NEWSLETTERS FOR WEEK OF 9/24
COLLEGE TOP 2 LAST 3 WEEKS: 6-0 SWEEP!!
NFL: POINTWISE: 4-0; PHONES: +15 STARS!
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
RUTGERS over Maryland RATING: 1
OREGON STATE over Ucla RATING: 1
WASHINGTON STATE over Arizona RATING: 2
TEMPLE over Army RATING: 3
HOUSTON over East Carolina RATING: 4
NEVADA over Unlv RATING: 4
TEXAS over Kansas State RATING: 5
INDIANA over Iowa RATING: 5
NFL KEY RELEASES
DALLAS over St Louis RATING: 2
PITTSBURGH over Arizona RATING: 3
NEW ENGLAND over Cincinnati RATING: 4
PHILADELPHIA over New York Giants RATING: 4
TAMPA BAY over Carolina RATING: 5
posted by phantom
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Confidential Kick-Off!! The Gold Sheet!!
America's Handicapping Leaders For 50 Seasons!
11 *CONNECTICUT over Akron
Late Score Forecast:
*CONNECTICUT 41 - Akron 14
UConn has looked every bit as good as its 4-0 record in wading through early
schedule. Juco QB Tyler Lorenzen has made a marked difference in the Husky
passing game, as UConn is averaging 231 ypg in the air compared with just 140
last season. Nine different players have scored TDs for the balanced Husky
attack so far. However, the real difference for Connecticut this season is
on defense. Ninth-year HC Randy Edsall is starting 8 players on "D" who are
playing in their fourth or fifth seasons. That unit is allowing just 11 ppg,
ranks 12th in total defense, and the aggressive front seven have 36 tackles
for loss and 12 sacks. Akron was missing four starters due to injury by the
end of last week's emotional rally at home against MAC rival Kent. Zips
4-10-1 vs. number last 15 on road, and soph QB Jackson will be pressured.
10 *VIRGINIA over Pittsburgh
Late Score Forecast:
*VIRGINIA 27 - Pittsburgh 10
Don't look now, but Al Groh's Virginia bunch has quietly put together 3
straight wins since ugly opening loss at Wyoming. And Cavs ought to continue
momentum at expense of Pitt side that isn't making similar progress under
increasingly-frustrated HC Dave Wannstedt. Panther "O" yet to recover from
early injury to starting QB Stull, and when backup K. Smith was KO'd vs.
UConn last week, Wannstedt was forced to use true frosh Bostick much sooner
than planned, with predictable results (3 picks vs. Huskies). Meanwhile, Groh
is effectively rotating QBs Sewell and frosh Lalich with better results,
while jr. RB Peerman (461 YR last 3) providing bonus "pop" for attack. And
remember that Cavs usually provide good value in Charlottesville (26-10 last
36 vs. number as host!).
10 EAST CAROLINA over *Houston
Late Score Forecast:
EAST CAROLINA 24 - *Houston 23
CKO sources say there is good value in taking chemistry-rich, still-confident
East Carolina squad which has quickly shaken off the 44-7 loss at West
Virginia to clearly focus on this critical C-USA clash. Operating behind a
seasoned OL, Pirates' capable & careful jr. QB Pinkney (64%, only 2 ints. in
113 attempts) & his veteran corps of receivers figure to have plenty of
"explosive" plays vs. a permissive Coug 2ndary that allowed 3 TDP last week
vs. shorthanded CSU offense missing key cog TE Sperry. Houston's top weapon
RB Aldridge is good, but he is less dangerous for the EC front 7 than last
week's warp speed Mountie attack. Careless Cougs (12 fumbles, 4 lost, 5
ints.) more likely to make a critical error than cautious Pirates (no fumbles
lost!). ECU's shrewd HC Skip Holtz is 10-1 as a road dog last 2+Ys, while UH
just 4-9 as DD home chalk since '97.
10 ALABAMA over Florida State
Late Score Forecast:
ALABAMA 21 - Florida State 13
(at Jacksonville, Fla.)
Florida State had a bye week to try to get the gears of its sluggish offense
meshing, while Alabama lost a rowdy, figurative "dawgfight" in OT vs.
riled-up Georgia. But CKO insiders in Tuscaloosa say that loss could be a
case of "blows that don't break the back, strengthen it." Good coaches and
good teams usually learn more through defeat than through victory, and such
is expected to be the case vs. for the Crimson Tide. The Seminoles are still
adjusting to new offensive coordinator Jimbo Fisher, who was Nick Saban's
o.c. at LSU! Will count on the teacher to be a tick ahead of the assistant
in this meeting, especially because Saban's QB John Parker Wilson (4 TDP vs.
Arkansas) much more polished than Seminoles' jr. Drew Weatherford (25 of 52,
only 1 TDP in games at Clemson & Colorado). Tickets for this regional clash
were split evenly.
10 *SAN DIEGO over Kansas City
Late Score Forecast:
*SAN DIEGO 30 - Kansas City 6
(Sunday, September 30)
Early criticism of Norv Turner might be a little premature, considering the
Chargers' extremely tough opening to the season-defensively powerful Chicago,
at 2007 Super Bowl favorite New England, and at red-hot Green Bay, which is
defensively improved and sports the longest winning streak in the NFL at
seven. Remember, the Chargers dominated the second half vs. the Bears and
won 14-3. Finally, S.D. back at home facing lesser foe 1-2 K.C., which is
scoring 9 ppg! With Chiefs' OL down a notch TY, training camp holdout Larry
Johnson is having a hard time getting into the swing of things in 2007 with
only 140 YR, 2.8 ypc, and no run longer than 10 yards. And HC Herm Edwards
confessed he nearly benched QB Damon Huard for the second half of the Chiefs'
13-10 victory over Minnesota. Meanwhile, Philip Rivers got on track with 3
TDP at G.B. LaDainian Tomlinson rushed for 199 yards the last time he saw
K.C.
TOTALS: OVER (41.5) in the Oakland-Miami game-New coaches Lane Kiffin & Cam
Cameron like their offenses to run at a faster tempo than their
predecessors...OVER (53) in New England-Cincinnati game (Monday
Night)-Bengals will score some, but defense can't stop Tom Brady & red-hot
Randy Moss.
HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games): TEMPLE (+5.5) at Army-Is it possible
the young Owls now have more talent than the U.S. Army?...SYRACUSE (-2) at
Miami-Ohio-RedHawks one of the most beat up teams in the country; Orangemen
rejuvenated by their big win over Louisville...CALIFORNIA (+4) at
Oregon-Don't mind having some points with Tedford & Co. in this
shootout...SOUTHERN CAL (-21) at Washington-Trojan have ground game going
again; USC defense too experienced for RS frosh UW QB Locker...GREEN BAY (-2)
at Minnesota-Red-hot Packers do what Vikings hate-pass the ball with
precision; G.B. defense improved.
posted by phantom
Sept. 25 2007 2:54pm -
0 likes
THE GOLDSHEET
SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 30
MIAMI 21 - Oakland 20--Miami HC Cam Cameron (S.D. off. coord. LY) and QB Trent Green (7 years with K.C.) well familiar with Raiders from their days in AFC West. But Dolphins still looking for their first win, while rejuvenated Oakland within a Mike Shanahan timeout of being 2-1 in 2007 (or their own timeout of 03!) . Will it be Daunte Culpepper vs. his former team after Josh McCown suffered a foot injury last week? Miami only 8-23 vs. spread last 31 at home!
(05-Miami +7 33-21...SR: Oakland 18-12-1)
Houston 23 - ATLANTA 13--Matt Schaub vs. the team that still wished it had him. It would be nice if Andre Johnson (sprained knee) returns to health for Houston, whose offense dropped to 254 yards last week vs. Indy without him. And Joey Harrington's 361 YP vs. Carolina must not be overlooked, even though insiders say Atlanta handing Byron Leftwich entire gameplans so he can play sooner rather than later. Falcons have re-signed 47-year-old PK Morten Andersen. Viva Viagra!
(03-HOUSTON -3 17-13...SR: Houston 1-0)
CLEVELAND 20 - Baltimore 13--Browns now have some weapons that must be respected in WR Braylon Edwards, TE Kellen Winslow II, and strong-armed Derek Anderson, who was the QB for Cleveland in second meeting with Baltimore LY. Not sure how much former Raven RB Jamal Lewis has left (216 YR vs. Cin.; 56 last week in Oak.), but his knowledge of Balt. offense might prove helpful. Steve McNair (groin) in an out of action (again). Ravens 0-4 last four tries as a road favorite.
(06-Balt. 15-CLE. 14...B.18-17 B.27/86 C.19/38 B.23/41/0/254 C.21/33/1/250 B.0 C.1)
(06-BALT. 27-Cle. 17...B.14-13 B.35/142 C.16/68 B.13/25/1/231 C.23/33/2/168 B.2 C.0)
(06-Baltimore -6' 15-14, BALTIMORE -12 27-17...SR: Baltimore 11-5)
Chicago 23 - DETROIT 22--Detroit's leaky pass defense appears to be just what the doctor ordered for Rex Grossman (if he is able to retain his job after another poor performance last Sunday). But expect humiliated, 2-1 Lions to play with greater determination at Ford Field (Detroit 4-1 as home dog LY), hoping Mike Martz' unbalanced offense (446 YP, 39 YR, 9 sacks at Philly) can keep them alive. Note Chicago on previous Super Bowl spread loser trend (0-3 TY).
(06-CHI. 34-Det. 7...C.22-15 C.34/89 D.14/46 C.21/28/0/294 D.23/30/0/199 C.1 D.3)
(06-Chi. 26-DET. 21...C.22-18 C.30/116 D.18/67 D.27/45/0/260 C.26/45/0/238 C.0 D.1)
(06-CHICAGO -8 34-7, Chicago -5' 26-21...SR: Chicago 87-62-5)
Green Bay 20 - MINNESOTA 16--Will Minny be a home dog in this bitter rivalry? That's worth noting, as Vikes have covered last nine times getting any points in this series. Meanwhile, Packers have now won seven straight games overall, the longest streak in the league. This one appears to be a battle between aerials of Bret Favre as he seeks the all-time TDP record, and runs of Adrian Peterson (102 YR last week at K.C.). This bitter series "under" 4-0-1 last 5 bruising meetings.
(06-G. Bay 23-MINN. 17...G.16-14 M.23/90 G.26/47 G.24/42/0/347 M.18/30/1/222 G.0 M.1)
(06-G. BAY 9-Minn. 7...G.19-3 M.22/77 G.24/46 G.26/51/2/273 M.10/20/1/27 G.1 M.0)
(06-Green Bay +5' 23-17, GREEN BAY -3' 9-7...SR: Green Bay 46-45-1)
OVER THE TOTAL DALLAS 38 - St. Louis 21--Terrell Owens (8 TDs in last 7) could be in for a big game as Cowboys return to their home carpet vs. Ram team shorthanded at CB with Fahkir Brown suspended one more game and CB Tye Hill (check status) injured. And Dallas' big OL and RBs getting the job done vs. even the best teams. It looks like a long day for the St. Louis defense. Even though Rams' OL hurting, will mention Pokes' recent 15-7-2 "over" skein.
(05-St. Louis +12' 20-10...SR: St. Louis 14-13)
NY Jets 20 - BUFFALO 13--Buffalo leads the NFL in injury depletion at the end of Week Three. At this writing, it looks as if J.P. Losman (sprained knee) will miss at least 1-2 weeks, and bright young LB Paul Pozluszny is out two months with a broken forearm. Combine those with the previous injuries at DE, LB and DB--plus a rebuilt OL--and you have a disaster situation. We can't tell you to wager on Buffalo if promising rookie QB Trent Edwards (10 of 20, 1 int. off the bench last week vs. N.E.) making his first start.
(06-Jets 28-BUF. 20...B.26-15 B.31/169 N.24/74 B.22/39/1/306 N.19/29/0/182 N.0 B.2)
(06-Buf. 31-JETS 13...N.16-14 B.34/174 N.30/132 B.10/15/0/144 N.22/35/2/143 B.1 N.1)
(06-NY Jets +5' 28-20, Buffalo +4 31-13...SR: Buffalo 51-42)
CAROLINA 20 - Tampa Bay 10--Tampa Bay "O" still no smooth-running machine, especially with Jeff Garcia reportedly butting heads with Jon Gruden on play-calling. And with Julius Peppers & Co. applying pressure, Garcia likely to be on the move more than he would like. Not terribly excited about Carolina attack either, especially if it has to turn to backup QB David Carr (check Jake Delhomme's elbow). But WR Steve Smith (4 TDC already) commanding extra attention, and DeShaun Foster (122 YR at Atlanta) back in stride.
(06-Car. 26-T. BAY 24...C.22-13 C.28/101 T.25/64 C.22/36/0/249 T.14/25/1/145 C.3 T.0)
(06-CAR. 24-T. Bay 10...C.17-13 C.30/78 T.22/69 C.22/34/1/240 T.17/32/2/153 C.1 T.2)
(06-Carolina -3 26-24, CAROLINA -9' 24-10...SR: Carolina 8-5)
SAN FRANCISCO 23 - Seattle 20--Frank Gore (only 175 YR) still looking to regain his 2006 form, and S.F. defense has lost emerging, versatile young LB Manny Lawson. Still, up & coming 49ers playing with more confidence, grit and defense than LY, when they swept Seattle, which had key players either out or less than 100% in both games. Must note, however, Seahawks only 3-9-1 vs. the spread their last 13 on road and lack the KO power of a couple years ago.
(06-S. FRAN. 20-Sea. 14...Sf.18-15 Sf.34/262 Se.21/70 Se.19/31/3/233 Sf.19/25/0/154 Sf.1 Se.2)
(06-S. Fran. 24-SEA. 14...Se.22-15 Sf.38/228 Se.27/90 Se.20/37/2/210 Sf.14/25/0/162 Sf.0 Se.0)
(06-SAN FRANCISCO +3' 20-14, San Francisco +10 24-14...SR: EVEN 8-8)
ARIZONA 20 - Pittsburgh 17--No shortage of juicy angles here, with new Arizona HC Ken Whisenhunt and OL coach Russ Grimm (a finalist for Pittsburgh HC job that went to Mike Tomlin) facing their recent employer. Their familiarity with Ben Roethlisberger and Steeler weapons ought to come in handy, especially with Cards' new 3-4 defensive scheme allowing front 7 to flow to ball and to blitz from every angle. Improved Card infantry should help counter Pittsburgh defensive aggression (12 sacks) vs. QBs Leinart or Warner (a fine 15 of 20, 2 TDs off bench last week).
(03-PITTSBURGH -7 28-15...SR: Pittsburgh 31-22-3)
SAN DIEGO 24 - Kansas City 10--Disappointed S.D. fans about ready to throw Norv Turner in a microwave after 1-2 start. But the opposition has been rugged, and no surprise if "L.T." (only 130 YR) rediscovers his step vs. the same K.C. "D" he ripped for 199 YR the last time he faced it in December. And we're not sure Chiefs (9 ppg!) could score much vs. LSU's defense, much less a competent NFL stop unit, with journeyman QB Huard unable to stretch field and opponents effectively ganging up on Larry Johnson (long gain just 10 yards thru 3 weeks!). QB Rivers had 3 TDP last week at G.B.
(06-K. CITY 30-S. Diego 27...S.22-19 K.30/134 S.23/97 S.26/44/1/252 K.15/27/0/221 K.1 S.2)
(06-S. DIEGO 20-K. City 9...16-16 S.38/265 K.21/90 K.23/41/1/151 S.8/23/2/88 S.0 K.1)
(06-KANSAS CITY +5' 30-27, SAN DIEGO -8' 20-9...SR: Kansas City 49-44-1)
INDIANAPOLIS 34 - Denver 19--Colts have handed Denver a pair of righteous whuppins' the Broncos' last two trips to Indy, beating them 41-10 in 2003 Wildcard Round and then 49-24 in 2004 Wildcard Round. So Mike Shanahan (5-2 last 7 as dog) won't mind seeing RCA Dome blown up when Colts move to their fancy, new Lucas Oil Stadium in 2008. Denver a team in transition with Jay Cutler still learning and Broncos missing some key pieces at WR (Rod Smith) in OL, and at LB (Al Wilson). In Peyton we trust.
(06-Indy 34-DENVER 31...D.24-23 D.36/227 I.21/92 I.32/39/0/345 D.13/21/0/169 I.0 D.1)
(06-Indianapolis +3 34-31...SR: Denver 11-7)
*NY GIANTS 24 - Philadelphia 21--Detroit's porous defense was just what the doctor ordered for beleaguered QB Donovan McNabb and Philly offense. However, Brian Westbrook banged his ribs, and LT William (formerly Tra) Thomas' back is ailing. That might even the playing field with the banged-up Giants, who also got on the winning track last week at Washington. With Derrick Ward (94 YR vs. Redskins) running hard and defense regaining some confidence, N.Y. might now have the edge in this NFC East battle. TV--NBC
(06-Nyg 30-PHIL. 24 (OT)...N.24-23 P.30/107 N.26/86 P.27/45/0/344 N.31/43/1/318 N.0 P.1)
(06-Phil. 36-NYG 22...N.22-21 P.30/161 N.22/88 N.28/40/2/270 P.19/28/1/221 P.1 N.2)
(06-PHIL. 23-Nyg 20...P.19-17 P.31/185 N.31/151 N.16/27/1/154 P.17/31/0/138 P.0 N.0)
(06-Giants +3 30-24 (OT), Phil. +5' 36-22, PHIL. -7 23-20 (P)...SR: NY Giants 78-67-2)
MONDAY, OCTOBER 1
*New England 37 - CINCINNATI 20--Will "Ocho Cinco" (25 recs., 3 TDs) challenge N.E. Pro Bowl CB Asante Samuel (10 ints. LY)? With an accurate QB such as Carson Palmer, C. Johnson will probably catch a few. Even so, the Cincy defense appears way too ill-equipped to cope with Tom Brady, Randy Moss, Wes Welker and the Patriots' plethora of formations and receiver groups that is generating 38 points each game the first three, even if the NFL office has confiscated all of Bill Belichick's spy tapes. With Cincy being 1-6 last 7 as home dog, can't buck N.E. Pats "over" 8 of last 9 games. CABLE TV--ESPN
(06-N. Eng. 38-CINCY 13...N.26-17 N.41/236 C.17/71 C.20/35/0/208 N.15/26/1/188 N.0 C.2)
(06-New England +6 38-13...SR: New England 12-8)
MONDAY NIGHT HISTORY
New England and Cincinnati on Monday Night
New England is 6-13 straight-up and 9-10 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football;
6-8 straight-up and 5-8-1 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football.
Cincinnati is 5-2 straight-up and 4-3 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football;
3-15 straight-up and 4-14 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN (1993-07)
Favorites vs. Pointspread
Favored by 1-6½ points Won 84, Lost 88, Tied 4
Favored by 7 points or more Won 32, Lost 25, Tied 2
Total Favorites Won 116, Lost 113, Tied 6
Home Teams vs. Pointspreads
Home Team Favorite Won 84, Lost 84, Tied 6
Home Team Underdog Won 29, Lost 31
Home Team at Pick Won 1, Lost 0
Total Home Team Won 114, Lost 115, Tied 6
2007 MONDAY NIGHT RESULTS
Cincinnati -2½ beat Baltimore 27-20 at Cincinnati o40
San Francisco -3 beat Arizona 20-17 at San Francisco u45
Washington +6½ beat Philadelphia 20-12 at Philadelphia u39
HEAD-TO-HEAD MEETINGS SINCE 2004 (not necessarily Mon. night)
2006 Reg. Seas.: New England +6 beat Cincinnati 38-13 at Cincinnati
2004 Reg. Seas.: New England -11 beat Cincinnati 35-28 at New England
NFL KEY RELEASES
CLEVELAND by 7 over Baltimore
NEW ENGLAND by 17 over Cincinnati (Monday)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
OVER THE TOTAL in the St. Louis-Dallas game
THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 27
*BOISE STATE 24 - Southern Miss 20--Well aware of BSU's spread record on the "blue carpet" (see Looking for an Angle), but believe unfinished Broncos will have trouble pulling away from seasoned, road-tested USM (played at Gainesville, Blacksburg & Knoxville last 1+Ys), ably led by vet dual threat QB J. Young. Golden Eagles slashing RB Fletcher (304 YR, 5.3 ypc) keeps pace with BSU's star RB I. Johnson (292 YR, 4.7 ypc) while USM's sure-handed sr. WR C. Johnson (14 grabs last 2 games) is most dangerous pass catcher on field. CABLE TV--ESPN (FIRST MEETING)
*ARKANSAS STATE 35 - Memphis 24 (postponed from Sept.
--Embarrassed Memphis trailed 49-0 early in 3rd Q at UCF last week. And toothless Tigers own 1 SU win in last 13 vs. TGS-rated foes. ASU calloused by trips to Texas & Tennessee, plus Indians have more balance on offense & more moxie on defense than UM.(06-Ark. St. 26-MEM. 23...A.27-19 A.51/216 M.31/127 A.12/23/2/219 M.13/28/0/215 A.1 M.0)
(06-Asu +9 26-23 04-Memphis -24 47-35...SR: Memphis 27-21-5)
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 28
*West Virginia 33 - SOUTH FLORIDA 23--Defensive edge to rapidly-emerging USF. Speedy Bull front 7 (soph DE Selvie nation-leading 8½ sacks) swarms to ball, and sr. CBs Jenkins & T. Williams a tight-covering tandem. Reluctant to buck marauding Mountaineer offense (47 ppg), however. Stars White & Slaton were banged up & decidedly sub-par in LY's stunning home loss to USF. And fiery, revenge-minded WV HC Rodriguez has covered 7 of last 8 as visiting chalk. CABLE TV--ESPN2
(06-S. Fla. 24-W. VA. 19...S.21-13 W.37/132 S.39/84 S.22/30/2/279 W.14/22/2/178 S.0 W.2)
(06-South Florida +21 24-19 05-West Virginia -9 28-13...SR: EVEN 1-1)
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 29
MIAMI-FLORIDA 30 - Duke 13--Impressive home win over Texas A&M has proud Miami & late-blooming sr. QB Wright (21 of 26 for 275 yards & 2 TDP) feeling better. Still, with Duke soph QB T. Lewis (428 YP in last-second loss at Navy) gaining confidence, improving Blue Devils (7-2 last 9 as road dog) no longer a pushover.
(06-Miami 20-DUKE 15...D.21-18 D.29/96 M.26/30 M.24/41/1/299 D.21/41/4/284 M.0 D.1)
(06-Miami -18 20-15 05-MIAMI -35' 52-7...SR: Miami-Florida 3-1)
VIRGINIA TECH 38 - North Carolina 10--Still-learning Carolina RS frosh QB Yates (4 ints. last week) lacks much ground support. And veteran Hokie defense has many more playmakers than young, vulnerable Tar Heel unit. Tech's touted true frosh QB T. Taylor ready for ACC opener after gaining valuable seasoning in cushy home wins over Ohio and William & Mary. NC has lost by 17 or more in 8 of last 9 road defeats. And Hokies fresh after playing lots of reserves last 2 weeks.
(06-Va. Tech 35-N. CAR. 10...N.16-9 V.30/117 N.31/89 N.19/38/4/179 V.11/18/0/107 V.3 N.1)
(06-Tech -13 35-10 05-TECH -23' 30-3 04-Tech -10 27-24...SR: Virginia Tech 15-9-6)
CONNECTICUT 36 - Akron 17--Arrival of composed juco QB Lorenzen has given host Huskies a more potent aerial threat, and well-coached UConn (just 1 turnover in each of first 4 games) doesn't beat itself. Banged-up Akron just 4-11 vs. spread last 15 away from Rubber Bowl. (DNP...SR: Connecticut 2-0)
IOWA 31 - Indiana 14--This is a major revenge game for Iowa, and HC Ferentz' crew should handle Indiana in front of homecoming crowd. Hawkeye defense will scheme to contain Hoosier QB K. Lewis, as vet Iowa LBs Klinkenborg & Humpal and DE Iwebema capable of containing him. Iowa improved on STs; same can't be said for Indiana TY.
(06-IND. 31-Iowa 28...Ia.27-22 Ia.37/175 In.42/158 Ia.23/40/1/292 In.19/25/0/255 In.2 Ia.1)
(06-INDIANA +19 31-28 05-IOWA -16 38-21...SR: Iowa 39-25-4)
SOUTH CAROLINA 27 - Mississippi State 7--After having so little fun vs. LSU's nation-leading defense, South Carolina's "fun and gun" regains some joy behind highly-regarded, newly-inserted RS frosh QB Smelley, who did have 174 YP & 1 TD off bench vs. Tigers last week. Meanwhile, seriously doubt MSU's unproven QBs juco Riddell and/or true frosh Carroll (only 166 YP vs. Gardner- Webb; 41 YP vs. Auburn) consistently move sticks vs. aggressive, fast 'Cock defense that limited LSU's loaded arsenal to just 1 TD in 2nd H. Spurrier is 5-1 vs. spread last 6 following SU loss in reg.-season last 2+Ys.
(06-S. Car. 15-MISS. ST. 0...M.11-10 S.29/81 M.33/79 S.15/27/1/193 M.8/23/2/82 S.0 M.0)
(06-South Carolina -6' 15-0...SR: EVEN 6-6)
Temple 21 - ARMY 20--Although Temple 0-4 SU, wouldn't lay any points with Army side that's exhibited offensive problems (just 60 ypg rushing & 14 ppg). Owls are showing signs of improvement under HC Golden, as they've fought back and covered three games. If Temple QB DiMichele avoids mistakes, Owls nab first road win since '03. Army 1-5 L6 as favorite. (DNP...SR: Army 3-1)
Air Force 29 - NAVY 27--While Navy's young and rebuilding "D" springing more leaks than Nixon's White House (Duke's erratic Thad Lewis the latest QB to perform like an All-American vs. Mids), much-improved AFA "D" keying Falc renaissance. Navy will defend Commander-in-Chief's Trophy with same vigor Dick Cheney would with foreign policy matters, but AFA has more balance and defensive experience.
(06-Navy 24-A. FORCE 17...N.23-19 N.66/317 A.46/193 A.9/19/0/119 N.1/6/1/8 N.2 A.1)
(06-Navy +2' 24-17 05-NAVY -1 27-24 04-Navy +1 24-21...SR: Air Force 25-14)
BALL STATE 41 - Buffalo 20--Ball State offense really beginning to mesh, as Cardinals rolled up 40 points and 610 yards at Nebraska behind QB Nate Davis (3 TD passes vs. Huskers), RB MiQuale Lewis (122 YR) & WR Dante Love (10 recs. for 214 yds.). Buffalo QB Willy is improved, but he doesn't have the same type of explosive talent surrounding him.
(06-Ball St. 55-BUF. 25...Bf.21-19 BS.42/232 Bf.30/42 Bf.30/44/2/264 BS.12/15/1/262 BS.0 Bf.1)
(06-Ball State -4 55-25...SR: Ball State 5-0)
Northern Illinois 30 - CENTRAL MICHIGAN 26--Can't overreact to CMU's loss to up-and-coming N. Dakota State. But Chip QB LeFevour doesn't have deep threat he had last season, and as a result CMU offensive production is down. NIU might have found RB answer in Justin Anderson (335 YR last 2 games), and Huskies have won 9 straight vs. Chips.
(06-N. ILL. 31-C. Mich. 10...N.22-16 N.39/215 C.22/104 C.25/42/2/217 N.17/27/1/185 N.0 C.1)
(06-NIU +3' 31-10 05-Niu -2' 31-28 04-NIU -20 42-10...SR: Central Michigan 21-20-1)
Michigan 41 - NORTHWESTERN 20--Michigan defense has indicated it's capable of containing offenses that don't own great speed and incapable of stopping those that do. Northwestern doesn't possess athleticism necessary to burn Wolverine DBs, and Wildcats showed they have problems against quality attacks vs. Buckeyes. Michigan has covered 8 of last 9 on road.
(06-MICH. 17-N'western 3...M.16-10 M.46/202 N.17/M13 N.20/42/3/204 M.10/20/0/116 M.2 N.2)
(06-MICH. -30 17-3 05-Mich. -3 33-17 04-MICH. -14 42-20...SR: Michigan 51-14-2)
Syracuse 31 - MIAMI-OHIO 24--Pointspread changing after Orange pulled off one of biggest upsets in college football history last week at Louisville. Reeling RedHawks have allowed 130 points in last 3 games, while injuries robbing Miami offense of its best weapons. Soph QB A. Robinson (631 YP on 65%, no ints. last 2 games) settling in at trigger of Syracuse's West Coast attack.
(06-SYR. 34-Miami-O. 14...M.19-15 S.34/152 M.29/31 M.25/39/1/241 S.14/20/0/163 S.0 M.0)
(06-SYRACUSE -7 34-14...SR: Syracuse 3-0)
UTAH 37 - Utah State 10--Utah's bipolar performance pattern causes us to pause before getting too excited about Ute recommendation. But return of QB B. Johnson should eventually pay dividends for hosts, who have taken no prisoners lately vs. lower-profile in-state rival. USU losing streak now at 10 (and 4-12 last 16 vs. line), and Ag psyche further bruised by late collapse vs. San Jose.
(06-Utah 48-UTAH ST. 0...U.18-7 U.37/161 S.29/34 U.20/30/0/240 S.6/20/2/64 U.1 S.4)
(06-Utah -20 48-0 05-UTAH -24' 31-7 04-Utah -19' 48-6...SR: Utah 74-28-4)
California 39 - OREGON 38--Since these two likely to recreate a gridiron version of the old Ron Lyle-George Foreman heavyweight slugfest, we're a bit more comfy taking whatever oddsmaker offers with lively underdog Cal. And though sr. QB Dixon doing a nice Vince Young impression with Oregon spread option, Stanford exposed some alarming leaks in Duck defensive dike last week on Farm. Trust clever Bear HC Tedford (jazzed to match wits with former mentor Mike Bellotti) and his plethora of weapons to find similar soft spots.
(06-CAL. 45-Ore. 24...O.21-20 C.42/235 O.29/70 O.21/36/3/288 C.14/26/1/189 C.0 O.1)
(06-CAL. -5 45-24 05-ORE. -2' 27-20 (OT) 04-CAL. -20 28-27...SR: California 37-30-2)
Alabama 23 - FLORIDA STATE 17--Bama off gut-wrenching 26-23 OT home loss vs. Georgia, while Florida State enjoyed bye week. But look for Tide to bounce back vs. Seminole squad that still has unresolved offensive issues under new o.c Jimbo Fisher, who called his attack "inept" following 16-6 win at Colorado. QB edge to Bama's accurate triggerman J.P Wilson, and anticipate inspired effort from bruising 6-2, 225 soph RB Coffee, who hails from Ft. Walton Beach, Florida. Meanwhile, Tide's mixing of press coverage & 3-deep zone will befuddle FSU's erratic QB Weatherford. Ticket allotment split 50-50.
(at Jacksonville, FL) (DNP...SR: Alabama 2-0-1)
GEORGIA 38 - Mississippi 14--Prefer to lay the lumber with uplifted UGA (following 26-23 OT win at Bama), which owns too much offensive speed and skill for a slowish Ole Miss defense (Rebel HC Orgeron said it himself) that still can't cover (allowing 67%). Dawgs marvelous soph QB Stafford & his quality corps of WRs will connect on numerous downfield plays, especially with dazzling RS frosh RB Moreno (342 YR, 5.3 ypc) commanding every-down attention.
(06-Georgia 14-MISS. 9...M.15-14 M.42/156 G.33/133 G.11/28/0/115 M.6/15/1/87 G.0 M.0)
(06-Georgia -18 14-9...SR: Georgia 29-12-1)
FLORIDA 42 - Auburn 13--Explosive Florida (49 ppg) has been itchin' for this one (see Angle), so compelled to "lay it" vs. Auburn squad that didn't prove much by whipping overmatched, mistake-prone New Mexico State (6 TOs). Tigers limited "lefty" QB Cox needs his bread & butter ground game to excel for play-action to work, but it won't happen vs. Gators rock-ribbed front 7 (meager 2.2 ypc). UF's multi-dimensional, super-soph QB Tebow (accounting for 363 ypg!) attracts more Heisman voters vs. overrated Auburn defense that couldn't slow another Florida school (USF) in early Sept.
(06-AUBURN 27-Fla. 17...A.19-18 F.28/171 A.40/133 A.18/27/0/182 F.9/17/1/113 A.1 F.2)
(06-AUBURN +2 27-17...SR: Auburn 41-38-2)
OREGON STATE 24 - Ucla 19--Components of this matchup hard to quantify. Especially since QB Cowan (knee) likely out, and UCLA probably one good hit on woozy Ben Olson (who missed last week with concussion symptoms) from turning to non-scholarship walk-on McLeod Bethel-Thompson. If that's the case, advantage to aggressive OSU "D," although Beav QB Canfield (5 more picks at ASU) sure not inspiring much confidence lately.
(06-UCLA 25-Ore. St. 7...O.19-15 U.36/136 O.34/85 O.17/29/0/175 U.12/23/1/126 U.1 O.4)
(06-UCLA +1' 25-7 05-UCLA -9 51-28...SR: UCLA 38-13-4)
Penn State 22 - ILLINOIS 21--Illinois frosh WR "Rejus" Benn developing rapidly into a difference-maker to complement confident soph QB Juice Williams & powerful jr. RB Rashard Mendenhall (career 6.7 ypc). Illini HC Zook had his team well prepared against Hoosiers, and expect similar performance hosting Penn State. Oddsmaker adjusting numbers fast on Illinois, but still see value in home team.
(06-PENN ST. 26-Ill. 12...I.19-10 I.42/202 P.24/40 I.13/33/2/156 P.18/34/1/144 P.1 I.2)
(06-PENN ST. -18 26-12 05-Penn St. -18 63-10...SR: Penn State 12-2)
WISCONSIN 24 - Michigan State 23--In meeting of undefeated teams, prefer taking points with improved Michigan State. Spartan defense has cut its allowance from 28 ppg LY to just 15.5 this season, and balanced MSU attack gaining more than 200 ypg both rushing and passing. Respect Wisconsin HC Bielema and QB Tyler Donovan (6-0 SU as a starter), but prefer underdog. (04-MICHIGAN STATE +7' 49-14...SR: Michigan State 26-19)
NEBRASKA 34 - Iowa State 20--ISU squandered an apparent win last week at Toledo by yielding late TDs on a kickoff return and botched punt. However, considering that Ball State (610 yards!) chopped up the Nebraska defense for more yards than did Southern Cal, will side with Bret Meyer & veteran skill cast of the Cyclones, bolstered greatly by quick juco RB J.J. Bass (390 YR).
(06-Neb. 28-IOWA ST. 14...I.18-17 N.45/251 I.24/53 I.18/39/1/262 N.17/21/0/131 N.1 I.0)
(06-Neb. -7 28-14 05-NEB. -3' 27-20 (OT) 04-ISU +4' 34-27...SR: Nebraska 83-16-2)
Kansas State 26 - TEXAS 27--Rugged Ron Prince greatly influencing the mind set of K-State, giving Wildcats more fight and confidence. KSU still looking for that "hump" road win, but an extra week of prep (WR Jordy Nelson already has two TD passes), balanced attack, veteran secondary, and powerful QB in Freeman give Wildcats a chance to hang tough vs. Texas team still not running as well as it would like. KSU has had 3 weeks to prepare.
(06-KANSAS ST. 45-Texas 42...T.25-18 T.45/143 K.25/23 K.22/34/1/323 T.17/35/0/241 K.1 T.2)
(06-KANSAS STATE +16 45-42...SR: Texas 5-4)
NEVADA 27 - Unlv 16--Shutout of Utah the latest evidence in Vegas (and we're not talking about O.J.) that Rebs are finally turning corner for much-maligned HC Sanford. But we already know what magic Chris Ault has spun in Reno, and Nevada benefits form extra week to prepare for hated "Fremont Cannon" rival. Mackay Stadium quite a fortress lately for Wolf Pack (11-0 as home chalk since '04!).
(06-Nevada 31-UNLV 3...N.14-13 N.37/180 U.31/74 U.18/32/2/153 N.9/15/0/131 N.0 U.2)
(06-Nevada -3' 31-3 05-NEVADA +1' 22-14 04-UNLV -6 48-13...SR: Nevada 17-15)
Utep 30 - SMU 26--Permissive Pony defense (1682 yards allowed in first 3 games!) finally stiffened last week at Metroplex rival TCU. But depressed SMU still found a way to lose (Frogs scored on punt block & int. return). UTEP's rushing attack (just 58 ypg in 2006!) much more productive TY, while retooling Miner stop unit has contributed a return TD in each of last 2 games.
(06-UTEP 24-Smu 21...U.21-7 U.39/89 S.23/58 U.26/37/1/298 S.10/20/3/132 U.1 S.1)
(06-UTEP -12 24-21 05-SMU +7 40-27 04-UTEP -21' 57-27...SR: SMU 9-5)
Hawaii 56 - IDAHO 25--Idaho getting surprising production from RS frosh QB Enderle, who tossed for 423 YP last week. But if Vandals couldn't trade points with Northern Illinois, it's asking a bit much to stay within earshot of June Jones' Red Gun, especially with Colt Brennan (rested ankle last week vs. Charleston So.) likely back in saddle at QB for Hawaii. Trips to mainland no longer daunting for Warriors (8-3-1 vs. line last 12 away).
(06-HAWAII 68-Idaho 10...H.29-19 I.31/141 H.15/78 H.40/51/0/497 I.14/37/1/193 H.1 I.1)
(06-HAWAII -26' 68-10 05-Hawaii P 24-0 04-HAWAII -21 52-21...SR: Hawaii 6-1)
*Lsu 45 - TULANE 0--New Tulane HC Toledo will long for his days in Westwood following anticipated blowout vs. national title contender LSU. Tigers athletic backup QB Perrilloux, who's relishing his increasing opportunities, would start for most teams. And LSU will have many more fans in Superdome than poorly-supported Green Wave, which scored last vs. LSU reserves in 49-7 pummeling LY. CABLE TV--ESPN
(06-LSU 49-Tulane 7...L.21-17 L.32/172 T.35/112 L.18/28/0/201 T.12/32/2/119 L.0 T.1)
(06-LSU -36' 49-7...SR: LSU 66-22-7)
*TCU 28 - Colorado State 13--TCU "O" not inspiring much confidence, especially with HC Patterson hinting at more QB rotation with RS frosh Dalton slumping (soph M. Jackson called in from bullpen last week vs. SMU). Fortunately for Frogs, the "D" that wrecked CSU the past two seasons remains plenty nasty. Better balance with now-healthy RB Bell still not helping Rams (on 10-game losing streak) on scoreboard.
(06-Tcu 45-COLO. ST. 14...T.33-17 T.50/350 C.18/34 C.23/36/2/266 T.18/28/0/256 T.1 C.0)
(06-Tcu -9' 45-14 05-TCU -7 33-6...SR: TCU 3-1)
*VANDERBILT 31- Eastern Michigan 16--Since Eastern Michigan possesses some competent offensive skill with 6-3 soph QB Schmitt & speedy 5-7 sr. RB P. Walker, inclined to take price vs. semi-distracted Vandy squad (Auburn, Georgia & S. Carolina on deck) that hasn't been a 3-TD favorite since 1997! (FYI,'Dores didn't cover that one). (FIRST MEETING)
*Western Michigan 35 - TOLEDO 31--Which pathetic defense is superior, and whose QB is more capable of exposing the opponent? We believe the answers are Western Michigan, and Bronco QB Tim Hiller. WMU destroyed a good C. Conn. St. team last week (ranked No. 2 among FCS schools), while Toledo's beleaguered defense ranks 117th in points allowed.
(06-W. MICH. 31-Toledo 10...T.17-11 W.32/163 T.32/88 T.18/31/3/218 W.11/15/0/98 W.0 T.1)
(06-WMU +10' 31-10 05-TOLEDO -22 56-23 04-Toledo -13' 59-33...SR: Toledo 36-25)
*OHIO 26 - Kent State 19--Both teams off heartbreaking losses last week, but look for Ohio to bounce back with a win at home in MAC opener. Bobcat RB McRae ran for 136 yds. in leading Ohio to an upset at Kent last year, and Flashes have given up 10 rush TDs and rank 113th in TO margin. Bobcat "D" held Kent QB Edelman to just 7 comps. & RB Jarvis to 34 YR LY.
(06-Ohio 17-KENT ST. 7...K.15-14 O.43/209 K.45/179 K.7/20/0/79 O.7/15/1/52 O.0 K.0)
(06-Ohio +6' 17-7 05-OHIO -4 35-32 04-KSU -2 42-16...SR: Ohio 37-20-2)
*Oklahoma 38 - COLORADO 10--Kudos to Colorado for its 42-0 shelling of crippled Miami-O. last week. But rebuilding young Buffs can't come close to matching the premium talent in quantity at OU, with its four-deep RBs, NFL-caliber receiving cast (including soph TE Gresham), and outstanding OL. Sooner defense & STs adding one TD pg so far. Scrappy CU QB C. Hawkins 6 ints. TY; OU's Bradford, 2.
(06-OKLA. 24-Colo. 3...O.17-5 O.49/166 C.30/74 O.17/26/0/105 C.3/14/1/39 O.1 C.1)
(06-OKLA. -13' 24-3 04-Okla. -22 42-3 at KC...SR: Oklahoma 39-16-2)
*TEXAS A&M 27 - Baylor 19--Baylor has done what it was supposed to do vs. the three "softies" on its schedule, beating Rice, Texas State & Buffalo by a combined 110-45, with soph QB Szymanski tossing 14 TDP. And Bears have often played their best in recent years vs. A&M. Aggies' lack of big-play WRs gives their offense a "horizontal" nature. Guy Morriss slowly accumulating more talent at WR and on defense at Baylor.
(06-Tex. A&M 31-BAY. 21...T.23-12 T.48/292 B.24/77 B.14/23/1/260 T.12/21/0/215 T.0 B.0)
(06-Tam -4' 31-21 05-TAM -23 16-13 (OT) 04-BAY. +25 35-34 (OT)...SR: Tex. A&M 64-30-9)
*VIRGINIA 27 - Pittsburgh 13--While speed on defense & blue-chip RB McCoy are positives for visiting Panthers, can't back bumbling Pitt (12 giveaways in last 3 games!) until a competent QB emerges. UVa has one of nation's leading rushers in surprising jr. Peerman (461 YR last 3 games), plenty of defensive playmakers of its own, and a stellar spread mark at home (26-10 since late 2001).
(06-PITT 38-Va. 13...13-13 P.33/107 V.21/52 P.17/22/1/283 V.19/38/2/159 P.0 V.0)
(06-PITTSBURGH -3' 38-13...SR: Pittsburgh 3-1)
*HOUSTON 32 - East Carolina 30--Offensively-balanced Houston (at least 27 points in 15 of last 17 games) possesses considerable KO power. Still, Pirates have the better defense and are stepping way down in class after trip to West Virginia last week. Versatile ECU QB P. Pinkney will make enough plays to keep visitor in hunt whole way.
(04-HOUSTON -15' 34-24...SR: East Carolina 4-3)
*TULSA 51 - Uab 20--Potent Tulsa licking its wounds after visit from mighty Oklahoma. Enter heavily-rebuilding UAB. Undersung sr. QB P. Smith (1111 YP & 10 TDP on 66% in first 3 games!) will lead Hurricane to blowout of Blazers in C-USA opener. (FIRST MEETING)
*Louisville 37 - NORTH CAROLINA STATE 23--True, opposing attacks having their way against Louisville's porous defense so far. But not sure plodding N.C. State able to take full advantage. Prefer to side with most dynamic unit on field, which is Cards' still-prolific offense. Wolfpack has allowed 988 YR in first 4 games. (DNP...SR: Louisville 2-0)
*Clemson 31 - GEORGIA TECH 16--Bad matchup for blitz-happy Georgia Tech defense, which was scorched for big play after big play by Tiger RBs J. Davis & Spiller in LY's drubbing at "Death Valley." Different venue, but same story this time around, as that terrific tandem now getting quality aerial support from near-flawless jr. QB Harper (12 TDP, no ints. in first 4 games!). And Clemson has covered 4 straight in Atlanta. Make it 5.
(06-CLEM. 31-Ga. Tech 7...C.13-12 C.38/321 G.37/88 G.12/25/1/117 C.7/16/1/105 C.1 G.0)
(06-CLEM. -7 31-7 05-TECH -2' 10-9 04-Tech +6' 28-24...SR: Georgia Tech 45-24-2)
*RUTGERS 37 - Maryland 14--Scarlet Knight offense yet to face a quality defense, but hard to argue with results so far. Strong-armed jr. QB Teel (8 TDP) more confident TY, blossoming 6-4 soph WR Britt has TDC of 53, 43, & 34 yards in last 2 games, and star RB Rice ran for 3 TDs in each of first 3. With extra week of prep, Rutgers continues to roll vs. Terrapin side off deflating come-from-ahead OT loss at Wake. (DNP...SR: Maryland 4-3)
*Ohio State 49 - MINNESOTA 20--After watching Minnesota defense get carved up 4 weeks in a row, have no interest in backing 119th-ranked Gopher "D" against balanced OSU. Buckeye defense ranks 2nd nationally by contrast, and Minny's RS frosh QB Adam Weber will be facing by far his toughest test. If Gopher d.c. Withers can't find a way to pressure OSU QB Boeckman, this won't be close. TV--ABC
(06-OHIO ST. 44-Minn. 0...O.29-10 O.46/266 M.26/47 O.17/25/0/218 M.15/28/3/135 O.3 M.0)
(06-OHIO ST. -27 44-0 05-Ohio St. -4 45-31...SR: Ohio State 39-7)
*Southern Cal 41 - WASHINGTON 13--U-Dub's new West Virginia-like spread-option a nice change-of-pace in Seattle. But Ohio State already showed what a quality "D" can do vs. Huskies, and RS frosh QB Locker still prone to errors. And just in case UW interested coming in "back door," consider that poll-conscious Pete "Tecumseh" Carroll still had QB Booty and first-string SC "O" firing well into 4th Q last week vs. Wazzu.
(06-S. CAL 26-Wash. 20...S.21-19 W.31/167 S.32/148 S.24/41/1/263 W.17/39/0/212 S.0 W.0)
(06-USC -19 26-20 05-Usc -30 51-24 04-USC -35 38-0...SR: Southern Cal 47-26-4)
*PURDUE 40 - Notre Dame 13--Spread soaring after first 0-4 start in ND history. But Irish (1-5-1 vs. spread last 7 as visitor) can expect no mercy from rival Purdue. QB Clausen still looking for his first TD pass, while Boiler sr. Painter off to 16 TD, 1 int. start. ND only 9 first downs, 86 YP last week vs. Michigan State.
(06-N. DAME 35-Purdue 21...N.33-24 N.43/138 P.18/92 P.23/46/0/398 N.29/38/0/316 N.0 P.1)
(06-UND -14' 35-21 05-Und +3' 49-28 04-Purdue -2' 41-16...SR: Notre Dame 51-25-2)
*NEW MEXICO 27 - Byu 26--With MWC race looking as wide open as National League wild card chase, don't mind taking points with capable loop underdogs. And since soph QB Porterie getting more comfy with new o.c. Baldwin's schemes, UNM well-equipped to match points with BYU bunch that's still it's own worst enemy (Cougs 33 penalties last 3!). Rocky Long's Lobos usually worth a look as dog (16-7 last 23).
(06-BYU 42-N. Mex. 17...B.29-24 B.32/189 N.31/173 B.28/42/2/464 N.22/39/2/245 B.0 N.1)
(06-BYU -26' 42-17 05-Byu +7' 27-24 04-Unm +6' 21-14...SR: BYU 41-14-1)
*Washington State 34 - ARIZONA 31--We'd be kidding if we pretended we had much confidence in either of these flawed sides. But the most reliable component on field is probably Wazzu QB Brink, who should enjoy facing underachieving Arizona "D" after dealing with USC's NFL-caliber speed last week. While jr. QB Tuitama getting feel for new Wildcat spread, remember UA 0-6 as home chalk under Mike Stoops.
(06-Ariz. 27-WAS. ST. 17...11-11 A.44/116 W.27/45 W.18/33/0/265 A.10/17/1/159 A.1 W.2)
(06-Arizona +16 27-17 04-Wsu -3' 20-19...SR: Arizona 21-13)
*Arizona State 37 - STANFORD 27--Stanford's "D" continues to take a lot of bullets, but some lively performances from Cardinal "O" serving as warning to rest of Pac-10 that Jim Harbaugh knows what he's doing with Farm version of West Coast. It might not be enough to outscore ASU and hot QB Carpenter, but Sun Devils (down 19-0 early vs. Oregon State last week) digging themselves too many holes to trust laying hefty price on road.
(06-ARIZ. ST. 38-Stan. 3...A.23-11 A.47/206 S.30/79 A.17/19/0/175 S.7/25/1/66 A.0 S.2)
(06-ASU -23' 38-3 05-STAN. +10' 45-35 04-ASU -11 34-31...SR: Arizona State 14-9)
*FRESNO STATE 33 - Louisiana Tech 27--Some encouraging signs for both of these "Bulldogs" in early going. But a bit more intrigued with La Tech version that's already covered vs. potent Hawaii and Cal and has rediscovered infantry component (223 ypg) for new HC Dooley. This hasn't been an easy matchup for Fresno (no covers last 4 meetings), also just 1-6 vs. line last 7 at once-intimidating "Dog House."
(06-Fsu 34-LA. TECH 27...L.22-19 F.38/336 L.36/166 L.18/31/2/189 F.14/23/1/142 F.2 L.0)
(06-Fsu -13 34-27 05-Tech +22' 40-28 04-TECH +14' 28-21...SR: Fresno State 6-2)
*Cincinnati 27 - SAN DIEGO STATE 17--Cincy making unusual trip to West Coast. Hot Bearcats (4-0) off to best start since 1954. However, SDS's 6-6 sr. QB O'Connell does have some capable backfield mates to make a game of it. Will note, however, Cincy's 1st-year HC Kelly is a sizzling 20-5-3 vs. spread last 2+Ys. (FIRST MEETING)
ADDED GAMES
*UCF 45 - La.-Lafayette 17--Cajun defense not ragin', as ULL allowed 117 points in last 3 games (all at home). A second Bright House blowout for star Knight RB K. Smith (163 ypg rushing) & rising UCF, which heaped 49 points on Memphis in first 33 minutes of last week's maiden victory at new on-campus stadium. (05-Ucf -3' 24-21...SR: UCF 3-0)
*MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. 23 - Florida Intl. 16--After running a thankless early-season gauntlet, this trip to reeling MTSU (on 7-game losing streak) will make FIU feel like it's on a date with J-Lo. Golden Panther QB Younger & RB Ned might finally get things working vs. Blue Raiders, who had to turn to true frosh QB Dasher (starter Craddock out with bad back) in last week's loss vs. Western Kentucky.
(06-Mtsu 7-FLA. INTL. 6...F.15-12 F.25/97 M.35/92 F.22/39/0/150 M.11/18/1/83 M.0 F.1)
(06-MTS -10 7-6 05-FIU +6' 35-31...SR: EVEN 1-1)
*KENTUCKY 45 - Florida Atlantic 13--Recommend a chemistry-rich Wildcat contingent that's 8-1 vs. spread last 9. UK's Heisman hopeful QB Woodson (record-setting 296 attempts without an int.!) does another Tom Brady impersonation vs. defensively-soft Florida Atlantic (45 ppg vs. BCS foes last 1+Ys). Do you think UK will have any compassion for former L'ville mentor Schnellenberger? (FIRST MEETING)
*ARKANSAS 56 - North Texas 17--Razorbacks' pass defense lacking (592 yds. last two weeks), but Arkansas will get its ball-control attack rolling vs. out-manned North Texas, which gave up 668 yards at Oklahoma. Confidence-shy QB Dick should find a few open receivers with UNT defense focused vs. Hog RBs McFadden & F. Jones. (DNP...SR: Arkansas 8-0)
*TROY 38 - La.-Monroe 30--No knocks on percolating Troy spread offense (34 ppg) and hot QB Haugabook. But Monroe offering lots of value lately on Sun Belt road (Warhawks have covered last 7 on conference trail), and Charlie Weatherbie's "O" has enough weapons to stay within earshot.
(06-TROY 24-La.-Mon. 19...T.24-18 T.37/161 L.32/141 L.19/40/2/249 T.27/40/3/246 T.2 L.2)
(06-TROY -9' 24-19 05-ULM +2 27-3...SR: Troy 6-2-1)
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
VIRGINIA TECH by 28 over North Carolina
FLORIDA by 29 over Auburn
KANSAS STATE Plus over Texas
CLEMSON by 15 over Georgia Tech
posted by phantom
Sept. 25 2007 2:55pm -
0 likes
Power Sweep
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
College
4* Tulsa 48-13
3* Oregon 48-30
3* Navy 38-28
2* Texas 37-13
2* Texas A&M 48-24
2* Miami Ohio 31-20
underdog Florida Atlantic 28-42
NFL
4* Seattle 34-21
3* N.E. 31-7
2* Atlanta 24-17
2* Clev 20-21
posted by phantom
Sept. 25 2007 6:47pm -
0 likes
Power Plays 4*'s
4* Virginia Tech
4* Connecticut
4* Utah
4* Oregon
4* Nebraska
4* UTEP
4* LSU
4* Virginia
4* Ohio State
4* Purdue
Winning Points NCAA
4* Rutgers
3* Illinois
2* South Carolina
2* Oklahoma
2* Texas
2* Baylor
NFL:
4* Atlanta
3* Arizona
2* Green Bay
2* Denver
Sports Reporter NCAA
Best Bet: Northwestern
Best Bet: Texas
Best Bet: Texas A&M
*Super Best Bet: Tulsa*
Best Bet: San Diego State
NFL:
Best Bet: Dallas
Best Bet: Arizona
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Marc Lawrence's Playbook
NCAA:
5* Rutgers
4* Baylor
3* Nevada
Upset: Georgia Tech
NFL:
5* Minnesota
4* Broncos
3* Detroit
MIDWEEK ALERT:
NCAA:
Penn State
LA-Monroe
NFL: Arizona
SportsMemo BEST BETS:
Cash: Air Force
Erin Rynning: FSU
Black: Central Michigan
Trushel: Mississippi
TedCovers: Nevada
Crow: Colorado State
Jones: Wash St/Arizona OVER
FairwayJay: South Florida
Palermo: Louisville
Otto: Baylor
Klein: GB/Minn Under
Veno: Texas A&M
Gold Sheet EXTRA:
Nevada
Tulsa
New Mexico
LA Tech
NFL: Arizona
posted by phantom
Sept. 25 2007 7:29pm -
0 likes
Week 4 Trend , History Report :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
If you like NFL home underdogs, then Week 4 is for you.
Of the 14 games being played this week, nine matchups involve the road team laying points.
The biggest road favorites are the Patriots laying seven on Monday night against the Bengals and the Steelers minus 5 ½ at Arizona.
Oddsmakers, especially the ones in Las Vegas, put a higher tax on public teams such as New England, Pittsburgh, Indianapolis and Dallas.
“The public is on them every week,†Mike Seba, senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants, said about those clubs. “So we make their number higher intentionally.â€
One of those road favorites is Houston.
The only other time the Texans were road ‘chalk’ in their six-year history was
minus 1 against San Francisco during the final game of 2005.
The Texans are a field goal favorite against the Falcons
“Atlanta may not win a game all year,†Seba said.
Before this past Sunday, the early Week 4 line at the Las Vegas Hilton was Vikings minus 2 hosting the Packers.
But with Green Bay upsetting San Diego to run its record to 3-0 and Minnesota looking dismal again on offense in a road loss to Kansas City, the LVSC oddsmakers opened the Packers minus 3. The line currently is Packers minus 1 ½.
“Everybody is jumping on the Packers bandwagon,†Seba said. “We have to side with the public. I think the number will come up and close 2 ½. The sharps would take three.â€
Baltimore opened either minus 4 or 4 ½ at Cleveland. Seba thinks this line is short.
He was thinking the line should be 6 or 6 ½.
“I think it’s a little cheap,†he said. “Cleveland won’t be able to go crazy against this defense. The Browns have gone against two bad defenses (Bengals and Raiders) the past two weeks.â€
Other road favorites are the Bears against the Lions, Jets against the Bills, Seahawks versus the 49ers and Eagles at the Giants.
Seba wouldn’t be shocked if the 49ers upset the Seahawks.
The 49ers are off a 21-point loss to the Steelers.
“Pittsburgh can make a lot of teams look bad,†Seba said. “The 49ers are in a good spot.â€
Some of the lines are up in the air because of quarterback injuries. Buffalo isn’t expected to have injured J.P. Losman, meaning rookie Trent Edwards makes his first start. Seba said that change would mean a two-point adjustment in the line with the Jets going from minus 3 to minus 5.
The Panthers could be without Jake Delhomme and Denver’s Jay Cutler is nursing an ankle sprain.
LVSC’s oddsmakers had a wide range of opinions on the Broncos-Colts game with the numbers ranging from Colts minus 7 up to 10 ½. That number would be higher if Cutler has to sit in favor of backup Patrick Ramsey. If that were to be the case, the readjusted line could be minus 13.
“We’d rather make the number too high on the Colts and have it bet down rather than make it too low and have everybody take it,†Seba said.
Probably no other team gets used more in parlay and teaser cards than the Colts.
There are two double-digit favorites, the Chargers hosting the Chiefs and Cowboys at home versus the Rams. The LVSC linesmakers sent-out Chargers minus 13.
“I can’t argue with a high number,†Seba said. “If the Chargers were going to lay it on somebody, this would be it.â€
The Cowboys opened minus 11, but that line may climb with the news Monday that Steven Jackson is out with a groin injury.
WEEK 4 :Green Bay Packers (3-0, both SU and ATS) at Minnesota Vikings (1-2, 1-1-1)
The Vikings are underdogs at home against Green Bay for the first time since the 2002 season and they are desperate for a win to avoid failing three games off the pace in the division chase.
Green Bay will likely be the people's choice, but Minnesota has several factors in its favor.
The Vikings have cashed nine of their last dozen against the Packers and the underdog in this storied rivalry is 16-1 in the last 17 encounters.Minnesota has 'covered' 20 of 28 as home pups and 14 of 17 as short-enders at the Metrodome with revenge.
Green Bay took both games versus the Vikings last season, prevailing as 5 1/2-point road dogs, 23-17, and as 3 1/2-point home favorites, 9-7. Minnesota has also cashed nine off 11 when playing its second game at home, including its last four as underdogs. In addition, the Vikings are 6-0 against the spread coming off back-to-back straight-up losses versus an opponent that's over .500.
The definition of a Sandwich Game. The Packers just upset the Chargers and are all talking about how they never expected a 3-0 start.
Meanwhile, they play Chicago in Week 5, in a contest that could determine the winner of the NFC North.
History: Packers have won the last 2 meetings.
Brett Favre is 14-30 ATS (19-25 straight up) in domes.
The underdog is 14-2
Question : What would your line on this game be before the season started ?
(Both teams 0-0)
Oakland Raiders (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Miani Dolphons (0-3 SU, 0-1-2 ATS)
Oakland snapped an 11-game losing skid by nipping Cleveland at home, 26-24.
The Raiders now take aim at ending a 12-game road futility streak.
Miami has faltered in eight of its last nine, both straight up and against the spread, as home favorites of 3 1/2 points or more.
The Dolphins have also failed to cash 16 of 22 at home versus non-division foes.
Miami still wants to win their first game , can they ?
Oakland is 12-22 ATS on the road and 14-20 as short-enders on the highway.
However, the Raiders have 'covered' 10 of 12 on the road before a bye and nine in a row off a SU win. Miami has won and 'covered' six straight against Oakland dating back to 1997.
Pacific Teams playing on the Atlantic Coast at 1:00 PM are 18-26 ATS since 2002 (Raiders 0-5). Raiders are 6-17 ATS vs. teams with losing records since 2001.
Raiders are 5-13 ATS in October since 2001.
Houston Texans (2-1, 2-0-1) at Atlanta Falcons (0-3, 1-2)
Houston finds itself in the rare role of favorites.
The Texans have come up short as the chalk
in seven of 11 chances since the inception of the franchise in 2002.
Houston is 3-7 ATS on the road against NFC foes.
Despite being up 17-10, Falcons corner DeAngelo Hall was responsible for 67 penalty yards on a single drive. That's two-thirds of a football field! How's that even possible?
Atlanta has cashed eight off 11 as dogs coming off a SU loss.
However, the Falcons are 3-15 ATS at home when facing teams with a winning record and they are 7-11-1 as dogs versus AFC competition.
Zero Trend: 0-3 teams are 11-8 ATS vs. non-losing teams since 2000.
The Texans have tipped 'under' in 18 of 28 on the road. Atlanta has zipped 'over' in 13 of 18 as non-conference dogs.
Baltimore Ravens (2-1, 0-3) at Cleveland Browns (1-2, 2-1)
Baltimore hasn't dropped four in a row ATS since Brian Billick took over in 1999.
However, the dog in this AFC North rivalry has come away with the cash in eight of the last 11 encounters and the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight clashes.
The Ravens are coming off a last-second field goal, so this could be an Emotional Alert for them. This contest obviously means more to the Browns, who would love to obliterate their most hated rival.
Cleveland has 'covered' three straight overall against the Ravens and three straight at home.
The Browns are 3-10 as division dogs of less than seven points.
They have cashed at a 16-6-1 clip after scoring 23 points or more. Baltimore has lost and failed in 14 of its last 20 road outings.
Six of the past nine series scuffles have been on the low side.
The Ravens have knuckled 'under' at a 19-7-1 rate in September. Cleveland has dipped 'under' at a 19-10-1 pace as home dogs of three points or more.
History: Home Team has won 5 of the last 6 meetings.
Ravens are 39-9 SU; 30-18 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2000 (26-39 SU vs. non-losing).
Chicago Bears (1-2, 0-3) at Detroit Lions (2-1, 1-1-1)
Chicago has now dropped six straight spread decisions dating back to 2006.
The last time the defending NFC champs failed to get the green in four straight games in the same season was in 2002.
Detroit will be looking to extend a streak that has seen the dog cash at a 10-4-1 pace in this series.
The SU winner is also 27-5-2 ATS.
The Bears are 4-9-2 as division road favorites and 11-32-2 ATS coming off a SU loss as the chalk.
The Lions are 29-16 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more.
Chicago has slipped below the 'total' in eight of 10 after bowing SU as a favorite.
Detroit has ducked 'under' at an 11-4-1 clip in September.
History: Home Team has won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
History: Bears have won the last 4 meetings.
History: Seven of the last nine meetings have been decided by 6 points or less.
History : The Underdog in series is 11-4-1 (Lions)
St Louis Rams (0-3, 0-3) at Dallas Cowboys (3-0, 3-0)
Dallas should attract a lot of attention this week considering it has cashed three in a row and St. Louis has failed in three straight ATS.
However, the Cowboys are 8-16 as double-digit favorites and 4-9 ATS off a SU win as underdogs.
They have cashed seven of eight at home off back-to-back road games.
St. Louis wants to win its first game at 0-3. Then again they did at 01- , 0-2
The Rams are 9-26-2 ATS against non-division foes and 10-18 ATS on the highway when facing teams with a winning record.
St. Louis has eclipsed the 'total' in 14 of 20 as double-digit dogs and in 13 of 20 on the road versus a non-division opponent.
NY Jets (1-2, 1-1-1) at Buffalo Bills (0-3, 1-2)
The New York Jets have stumbled in eight of their last nine as road favorites against Buffalo. However, the Jets have 'covered' at a 9-4-1 pace as away chalk overall.
The Bills are 12-2 ATS off a SU division loss and 13-1 after playing New England.
Buffalo has cashed five of its last seven against New York.
The Jets a 3-9-1 ATS when facing teams that are under .500.
History: Home Team has won 7 of the last 9 meetings.
Jets are 5-1 ATS as a favorite under Eric Mangini.
Bills are 11-1 ATS after playing the New England Patriots since 1999.
Bills are 9-4 ATS as a dog under Dick Jauron.
Tampa Bay Bucs (2-1, 2-1) at Carolina Panthers (2-1, 2-1)
Tampa Bay hasn't handled prosperity very well.
The Bucs are 2-11 ATS coming off back-to-back SU wins. Carolina has dominated this division rivalry, getting the green in eight of the last 11 meetings.
However, the series dog has cashed in eight of 10 encounters.
The Panthers are 3-9 ATS after a SU division road win and 1-6 as home favorites after allowing more than 17 points in September.
They have also come up short in 13 of 16 as favorites of between four and seven points
Carolina has strayed below the number in three straight games as division home favorites.
The Bucs have gone 'under' in 33 of 48 after allowing 10 points or less.
History: Panthers have won 8 of the last 9 meetings.
Seattle Seahawks (2-1, 1-1-1) at San Francisco 49ers (2-1, 1-1-1)
Seattle is 7-17 as road favorites and 3-12 on the highway when laying 3 1/2 points or less.
San Francisco is 8-15 as dogs after failing to cash as dogs and 6-10 ATS at home following a double-digit loss.
Seattle had won six straight versus the 49ers (4-2 ATS) until losing and failing in both encounters last year.
The 'under' is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings.
This is an important statement game for the 49ers
Seattle has Pit next week (they lost to AZ with Cin on Deck)
History: 49ers won the last 2 meetings. Seahawks are 3-7 ATS on the road since 2006. Matt Hasselbeck is 6-13 ATS as a road favorite.
Pittsburgh Steelers (3-0, 3-0) at Arizona Cardinals (1-2, 2-0-1)
The Steelers could be looking ahead to their Super Bowl rematch against the Seahawks. Ken Whisenhunt, meanwhile, would love to beat the team that passed on him as a head coaching candidate
Pittsburgh has cashed four straight and nine of its last 11 dating back to 2006. The Steelers are 16-8-1 ATS off a double-digit win.
However, they are 1-7 as road favorites off a double-digit SU win and 6-16-1 as non-division away favorites.
Pittsburgh has 'covered' at a 13-2-1 clip as non-conference chalk overall.
Arizona is 7-18 ATS at home in September and it has floundered in 10 of 12 as non-conference dogs of more than three points.
Steelers are 20-7 ATS in October since 2000. Ben Roethlisberger is 37-11 as a starter (31-17 ATS).
Matt Leinart is 8-3 ATS as a starter.
Kansas City Chiefs (1-2, 2-1) at San Diego Chargers (1-2, 1-2)
Panic time in Sandiego
The home team has held the aces in the AFC West rivalry, getting the cheese at a 7-1-1 rate.
The SU winner is 21-3-2 ATS.
San Diego is 13-3 as home favorites in September.
The Chargers have 'covered' 12 of 15 off a non-division game versus an opponent with revenge. Kansas City is 2-7 as division road dogs.
The Chiefs have eclipsed the 'total' at a 21-13-1 clip as short-enders.
However, San Diego has slipped 'under' in 14 of 20 as division home chalk.
History: Home Team has won 15 of the last 18 meetings.
History: Eight of the last 11 meetings have been decided by 5 points or less.
Divisional Dog of Seven: Current coaches are 42-30 ATS as divisional dogs of 7+ since 2002 (Herm Edwards 2-2).
The home team is 12-4 ATS
Chiefs are 10-15 ATS on the road since 2004.
Philip Rivers is 15-5 as a starter (10-10 ATS).
Philadelphia Eagles (1-2, 1-2) at NY Giants (1-2, 1-2)
The winner in this heated rivalry improves to 2-2.
The loser stands alone in the NFC East cellar.
Very important game for both teams.
Philadelphia has cashed six of its last eight against the New York Giants.
The Eagles have prospered on the road against division foes, getting the money in 18 of 27.
The Giants have cashed 29 of 44 after winning SU as underdogs.
Nine of the last dozen series encounters have been on the low side.
Philadelphia has ducked 'under' in seven of nine as division road favorites and New York has followed suit at a 10-2-1 rate as division home dogs.
The Eagles have slipped 'under' in 11 of 14 after scoring 28 points or more.
History: Eagles have won 9 of the last 13 meetings.
Eagles are 42-24 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
Eagles are 19-10 ATS vs. NFC East opponents since 2001.
Eagles are 20-12 ATS vs. teams with losing records since 2001.
Eagles are 2-6 ATS going into a bye under Andy Reid.
Donovan McNabb is 24-16 ATS on the road since 2001
SUMMARY : LINE IS -3 If you like Eagles bet it now likely climb o 3.5 ...
New England Patriots (3-0, 3-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-2, 1-1-1)
Cincinnati would appear to have faint hope when it hosts New England, the hottest team on Planet NFL.
However, the Bengals have 'covered' six of eight as dogs of six points or more and the Patriots are a dismal 4-17 ATS when playing their second road game of the season.
New England is 13-2 ATS off back-to-back SU wins and 20-5-1 ATS after allowing 10 points or less.
The Pats are also 9-1 ATS off a double-digit division win.
Cincinnati is 15-32 ATS at home in September.
The Bengals have failed to 'cover' seven of eight versus non-division opponents when playing on Monday.
Underdogs of 6.5 or more are 16-7 ATS a week before their bye since 2002.
MNF Home Advantage: Monday Night Football home teams are 12-8 ATS since 2006
. MNF Home Dogs: Monday Night Football home underdogs are 4-3 ATS since 2006.
Tom Brady is 85-25 as a starter (69-39 ATS). Carson Palmer is 2-5 ATS as a home dog
MNF Home advantage :
Road teams favored by more than 7 points are 38-63-3 from 1997 - 2007 (37%)
This looks like a poker “feeler betâ€
for week 5 :
New England at home vs Cleveland
What should the line be regardless of outcome either team ?
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 26 2007 1:23am -
0 likes
Marc Lawrence Playbook
AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK
Marc's Awesome Angle Of The Week
Wins 67% In PLAYBOOK Last Four Years!
ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 15-1 (94%)
PLAY ON any winless NFL Game Four home team that is not a dog vs. a foe that is not off a SUATS loss.
Play On: MIAMI DOLPHINS
SMART BOX
FRESHEN UP
According to our powerful database, it seems Game
4 of the College Football season is often times a critical
stepping stone for teams who play with a week of rest. This
is especially true for teams that are installed as favorites.
That's confi rmed by a 82-62 ATS winning mark since 1980.
This week fi nds no less than four favorites that will take a
'freshening approach' to the games at hand. They include
Florida State, Fresno State, Nevada and Vanderbilt.
When these re-invigorated favs take on an opponent off a
win they improve to 46-22 ATS. That's a step in the right
direction, to be sure. More important is a startling 16-2
ATS mark when these teams take on a non-conference
opponent. Simply identify the non-conference favorites that
are taking on foes off a win from the list above and you're in
business. Once you have, raise your hand if you're sure!
BOISE ST over Southern Miss by 14
Boise routinely dispatches visitors to the blue turf, going 44-2 SU and
33-13 ATS in lined home games, including a sweet 11-0 pointspread
streak when favored by 12 or less points. Golden Eagles show up on the
endangered species list in scheduling situations like this: head coach Jeff
Bower is 1-18-1 SU and 6-14 ATS when playing a non-conference foe
away from Hattiesburg when stuck in the middle of a CUSA sandwich.
The Eagles’ 1-9 ATS mark of futility in Game Four and a dismal 0-5 ATS
run as dogs before back-to-back home games further seals their fate.
We’ll order some roasted fowl at the Boise Café today.
ARKANSAS ST over Memphis by 4
This is a replay of a game originally scheduled for September 8 that was
canceled due to lightning and dangerous weather. We picked Memphis
to win by 4 points then but after the Tigers' disastrous no-show at UCF
last week, we'll reverse roles and go with a more consistent Indian
squad that actually outstattted Texas in their season opener.
West Virginia over SOUTH FLORIDA by 10
South Florida’s shocking 24-19 upset in Morgantown proved to be
WVU’s only home loss in ’06 and effectively removed the Mounties
from national title consideration. Now Rich Rodriguez and company
have a chance to return the favor as both teams carry unbeaten records
into the fray. The Bulls are ferocious when it comes to defending their
Tampa turf, winning 42 of their last 51 home games SU – but they’re
nothing special when taking points, posting a lukewarm 5-4 ATS mark
in that role. Jed Clampett’s kinfolk are a near-perfect 18-1 ATS when
they win outright with conference revenge, plus they’ve covered four of
their previous fi ve Big East openers. We know White & Slaton will light
up the scoreboard but the WVU defense must equal the pressure they
applied to ECU if Rodriguez is to collect on a long-overdue debt.
MIAMI FL over Duke by 27
The Blue Devils have been a big surprise, bringing down Northwestern
and coming within a fi eld goal of sinking Navy. Now, however, is where
the Dookies wish they could transfer to the MAC for the remainder of
the season (3-55 SU on the ACC road). Miami struggled to a slim 20-15
win at Durham last year and the Canes own a less-than-intimidating
12-22 ATS record as home faves of more than 24-points when playing
a sub .500 opponent. Still, Miami’s rousing 34-17 rip job of Texas A&M
seems to have restored enough swagger to Randy Shannon’s team to
propel them to a win and cover today.
VA TECH over N Carolina by 21
Considering the Hokie defense has allowed just 5.7 points per game
in their three wins this season, we’ll look for the ‘Butch Davis Rule’ to
be in effect today: the UNC coach has covered just ONE of 20 games in
his college career when his team fails to reach the 21-point mark. With
Carolina posting a weak 10 points in last year’s loss to VT, we don’t
see them denting the scoreboard for much more today. Hokies are
8-2 ATS off a SU ‘unlined’ victory and have admirably shaken off the
demoralizing defeat at LSU. Look for Frank Beamer to better his 43-24-4
ATS record when taking conference foes behind the SU win shed.
CONNECTICUT over Akron by 13
Defense is not an issue when these two lock horns. Their previous two
meetings resulted in high-scoring thrillers, 38-37 and 38-35 decisions,
both won by Uconn. The Zips always go into the ATS tank after facing
the Golden Flashes, posting a 0-9 SU & 1-3-1 ATS record. Connecticut
moved into a 3-way tie for the Big East lead after punishing Pittsburgh
last but even with the Huskies’ 4-0 start – and coach Randy Edsall’s 18-
13-2 ATS record at Storrs – we can’t work up an appetite for this.
IOWA over Indiana by 10
Iowa's Kirk Ferentz has fashioned a 7-1 ATS record of success following
Badger battles and his 19-10 ATS mark as a double-digit favorite at
Kinnick Stadium always gets our attention. Still, Iowa’s offensive
struggles and 2-game losing skid are cause for concern. Even though
the Hawks owe Indiana for an embarrassing 28-31 loss last year, we’ll
opt for the points with the improving Hoosiers.
SOUTH CAROLINA over Mississippi St by 16
While a disgusted Steve Spurrier was breaking clipboards and fl inging
visors in Baton Rouge last Saturday, Sly Croom’s Bulldogs were
whipping Gardner-Webb to match their highest win total (3) in the
last four seasons. Now they look to score their second SEC road win of
2007 against a Gamecock club hampered by a suddenly-unsettled QB
situation. Too bad the Starkville Dawgs can’t handle success – they’re
0-5 ATS playing off three consecutive wins. South Carolina’s recent
series dominance (4-0 SU & ATS) and Spurrier’s outstanding career
record in conference play (107-32-1 SU & 86-52-2 ATS) tells us that
MSU may get cold-cocked in Columbia today.
ARMY over Temple by 6
Forget the jokes – these two also-rans have played their guts out so
far in 2007 but don’t have the talent to compete (Owls are 0-4 SU
while Army’s lone win came over Rhode Island). The Cadets have been
installed as chalk just six times since 2002 and covered only once, losing
four games outright. The series pup has fought to a 3-1 ATS edge but
risking our hard-earned dough on the lesser of two evils does not
appear in our current playbook. No interest.
OREGON over California by 6
High-fl ying Ducks have averaged 48.5 points per game compared to
41.5 for Cal and prior to last year’s 24-45 loss to Cal, the webfoots
had covered four straight in the series – as well as seven of the last
eight at Autzen Stadium. Oregon head coach Bellotti has brought
home the money following a previous SU win of more than 14 points,
notching a fi ne 12-3 ATS mark. Bears’ coach Jeff Tedford is a former
O.C. with the Ducks but he’s failed to either win or cover against his
former team in two previous trips to Eugene. Cal does own the better
defense but a recent 0-3 ATS record when taking points sends us right
back to the Duck Pond.
Florida St over Alabama by 2
FSU coach Bowden fought off the wolves as best he could before
replacing son Jeff with Jimbo Fisher as his offensive coordinator but the
return on the investment has been scant – just 16 and 18 points scored
against Colorado and Clemson. Fisher’s plan of attack might prove to
be more effective against an Alabama team taking to the road after
a pair of brutal SEC wars against Arkansas and Georgia. Both teams
are stocked with quality athletes directed by successful coaches – a
stalemate, in other words. While the SMART BOX casts a vote for the
Seminoles, the Tide is off a loss and head elephant Nick Saban is 15-7
ATS as a dog of 6 or less points in his college career. We may revisit
and unravel this this later. Until then, we’ll pass for now.
GEORGIA over Mississippi by 13
If there really is no such thing as a moral victory in football, then what
Ole Miss did last week against Florida sure fi nishes a close second. The
Rebels took the supposedly invincible Gators to the limit before losing
by 6 points, an effort that should send them into Athens with some
badly-needed confi dence. Bulldogs got a shot of that themselves by
beating The Tide in OT but now play the meat in a Alabama-Tennessee
sandwich. Mississippi likes playing between the hedges, covering four
of the past fi ve trips to Sanford Stadium, and taking on a coach like
Mark Richt who’s just 1-6 ATS at home vs. a conference opponent with
revenge. Can’t back a favorite like that.
FLORIDA over Auburn by 15
We may get after Auburn’s Tommy Tuberville on occasion but there’s
no one we’d rather have on the sideline when it comes to squaring
off against an undefeated foe. Playing from Game Four out in this
role, Tubs is a near-perfect 7-0-1 ATS, and he owns a solid 30-18 spread
record when hitting the road in what could be American’s toughest
conference. He’s also responsible for the only blemish on Florida’s 13-1
championship season of 2006, a 27-17 win at Gainesville. The problem
here is Auburn’s fi rst trip away from the plains after a rocky 4-game
home stand. We know what the Gators can do against a quality team
in the Swamp (59 points against Tennessee), so we’ll have to trust in
Tuberville and a stout Auburn defense to deliver the cash.
NAVY over Air Force by 6
After having his 3-0 unbeaten record removed without benefi t of
anesthesia by the BYU surgical staff, Air Force rookie skipper Troy
Calhoun gets his fi rst taste of a Commander-In-Chief contest. The
Flyboys have been grounded in seven of the last confrontations with
Navy and limp into Annapolis after scoring just 6 points against the
Mormons. The Middies have taken an uncharacteristic ATS dump in
2007, sinking to a 0-4 log after covering 30 of their previous 45 games.
Even so, despite injuries to the linebacking corps, Navy coach Paul
Johnson is the answer to this week’s TRIVIA TEASER (page 2) and should
right this ship soon. Our best guess is it starts here today.
BALL ST over Buffalo by 17
How bout them ‘Nads? After playing the tits off their fi rst three
opponents, they almost put the corn to mighty Nebraska last week
before dropping a 40-41 ball-buster in Lincoln. Now the question: will
they retain their spherical shape after the near-miss vs. the Huskers
or will they show up fl atter than a tortilla? Confl icting trends point
out that Ball State is on a nice 8-0 ATS run when cashing the ticket
as chalk, but home teams off a 1-point defeat as 20-point or higher
doggies have been neutered to the tune of 1-7 SU & 1-5-1 ATS. Hefty
price keeps us off the Gonads today.
C MICHIGAN over No Illinois by 1
Trying to fi nd a legitimate edge in these MAC matchups is harder than
sitting through all three ‘Lord of the Rings’ movies without being
allowed a bathroom break. The home team Chippewas can claim an
11-2 ATS record playing at Kelly/Shorts Stadium off a non-conference
game but they’ve also been barbecued in eight of their last nine
confrontations with NIU. Despite the Huskies’ SU dog win over Idaho
on Saturday (Vandals won stats, 586-344), they’re still riddled with
injuries to key personnel. CMU revenge from last year’s 10-31 beating
ensures our apathy.
Michigan over NORTHWESTERN by 10
NU coach Pat Fitzgerald now knows how George Armstrong Custer
felt at Little Big Horn after the Wildcats were mercilessly massacred by
Ohio State, 58-7. The fl oodgates opened early and before they could
blink they were down 28-0. Such Buckeye beatings are more the rule
than the exception so look for Northwestern to regroup in time to take
on Michigan. The Purple Cats hold their own when getting points at
Evanston, going 12-6 ATS lately and Wolverines' coach Lloyd Carr is a
money-burning 6-14-1 vs. the number when installed as away chalk
following a SUATS win. Bottom line is we can’t trust Michigan laying
points in its fi rst trip away from Ann Arbor, not off last week’s satisfying
home puppy win over Joe Pa. If Wildcat RB Tyrell Sutton decides to
suit up it would be no surprise to see the Purple Reign.
MIAMI OH over Syracuse by 1
Forget about Appalachian State – the Orange drubbing of Louisville
last week qualifi es as the season’s biggest upset so far. Syracuse now
looks to win back-to-back road wins for the fi rst time ever under
Greg Robinson and might be able to pull it off against a Miami Ohio
squad ravaged by injuries. Still, teams coming off a SU win as a 20 or
more point underdog are just 6-19-2 ATS when lining up against a
non-league foe. The huge win over the Cardinals can’t mask the fact
that the ‘Cuse is still a work in progress, outstatted by an average of
over 230 yards per game! Like the RedHawks have been doing lately,
we’ll likely phone in sick to work today.
UTAH over Utah St by 22
Will the REAL Utah team stand up? Two weeks ago, they eviscerated
UCLA, 44-6, as 15-point home dogs but last Saturday the Utes were
unceremoniously skunked at UNLV in a 0-27 stink job. And, to make
matters even more confounding, star QB Brian Johnson returned to
duty last week! When confused, we turn to history – which tells us
the visiting Aggies have failed to cover in fi ve straight meetings and
almost never win a game outright (1-14 SU L15). However, this will
be Utah’s homecoming game and home favorites in that role have
burned money at an alarming rate in recent years. We know they have
the better athletes but the Utes will have to ditch the Jekyll-and-Hyde
act and heal some bodies before we come any closer.
3 BEST BET
Rebels snapped a 0-12 road-losing skein under Mike Sanford
when they won SU at Utah State in this year’s season opener.
They also gave Wisconsin fi ts in a 13-20 loss and ambushed Utah
for a huge win last week. Too bad, then, that UNLV has to run
smack into the very best our SMART BOX has to offer: Game Four
bowlers (Nevada) playing with rest off a SU win are an impressive
18-5-1 ATS. The Rebels also fail miserably when losing SU as dogs,
covering just 10 of their last 38 chances. We know the Reno wolves
have been favored only once in the last seven meetings – but
that was a convincing 31-3 rout last year. We’ll put our trust in
the sagacious square.0
NEVADA over Unlv by 14
SMU over Texas El Paso by 3
What’s gotten into these Ponies? Outstatted by over 160 yards in
each of their fi rst three games this year, SMU turned the tables on the
Horned Frogs, outgaining the Toadies by a 352-260 margin. They still
lost outright, 7-21, but allowed just one offensive TD against TCU. UTEP
hasn’t fared much better in the weekly stats battles, getting whipped
by 130 yards per game, so there’s not much on either side to hang our
hats on. The Miners’ lowly 2-9 ATS streak as conference road pups pulls
us toward the corral but after noting that SMU’s cover against TCU
was their fi rst of the season, we think we’ll visit this later.
Hawaii over IDAHO by 28
The betting public put a lot of faith in Idaho last week, moving their
game with NIU from pick to Idaho –3, then had their pockets picked
when the Huskies won outright, 42-35. There’ll be no such monkey
business this week as Hawaii brings one of college football’s ‘top fuel’
offenses to Moscow. The Warriors whipped the Vandals by a mere
58 points last year and have outscored the Potato Heads by 144-31
in the last three games. Idaho’s recent 0-4 ATS failure playing with
conference revenge adds new luster to Hawaii’s sterling 15-4-1 ATS
record when winning as road chalk. Do you prefer your taters mashed,
whipped or roasted?
Lsu over TULANE by 40
Sensitive viewers who still fi nd it diffi cult to look at the troubling
images of post-Katrina New Orleans had better stay the hell away
from this telecast. Tulane got gashed for 38 points by Mississippi State
to open the season so one can only imagine how much carnage will
be wrought by the LSU attack. The Green Wave can’t turn to the stats
for help: they’re just 1-10 vs. the number in the dome against the SEC,
3-7 ATS with non-league revenge and 3-7 ATS taking the points in the
last of three straight home games. Bayou Bengals are on an 11-1 ATS
ride after playing three in a row at Death Valley. Miles has the look
of a cripple-shooter and with Oklahoma and Florida closing in on his
#2 ranking, the LSU coach may pour it on against his weak cross-town
foes (without even trying).
TCU over Colorado St by 10
It’s becoming painfully apparent that this year’s TCU team is not in the
same league as recent Frog editions that made 11-win seasons a habit.
Despite a 21-7 win over SMU, the Horned Ones were easily outyarded
again as Gary Patterson’s offense simply could not fi nd a rhythm. All
is not well in Fort Collins, either, as Colorado State blew another game
to extend its record of misery to 0-3. The Rams held a 24-10 lead over
Houston before being outscored 28-3, a recurring theme that could cost
veteran coach Sonny Lubick his job. But Sonny’s got some ammunition
for this encounter: last year’s 14-45 home loss was the worst of his career
vs. a MWC foe. Lubick’s 14-5-1 ATS mark as an avenging dog can’t be
ignored against a team that’s still struggling to fi nd an identity. At 0-3,
CSU doesn’t care about an identity – they just want a win.
VANDERBILT over E Michigan by 24
Eastern Michigan brings some of the worst numbers ever seen to
Nashville: how about 0-18 SU & 3-15 ATS when carrying the luggage
to lined games against non-MAC opposition, including 0-7 off a SU
win? That win, by the way, was a 38-15 victory over Howard where the
EMU’s were outgained by over 100 yards! Besides owning a strong 27-9
ATS record when winning SU as a favorite (9-0 off a SUATS win), the
Commies also receive the highest recommendation from this week’s
SMART BOX. We’re smart enough to follow good advice so we’ll hope
Vandy plays dandy in this matchup.
TOLEDO over W Michigan by 1
The MAC isn’t exactly setting the gridrion world on fi re lately and with
identical 1-3 records, these two represent the dregs of the conference.
The fi zzling Rockets fi nally got off the schneid by edging Iowa State
while the Broncos actually got to trample 1-AA Central Connecticut
State. Even though Western beat Toledo SU as a double-digit home dog
last year, the Rockets had won and covered the previous four meetings.
Toledo’s Tom Amstutz pays the bills when playing with revenge in the
Glass Bowl, going 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS, and we think Saturday’s big win
might fi nally get these Rockets off the ground.
OREGON ST over Ucla by 1
Bruins emptied a lot of wallet’s last week after the announcement of
QB Ben Olson’s absence due to headaches sent bettors scurrying to
the Washington window. Still smarting from their inexplicable loss
at Utah, UCLA coach Karl Dorrell and replacement QB Pat Cowan
unleashed a 42-point barrage on the stunned Huskies. Oregon State
continues to lose games while winning the stat battle: they’re now
2-2 SU after outgaining Arizona State 514-396 last week in a 12-point
loss. The Beavers seldom fi nd a way to win in this series, managing
only four victories in the previous 20 games. Bruins have also covered
the last four on this fi eld and now that they appear to be refocused,
we’ll fade the favored Beavers in a tight one.
Penn St over ILLINOIS by 7
Off a frustrating loss at Michigan, Joe Pa’s Lions bring a wealth of
pointspread treasure to this game. Penn State is 4-0 ATS at Champaign,
5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS after playing the Wolverines and 4-0 ATS off the fi rst
loss of the season. The Illini counter with a 5-0 ATS mark as avenging
BIG 10 dogs. That’s where it ends, however, as the biggest difference
today is this becomes a ‘step-up’ game for the re-invigorated Illini.
Aside from a mediocre 12-20 ATS log as conference home dogs of late,
they have been dogs of 15 or more points in each of the last three
meetings in this series. We feel a fi eld goal won’t be enough today.
WISCONSIN over Michigan St by 10
Michigan State duplicated Wisconsin’s 4-0 start with a 17-point decision
over winless Notre Dame but we’re not exactly sure we’re sold on the
Spartans just yet. For one thing, they’ve failed to cash in seven straight
when made a conference dog of 7 or less points. They also dip to a 1-5
ATS mark when playing the second of consecutive road games. When
Wisky keeps the home fi res burning for two straight weeks, they’ve
compiled a wallet-warming 6-1 ATS record… in addition to their 6-1
spread mark in Game Five. Sparty may wind up missing some fabric
after walking into the Badger den today.
NEBRASKA over Iowa St by 24
If all we had to go on here was Nebraska’s incredibly poor showing
against Ball State last week, we’d give the Cyclones a serious look. But
after being introduced to the Huskers’ dominating series numbers – 8-2
ATS L10 & 7-0 ATS L7 at Lincoln – we took a longer look at Iowa State’s
dreadful 1-12 ATS account as a BIG 12 dog of 17 or more points and
decided to forget all about Nebraska’s close call. The corn peeled at
Memorial Stadium today will probably belong to Iowa State.
TEXAS over Kansas St by 16
The Longhorns’ Mack Brown is probably still fuming over last year’s
42-45 loss (as 16-point chalk) to Kansas State and then-rookie head
coach Ron Prince. Brown can claim a profi table 20-11-1 ATS mark in
Austin when playing to get even but he’s nonetheless failed in four
of his last fi ve attempts in that role against a BIG 12 adversary. The
Wildcats, however, have covered just six of their last 31 SU losses
when taking points off a SU win (0-6 L6). The wrench in the works
just happens to be the Mother Of All Lookaheads – a date with archenemy
Oklahoma in two weeks – and that very formidable tool could
convince us to stay away from today’s game.
4 BEST BET
Aggies were starting to buy the media hype surrounding their 3-0
start until A&M’s highly-touted offensive backfi eld got undressed
by Miami Florida on national TV. They are now 1-3 ITS (In The Stats)
this season and now dress up as two-touchdown favorites. We
don’t think so. For openers, we’re not big fans of A&M head coach
Dennis Franchione, particularly off a SU loss where he weighs in
with a mediocre 33-37-1 SU & 32-31-1 ATS record. Baylor is actually
showing signs of improvement under Guy Morriss. In a matchup
of a pair of 3-1 teams, we’ll back the one with the better stats as
we call the monumental upset here today.
Baylor over TEXAS A&M by 3
OHIO U over Kent St by 1
Both teams snatched defeat from the jaws of victory last week and a
search of the ATS archives does little to inspire confi dence in either side.
The Golden Flashes have won and covered three straight against the
Bobbies but after rumbling with neighborhood rival Akron, Kent has
won just one of 11 games SU. When we see that Ohio has dumped in
six of its previous seven MAC openers, we realize we’re dealing with
a genuine conundrum. It can’t be solved, so leave it alone.
Oklahoma over COLORADO by 21
No doubt that Colorado is showing improvement but they still have
problems scoring against good defenses – and they’re getting ready
to face the best they’ll see all season. The Sooners look as quick and
physical as any of OU’s recent teams and they’re aching for one more
crack at a BCS title under Stoops. If they stay focused here and get by
Texas next week, that goal may become a reality. Colorado is a dreadful
8-34-1 ATS when they get torched for 28 or points at Boulder, a virtual
certainty here, and the Buffs have dropped fi ve straight as conference
revenge underdogs. Still, this price looks mighty steep to us.
VIRGINIA over Pittsburgh by 7
Panthers are surrounded by a pile of ugly numbers here: 1-11 SU &
3-9 ATS when taking on a .600 or greater foe – and it doesn’t help
that Pitt has struggled to a 3-10-1 ATS record against the ACC. Virginia
has shaken off its opening-season debacle against Wyoming to polish
off a trio of conference foes and jump to the top of the ACC Coastal
Division. If all this sounds like we’re leaning to UVA, forget about
it. The Wahoos’ have left the bacon at the store when favored off a
SU dog win, going just 2-8 vs. the number… a stat that will have us
putting the lid back on this one.
HOUSTON over E Carolina by 13
Since being victimized by the Quack Attack, Houston has rebounded to
put the smackdown on consecutive foes. They’ve won all three games
in the stats, averaging 483 yards per outing, and outscored Colorado
State 35-10 in the second half to bag a win and cover. Skip Holtz and
his Pirates have sailed into some mighty rough waters lately, opening
the season at 1-3 ATS after going 18-6 the previous two years. Even
though the series visitor is 5-1 ATS lately, we’re not interested in fading
the Cougs here… especially with a team that’s pretty banged up.
TULSA over Uab by 20
The Golden Hurricane looked like they were going to stir up some
trouble this season after scoring 90 points in a 2-0 start. Then that
‘other’ team from Oklahoma paid a visit and Tulsa coach Todd Graham
got a 21-62 shot of reality. The Blazers snapped an ugly 8-game losing
skid by beating Alcorn State 22-0 two weeks ago. Let’s hope they got
their rest because senior QB Paul Smith and the Tulsa skill players will
run them ragged for the entire game. That pesky post-OU syndrome
may keep us on the sidelines, however.
Louisville over NC STATE by 14
Cardinal D. C. Mike Cassity must feel lonelier than the Maytag
repairman after his defense got shattered for 69 points in back-to-back
embarrassments. He’s not the only dog in the house, however, as NC
State’s Mike Archer is trying to explain how his stop unit coughed up
42 points in a tough loss to Clemson. We don’t have to look far to
settle on a side since Louisville has won 9 straight road games when
playing off a SU loss. Couple the Cards’ 16-1 regular season spread
streak against the ACC with our INCREDIBLE STAT (page 3) and this
one could get ugly. Louie gets back on track today.
GAME OF THE WEEK UPSET UPSET UPSET UPSET
GA TECH over Clemson by 7
Recent back-to-back losses (both as chalk) have left us somewhat
puzzled about the Yellow Jackets. They began the season looking
like the team to beat in the ACC. Instead, today they're in quest
of their fi rst conference victory in 2007. Despite their recent
struggles, the strength of the team – its rush defense – remains
intact (2.0 DYPR). Playing with revenge from his only ACC loss
last season, look for Chan Gailey to improve to 8-1 ATS in games
off back-to-back defeats here today.
5 BEST BET
Life couldn’t be better than it is now for head boss Greg Schiano.
Today he fi nds his team playing in the 4th of a fi ve-game season
opening homestand, with rest, off a 59-0 shutout win. He’ll host
a downtrodden Maryland squad that last week squandered a
21-point lead at Wake Forest, surrendering 28 unanswered points
in an overtime loss. To make matters worse, the Terps are now
riding a deplorable 2-14 ITS (In The Stats) skein since last season.
The icing on the cake is Maryland mentor Ralph Friedgen’s 4-20
ATS mark in games he loses and Schiano’s 14-3 ATS log in home
wins. Lay the points and have a good Knight.
RUTGERS over Maryland by 25
Ohio St over MINNESOTA by 24
After four games each, Ohio State’s defense currently allows 7.2 points
and 178 yards per game while Minnesota’s defense allows 38.5 points
and 543 yards per game. If you do the math, you’d probably play the
road team without even knowing that the Buckeyes have battered
the pointspread in six straight trips to the Metrodome. Jim Tressel is
5-1 ATS away from Columbus against a conference opponent with
revenge and he’s watched his team solidly improve during the past
two weeks. Edge to the Buckeyes.
Usc over WASHINGTON by 21
Washington has covered four straight when playing an unbeaten
opponent in Game Four out but in Southern Cal’s favor, we note that
Game Four 3-0 road favorites are a superb 96-63-2 ATS – that’s 60%
on the blind. We won’t fade that, or the Trojans.
PURDUE over Notre Dame by 27
Here’s how far Notre Dame has slipped: last year in this game, the
Irish were favored by 14.5 points over the Boilermakers! Boiler QB
Curtis Painter has really elevated his game and Tiller’s clever offensive
schemes are springing receivers for big plays. Like Sonny and Cher
sang, “the beat goes on…â€
Byu over NEW MEXICO by 3
Though currently 3-1 SU, New Mexico has not been severely tested but
they’ll see the real deal here when the Mormons come to Albuquerque
in a visitor-dominated series (5-0 ATS). Nonetheless, we’ll grab the
points with a Lobo squad that appears to have awakened after earlier
stubbing its toe at UTEP.
ARIZONA over Wash St by 1
Desert Cats may have cashed in their last four confrontations with WSU
but they’re a putrid 7-26-1 ATS as home favorites of 21 or less points.
Washington State defi nitely fi ts the revenge angle, losing 16-26 as
double-digit home chalk in ’06, but we’ll likely leave this one alone.
Arizona St over STANFORD by 17
The Cardinal allowed 34 unanswered points (after leading 31-21) in a
31-55 loss to Oregon last week! New ASU coach Dennis Erickson should
add to his 38-11-1 ATS streak over a conference foe.
TROY over La Monroe by 10
The red-shouldered Warhawks have been drowning in a sea of red
ink this year as they’ve allowed over 500 yards in all three games. Troy
has dropped three straight ATS in the series but the Trojans appear to
be a team on the rise. The bottom line here, though, is it’s never safe
laying double-digits with a team that allows 300 rushing yards per
game into a foe that gains 233 yards a game on the ground.
FRESNO ST over La Tech by 18
The Bulldogs are actually 0-3 in the stats this season with every loss
by at least 125 yards. As we so often do when we fi nd ourselves
confounded, we visit the SMART BOX and learn that the Bulldogs
from California, not Louisiana, are the pick of this litter.
Cincinnati over SAN DIEGO ST by 12
Nice start for the Bearcats, but his could be troublesome. Game Five
undefeated road favorites are 13-20 ATS taking on non-conference
opponents, a number that tightens to 3-15 ATS if the foe is off a SU
win. The Aztecs allow a ridiculous 517 yards per game. No thanks.
C FLORIDA over La Lafayette by 20
UCF buried the Tigers with 601 yards of offense as they rolled to a 56-
20 laugher (led 49-0 before Memphis scored). Despite a disappointing
17-point loss to Troy, the Ragin’ Cajuns rushed for a whopping 345
yards and are averaging 275 rush yards per game in 2007. We’ll ride
the Cajuns' ground attack one here for more week.
MID TENN ST over Florida Int’l by 10
FIU has been outscored by an average of 35 points and outgained by
267 yards per game under new head coach Mario Cristobal. Still, we
don’t relish the idea of backing a favorite that’s just 3-9-1 ATS when
laying 13 or more points. Take it or leave it.
KENTUCKY over Fla Atlantic by 17
Game Five 4-0 home favorites are a pathetic 4-14-1 ATS and with South
Carolina waiting around the bend for UK, the Cats could be stuck in a
fl at spot. FAU is off to its best start since 2004 as 19 returning starters
have the Owls roosting at 3-1.
ARKANSAS over North Texas by 35
Bad numbers abound for both sides but the bottom line is we just
don’t want any part of a broken-hearted Razorback squad that’s seen
consecutive victories dissolve into bitter losses.
posted by phantom
Sept. 26 2007 2:44pm -
0 likes
Marc Lawrence
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MIAMI over Oakland by 6
It’s been tough sledding for the Dolphins under new coach Cam
Cameron. They’ve opened the 2007 campaign 0-3, although they
appear to be improving statistically with each game (outgained the
Jets, 424-256, in last week’s loss). The Raiders look to be an improved
commodity, as well. QB Daunte Culpepper relieved injured starter
Josh McCown last week and led his team to victory. After Miami cast
him aside in the off-season, you know he’ll want this game! We’d
love to jump in the waters with him, but our AWESOME ANGLE (see
page 2) says no diving. And a quick check of the NFL QB LEAGUE
at xxxxxxx reminds us Culpepper is 9-27 ATS as a starter
against teams off a loss. Go Fish!
3 BEST BET
The Bears continue to slumber in their ‘Super Bowl Loser’ season
and now must take on an improving team with some eyepopping
numbers. For openers, the Men from Motown are 8-0
ATS as division home dogs against a foe off a loss. On the other
side of the coin, Chicago checks in 0-5 ATS as a favorite after
allowing 28 or more points in its previous game. Toss in the fact
that defending Super Bowl Losers stand 32-74-2 ATS on the road
when not taking points and you can see Da Bears' dilemma. It’s
our job to keep kicking them when they’re down. We oblige.
DETROIT over Chicago by 7
ATLANTA Over Houston by 4
Young Texans suddenly fi nd themselves cast into all kinds of new and
challenging roles this season. Last week they gagged when trying to
win three games in a row for the fi rst time in their expansion history.
This week they’ll saddle up as road chalk for the fi rst time ever. That’s
not good, considering favorites off a loss against the defending
Super Bowl champions are just 20-30-1 ATS when facing a team off
a SUATS loss (0-5 ATS since 2004). If that foe owns a win percentage
of .250 or less they dip to 4-13-1 ATS. With the Dirty Birds a sparkling
18-6-2 ATS as dogs off three losses in a row, including 8-1 ATS against
a foe off a loss, look for Houie to choke once again.
Baltimore over CLEVELAND by 7
Romeo Crennel hosts a third straight division rival in his third home
game of the season. He’ll need every trick in his bag to get the Browns
back up following a tough defeat at Oakland last Sunday (kicked a
game-winning fi eld goal at the fi nal gun, only to have it called off
by an unacknowledged time-out). Worse yet, .333 teams in Game
Four, playing off one loss exact, are 15-28 ATS as single digit dogs,
including 6-17 ATS when taking on an opponent that won eight or
more games last season. Baltimore’s ravenous defense, coupled with
Cleveland’s 0-12 ATS log as a dog of less than 9 points after allowing
14 or more points, has us on the Black Birds.
4 BEST BET
Here we go. As you’ve come to realize, one of our favorite
ploys is to fade a powerhouse with a quality team off a loss.
Especially if there is value in the play. Such is the case here, and
we’ll hop on this Bronco. For openers, the Colts return home
off a pair of division road wins, the last a satisfying revenger.
Toss in Denver revenge from a 3-point home loss last season,
and Indy’s 2-8 ATS home mark against non-division foes with a
win percentage of .666 or more, and we have all the makings
of a live dog ready to bark. Mike Shanahan’s 22-12 ATS mark as
a dog of more than 3 points (5-1 ATS off a SU favorite loss) is
the clincher. Upset!
Denver over INDIANAPOLIS by 3
5 BEST BET
It’s been quite a magical, mystical ride for Bret and the boys
as they’ve opened 3-0, with every win against a playoff team.
Shazzam! Enter the bearer of bad news – the PLAYBOOK
database. It tells us the Pack is 10-21-2 ATS in games off three
wins in a row, including 3-14 SU & 3-12-1 ATS when off a victory
of 10 or less points in its last game. Meanwhile, the Vikings were
edged by three points for the second straight week and teams
in this role are 26-13 ATS off these tough losses as a dog or
favorite of 3 or less points. Put them either at home (10-2 ATS)
or in a division game (17-5 ATS) and the results are obvious.
Minny’s 8-0 ATS home log off back-to-back losses vs. a foe off
an upset underdog win cements it.
MINNESOTA over Green Bay by 10
New England over CINCINNATI by 3
The talk has already started. Are the Patriots the next team in line to
challenge the mighty undefeated ’72 Miami Dolphins? Is this the best
team Bill Belichick has ever fi elded? Is Tom Brady the greatest QB in
NFL history? And on it goes. The fact of the matter is New England is
3-0, and headed into a hornet’s nest tonight. Our history book tells
us Cincinnati is 7-1-1 ATS in this series, including 5-1 ATS in the Queen
City. New England is 4-17 ATS in their 2nd road game of the campaign,
including 4-10 SU & 1-11-2 ATS when playing off a home game. Nuff
said. Go Bengals!
DALLAS over St. Louis by 6
As they last did in 1999, the Cowboys have opened the season 3-0
and have visions of playing in Glendale in February. Let’s only hope
the season doesn’t conclude as it did in ‘99 when Dallas fi nished
with a losing record. A quick check of the NFL COACHES LEAGUE
(inside the HANDICAPPER’S LOUNGE at PLAYBOOK.COM) tells us
head coach Wade Phillips does not fare well when living the good
life. That’s confi rmed by a 5-6 SU & 4-7 ATS mark in games off three
consecutive wins in his NFL head coaching career. It’s no mystery
the Rams need this game like blood. The points are the placebo. St.
Louis is the play.
BUFFALO over NY Jets by 3
Yes, it’s another hold-your-nose type of play, but one we make
without trepidation. With Buffalo QB Losman injured last week, the
line value in this game has escalated. Why, we ask? Remember, the
Jets were soundly outstatted (424-256) in their win over Miami last
week. Buffi e’s 10-0 ATS mark in games after visiting New England,
and their 12-2 ATS record in games off a division loss come to our aid.
Grab the points with this bone-ugly home pup.
Tampa Bay over CAROLINA by 2
Here we go again with the Panthers. You know, the ‘good dog /
bad favorite’ Cats. Sure, they managed to pull out an ugly cover as
chalk at Atlanta last week. At home, they’re an animal of a different
color when laying points under head coach John Fox (12-20-1 ATS,
including 7-16-1 ATS when favored by more than 3 points). They are
also 2-12 ATS on the home front against an opponent off back-toback
wins and covers. You know what to do.
Seattle over SAN FRANCISO by 1
At least the Niners’ offense awoke last week. Granted, 16 points and
289 yards wasn’t exactly a wide-eyed effort, but they did manage to
eclipse the 200-yard mark for the fi rst time this season. Confl icting
trends go head-to-head here as Frisco boss Dick Nolan is 6-0 ATS as
a division dog, but the 49ers are 1-9 ATS off a pair of road games
against an opponent off a win. Meanwhile, the Seahawks enter off
an ‘inside-out’ win over the Bengals (lost the stats, 412-340). You
make the call.
Pittsburgh over ARIZONA by 4
One might want to make this the Russ Grimm revenge-scrum. After
all, the Cardinal assistant was considered the odds-on favorite to
land the Steelers head coaching job when Dan Rooney opted for
Mike Tomlin instead. Tomlin’s defensive schemes are the best in the
league as his team is surrendering 9 PPG in both the regular season
and the preseason. Zona is 9-1-1 ATS as a home dog when facing
a foe off a SUATS win. We’ll wait to see where the number settles
before taking sides in this family spat.
SAN DIEGO over Kansas City by 10
With the Chiefs fi nally having broke their cherry, and the Chargers
in off back-to-back defeats it would be easy to knee jerk to San
Diego today. Not so fast, my friend, says PLAYBOOK. Did you know
that .333 home teams in Game Four, off back-to-back losses, are
6-13-2 ATS if they lost the money in their last game? Did you know
San Diego head coach Norv Turner is 1-10 ATS in his NFL head
coaching career as a division favorite of more than 5 points? Did
you know you can pass on this game if you choose? Forewarned is
forearmed.
NY GIANTS over Philadelphia by 3
Both teams rose off the carpet with big wins last week and, just
like that, this becomes a meaningful contest. The G-Men were sent
home from the playoffs by the Eagles last season. That should fi nd
them fully focused tonight. Then again, Andy Reid’s sterling 10-1
ATS record on the road against sub .500 division opposition makes
a compelling case for the Green Birds. Us, we’ll wait for the line to
settle in before taking a position.
TEAM HOME AWAY KEY OVER/UNDER STAT TEAM HOME AWAY KEY OVER/UNDER STAT
Bucs 36.7 35.0 0-6 UNDER away w/ div revenge
PANTHERS 37.1 40.0 1-6 UNDER L7 H vs Bucs 3* UNDER
Seahawks 44.2 43.2 6-1 OVER Game Four
49ERS 44.1 43.0 9-3 OVER Game Four
Steelers 44.4 38.2 11-1 OVER off SU W 14 > pts
CARDINALS 41.7 44.1 5-0 OVER vs undefeated opp 4* OVER
Chiefs 40.7 38.0 0-8 UNDER L8 div road gms 5* UNDER
CHARGERS 48.2 47.7 0-9 UNDER in 1st division gm
Broncos 40.7 39.3 1-5 UNDER off BB home gms
COLTS 47.3 49.5 2-7 UNDER in 1st of BB home gms
Eagles 42.8 44.9 1-9 UNDER as division road favs
GIANTS 40.9 46.6 1-9 UNDER home w/ div revenge
Patriots 40.6 45.0 8-3 OVER Monday nights
BENGALS 46.6 44.6 7-3 OVER Monday night
Raiders 37.5 37.9 4-0 OVER before Bye week
DOLPHINS 36.1 38.2 6-1 OVER off 3 straight losses
Texans 44.5 40.2 6-2 OVER September road gms
FALCONS 43.9 37.2 4-1 OVER in 2nd of BB home gms
Ravens 37.0 35.3 1-4 UNDER as division road favs
BROWNS 37.1 40.1 2-8 UNDER as division home dogs
Bears 39.1 37.3 7-3 OVER vs div opp w/ revenge
LIONS 40.9 44.5 5-2 OVER with div revenge
Packers 40.4 44.4 5-1 OVER L6 away vs Vikings
VIKINGS 41.2 37.6 5-1 OVER before Bye
Rams 47.3 42.1 2-8 UNDER vs NFC East
COWBOYS 44.4 46.8 1-4 UNDER Game Four
Jets 40.8 36.1 7-1 OVER 2nd of BB division gms
BILLS 39.3 38.0 6-1 OVER L& home vs Jets
Best Bets:
3* NEVADA
4* BAYLOR
5* RUTGERS
3* LIONS
4* BRONCOS
5* VIKINGS
3* Panthers UNDER
4* Cardinals OVER
5* Chargers UNDER
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 26 2007 2:44pm -
0 likes
DCI College Football
Week 5 Predictions
Season
Straight Up: 296-97 (.753)
ATS: 92-103 (.472)
ATS Vary Units: 563-603 (.483)
Over/Under: 88-103 (.461)
Over/Under Vary Units: 431-476 (.475)
Thursday, September 27, 2007
FBS Non-Conference
BOISE ST. 27, Southern Miss 16
ARKANSAS ST. 20, Memphis 12
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Norfolk St. 34, NORTH CAROLINA A&T 16
Ohio Valley Conference
UT MARTIN 41, Tennessee Tech 38
Friday, September 28, 2007
Big East Conference
West Virginia 30, SOUTH FLORIDA 27
Saturday, September 29, 2007
Atlantic Coast Conference
Clemson 30, GEORGIA TECH 25
MIAMI (FLA.) 37, Duke 12
VIRGINIA TECH 30, North Carolina 9
Big 12 Conference
NEBRASKA 40, Iowa St. 15
Oklahoma 44, COLORADO 19
TEXAS 33, Kansas St. 21
TEXAS A&M 38, Baylor 23
Big Ten Conference
IOWA 23, Indiana 12
Michigan 29, NORTHWESTERN 10
Ohio St. 49, MINNESOTA 17
Penn St. 26, ILLINOIS 18
WISCONSIN 29, Michigan St. 17
Conference USA
HOUSTON 33, East Carolina 23
SMU 31, Utep 27
TULSA 50, Uab 27
Mid-American Conference
BALL ST. 40, Buffalo 17
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 37, Northern Illinois 27
OHIO 30, Kent St. 20
Western Michigan 48, TOLEDO 44
Mountain West Conference
Byu 31, NEW MEXICO 21
TCU 33, Colorado St. 12
Pacific-10 Conference
ARIZONA 36, Washington St. 32
Arizona St. 41, STANFORD 22
OREGON 44, California 39
Southern Cal 42, WASHINGTON 21
Ucla 32, OREGON ST. 27
Southeastern Conference
FLORIDA 43, Auburn 21
GEORGIA 36, Mississippi 10
SOUTH CAROLINA 27, Mississippi St. 6
Sun Belt Conference
MIDDLE TENNESSEE 33, Florida International 15
TROY 53, Ul Monroe 36
Western Athletic Conference
FRESNO ST. 41, Louisiana Tech 30
Hawaii 55, IDAHO 24
FBS Non-Conference
ARKANSAS 62, North Texas 31
ARMY 26, Temple 12
BOSTON COLLEGE 30, Massachusetts 23
Cincinnati 40, SAN DIEGO ST. 19
CONNECTICUT 26, Akron 10
Florida St. 22, Alabama 21
KENTUCKY 52, Florida Atlantic 20
Louisville 49, NORTH CAROLINA ST. 35
Lsu 50, TULANE 0
NAVY 25, Air Force 24
NEVADA 35, Unlv 19
NEW MEXICO ST. 28, Ua Pine Bluff 15
OKLAHOMA ST. 49, Sam Houston St. 18
PURDUE 37, Notre Dame 19
RUTGERS 32, Maryland 15
Syracuse 28, MIAMI (OHIO) 25
TEXAS TECH 58, Northwestern St. 21
Uc Davis 24, SAN JOSE ST. 17
UCF 43, Ul Lafayette 25
UTAH 27, Utah St. 0
VANDERBILT 28, Eastern Michigan 12
VIRGINIA 21, Pittsburgh 3
Western Kentucky 33, BOWLING GREEN 30
Big Sky Conference
EASTERN WASHINGTON 36, Portland St. 25
MONTANA 40, Weber St. 7
MONTANA ST. 37, Idaho St. 9
Northern Arizona 31, SACRAMENTO ST. 19
Colonial Athletic Association
JAMES MADISON 28, Villanova 24
New Hampshire 44, RICHMOND 40
Towson 32, WILLIAM & MARY 29
Gateway Conference
Northern Iowa 31, ILLINOIS ST. 17
Southern Illinois 50, INDIANA ST. 12
YOUNGSTOWN ST. 47, Missouri St. 24
Ivy League
Penn 26, DARTMOUTH 24
PRINCETON 24, Columbia 6
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
BETHUNE-COOKMAN 23, Morgan St. 22
HAMPTON 26, Delaware St. 15
HOWARD 19, Winston-Salem St. 17
Northeast Conference
WAGNER 20, Sacred Heart 15
Ohio Valley Conference
Eastern Illinois 38, SE MISSOURI ST. 18
EASTERN KENTUCKY 41, Samford 16
Jacksonville St. 40, MURRAY ST. 25
Patriot League
COLGATE 25, Fordham 13
Pioneer Conference
Davidson 29, JACKSONVILLE 19
Dayton 17, MOREHEAD ST. 6
DRAKE 46, Valparaiso 0
San Diego 49, BUTLER 7
Southern Conference
Appalachian St. 47, ELON 20
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 47, Western Carolina 35
The Citadel 44, CHATTANOOGA 30
Wofford 39, FURMAN 25
Southwestern Athletic Conference
ALABAMA A&M 36, Texas Southern 10
Grambling 16, Prairie View A&M 0
Southern 15, Alabama St. 14
FCS Non-Conference
BROWN 25, Rhode Island 12
BUCKNELL 33, Marist 18
CAL POLY 37, Northern Colorado 16
Cornell 38, GEORGETOWN 15
DELAWARE 28, Monmouth 9
Florida A&M 27, Tennessee St. 25
GARDNER-WEBB 24, Austin Peay 18
HOFSTRA 29, Stony Brook 22
LEHIGH 26, Harvard 20
LIBERTY 29, St. Francis (Pa.) 18
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL 29, Presbyterian 0
North Dakota St. 34, WESTERN ILLINOIS 22
ROBERT MORRIS 27, Vmi 6
SOUTH DAKOTA ST. 27, Stephen F. Austin 14
Yale 33, HOLY CROSS 28
posted by phantom
Sept. 26 2007 3:06pm -
0 likes
DCI Pro Football
Week 4 Predictions
Season
Straight Up: 28-18 (.609)
ATS: 27-17 (.614)
ATS Vary Units: 126-56 (.692)
Over/Under: 23-24 (.489)
Over/Under Vary Units: 256-151 (.629)
Sunday, September 30, 2007
Pittsburgh 27, ARIZONA 15
Houston 21, ATLANTA 12
N.Y. Jets vs. BUFFALO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
CAROLINA 22, Tampa Bay 15
Baltimore 37, CLEVELAND 26
DALLAS 36, St. Louis 15
Chicago 25, DETROIT 19
INDIANAPOLIS 32, Denver 10
MIAMI 32, Oakland 23
Green Bay 20, MINNESOTA 10
N.Y. GIANTS 30, Philadelphia 29
SAN DIEGO 18, Kansas City 6
SAN FRANCISCO 19, Seattle 17
Monday, October 1, 2007
New England 44, CINCINNATI 26
posted by phantom
Sept. 26 2007 3:06pm -
0 likes
Red Sheet
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89- Rutgers
89-Texas
88-Tulsa
88-CentralFla
88-Louiville
87-Oregon State, , Michigan , Ohio St, Nevada
PRO's
88 Falcons
87-Patriots,Eagles,Cowboys
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 26 2007 5:04pm -
0 likes
Winning Points
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College Best Bets- Rutgers over Maryland by 35 44-9
Illinois over Penn State by 12 28-16
Preferred- South Carolina over Miss. State by 3 19-16
Oklahoma over Colorado by 31 38-7
Texas over Kansas State by 26 40-14
Texas A & M over Baylor by 4 28-24
Pro's Best Bets- Atlanta over Houston by 15 21-6
Arizona over Pitts. by 11 27-16
Preferred- Green Bay over Minn. by 12 26-14
Denver over Colts by 2 26-24
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 3:41pm -
0 likes
By Erick Smith, USA TODAY
Riding on a minor league bus during a scene in Bull Durham, Crash Davis offered Nuke LaLoosh advice on how to talk with the media.
"We gotta play it one day at a time."
The context is baseball, but in no sport does the quote resonate more than in college football. Every weekend we see some team slip up when its focus is not on the game at hand. That is the dilemma facing four of the current top seven teams. Next Saturday, No. 2 LSU hosts third-ranked Florida and No. 4 Oklahoma meets seventh-ranked Texas in their annual grudge match in Dallas.
CHAT: Erick Smith talks college football Thursday, 1 p.m. ET
But before those showdowns can happen, there are games to be played this weekend. And three of the four teams face potential road blocks should they be peaking ahead to next week.
FIND MORE STORIES IN: Texas | Florida | Oklahoma | Oregon | Scott | Ole Miss | Erick Smith | Nuke Laloosh
Florida and Texas will be facing teams that beat them last year. The Gators' only defeat in the last 20 games came at Auburn. While the Tigers have struggled in the early going, they finally found their offense in the second half against New Mexico State. Florida didn't exactly look dominating last week at Ole Miss, either.
The Longhorns host Kansas State, who shocked Mack Brown's team last November in Manhattan when they still had hopes of reaching the national title game. Texas has looked vulnerable in games against Arkansas State and Central Florida, meaning that complete focus on the Wildcats is crucial.
Oklahoma is one team that has not looked vulnerable. With two straight losses to Texas, you could understand if the Sooners were already looking ahead to playing their rivals. A trip to Colorado, however, should not be overlooked. The Buffaloes may be underdogs by more than three touchdowns, but they do have enough defense to hang with a Sooners team that is not operating at 100%.
Only LSU has a free pass when it travels for a "road" game against Tulane.
The coaches surely are reinforcing the message this week to avoid having their players players being overconfident, and also to avoid having to utter another familiar cliché at the end of Saturday.
"The ball just didn't bounce our way."
No. 1 Southern California at Washington, 8 p.m.
The memories of Student Body Left and Student Body Right have been rekindled with the Trojans becoming a run-first team. Expect more of the same this week with SC averaging 244 yards on the ground and the Huskies giving up almost 600 yards rushing in the last two games. Southern California 38, Washington 17.
No. 2 LSU at Tulane, noon
More than playing the Green Wave, the Tigers can use this trip to the Superdome as a reconnaissance mission should they make it back to the Big Easy for the BCS title game. LSU 48, Tulane 7.
No. 3 Florida vs. Auburn, 8 p.m.
Yes, winning on the road in the SEC is never easy. The tougher-than-expected victory at Ole Miss showed the Gators have to get better on defense and eliminate costly penalties if they are to defend their national championship. Florida 35, Auburn 20.
No. 4 Oklahoma at Colorado, 1:30 p.m.
Sam Bradford recovered from a shaky start in the first quarter against Tulsa. Another road game should be good experience for the scene in Dallas next week. Oklahoma 31, Colorado 14.
No. 5 West Virginia at No. 18 South Florida, 8 p.m. (Friday)
This is the biggest game in South Florida history and the Bulls are confident after beating the Mountaineers last year. Defense keyed the upset as Pat White and Steve Slaton were held to 60 rushing yards combined. This time West Virginia won't be caught napping. West Virginia 31, South Florida 21.
No. 6 California at No. 12 Oregon, 3:30 p.m.
Anybody that likes offense will love this game. Playmakers on both sides of the ball face two defenses that still have question marks. Whichever team can stop the other should emerge as the top contender to USC's perch in the Pac-10. Oregon 40, California 34.
No. 7 Texas vs. Kansas State, 3:30 p.m.
Finally some signs of life from the Longhorns after three rocky games to start the season. Maybe Mack Brown has been playing tight in September to make Oklahoma overconfident. That might be giving him too much credit.Texas 31, Kansas State 21.
No. 8 Ohio State at Minnesota, 8 p.m.
The Buckeyes defense looks to be dominating again. Minnesota is quite the opposite. The Gophers rank last in the nation in total defense and pass defense. Ohio State 42, Minnesota 14.
No. 9 Wisconsin vs. No. 23 Michigan State, 3:30 p.m.
They haven't been particularly impressive this year, but the Badgers are still unbeaten and own the nation's longest winning streak with 13 straight victories. The resurgent Spartans under first-year coach Mark Dantonio passed their toughest test so far at Notre Dame. The stakes get higher this week. Wisconsin 20, Michigan State 19.
No. 10 Rutgers vs. Maryland, 3:30 p.m.
Losses don't come any tougher than the way the Terps fell to Wake Forest after blowing a 21-point lead and falling in overtime. Don't expect the Scarlet Knights to have much compassion. Rutgers 30, Maryland 16.
No. 11 Boston College vs. Massachusetts, 1 p.m.
The Minutemen might be more of a challenge for the Eagles than Army was last week. UMass is ranked second in I-AA and were beaten in the title game last year by … Appalachian State. Boston College 38, Massachusetts 10.
No. 13 Clemson at Georgia Tech, 3:30 p.m.
In two weeks the Yellow Jackets have gone from favorites in the ACC Coastal to 0-2 in the league and in desperate need of a win. They'll have to get it against the hottest team in the conference or see their title hopes go bye-bye before the end of September. Clemson 24, Georgia Tech 20.
No. 14 Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina, noon
It has been a rough first month in the tenure of Butch Davis, who has seen his team beat only James Madison. At least the Tar Heels coach has the experience of losing during his stint with the Cleveland Browns. Virginia Tech 31, North Carolina 10.
No. 15 Kentucky vs. Florida Atlantic, 1 p.m.
Usually football season in Lexington is something to pass the time until basketball season starts. Billy Gillispie doesn't have to worry about his hoops program being overshadowed … yet. Kentucky 42, Florida Atlantic 20.
No. 16 Georgia vs. Mississippi, 1 p.m.
How much does Ole Miss have left after an emotional loss to Florida? The Rebels will need all that remains in their tank to upset the Bulldogs. Georgia 28, Mississippi 10.
No. 17 Hawaii at Idaho, 5 p.m.
Three games in four weeks on the mainland could create some tired legs for the Warriors. But they still have the arm of Colt Brennan. Hawaii 44, Idaho 23.
No. 19 Penn State at Illinois, noon
Off to a 3-1 start, Ron Zook and the Illini can equal their combined win total of the last two years by beating the Nittany Lions. If the Penn State offense doesn't get in gear, you can count on it happening. Illinois 21, Penn State 20.
No. 21 South Carolina vs. Mississippi State, 12:30 p.m.
Good to see the old Steve Spurrier back. Chris Smelley regains his role as starting quarterback after Blake Mitchell handled the job for the last three games. Even with a strong second half against LSU, Smelley knows the leash is short should he struggle against the Bulldogs. South Carolina 28, Mississippi State 10.
No. 22 Nebraska vs. Iowa State, 2:05 p.m.
Two or three feet might have saved Bill Callahan's job. When Ball State's potentially game-winning field goal missed on the final play, the Nebraska coach could breathe again. He's not out of the woods, yet. There still a lot of work to do for the Cornhuskers, who could again get tested this weekend. Nebraska 30, Iowa State 20.
No. 24 Alabama vs. Florida State, 5 p.m.
Two weeks between games has given the Seminoles time to retool their beleaguered offense. We'll see how effective they were and how well the Tide can bounce back from the first loss of the Nick Saban era. Florida State 21, Alabama 17.
No. 25 Arizona State at Stanford, 10 p.m.
Another team, another Top 25 ranking for Dennis Erickson. The inclusion of the Sun Devils this week marks the fourth school he has taken into the poll. His next challenge is to end the Arizona State's 14-game losing streak in the state of California. Arizona State 34, Stanford 21.
No. 25 Purdue vs. Notre Dame, noon
Now we are starting to see why the Irish haven't acted on their invitation to join the Big Ten. This is the fourth straight opponent from the conference. And we know how the last three have turned out. Purdue 35, Notre Dame 10.
Last week's record: 17-4 (11-8)
Season record: 77-11 (35-38)
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 3:42pm -
0 likes
MTI's KillerSports Newsletter
5* Denver +9.5 over Indy
4* Chicago / Detroit OVER 44
4* Teaser: Pitt +4.5, Denver +19.5, Baltimore +5.5
NFL System: Play Oakland
ProInfoSports College System of the Week: PLAY Ball State and Ohio University
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 3:42pm -
0 likes
USA Today
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jeff Zillgitt, USA TODAY
Falcons 24, Texans 23 — Houston (-3) at Atlanta
Houston quarterback Matt Schaub returns to Atlanta to play his former team. Think he wants this one? Remember though, the Texans are banged up on offense. And before Atlanta QB Joey Harrington is written off in favor of Byron Leftwich, Harrington threw for 361 yards, two touchdowns and no picks for a passer rating of 110.1 in last week's loss to Carolina.
Jets 21, Bills 16 — N.Y. Jets (-4 1/2) at Buffalo
The Bills have no offense and no defense. And yet, this might be their best chance for a win — at home against the 1-2 Jets. This is the first of three consecutive home games for the Bills, but Dallas and Baltimore are the teams coming into town after the Jets. Plus, the Bills will be without QB J.P. Losman for at least the next two games. Not sure if that's good or bad for the Bills.
Browns 24, Ravens 21 — Baltimore (-4 1/2) at Cleveland
This game will give us a better indication of what kind of team the Browns are — 34-7 losers to the Steelers or 51-45 winners over the Bengals.
Cowboys 34, Rams 14 — St. Louis (+11) at Dallas
The Cowboys can name their score, within reason. Is 56-14 within reason?
Bears 26, Lions 20 — Chicago (-3) at Detroit
If the Bears are even remotely hoping to get back to the playoffs, it starts with Brian Griese in this game. If there's a defense in the league that might help the Bears gain offensive confidence, it's a Lions team that just surrendered 56 points against the Eagles. This is the rallying point for the Bears. Do they rally?
Dolphins 24, Raiders 23 — Oakland (+4) at Miami
Neither team will make the playoffs or come close. But both teams have first-year coaches, and any sign of progress will be welcomed. Lane Kiffin got his first win last week. It's time for Cam Cameron to get his.
Packers 23, Minnesota 17 — Green Bay (-2) at Minnesota
Brett Favre said, "It's hard to luck into three straight wins." It would be blasphemous, at least this week, to disagree with Favre. Make it four straight for the Packers.
Buccaneers 23, Panthers 20 — Tampa Bay (no line) at Carolina
Both teams are surprises at 2-1, the Bucs more so than the Panthers. Tampa Bay QB Jeff Garcia picked up right where he left off last season with the Eagles, and Jake Delhomme seems to have put last season's average season behind. However, it remains unclear if Delhomme will start or play this week because of an injured elbow. Either way, Jon Gruden has the Bucs playing solid defense.
Seahawks 24, 49ers 21 — Seattle (-2) at San Francisco
The gap between the Seahawks and NFC West is closing. As evidence, we give you Arizona's 23-20 win over Seattle in Week 2 and San Francisco's two wins over the Seahawks last season. But stubborn I will be here. I just don't have confidence in the 49ers quite yet.
Steelers 24, Cardinals 14 — Pittsburgh (-6) at Arizona
Before we put New England and Indianapolis in the AFC Championship game, don't dismiss the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Colts 28, Broncos 20 — Denver (+9 1/2) at Indianapolis
With the Chargers struggling, and the rest of the AFC West mediocre at best, Denver's loss at home to Jacksonville will bother the Broncos all season.
Chargers 30, Chiefs 14 — Kansas City (+12) at San Diego
Just what the doctor prescribed for the San Diego Chargers: the 1-2 Chiefs in San Diego. The season isn't lost for the Chargers.
Giants 31, Eagles 27 — Philadelphia (-3) at N.Y. Giants
It's two heavily criticized quarterbacks coming off outstanding performances meeting in a semi-important NFC East game. If the Giants can limit Donovan McNabb and the Eagles' offense, I like Eli Manning and the Giants' ability to put up points.
Patriots 28, Bengals 17 — New England (-7 1/2) at Cincinnati
It's not always Bill Belichick's world. But most of the time it is. It's certainly a Tom Brady-Randy Moss world. All this cheating stuff did was steel an already talented, well-coached team.
Last week: 10-6 straight up; 7-7-2 ATS
Overall: 32-16; 20-24-4
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 3:42pm -
0 likes
Sporting News
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Week 4 primer: Two QBs not better than one
By Vinnie Iyer - SportingNews
In NFL circles, it's often been said that when a team needs to decide between two quarterbacks, it really doesn't have one good one. But maybe the Cardinals and the Ravens started a trend last week. Or not.
Matt Leinart remains the starter in Arizona, but Kurt Warner, after rallying the team in the second half against the Ravens, is being seen as the "no-huddle specialist." Likewise, after Kyle Boller came in for Steve McNair and made sure the Ravens beat the Cardinals, he's now a "relief passer."
Are Ken Whisenhunt and Brian Billick on to something? Consider that playing two QBs has often been successful at the college level, most recently with Tim Tebow often relieving Chris Leak and helping Florida win a national championship. There might be a benefit for average- to below-average offenses to go with a QB platoon, but man, it sure feels good to sit back and watch Brett Favre, Peyton Manning and Tom Brady fly solo for the long-term.
Unfortunately for the Bears, Rex Grossman hasn't been that kind of autopilot. But even with the QB change to No. 2 Brian Griese as the starter, they can still find a role for Grossman -- "handoff specialist" with a three-touchdown lead in the fourth quarter. Now, though, it's time to find out if the former Michigan star can win at Detroit -- and what will happen in all of this week's games, starting with the. . . .
Game of the Week, AFC
Denver at Indianapolis. With the wily, aggressive coaching style of Mike Shanahan, the Broncos have a shot to upset the defending champs. It also helps that he has some good pass rushers and two fine lockdown cornerbacks in a matchup with Peyton Manning. And even though the Colts' run defense looks much-improved, Travis Henry is the type of back who can wear it down.
The problem for the Broncos starts with their own run defense, which is suffering from similar woes to the Colts' unit from a year ago. Sure, Denver can put its faith in Champ Bailey and Dre' Bly one-on-one against Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne, and bring up to nine defenders into the box to contain Joseph Addai. But in that case, Manning would be able to make easy completions to tight end Dallas Clark, and with his pass protection and own footwork, he can also wait for either Harrison or Wayne to make a move to get free from his man. It also hurts that safety John Lynch has a strained groin.
Broncos quarterback Jay Cutler, who likely will play with a sprained ankle, is from nearby Santa Claus, Ind., but the Colts' pass defense won't be in a giving mood toward the second-year starter. The hosts' cover-2 will keep Denver's wide receivers -- Javon Walker, emerging star Brandon Marshall and former Colt Brandon Stokley -- from getting deep.
The Jaguars, with their limited offense, were able to methodically move the ball and control the clock against the Broncos last week. The Colts are fully loaded and remain the class of a suddenly mighty AFC South. Colts 34, Broncos 16.
Game of the Week, NFC
Seattle at San Francisco. The 'Hawks roosted atop the NFC West last season, but if they want to keep their lofty perch, they need to clip their division rivals, who were impressive in sweeping them last season. While the Seahawks' offense fields a revamped passing game to complement Shaun Alexander, the 49ers' offense has struggled as young starting quarterback Alex Smith adjusts to yet another coordinator with an injury-riddled receiving corps. But San Francisco's defense, with its 3-4 looks and two tough corners in Nate Clements and Walt Harris, can keep Seattle in check to open the door for the Niners' difference-maker: Frank Gore.
Last season's leading rusher in the NFC has been seeing much more attention, and is off to slow start by his high standards. But you can bet he has Seattle all sleepless: He gashed the Seahawks for 416 yards from scrimmage over the two 2006 meetings. With a chance to take control of the division early, the 49ers just need to put the ball in Gore's hands whenever they can, because even if his hands aren't 100 percent, his legs can do plenty of damage. 49ers 22, Seahawks 17.
Coaches of the Week
Pittsburgh's Mike Tomlin at Arizona's Whisenhunt. Whisenhunt, teamed with former Steelers offensive line coach Russ Grimm, is trying to establish Pittsburgh West, with his versions of Jerome Bettis (Edgerrin James), Hines Ward (Anquan Boldin) and a 3-4 defense. He still, however, needs time to get Leinart to where Ben Roethlisberger was his first two seasons and is once again.
Tomlin, 3-0 after taking over for Bill Cowher, is well on his way to topping Whisenhunt and the rest of the rookies -- and the non-rookies -- as coach of the year. He kept Dick LeBeau's winning 3-4 defense, and even though Roethlisberger is in a more pass-friendly offense without Whisenhunt, the scheme continues to be based on balance created by the running game. Willie Parker has been fast out of the gate, and his combination of speed and underrated power against the Cards' front seven will keep the Steelers rolling. Steelers 23, Cardinals 20.
Rivalry of the Week
Philadelphia at New York Giants. Donovan McNabb and Eli Manning are back doing their things, and that got their respective teams their first wins last week. McNabb's "thing" is chucking the ball around short and deep to build a big lead. Manning's "thing" is rallying his team in the second half with some unflappable play. Both quarterbacks get criticized equally but unfairly, because without them, these teams wouldn't even be in the NFC picture.
Expect McNabb and Manning to have quite a Sunday night duel as each gets a chance to throw against struggling pass defenses. Manning has had surprising help in the backfield from Derrick Ward, but the fact that the Eagles line up Brian Westbrook behind McNabb gives them the edge. Eagles 27, Giants 24.
Team of the Week
New England at Cincinnati. The Patriots are making it look too easy, aren't they? And as long as they keep dominating and looking like the Team of the Year -- and a Team for the Ages -- they will get their own Primer category every week. After winning, 38-14, in Weeks 1 and 2, they decided to get stingier in Week 3, scoring the same total but allowing seven fewer points. They also played at Cincy in Week 4 last season, strangely winning by a 38-13 count.
As for the Bengals, Carson Palmer, Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh have been fun to watch, but they can't carry the sputtering running game and porous defense. I think they'll find a way to score more than 14 points, but the Patriots won't mind too much, because they'll push their total past 40 with continued easy pickings for Tom Brady, Randy Moss and Laurence Maroney. Patriots 41, Bengals 24.
Quarterback of the Week
Green Bay's Brett Favre at Minnesota. Another week, another milestone for the ultimate iron man. Peyton Manning may be headed toward breaking the game's most coveted passing records, but for now, the most wins belong to Favre, and after his 30th career game against the Vikings, he will have the passing TD record all to himself.
The Pack has proved it can move the ball with a rejuvenated Favre by abandoning the run, and that will be a good game plan this week, because it will allow Green Bay to avoid Minnesota's run defense and exploit its secondary. And oh yeah, Donald Driver always burns the Vikes. I think it's only appropriate he gets the record-breaker from Favre. Packers 20, Vikings 16.
Upset of the Week
Atlanta over Houston. The Falcons have come close to tasting victory, as they hung tough against both the Jaguars and the Panthers. The passing game is suddenly showing some life with Joey Harrington, and the shaky defense gets a break against a once-promising Texans offense that has been hit hard by injuries.
Harrington seems to play best when he's fired up, and the chance to prove that the Falcons are OK at QB without Michael Vick -- and with Matt Schaub now playing for Houston -- should help him get going. It's on the offensive line to give him the good protection it finally did last week. As for Schaub, he looks like a long-term answer for the Texans, but with center Steve McKinney, running backs Ahman Green and Ron Dayne and wide receivers Andre Johnson, Jacoby Jones and Andre' Davis all hurting, it's hard to fault him if he comes up just short this week. Falcons 23, Texans 20.
Lock of the Week
Dallas over St. Louis. The Rams easily trump the Texans in terms of offensive injuries. Left tackle Orlando Pace and feature back Steven Jackson are the sidelined headliners, but there also are injury issues on the interior line, for wide receiver Isaac Bruce and for quarterback Marc Bulger, who has two broken ribs and a bruised knee. Ouch.
There is nothing hobbling the Cowboys' offense, which we can now call "Football Night in America's Greatest Team Show on Turf," starring Tony Romo and T.O. The Rams' defense won't stop them one bit, and there's no way their offense can catch up. Cowboys 51, Rams 21.
Rest of the Week
Baltimore at Cleveland. Jamal Lewis never had the misfortune of actually running against Ray Lewis and the Ravens' front seven when he was a Raven, but they'll be ready to greet their old friend for a little stop-and-chat just a yard or two downfield. Derek Anderson will need to make some big plays to Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow for the Browns to have a chance, but it will be tough when the Ravens are teeing off on him after McNair and Willis McGahee get Baltimore out to an easy lead. Ravens 30, Browns 10.
Chicago at Detroit. Jon Kitna has gaudy passing stats, but he has given the ball away as many times as Grossman has in the first three weeks (six). And after getting banged up and embarrassed against the Cowboys last week, the Bears' physical defense will want to beat up someone, and it can overwhelm the Lions' line. Griese steps into the role of game manager, and he'll do a better job of getting wide receivers Bernard Berrian and Muhsin Muhammad involved against a bad Lions secondary, which, in turn will open up better lanes for the running game. Bears 27, Lions 17.
New York Jets at Buffalo. The Bills are yet another team that has been ravaged by injuries. With key players such as quarterback J.P. Losman and rookie middle linebacker Paul Posluszny on the shelf, it will be hard to fly with the Jets on offense and defense. Rookie running back Marshawn Lynch will do his best to carry his team with plenty of touches against a shaky New York front seven, but Thomas Jones and Chad Pennington will have a much easier time working together to move the ball. Jets 23, Bills 17.
Oakland at Miami. It's difficult to remember the Daunte Culpepper Era in South Florida, because, well, it never really began. With the chance to go after either Culpepper or Josh McCown, Jason Taylor and the Dolphins' proud defense can get out their frustrations. They might have some trouble corralling the red-hot LaMont Jordan, but Culpepper's replacement in Miami, Trent Green, knows the Raiders well from his long stay in Kansas City, and he'll find a way to get his new team into the win column. Dolphins 20, Raiders 17.
Kansas City at San Diego. Just like the Bears, you won't like the Chargers' defenders when they're angry. And that's what they should be after allowing a late Packers comeback last week. Shawne Merriman and friends will be extra charged up to impose their physical will on Damon Huard and Larry Johnson, who are both struggling to produce much offense. And oh yeah, Norv Turner, seeing how the Chiefs' defense is wilting against the run, you might want to turn LaDainian Tomlinson loose this week. Chargers 27, Chiefs 10.
Tampa Bay at Carolina. Jake Delhomme or David Carr? Delhomme's elbow injury might mean a QB change for the Panthers. If Carr starts, the plan will be the same: Keep up the success on the ground with DeShaun Foster, and if Steve Smith is covered by air, go elsewhere. The Panthers' defense is a bigger problem, while the Bucs' defense has shown a big improvement. You never know which Panthers team will show up, but they'll want to make up for their lousy home opener and take it out on Jeff Garcia and Cadillac Williams. Panthers 24, Buccaneers 13.
Byes of the Week
The Saints march into their off week at 0-3 and will need to address many issues when they come back, namely how to have a power running game without Deuce McAllister and how to make plays on defense without cornerback Jason David, the only man who was doing that. They need to come out well against the Panthers -- a team that swept them last season -- to have any shot of getting back in the NFC South race. . . .
The Redskins certainly needed an extra week to recover from giving up a big lead and being stood up at the goal line against the Giants. Their improved pass defense and pass rush will get a big test from the pass-happy Lions next week. . . .
Upon further review, the Jaguars made the right decision by going with David Garrard as their starting quarterback. Despite having limited help from his receivers and a running game that isn't rolling quite yet, Garrard has a nose for making plays and good decisions that lead to hard-fought victories. We'll see that on display again in Kansas City and going forward. . . .
Speaking of making plays and good decisions, then there are Vince Young and the Titans. It was smart for the Titans to lock up Jeff Fisher for the long term, because few coaches manage their personnel and adjust their game plans as well as he does from week to week. Fisher puts Young and the defense in good position to win every week, and that's all you can ask a coach to do.
Record of the Week
Week 3 record straight up: 10-6
Season record straight up: 35-13
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 3:43pm -
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Gator Report
Gator's NCAA Game of the Week Report
Each week in this section Gator will provide his College Games of the Week which will include his Conference, Steamroller and Underdog PLUS Bonus Selections during the season.
SEC GOW (1-1 -0.1)(Saturday): pass
Big 12 GOW (0-0)(Saturday): Texas -14.5
Big 10 GOW (1-0 +1.00)(Saturday): pass
Steamroller GOW (1-2 -1.2)(Saturday): pass
Underdog GOW (0-0)(Saturday): Georgia Tech +3
Gator's NFL "Tech" Game of the Week
Each week Gator releases his Top "Technical" Game of the Week, in football, basketball and baseball.
NFL Technical Game of the Week Selection (1-2 -1.20):
Game: St. Louis Rams vs. Dallas Cowboys
Technical Set: When NFC East hosts teams from the NFC West these games have gone over the posted total at a rate of 10 out of the last 11 games. Play Over NFL Road teams against the total after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game, 48-21 Over last 5 years. Also Game Four road teams who have lost each of their first three games have gone over the total in 12 of their last 14. Game Four home teams who come in off a win by 21 or more points have gone over in 14 of their last 17 games in that situation. St Louis is 21-8 Over versus teams averaging 7 or more passing yards per attempt since 1992. Dallas is 16-3 Over in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1992 and 8-1 Over in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. One final note this series has gone Over the total in nine of the last twelve and five of the last six played in Dallas.
Selection: St Louis / Dallas OVER 46
Gator's Super System Selections
Each week during the football, basketball and baseball season's we will post our Top Rated System Selections along with the qualifying system.
NCAA System GOW (1-2 -1.20):
Game: California vs. Oregon
System: Play ON a home team with less than 13 days rest off a conference SU win scoring 43+ points vs. an opponent off a home contest scoring 43+ points (not as a favorite of 40+ points). 27-0 ATS since 1996
Selection: OREGON DUCKS -6
Gator's 70% Situational Report
NCAA (Saturday):
Game: Maryland vs. Rutgers
Play Against NCAA road underdogs after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a win by 21 or more points.
37-10 ATS the last 5 years. PLAY: Rutgers -16.5
__________________________________________________ _____________
Game: UL-Lafayette vs. Central Florida
Play Against NCAA road underdogs of 21.5 to 31 points off a home loss against a conference rival versus an opponent off a win by 21+ points over a conference rival. 23-3 ATS last 10 years PLAY: Central Florida -21.5
__________________________________________________ _____________
NFL (Monday Night Football):
Game: New England vs. Cincinnati
Play Over NFL teams off a win by 21 points or more over a division rival, in the first month of the season. 38-14 Over since 1983. PLAY: OVER 52.5
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 3:43pm -
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Gators Angle Plays
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Gator's "Right" Angle Technical Analysis
Listed below are some of Gator's Angles and Technical Situations for upcoming games. Each week Gator will post his NFL and College Angles and Technical Situations for that weeks games.
at Oklahoma State Cowboys by NL Sam Houston State O/U NL
Oklahoma State Cowboys are 14-4-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
at Boston College Eagles by NL Massachusetts O/U NL
Boston College Eagles are 20-9-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Boston College Eagles are 16-5-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
at San Jose State Spartans by NL UC Davis O/U NL
San Jose State Spartans are 11-1-1 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)
San Jose State Spartans are 0-7-0 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)
San Jose State Spartans are 3-11-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
San Jose State Spartans are 0-5-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
San Jose State Spartans are 0-9-0 O/U After 1 Wins (All Lines)
at Texas Tech Red Raiders by NL Northwestern State (La.) O/U NL
Texas Tech Red Raiders are 35-18-1 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Texas Tech Red Raiders are 17-6-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
at Miami Hurricanes by 24.0 Duke Blue Devils O/U 46.5
Miami Hurricanes are 16-37-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Miami Hurricanes are 12-30-0 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)
Miami Hurricanes are 7-21-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Miami Hurricanes are 7-19-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Miami Hurricanes are 6-18-0 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
Duke Blue Devils are 20-9-0 ATS As Away Dog (All Lines)
at Virginia Tech Hokies by 18.0 North Carolina Tar Heels O/U 42.0
North Carolina Tar Heels are 10-2-0 O/U After 1 Unders (All Lines)
at Connecticut Huskies by 13.5 Akron Zips O/U 42.5
Connecticut Huskies are 0-5-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
at Iowa Hawkeyes by 11.0 Indiana Fightin Hoosiers O/U 44.0
Iowa Hawkeyes are 25-9-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Iowa Hawkeyes are 22-7-0 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Indiana Fightin Hoosiers are 14-31-1 ATS As Dog (All Lines)
at South Carolina Gamecocks by 13.5 Mississippi State Bulldogs O/U 41.0
South Carolina Gamecocks are 9-2-1 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Mississippi State Bulldogs are 20-35-2 ATS All Games (All Lines)
Mississippi State Bulldogs are 2-9-0 ATS All Games (10 -> 13.5)
Mississippi State Bulldogs are 14-29-2 ATS As Dog (All Lines)
at Army Black Knights by 5.5 Temple Owls O/U 45.0
Army Black Knights are 0-13-1 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)
Army Black Knights are 0-5-1 ATS As Home (3 -> 6.5)
Army Black Knights are 1-8-0 ATS After 1 Overs (All Lines)
Temple Owls are 15-5-0 ATS After 4 Losses (All Lines)
Temple Owls are 7-0-0 O/U After 2 ATS Wins (All Lines)
at Navy Midshipmen by 2.5 Air Force Falcons O/U 55.5
Navy Midshipmen are 7-1-0 ATS After 1 Wins (PK -> 2.5)
at Oregon Ducks by 5.5 California Golden Bears O/U 72.0
Oregon Ducks are 0-5-0 ATS After 2 Overs (3 -> 6.5)
at Florida State Seminoles by 2.5 Alabama Crimson Tide O/U 43.5
Florida State Seminoles are 7-17-0 ATS After 2 Wins (All Lines)
Florida State Seminoles are 3-13-0 O/U After 2 Wins (All Lines)
Alabama Crimson Tide are 0-6-0 ATS After 1 Losses (PK -> 2.5)
at Georgia Bulldogs by 15.0 Mississippi Rebels O/U 48.0
Mississippi Rebels are 8-19-2 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
Mississippi Rebels are 5-14-2 O/U As Away (All Lines)
Mississippi Rebels are 3-11-2 O/U As Away Dog (All Lines)
Mississippi Rebels are 7-1-0 ATS After 3 Losses (All Lines)
at Florida Gators by 18.5 Auburn Tigers O/U 54.5
Florida Gators are 7-17-2 ATS After 1 Unders (All Lines)
Auburn Tigers are 18-7-0 ATS As Away (All Lines)
Auburn Tigers are 22-8-1 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
at Oregon State Beavers by 2.0 UCLA Bruins O/U 56.0
UCLA Bruins are 7-1-0 O/U All Games (PK -> 2.5)
Penn State Nittany Lions by 3.0 at Illinois Fighting Illini O/U 47.0
Illinois Fighting Illini are 1-8-0 ATS As Home (3 -> 6.5)
Illinois Fighting Illini are 5-0-0 O/U After 1 Unders (3 -> 6.5)
at Wisconsin Badgers by 7.5 Michigan State Spartans O/U 45.5
Michigan State Spartans are 23-40-1 ATS All Games (All Lines)
Michigan State Spartans are 17-7-0 O/U As Away (All Lines)
Michigan State Spartans are 5-0-0 O/U As Away (7 -> 9.5)
at Nebraska Cornhuskers by 21.0 Iowa State Cyclones O/U 57.0
Iowa State Cyclones are 9-22-0 ATS After 1 Losses (All Lines)
Iowa State Cyclones are 7-23-0 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)
at Nevada Wolf Pack by 3.5 UNLV Rebels O/U 51.5
Nevada Wolf Pack are 20-8-0 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)
Nevada Wolf Pack are 21-8-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Nevada Wolf Pack are 7-1-0 ATS As Home (3 -> 6.5)
Nevada Wolf Pack are 13-4-0 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Nevada Wolf Pack are 19-8-1 ATS After 1 Home (All Lines)
UNLV Rebels are 1-11-0 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)
UNLV Rebels are 0-6-0 ATS As Dog (3 -> 6.5)
UNLV Rebels are 9-20-2 ATS As Away (All Lines)
UNLV Rebels are 0-5-0 ATS As Away (3 -> 6.5)
UNLV Rebels are 4-13-0 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
at Southern Methodist Mustangs by 1.5 Texas El Paso Miners O/U 60.5
Southern Methodist Mustangs are 8-1-0 O/U After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
Hawaii Warriors by 25.0 at Idaho Vandals O/U 76.5
Hawaii Warriors are 19-6-0 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)
Hawaii Warriors are 20-7-0 O/U After 1 Home (All Lines)
Louisiana State Fighting Tigers by 40.5 at Tulane Green Wave O/U 49.5
Louisiana State Fighting Tigers are 8-1-0 ATS All Games (30 +)
Louisiana State Fighting Tigers are 8-1-0 ATS As Favorite (30 +)
at Texas Christian Horned Frogs by 10.0 Colorado State Rams O/U 46.0
Texas Christian Horned Frogs are 17-7-0 O/U After 1 Wins (All Lines)
Colorado State Rams are 5-0-0 O/U As Away (10 -> 13.5)
at Vanderbilt Commodores by 20.5 Eastern Michigan Hurons O/U 43.5
Vanderbilt Commodores are 0-5-1 ATS After 3 Home (All Lines)
Western Michigan Broncos by 1.5 at Toledo Rockets O/U 67.0
Toledo Rockets are 19-8-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Toledo Rockets are 13-2-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Toledo Rockets are 7-0-0 O/U As Home Dog (All Lines)
Kent Golden Flashes by 1.0 at Ohio Bobcats O/U 47.5
Kent Golden Flashes are 0-5-0 O/U After 2 Losses (All Lines)
Ohio Bobcats are 0-6-0 O/U After 1 Overs (All Lines)
Oklahoma Sooners by 22.5 at Colorado Buffaloes O/U 55.5
Oklahoma Sooners are 18-7-0 ATS After 1 Overs (All Lines)
at Virginia Cavaliers by 7.0 Pittsburgh Panthers O/U 39.0
Virginia Cavaliers are 26-10-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Virginia Cavaliers are 2-9-0 O/U After 1 Overs (All Lines)
Clemson Tigers by 3.0 at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets O/U 50.0
Clemson Tigers are 1-7-1 O/U As Away (3 -> 6.5)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 8-19-1 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 1-7-1 O/U As Dog (3 -> 6.5)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 6-0-1 ATS After 2 Losses (All Lines)
at Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 16.5 Maryland Terrapins O/U 46.0
Maryland Terrapins are 6-0-0 ATS After 2 Losses (All Lines)
Ohio State Buckeyes by 23.0 at Minnesota Golden Gophers O/U 61.0
Minnesota Golden Gophers are 19-7-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Southern California Trojans by 20.5 at Washington Huskies O/U 57.0
Southern California Trojans are 42-25-0 ATS All Games (All Lines)
Washington Huskies are 10-22-1 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Washington Huskies are 6-17-1 ATS After 1 Away (All Lines)
at Purdue Boilermakers by 22.0 Notre Dame Fighting Irish O/U 53.0
Purdue Boilermakers are 5-19-2 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Purdue Boilermakers are 4-13-2 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Purdue Boilermakers are 3-11-0 O/U After 1 Overs (All Lines)
Brigham Young Cougars by 5.5 at New Mexico Lobos O/U 56.0
Brigham Young Cougars are 5-0-0 O/U After 1 Unders (3 -> 6.5)
New Mexico Lobos are 21-9-0 ATS After 1 Home (All Lines)
at Arizona Wildcats by 2.5 Washington State Cougars O/U 60.0
Arizona Wildcats are 13-26-1 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Arizona Wildcats are 4-17-1 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Arizona Wildcats are 1-7-0 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Arizona Wildcats are 1-11-1 O/U After 1 Away (All Lines)
Washington State Cougars are 15-5-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
Washington State Cougars are 11-3-0 O/U After 1 Losses (All Lines)
Washington State Cougars are 7-17-0 ATS After 1 Away (All Lines)
Arizona State Sun Devils by 14.5 at Stanford Cardinal O/U 61.0
Stanford Cardinal are 14-33-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Stanford Cardinal are 12-30-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
Stanford Cardinal are 7-23-0 O/U After 1 Losses (All Lines)
Stanford Cardinal are 5-18-0 O/U After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)
at Fresno State Bulldogs by 12.5 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs O/U 64.0
Fresno State Bulldogs are 1-12-0 ATS After 2 Losses (All Lines)
Fresno State Bulldogs are 8-21-1 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 11-25-1 ATS As Dog (All Lines)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 10-25-1 ATS As Away (All Lines)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 7-20-1 ATS As Away Dog (All Lines)
at UCF Golden Knights by 21.5 UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns O/U 64.0
UCF Golden Knights are 5-0-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders by 12.5 Florida Intl Golden Panthers O/U 46.5
Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 0-8-0 ATS After 4 Losses (All Lines)
Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 1-7-0 O/U After 4 Losses (All Lines)
Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 1-8-0 O/U After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)
Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 0-5-0 ATS After 2 Away (All Lines)
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 3:44pm -
0 likes
marc lawrence 2minute handicap
College Football 2-Minute Handicap
Thursday, Sep 27
S Mississippi 4-1 w/ rest
0-5 dogs bef BB HG
0-4 on Weekdays
1-9 Game Four
1-5 bef E Carolina
BOISE ST 4-0 bef N Mex St…
7-1 favs < 28 pts in 2nd of BB HG
9-2 on Weekdays
0-4 Game Four
0-3 as non-conf favs < 15 pts
Friday, Sep 28
W Virginia 18-1 when win w/ conf revenge
12-2 on Weekdays
4-1 in 1st conf gm
2-6 Game Five
S FLORIDA 2-0 in 1st conf gm
4-1 in 2nd of BB HG
3-1 H Game Four
1-4 dogs vs opp w/ revenge
Saturday, Sep 29
N Carolina 4-1 off SU non-conf road dog L
1-5 w/ conf revenge
1-3 Game Five
2-5 as conf dogs 15 > pts
VIRGINIA TECH SERIES: 2-0 L8
8-2 off SU ‘unlined’ W
4-1 as DD favs in 3rd straight HG
9-3 vs conf opp w/ revenge
6-2 as DD favs in Game Five
Mississippi St 4-1 A w/ conf revenge
0-5 off 3 straight W
2-8 A Game Five
2-8 off BB SU W
4-14 as conf dogs 14 < pts
S CAROLINA SERIES: 4-1 favs vs conf opp w/ revenge
9-2 H Game Five
0-3 aft LSU
1-3 as DD conf favs
California 4-0 Game Five
3-0 off BB DD SU home W
7-3 bef Oreg St
1-6 vs opp w/ revenge off DD SU W
1-5 as conf RD’s 7 < pts
OREGON SERIES: 4-1 L5 / 7-1 L8 H
6-1 w/ conf revenge
5-1 off DD conf road W
4-1 bef Wash St
5-2 aft Stanford
1-5 conf HF’s 7 < pts
1-3 Game Five
Alabama 7-1 aft Georgia
4-1 A/Neutral favs/dogs 4 < pts
5-2-1 Game Five
1-4 vs ACC
Florida St 5-1 non-conf favs/dogs 4 < Pts
3-1 Game Four
1-4 bef NC State
2-5 A/N w/ rest
Mississippi SERIES: 4-1 L5 A
4-1 Game Five
6-2 A w/ conf revenge
GEORGIA 4-0 aft Alabama
5-2 Game Five
1-6 H vs conf opp w/ rev
Auburn SERIES: 3-0 L3
7-0-1 vs undefeated opp (Gm 4 >)
3-1 in 1st RG
3-1 Game Five
0-6 bef Vanderbilt
1-5 vs conf opp w/ revenge
1-4 as conf dogs 13 > pts
FLORIDA SERIES: 3-1 L4 H
6-2-1 w/ conf revenge
0-11 as conf favs 15 > pts
1-7-1 Game Five
1-5 vs opp off 3 straight HG
2-6 bef LSU
Ucla SERIES: 4-0 L4
6-0 Game Five
4-0 vs conf opp w/ revenge
5-1 aft Washington
3-11 as conf RF’s/RD’s 4 < pts
2-8 off SU conf home W 7 > pts
OREGON ST 5-1 bef Arizona
14-4 H w/ conf revenge
2-11 off DD SU conf road L
3-6 H Game Five
Penn St SERIES: 4-0 L4 A
5-1 Game Five
4-1 aft Michigan
8-3 as conf RF’s
0-4 as favs vs opp off BB SU road W
1-4 vs conf opp w/ revenge
ILLINOIS 5-0 dogs w/ conf revenge
4-1 dogs in 1st of BB HG
1-4 Game Five
3-8 as HD’s < 7 pts
Michigan St 4-0 A after Notre Dame
0-7 as conf dogs 7 < pts
0-3 bef N’Western
1-6 Game Five
1-5 in 2nd of BB RG
WISCONSIN SERIES: 3-1 L4 H
6-1 Game Five
6-1 in 2nd of BB HG
5-1 as conf favs 8 < pts
5-2 bef Illinois
2-6 as favs in 3rd straight HG
Iowa St 9-3 w/ conf revenge
0-3 Game Five
1-12 as conf dogs 17 > pts
1-4 in 2nd of BB RG
NEBRASKA SERIES: 8-2 L10 / 7-0 L7 H
8-1 bef RG vs Missouri
9-3 as conf favs 21 > pts
4-1 favs vs conf opp w/ revenge
3-1 favs in Game Five
7-3 in 3rd straight HG
Kansas St SERIES: 4-1 L5
7-3 as conf dogs 17 > pts
1-5 Game Four
1-4 in 1st conf gm
2-6 A bef HG vs Kansas
1-3 A vs conf opp w/ revenge
TEXAS 4-1 aft HG vs Rice
4-1 as conf favs 17 > pts
0-3 H bef Oklahoma
1-5 Game Five
1-4 w. conf revenge
Hawaii SERIES: 3-0 L3
5-1 off BB SU W 14 > pts
0-5 Game Five
1-4 as conf RF’s 7 > pts
3-9 A vs conf opp w/ revenge
IDAHO 5-0 Game Five
4-1 in 2nd of BB HG
0-4 w/ conf revenge
3-10 as conf dogs 7 > pts
Lsu 4-0 as RF’s 14 > pts
11-1 off 3 straight HG
6-2 bef Florida
0-3 Game Five
2-5 vs non conf opp w/ revenge
TULANE 0-3 Game Four
1-10 H vs SEC
3-7 w/ non conf revenge
3-7 as dogs in 3rd straight HG
Oklahoma SERIES: 4-1 L5
6-1 vs conf opp w/ revenge
1-4 aft Tulane
1-4 as RF’s bef Texas
2-5 in 1st conf gm
3-7 favs Game Five
COLORADO SERIES: 6-1 L7 H
4-1 H vs undefeated opp (Gm 4 > )
5-2 dogs in 2nd of BB HG
4-2 Game Five
0-5 as dogs w/ conf revenge
Baylor 3-0-1 Game Five
5-2 A off 3 straight W
1-7 w/ conf revenge
3-12 as RD’s +14 to +24 pts
TEXAS A&M SERIES: 10-4 L4
8-1 H off non conf SU L
16-4 in 1st of BB HG
1-6 Game Five
1-4 off Weekday gm
Louisville 16-1 vs ACC
7-2 Game Five
1-4 RF’s < 14 pts
NC STATE 5-1 vs Big East
5-1 as non conf HD’s
0-5 aft Clemson
2-8 in 2nd of BB HG
3-7 Game Five
2-5 H bef Florida St
Clemson SERIES: 5-1 L6 / 4-0 L4 A
4-0 bef Va Tech
1-6 aft NC State
2-8 Game Five
GEORGIA TECH 12-3 Game Five
4-1 aft Virginia
5-2 bef Maryland
1-5 w/ conf revenge
1-5 as HD
Ohio St SERIES: 4-0 L4 / 6-0 L6 A
5-0 bef Purdue
5-1 A vs conf opp w/ revenge
4-1 in 1st of BB RG
6-2 as conf RF’s 15 > pts
1-4-1 Game Five
MINNESOTA 4-1 dogs off BB SU L
5-2 bef Indiana
1-5 dogs in 2nd of BB HG
1-4 Game Five
3-9 dogs w/ conf revenge
Usc SERIES: 5-2 L7
5-1 bef Stanford
1-10 Game Four
1-4 aft Wash St
2-8 A vs conf opp w/ rev
2-6 as DD conf RF’s
WASHINGTON 4-0 vs undefeated opp (Gm 4 >)
0-6 aft RG vs UCLA
1-5 H w/ conf revenge
2-5 Game Five
Arizona St 4-0 in 1st of BB RG
4-1 aft Oreg St
1-5 as RF’s 8 > pts
1-3 A Game Five
3-7 favs vs conf opp w/ revenge
STANFORD SERIES: 7-2 L9 / 4-0 L4 H
3-0 bef RG vs USC 9-3 in 2nd of BB HG
0-4 as HD’s 8 > Pts
0-3 vs undefeated opp (Gm 4 >)
1-5 Game Four
N Texas 0-10 non conf dogs 28 > pts
1-6 in 1st of BB RG
1-5 bef La-Lafayette
1-5 Game Four
ARKANSAS 3-0 aft Kentucky
4-1 Game Four
1-8 non conf favs > 21 pts
1-4 in 2nd of BB HG
NFL 2-Minute Handicap
Sunday, Sep 30
Oakland 4-0 as dogs bef bye week vs opp off SU loss
10-2 A bef bye week (9-0 off SU win)
0-4 as dogs w/rev vs opp off BB SU losses
7-1 O/U Game Four
MIAMI SERIES: 6-1 L7/3-1 L4 H
1-4 Game Four
Houston 0-8 dog when w/l record is .500 >
2-7 A vs non conf opp
9-1 O/U Game Four
ATLANTA 0-4 H off a HD role
1-5 O/U Game Four
Baltimore SERIES: 0-3 L3/ 0-3 L3 A
10-3 Game Four
0-4 RF’s
CLEVELAND 5-1 Game Four (4-0 as dogs)
0-10 HD’s off non div game vs .500 > opp
*0-9 off non div game vs div opp off DD SU win
2-9 div dogs 7 < pts
Chicago SERIES: 4-1 L5
5-0 1st of BB RG’s
SU winner 10-1 Game Four
0-5 favs after allowing > 28 pts
SMITH: 6-1 off SU loss vs div opp
GRIESE: 6-17-1 A (1-9-1 opp off L)
DETROIT 15-0 dogs vs . 500 > div opp off DD ATS loss
8-0 HD’s vs div opp off SU loss
8-0 div HD’s 3 > pts vs < .666 opp
6-1 Game Four
MARINELLI: 4-1 HD
Green Bay SERIES: 1-4 L5 / 3-1 L4 A
1-5 Game Four off SUATS win
McCARTHY: 6-1 off non div game vs opp off BB SU losses
MINNESOTA Dog in Packer series 14-0-1
8-0 H off BB SU losses vs opp off SU dog win
6-0 off BB SU losses vs . 500 > opp
9-2 2nd HG
CHILDRESS: 1-4 off BB SU losses
St. Louis SERIES: 3-1 L4 A
11-4 Game Four
0-11 RD’s < .500 vs .500 > opp w/rev
3-12 A vs non div conf opp
DALLAS 7-1 H off BB RG’s
0-10 HF’s when O/U line is 44 > pts
1-4 O/U Game Four
NY Jets 6-2 A off SU win vs opp off DD SU loss
1-4 Game Four
MANGINI: 5-1 off div game
BUFFALO SERIES: 3-1 L4 H
10-0 after RG vs Pats
12-2 off SU div loss
4-12 H vs < .500 opp w/rev
0-4 O/U Game Four
Tampa Bay SEPT: 7-1 A if .500 > vs div opp
0-4 RD’s 5 < pts vs .666 > opp
2-11 off BB SU wins
5-2 O/U Game Four
CAROLINA SERIES: 6-2 L8 / 5-1 L6 H
39-5 H when win SU
0-7 HF’s vs .666 > opp
2-12 H vs opp off BB SUATS wins
1-6 O/U Game Four
Seattle SERIES: 1-3 L4… 6-0 O/U Game Four
SAN FRANCISCO 1-9 off BB RG’s vs opp off SU win
1-7 H off DD SU loss vs div opp w/rev
NOLAN: 6-0 dog vs div opp (1-0 this year)
Pittsburgh SU winner 15-0 Game Four
51-4 when win SU A off non div opp
ARIZONA 7-0 H off non conf opp
2-10 non conf dogs of 3 > pts
18-81 when lose SU
SEPT: 7-18 H (1-0 this year)
4-0 O/U Game Four
Kansas City SERIES: 0-4 L4 A
SEPT: 9-1 vs opp off SU fav loss
SAN DIEGO 5-0 Game Four
5-0-1 off SU fav loss
7-1 DD HF’s off non div RG
SEPT: 12-3 off non div game vs opp w/rev
TURNER: 1-10 div fav > 5 pts (0-5 -9 > pts)
Denver SERIES: 1-3 L4 / 1-3 L4 A
0-9 bef HG vs Chargers
INDIANAPOLIS 7-1 aft Texans
12-3 vs opp off SU fav loss
10-3 off div RG
1-6 H Game Four
4-10 H vs .666 > opp
Philadelphia SERIES: 3-1 L4 A
7-2 A Game Four
REID: 10-1 A vs < .500 div opp
NY GIANTS 7-0 HD’s off SU dog win vs opp off SU win
0-4 vs < .500 opp off DD SU win
COUGHLIN: 4-1 HD off SU win
1-7 O/U Game Four
Monday, Oct 01
New England 12-2 off BB SU wins of 14 > pts
SEPT: 6-2 vs < .500 opp w/rev
0-7 A after scoring 35 > pts
4-17 2nd RG of season
2-5 Game Four
CINCINNATI SERIES: 7-1-1 L9 / 5-1 L6 H
2-15 Game Four
1-5 vs AFC East
LEWIS: 1-5 H off BB losses
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 3:44pm -
0 likes
Thursday, September 27th
Southern Miss at Boise State, 7:45 EST ESPN
Southern Miss: 5-16 ATS off a conference win by 7 points or less
Boise State: 32-12 ATS as a home favorite
Write-In Added Game:
Memphis at Arkansas State, 7:00 EST
Memphis: 2-13 ATS off a combined score of 70+ points
Arkansas State: 17-9 ATS off a road loss by 21+ points
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Friday, September 28th
West Virginia at South Florida, 8:00 EST ESPN2
West Virginia: 19-8 ATS away off a win by 21+ points
South Florida: 9-0 Under off BB wins
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Saturday, September 29th
Duke at Miami FL, 12:00 EST
Duke: 2-11 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Miami FL: 15-5 Under off BB home games
North Carolina at Virginia Tech, 12:00 EST
North Carolina: 1-6 ATS off BB ATS losses
Virginia Tech: 10-2 ATS off a win by 21+ points
Akron at Connecticut, 12:00 EST
Akron: 5-1 Over as an underdog of 10 to 21.5 points
Connecticut: 6-0 ATS at home off a conference game
Indiana at Iowa, 12:00 EST
Indiana: 7-1 Over off BB home games
Iowa: 11-3 ATS off BB road games
Mississippi State at South Carolina, 12:30 EST
Mississippi State: 6-0 ATS in road games
South Carolina: 12-4 Over as a home favorite
(TC) Temple at Army, 12:00 EST ESPNU
Temple: 12-3 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Army: 2-10 ATS off an Over
Air Force at Navy, 1:00 EST CSTV
Air Force: 5-20 ATS off a conference road loss
Navy: 9-1 ATS vs. MWC opponents
(TC) Buffalo at Ball State, 12:00 EST
Buffalo: 12-5 Over vs. conference opponents
Ball State: 11-1 ATS off an Over
(TC) Northern Illinois at Central Michigan, 12:00 EST
Northern Illinois: 0-6 ATS off a road game
Central Michigan: 9-1 ATS vs. conference opponents
(TC) Michigan at Northwestern, 12:00 EST
Michigan: 8-1 ATS in road games
Northwestern: 0-6 ATS in September
(TC) Syracuse at Miami OH, 3:00 EST
Syracuse: 9-0 ATS vs. MAC opponents
Miami OH: 14-6 Over in September
Utah State at Utah, 3:00 EST
Utah State: 1-9 ATS off BB losses
Utah: 16-4 Over off a conference loss
California at Oregon, 3:30 EST ABC
California: 13-4 ATS away off a combined score of 70+ points
Oregon: 14-29 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
(TC) Alabama vs. Florida State, 5:00 EST CBS
Alabama: 17-6 ATS away off BB ATS losses
Florida State: 9-1 Under off BB non-conference games
(TC) Mississippi at Georgia, 1:00 EST
Mississippi: 16-6 Under off a home loss
Georgia: 10-22 ATS at home off a conference win
(TC) Auburn at Florida, 8:00 EST ESPN
Auburn: 8-2 Over off a win by 21+ points
Florida: 3-9 ATS off a conference win
(TC) UCLA at Oregon State, 6:30 EST FSN
UCLA: 7-1 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Oregon State: 1-6 ATS in September
(TC) Penn State at Illinois, 12:00 EST
Penn State: 8-1 Under after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Illinois: 5-14 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less
Michigan State at Wisconsin, 3:30 EST ABC
Michigan State: 3-13 ATS vs. conference opponents
Wisconsin: 8-1 ATS after allowing 14 points or less
(TC) Iowa State at Nebraska, 2:00 EST
Iowa State: 0-6 ATS playing on artificial turf
Nebraska: 14-1 ATS after allowing 325+ passing yards
Kansas State at Texas, 3:30 EST ABC
Kansas State: 7-1 Over as a road underdog
Texas: 12-2 ATS off 3+ Overs
UNLV at Nevada, 4:05 EST
UNLV: 7-18 ATS playing on artificial turf
Nevada: 8-0 ATS as a favorite
UTEP at SMU, 4:30 EST CSTV
UTEP: 5-18 ATS away in September
SMU: 8-2 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Hawaii at Idaho, 5:00 EST
Hawaii: 13-4 ATS as a favorite
Idaho: 1-5 ATS after allowing 24+ first-half points
(TC) LSU at Tulane, 12:00 EST ESPN2
LSU: 7-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Tulane: 2-11 ATS playing on artificial turf
Colorado State at TCU, 7:00 EST
Colorado State: 0-6 ATS off BB losses
TCU: 15-6 ATS off a win
Eastern Michigan at Vanderbilt, 7:00 EST
Eastern Michigan: 5-19 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Vanderbilt: 5-1 Over off BB home games
Western Michigan at Toledo, 7:00 EST
Western Michigan: 16-6 ATS after allowing 14 points or less
Toledo: 7-0 Over as a home underdog
(TC) Kent State at Ohio U, 3:00 EST
Kent State: 2-8 ATS after committing 3+ turnovers
Ohio U: 6-0 ATS off a home game
(TC) Oklahoma at Colorado, 1:30 EST FSN
Oklahoma: 11-3 ATS as a favorite
Colorado: 3-11 ATS as an underdog
(TC) Baylor at Texas A&M, 12:30 EST VER
Baylor: 1-8 ATS off an Over
Texas A&M: 8-1 Over off a non-conference game
Pittsburgh at Virginia, 7:00 EST ESPNU
Pittsburgh: 2-16 ATS off a home loss by 14+ points
Virginia: 8-0 Under as a home favorite
East Carolina at Houston, 7:00 EST
East Carolina: 14-5 Under as an underdog
Houston: 6-0 ATS at home off a win
UAB at Tulsa, 7:00 EST
UAB: 15-5 ATS off BB non-conference games
Tulsa: 2-13 ATS off BB games with combined scores of 60+ points
(TC) Louisville at NC State, 3:30 EST ESPNU
Louisville: 11-2 ATS vs. ACC opponents
NC State: 1-7 ATS in September
(TC) Clemson at Georgia Tech, 3:30 EST ABC
Clemson: 9-2 Under off BB wins by 17+ points
Georgia Tech: 1-7 ATS off a loss as a road favorite
(TC) Maryland at Rutgers, 3:30 EST ABC
Maryland: 0-6 ATS in September
Rutgers: 6-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Ohio State at Minnesota, 8:00 EST ESPN2
Ohio State: 14-3 ATS vs. conference opponents
Minnesota: 0-5 ATS at home vs. Ohio State
USC at Washington, 8:00 EST ABC
USC: 33-14 ATS after scoring 42+ points
Washington: 6-22 ATS off a conference road loss
(TC) Notre Dame at Purdue, 12:00 EST ESPN
Notre Dame: 0-6 ATS as an underdog
Purdue: 9-2 Under off a road win by 10+ points
BYU at New Mexico, 8:30 EST CSTV
BYU: 14-3 ATS away off an ATS win as a favorite of 10+ points
New Mexico: 0-7 ATS after allowing 6 points or less
Washington State at Arizona, 10:00 EST
Washington State: 11-3 Over off a loss by 17+ points
Arizona: 0-6 ATS as a home favorite
Arizona State at Stanford, 10:00 EST
Arizona State: 7-1 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points
Stanford: 2-9 ATS vs. conference opponents
Louisiana Tech at Fresno State, 10:00 EST
Louisiana Tech: 3-13 ATS off a bye week
Fresno State: 17-7 Over in September
Cincinnati at San Diego State, 10:00 EST VER
Cincinnati: 8-1 ATS off an ATS win
San Diego State: 9-1 Under off a win by 21+ points
Added Games:
Louisiana Lafayette at Central Florida, 6:00 EST
LA Lafayette: 5-16 ATS off a combined score of 60+ points
Central Florida: 6-1 Over off BB ATS wins
Florida International at Middle Tennessee State, 7:00 EST
Florida Int: 0-7 ATS off 4+ losses
Mid Tenn State: 11-2 Under off an ATS loss
(TC) Florida Atlantic at Kentucky, 1:00 EST
Florida Atl: 2-8 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Kentucky: 5-1 ATS off BB wins
North Texas at Arkansas, 7:00 EST
North Texas: 4-14 ATS off an Under
Arkansas: 13-3 ATS off a combined score of 70+ points
Louisiana Monroe at Troy, 7:00 EST
LA Monroe: 7-0 ATS away vs. conference opponents
Troy: 2-10 ATS off BB ATS wins
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 6:14pm -
0 likes
Gator's "Right" Angle Technical Analysis
Listed below are some of Gator's Angles and Technical Situations for upcoming games. Each week Gator will post his NFL and College Angles and Technical Situations for that weeks games.
at Oklahoma State Cowboys by NL Sam Houston State O/U NL
Oklahoma State Cowboys are 14-4-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
at Boston College Eagles by NL Massachusetts O/U NL
Boston College Eagles are 20-9-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Boston College Eagles are 16-5-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
at San Jose State Spartans by NL UC Davis O/U NL
San Jose State Spartans are 11-1-1 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)
San Jose State Spartans are 0-7-0 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)
San Jose State Spartans are 3-11-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
San Jose State Spartans are 0-5-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
San Jose State Spartans are 0-9-0 O/U After 1 Wins (All Lines)
at Texas Tech Red Raiders by NL Northwestern State (La.) O/U NL
Texas Tech Red Raiders are 35-18-1 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Texas Tech Red Raiders are 17-6-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
at Miami Hurricanes by 24.0 Duke Blue Devils O/U 46.5
Miami Hurricanes are 16-37-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Miami Hurricanes are 12-30-0 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)
Miami Hurricanes are 7-21-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Miami Hurricanes are 7-19-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Miami Hurricanes are 6-18-0 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
Duke Blue Devils are 20-9-0 ATS As Away Dog (All Lines)
at Virginia Tech Hokies by 18.0 North Carolina Tar Heels O/U 42.0
North Carolina Tar Heels are 10-2-0 O/U After 1 Unders (All Lines)
at Connecticut Huskies by 13.5 Akron Zips O/U 42.5
Connecticut Huskies are 0-5-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
at Iowa Hawkeyes by 11.0 Indiana Fightin Hoosiers O/U 44.0
Iowa Hawkeyes are 25-9-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Iowa Hawkeyes are 22-7-0 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Indiana Fightin Hoosiers are 14-31-1 ATS As Dog (All Lines)
at South Carolina Gamecocks by 13.5 Mississippi State Bulldogs O/U 41.0
South Carolina Gamecocks are 9-2-1 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Mississippi State Bulldogs are 20-35-2 ATS All Games (All Lines)
Mississippi State Bulldogs are 2-9-0 ATS All Games (10 -> 13.5)
Mississippi State Bulldogs are 14-29-2 ATS As Dog (All Lines)
at Army Black Knights by 5.5 Temple Owls O/U 45.0
Army Black Knights are 0-13-1 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)
Army Black Knights are 0-5-1 ATS As Home (3 -> 6.5)
Army Black Knights are 1-8-0 ATS After 1 Overs (All Lines)
Temple Owls are 15-5-0 ATS After 4 Losses (All Lines)
Temple Owls are 7-0-0 O/U After 2 ATS Wins (All Lines)
at Navy Midshipmen by 2.5 Air Force Falcons O/U 55.5
Navy Midshipmen are 7-1-0 ATS After 1 Wins (PK -> 2.5)
at Oregon Ducks by 5.5 California Golden Bears O/U 72.0
Oregon Ducks are 0-5-0 ATS After 2 Overs (3 -> 6.5)
at Florida State Seminoles by 2.5 Alabama Crimson Tide O/U 43.5
Florida State Seminoles are 7-17-0 ATS After 2 Wins (All Lines)
Florida State Seminoles are 3-13-0 O/U After 2 Wins (All Lines)
Alabama Crimson Tide are 0-6-0 ATS After 1 Losses (PK -> 2.5)
at Georgia Bulldogs by 15.0 Mississippi Rebels O/U 48.0
Mississippi Rebels are 8-19-2 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
Mississippi Rebels are 5-14-2 O/U As Away (All Lines)
Mississippi Rebels are 3-11-2 O/U As Away Dog (All Lines)
Mississippi Rebels are 7-1-0 ATS After 3 Losses (All Lines)
at Florida Gators by 18.5 Auburn Tigers O/U 54.5
Florida Gators are 7-17-2 ATS After 1 Unders (All Lines)
Auburn Tigers are 18-7-0 ATS As Away (All Lines)
Auburn Tigers are 22-8-1 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
at Oregon State Beavers by 2.0 UCLA Bruins O/U 56.0
UCLA Bruins are 7-1-0 O/U All Games (PK -> 2.5)
Penn State Nittany Lions by 3.0 at Illinois Fighting Illini O/U 47.0
Illinois Fighting Illini are 1-8-0 ATS As Home (3 -> 6.5)
Illinois Fighting Illini are 5-0-0 O/U After 1 Unders (3 -> 6.5)
at Wisconsin Badgers by 7.5 Michigan State Spartans O/U 45.5
Michigan State Spartans are 23-40-1 ATS All Games (All Lines)
Michigan State Spartans are 17-7-0 O/U As Away (All Lines)
Michigan State Spartans are 5-0-0 O/U As Away (7 -> 9.5)
at Nebraska Cornhuskers by 21.0 Iowa State Cyclones O/U 57.0
Iowa State Cyclones are 9-22-0 ATS After 1 Losses (All Lines)
Iowa State Cyclones are 7-23-0 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)
at Nevada Wolf Pack by 3.5 UNLV Rebels O/U 51.5
Nevada Wolf Pack are 20-8-0 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)
Nevada Wolf Pack are 21-8-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Nevada Wolf Pack are 7-1-0 ATS As Home (3 -> 6.5)
Nevada Wolf Pack are 13-4-0 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Nevada Wolf Pack are 19-8-1 ATS After 1 Home (All Lines)
UNLV Rebels are 1-11-0 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)
UNLV Rebels are 0-6-0 ATS As Dog (3 -> 6.5)
UNLV Rebels are 9-20-2 ATS As Away (All Lines)
UNLV Rebels are 0-5-0 ATS As Away (3 -> 6.5)
UNLV Rebels are 4-13-0 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
at Southern Methodist Mustangs by 1.5 Texas El Paso Miners O/U 60.5
Southern Methodist Mustangs are 8-1-0 O/U After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
Hawaii Warriors by 25.0 at Idaho Vandals O/U 76.5
Hawaii Warriors are 19-6-0 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)
Hawaii Warriors are 20-7-0 O/U After 1 Home (All Lines)
Louisiana State Fighting Tigers by 40.5 at Tulane Green Wave O/U 49.5
Louisiana State Fighting Tigers are 8-1-0 ATS All Games (30 +)
Louisiana State Fighting Tigers are 8-1-0 ATS As Favorite (30 +)
at Texas Christian Horned Frogs by 10.0 Colorado State Rams O/U 46.0
Texas Christian Horned Frogs are 17-7-0 O/U After 1 Wins (All Lines)
Colorado State Rams are 5-0-0 O/U As Away (10 -> 13.5)
at Vanderbilt Commodores by 20.5 Eastern Michigan Hurons O/U 43.5
Vanderbilt Commodores are 0-5-1 ATS After 3 Home (All Lines)
Western Michigan Broncos by 1.5 at Toledo Rockets O/U 67.0
Toledo Rockets are 19-8-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Toledo Rockets are 13-2-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Toledo Rockets are 7-0-0 O/U As Home Dog (All Lines)
Kent Golden Flashes by 1.0 at Ohio Bobcats O/U 47.5
Kent Golden Flashes are 0-5-0 O/U After 2 Losses (All Lines)
Ohio Bobcats are 0-6-0 O/U After 1 Overs (All Lines)
Oklahoma Sooners by 22.5 at Colorado Buffaloes O/U 55.5
Oklahoma Sooners are 18-7-0 ATS After 1 Overs (All Lines)
at Virginia Cavaliers by 7.0 Pittsburgh Panthers O/U 39.0
Virginia Cavaliers are 26-10-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Virginia Cavaliers are 2-9-0 O/U After 1 Overs (All Lines)
Clemson Tigers by 3.0 at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets O/U 50.0
Clemson Tigers are 1-7-1 O/U As Away (3 -> 6.5)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 8-19-1 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 1-7-1 O/U As Dog (3 -> 6.5)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 6-0-1 ATS After 2 Losses (All Lines)
at Rutgers Scarlet Knights by 16.5 Maryland Terrapins O/U 46.0
Maryland Terrapins are 6-0-0 ATS After 2 Losses (All Lines)
Ohio State Buckeyes by 23.0 at Minnesota Golden Gophers O/U 61.0
Minnesota Golden Gophers are 19-7-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Southern California Trojans by 20.5 at Washington Huskies O/U 57.0
Southern California Trojans are 42-25-0 ATS All Games (All Lines)
Washington Huskies are 10-22-1 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Washington Huskies are 6-17-1 ATS After 1 Away (All Lines)
at Purdue Boilermakers by 22.0 Notre Dame Fighting Irish O/U 53.0
Purdue Boilermakers are 5-19-2 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Purdue Boilermakers are 4-13-2 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Purdue Boilermakers are 3-11-0 O/U After 1 Overs (All Lines)
Brigham Young Cougars by 5.5 at New Mexico Lobos O/U 56.0
Brigham Young Cougars are 5-0-0 O/U After 1 Unders (3 -> 6.5)
New Mexico Lobos are 21-9-0 ATS After 1 Home (All Lines)
at Arizona Wildcats by 2.5 Washington State Cougars O/U 60.0
Arizona Wildcats are 13-26-1 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Arizona Wildcats are 4-17-1 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Arizona Wildcats are 1-7-0 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Arizona Wildcats are 1-11-1 O/U After 1 Away (All Lines)
Washington State Cougars are 15-5-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
Washington State Cougars are 11-3-0 O/U After 1 Losses (All Lines)
Washington State Cougars are 7-17-0 ATS After 1 Away (All Lines)
Arizona State Sun Devils by 14.5 at Stanford Cardinal O/U 61.0
Stanford Cardinal are 14-33-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Stanford Cardinal are 12-30-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
Stanford Cardinal are 7-23-0 O/U After 1 Losses (All Lines)
Stanford Cardinal are 5-18-0 O/U After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)
at Fresno State Bulldogs by 12.5 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs O/U 64.0
Fresno State Bulldogs are 1-12-0 ATS After 2 Losses (All Lines)
Fresno State Bulldogs are 8-21-1 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 11-25-1 ATS As Dog (All Lines)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 10-25-1 ATS As Away (All Lines)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 7-20-1 ATS As Away Dog (All Lines)
at UCF Golden Knights by 21.5 UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns O/U 64.0
UCF Golden Knights are 5-0-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders by 12.5 Florida Intl Golden Panthers O/U 46.5
Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 0-8-0 ATS After 4 Losses (All Lines)
Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 1-7-0 O/U After 4 Losses (All Lines)
Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 1-8-0 O/U After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)
Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 0-5-0 ATS After 2 Away (All Lines)
_________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 6:15pm -
0 likes
Thursday's college football info
Don't adjust your TV; they're playing on blue astroturf in Boise, where Broncos are 26-11 vs spread in last 37 tries as favorite. No easy way to get from Hattiesburg to Boise, tough trip for visitor, but Southern Mississippi won last game at East Carolina, was down just 17-16 at half at Tennessee the week before. Eagles are 8-13 vs spread in last 21 tries as road dog-- this is their first trip west of Mississippi River since '03. Boise scored just 34 points in two games vs I-A foes, as they rebuild some this season.
Arkansas State outgained Texas in Austin, then waxed SMU in next game 45-28; ASU beat Memphis 25-23 as 8-point dogs in Liberty Bowl LY, after losing previous two games vs Tigers by 38-16/47-35 margins. Memphis was down 42-0 at half last week in Orlando (lost 56-20 to UCF) so they've got issues. Indians ran ball for 177 yards in Knoxville last week, lost 48-27 at Tennessee (+19, was 31-17 at half). ASU is 5-3 in last eight as home fave.
Friday's college football info
South Florida upset West Virginia LY, 24-19, knocked them out of BCS; WVa hired the USF offensive coordinator after season, so edge there for Mountaineers, who are 4-0, scoring 47.3 ppg and running ball for 355.6 ypg. Bulls covered three of last four tries as home dog; they're 3-0 with 26-23 win at Auburn; pair of I-A foes they've faced ran ball for total of 204 yards. USF has +6 turnover ratio in last two games, with six INTs, but WVa won't be throwing much, unless Bulls can stop the run.
Saturday's college football info
Top 10 games
Iowa has good defense, but they've scored only two TDs in last two games, getting outrushed 329-171, converting just 5-29 on third down. Indiana upset Hawkeyes 31-28 LY; they're 3-1 after Illinois shut them down LW, 27-14. Hoosiers are just 12-24 as a road dog since '00, but coach Hoeppner had them on right track before he passed away. Iowa won its only home game this year 35-0; all four Hawkeye games stayed under the total.
South Carolina changes QBs after 28-16 loss at rainy LSU week ago; Gamecocks scoring just 20 ppg in three games vs I-A foes, 16 ppg in SEC play. Carolina covered five of last seven after loss Miss State covered seven of nine off a win, and they're on three game win streak, including win at Auburn. SC won this game a year ago 15-0 (-7), holding MSU to 8-23/82 passing. Bulldogs do have QB issues; they were just 5-18/41 passing at Auburn.
Air Force underdog for fourth straight week, with two outright wins and 31-6 loss at BYU last week; Flyboys lost four in a row to Navy, with three wins by 3 pts, one by seven Navy gave up 36 points in the first half to Duke last week, rallied for 46-43 win behind backup Bryant, but that is huge red flag- they lost to Ball State week before, but Cards almost beat Nebraska, that looks better now. Middies are 2-7 in last nine tries as home favorite.
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 6:16pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
Dunkel Index
Southern Mississippi at Boise State
The Broncos haven't captured the magic yet that carried them to postseason glory against Oklahoma last year. An ugly loss at Washington (24-10) in Week 2 was followed by a lackluster win over Wyoming (24-14). The offense has sputtered behind new QB Taylor Tharp and has allowed defenses to focus on slowing down RB Ian Johnson. Johnson ranks just 41st in the nation with 97.3 yards per game and has been held to less than 100 yards and without a TD in two straight games. But with the exception of one half against Washington, the Bronco defense has been tough and hasn't allowed a point in five of the last six quarters. And few are tougher at home than Boise where they are 53-2 at Bronco Stadium since the end of 1998. Southern Miss struggled when it went on the road earlier this year at Tennessee (39-19) and could find the blue turf equally uninviting. Boise State looks like a good pick to cover (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-10). Here are all of this week's picks.
THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 27
Game 101-102: Southern Mississippi at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 86.727; Boise State 101.564
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 15; 42
Vegas Line: Boise State by 10; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-10); Under
Game 233-234: Memphis at Arkansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 77.621; Arkansas State 80.029
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 2 1/2; 71
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 4 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+4 1/2); Over
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 28
Game 103-104: West Virginia at South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 108.843; South Florida 97.629
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 11; 50
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 7; 61
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-7); Under
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 29
Game 105-106: Duke at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 76.757; Miami (FL) 94.346
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 17 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 24; 47
Dunkel Pick: Duke (+24); Over
Game 107-108: North Carolina at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 79.670; Virginia Tech 100.584
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 21; 44
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 17 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-17 1/2); Over
Game 109-110: Akron at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 75.248; Connecticut 96.498
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 21; 49
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 13; 43
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-13); Over
Game 111-112: Indiana at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 84.703; Iowa 97.997
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 13; 38
Vegas Line: Iowa by 11; 44
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-11); Under
Game 113-114: Mississippi State at South Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 81.997; South Carolina 102.812
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 21; 40
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 13 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-13 1/2); Under
Game 115-116: Temple at Army
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 64.017; Army 73.290
Dunkel Line: Army by 9; 51
Vegas Line: Army by 5 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Army (-5 1/2); Over
Game 117-118: Air Force at Navy
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 87.944; Navy 83.011
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 5; 50
Vegas Line: Navy by 3; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+3); Under
Game 119-120: Buffalo at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 66.577; Ball State 86.925
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 20 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Ball State by 15 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-15 1/2); Over
Game 121-122: Northern Illinois at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 73.656; Central Michigan 71.002
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 2 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 3; 60
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+3); Over
Game 123-124: Michigan at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 101.977; Northwestern 78.780
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 23; 37
Vegas Line: Michigan by 16 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-16 1/2); Under
Game 125-126: Syracuse at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 76.566; Miami (OH) 79.362
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 3; 56
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 2 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+2 1/2); Over
Game 127-128: Utah State at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 62.977; Utah 87.168
Dunkel Line: Utah by 24; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 20; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-20); Under
Game 129-130: California at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: California 110.057; Oregon 112.254
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 2; 78
Vegas Line: Oregon by 5 1/2; 71
Dunkel Pick: California (+5 1/2); Over
Game 131-132: Alabama vs. Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 96.030; Florida State 92.348
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 4; 47
Vegas Line: Florida State by 2 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (+2 1/2); Over
Game 133-134: Mississippi at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 80.265; Georgia 101.262
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 21; 51
Vegas Line: Georgia by 15; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-15); Over
Game 135-136: Auburn at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 90.325; Florida 107.564
Dunkel Line: Florida by 17; 49
Vegas Line: Florida by 19; 55
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+19); Under
Game 137-138: UCLA at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 94.791; Oregon State 93.598
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 1; 62 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 2; 56
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+2); Over
Game 139-140: Penn State at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 99.803; Illinois 92.467
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 7; 48
Vegas Line: Penn State by 3; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-3); Over
Game 141-142: Michigan State at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 93.124; Wisconsin 98.800
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 5 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 7 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+7 1/2); Under
Game 143-144: Iowa State at Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 77.459; Nebraska 98.943
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 21 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 22 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+22 1/2); Over
Game 145-146: Kansas State at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 87.735; Texas 104.794
Dunkel Line: Texas by 17; 57
Vegas Line: Texas by 14 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-14 1/2); Over
Game 147-148: UNLV at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 85.433; Nevada 87.450
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 2; 55
Vegas Line: Nevada by 6; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+6); Over
Game 149-150: UTEP at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 78.867; SMU 74.874
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 4; 54
Vegas Line: SMU by 2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+2); Under
Game 151-152: Hawaii at Idaho
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 99.841; Idaho 72.226
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 27 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 25; 77
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-25); Under
Game 153-154: LSU at Tulane
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 112.996; Tulane 69.061
Dunkel Line: LSU by 44; 44
Vegas Line: LSU by 39 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-39 1/2); Under
Game 155-156: Colorado State at TCU
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 86.179; TCU 95.685
Dunkel Line: TCU by 9 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: TCU by 13; 46
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+13); Over
Game 157-158: Eastern Michigan at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 68.171; Vanderbilt 89.516
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 21; 47
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 19 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-19 1/2); Over
Game 159-160: Western Michigan at Toledo
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 75.186; Toledo 76.831
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 2; 68
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 2; 67
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+2); Over
Game 161-162: Kent at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Kent 75.954; Ohio 81.348
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 5 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Kent by 1; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+1); Over
Game 163-164: Oklahoma at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 117.705; Colorado 87.066
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 31; 48
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 22; 56
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-22); Under
Game 165-166: Baylor at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 80.526; Texas A&M 94.119
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 13 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 17; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+17); Under
Game 167-168: Pittsburgh at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 87.229; Virginia 90.603
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 3; 44
Vegas Line: Virginia by 7; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+7); Over
Game 169-170: East Carolina at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 84.547; Houston 89.793
Dunkel Line: Houston by 5; 52
Vegas Line: Houston by 10 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+10 1/2); Under
Game 171-172: UAB at Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 71.483; Tulsa 87.498
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 16; 62
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 21; 69 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+21); Under
Game 173-174: Louisville at NC State
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 98.330; NC State 83.199
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 15; 67
Vegas Line: Louisville by 8 1/2; 71 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-8 1/2); Under
Game 175-176: Clemson at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 97.061; Georgia Tech 99.574
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 2 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Clemson by 3; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+3); Under
Game 177-178: Maryland at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 86.431; Rutgers 104.594
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 18; 52
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 13; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-13); Over
Game 179-180: Ohio State at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 110.952; Minnesota 82.391
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 28 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 21 1/2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-21 1/2); Under
Game 181-182: USC at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: USC 111.046; Washington 94.171
Dunkel Line: USC by 17; 66
Vegas Line: USC by 21; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+21); Over
Game 183-184: Notre Dame at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 81.843; Purdue 100.060
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 18; 56
Vegas Line: Purdue by 22; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+22); Over
Game 185-186: BYU at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 92.394; New Mexico 94.248
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 2; 62
Vegas Line: BYU by 7 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+7 1/2); Over
Game 187-188: Washington State at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 85.549; Arizona 84.427
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 1; 64
Vegas Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+2 1/2); Over
Game 189-190: Arizona State at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 102.779; Stanford 81.636
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 21; 61 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 14; 61
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-14); Over
Game 191-192: Louisiana Tech at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 75.590; Fresno State 82.593
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 7; 65 1/2
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 12 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+12 1/2); Over
Game 193-194: Cincinnati at San Diego State
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 104.565; San Diego State 81.307
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 23; 57
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 14; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-14); Over
Game 195-196: UL Lafayette at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: UL Lafayette 64.471; Central Florida 91.218
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 27; 68
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 21 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-21 1/2); Over
Game 197-198: Florida International at Middle Tennessee St.
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 57.787; Middle Tennessee St. 76.828
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 19; 41
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 11 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee St. (-11 1/2); Under
Game 199-200: Florida Atlantic at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 75.298; Kentucky 105.372
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 30; 70
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 22; 67
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-22); Over
Game 201-202: North Texas at Arkansas
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 60.496; Arkansas 95.738
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 35; 70
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 36; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+36); Over
Game 203-204: UL Monroe at Troy
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 67.853; Troy 91.890
Dunkel Line: Troy by 24; 72
Vegas Line: Troy by 12 1/2; 71
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-12 1/2); Over
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 6:17pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
Long Sheet
Week 5
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Thursday, September 27
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SOUTHERN MISS (2 - 1) at BOISE ST (2 - 1) - 9/27/2007, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 65-39 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 65-39 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 36-15 ATS (+19.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 36-15 ATS (+19.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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MEMPHIS (1 - 2) at ARKANSAS ST (1 - 2) - 9/27/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Friday, September 28
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W VIRGINIA (4 - 0) at S FLORIDA (3 - 0) - 9/28/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in September games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Saturday, September 29
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DUKE (1 - 3) at MIAMI (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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N CAROLINA (1 - 3) at VIRGINIA TECH (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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AKRON (2 - 2) at CONNECTICUT (4 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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INDIANA (3 - 1) at IOWA (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 1) at S CAROLINA (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TEMPLE (0 - 4) at ARMY (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in September games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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AIR FORCE (3 - 1) at NAVY (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
NAVY is 93-64 ATS (+22.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 93-64 ATS (+22.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 59-37 ATS (+18.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 2-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 2-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BUFFALO (1 - 3) at BALL ST (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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N ILLINOIS (1 - 3) at C MICHIGAN (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MICHIGAN (2 - 2) at NORTHWESTERN (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SYRACUSE (1 - 3) at MIAMI OHIO (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) against MAC opponents since 1992.
MIAMI OHIO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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UTAH ST (0 - 4) at UTAH (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CALIFORNIA (4 - 0) at OREGON (4 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-1 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ALABAMA (3 - 1) vs. FLORIDA ST (2 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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OLE MISS (1 - 3) at GEORGIA (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
GEORGIA is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
GEORGIA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 1-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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AUBURN (2 - 2) at FLORIDA (4 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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UCLA (3 - 1) at OREGON ST (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PENN ST (3 - 1) at ILLINOIS (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 43-72 ATS (-36.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MICHIGAN ST (4 - 0) at WISCONSIN (4 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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IOWA ST (1 - 3) at NEBRASKA (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 51-28 ATS (+20.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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KANSAS ST (2 - 1) at TEXAS (4 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
ead-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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UNLV (2 - 2) at NEVADA (1 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEVADA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 2-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UTEP (2 - 2) at SMU (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 2-0 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-1 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAWAII (4 - 0) at IDAHO (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 2-0 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 2-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LSU (4 - 0) at TULANE (1 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
COLORADO ST (0 - 3) at TCU (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
E MICHIGAN (2 - 2) at VANDERBILT (2 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
W MICHIGAN (1 - 3) at TOLEDO (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
TOLEDO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-1 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KENT ST (2 - 2) at OHIO U (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 1-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OKLAHOMA (4 - 0) at COLORADO (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
OKLAHOMA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BAYLOR (3 - 1) at TEXAS A&M (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
BAYLOR is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BAYLOR is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 1-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITTSBURGH (2 - 2) at VIRGINIA (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
E CAROLINA (1 - 3) at HOUSTON (2 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UAB (1 - 2) at TULSA (2 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
TULSA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LOUISVILLE (2 - 2) at NC STATE (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.
NC STATE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CLEMSON (4 - 0) at GEORGIA TECH (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MARYLAND (2 - 2) at RUTGERS (3 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
RUTGERS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OHIO ST (4 - 0) at MINNESOTA (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in September games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
USC (3 - 0) at WASHINGTON (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOTRE DAME (0 - 4) at PURDUE (4 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-1 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BYU (2 - 2) at NEW MEXICO (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
NEW MEXICO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 1-1 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WASHINGTON ST (2 - 2) at ARIZONA (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 23-50 ATS (-32.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 29-55 ATS (-31.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 29-55 ATS (-31.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA is 46-73 ATS (-34.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 29-55 ATS (-31.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------ --------------------------------------------------
ARIZONA ST (4 - 0) at STANFORD (1 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 2) at FRESNO ST (1 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 1-1 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CINCINNATI (4 - 0) at SAN DIEGO ST (1 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LA LAFAYETTE (0 - 4) at UCF (2 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 0-0 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 4) at MIDDLE TENN ST (0 - 4) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 1) at KENTUCKY (4 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NORTH TEXAS (0 - 3) at ARKANSAS (1 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LA MONROE (0 - 3) at TROY (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 2-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-1 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 6:18pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
Short Sheet
Week 5
Thursday, September 27th
Southern Miss at Boise State, 7:45 ET ESPN
Southern Miss: 5-16 ATS off a conference win by 7 points or less
Boise State: 32-12 ATS as a home favorite
Write-In Added Game:
Memphis at Arkansas State, 7:00 ET
Memphis: 2-13 ATS off a combined score of 70+ points
Arkansas State: 17-9 ATS off a road loss by 21+ points
Friday, September 28th
West Virginia at South Florida, 8:00 ET ESPN2
West Virginia: 19-8 ATS away off a win by 21+ points
South Florida: 9-0 Under off BB wins
Saturday, September 29th
Duke at Miami FL, 12:00 ET
Duke: 2-11 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Miami FL: 15-5 Under off BB home games
North Carolina at Virginia Tech, 12:00 ET
North Carolina: 1-6 ATS off BB ATS losses
Virginia Tech: 10-2 ATS off a win by 21+ points
Akron at Connecticut, 12:00 ET
Akron: 5-1 Over as an underdog of 10 to 21.5 points
Connecticut: 6-0 ATS at home off a conference game
Indiana at Iowa, 12:00 ET
Indiana: 7-1 Over off BB home games
Iowa: 11-3 ATS off BB road games
Mississippi State at South Carolina, 12:30 ET
Mississippi State: 6-0 ATS in road games
South Carolina: 12-4 Over as a home favorite
(TC) Temple at Army, 12:00 ET ESPNU
Temple: 12-3 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Army: 2-10 ATS off an Over
Air Force at Navy, 1:00 ET CSTV
Air Force: 5-20 ATS off a conference road loss
Navy: 9-1 ATS vs. MWC opponents
(TC) Buffalo at Ball State, 12:00 ET
Buffalo: 12-5 Over vs. conference opponents
Ball State: 11-1 ATS off an Over
(TC) Northern Illinois at Central Michigan, 12:00 ET
Northern Illinois: 0-6 ATS off a road game
Central Michigan: 9-1 ATS vs. conference opponents
(TC) Michigan at Northwestern, 12:00 ET
Michigan: 8-1 ATS in road games
Northwestern: 0-6 ATS in September
(TC) Syracuse at Miami OH, 3:00 ET
Syracuse: 9-0 ATS vs. MAC opponents
Miami OH: 14-6 Over in September
Utah State at Utah, 3:00 ET
Utah State: 1-9 ATS off BB losses
Utah: 16-4 Over off a conference loss
California at Oregon, 3:30 ET ABC
California: 13-4 ATS away off a combined score of 70+ points
Oregon: 14-29 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
(TC) Alabama vs. Florida State, 5:00 ET CBS
Alabama: 17-6 ATS away off BB ATS losses
Florida State: 9-1 Under off BB non-conference games
(TC) Mississippi at Georgia, 1:00 ET
Mississippi: 16-6 Under off a home loss
Georgia: 10-22 ATS at home off a conference win
(TC) Auburn at Florida, 8:00 ET ESPN
Auburn: 8-2 Over off a win by 21+ points
Florida: 3-9 ATS off a conference win
(TC) UCLA at Oregon State, 6:30 ET FSN
UCLA: 7-1 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Oregon State: 1-6 ATS in September
(TC) Penn State at Illinois, 12:00 ET
Penn State: 8-1 Under after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Illinois: 5-14 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less
Michigan State at Wisconsin, 3:30 ET ABC
Michigan State: 3-13 ATS vs. conference opponents
Wisconsin: 8-1 ATS after allowing 14 points or less
(TC) Iowa State at Nebraska, 2:00 ET
Iowa State: 0-6 ATS playing on artificial turf
Nebraska: 14-1 ATS after allowing 325+ passing yards
Kansas State at Texas, 3:30 ET ABC
Kansas State: 7-1 Over as a road underdog
Texas: 12-2 ATS off 3+ Overs
UNLV at Nevada, 4:05 ET
UNLV: 7-18 ATS playing on artificial turf
Nevada: 8-0 ATS as a favorite
UTEP at SMU, 4:30 ET CSTV
UTEP: 5-18 ATS away in September
SMU: 8-2 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Hawaii at Idaho, 5:00 ET
Hawaii: 13-4 ATS as a favorite
Idaho: 1-5 ATS after allowing 24+ first-half points
(TC) LSU at Tulane, 12:00 ET ESPN2
LSU: 7-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Tulane: 2-11 ATS playing on artificial turf
Colorado State at TCU, 7:00 ET
Colorado State: 0-6 ATS off BB losses
TCU: 15-6 ATS off a win
Eastern Michigan at Vanderbilt, 7:00 ET
Eastern Michigan: 5-19 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Vanderbilt: 5-1 Over off BB home games
Western Michigan at Toledo, 7:00 ET
Western Michigan: 16-6 ATS after allowing 14 points or less
Toledo: 7-0 Over as a home underdog
(TC) Kent State at Ohio U, 3:00 ET
Kent State: 2-8 ATS after committing 3+ turnovers
Ohio U: 6-0 ATS off a home game
(TC) Oklahoma at Colorado, 1:30 ET FSN
Oklahoma: 11-3 ATS as a favorite
Colorado: 3-11 ATS as an underdog
(TC) Baylor at Texas A&M, 12:30 ET VER
Baylor: 1-8 ATS off an Over
Texas A&M: 8-1 Over off a non-conference game
Pittsburgh at Virginia, 7:00 ET ESPNU
Pittsburgh: 2-16 ATS off a home loss by 14+ points
Virginia: 8-0 Under as a home favorite
East Carolina at Houston, 7:00 ET
East Carolina: 14-5 Under as an underdog
Houston: 6-0 ATS at home off a win
UAB at Tulsa, 7:00 ET
UAB: 15-5 ATS off BB non-conference games
Tulsa: 2-13 ATS off BB games with combined scores of 60+ points
(TC) Louisville at NC State, 3:30 ET ESPNU
Louisville: 11-2 ATS vs. ACC opponents
NC State: 1-7 ATS in September
(TC) Clemson at Georgia Tech, 3:30 ET ABC
Clemson: 9-2 Under off BB wins by 17+ points
Georgia Tech: 1-7 ATS off a loss as a road favorite
(TC) Maryland at Rutgers, 3:30 ET ABC
Maryland: 0-6 ATS in September
Rutgers: 6-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Ohio State at Minnesota, 8:00 ET ESPN2
Ohio State: 14-3 ATS vs. conference opponents
Minnesota: 0-5 ATS at home vs. Ohio State
USC at Washington, 8:00 ET ABC
USC: 33-14 ATS after scoring 42+ points
Washington: 6-22 ATS off a conference road loss
(TC) Notre Dame at Purdue, 12:00 ET ESPN
Notre Dame: 0-6 ATS as an underdog
Purdue: 9-2 Under off a road win by 10+ points
BYU at New Mexico, 8:30 ET CSTV
BYU: 14-3 ATS away off an ATS win as a favorite of 10+ points
New Mexico: 0-7 ATS after allowing 6 points or less
Washington State at Arizona, 10:00 ET
Washington State: 11-3 Over off a loss by 17+ points
Arizona: 0-6 ATS as a home favorite
Arizona State at Stanford, 10:00 ET
Arizona State: 7-1 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points
Stanford: 2-9 ATS vs. conference opponents
Louisiana Tech at Fresno State, 10:00 ET
Louisiana Tech: 3-13 ATS off a bye week
Fresno State: 17-7 Over in September
Cincinnati at San Diego State, 10:00 ET VER
Cincinnati: 8-1 ATS off an ATS win
San Diego State: 9-1 Under off a win by 21+ points
Added Games:
Louisiana Lafayette at Central Florida, 6:00 ET
LA Lafayette: 5-16 ATS off a combined score of 60+ points
Central Florida: 6-1 Over off BB ATS wins
Florida International at Middle Tennessee State, 7:00 ET
Florida Int: 0-7 ATS off 4+ losses
Mid Tenn State: 11-2 Under off an ATS loss
(TC) Florida Atlantic at Kentucky, 1:00 ET
Florida Atl: 2-8 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Kentucky: 5-1 ATS off BB wins
North Texas at Arkansas, 7:00 ET
North Texas: 4-14 ATS off an Under
Arkansas: 13-3 ATS off a combined score of 70+ points
Louisiana Monroe at Troy, 7:00 ET
LA Monroe: 7-0 ATS away vs. conference opponents
Troy: 2-10 ATS off BB ATS wins
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 6:18pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
Write-up
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Thursday's college football info
Don't adjust your TV; they're playing on blue astroturf in Boise, where Broncos are 26-11 vs spread in last 37 tries as favorite. No easy way to get from Hattiesburg to Boise, tough trip for visitor, but Southern Mississippi won last game at East Carolina, was down just 17-16 at half at Tennessee the week before. Eagles are 8-13 vs spread in last 21 tries as road dog-- this is their first trip west of Mississippi River since '03. Boise scored just 34 points in two games vs I-A foes, as they rebuild some this season.
Arkansas State outgained Texas in Austin, then waxed SMU in next game 45-28; ASU beat Memphis 25-23 as 8-point dogs in Liberty Bowl LY, after losing previous two games vs Tigers by 38-16/47-35 margins. Memphis was down 42-0 at half last week in Orlando (lost 56-20 to UCF) so they've got issues. Indians ran ball for 177 yards in Knoxville last week, lost 48-27 at Tennessee (+19, was 31-17 at half). ASU is 5-3 in last eight as home fave.
Friday's college football info
South Florida upset West Virginia LY, 24-19, knocked them out of BCS; WVa hired the USF offensive coordinator after season, so edge there for Mountaineers, who are 4-0, scoring 47.3 ppg and running ball for 355.6 ypg. Bulls covered three of last four tries as home dog; they're 3-0 with 26-23 win at Auburn; pair of I-A foes they've faced ran ball for total of 204 yards. USF has +6 turnover ratio in last two games, with six INTs, but WVa won't be throwing much, unless Bulls can stop the run.
Saturday's college football info
Top 10 games
Iowa has good defense, but they've scored only two TDs in last two games, getting outrushed 329-171, converting just 5-29 on third down. Indiana upset Hawkeyes 31-28 LY; they're 3-1 after Illinois shut them down LW, 27-14. Hoosiers are just 12-24 as a road dog since '00, but coach Hoeppner had them on right track before he passed away. Iowa won its only home game this year 35-0; all four Hawkeye games stayed under the total.
South Carolina changes QBs after 28-16 loss at rainy LSU week ago; Gamecocks scoring just 20 ppg in three games vs I-A foes, 16 ppg in SEC play. Carolina covered five of last seven after loss Miss State covered seven of nine off a win, and they're on three game win streak, including win at Auburn. SC won this game a year ago 15-0 (-7), holding MSU to 8-23/82 passing. Bulldogs do have QB issues; they were just 5-18/41 passing at Auburn.
Air Force underdog for fourth straight week, with two outright wins and 31-6 loss at BYU last week; Flyboys lost four in a row to Navy, with three wins by 3 pts, one by seven Navy gave up 36 points in the first half to Duke last week, rallied for 46-43 win behind backup Bryant, but that is huge red flag- they lost to Ball State week before, but Cards almost beat Nebraska, that looks better now. Middies are 2-7 in last nine tries as home favorite.
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 6:19pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
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Thursday night lights: Southern Miss at Boise State
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The matchup: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at Boise State Broncos
Kickoff: 8:30 p.m. ET from Bronco Stadium in Boise, Idaho
The line: Boise State -10 ½, total 49 ½ points
Weather forecast: There’s no chance of rain in Boise and the southeast wind won’t top 5 mph. The temperature will start in the mid-70s at kickoff and steadily drop to the low 60s through the game.
Key injuries
Southern Miss: Offensive guard Ryan Hebert has returned to full-speed drills but remains doubtful for Thursday. Nose tackle Sean Merrill sat out Tuesday’s practice with a strained back but will play. Freshman linebacker Martez Smith will miss one more game due to suspension.
Boise State: The Broncos missed a pair of starters in their last game against Wyoming, receiver Vinny Peretta and linebacker David Shields. Both are probable starters for Thursday.
Three reasons why Southern Miss could cover:
1. The Eagles’ Young man is maturing: Quarterback Jeremy Young is fresh off his biggest clutch performance since toppling Houston at home last year. Young led a comeback win at East Carolina with 237 passing yards and a pair of one-yard scoring runs. Young’s continued improvement keeps opposing defenses from keying on sophomore tailback Damion Fletcher.
2. Boise State’s offense isn’t ticking: The Broncos hung points on all takers in recent years, culminating in last year’s 43-42 upset of Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl. They’ve played two FBS (Division I-A) opponents this year and struggled offensively in both, committing four turnovers at Washington and scoring only 24 points at home against Wyoming in Week 3. It was their first home game scoring less than 41 points since October 2005.
3. Strength in the front seven: Southern Mississippi came into the 2007 campaign with what was reputed to be C-USA’s top defensive line and and top group of linebackers. The team’s numbers took a hit against Tennessee, but in the Eagles’ other two games, no opposing runner topped 45 yards on the ground.
Three reasons why Boise State could cover:
1. The Broncos excel on the Smurf Turf: Boise State is 21-1 SU and 12-6-1 ATS at Bronco Stadium since the start of the 2004 season, with the only SU loss being its MPC Computers Bowl defeat to Boston College in 2005. The Broncos have won 18 straight regular season home games by a touchdown or more.
2. Southern Miss is a bad road doggie: The Golden Eagles have won five games away from Hattiesburg since the start of the 2006 season, but were favored in all of those wins. They’ve been a road underdog five times over the same span and have gone 0-5 SU and ATS in those games.
3. Boise State continues to smother the run: No matter how much Young has improved, the Golden Eagles make hay with its running game, which runs into a defensive buzz saw on Thursday. Boise State held eight opponents under 100 rushing yards last year and the Broncos are up to the same tricks in 2007, holding Wyoming to 35 yards on 24 carries in their last game Sept. 15.
Cool stat of the day
Preseason Heisman Trophy hopeful Ian Johnson has been held under 100 rushing yards in two straight games. The last time that happened (against Utah and Louisiana Tech a year ago), Johnson rebounded with back-to-back 180-plus yard games. Johnson also reached the end zone four times in each of his rebound games.
Boise State center Jeff Cavender promised Johnson a 150-yard, three-touchdown game against the Eagles, according to the Jackson Clarion-Ledger.
Key quote
“From what I’ve been looking at, (Boise State’s All-American left tackle Ryan Clady is) beatable," Eagles defensive end Robert Henderson told the Hattiesburg American.
“I think you can beat him with speed. He's a big guy, so if you go in there and let him get his hands on you, you're really not going to get too much off him. If you beat him with speed and be more finesse than him, he's beatable.â€
"That's on both sides. Both of their tackles look beatable to me. They’re good, but everybody can be beat."
pick: Golden Eagles +10 ½
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posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 6:19pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
Thursday, September 27
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Tips and Trends
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Southern Miss at Boise State (ESPN | 7:30 PM)
Boise State has one of the best home-field advantages in college football, as the Broncos have won 53 of their last 55 games at Bronco Stadium and posted a 35-16-1 ATS mark in their last 52 games there. BIG EDGE: BOISE STATE
Some might assume this will be a high-scoring game considering Boise State's tremendous success at home on the Smurf Turf. However, Broncos QB Taylor Tharp has just three touchdown passes and three interceptions in three games so far. Boise is relying on All-American RB Ian Johnson to handle the offensive load, and he has failed to break the century mark in rushing yards the last two games against Washington and Wyoming. EDGE: SOUTHERN MISS & UNDER
Southern Miss is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 road games.
The UNDER is 8-1 in Boise State's last 9 non-conference games.
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posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 6:19pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
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Points of Interest
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09/25/07
10:58 AM Injuries
CFB
North Carolina QB Harrison Beck (knee) will be ready to go versus Louisville.
09/25/07
10:56 AM Lineup Alert
CFB
QB Ben Olson has been medically cleared to play and will be the starter for the Bruins this weekend.
09/25/07
10:56 AM Injury Alert
CFB
Virginia Tech TE Chris Drager will miss the rest of the 2007 year with a partially torn ACL.
09/25/07
02:36 AM Injuries
CFB
Michigan QB Chad Henne (knee) has been medically cleared to play, but a starter has yet to be announced.
09/25/07
02:35 AM Injury Alert
CFB
South Carolina's standout LB Jasper Brinkley will miss the rest of the 2007 season with a right knee sprain.
09/25/07
02:33 AM Lineup Alert
CFB
Bruins QB Patrick Cowan has been ruled out this week against Oregon State.
09/25/07
02:32 AM Injury Alert
CFB
Ducks WR Brian Paysiner will have surgery on his right knee and will miss the remainder of the year.
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 6:20pm -
0 likes
NFL
Dunkel Index
Denver at Indianapolis
The Colts know how to get out of the gate quickly as their 3-0 start has pushed their record to 17-2 in September under Tony Dungy. The wins haven't been easy, though, as the last two have come on the road against a pair of improving teams: Tennessee (22-20) and Houston (30-24). Home will look pretty good to the Colts where they are 10-0 in the regular season since the start of last season and have won 21 of 22 overall. What may look even better is a Denver team that fell flat at home last week in a loss to Jacksonville (23-14). The Broncos allowed the Jaguars to run through their defense (186 rushing yards), which should help Joseph Addai get going. Meanwhile the Bronco offense managed just 265 total yards against the Jag defense with Travis Henry being held to 35 yards on 11 carries. Those numbers should look good to a Colt defense that has carried over the momentum from last year's postseason and held the Texans to 40 rushing yards, the lowest total against an Indy defense since 2005. The Colts have dominated the Broncos the last two times Denver has come to town, outscoring them 90-34 in back-to-back playoff games. This game looks like it could be more of the same and makes the Colts a good pick to cover (-9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Indianapolis favored by 18. Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-9 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.
SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 30
Game 205-206: Oakland at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 117.947; Miami 127.437
Dunkel Line: Miami by 9 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Miami by 4; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4); Over
Game 207-208: Houston at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 133.948; Atlanta 123.972
Dunkel Line: Houston by 10; 45
Vegas Line: Houston by 3; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-3); Over
Game 209-210: Baltimore at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 130.748; Cleveland 124.871
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 6; 44
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 4; 38
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-4); Over
Game 211-212: Chicago at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 128.614; Detroit 129.111
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 49
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+3); Over
Game 213-214: Green Bay at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 128.720; Minnesota 130.461
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1); Under
Game 215-216: St. Louis at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 119.226; Dallas 141.070
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 22; 40
Vegas Line: Dallas by 11; 45
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-11); Under
Game 217-218: NY Jets at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 125.463; Buffalo 129.265
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 4; 46
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3 1/2; 37
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+3 1/2); Over
Game 219-220: Tampa Bay at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 124.307; Carolina 132.001
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 8; 34
Vegas Line: Carolina by 2 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-2 1/2); Under
Game 221-222: Seattle at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 127.364; San Francisco 127.721
Dunkel Line: Even; 47
Vegas Line: Seattle by 2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+2); Over
Game 223-224: Pittsburgh at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 138.673; Arizona 128.094
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 10 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 5; 41
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5); Over
Game 225-226: Kansas City at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 125.950; San Diego 135.738
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 10; 42
Vegas Line: San Diego by 13; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+13); Over
Game 227-228: Denver at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 127.858; Indianapolis 145.730
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 18; 44
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 9 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-9 1/2); Under
Game 229-230: Philadelphia at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 128.970; NY Giants 129.657
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 52
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 48
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3); Over
MONDAY, OCTOBER 1
Game 231-232: New England at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: New England 147.049; Cincinnati 132.454
Dunkel Line: New England by 14 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: New England by 6; 52
Dunkel Pick: New England (-6); Under
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posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 6:20pm -
0 likes
NFL
Long Sheet
Week 4
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Sunday, September 30
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OAKLAND (1 - 2) at MIAMI (0 - 3) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 20-43 ATS (-27.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HOUSTON (2 - 1) at ATLANTA (0 - 3) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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BALTIMORE (2 - 1) at CLEVELAND (1 - 2) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CHICAGO (1 - 2) at DETROIT (2 - 1) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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GREEN BAY (3 - 0) at MINNESOTA (1 - 2) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ST LOUIS (0 - 3) at DALLAS (3 - 0) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 63-88 ATS (-33.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NY JETS (1 - 2) at BUFFALO (0 - 3) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-2 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TAMPA BAY (2 - 1) at CAROLINA (2 - 1) - 9/30/2007, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SEATTLE (2 - 1) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 1) - 9/30/2007, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 56-83 ATS (-35.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PITTSBURGH (3 - 0) at ARIZONA (1 - 2) - 9/30/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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KANSAS CITY (1 - 2) at SAN DIEGO (1 - 2) - 9/30/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in September games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 2-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DENVER (2 - 1) at INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 0) - 9/30/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHILADELPHIA (1 - 2) at NY GIANTS (1 - 2) - 9/30/2007, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Monday, October 1
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NEW ENGLAND (3 - 0) at CINCINNATI (1 - 2) - 10/1/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 111-82 ATS (+20.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 6:21pm -
0 likes
NFL
Short Sheet
Week 4
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Sunday, September 30th
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Week 4 Byes: Jacksonville, New Orleans, Tennessee, Washington
Oakland at Miami, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 8-18 ATS vs. conference opponents
Miami: 28-10 ATS vs. AFC West opponents
Houston at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Houston: 6-0 Over off BB ATS wins
Atlanta: 10-25 ATS at home off a home game
Baltimore at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 24-10 ATS away off an ATS loss
Cleveland: 2-14 ATS off 3+ Overs
Chicago at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Chicago: 4-0 Under after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Detroit: 19-36 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Green Bay at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 6-1 ATS off a non-conference game
Minnesota: 9-0 Under at home off BB road losses
St. Louis at Dallas, 1:00 ET
St. Louis: 1-6 ATS off a road loss by 14+ points
Dallas: 6-1 Over in September
NY Jets at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
NY Jets: 7-1 Over off a home win
Buffalo: 1-7 ATS off BB losses by 14+ points
Tampa Bay at Carolina, 4:05 ET
Tampa Bay: 0-7 ATS off BB wins
Carolina: 9-2 Under off a division game
Seattle at San Francisco, 4:05 ET
Seattle: 22-6 Under away in September
San Francisco: 6-1 ATS off a road loss by 14+ points
Pittsburgh at Arizona, 4:15 ET
Pittsburgh: 13-3 ATS off BB home wins
Arizona: 6-16 ATS at home in September
Kansas City at San Diego, 4:15 ET
Kansas City: 10-2 Under vs. division opponents
San Diego: 7-3 ATS off a loss
Denver at Indianapolis, 4:15 ET
Denver: 1-6 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points
Indianapolis: 13-6 ATS off 3+ wins
Philadelphia at NY Giants, 8:15 ET NBC
Philadelphia: 25-10 ATS after allowing 400+ yards
NY Giants: 11-5 Under at home vs. Philadelphia
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Monday, October 1st
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New England at Cincinnati, 8:30 ET ESPN
New England: 6-0 ATS away off a division game
Cincinnati: 1-6 ATS in October
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posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 6:21pm -
0 likes
NFL
Write-up
Week 4 - 2007 NFL season
Sunday, September 30
Raiders (1-2) @ Dolphins (0-3)— Miami won six of last seven series games (only loss in ’00 playoffs), and Raiders lost last four visits here, but Fish are 0-3, allowing 68 points in last two games; they’ve allowed 166 rushing yards per game, converted only 12 of 46 on third down. Oakland allowed 27.7 pg this year, but they have run ball for 386 yards in last two games, and their last two games both came down to last-second FGs- they’ve improved. McCown hurt his ankle last week, so Culpepper, dumped last year by Miami, could get nod at QB here. Dolphins have zero takeaways in their last two games (-6). All three Raider games went over total.
Texans (2-1) @ Falcons (0-3)— You can say what you want about Vick’s absence hurting Atlanta, but in first three games, they’ve allowed five TD drives of 80+ yards, and Vick didn’t play defense. Falcons have no takeaways in their last two games, and allowed 142 rushing yards/game. Texans scored 26 ppg in 2-1 start; they’re 12-24 on 3rd down in last two games, and started six less drives in the black zone (80+ yards from goal line) than their opponents. Houston QB Schaub was Vick’s backup in Atlanta, but was traded just weeks before the whole dog fighting thing became known, or else he’d still be with Falcons. Atlanta did score two TD’s last week, after scoring one in first two games.
Ravens (2-1) @ Browns (1-2)— Big question here, as always, is whether McNair’s is good to go; have faith in him on road, none in Boller. Home side won five of last six series games; Ravens are 1-2 in last three visits to old home (Ravens are former Browns); last four series totals at this site were 36 or less. Browns scored 75 points in last two games (10 TDs on 24 drives) but they have also allowed 35 pg, 176 rushing yards per game- opponents are 20-43 (46.5%) on third down. Ravens scored 20+ pts in all three games (2-1), with a 354-185 edge on ground; they’re 20-36 on 3rd down in last two games, but showed vulnerability to no-huddle attack vs. Cardinals last week.
Bears (2-1) @ Lions (2-1)— Greise is getting nod under center for Bears, after Grossman's horrid outing vs Dallas. Detroit allowed 15 first downs on first 23 Eagle plays last week (five TDs); Bears should light up board against them. Chicago won last four series games, but their last five visits here have all been decided by six or less points. Detroit has the usual Martz Madness stats: 413 yards/game, 25.7 pg, both very good, but 10 turnovers, typically bad- they were 4-22 on 3rd against Bears last year, in 34-7/26-21 losses. Bears need to do better than 3.35 yards per rush. Chicago has been outscored 52-10 in second half of its games.
Packers (3-0) @ Vikings (1-2)— Favre won three of last four visits to this site, after losing nine of the previous ten; last nine regular season meetings were all decided by six or less points. Pack is 3-0 despite running ball for just 57 yards/game- they’ve scored nine TD’s on 20 drives in last two games, after upsetting Eagles in opener due to Philly miscues in punt game. Vikes are good field, no-hit, scoring three TD’s on 31 drives this season, already using three QB’s. Average total in Pack’s last nine visits to this site, 50.2, but under is 3-0 in ’07 Viking games (27-37-23). Vikings are allowing just 67 yds/game on ground, have 11 sacks, but when your third-string QB starts the third game, it ain’t good.
Rams (0-3) @ Cowboys (3-0)— No Steven Jackson, three starters are out on OL, and Rams are 0-3, scoring just 3.6 points/red zone trip, so not much good news as they travel to Dallas to face 3-0 Pokes, who’ve scored 86 second half points, are 44% on third down, and score 5.5 pts/red zone trip. Rams allowing 152 rushing yards/game, bad news vs. diverse Dallas offense that scored 13 TDs on 33 drives (Rams have three in 32). Only caution here is that giving 13 with self-satisfied (after Chicago win) Cowboys is asking to be bitten by gigantic letdown against hungry underdog that does have talent that belies 0-3 mark. Home side lost last six series games, with Rams winning last four visits here; their last loss here was in ’81.
Jets (1-2) @ Bills (0-3)— Losman is out, as are various others, as bad news mounts for Buffalo squad that scored just 24 points in three games (two TDs on 27 drives), is 13-37 (35%) on third down and is starting a rookie QB who couldn’t win game in Pac-10 LY. That said, Jets have been outsacked 10-1, and have no plays of 20+ yards in two games Pennington started (they had four (vs a . strong Raven defense) in game he didn’t play), and are allowing 121.3 rushing yards/game. Buffalo run defense has allowed 171-184-177 rushing yards in its three games, so Jones/Washington combo could have big day. Bill passing game averaged 2.0/3.0/2.8 yards/attempt in first three games—horrible. Last four totals in series were 44+.
Buccaneers (2-1) @ Panthers (2-1)— Carolina won seven of last eight in divisional rivalry, winning first meeting last four years (by 3-7-20-2 points); last three series totals at this site were all 35 or less. Bucs won last two weeks at home, with five takeaways and five TDs in five red zone trips- foes are just 12-35 (34.3%) on 3rd down against them. Carolina had three 80-yard scoring drives in Atlanta last week; they scored 27-21-27 pts so far this year, but Delhomme hurt elbow last week, was replaced by Carr. Not sure who starts here. Panthers scored three offensive TDs in each game—Patriots are the only other team that can say that. With Falcons, Saints struggling, this is first of two showdown games for NFC South title.
Seahawks (2-1) @ 49ers (2-1)— Seattle got swept in this series LY (20-14/24-14) after winning previous six meetings. Niners been outgained this year by 67-206-61 yards, are just 13-41 (31.7%) on third down, but they’re 2-1, winning pair of tight games vs other two NFC West rivals. Now come division king Seahawks, fresh off splitting pair of nailbiters. Alexander is playing with cracked bone on hand. Seattle defense yielded 421.5 yds/game last two weeks, but if they hadn’t messed up handoff in last 2:00 in Week 2 at Arizona, they’d probably be 3-0. Average total in Seattle’s last five visits here, 50.2. Hard to like Niner squad averaging just 223 yards/game.
Steelers (3-0) @ Cardinals (1-2)— Arizona coach Whisenhunt, ass’t Grimm both spent many years with Cowher in Steel City, were both bypassed for HC position so Rooney could hire minority candidate (who is obviously very capable, but lets face it, Steelers hire from within if Tomlin isn’t a minority). Anyway, Pitt is off to great 3-0 start, winning by combined score of 97-26, while Arizona rallied from 23-6 deficit in 4th quarter to tie Ravens behind Warner, only to lose on last-second FG, their second last-minute loss in three games, sandwiched around last-second win. For teams who haven’t met since ’97, Arizona coaches know an awful lot about their opponent. Leinart starts again for Cards, but Warner is ready in bullpen.
Chiefs (1-2) @ Chargers (1-2)— San Diego plays its three rivals in AFC West over next three weeks; they sweep and they’ll be 4-2, and order is restored, but that has to begin here, vs lame Chief squad that has two offensive TDs on 32 drives. Bolts beat Bears, then got riddled by Brady/Favre for 604 passing yards in pair of road losses—Huard is closer to Grossman than Favre. Chiefs ran ball for just 64 yards/game, so they’ll have trouble keeping ball away from frustrated Charger side eager to explode in front of home fans. Bears faced Grossman/Jackson last two weeks- they move way up in class here. Home side won last five series games, with Chiefs losing last three visits to this site by 7-8-11 points.
Broncos (2-1) @ Colts (3-0)— Denver defense having trouble getting off field (foes 17-33 on third down last two games), which is bad news vs. Indy squad that scored nine TDs on 30 drives and is averaging 31 pg this year. Cutler is from Santa Claus, IN, coming home to face hot Colt squad that has wins by 31-2-6 points, winning only home game 41-10, and taking pair of road division games last two weeks. Broncos snuck out their first two games (15-14 @ Buffalo, in OT vs. Raiders), then got housed by Jaguars, as Jax had 67 snaps (running ball for 186 yards), Denver only 41. Oddly, Colts one of only five NFL teams without an 80+-yard TD drive so far this season. Average total in last six series games, 54.5.
Eagles (1-2) @ Giants (1-2)— Both teams had season-reviving wins last week; three of last four games in this division rivalry were decided by 3 points, or in OT, with average total in last five, 49.6. Eagles won three of last four at this site; they exploded on offense last week, gaining 315 yards on first 23 plays (15 first downs, five TDs) in 56-21 walkover. Giants used 21-0 second half to upset Skins, as Ward emerged as quality ballcarrier. Not sure what to think of Giant defense, after they allowed 846 yards in first two games, then held Redskins to 260 LW; they’ve lost field position battle last three weeks (by 5-3-15 yards), but Eli makes plays (Giants converted 22-41 on third down, an excellent 53.7%).
Monday, October 1
Patriots (3-0) @ Bengals (1-2)-- New England crushing foes so far, winning by 24-24-31 points, scoring 38 in all three games-- they waxed Bengals 38-13 in Week 4 LY, outrushing Cincy 236-71, winning 63% of third down plays, scoring TDs on all three drives that started in Bengal territory. Cincy allowed 75 points in losing on road last two weeks (10 TDs on 25 drives); they’ve turned ball over nine times in three games. You look at Bengal defense that allowed 51 points in Cleveland, and you wonder how they’ll ever stop Brady-led passing game that has been sacked just three times in 91 pass attempts. But, Monday night home dogs are long-revered angle, so have to respect emotional, erratic hosts.
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posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 6:21pm -
0 likes
NFL
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Points of Interest
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09/25/07
10:48 AM Lineup Alert
NFL
QB Brian Griese is expected to replace Rex Grossman as the Bears starter according to the Chicago Tribune.
09/25/07
10:46 AM Injury Alert
NFL
Bears Tommie Harris (knee), Lance Briggs (groin) and Nathan Vasher (groin) are all doubtful for Sunday according to the Chicago Tribune.
09/25/07
10:44 AM Lineups
NFL
Seahawks RB Maurice Morris (hip) is expected to play Sunday.
09/25/07
10:43 AM Injury Alert
NFL
Rams RB Steven Jackson is expected to miss at least 2-3 weeks with a partially torn groin according to the St. Louis Post Dispatch.
09/25/07
02:23 AM Injury Alert
NFL
49ers TE Vernon Davis is expected to miss two games after partially tearing the MCL in his right knee.
09/25/07
02:22 AM Lineups
NFL
Texans WR Andre Johnson (knee sprain) is not expected to play on Sunday.
09/25/07
02:21 AM Coach's Call
NFL
Rams coach Scott Linehan revealed Monday that QB Marc Bulger is playing through two broken ribs.
09/25/07
02:16 AM Lineups
NFL
Chiefs WR Eddie Kennison (torn hamstring) is expected to miss Sunday's game.
09/25/07
02:15 AM Injury Alert
NFL
Saints RB Deuce McAllister suffered a torn ACL Monday night and will miss the remainder of the season.
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posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2007 6:22pm