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Picks for SATURDAY, Sept 29th

SATURDAY PLAYS HERE

glta

ricky

posted by ricky

Sept. 26 2007 7:52pm

30 replies

  1. 0 likes

    Thanks for the props BeeSmart.

    The Ugly Dog went 3-1 last week

    1 We won easy with Mississipi vs Fla last week.

    2 hOME dOG Toledo won outright

    3 South Carolina covered at LSU but was a nailbiter (a win is a win though)

    4 NC blew it at South Fla

    Game #104 @South Florida +7 vs West Virginia Inbreeders

    Bigger game for the Bulls than inbreeders. USF Beat hillbillies last year in Morgantown. Primetime Game, Bulls keep it close

    Game #131 Alabama +2.5 vs FSU @ Jacksonville. Nick Satan won't lose two in a row in this 3:30 tilt.

    Game #130 @Illinois +3 vs Penn State. PSU had their covers pulled last week. Their 3 wins are as weak as puppy Piss. Overrated.

    2007 Ugly Dog record 4-4-1 (3 losses by 7 points combined but a loss is a loss)

    goat-

    posted by goat-

    Sept. 26 2007 7:56pm
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    one more play fellas.

    parlay.

    padres tonight ml with fins ml sunday.

    recap of plays

    padres/fins parlay

    g. tech +3

    vikinngs +2

    S.F. +2

    Ariz +6.

    I believe i'll have a winning weekend. gl if you follow

    jtmoney16

    posted by jtmoney16

    Sept. 26 2007 8:28pm
  3. 0 likes

    wassup guys, got my one play last week with ease :lol: , wake forest.

    for this week, i like south carolina -13 1/2 over miss. st.

    south carolina -13 1/2

    good luck everyone

    maximus

    posted by maximus

    Sept. 27 2007 2:25am
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    Hey Guys,

    Here's an early one for Saturday.

    Ohio St @ Minnesota (8pm est)

    Where do I start. The Gophers are JUST bad. Their pass def ranks dead last at 113th. They are surrendering over 40 PPG and 6.6 Y/P (ranked #118). This team is just slow as hell on defensive and their numbers support it. The Buckeyes could exploit this defense with their backups playing. On the other hand, Ohio St boasts one of the best defenses in the nation giving up only 7 PPG. The Buckeyes were up 45-0 at half last week vs another B10 weakling, Northwestern.

    Don't worry about Ohio st on the road laying so many points...

    Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS last 4 games & 6-0 ATS last 6 away vs. Gophers.

    Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on Turf.

    Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September.

    Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.

    Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.

    Buckeyes are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 conference games.

    Buckeyes are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win.

    On the other hand, Minnesota has something to worry about...

    Gophers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

    Gophers are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.

    Gophers are 0-4-3 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.

    Gophers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.

    How bad is Minnesota, they lost to to Flda Atl 42-39, giving up a whopping 570 yds. They surrendered another 577 yds vs. Mia O, another 512 yds vs. Bowling Green and finally 504 yds vs. Purdue. Get my drift here. This defense SUCKS!!

    Something I also found was their poor perfermance in 1H play. They were down 21-0 to Bowling Green, 35-14 to Flda Atl and 24-3 to Purdue. In all three games they were down by 21 pts at half. No reason why the Buckeyes can't be up by at least 21 at half imo.

    And, to solidify this play, here a Strong System Play to support this any further.

    Play On - Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points - after scoring 42 points or more last game against opponent after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored. (39-10 since 1992.) (79.6%, +28 units. Rating = 4*)

    The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (48-1)

    The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 26.1

    The average score in these games was: Team 45.4, Opponent 12.5 (Average point differential = +32.9)

    The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (48.9% of all games.)

    The situation's record this season is: (6-0) 100%

    Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-1) 94%

    Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (23-4) 85%

    Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (32-9) 78%

    Don't be afraid of this huge chalk. Lay the points!!

    OHIO ST -24 and OHIO ST -13.5 1H (BEST BETS)

    Good Luck,

    Rockman :mrgreen:

    rockman

    posted by rockman

    Sept. 27 2007 3:04pm
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    OK LAST WEEK WENT 6-7 ON SATURDAY & 1-1 ON SUNDAY

    FOOTBALL WAS GOOD TO ME LAST WEEK

    Here's to a new week

    Here is the late night bale out play if anyone needs it!!!

    Cinci -14 over San Diego St. $$$$$

    My other play for the day will be NEVADA -3.5 $$$ line has dropped from -6 but NEVADA will win and cover this game

    Also OHIO +2.5 $$$ OVER KENT ST.

    scrilla719

    posted by scrilla719

    Sept. 27 2007 6:07pm
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    As I told ya fellas, football isn't my strong suit, but I'll keep pluggin.

    College Weekly best bet: 0-2 ATS

    NFL Weekly best bet: 1-2 ATS

    College Best Bet:

    Friday night roll with me on the Bulls of South FLorida. This team is a monster at home and I actually dabbled on the money line as well. We'll see 2 legit heisman contenders, and one of em is wearing green and playing QB. If you haven't seen S> FLorida yet watch this game. THey are a legit top 15 team in my book and I see WVA is ripe for the picking tonight.

    Roll with me on South FLorida +7 tonight

    pc7588

    posted by pc7588

    Sept. 28 2007 8:21am
  7. 0 likes

    .

    Purdue came trhough 2nd H and Texas made Rice-a-Roni outta Rice

    3-1 1st Hs

    3-1 Games

    This week

    UCF over UL-Lafayette 1st H and Game

    Bonus Horse Play ----

    Assuming Lava Man scratches in the Goodwood (I believe he will) ---

    Tiago #4 WPS - 9th Race - Oak Tree/Santa Anita - 7:30 EDT

    Also - EX BX 1,3,4 TRI BX 1,3,4 (Tiago/Arson Squad/Lewis Michael)

    If Lava Man does not scratch - #7 WPS & 7-1,4 EX 7-1,4-1,4 TRI

    GL Bitchas

    .

    drtnapper07

    posted by drtnapper07

    Sept. 28 2007 1:23pm
  8. 0 likes

    OK here we go with what I THINK are some good ones..........

    TULSA -22- One of 2 top plays for the week. UAB is one of the worst teams in the country period! 4 starters back on off. that it and are currently rotating 2 running QB's, they pose no passing threat and basiclly have NO skill skill players to speak of !

    Managing 5 FG's v.s. Alcorn St. and barely topping 200 yds. passing v.s. a bad Mich. St. def. while trying to throw! NO-NO,that not enough.....on Def. they also on bring back a whopping 4 players and replacing 2 LB's and 3 of 4 secondary people. Tulsa Avg. over 370 passing,no huddle and spread off. will have no telling who covering their 4/5 Wr's but it won't be pretty. Tulsa has given up yardage on DEf. through the air, but UAB isn't BYU or Okla. so don't get concerned. The line is up and I expect it to climb a bit more,but I would NOT be concerned-I look for a repeat of the week one beating they took 55-18 at Mich. St.

    UCF -21- Try and keep this a bit shorter. Drtnapper above has this one right,we did PM this week. UCF is WAAAAY superior to La.Laf. thank goodness the line is only where it is. UCF bring back their front 7 on def. and will have no problem shutting down a one dimensional running game of La.Laf. (minus Fenroy thier top back).Their Qb. won't be able to throw and bring them back once they fall behind....and they will ! UCF will move the ball on the all day,something to the tune of 45-10.

    Other strong plays............

    VANDY -21- Again E.Mich. sucks, have played no one all year , will go no where v.s. a decent (by SEC standards) 10 starters back Def. and will have no answer for Nixon or Earl Bennett (the best WR in the country you might not ever heard of)with 8 starters back.Vandy had an off week to get ready and needs the win before starting conf. play and under coach Johnson have been taking care of the E.Mich'.s of the world at home.Don't look for a 59-10 score,more like 39-10 with Vandy in control all night.

    MICH. -17 WHAT? Mich.! Yep ! I guess I could have put aginst Northwestern,but that wouldn't have been 100% true. Without RB Sutton NW has lost it,Duke finished them two weeks ago mentally and I couldn't wait for the Ohio St. game to kick off last week! More of the same this week.Mich. def. will be able to handle them no problem, they speard to run -not pass. On off. Henne may play,but I'm saying it doesn't matter,NW won't stop Hart and Coach Carr said this week he'd like to Manningham more involved (Wow really going out on a limb v.s. the 114 th ranked pass def. there Lloyd !) But that's the extra stuff we need to be sure and cover-so maybe even Dumb-Ass Carr will call a pass play this week...but I wouldn't bet on that! Mich. Rolls !

    WISC. -7- Mich St. is NOT as good as projected.A soft schedule helped prop them up early BUT now conf. play starts. They couldn't stop Pitt from running....you think they'll stop P.J. Hill & the Badgers? No they won't. State's off. if simple and easy for Wisc. to defend ,they will have trouble moving the ball all day- a couple of bad Hoyer throws and it's over! Camp Randle will be rocking and this is the kind of game that turns ugly-I think it will. 7- is a good number, I had it figured around in 12-13 area.

    USC -21 Ahhhhh, another one dimensional team to pick on,I love it ! Wash. is back,problem is not all the way back. On def. which is improved overall, got gashed for almost 500 yds. v.s. Ohio St. includung almost 270 on the ground! Which tells me and YOU the their asses is in for a long day! SC WILL move the ball all day on them ground & air. BUT the best past comes now, Locker is fun and I like him BUT you are NOT going to beat SC and not be able to throw, he has as many pick 6 as TD's passing 6,that's not going to get it done. SC shut down Neb.'s running game and their front 7 and LB's will do the same here as well. I look for another SC ass whopping here,I'd get on them early as I expect the line to move up during the day.

    Good luck to all if you play- if you do....then play SMART !

    later,

    BeeSmart :wink:

    beesmart

    posted by beesmart

    Sept. 28 2007 3:51pm
  9. 0 likes

    Oh, as a bonus if you if you feel so inclined.........BOXING tonight.......Kelly Pavlik, goofy ol' boy from Ohio taking on Jermine Taylor. Goofy enough to send Taylor away to train for the first time in years...he knows he in for a dog fight ! This Pavlik punches hard,much harder than the avg. person in this class. You can see this on HBO.

    +120 I'd take Pavlik ,and Taylor knows it !

    Good Luck !

    BeeSmart :wink:

    beesmart

    posted by beesmart

    Sept. 28 2007 4:30pm
  10. 0 likes

    Ok, here's my dilemna. I want to pick Navy -2.5, but I'm in the Air Force. It's like betting against your home team.

    sherlock37

    posted by sherlock37

    Sept. 28 2007 5:58pm
  11. 0 likes

    One Play that will Cash !!

    Let's turn this baby around starting with a game that looks SOLID...

    Ga.Tech + 3

    Good Luck -

    2007 TOTALS 54-41 + 13.6 UNITS

    2007 Cutters 5-3 + 14.1

    Overall Cutters 39-16

    sundaybreak

    posted by sundaybreak

    Sept. 28 2007 10:48pm
  12. 0 likes

    SUNDAY ! Bro. ! Glad your back ! All we have to say is GO JACKETS !!!

    Good Luck !

    BeeSmart

    beesmart

    posted by beesmart

    Sept. 28 2007 10:58pm
  13. 0 likes

    adding Ugly Dog #13

    133 Miss St +14 @ So Carolina, Miss St playing well. day game (12:30) so the local klan won't be too juiced up that early

    adding Ugly Dog #14

    113 Mississippi +15.5 @ GA. GA coming off big win @ 'Bama, might be looking at next week's game @Tennessee. Miss almost upset Fla. Miss never wins a GA but will keep it close. 1:00 game

    Regular plays

    130 @Ore -6.5 vs Cal (opened at 4.5),public allover em but I like em at home

    181 USC-20 @Washington, like the Huskies but not against USC. Maybe a chump play laying the points but we'll see.

    2007 Ugly Dog record 5-4-1 (thanks Souh Florida), (3 losses by 7 points combined but a loss is a loss)

    Regular NCAAF record 3-2

    NFL 1-0 record

    Be careful on those baseball plays fellas

    goat-

    posted by goat-

    Sept. 28 2007 11:19pm
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    CAL MONEYLINE

    LET"S MAKE SOME MONEY

    scrilla719

    posted by scrilla719

    Sept. 28 2007 11:27pm
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    alright..my favorite day of the week is here!!!

    GAMEDAY

    Stilll capping 2 games but I think we have 2 winners and 1 a possible "TILT" Play

    GL will post them tomorrow. I need to watch a couple of things

    mustand1z

    posted by mustand1z

    Sept. 29 2007 12:01am
  16. 0 likes

    Georgia Tech +3 (Best Bet)

    Florida State -1.5

    Stanford +14.5

    Maryland +19 (least favorite, but Vegas gave me 6 extra points so I will take it)

    Write ups in NCAA Forum under Head Scratcher 2

    GL To All

    bigd

    posted by bigd

    Sept. 29 2007 1:11am
  17. 0 likes

    Going against the grain here...

    Washington +21 (USC terrible ATS in week 4....look it up) (3*)

    Ohio State -24 (8-1 ATS last 9 vs Minny) (5*)

    MAJOR 'DOG PLAY-----------> STANFORD +14.5 (owns ARI ST in CA) (5*)

    Also, will probably put a 1 unit play on.....Penn State -3. I have a funny feeling Joe Pa will return to form tomorrow.

    GL to All!

    redrascal

    posted by redrascal

    Sept. 29 2007 2:56am
  18. 0 likes

    Took a loss on the over last night. Let's switch gears to boxing.... :roll:

    PAVLIK +110

    GLTA!!

    starks104

    posted by starks104

    Sept. 29 2007 5:22am
  19. 0 likes

    All right, got off the schnide in College football with a big win on USF last night. The Bulls get no respect, but they started down that road with a nice victory.

    COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD: 1-2 ATS

    today I'm adding two to my yearly ATS:

    Roll with me on Colorado +23.

    Buffs are tougher than they look and OU hasn't played anyone yet. Let's see how they do at altitude against a Buffs team that is turning the corner.

    Roll with me on FSU under...don't know what your number is but this game screams under to me.

    GL whatever your on.

    pc7588

    posted by pc7588

    Sept. 29 2007 6:42am
  20. 0 likes

    Florida State Seminoles -1.5 over Alabama

    A neutral-site game today in Jacksonville between Alabama and FSU and we find an un-ranked Seminole team favored over #22 ranked Alabama and believe me when I tell you, there is a reason.

    The key in this game is whether or not FSU can stop Terry Grant, the starting tailback for the Tide and I believe they can.

    Grant is second in the conference with 120.8 rushing yards per game. FSU's run defense is stout, and will need to be on its game if it is to stop Grant.

    Florida State is coming off a bye week, which means they are well rested.

    Alabama is coming off an emotional loss to Georgia last week, a game that went to OT and featured lots of twists and turns.

    Expect this one to be close, but go the way of the Seminoles by a touchdown.

    morpheus

    posted by morpheus

    Sept. 29 2007 7:08am
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    CONGRATS TO ALL RED SOX FANS..ESPECIALLY BIG MESSY AND MADX AND VEG..THREE DIE HARDS I KNOW AND RESPECT$$$$

    I hate the Sox but they had a very nice season. I'll start my MLB post season on the big board once the playoffs start.

    GL today in college foots

    I'm on the futbol early and

    Colorado

    FSU under in the US.

    pc7588

    posted by pc7588

    Sept. 29 2007 8:30am
  22. 0 likes

    Week 5

    Illinois +3 vs Penn St.

    2007 College Football Record (3-2)

    Week 1

    Cal

    Week 2

    Colo St.

    Penn St.

    Week 3

    Wash

    Week 4

    Texas AM

    southern5061

    posted by southern5061

    Sept. 29 2007 9:16am
  23. 0 likes

    9-6 ytd cfb w/ a teaser pending.

    my sides have been posted already but I'm on

    Colorado +23 - defense should be able to keep it within the number

    GTech +3 - Choice will start today at RB,should have some starters back on D too.

    u44 PSU@ILL

    O59 Baylor @ A&M

    GL

    astroman

    posted by astroman

    Sept. 29 2007 10:07am
  24. 0 likes

    A&M -16.5

    Ou -13.5 1st 12

    Straight from my inside source at the Colorado Casino and Resort....

    $$$$$TILT THA BOOKIE PLAY$$$$$

    TCU -9.5

    mustand1z

    posted by mustand1z

    Sept. 29 2007 11:10am
  25. 0 likes

    Ok gonna get back into this posting game. Enjoy the ride!

    Baylor Ov 59

    North Carolina +23

    Gl Pimp

    0-0

    bigpimpin409

    posted by bigpimpin409

    Sept. 29 2007 11:24am
  26. 0 likes

    I meant North Carolina +19

    bigpimpin409

    posted by bigpimpin409

    Sept. 29 2007 11:29am
  27. 0 likes

    MICH-16

    OHIO U +3

    MSU+7.5

    NM +4

    LA TECH +12

    OSU- A MILLION

    thenooch

    posted by thenooch

    Sept. 29 2007 12:01pm
  28. 0 likes

    Saturday's NCAA

    330 to win 300:

    Maryland +19

    Tulsa -22.5

    UNLV +3.5

    220 to win 200:

    California +6.5

    BYU -4

    La Laf +22

    W. Michigan +2

    GL Guys 8)

    phball101

    posted by phball101

    Sept. 29 2007 2:39pm
  29. 0 likes

    Congrats to all GA.TECH PLAYAS $$$$$$$$$ WE WILL CELEBRATE because the Yellow Jackets broke down the Tigers like a Bad Habit !!!! EZ.

    Also Congrats to all Kentucky Backers. As Mentioned in Week 1, Kentucky will be a Cash Cow ALL YEAR and they are Perfect ATS YTD, which Translates into $$$$$$$$$$$$$

    And 1 last note, Is the Chatroom down ???

    sundaybreak

    posted by sundaybreak

    Sept. 29 2007 8:32pm
  30. 0 likes

    Chatroom has been up all day bro

    hilly

    posted by hilly

    Sept. 29 2007 10:26pm

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