacking a credible pass rush (SEC-worst 5 sacks). And Tide still not rolling at home, going just 3-12-2 vs. spread last 17 as host. (DNP...SR: Alabama 9-0)
SAN JOSE STATE 24 - Idaho 23--We don't like to overanalyze stats, but infantry getting stonewalled by UC Davis' rush "D" (SJSU just 15 YR in last week's win) appears to be a major red flag for Spartans. Idaho hitting a few bumps lately (star RS frosh RB D. Jackson high ankle sprain; fellow RS frosh QB Enderle pulled after 5 picks vs. Hawaii), but Vandals yet to be embarrassed vs. better opposition than this.
(06-S. Jose St. 28-IDAHO 13...S.15-12 S.42/156 I.33/123 S.10/17/1/179 I.7/20/2/131 S.1 I.0)
(06-Sjs -6' 28-13 05-SJS -7' 26-18...SR: San Jose State 10-7-1)
COLORADO STATE 31 - San Diego State 24--Frankly, we're not too enamored with idea of recommending Chuck Long's sloppy-tackling SDSU bunch that's off another embarrassing effort (Cincy almost 400 yards in 1st half of last week's rout at Qualcomm). But, since CSU hasn't notched a win since GOP controlled both House & Senate (Oct. 7, 2006!) and rides 11-game losing streak, more reluctant to lay points with Rams.
(06-S. DIEGO ST. 17-Colo. St. 6...C.19-9 S.32/184 C.38/113 C.21/41/1/175 S.7/19/0/51 S.1 C.0)
(06-SDS +1 17-6 05-Sds +7' 30-10 04-Csu +4 21-17...SR: San Diego State 14-12)
Arizona 27 - OREGON STATE 24--Both of these schizophrenic squads are candidates to appear on upcoming Dr. Phil episodes. But OSU's debilitating self-destruct tendencies (21 giveaways already!) a bit more disturbing. Arizona showing more signs of progress, as jr. QB Tuitama (5 TDP vs. Wazzu) continues to get more comfy running o.c. Sonny Dykes' spread, and quick frosh RB Grigsby (186 YR vs. Cougs) now energizing Cat infantry.
(06-Oregon St. 17-ARIZ. 10...O.19-13 O.38/151 A.28/22 O.16/22/2/181 A.17/30/2/161 O.1 A.1)
(06-Osu -2' 17-10 05-Ariz. +9' 29-27 04-Osu -7' 28-14...SR: Arizona 20-9-1)
SOUTHERN CAL 45 - Stanford 11--We'd be willing to bet this "scrimmage" vs. Stanford will be a lot easier for SC than its own practice sessions in wake of Troy's mistake-filled (16 penalties!) escape at Seattle. But even Trojans can be vulnerable laying mountainous prices (SC no covers last 4 laying 30 or more), and Pete Carroll might be more interested in fine-tuning elements of aerial game than running up score vs. Cardinal.
(06-S. Cal 42-STAN. 0...Sc.18-12 Sc.32/108 St.30/30 Sc.14/25/0/247 St.16/30/2/178 Sc.0 St.1)
(06-Usc -29 42-0 05-USC -34 51-21 04-Usc -22' 31-28...SR: Southern Cal 58-24-3)
*WESTERN MICHIGAN 38 - Akron 23--WMU finally got solid production from both QB Hiller (21 of 29 passing, 3 TDPs) and sr. RB Bonds (143 YR, 2 scores), resulting in Broncos' best victory of the season vs. Toledo. Neither Akron QB Jacquemain nor Jackson seems to be the answer, giving Hiller a significant edge. WMU 4-0 "over" in '07 & Akron "over" 3 straight.
(06-W. Mich. 17-AKRON 0...W.18-8 W.42/110 A.20/M13 W.17/29/1/217 A.13/27/1/132 W.0 A.1)
(06-Western Michigan +2 17-0...SR: Western Michigan 11-3)
*MARYLAND 21 - Georgia Tech 17--After dropping their first 2 ACC games, Ramblin' Wreck feeling better following last week's home win over Clemson. Tepid Tech offense still lacks balance, however, as new QB Bennett has just 1 TDP in first 5 games. Slightly prefer Maryland side off its own uplifting victory at highly-ranked Rutgers. Terps' productive sr. RBs Lattimore & Ball outgain Tech star Choice at College Park.
(06-GA. TECH 27-Mary. 23...G.21-15 G.43/229 M.35/87 M.16/24/1/190 G.13/26/0/161 G.1 M.1)
(06-TECH -14 27-23 04-Tech +12' 20-7...SR: Georgia Tech 13-5)
*TEXAS TECH 41 - Iowa State 23--ISU showing gradual improvement under Gene Chizik. But Cyclones must minimize turnovers (14 in 5 games!) in their third consecutive road excursion if they are to stay within reach of TT scoring machine that has seen QB Harrell (only 2 ints.) pass for 24 TDs, a freshman-tying record 14 of them (in just 5 games!) to 6-2 RS frosh sensation Michael Crabtree (60 recs. TY)! Check status of ISU juco RB Bass (DNP last week; shoulder). Cyclones outgained Nebraska last week!
(06-Tex. Tech 42-IOWA ST. 26...T.24-18 T.20/107 I.36/75 T.31/40/0/368 I.14/34/2/146 T.2 I.0)
(06-Texas Tech -2' 42-26...SR: Texas Tech 6-1)
*Ucf 29 - EAST CAROLINA 27--Can't knock resilient, well-coached ECU much, but accumulation of small edges points to visiting UCF. Knights' ground attack more consistent with star jr. RB K. Smith (713 YR & 10 TDs in first 4 games!), patient sr. QB Israel (only 1 int.) a little more cautious with ball than Pirate counterparts, and improving UCF defense has allowed just 1 meaningful TD in last 2 games.
(06-E. Car. 23-UCF 10...E.24-15 E.46/170 U.26/58 U.18/34/2/205 E.16/30/2/135 E.0 U.0)
(06-Ecu -5' 23-10 05-Ucf +1' 30-20...SR: East Carolina 5-1)
*LSU 24 - Florida 21--Since number rises a tick following UF's 20-17 home setback vs. Auburn, don't mind supporting resolute Gator squad that has dropped consecutive reg.-season games only once since '02! Fast but young Florida stop unit had some trouble vs. Tiger QB Cox. But with LSU OL struggling (6 sacks allowed vs. Tulane!). And with QB Flynn (ankle) & go-to WR Doucet (missed last 2 games with groin injury) perhaps less than 100%, green UF 2ndary allows a minimum of downfield completions. Tigers possess the more formidable ground assault, but Gators special soph QB Tebow (SEC-best 346 ypg tot. offense) & blazing soph WR Harvin (28 grabs, 16 yd. avg.) make enough plays to hang tough.
(06-FLORIDA 23-Lsu 10...L.22-14 F.32/97 L.25/90 L.24/41/3/228 F.19/28/1/191 F.1 L.2)
(06-FLORIDA -1 23-10 05-LSU -6 21-17 04-Lsu +3 24-21...SR: Florida 28-22-3)
*Ohio State 37 - PURDUE 20--Respect Purdue QB Painter's accomplishments (18 TDs, just 3 ints.), but Ohio State defense tips the scales in favor of the Buckeyes. OSU stop unit ranks 4th in pass efficiency defense and is 2nd overall. Meanwhile, Buckeye QB Boeckman has thrown 12 TD passes & just 3 ints. himself, and he's getting solid ground support from soph Chris Wells (4 straight 100-yard games). (04-PURDUE -5' 24-17...SR: Ohio State 35-12-2)
*UCLA 37 - Notre Dame 10--Such are the times at ND that Domers everywhere are breathing a small sigh of relief that "O" at least displayed a pulse (albeit mostly behind backup QB Sharpley) last week at Purdue. But as long as Irish gain inches per carry and infantry fails to balance attack, Sharpley or frosh Clausen (already sacked 29 times between them) will continue to absorb beatings that would make George Chuvalo cringe. UCLA "D" has enough vet playmakers to wreak havoc, and Bruin "O" uncovering new big-play components (such as WR Breazell) to extend leads. TV--ABC
(06-N. DAME 20-Ucla 17...N.20-12 N.35/41 U.28/26 N.27/45/0/304 U.16/32/1/217 N.1 U.1)
(06-NOTRE DAME -13 20-17...SR: Notre Dame 3-0)
*Unlv 24 - AIR FORCE 22--Evidence continues to suggest UNLV's improvement is no false alarm, and upgraded Reb "D" should be able to cope with AFA shotgun after dealing with smorgasbord of attacks (Hawaii Red Gun, Utah spread, Nevada Pistol) in recent weeks. Juco RB Frank "The Tank" Summers (310 YR last 2) providing UNLV a power ground component to take advantage of smallish Falc front 7.
(06-UNLV 42-A. Force 39...U.30-22 U.43/204 A.45/204 U.26/34/0/351 A.10/18/0/211 U.3 A.0)
(06-UNLV +10' 42-39 05-AFA -13' 42-7 04-Afa +6' 27-10...SR: Air Force 8-4)
*UTEP 38 - Tulsa 37--Never-say-die Miners erased a 28-7 first-half deficit and a 14-point SMU 4th-Q lead in last week's thrilling OT win at Dallas! Tulsa's stellar sr. QB P. Smith (1444 YP & 13 TDP in first 4 games!) will do plenty of business against depleted UTEP 2ndary. But clever Miner mentor Price's attack (514 YR last 2 games; only 691 all of 2006!) has balance TY.
(06-TULSA 30-Utep 20...T.18-12 T.46/154 U.18/40 U.21/37/1/253 T.16/23/1/176 T.1 U.0)
(06-TULSA -14' 30-20 05-UTEP -8' 41-38 04-TULSA +8 37-35...SR: Tulsa 9-6)
*Arizona State 41 - WASHINGTON STATE 26--Dennis Erickson's "Reunion Tour" continues at Wazzu, where he coached almost a generation ago. (Are NFL Seahawks and 49ers on ASU's slate, too?) And bullet-riddled Coug "D" (allowed 42 or more in 3 of first 5) no match for QB Carpenter and Sun Devil attack tallying 40 ppg. Do we hear Palouse war drums beating for WSU HC Doba's scalp?
(06-ASU 47-Wsu 14...A.27-12 A.49/196 W.19/27 A.16/29/1/366 W.15/32/2/165 A.1 W.0)
(06-ASU +1 47-14 05-Asu -2 27-24 04-ASU -13' 45-28...SR: Arizona State 19-12-2)
*HAWAII 63 - Utah State 17--USU not quite as heinous as last year's edition, as Ags have slipped inside some hefty imposts in first month of campaign. But it's asking a lot of QB L. Jackson & limited USU weaponry to stay within earshot at Aloha Stadium, where QB Brennan & June Jones' Red Gun routinely clear these high pointspread hurdles (covered last 6 laying 20 or more at Honolulu).
(06-Hawaii 63-USU 10...H.22-18 U.42/137 H.13/86 H.23/38/1/486 U.17/31/1/225 H.0 U.3)
(06-Hawaii -26' 63-10 05-HAWAII -17 50-23...SR: Utah State 4-3)
ADDED GAMES
South Florida 26 - FLORIDA ATLANTIC 14--After knocking off highly-ranked West Virginia in front of first sold-out home crowd in school history, no surprise if USF not at emotional peak for this downstate trip to FAU. Venerable HC Schellenberger's competent Owls stay inside roomy spread. (DNP...SR: S. Fla. 1-0)
*Arkansas St. 24 - LA.-MONROE 23--Can't wait (really!) for that Ark. St.-Troy Sun Belt showdown Oct. 27. But not sure ASU "D" stout enough to allow Indians to cruise thru league slate. As long as it doesn't self-destruct, ULM capable, and note electric Warhawk RB Dawson has 4 straight 100-yd. games vs. bowl-caliber foes.
(06-ASU 10-La.-Mon. 6...A.21-13 A.38/172 L.35/130 A.19/36/3/200 L.15/25/2/93 A.2 L.0)
(06-ASU -6' 10-6 05-ULM +3 31-27 04-Asu +6 28-21...SR: Arkansas St. 16-12)
*LA.-LAFAYETTE 34 - North Texas 32--We'll overlook UNT's shortcomings vs. BCS foes (allowed 145 points at Oklahoma & Arkansas!) as Mean Green now back in Sun Belt, where new HC Dodge's spread can likely do some business. ULL one-dimensional with QB Desormeaux at controls, and Cajuns just 5-15-2 last 22 as chalk.
(06-N. Texas 16-LA.-LAF. 7...N.14-13 N.49/119 L.32/40 L.17/29/0/168 N.9/16/1/128 N.0 L.1)
(06-Ntu +11 16-7 05-Ull -4 31-28 04-Ntu -2' 27-17...SR: North Texas 8-3)
*Troy 30 - FLORIDA INTL. 3--After FIU scored a mere 2 TDs in first 5 games, and trailed Middle Tennessee 47-0 at half (!) last week, we simply can't take a take a sip from the FIU Kool-Aid. Would rather trust QB Haugabook and Troy spread that put up lots of points vs. major competition in September.
(06-Troy 26-FLA. INTL. 13...F.19-15 T.43/245 F.25/20 F.30/51/1/225 T.9/23/0/53 T.1 F.1)
(06-Troy -10' 26-13 05-TROY -9 18-13...SR: Troy 3-0)
*Virginia 37 - MIDDLE TENN. ST. 19--Can't enthusiastically recommend Virginia, if only because HC Groh (just 9-22 vs. spread last 31 away) has been major money-burner on road. But also can't ignore fact that coming Cavaliers (4 straight wins) have a LOT more playmakers on defense than host MTS. (FIRST MEETING)
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7
*BOISE STATE 52 - New Mexico State 24--Now that new QB Tharp and rebuilt Boise receiving corps getting the hang of things, don't mind laying points with Broncos on blue carpet, where they're 16-6 vs. line last 22. Meanwhile, QB Holbrook and Hal Mumme's Air Raid (only 20 points & 249 YP last week vs. Ark.-Pine Bluff) not quite putting up the numbers it did a year ago. TV--ESPN
(06-Bsu 40-N. MEX. ST. 28...N.28-23 B.42/255 N.20/8 N.49/65/2/526 B.14/21/1/215 B.1 N.1)
(06-Bsu -26' 40-28 05-BSU -33 56-6...SR: Boise State 7-0)
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
WYOMING by 14 over Tcu
GEORGIA by 12 over Tennessee
NEVADA by 14 over Fresno State
OHIO STATE by 17 over Purdue
posted by phantom
15 replies
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Confidential Kick-Off!! The Gold Sheet!!
America's Handicapping Leaders For 50 Seasons!
11 *CLEMSON over Virginia Tech
Late Score Forecast:
*CLEMSON 26 - Virginia Tech 10
Look for Clemson to bounce back at home this week after Saturday's special
teams meltdown at Georgia Tech (missed 4 FGs & had a punt blocked to set up
Tech's only TD in 13-3 loss). Tiger QB Cullen Harper has a 12-1 TD-int.
ratio and has completed 63% of his passes. Conversely, Virginia Tech is
suffering growing pains at QB, where true frosh Tyrod Taylor, who took over
the starting job from jr. Sean Glennon after the loss to LSU, has completed
just 51%, throwing only 1 TD pass. VT's offense is 112th in the country, as
star RB Branden Ore has been slowed by bruised ribs and an underachieving OL
that's come under sharp criticism. Clemson has been a winner at home lately
when not saddled as heavy chalk (6-2 vs. number last 8 at "Death Valley" when
a dog or not laying more than 2 TDs), while VT covered just 4 of last 14 on
line.
10 *FLORIDA STATE over N. Car. St.
Late Score Forecast:
*FLORIDA STATE 37 - N. Car. St. 10
Long-time ACC scouts are surprised coagulating Florida State is laying less
than 3 TDs vs. a banged-up, mistake-prone NCS squad (118th in TO margin).
Wolfpack lacks consistency at QB with unproven soph Beck or jr. Evans
(neither one ranked among top 100 in pass efficiency!), and it's highly
doubtful their staggering offense (only 18 ppg, just 2.7 ypc) will find a
solution vs. smothering 'Nole defense (17 ppg, 2.6 ypc; only 3 "meaningful"
TDs in last 3 games). And you can be sure the FSU stop unit performs with
increased fervor for LB coach Amato, who was fired in Raleigh end of last
year. Meanwhile, FSU's attack has perked up behind athletic 6-4 jr. QB X.
Lee, who will start after engineering 3 scoring drives & throwing for 224
yds. in 21-14 victory over Bama. New NCS mentor O'Brien needs more time to
reverse fortunes of withering Wolfpack squad that's 1-10 vs. spread last 11.
10 UNLV over *Air Force
Late Score Forecast:
UNLV 26 - *Air Force 20
O.J. Simpson's antics aren't the only sports-related news items emanating
from Las Vegas lately. Indeed, there's mounting evidence that UNLV's
recently-suffering program is finally turning the corner for 3rd-year HC Mike
Sanford. Much of that improvement is credited to a nastier defense (paced by
likely future NFL draftee LB Bell) that shouldn't have too much trouble
coping with Air Force's new shotgun looks after dealing with a variety of
different offenses (such as Hawaii, Utah, & Nevada) in recent weeks.
Moreover, Rebs should be able to take advantage of smallish Falcon front
seven thanks to emergence of chop-busting, 240-lb., juco RB Summers (310 YR
last 2), which in turn ought to impede AFA blitz tactics and give maturing RS
frosh QB Dixon extra time to look downfield.
10 *KANSAS STATE over Kansas
Late Score Forecast:
*KANSAS STATE 31 - Kansas 17
No doubt the 2007 Jayhawks are a team to be reckoned with. 5-11 soph QB Todd
Reesing (11 TDs, only 1 int.) is providing an extra dimension to the offense,
FB/TB Brandon McAnderson adding important power (6.3 ypc, 6 TDR), all-Big XII
CB Aquib Talib has provided 3 TD catches in addition to his interception
return TD, and Mark Mangino has proven to be a coach of substance, as well as
girth. However, KU's entire 2007 performance so far must be filtered
through the prism of reality that shows all four victories have been achieved
at home vs. teams with class "C" defenses, or worse! So taking on the
battle-hardened Wildcats should prove to be a disorienting chore, especially
in Manhattan, where KSU has won 8 straight in the series. Despite its
blowouts by a combined 214-23 score, the KU defense has only nine sacks.
Without more pressure than that on jumbo Wildcat QB Josh Freeman, he should
have a big day.
10 SEATTLE over *Pittsburgh
Late Score Forecast:
Seattle 24 - *Pittsburgh 20
(Sunday, October 7)
Mike Holmgren and Seattle veterans, still bummed over some "bum" calls in
Super Bowl XL vs. Pittsburgh two seasons ago, are catching Steelers a little
wounded as Seahawks seek some retribution. Key S Troy Polamalu (ab strain)
and NT Casey Hampton (hamstring) were unable to finish last week's 21-14 loss
at Arizona, and clutch WR Hines Ward (knee) was unable to start. Holmgren
has revamped the Seahawk "D" since that Super Bowl loss, most importantly
adding extra-dimension LB Julian Peterson (3 sacks last week) from the 49ers.
And former Patriots' Super Bowl MVP Deion Branch (7 for 130 last week vs.
S.F.'s quality CBs) has arrived to add a more reliable target for Matt
Hasselbeck. Now facing a rookie HC in Mike Tomlin, Holmgren brings his
veteran expertise into play.
TOTALS: OVER (39) in Seattle-Pittsburgh game...Steeler "D" was thinned by
injuries at Arizona; HC Tomlin has loosed the passing reins on Ben
Roethlisberger; OVER (42.5) in San Diego-Denver game...Broncs having problems
stopping the run; S.D. defense (26 ppg!) misses guidance of departed def.
coord. Wade Phillips.
HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games): WEST VIRGINIA (-28.5; estimated) at
Syracuse-Defeated Mountaineers need an attention-grabber; Syracuse has proven
it cannot handle speedy spread offenses; BAYLOR (+8.5) vs. Colorado-Kudos to
CU for its come-from-behind victory over Oklahoma; let's see if young Buffs
can absorb several days of adulation and still get ready to lay the lumber on
the road...FLORIDA (+8) at Lsu-Gators learned some valuable lessons in loss
vs. Auburn; Tiger offense struggled in second half vs. South Carolina...UCLA
(-20.5)-Bruins surrendered heartbreaking, late, losing TD LY in South Bend;
now their defense shows no mercy in payback game...ARIZONA (+1) at St. Louis
(NFL)-Rams hurtin' on offense; Cards (3-0-1 vs. spread) soaring under Ken
Whisenhunt, who's defying NFL adages by playing two QBs (one of them former
Ram hero Kurt Warner)!
posted by phantom
Oct. 1 2007 9:51pm -
0 likes
Week 5 Vegas report :It has been four weeks now.
But figuring out the NFL still remains a mystery – unless you’re a strict underdog bettor.
NFL underdogs are 35-21-5 (62.5 percent) this season going into the Patriots-Bengals Monday night matchup. Home ‘dogs have been especially profitable following Sunday’s 6-2 against the spread mark, covering 14 of 20 (70 percent).
When the Falcons, Browns, Bills, Cardinals and Chiefs all win – and they were getting a combined 29 points on Sunday – things still remain very unsettled in pro football.
“If you bet serious money on the NFL, you’re in trouble,†said Mike Seba, a senior oddsmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants. “This league is very had to figure out.â€
It certainly is and it doesn’t get any easier for Week 5.
Care to point out the winner in the Panthers-Saints matchup where the Panthers could be going with David Carr at quarterback again and the winless Saints are averaging 12.6 points.
New Orleans has lost Deuce McAllister for the season and Reggie Bush is averaging just 50 yards rushing/receiving a game.
“It’s one of the hardest lines to make when you have two teams underperforming,†Seba said. “With (Jake) Delhomme being out and Carr being so bad, you have to figure out how far to drop Carolina.â€
The LVSC oddsmakers decided to send out Saints minus four to their many hotel clients. Offshore bookmakers opened the game lower. Pinnacle opened New Orleans minus 1, while CRIS was at minus three on Monday morning.
Pittsburgh opened minus 5 ½ or six offshore against Seattle at home.
Seba believes this line is too high, especially with the uncertain status of key Steelers wide receiver Hines Ward and safety Troy Polamalu. LVSC’s send-out number was Steelers minus 4 ½.
“I know it’s a good spot for Pittsburgh,†Seba said. “But I wouldn’t want to be laying this many points. The Steelers haven’t played anybody the first three weeks (Browns, Bills and 49ers).
“It’s a lot of points to be giving a team that might be in the Super Bowl.â€
The last time Pittsburgh and Seattle met was in the Super Bowl two years ago. The Seahawks are 3-1. Their 20-6 opening week win against Tampa Bay is looking more impressive now since the Buccaneers have steamrolled the Saints, Rams and Panthers since then.
The Buccaneers’ three-game winning streak wasn’t enough to keep bookmakers from making them a 10-point road underdog to the Colts. Indianapolis was favored by a similar amount against Denver and had no problem covering against the Broncos this past Sunday, winning by 18.
“We have to error on the high side with the Colts,†Seba said, citing the Colts’ popularity with parlay and teaser bettors. “How much worse is Tampa than Denver and Denver didn’t get there against the Colts?â€
The line could climb if Marvin Harrison is able to play. He suffered a knee injury against the Broncos. The Colts also suffered defensive injuries to linebacker Rob Morris and safety Bob Sanders.
Tampa Bay, however, suffered two key injuries losing tailback Carnell Williams for the season and its best offensive lineman, tackle Luke Petitgout for the year.
Oddsmakers probably opened Baltimore too short at minus three on the road against San Francisco. The Ravens are off a loss to the Browns, are 0-5 against the spread as a road favorite and Steve McNair isn’t 100 percent because of a groin injury.
But the 49ers are without quarterback Alex Smith and promising tight end Vernon Davis. That means Trent Dilfer will be behind center for the 49ers looking at old teammate Ray Lewis. Baltimore’s defense still remains intimidating.
The Ravens-49ers line was climbing to 3 ½ Monday and could get all the way to 4 ½ by kickoff.
From a handicapping perspective, Seba thought Dallas should be favored by eight at Buffalo on Monday night. The line is Dallas minus 10.
“You don’t mess around with the Cowboys,†Seba said about making the line on Dallas. “The Cowboys are such a public team that they could get steamed playing on Monday night.â€
posted by phantom
Oct. 1 2007 11:04pm -
0 likes
Sports Reporter
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Best Bets
Boston College
Tennessee
C Michigan
Wyoming
Alabama
New Orleans
Jacksonville
posted by phantom
Oct. 3 2007 11:28pm -
0 likes
Power ~ Sweep
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Power Sweep Newsletter
NCAA
4* Texas A&M
3* Texas Tech
3* UNLV
2* Oklahoma
2* LSU
2* Miami FL
underdog Vandy
NFL
4* Atlanta
3* Baltimore
2* Pitt
2* Cleveland
system play Carolina
__________________
posted by phantom
Oct. 3 2007 11:29pm -
0 likes
Pointwise
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COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
MISSOURI over Nebraska RATING: 1
CINCINNATI over Rutgers RATING: 1
OHIO STATE over Purdue RATING: 2
ILLINOIS over Wisconsin RATING: 3
KENTUCKY over South Carolina RATING: 4
KANSAS over Kansas State RATING: 4
BOISE STATE over New Mexico State RATING: 5
ARIZONA STATE over Washington St RATING: 5
NFL KEY RELEASES
KANSAS CITY over Jacksonville RATING: 2
GREEN BAY over Chicago RATING: 3
WASHINGTON over Detroit RATING: 4
CAROLINA over New Orleans RATING: 4
NEW ENGLAND over Cleveland RATING: 5
posted by phantom
Oct. 3 2007 11:29pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
Long Sheet
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Wednesday, October 3
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RICE (0 - 4) at SOUTHERN MISS (2 - 2) - 10/3/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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Thursday, October 4
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KENTUCKY (5 - 0) at S CAROLINA (4 - 1) - 10/4/2007, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S CAROLINA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Friday, October 5
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UTAH (2 - 3) at LOUISVILLE (3 - 2) - 10/5/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UTAH is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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Saturday, October 6
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N ILLINOIS (1 - 4) at TEMPLE (0 - 5) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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W VIRGINIA (4 - 1) at SYRACUSE (1 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CINCINNATI (5 - 0) at RUTGERS (3 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WISCONSIN (5 - 0) at ILLINOIS (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 44-72 ATS (-35.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MINNESOTA (1 - 4) at INDIANA (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NORTHWESTERN (2 - 3) at MICHIGAN ST (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MIAMI (4 - 1) at N CAROLINA (1 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WAKE FOREST (2 - 2) at DUKE (1 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DUKE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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C MICHIGAN (2 - 3) at BALL ST (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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VANDERBILT (3 - 1) at AUBURN (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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BOWLING GREEN (3 - 1) at BOSTON COLLEGE (5 - 0) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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OHIO U (2 - 3) at BUFFALO (1 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 2-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TULANE (1 - 3) at ARMY (2 - 3) - 10/6/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
TULANE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
TULANE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 1-0 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
TULANE is 1-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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E MICHIGAN (2 - 3) at MICHIGAN (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 5-20 ATS (-17.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TCU (3 - 2) at WYOMING (3 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 2-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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OKLAHOMA ST (3 - 2) at TEXAS A&M (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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UAB (1 - 3) at MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MIAMI OHIO (2 - 3) at KENT ST (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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KANSAS (4 - 0) at KANSAS ST (3 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 3) at OLE MISS (1 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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COLORADO (3 - 2) at BAYLOR (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
BAYLOR is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
BAYLOR is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BAYLOR is 44-69 ATS (-31.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BAYLOR is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 1) at CLEMSON (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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OKLAHOMA (4 - 1) vs. TEXAS (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEBRASKA (4 - 1) at MISSOURI (4 - 0) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 1-1 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 1-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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IOWA (2 - 3) at PENN ST (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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NC STATE (1 - 4) at FLORIDA ST (3 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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GEORGIA (4 - 1) at TENNESSEE (2 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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FRESNO ST (2 - 2) at NEVADA (2 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in October games since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NEVADA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
NEVADA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 2-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 1-1 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HOUSTON (2 - 2) at ALABAMA (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
ALABAMA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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IDAHO (1 - 4) at SAN JOSE ST (2 - 3) - 10/6/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
SAN JOSE ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
SAN JOSE ST is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST is 2-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN DIEGO ST (1 - 3) at COLORADO ST (0 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
COLORADO ST is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
COLORADO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ARIZONA (2 - 3) at OREGON ST (2 - 3) - 10/6/2007, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 47-73 ATS (-33.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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STANFORD (1 - 3) at USC (4 - 0) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-1 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AKRON (2 - 3) at W MICHIGAN (2 - 3) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GEORGIA TECH (3 - 2) at MARYLAND (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
IOWA ST (1 - 4) at TEXAS TECH (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 89-64 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UCF (3 - 1) at E CAROLINA (2 - 3) - 10/6/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLORIDA (4 - 1) at LSU (5 - 0) - 10/6/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LSU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OHIO ST (5 - 0) at PURDUE (5 - 0) - 10/6/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOTRE DAME (0 - 5) at UCLA (4 - 1) - 10/6/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
UCLA is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UNLV (2 - 3) at AIR FORCE (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 1-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 1-1 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TULSA (3 - 1) at UTEP (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-1 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 1-1 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ARIZONA ST (5 - 0) at WASHINGTON ST (2 - 3) - 10/6/2007, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UTAH ST (0 - 5) at HAWAII (5 - 0) - 10/6/2007, 11:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
S FLORIDA (4 - 0) at FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 2) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ARKANSAS ST (2 - 2) at LA MONROE (0 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NORTH TEXAS (0 - 4) at LA LAFAYETTE (0 - 5) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TROY (3 - 2) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 5) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
VIRGINIA (4 - 1) at MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 4) - 10/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, October 7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 2) at BOISE ST (3 - 1) - 10/7/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 66-39 ATS (+23.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 66-39 ATS (+23.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 37-15 ATS (+20.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 37-15 ATS (+20.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 42-21 ATS (+18.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
posted by phantom
Oct. 3 2007 11:31pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
Short Sheet
Wednesday, October 3rd
Rice at Southern Miss, 8:00 ET ESPN2
Rice: 10-0 Over off a non-conference game
Southern Miss: 19-5 ATS after a loss by 17+ points
Thursday, October 4th
Kentucky at South Carolina, 7:45 ET ESPN
Kentucky: 5-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
South Carolina: 13-4 Over as a home favorite
b]Friday, October 5th
Utah at Louisville, 8:00 ET ESPN
Utah: 4-14 ATS in the first half of the season
Louisville: 10-4 ATS as a home favorite
Saturday, October 6th
Northern Illinois at Temple, 12:00 ET
Northern Illinois: 0-7 ATS off a road game
Temple: 7-0 ATS off BB games with 40+ pass attempts
West Virginia at Syracuse, 12:00 ET
West Virginia: 5-14 ATS off a loss as a favorite
Syracuse: 10-2 Under off a road game
Cincinnati at Rutgers, 12:00 ET
Cincinnati: 6-0 ATS off BB non-conference games
Rutgers: 6-1 Under in October
Wisconsin at Illinois, 12:00 ET
Wisconsin: 9-1 ATS away off BB ATS losses
Illinois: 15-30 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers
Minnesota at Indiana, 12:00 ET
Minnesota: 5-15 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
Indiana: 7-0 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games
Northwestern at Michigan State, 12:00 ET
Northwestern: 13-4 ATS away after committing 4+ turnovers
Michigan State: 2-10 ATS off a conference loss
Miami FL at North Carolina, 12:00 ET
Miami FL: 13-3 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points
North Carolina: 9-2 Under off 4+ losses
Wake Forest at Duke, 12:00 ET
Wake Forest: 7-1 ATS in October
Duke: 2-10 ATS in home games
Central Michigan at Ball State, 12:00 ET
Central Michigan: 7-0 Under off a win by 21+ points
Ball State: 8-1 ATS off an Over
Vanderbilt at Auburn, 12:30 ET
Vanderbilt: 7-0 ATS as a road underdog
Auburn: 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points
Bowling Green at Boston College, 1:00 ET
Bowling Green: 18-7 ATS off a home win by 17+ points
Boston College: 1-6 ATS off 3+ wins
Ohio U at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Ohio U: 7-3 ATS off an Over
Buffalo: 6-1 Under off a road conference loss
Tulane at Army, 1:00 ET
Tulane: 3-11 ATS playing on artificial turf
Army: 5-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less
Eastern Michigan at Michigan, 1:00 ET
Eastern Michigan: 5-20 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Michigan: 6-1 Over vs. MAC opponents
TCU at Wyoming, 2:00 ET
TCU: 16-6 ATS off a win
Wyoming: 6-19 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Oklahoma State at Texas A&M, 2:00 ET
Oklahoma State: 8-19 ATS away after committing 3+ turnovers
Texas A&M: 6-0 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games
UAB at Mississippi State, 2:30 ET
UAB: 9-1 ATS away after allowing 37+ points
Mississippi State: 0-6 ATS after committing 1 or 0 turnovers
Miami OH at Kent State, 3:00 ET
Miami OH: 5-1 Over after allowing 14 or less points
Kent State: 1-5 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards
Kansas at Kansas State, 3:30 ET
Kansas: 1-6 ATS at Kansas State
Kansas State: 37-19 ATS at home off a conference game
Louisiana Tech at Mississippi, 3:30 ET
Louisiana Tech: 2-12 ATS away off BB road games
Mississippi: 6-0 ATS off 4+ losses
Colorado at Baylor, 3:30 ET
Colorado: 1-8 ATS away vs. conference opponents
Baylor: 8-2 Under as a home underdog
Virginia Tech at Clemson, 3:30 ET
Virginia Tech: 12-26 ATS off a home conference win
Clemson: 14-3 ATS at home off a combined score of 29 or less points
Oklahoma at Texas, 3:30 ET
Oklahoma: 10-2 Under off a conference loss
Texas: 12-3 ATS off 3+ Overs
Nebraska at Missouri, 3:30 ET
Nebraska: 1-8 ATS off a home game
Missouri: 21-6 Over after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
Iowa at Penn State, 3:30 ET
Iowa: 2-12 ATS off a home game
Penn State: 24-14 ATS off BB ATS losses
NC State at Florida State, 3:30 ET
NC State: 9-2 Under after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Florida State: 15-4 ATS at home off BB games allowing 14 points or less
Georgia at Tennessee, 3:30 ET
Georgia: 15-4 Under after scoring 42+ points
Tennessee: 2-10 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less
Fresno State at Nevada, 4:00 ET
Fresno State: 1-8 ATS vs. conference opponents
Nevada: 7-0 ATS off a home game
Houston at Alabama, 4:00 ET
Houston: 8-2 ATS off a loss as a home favorite
Alabama: 2-12 ATS as a home favorite
Idaho at San Jose State, 4:00 ET
Idaho: 6-1 Under off a conference loss by 21+ points
San Jose State: 14-4 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
San Diego State at Colorado State, 5:30 ET
San Diego State: 5-1 ATS after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Colorado State: 0-7 ATS off BB losses
Arizona at Oregon State, 6:30 ET
Arizona: 20-36 ATS off an Over
Oregon State: 23-10 ATS off BB conference losses
Stanford at USC, 7:00 ET
Stanford: 10-2 Under off BB losses
USC: 1-7 ATS in October
Akron at Western Michigan, 7:00 ET
Akron: 6-1 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points
Western Michigan: 9-3 Over as a favorite
Georgia Tech at Maryland, 7:00 ET
Georgia Tech: 2-10 ATS off an ATS win
Maryland: 9-2 ATS off a win by 10+ points as an underdog
Iowa State at Texas Tech, 7:00 ET
Iowa State: 14-34 ATS away playing on artificial turf
Texas Tech: 38-19 ATS as a home favorite
Central Florida at East Carolina, 7:30 ET
Central Florida: 6-16 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
East Carolina: 13-4 ATS off a conference game
Florida at LSU, 8:00 ET
Florida: 1-8 ATS in road games
LSU: 8-1 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games
Ohio State at Purdue, 8:00 ET
Ohio State: 9-1 ATS off an Under
Purdue: 1-8 ATS in October
Notre Dame at UCLA, 8:00 ET
Notre Dame: 3-12 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
UCLA: 12-3 ATS in home games
UNLV at Air Force, 9:00 ET
UNLV: 3-11 ATS in road games
Air Force: 16-6 Under in October
Tulsa at UTEP, 9:05 ET
Tulsa: 11-3 ATS in road games
UTEP: 0-7 ATS after having 300+ rushing yards
Arizona State at Washington State, 10:00 ET
Arizona State: 2-10 ATS away off a road win
Washington State: 10-3 Over as an underdog
Utah State at Hawaii, 11:59 ET
Utah State: 1-8 ATS off a road loss
Hawaii: 14-4 ATS as a favorite
Added Games:
South Florida at Florida Atlantic, 4:00 ET
South Florida: 14-2 Under as a favorite
Florida Atl: 2-9 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Arkansas State at Louisiana Monroe, 7:00 ET
Arkansas State: 6-18 ATS off a home win
LA Monroe: 9-2 Over off a conference game
North Texas at Louisiana Lafayette, 7:00 ET
North Texas: 5-1 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
LA Lafayette: 2-10 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less
Troy at Florida International, 7:00 ET
Troy: 5-1 Over off BB wins
Florida Int: 0-8 ATS off 4+ losses
Virginia at Middle Tennessee State, 7:00 ET
Virginia: 4-14 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Mid Tenn State: 5-1 ATS in October
Sunday, October 7th
New Mexico State at Boise State, 8:00 ET ESPN
New Mexico State: 5-15 ATS as an underdog
Boise State: 18-5 ATS at home after scoring 37+ points
posted by phantom
Oct. 3 2007 11:31pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
Dunkel Index
Rice at Southern Mississippi
Southern Miss was beat up at Boise State last week (38-16) and will be without starting QB Jeremy Young (high ankle sprain) for tonight's game against Rice. That should mean more carries for Damion Fletcher, who rushed for 1,388 yards last year as a true freshman but had only 83 against the Broncos. Rice, however, is not Boise and comes in ranked No. 112 in total defense (488.5 ypg) and No. 117 in scoring defense (43.75 ppg). The Owls have been blown out in both road games this year at Baylor (42-17) and Texas (58-14). With no running game to fall back on, QB Chase Clement has had to live through the air and has thrown seven INTs with only three TDs. Even with Southern Miss banged up at the QB spot, the Golden Eagles look to have enough to cover (-20) against Rice according to Dunkel, which has Southern Miss favored by 26. Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-20). Here are all of this week's picks.
WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 3
Game 303-304: Rice at Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 65.531; Southern Mississippi 91.346
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 26; 60
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 20; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-20); Over
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 4
Game 305-306: Kentucky at South Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 102.548; South Carolina 101.526
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 1; 55
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 3 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+3 1/2); Under
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 5
Game 307-308: Utah at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 83.965; Louisville 93.261
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 9 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Louisville by 15; 62
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+15); Under
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 6
Game 309-310: Northern Illinois at Temple
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 65.993; Temple 67.017
Dunkel Line: Temple by 1; 55
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 4; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+4); Over
Game 311-312: West Virginia at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 103.289; Syracuse 85.934
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 17 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 26 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+26 1/2); Under
Game 313-314: Cincinnati at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 105.022; Rutgers 96.375
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 8 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3 1/2); Over
Game 315-316: Wisconsin at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 96.084; Illinois 93.225
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 3; 47
Vegas Line: Illinois by 3; 51
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+3); Under
Game 317-318: Minnesota at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 79.391; Indiana 95.690
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 16; 58
Vegas Line: Indiana by 12 1/2; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-12 1/2); Under
Game 319-320: Northwestern at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 77.766; Michigan State 96.124
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 18 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 14; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-14); Under
Game 321-322: Miami (FL) at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 94.659; North Carolina 82.670
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 12; 44
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 6 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-6 1/2); Over
Game 323-324: Wake Forest at Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 90.304; Duke 81.074
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 9; 42
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 7; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-7); Under
Game 325-326: Central Michigan at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 78.988; Ball State 87.071
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 8; 61
Vegas Line: Ball State by 13; 67 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+13); Under
Game 327-328: Vanderbilt at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 87.579; Auburn 93.526
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 6; 45
Vegas Line: Auburn by 8 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+8 1/2); Over
Game 329-330: Bowling Green at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 83.039; Boston College 100.615
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 17 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Boston College by 20; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+20); Under
Game 331-332: Ohio at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 74.940; Buffalo 75.576
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 1; 60
Vegas Line: Ohio by 5 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+5 1/2); Over
Game 333-334: Tulane at Army
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 68.481; Army 72.573
Dunkel Line: Army by 4; 51
Vegas Line: Army by 7; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+7); Over
Game 335-336: Eastern Michigan at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 68.834; Michigan 102.784
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 34; 40
Vegas Line: Michigan by 31 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-31 1/2); Under
Game 337-338: TCU at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 93.327; Wyoming 88.931
Dunkel Line: TCU by 4 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+3); Over
Game 339-340; Oklahoma State at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 94.352; Texas A&M 94.119
Dunkel Line: Even; 55
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 6 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+6 1/2); Under
Game 341-342: UAB at Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 72.159; Mississippi State 84.997
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 13; 49
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 19; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+19); Under
Game 343-344: Miami (OH) at Kent State
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 74.880; Kent State 79.532
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 5; 51
Vegas Line: Kent State by 9 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+9 1/2); Over
Game 345-346: Kansas at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 101.528; Kansas State 101.022
Dunkel Line: Even; 62
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 3; 56
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+3); Over
Game 347-348: Louisiana Tech at Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 75.590; Mississippi 83.265
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 8; 55
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 13; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+13); Over
Game 349-350: Colorado at Baylor
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 97.327; Baylor 81.271
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 16; 49
Vegas Line: Colorado by 8 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-8 1/2); Over
Game 351-352: Virginia Tech at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 96.854; Clemson 96.953
Dunkel Line: Even; 43
Vegas Line: Clemson by 5 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+5 1/2); Over
Game 353-354: Oklahoma vs. Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 113.942; Texas 92.285
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 21 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 10; 57
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-10); Over
Game 355-356: Nebraska at Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 97.979; Missouri 97.605
Dunkel Line: Even; 58
Vegas Line: Missouri by 7; 67
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+7); Under
Game 357-358: Iowa at Penn State
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 91.385; Penn State 98.469
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 7; 44
Vegas Line: Penn State by 9; 38
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+9); Over
Game 359-360: NC State at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 78.186; Florida State 98.909
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 21; 36
Vegas Line: Florida State by 17 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-17 1/2); Under
Game 361-362: Georgia at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 99.250; Tennessee 97.400
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 2; 60
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 2 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+2 1/2); Over
Game 363-364: Fresno State at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 82.423; Nevada 91.137
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 9; 46
Vegas Line: Nevada by 2 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-2 1/2); Under
Game 365-366: Houston at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 84.483; Alabama 99.030
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 14 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Alabama by 11; 55
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-11); Under
Game 367-368: Idaho at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 70.199; San Jose State 73.329
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 3; 56
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 7; 51
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+7); Over
Game 369-370: San Diego State at Colorado State
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 71.896; Colorado State 87.218
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 15 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 13; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-13); Over
Game 371-372: Arizona at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 90.113; Oregon State 88.267
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2; 63
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 5 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+5 1/2); Over
Game 373-374: Stanford at USC
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 79.365; USC 111.233
Dunkel Line: USC by 32; 56
Vegas Line: USC by 38 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+38 1/2); Under
Game 375-376: Akron at Western Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 76.544; Western Michigan 80.481
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 4; 57
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 10; 58
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+10); Under
Game 377-378: Georgia Tech at Maryland
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 94.414; Maryland 98.155
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 4; 44
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 2 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+2 1/2); Over
Game 379-380: Iowa State at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 77.143; Texas Tech 100.070
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 23; 64
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 25; 68
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+25); Under
Game 381-382: Central Florida at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 87.467; East Carolina 88.730
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 1; 59
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 3 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+3 1/2); Over
Game 383-384: Florida at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 100.581; LSU 118.823
Dunkel Line: LSU by 18; 47
Vegas Line: LSU by 8; 52
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-8); Under
Game 385-386: Ohio State at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 109.627; Purdue 99.348
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 10; 50
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 6; 54
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-6); Under
Game 387-388: Notre Dame at UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 82.353; UCLA 97.804
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 15 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: UCLA by 21; 50
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+21); Under
Game 389-390: UNLV at Air Force
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 84.574; Air Force 86.210
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 1 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Air Force by 6; 43
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+6); Under
Game 391-392: Tulsa at UTEP
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 87.498; UTEP 86.352
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 1; 77
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 3 1/2; 70
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+3 1/2); Over
Game 393-394: Arizona State at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 105.696; Washington State 82.552
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 23; 56
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 8 1/2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-8 1/2); Under
Game 395-396: Utah State at Hawaii
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 59.490; Hawaii 102.841
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 43 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 38; 71
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-38); Under
Game 397-398: South Florida at Florida Atlantic
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 100.182; Florida Atlantic 76.801
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 23 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: South Florida by 15 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-15 1/2); Over
Game 399-400: Arkansas State at UL Monroe
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 77.430; UL Monroe 70.853
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 6 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 2 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-2 1/2); Over
Game 401-402: North Texas at UL Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 56.419; UL Lafayette 74.709
Dunkel Line: UL Lafayette by 18; 62
Vegas Line: UL Lafayette by 7; 55
Dunkel Pick: UL Lafayette (-7); Over
Game 403-404: Troy at Florida International
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 87.910; Florida International 56.142
Dunkel Line: Troy by 31 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Troy by 18 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-18 1/2); Under
Game 405-406: Virginia at Middle Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 91.608; Middle Tennessee State 73.916
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 18; 50
Vegas Line: Virginia by 10; 46
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-10); Over
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7
Game 433-434: New Mexico State at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 67.835; Boise State 103.436
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 35 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Boise State by 22 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-22 1/2); Under
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
posted by phantom
Oct. 3 2007 11:33pm -
0 likes
marc lawrence trends
NFL
Sunday, October 7
Carolina
SERIES: 6-0 L6 A
8-0 dogs off SU fav loss vs opp off SUATS loss
8-0 dogs in 1st of BB RG’s
4-0 vs opp w/rev off SU fav loss
7-1 dogs vs div opp off DD SU loss w/rev
5-1 A Game Five
*5-1 off BB SU wins vs < .500 opp
9-3 A vs opp w/rev
FOX: 6-0 RD off SU fav loss
NEW ORLEANS
SERIES: host is 0-11 ATS
7-1 w/rest off SU loss
0-7 div HF’s off SU fav loss
3-13 favs off DD SU loss w/rev
PAYTON: 1-6 HF (0-1 this year)
Jacksonville
8-0 w/rev vs non div opp off SU dog win
1-6 Game Four
OCT: 1-6 non div RF’s
DEL RIO: 1-5 RF off SUATS win
9-2 off non div game w/rev vs non div opp
KANSAS CITY
SU winner 10-0 in AFC South series
2-7 Game 5 vs opp w/rev
Detroit
0-4 dogs off DD ATS win
OCT: 1-6 off div SU dog win vs . 500 > opp
7-1-1 O/U Game Five
WASHINGTON
SERIES: 17-2 SU / 13-0 SU H
OCT: 7-1 HF’s off div game
GIBS: 9-3 SUATS L12 w/rest
Atlanta
4-0 dogs vs opp off DD SU win
7-1 w/rev vs opp off SU win
OCT: 15-4 A vs .500 > opp
1-6 Game Five
TENNESSEE
SERIES: 4-0 L4
12-1 off SU dog win vs opp off SU win w/rev
12-2 off DD ATS win vs opp off ATS loss
OCT: 8-2 H vs opp off SU dog win
10-2 O/U Game Five
Miami
SU loser 0-13 Game Five
OCT: SU Loser 1-12 vs NFC
HOUSTON
6-0 off non conf SU loss vs < .500 opp
5-0 vs opp w/rev (1-0 this year)
OCT: SU winner 16-3 Texan games
0-4 Game Five
Seattle
9-2 dogs 6 > pts w/rev
0-4 aft SU win vs Niners
OCT: 2-14 off BB SU wins (0-9 A)
2-9 A vs non conf opp
3-10 Game Five
PITTSBURGH
SERIES: 1-6-1 L8 / 0-3-1 L4 H
11-3 Game Five
Cleveland
4-0 dogs > 10 pts
17-3 A when O/U line is 40 > pts
0-4 off 3 straight ATS wins
1-5 Game Five
CRENNEL: 6-1 dog off div opp / 4-1 DD dog
NEW ENGLAND
SERIES: 3-0 L3
8-1 Game Five
11-2 off BB SU wins of 14 > pts
OCT: 1-9 favs vs opp off SU win w/rev
Arizona
SERIES: 5-1 L6 A
SU winner 16-1 Game Five
OCT: 1-9 off SU dog win
3-9 A vs opp off BB SU losses
4-9 vs < .500 opp w/rev
ST. LOUIS
SERIES: dog is 7-0
2-11 H w/rev off BB SU losses vs div opp
NY Jets
OCT: 11-2 off div opp vs opp off SUATS loss
1-5 A Game Five
NY GIANTS
SERIES: 3-0 L3
OCT: 0-6 H vs non div opp off SUATS loss
0-5 off SU dog win vs opp off SU fav loss
0-4 off BB SU wins vs < .500 opp w/rev
2-10 O/U Game Five
Tampa Bay
SU winner 15-2 Game Five
0-5 RD’s > 3 pts vs non conf opp
0-5 off SU dog win vs opp off SU win
OCT: 1-9 off SU dog win
1-7 A vs non conf opp
2-11 off BB SU wins
INDIANPOLIS
SERIES: 3-1 L4
0-9 H off SU win vs non div opp off BB SUATS wins
OCT: 1-6 favs vs opp off SU win w/rev
5-10 H vs .666 > opp
San Diego
OCT: 7-2 off div game vs opp off SUATS loss w/rev
TURNER: 1-11 vs div opp off BB losses
DENVER
8-0 HF’s < 10 pts off SU loss vs div opp
*6-0-1 HD’s
13-5 off SU loss vs div opp
*10-4 div dogs > 1 pt
*1-5 Fav Game Five
Baltimore
SERIES: 3-1 L4
BILLICK: 6-1 A off SU fav loss
2-8 O/U Game Five
SAN FRANCISCO
5-1 non conf dogs 6 < pts
8-2 bef bye week
OCT: 1-7 off BB SU losses vs opp off SU loss
Chicago
12-1 Game Five vs opp off SUATS win
OCT: 13-2 A vs .500 > opp
2-9 off DD div SU fav loss
SMITH: 7-1 A vs opp off SU win
SMITH: 9-2 w/rev vs opp off SUATS win
GREEN BAY
OCT: 6-0 vs opp off DD SU loss w/rev
2-6 H vs .250 < opp
MCCARTHY: 1-4 off div game
8-1 O/U Game Five
Monday, October 8
Dallas
7-2 Game Five vs opp off SU win
2-9 favs aft scoring 35 > pts
3-6 DD favs off DD SU win
1-6 RF’s vs < .500 opp off SU dog win
4-14 A off SU win of 14 > pts
4-15 A vs non conf opp
BUFFALO
4-0 Game Five if W-L % is < .500
9-3 non conf dogs 4 > pts
JAURON: 11-1 non div HD (1-0 this year)
Reply With Quote
posted by phantom
Oct. 4 2007 1:41am -
0 likes
By Erick Smith, USA TODAY
Revenge is best served cold, especially after a year-long wait.
College football teams are often the beneficiaries in this situation. The reason? Because losing teams must almost always wait until the following season to attain payback.
For seven squads, that long wait for retribution is over this week as they have an opportunity to erase the painful memories of last year.
• The first stop is Baton Rouge, where LSU remembers falling to Florida 23-10 in a game it turned the ball over five times. The game turned out to be the decisive factor in sending the Gators to the BCS title game and the Tigers to the Sugar Bowl. LSU is in title contention again this season and needs this game against Florida to control its own destiny.
• Illinois was leading Wisconsin at halftime in Madison by two touchdowns. Thirty minutes later, the Badgers had put up 24 points and survived 30-24. The Illini did not win again in 2006. Now they're 4-1 and thinking about contending in the Big Ten.
FIND MORE STORIES IN: Florida | Cincinnati | Notre Dame | UCLA | BCS | Rutgers | Clemson | Tim Tebow | Erick Smith | College football teams
• Oklahoma lost to Texas in Dallas as the Longhorns outscored the Sooners 21-0 in the second half. OU now has lost two straight in the series after previously dominating their neighbors to the south.
• Georgia was 5-0 and leading in the fourth quarter before Tennessee blitzed the Bulldogs for 27 points on the way to a 51-33 victory. After the game, Georgia lost three of its next four to fall out of contention in the SEC.
• Clemson was riding high in the top 10 before traveling to Blacksburg for a Thursday night contest. The Hokies manhandled the Tigers with Branden Ore rushing for more than 200 yards in a dominating 24-7 win.
• Rutgers certainly remembers being routed 30-11 at Cincinnati last November. The Scarlet Knights were unbeaten and dreaming of a BCS berth until their upset loss. Like Oklahoma, Georgia and Clemson, Rutgers is fresh off a loss and needs to rebound this week.
• UCLA can redeem itself after a memorable meltdown to Notre Dame in South Bend. The Bruins were leading by four in the final minute before allowing the Irish to go 80 yards in three plays for the game-winning score.
It all shapes up as an emotional Saturday where several games could shape the storylines for payback in 2008.
No. 1 Southern Cal vs. Stanford, 7 p.m.
Stanford coach Jim Harbaugh called the Trojans the best college football team in history during the preseason. Pete Carroll and USC will try to give him first-hand validation of his comments. Southern California 45, Stanford 7.
No. 2 LSU vs. No. 7 Florida, 8 p.m.
Last year's loss to Auburn was a catalyst for the Gators as they ran the table on the way to a national title. This year's loss to Auburn will be a sign that Urban Meyer's team has too many holes to keep its crown. LSU 28, Florida 18.
No. 4 Ohio State at No. 20 Purdue, 8 p.m.
Six weeks into the season, it's time for the Buckeyes and Boilermakers to face their first true tests. Purdue has the edge at quarterback with Curtis Painter averaging more than 300 yards per game. That could be enough to pull an upset. Ohio State 24, Purdue 23.
No. 5 Wisconsin at Illinois, noon
It might be ugly, but the Badgers just keep on winning. Meanwhile, Illinois looks as if it has turned the corner under Ron Zook with its win against Penn State. Now comes the hard part for the Illini: continuing the success when it is expected. Illinois 28, Wisconsin 27.
No. 6 Boston College vs. Bowling Green, noon
Heisman buzz in Chesnut Hill? Matt Ryan is the beneficiary of the Eagles reaching their highest ranking since 1984. That team was led by someone named Flutie. We know which trophy he won in New York at the season's end. Boston College 41, Bowling Green 19.
No. 8 Kentucky at No. 18 South Carolina, 7:30 p.m. (Thursday)
Raise your hand if you predicted this game would determine the early leader in the SEC East. Implausible as it might seem, that is the case with both the Wildcats and Gamecocks. One factor in South Carolina's favor: Steve Spurrier has never lost to Kentucky in 14 games. Kentucky 21, South Carolina 20.
No. 9 South Florida at Florida Atlantic, 3:30 p.m.
No more doubting the Bulls. They proved they're one of the better teams in the country with the way they dominated West Virginia. South Florida 30, Florida Atlantic 3.
No. 10 Oklahoma vs. No. 16 Texas, 3:30 p.m.
Talk about putting a damper on the festivities at the Cotton Bowl. With both teams falling out of the top six, this game will decide issues in the Big 12 South more than the national championship. And there's that little thing about bragging rights for folks north and south of the Red River. Oklahoma 27, Texas 23.
No. 11 Georgia at Tennessee, 3:30 p.m.
The future of Vols coach Phil Fulmer will be shaped by the outcome of this game. A third loss to the season and an 0-2 start in the SEC could send Tennessee skidding and have Fulmer looking for work. A win keeps hope of a conference title alive and gives the team a much-needed confidence boost. Georgia 26, Tennessee 24.
No. 12 West Virginia at Syracuse, noon
Time for the Mountaineers to regroup and the Orange is the perfect opponent. The bigger obstacle is the emotional state of Rich Rodriguez's team. We've already seen Syracuse beat a flat Louisville team off its first loss. West Virginia 35, Syracuse 14.
No. 14 Virginia Tech at No. 22 Clemson, 6 p.m.
After laying an egg at Georgia Tech, the Tigers must avoid a second loss in the conference, especially with division leader Boston College already 3-0 in the league. The pressure, too, is on Hokies freshman quarterback Tyrod Taylor, who is making his first road start in one of the tougher environments in the country. Clemson 24, Virginia Tech 14.
No. 15 Hawaii vs. Utah State, 12:05 a.m.
Last Saturday was a day where the public's inability to see Colt Brennan may have helped the Hawaii quarterback's Heisman hopes. Five interceptions against Idaho can be overlooked if he keeps piling up touchdowns and the Warriors stay unbeaten. Hawaii 56, Utah State 17.
No. 17 Missouri vs. No. 23 Nebraska, 9:15 p.m.
The disappointing Huskers must get their act together this week if they want to return to the Big 12 title game. The Tigers will challenge the shaky Nebraska defense with Chase Daniel leading a dynamic offense. Missouri 35, Nebraska 26.
No. 19 Arizona State at Washington State, 4 p.m.
Bill Doba is another coach with an uncertain future. With the vultures circling in Pullman and his Cougars starting a stretch of four straight games against ranked opponents, this may be the best opportunity for a significant win that could change his team's fortunes. Arizona State 30, Washington State 27.
No. 21 Rutgers vs. No. 24 Cincinnati, 8 p.m.
Everyone was introduced to Greg Schiano after he nearly took Rutgers to the BCS last year. Brian Kelly may not get equal billing, but the Cincinnati coach should be on the speed dial of every athletics director at a big-time program. This is the week maybe Kelly gets some exposure. Cincinnati 30, Rutgers 24.
No. 25 UCLA vs. Notre Dame, 8 p.m.
Life doesn't get any easier for the Irish. They've been outscored 102-29 in three road games this seasons. At least on this trip they get to see the sights of Los Angeles. UCLA 31, Notre Dame 16.
Last week's record: 15-7 (10-11)
Season record: 92-18 (45-49)
posted by phantom
Oct. 4 2007 5:54pm -
0 likes
PLAYBOOK
COLLEGE
5* Wyoming over TCU by 14
4* Houston over Alabama by 3
3* Nebraska over Missouri by 6
UPSET GAME OF WEEK: Baylor over Colorado by 3
NFL
5* Chicago over Green Bay 14
4* Baltimore over San Francisco by by 13
3* St. Louis over Arizona by 8
NFL TOTALS
5* Under Dolphins-Texans
4* Over Seahawks-Steelers
3* Under Bucs-Colts
posted by phantom
Oct. 4 2007 7:00pm -
0 likes
Power Plays 4*'s
4* Oklahoma
4* Texas Tech
posted by phantom
Oct. 4 2007 7:00pm -
0 likes
Red Sheet
OCTOBER 6, 2007 VOLUME 39, NUMBER 6
WYOMING 27 - Tcu 13 - (2:00) -- Line opened at Wyoming minus 1½, and is now minus 3½. Two-pt line
movement on this one due the obvious, namely the inexplosiveness of this year's Frog
edition, coupled with the solid defensive ability of the Cowboys. TCU has ranked among
the national leaders in ball moving capacity for the past decade, but not so this year, as they
currently hold down the 76th spot in rushing, the 78th spot in passing, the 88th spot in total
offense, & the 97th spot in scoring. Enter the 'Pokes, who defensively, rank 9th, 20th, 4th,
& 31st in the aforementioned columns. This marks Wyoming's 3rd HG of the young season,
& thus far, they hold an impressive 52-20 FD edge in hosters. Frogs are hurting at QB
(Dalton), & on "D" (Blake). Color it revenge, as rested 'Pokes grab the ring.
RATING: WYOMING 89
CLEMSON 27 - Virginia Tech 10 - (6:00) -- Line opened at Clemson minus 5½, and is now minus 5. A year
ago, the Tigers were flying high, entering their contest with the Hokies. They stood at 7-1,
winning by an average score of 38-7, with their lone loss coming by a single pt, in OT, at
eventual 10-3 Boston College. Well, as 4-pt chalks in Blacksburg, no less, they were soundly
thumped 24-7, & that was it, as they proceeded to drop 4 of their remaining 5 games, losing
all 5 to the pts. Of course that collapse was on our minds earlier in the week, when we
decided to table them as possible plays in this revenger, due to their loss to GaTech. But
respected sources say that Clemson will be more than ready for a Tech squad which has
managed just 23 FDs & 528 combined yds the past 2 weeks. Payback.
RATING: CLEMSON 89
UCLA 45 - Notre Dame 13 - (8:00 - ABC) -- Line opened at UCLA minus 22, and is now minus 20½. The
futilities of the Irish continue. Now at 0-5 for the first time in their storied history, taking on
one more defeat, after their previous 0-4 start was their worst-ever. The fact is that Notre
Dame is noncompetitive. They've allowed 36 ppg in their last seven outings, losing all 7 by
an average margin of 23.8 pts. A bit of a hope with the emergence of QB Clausen as a
possible savior, now dashed, as he is nursing a hip injury. No running (30.4 RYpg), thus no
time consuming ability. Lambs to the slaughter, with no opponents looking past them, due
to their name recognition. And this foe is not only one of the more explosive teams around,
but is seething after losing to the Irish on a bomb in the final 0:27 LY. Revenge.
RATING: UCLA 88
Georgia 26 - TENNESSEE 22 - (3:30) -- Line opened at Tennessee minus 1, and is now minus 2½. No, we
aren't about to stray from the dog in low-spread SEC showdowns. Time & again, they seem
to come down to the final play. Exactly what transpired in the 'Dawgs' OT upset of Alabama
just 2 weeks back. A year ago, Georgia (+2½) was embarrassed by the Vols in their 51-33
pasting, with Tennessee scoring TDs on all six red zone entrances. As noted earlier, that
was a rarity in SEC biggies. Bulldog RB Brown now healthy, as his 180 RYs & 3 TDs vs
OleMiss, staked the 'Dawgs to 328 RYs vs the Rebs, & soph QB Stafford is emerging as a
quality triggerman. Vol "D" allowing 37.5 ppg. Yet another live avenger.
RATING: GEORGIA 88
Ohio State 42 - PURDUE 22 - (8:00) -- Line opened at OhioSt minus 5½, and is now minus 7. Well, the
Boilermakers have climbed to the 23rd & 20th spots in this week's polls. Their 5-0 start is
due mainly to a 310 ypg passing offense, led by QB Painter, who has thrown for 18 TDs. Try
45.4 ppg (8th best in the country). However, they also feature the 68th rated "D", having
been stung for 978 PYs the past 3 wks. In their 45-31 win over 1-4 Minnesota (push), for
example, they allowed 482 yds, with only 4 takeaways, & a KO return TD, preventing the
upset. The Bucks, well, they're the Bucks. Now 4th in the nation, with the nation's 2ndranked
defense. Seem as dominating as ever. Can't ignore a mere TD line.
RATING: OHIO STATE 88
NFL
KANSAS CITY 20 - Jacksonville 16 - (1:00) -- Line opened at Jacksonville minus 1½, and is now minus 2½.
It took awhile, but the Chiefs have finally shaken their offensive woes, piling up nearly 400
yds vs the Chargers, while posting a 24-0 2nd half edge. That one featured the "return" of
Larry Johnson, who ranked behind only Tomlinson, in the entire NFL last year, with 1,789
RYs. He was held to 55 or less overland yds in his previous 4 games, but ran for 123 yds vs
SanDiego. The Jags are an "under-the-radar" type squad, which fell badly down LY's stretch
(0-3 windup). They rank 6th on "D", but just 15 ppg on "O". The dog has covered 8 of
Jacksonville's last 9 games, which agrees with KC's 10-1 spread log as HD off a pair of
wins. Game should be more of a tossup, thus dog hammer to KC.
RATING: KANSAS CITY 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Missouri, Cincinnati, TexasTech, Hawaii - NFL: Redskins, Patriots, Cowboys
LINE MOVES (from largest to smallest moves): Indiana (-9½ to -12½); Army (-4½ to -7); Iowa St (+27 to
+24½); Duke (+9 to +7); EasternMichigan (+33½ to +31½); Wyoming (-1½ to -3½); NoCarolinaSt (+19½ to
+17½); TexasA&M (-4½ to -6½); Houston (+13 to +11); NewMexicoSt (+24½ to +22½) - NFL: Denver: Pick
to -1½); Jacksonville (-1½ to -2½); Buffalo (+11 to +10). - TIME CHANGES: LSU/Florida: now 8:25....
RATINGS: 89 & ABOVE: SUPERIOR PLAY
88 & BELOW: ABOVE AVERAGE PLAY
posted by phantom
Oct. 4 2007 7:02pm -
0 likes
marc lawrence trends
NFL
Sunday, October 7
Carolina
SERIES: 6-0 L6 A
8-0 dogs off SU fav loss vs opp off SUATS loss
8-0 dogs in 1st of BB RG’s
4-0 vs opp w/rev off SU fav loss
7-1 dogs vs div opp off DD SU loss w/rev
5-1 A Game Five
*5-1 off BB SU wins vs < .500 opp
9-3 A vs opp w/rev
FOX: 6-0 RD off SU fav loss
NEW ORLEANS
SERIES: host is 0-11 ATS
7-1 w/rest off SU loss
0-7 div HF’s off SU fav loss
3-13 favs off DD SU loss w/rev
PAYTON: 1-6 HF (0-1 this year)
Jacksonville
8-0 w/rev vs non div opp off SU dog win
1-6 Game Four
OCT: 1-6 non div RF’s
DEL RIO: 1-5 RF off SUATS win
9-2 off non div game w/rev vs non div opp
KANSAS CITY
SU winner 10-0 in AFC South series
2-7 Game 5 vs opp w/rev
Detroit
0-4 dogs off DD ATS win
OCT: 1-6 off div SU dog win vs . 500 > opp
7-1-1 O/U Game Five
WASHINGTON
SERIES: 17-2 SU / 13-0 SU H
OCT: 7-1 HF’s off div game
GIBS: 9-3 SUATS L12 w/rest
Atlanta
4-0 dogs vs opp off DD SU win
7-1 w/rev vs opp off SU win
OCT: 15-4 A vs .500 > opp
1-6 Game Five
TENNESSEE
SERIES: 4-0 L4
12-1 off SU dog win vs opp off SU win w/rev
12-2 off DD ATS win vs opp off ATS loss
OCT: 8-2 H vs opp off SU dog win
10-2 O/U Game Five
Miami
SU loser 0-13 Game Five
OCT: SU Loser 1-12 vs NFC
HOUSTON
6-0 off non conf SU loss vs < .500 opp
5-0 vs opp w/rev (1-0 this year)
OCT: SU winner 16-3 Texan games
0-4 Game Five
Seattle
9-2 dogs 6 > pts w/rev
0-4 aft SU win vs Niners
OCT: 2-14 off BB SU wins (0-9 A)
2-9 A vs non conf opp
3-10 Game Five
PITTSBURGH
SERIES: 1-6-1 L8 / 0-3-1 L4 H
11-3 Game Five
Cleveland
4-0 dogs > 10 pts
17-3 A when O/U line is 40 > pts
0-4 off 3 straight ATS wins
1-5 Game Five
CRENNEL: 6-1 dog off div opp / 4-1 DD dog
NEW ENGLAND
SERIES: 3-0 L3
8-1 Game Five
11-2 off BB SU wins of 14 > pts
OCT: 1-9 favs vs opp off SU win w/rev
Arizona
SERIES: 5-1 L6 A
SU winner 16-1 Game Five
OCT: 1-9 off SU dog win
3-9 A vs opp off BB SU losses
4-9 vs < .500 opp w/rev
ST. LOUIS
SERIES: dog is 7-0
2-11 H w/rev off BB SU losses vs div opp
NY Jets
OCT: 11-2 off div opp vs opp off SUATS loss
1-5 A Game Five
NY GIANTS
SERIES: 3-0 L3
OCT: 0-6 H vs non div opp off SUATS loss
0-5 off SU dog win vs opp off SU fav loss
0-4 off BB SU wins vs < .500 opp w/rev
2-10 O/U Game Five
Tampa Bay
SU winner 15-2 Game Five
0-5 RD’s > 3 pts vs non conf opp
0-5 off SU dog win vs opp off SU win
OCT: 1-9 off SU dog win
1-7 A vs non conf opp
2-11 off BB SU wins
INDIANPOLIS
SERIES: 3-1 L4
0-9 H off SU win vs non div opp off BB SUATS wins
OCT: 1-6 favs vs opp off SU win w/rev
5-10 H vs .666 > opp
San Diego
OCT: 7-2 off div game vs opp off SUATS loss w/rev
TURNER: 1-11 vs div opp off BB losses
DENVER
8-0 HF’s < 10 pts off SU loss vs div opp
*6-0-1 HD’s
13-5 off SU loss vs div opp
*10-4 div dogs > 1 pt
*1-5 Fav Game Five
Baltimore
SERIES: 3-1 L4
BILLICK: 6-1 A off SU fav loss
2-8 O/U Game Five
SAN FRANCISCO
5-1 non conf dogs 6 < pts
8-2 bef bye week
OCT: 1-7 off BB SU losses vs opp off SU loss
Chicago
12-1 Game Five vs opp off SUATS win
OCT: 13-2 A vs .500 > opp
2-9 off DD div SU fav loss
SMITH: 7-1 A vs opp off SU win
SMITH: 9-2 w/rev vs opp off SUATS win
GREEN BAY
OCT: 6-0 vs opp off DD SU loss w/rev
2-6 H vs .250 < opp
MCCARTHY: 1-4 off div game
8-1 O/U Game Five
Monday, October 8
Dallas
7-2 Game Five vs opp off SU win
2-9 favs aft scoring 35 > pts
3-6 DD favs off DD SU win
1-6 RF’s vs < .500 opp off SU dog win
4-14 A off SU win of 14 > pts
4-15 A vs non conf opp
BUFFALO
4-0 Game Five if W-L % is < .500
9-3 non conf dogs 4 > pts
JAURON: 11-1 non div HD (1-0 this year)
posted by phantom
Oct. 4 2007 7:04pm -
0 likes
PLAYBOOK
COLLEGE
5* Wyoming over TCU by 14
4* Houston over Alabama by 3
3* Nebraska over Missouri by 6
UPSET GAME OF WEEK: Baylor over Colorado by 3
NFL
5* Chicago over Green Bay 14
4* Baltimore over San Francisco by by 13
3* St. Louis over Arizona by 8
NFL TOTALS
5* Under Dolphins-Texans
4* Over Seahawks-Steelers
3* Under Bucs-Colts
posted by phantom
Oct. 4 2007 7:05pm