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Nelly' Sportsline FREE System Play
This weekend's system play tells us to PLAY ON: any NCAA home underdog that has won three consecutive games S/U now facing an opponent that is on the road for the second consecutive game.
PLAY ON: Indiana
This system has produced a record of 19-9-1, 68% since 1985.
posted by phantom
Sept. 19 2007 10:57pm -
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the wunerdog
Game: Texas A & M at Miami (Thursday 9/20 7:45 PM Eastern)
Pick: Texas A & M +2.5
In the first road test for the Aggies, we like their chances against a Miami team that struggled mightily in their first game vs. a Big 12 opponent. The Hurricanes lost 13-51 to Oklahoma in week two. That game was sandwiched between two cupcakes in Marshall and Florida International. Last week they beat Florida International 23-9 but underperformed as a 33 point favorite. So, can Miami play against good teams? They haven't proven it yet. Texas A&M returned 9 starters on offense and ranks third in the nation in rushing (296 yards per game). They are averaging over twice as many points per game this season than Miami. This offense, combined with Miami's struggling offense, will spell doom for the Hurricanes. After losing last game ATS, Miami is now riding a very poor 11-21 ATS streak at home. They just aren't the same Miami team. They are just 1-7 in their last eight vs. ranked opponents! This is a huge game for the Aggies who have had this one circled since the schedule came out. It's their first chance to start 4-0 in over 60 years! "Aggies defensive back Devin Gregg said this week, "Coach said it best. It can be exposure, or we can be exposed." We think A&M comes to play tonight and gets the cover.
_________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 19 2007 10:58pm -
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CFB Gaming Previews
By Jeff Frank, Contributing Editor
2007 Record: 12-4; Percentage: 75%
TEXAS A&M (3-0, 0-0) AT MIAMI-FL (2-1, 0-0), 7:45 PM (ET)
JUST THE FACTS
Stadium - Orange Bowl
Capacity - (72,319)
Surface - Grass
Series Record - Texas A&M, 1-0
Series Streak - Texas A&M has won the only meeting
Last Meeting - December 8, 1944 (Texas A&M, 70-14 at Miami)
Television - ESPN
TRENDS, HISTORY AND HINTS
The Aggies are 7-3 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 board games. They are 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS this season with both games going OVER the total. Texas A&M is 4-0 both SU and ATS in its last four road games. Miami-Florida is 4-1 SU, but 2-3 ATS in its last five contests. The Hurricanes are 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS this season. They have gone UNDER the total in 13 of their last 15 games. Miami is 8-3 SU, but 4-5 ATS in its last 11 at home. The 'Canes have not finished above .500 as a home favorite in a single season since 2001 and are 9-20 since that time.
WHO'S HURTIN'
Texas A&M - No significant injuries.
Miami - Safety Lovon Ponder (knee), running back Charlie Jones (foot) and defensive tackle Josh Holmes (undisclosed) are questionable.
GAME ANALYSIS
This will be the first time these two teams have met since 1944 when A&M pounded the Hurricanes, 70-14. Miami-Fl won't get quite a beating this Thursday, but the final score won't be close either. The Aggies were ranked eighth in the country last year in rushing offense, gaining over 200 yards per game. This season they are averaging 296 per contest, albeit against lightweight competition. Miami has been weak against the run this season and even allowed Florida International to pick up 162 yards on 4.4 ypc last Saturday. Look for Texas A&M to control the line of scrimmage and pound the 'Canes into submission on the ground. The Aggies biggest weakness is their pass defense, which won't be a problem against Miami and Kyle Wright. The senior has completed only 51.5% of his tosses this year! Texas A&M was 4-0 on the road last season, including a win at Texas so going into the Orange Bowl will not be a huge factor.
THE SPORTS NETWORK CHOICE
Take the Aggies plus the points and the under.
_________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 19 2007 10:58pm -
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BIG AL's 93% THURSDAY NIGHT ESPN GAME OF THE MONTH
Al McMordie has CRUSHED THE BOOKS in College Football this season, CASHING 73 PERCENT of his plays, including last week's 5* Non-Conference Underdog of the Year on Kentucky over Louisville. If you enjoyed that huge winner, then you'll LOVE Big Al's Thursday Night ESPN Game of the Month out of a 93% Angle. Go get it.
Miami Hurricanes
posted by phantom
Sept. 19 2007 10:58pm -
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Northcoast Thursday Night Marquee Play
Miami Hurricanes
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 6:29pm -
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Northcoast Infomercial 23-7
Monday
Early Bird POW
Kansas -29.5
Tuesday
Underdog POW
NC ST
Power Plays
4* Wyoming
Wednesday
Economy club (#2 rated play)
Oregon
Thursday
Totals POW
San Diego undr 43.5
Big 10 POW
Iowa
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 6:31pm -
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Chad Jordan
Thursday, September 20, 2007
Sport: MLB
Match up: Baltimore at Texas
Prediction: Texas Rangers -140 W/ McCarthy
TWO MILLION DOLLAR NON CONFERENCE LOCK
MIAMI HURRICANES -2.5
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 6:32pm -
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Alatex
Selection: Miami (FL) Under 46
The Hurricanes just do not score much these days against quality foes. No longer do they have a capable passing game like they did in the glory years. Instead, they are forced to run the ball and the Canes havent had a tremendous amount of success on the ground either. They do have a capable defense, however, and they are facing an offense that also prefers to run the football in Texas A&M. With two teams that prefer to run the ball and two teams that dont throw it very much, we have to look to the under in this one
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 6:32pm -
0 likes
Ben Burns
Thursday night Game of the month- Miami
I hate his bullshit names for every game. This is the third straight Thursday night with a "Game of the whatever the frick"
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 6:32pm -
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Wayne Root
Chairman - Texas A&m
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 6:35pm -
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ATS Lock Club
3 Miami Fla-2
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 6:35pm -
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system sports
8-1 in college football
Miami -2.5 7:45 EST
A&M is 2-14 in theri last 16 road openers, the Aggies are 0-6 on the non-conference road and the Aggies are 1-9 when playing on weekdays! Add it up and you have our 29-3 ATS TRIPLE SYSTEM WINNER on MIAMI!
_________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 6:39pm -
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GRIDIRON SPORTS ADVANTAGE INC (from Don Wagner's place)
8-3 CFB year to date
Best Bet : Miami Florida
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 6:48pm -
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rob ferringo
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Note: Couple extra plays this week. I've left too many winners off the board over the last three weeks (see: 9-1 on free plays), so anything that graded out according to my rating scale made it in this week. It was just too tough to have two games that rated out the same and have to decide which to leave and which to keep. I have about 3-4 more games than I normally would (from Oct. through Dec. I will have an average of 14 games per week) but I have scaled down the Unit rating across the board so it's actually the same bankroll exposure as last week. But hey, doesn't matter if you play five games or 50 games - as long as you end the weekend with more money than you started with it's all good. Anyway, you'll see that a lot of these are system plays and situational picks. I think we've found a lot of value and I'm excited about our opportunities. Good luck!!!
THURSDAY SELECTIONS
2-Unit Play. Take First Half: ‘Under’ 23.0 Texas A&M at Miami (8 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 22)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 45.0 Texas A&M at Miami (8 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 22)
This is all about the Hurricanes. I have respect for both defenses, but the Miami offense is awful. The ‘under’ is 7-1 in Miami’s last eight Thursday games, 21-5 in their last 26 home games, 22-7 in their nonconference games, and 39-16 overall. Texas A&M is an ‘over’ team, but both teams are going to look to establish the run and in big nonconference games like this there’s always a little feeling out period in the first half. I see field goals, not touchdowns, and this will be a close game in the fourth quarter.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
3-Unit Play. Take #313 Kent State (-2) over Akron (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 22)
Believe me, I’m real hesitant to lay the points in a rivalry game like this. But just like with Penn State there’s no doubt who the better all-around team is here. The Flashes have most of the primaries back from the team that slapped the Zips by 22 last year and Kent State is 3-1 ATS in its last four at Akron. The Zips couldn’t handle the dual threat of Indiana’s Kellen Lewis last weekend, so I think they’ll have similar problems with Julian Edelman. In three games this year Akron isn’t running (256 yards for) nor stopping the run (592 against). I think that Kent State will control the line of scrimmage and control this game from jump, meaning the Wagon Wheel Trophy will reside in Kent for another year.
3-Unit Play. Take #315 Army (+27.5) over Boston College (1 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22).
You have to wonder when the emotional bubble will burst for the Eagles. They opened up with a big win over last year’s ACC champion, followed it up with a big win over their former coach, and followed that up with a big win on the road over their chief competition for the league title. Whew. Could be a letdown spot here against a team that has played great defense up to this point. Army is 3-1 ATS at B.C. over the past several years.
3-Unit Play. Take #331 Penn State (-3, +100) over Michigan (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22).
Note: I suggest waiting on this line. I believe it will drop to -2.5 before kickoff.
Right now there’s no doubt in my mind that the Lions are the better team. They have a stronger defense – one of the best in the nation – and they have the better quarterback. Michigan could get away with playing a freshman quarterback against the pathetic Irish last week, but since PSU should be able to contain Mike Hart I don’t see a greenhorn signal-caller leading the Wolverines to a victory. And even if Chad Henne does play, it’s questionable how effective he’ll be.
3-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 73.5 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22).
Old handicapper trick: when everyone expects one thing – bet the opposite. Everyone is expecting an Arena League-type shootout with two exceptional offenses and poor defenses. Well, we’re going to assume that the oddsmakers tabbed this total a bit high. These teams have stayed ‘under’ in three straight meetings, with the average number of points scored in those games at just 47 points. The average number of points scored in Tech games this year is 72 – but that’s against UTEP, Rice and SMU – while the average in OSU’s games is just 53 points. Further, the 10-year average between these two schools is just 58.4 points per meeting with 73 or more points scored just twice.
3-Unit Play. Take #341 Colorado State (+6.5) over Houston (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22).
Houston still has some instability at the quarterback position and Colorado State is 13-3 following a bye week under Sonny Lubick. The Rams have been a pretty live dog, covering in 59.8 percent of all games as an underdog since 2000 and cashing 60.8 percent of all games as a road dog since 2000. Colorado State can score with the Cougars, and I think their veteran secondary is better equipped to get a stop. I think CSU wins this one outright.
3-Unit Play. Take #352 Toledo (+3.5) over Iowa State (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22).
This is a perfect Letdown-Look Ahead Game for the Cyclones. They’re riding high after their upset win over Iowa last week and have a primetime matchup with Nebraska next week, so I see them looking past a wounded Toledo squad. Toledo is 5-0 ATS as a home dog over the past seven years and are 38-5 SU at the Glass Bowl. Toledo is 20-2 at home after two straight road games and Iowa State is 1-7 ATS on the road after a SU win as a dog.
3-Unit Play. Take #387 Oregon State (+12) over Arizona State (10 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22).
Teams in their fourth straight home game after winning and being favored in the first three games are just 6-17 ATS. Oregon State brought back 16 starters from a team that beat the Sun Devils 44-10 last year, so I believe that this line is about five points heavy. Arizona State has played well, but their schedule hasn’t impressed me. They have a Sagarin Ranking of just 131 and their opponents are 1-7. I just don’t see where there is enough separation between these teams to warrant a double-digit spread.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #308 Indiana (+3) over Illinois (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 22)
These are two teams that are separated by a razor-thin margin. However, I think that Indiana is not only charmed, but they’re playing sound football on both sides. They are running the ball efficiently, as is the Illini, but the difference is that the Hoosiers can move the ball through the air if forced too. Illinois is 1-15 in its last 16 conference road games and the home team has won four of five in this series. Also, the Ron Zook Factor will come into play and mean an upset by IU.
2-Unit Play. Take #373 South Carolina (+16.5) over LSU (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22)
I think that Steve Spurrier is a good enough coach to keep this one within three touchdowns. I didn’t really like that LSU benched Matt Flynn last week. I know it was important to get Ryan Perrilloux some work, but they’re just opening up the door for controversy. I think Flynn gets off to a slow start and USC , which is 8-0 ATS on the road and 5-1 ATS overall lately, will get some confidence.
2-Unit Play. Take #325 Georgia (+3.5) over Alabama (7:45 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22)
Mark Richt is one of the best coaches in the country and is 9-5-1 ATS as an underdog over the past six years (6-2 as a road dog). The Bulldogs don’t play well in Tuscaloosa, but they’ve won the last two in the series and they have all the value. Alabama is in a prime letdown spot and you can bet that Richt will have his team ready to play. West Carolina played both clubs and its coaching staff said that UGA was the better team.
2-Unit Play. Take First Half: ‘Under’ 31 Florida at Mississippi (12:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 59.5 Florida at Mississippi (12:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22)
This game has an early start (11:30 a.m. local) and I get the sense that the atmosphere will be a little different than last week’s blowout win over Tennessee. Florida coaches have said that they plan on waking up the team at 6 a.m., and then they’ll be taking a 60-minute bus ride to Oxford. I’m looking for a slow, uninspired start out of the Gators, who are 3-7 against the total after a win by 20 or more points. The ‘under’ is 21-9 in Ole Miss’ last 30 as a dog and 4-1 in their last five SEC games.
1-Unit Play. Take #324 UCLA (-6) over Washington (10 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22)
The Bruins have won eight of ten in this series, but have revenge on their side after a brutal 29-19 loss last year in which they led 16-0. The Bruins are 7-2 ATS in this series, 9-1 in Pac-10 home openers, including four straight wins by an average of 21 points. The Bruins have the No. 14 rush defense in the country and that will force Jake Locker to make plays through the air. I think the Bruins - no matter who is QB'ing - are in crisis mode after the blowout loss at Utah, but I think they're the better team and that they'll prove it against the Huskies.
NFL SELECTIONS
5.5-Unit Play. Take #397 Indianapolis (-6) over Houston (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
Note: This is our Gridiron Game of the Week.
No Andre Johnson means no chance for the Texans. Houston’s value will never be greater - thanks to a pair of blowouts over shaky opponents - but the Colts are still the class of the division. Indianapolis is 10-3 ATS as a September road favorite and 9-1 ATS as a road favorite with revenge. We’re below a key betting number and with 60 percent of Houston’s pass offense on the sideline with a sprained knee I think the Texans will be outmanned. Houston’s weakness is its safeties and I think Manning and Co. will take advantage en route to a statement victory. Indy is 13-3-1 ATS when they win SU on the road dating back to 2004, and 23-5-2 ATS dating back to 2002 (14-5-2 ATS as a favorite).
3-Unit Play. Take #399 San Diego (-5.5) over Green Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
I think it’s time for the Chargers to put up or shut up. They have faced two of the best five or six teams in the league (Chicago, New England) this year and now they get a crack at a Green Bay that, while it is up-and-coming, has less talent. Green Bay has been very inefficient on offense and defense and they are 3-9-2 ATS at home. San Diego is 16-7-2 ATS on the road. Further, the Packers are 1-7 ATS at home against the AFC recently and 2-9-1 ATS against the AFC since 2004. Green Bay is also 1-8 ATS as a home dog over the past five years. The Packers have a ton of injured players, including five defensive starters. Brett Favre has struggled against teams in the 3-4 and I think that the Chargers defense is able to hold down the Pack en route to a 17-3 win.
3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 35.5 Jacksonville at Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
There is a very solid totals system at work there that has at 61.1 percent over the last 11 years and 71.2 percent in the last four seasons. Beyond that, the Jaguars are 11-1 against the total on the road with a total at 35.5 or less. The ‘over’ is 5-2 in the last meeting (4-0 in Denver) between these clubs and is 8-2 after back-to-back ATS losses by the Broncos. Both teams are in the top half of the league in terms of yards per play, and Denver is No. 1 in total offense. In terms of what’s the least likely thing people are expecting to happen in Week 3 I think that a shootout between the Jags and Broncos is near the top of the list. That’s why I like the play.
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 43.0 San Diego at Green Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
The Chargers offense has struggled this year mainly because A) they’ve faced two of the best defenses in the league and B) they don’t have any receivers. It’s not going to get any easier on either count this weekend. Each team has seen an average of just 34.5 and 38.5 points, respectively, in their first two games. The ‘under’ is 4-1 in Green Bay’s last five home games, 8-2 following an ATS win by the Pack, and 10-4 in San Diego’s last 14 games against a team with a winning record.
2-Unit Play. Take #402 Kansas City (-2.5) over Minnesota (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
I really liked the way that the Chiefs looked in the second half against Chicago last week and I think they are excited about playing at home, where they are 11-3 ATS. The Chiefs are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite and are facing a Vikings team that is 7-15 ATS on grass. Minnesota has three guys taking snaps at QB with the No. 1 offense this week and no one is batting an eye; to me that’s a serious problem. Jared Allen is back to give the K.C. defense a lift and I think that they can muster just enough offense to squeeze out a low-scoring victory.
1-Unit Play. Take #426 Chicago (-3) over Dallas (8 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
This was one of those games I circled when the schedule was released, believing that the Bears would devastate the Cowboys on national TV. Dallas has beaten up on two pathetic opponents, but they’ll face a much stiffer task from the Bears defense. Chicago has gone 3-1 ATS against Dallas at home and is 17-9-1 ATS against the NFC over the past two seasons. Dallas is 8-20-3 after a win by 14 or more points (3-14 away), 0-10 on the road off a DD win against an opponent off a DD win, and 2-9 off a DD ATS win in September. The Cowboys are in a spot to be faded after two blowout wins and I think their weaknesses play into Chicago’s strength. Of course, all of this is predicated on Rex not melting down – again.
That's it for this week. Good luck.
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 7:57pm -
0 likes
DR. BOB
3 Star Selection
***LSU (-16.5) 35 South Carolina 9
12:30 PM Pacific, 22-Sep-07
LSU has been unbelievably good on defense through their first 3 games, allowing only 129 yards per game at 2.3 yards per play with no team gaining more than 149 yards or averaging higher than 2.6 yppl. South Carolina will be the best offensive team that the Tigers have faced, but the Gamecocks haven’t shown the explosive pass attack that was evident last season, as perhaps the loss of 2nd round NFL draft pick Sidney Rice has hurt more than expected. Quarterback Blake Mitchell was great at the end of last season and averaged 8.3 yards per pass play for the season but Mitchell has averaged only 5.2 yppp in two games this season (he was suspended for the opener), including only 4.9 yppp against a solid Georgia defense. Being shut down by Georgia does not bode well for Mitchell today against an even better LSU defense and the Gamecocks’ good rushing attack (5.7 yards per rushing play) doesn’t figure to produce even mediocre numbers against a Tigers’ defensive front that’s allowed just 2.7 yprp against 3 decent running teams. South Carolina should have better success offensively than the other 3 teams that have faced LSU, but I still don’t expect them to score more than 10 points. South Carolina has played pretty well defensively thanks to a very good secondary, but the Gamecocks have suffered some attrition along the defensive line and are allowing 5.1 yards per rushing play to teams that would combine to average only 4.6 yprp against an average defensive team. LSU may be slowed down through the air, but the Tigers may not need to throw given that they have averaged 246 yards at 6.1 yprp and should dominate South Carolina’s defensive line. In addition to the favorable fundamentals the Tigers apply to a 46-8 ATS subset of a 117-58-4 ATS home momentum situation as well as a 58-19-1 ATS momentum situation. South Carolina is 9-1 ATS on the road under coach Steve Spurrier, but that’s the only thing keeping this from being a 4-Star Best Bet. I’ll take LSU in a 3-Star Best Bet at -17 points or less and for 2-Stars from -17 ½ to -19 points.
3 Star Selection
***Arizona 29 CALIFORNIA (-15.5) 34
03:00 PM Pacific, 22-Sep-07
As much as I love my Bears they appear overrated to me. Cal has a great offense that can beat you by land (7.4 yards per rushing play) and by air (Longshore has averaged 7.4 yards per pass play in his career against teams that would combine to allow 5.8 yppp to an average quarterback), but the Bears have been just mediocre defensively this season (5.2 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.2 yppl against an average defense) and Arizona is capable of slowing down the Cal attack. The Wildcats were 0.5 yards per play better than average defensively last season and they’re 0.5 yppl better than average this season. Arizona’s offense was the problem last season, as talented quarterback Willie Tuitama was sacked too many times and had problems with concussions that kept him out of the lineup often. Coach Mike Stoops brought in Sonny Dykes to install the Texas Tech spread passing offense, which is based on 3 step drops and quick release times, which will keep Tuitama upright more this season (just 3 sacks on 136 pass plays this season) and allow him to use his considerable skills. The results have been pretty good so far (6.1 yards per play when Tuitama is in the game, against teams that would combine to allow 5.4 yppl to an average offense) and Arizona should move the ball well against the Bears. Cal’s star WR DeSean Jackson has a badly sprained thumb that has caused him to drop some balls and the Bears have 3 key defensive players all listed as questionable this week. There is good depth on Cal’s defense, but Jackson’s problems have hurt the pass attack and Longshore has averaged just 6.5 yppp in the first 3 games while overthrowing a lot of receivers. I used Longshore’s career stats (which are much better) in my model and my ratings favor Cal by only 11 ½ points and my preseason ratings would have favored the Bears by only 10 points. There is some line value favoring Arizona because of last week’s upset loss to New Mexico, but that was a bit of a fluke given that the Wildcats out-gained New Mexico 6.7 yppl to 5.4 yppl in that game. The loss also sets up the Wildcats in a very strong 43-11 ATS subset of an 80- 38 ATS road underdog bounce-back situation. I know Cal has revenge for losing in Tucson last season, but that situation is 17-2 ATS if the opposing team has revenge and Cal is just 6-6 ATS in conference revenge games under Jeff Tedford. Besides, big underdogs usually play better if they won the previous year’s match-up since they come into the game with confidence. The Bears are now just 1-12 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 11 points or more while Arizona is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 as an underdog of 7 points or more. I’ll take Arizona in a 3-Star Best Bet at +14 points or more and I’ll make the Wildcats a 4-Star Best Bet at +17 points or more (2-Stars from +12 to +13 ½).
2 Star Selection
**NAVY (-11.5) 41 Duke 20
10:00 AM Pacific, 22-Sep-07
Duke broke their 22 game losing streak last week, but that will only serve to put the Midshipmen on alert this week, just in case last week’s loss to Ball State wasn’t enough to have them motivated. Navy is 9-4-1 ATS in games after a loss since coach Paul Johnson’s second season (2003), including 7-1 ATS against losing teams, so the Middies have a habit of taking out their frustrations on bad teams. Navy is actually 20-5 ATS in all games against losing teams the last few years while Duke is just 1-5 ATS after a victory and only 4-13 ATS under coach Roof when not an underdog of more than 14 points, including 0-9 ATS in non-conference games. Duke also applies to a negative 17-41 ATS game 4 situation that plays against teams coming off their first win of the season. Navy’s option attack has averaged 438 yards at 6.5 yards per play and that unit should have no trouble running against a Duke defense that’s allowed 5.3 yards per rushing play this season (to teams that would combine to average 4.6 yprp against an average defensive team). Navy’s defense has been a trouble spot with just 2 of last year’s starters currently playing, but Duke’s porous attack (just 3.9 yards per play) is not likely to take full advantage of a Middies’ defense that’s allowed 6.8 yppl so far this season. Duke will score some points, but Navy is likely to score almost every time that they get the ball and my ratings favor the Midshipmen by 17 ½ points while using this year’s games only would result in Navy by 20 ½ points. I’ll take Navy in a 2-Star Best Bet at -14 points or less and for 3-Stars at -11 or less.
Strong Opinion
North Carolina 21 S. FLORIDA (-13.5) 29
09:00 AM Pacific, 22-Sep-07
North Carolina has had two tough luck losses in a row, losing on a last minute field goal at East Carolina two weeks ago and then losing 20-22 at home to Virginia last week thank to a -3 in turnover margin. North Carolina out-gained East Carolina 6.8 yards per play to 6.4 yppl and they dominated Virginia 6.5 yppl to 4.7 yppl, but being on the losing end of both of those games has the Tarheels underrated. South Florida is a very strong defensive team again this season, but UNC quarterback T.J. Yates has averaged 10.2 yards per pass attempt and 9.5 yards per pass play in his first 3 games. South Florida’s offense has struggled a bit in their first two games (4.7 yppl), but they were a good unit last season and return nearly intact so I expect the Bulls’ attack to move the ball pretty well against a sub-par Tarheels’ defense. Overall my ratings only favor South Florida by 8 points and I expect the Tarheels to keep this game competitive. I’ll consider North Carolina a Strong Opinion at +13 points or more.
Strong Opinion
Miami Ohio 19 COLORADO (-14.0) 28
12:30 PM Pacific, 22-Sep-07
Miami-Ohio let me down last week, but it’s tough to stay close when you’re -4 in turnover margin and losing by 37 points at home to Cincinnati has created some line value this week. Miami-Ohio really isn’t that bad of a team, as the Redhawks have averaged 5.3 yards per play while allowing 5.7 yppl to teams that rate about average as a group. Miami upset Ball State on the road and then nearly upset Minnesota before losing in overtime, so staying close to a sub-par Colorado contingent isn’t too much to ask. The Buffaloes are still having troubles offensively and they’ve been out-gained this season 4.1 yppl to 4.7 yppl by teams that would out-gain an average team by 0.3 yppl – so Colorado has been 0.3 yppl worse than average, which is about the same as Miami-Ohio. Miami has lost their top two running backs and an offensive linemen, so their rushing attack isn’t likely to be as good as it has been, but my ratings favor Colorado by only 9 ½ points after adjusting for those losses. I’ll consider Miami- Ohio a Strong Opinion at +14 points or more and I’d take Miami in a 2-Star Best Bet if the line gets up to +16 points or more.
Strong Opinion
HOUSTON (-6.5) 37 Colorado St. 25
01:30 PM Pacific, 22-Sep-07
Houston has one of the nation’s most explosive weapons in running back Anthony Alridge, who ran for 959 yards at 10.1 ypr last season and has accounted for 429 total yards from scrimmage in just 2 games this season (7.3 ypr and 27.4 ypc on 5 catches). Colorado State has allowed 7.3 yards per rushing play in their two games, so Alridge should have another big game today. Colorado State likes to pound the ball with bowling ball Kyle Bell, but Bell has only averaged 3.6 ypr on his 66 carries this season. The Rams are much more effective when quarterback Caleb Hanie is throwing the football and he’s averaged an impressive 7.4 yards per pass play on 72% completions so far this season. Houston has defended the pass well so far and their overall defensive average of 5.8 yards per play allowed is good considering that one of their two opponents (Oregon) has the best offense in the nation. My ratings favor Houston by 7 ½ points and using this year’s games only would favor the Cougars by 9 points. Colorado State applies to a negative 18-60-1 ATS situation but the Rams are also 11-6 ATS in games following their bye week under coach Sonny Lubick, which will keep me from playing Houston as a Best Bet. I’ll consider Houston a Strong Opinion at -7 points or less.
Strong Opinion
ARKANSAS (-7.0) 38 Kentucky 26
03:00 PM Pacific, 22-Sep-07
Arkansas is coming off a tough loss at Alabama, but the Razorbacks should bounce back this week against a Kentucky team that is due for a letdown after upsetting rival Louisville last Saturday. Kentucky still doesn’t defend the run well (5.4 yards per rushing play allowed this year) and Arkansas has two of the nation’s best running back sin Darren McFadden and Felix Jones, who should both post very good numbers in this game. Kentucky has a good offense led by mistake free quarterback Andre Woodson, who is on the verge of setting the all time record for consecutive passes without an interceptions (he needs 14 more), but Arkansas has a solid defensive team and my ratings favor the Hogs by 10 ½ points in this game. I’ll consider Arkansas a Strong Opinion in this game at -7 points or less.
Strong Opinion
BUFFALO 30 Baylor (-3.5) 28
03:00 PM Pacific, 22-Sep-07
Buffalo looks like a much improved team in coach Turner Gill’s second season. Junior quarterback Drew Willy has an accurate arm (72% completions) and should be able to pick apart a yielding Baylor secondary that’s allowed 5.9 yards per pass play to teams that collectively would average 4.8 yppp against an average defense. Buffalo is even worse defending the pass (7.7 yppp against teams that would average 6.2 yppp against an average team), but Baylor rates below average throwing the ball after adjusting for level of opposing defenses. Both teams should be able to move the ball in this game and my ratings favor Buffalo to get the straight up win. I’ll consider Buffalo a Strong Opinion at +3 points or more.
Strong Opinion
UL LAFAYETTE 31 Troy State (-10.0) 36
04:00 PM Pacific, 22-Sep-07
Troy State is coming off a big upset win over Oklahoma State, but that win sets up the Trojans in a negative 46-93 ATS road favorite letdown situation today against a Lafayette team that will control the ball on the ground. Teams that can run well are usually good bets as home underdogs and Lafayette, averaging 240 yards at 5.3 yards per rushing play should have no trouble running the ball against a Troy defense that’s surrendered an average of 294 yards at 6.8 yprp (to teams that would combine to average 5.4 yprp against an average defensive team). Lafayette won’t be able to stop the passing of Troy’s Omar Haugabook, but the Ragin’ Cajuns are getting double-s and road favorites of 10 points or more that are bad defending the run usually don’t cover. My ratings favor Troy by 9 ½ points with RB Tyrell Fenroy out for Lafayette (backup Wallace has averaged 5.2 ypr in his career) and I’ll consider Louisiana Lafayette a Strong Opinion at +10 points or more.
Strong Opinion
CINCINNATI (-23.5) 44 Marshall 14
04:30 PM Pacific, 22-Sep-07
Marshall hit a new low last week in losing to New Hampshire while Cincinnati continued to force turnovers in their 47-10 win over Miami-Ohio. The Bearcats have now forced 17 turnovers in 3 games and are +13 in turnover margin, which has a lot to do with their 47- 5 average score in those games. Cincy is not going to continue to be so fortunate, but the Bearcats are still a good team that I rate at 0.4 yppl better than average on offense and 0.5 yppl better than average defensively. Those numbers are certainly good enough to dominate a Marshall team that is good offensively with quarterback Bernie Morris on the field (+0.6 yppl with Morris) but horrible on defense. The Thundering Herd have allowed 6.2 yards per rushing play and 6.7 yards per pass play this season and rate at 0.9 yppl worse than average overall on the stop side of the ball. My ratings actually only favor Cincy by 20 ½ points in this game, but the Bearcats apply to a 58-19-1 ATS home favorite momentum situation and a 68-15-1 ATS statistical match-up indicator while Marshall applies to a negative 18-60-1 ATS situation. The Herd are also just 1-10 ATS on the road when not getting at least 28 points under coach Snyder and quarterback Morris is listed as questionable with an injured toe that kept him from starting last week’s game. Morris came into the contest late in the first half and had a very good game in their loss to New Hampshire and that is an indication that he’ll start this game. However, I can also see an early exit for Morris once Cincinnati takes a decent sized lead in the second half and Marshall’s backup quarterback Anderson has been horrible so far with just 3.0 yards per pass play on 26 pass plays. The situations and indicators favoring Cincinnati would give them a 64% chance of covering at a fair line of -20 ½ points, which means that they still have a profitable 57% chance of covering at -23 points, which is what I’ll make the cutoff on this game. I’ll consider Cincinnati a Strong Opinion at -24 points or less and I’d take Cincinnati in a 2-Star Best Bet at -23 points or less.
Strong Opinion
Iowa 20 WISCONSIN (-7.5) 23
05:00 PM Pacific, 22-Sep-07
Neither of these teams is playing as well as expected, as Iowa is struggling on offense while Wisconsin is struggling defensively. The Hawkeyes have averaged just 4.9 yards per play in 3 games against teams that would combine to allow 5.8 yppl to an average team but Iowa still has an outstanding defense that’s yielded just 3.5 yppl to teams that would combine to average 4.7 yppl against an average stop unit. That defense should keep them competitive in this game against a Badgers’ squad that has been pretty good offensively (6.3 yppl against teams that would allow 5.7 yppl to an average team) but has surrendered 5.2 yppl to teams that would average only 5.0 yppl against an average team. Wisconsin looked good in their opening day win over Washington State, but they barely beat UNLV and then allowed The Citadel to keep last week’s game close until late in the 4th quarter. My ratings favor Wisconsin by 7 ½ points, but Iowa is a solid play based on a 59-17-2 ATS statistical indicator that is based on their strong defense. The Hawkeyes also apply to a 54-24-1 ATS game 4 situation. I’ll consider Iowa a Strong Opinion at +7 points or more.
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 7:58pm -
0 likes
Pure Lock College Football Member Play
Virginia
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 10:42pm -
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Steam Plays
303 Oklahoma -20½
322 BYU -9½
324 UCLA -5½
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 10:43pm -
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PPP Steamrollers
5% NEBRASKA
With only Iowa St on deck, Nebraska will be in an ornery mood following their 31-49 loss to USC on this field on National TV LW. History indicates Ball St is in trouble. Nebraska is 10-3 ATS -10+, 10-5 ATS / Loss and beat Troy 56-0 on this field LY after losing to USC. In week 1 the ever improving Huskers rang up 413 RY in pummeling Nevada. Last week Ball allowed Navy 521 yards overland. Expect an overland Steamrolling output somewhere between the 2 numbers as Nebraska cruises to a 30+ point victory against a Ball St team traveling for the 3rd consecutive week who is 0-7 ATS against Big 12 opponents. Wrong place, wrong time for the Pay Day team.
3% NAVY
LW we used Navy as a 5* Big East Game of the Week in their 31-34 loss to Ball St. When was the last time you saw a 7 point favorite rush for 521 yards and lose the game? NEVER!!! Further west Duke ended their 23 game losing streak by defeating Northwestern as +17. There were out gained by the Wild Cats 507-309 despite the Wild Cats not having their best offensive player, RB Sutton. It sets up the biggest “inverted stat play of the week†with at least 7 points of line value as a result. Navy has won and covered the last 3 in this series including LY when they out rushed Duke 435-113. Not much has changed as the Middies are #1 in the Nation in rushing at 379 RYPG on 6.5 YPR. Duke is still allowing 4.0 YPR while their pitiful offense is averaging just 16 PPG. Navy QB Kaipo who suffered 2nd half ankle injuries vs. Ball has been upgraded to probable for this weeks action. A true Steamroller.
3% KANSAS
Jay Hawks are new to this early season menu of devouring cupcakes. But they have clearly learned from the best in copying in state rival Kansas St who built their program in the 90’s with the same MO. To date, the Jay Hawks are 3-0 SU, 2-0 ATS beating C. Mich, SELA, and Toledo by a margin of 46 PPG. Now comes the worst team in D1, Florida Intl who is 0-15 SU L2Y and is averaging just 6 PPG. With Mangino a bankroll bulging 15-5 ATS at home and with a week off to follow, look for another Steamrolling effort by Kansas this week against a Florida Intl team sandwiched between Home town Miami Fla. And their conference schedule. This one is in the barn by half time. Rock Chalk Jay Hawk.
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 10:43pm -
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Doc's
5 buffalo +3.5
5 purdue +3.5
4 ohio st -22.5
4 army +27.5
4 colorado -14
4 s carolina +16.5
4 Iowa +8
4 iowa under 44.5
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 10:43pm -
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Spylock
5* Indiana
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2007 10:43pm -
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Ultra Sports
3* Tulsa
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:20pm -
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RED-HOT BIG AL's 100% (14-0) FRIDAY NIGHT WINNER.
TULSA
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane plus the points over Oklahoma, as we will fade the Sooners, who have started the year 3-0, SU and ATS. However, now they're favored by more than three touchdowns over a good Tulsa team, and this is a perfect spot for a letdown game, especially with the Big 12 Schedule starting next week. And, since 1980, favorites priced from -21 to -30 points have only covered 31 of 88 times after three straight ATS wins as a favorite, including 0 of 14 when matched up against a foe off a SU win as an underdog. With Tulsa in off a 55-47 upset win over BYU, the Golden Hurricane fall into our 14-0 angle. Take Tulsa. Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:20pm -
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LT'S LOCK
Todays selection:
The Golden Hurricanes of Tulsa +22'
Current streak: 4 wins
Overall record: 495-389-18
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:21pm -
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Chuck Franklin
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1500♦ OKLAHOMA
This one is sure to be an offensive showdown, but I fully expect to see Oklahoma come out on top in a big way. The Sooners have the best scoring offense in the country, and their defense is equally strong. They have given up an average of less than nine points per game this season. So although the Golden Hurricane of Tulsa has been putting on a show this season, the show stops here with these talented and powerful Sooners. Tulsa’s defense has shown some weakness this season, so I’m siding with Oklahoma to roll right over Tulsa in this in-state contest.
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:21pm -
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Michael Cannon
15 Dime - OKLAHOMA
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:21pm -
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Brandon Lang
10 DIME
TULSA
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:22pm -
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WINNING SPORTS PLAYS
TULSA +23 ***PLAY OF THE DAY***> Tonight we catch the Sooners in a very similar situation as Texas A&M> last night; off 3 home starts and going on the road for the first> time!! And despite their early season domination history suggests> this one might not be as easy as the public thinks. Certain> undefeated home teams are an impressive 13-2 ATS since 1994 whne they> are an underdog of more than 7 points and facing a non-conference> foe!! Additionally, certain weekday home teams are an impressive> 15-1-1 ATS when coming off a game in which they scored 49 or more> points!! Certain weekday home dogs are also a PERFECT 9-0 ATS when> coming off a SU win as a dog!! In a similar angle these weekday home> dogs are also an impressive 10-1 ATS when playing a non-conference> foe!! Oklahoma's defense is tough but Tulsa shredded a BYU defense> that held 2 PAC-10 foes to just 34 total points in their first 2> contests of the season. Oklahoma has a conference game on deck so> perhaps a little bit of a look ahead possible. Oklahoma is just 2-10> ATS in their L12 off 3 or more consecutive ATS wins while Tulsa is a> PERFECT 7-0 ATS in ther L7 off a non-conference win so we will gladly> back the home team tonight!!
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:22pm -
0 likes
Spylock
5* Indiana +3
1* Georgia Tech - 3 1/2 (- Opposite Of Pure Lock)
1* Wyoming - 3 1/2
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:29pm -
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Dave M@linsky comp 4* play
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Offered at: 18
REASON FOR PICK: 4* SOUTH CAROLINA over L.S.U.
Time to clear up some misconceptions, and also win a bet in the process. Part of this can be found in our GRIDLINES column of two weeks ago, when we focused on the nature of how Steve Spurrier and his Gamecocks won outright at Georgia, a 4* ticket for us that never really had any jeopardy. So let’s rehash a bit -
1. Spurrier is an excellent administrator at putting a football program together; arguably as good as anyone in the land. Yet he is still regarded much more for this passing game designs than anything else, a reputation that works to our favor here. For while this is one of the more pedestrian air shows he has ever directed, the rest of the pieces are certainly in place. More on that in a moment, but -
2. This has not been all that massive of a rebuilding program for him. The year before he arrived South Carolina finished 6-5, earning a bowl bid but not accepting one because of the melee that broke out in the season-ending game vs. rival Clemson. In the 2000-05 cycle the Gamecocks went 31-26, and after both the 2000 and 2001 seasons they beat Ohio State on New Year’s day. At no time in that span were they as big of an underdog as they are in this game.
So what do we now have? A much improved program with talent in all areas, under one of the best coaches in the history of the game, now taking as much as +18.5. To put this line into perspective, note that South Carolina has gone 8-1 ATS on the S.E.C. road since Spurrier took over, and in eight of those games the Gamecocks did not even allow this week’s spread! We are talking about real road games, by the way – they have been to Georgia twice, Auburn, Tennessee, Arkansas, and Florida in that span. Four times they have been double figure underdogs and they were within a play of winning three of them – there was one outright win, and losses by two at Georgia in 2005 and by a 17-16 count at national champion Florida LY, when a field goal on the final play that would have won the game was blocked.
Note that there was nothing fluky at all about LY’s near-miss at Gainesville; South Carolina led 410-401 in total offense. There was also no fluke in holding Georgia without a touchdown in that road win two weeks ago. This is a deep, talented and savvy defense, the latter aspect because of 10 returning starters from LY. And with a couple of those returning starters only #2 on the current depth charts, it shows how much good young talent has been added.
L.S.U. is a special team, there is no question about that. But with WR Early Doucet and DT Charles Alexander sidelined the Tigers are not at full strength, and note that without Doucet this is a very green WR corps, with the top three in the rotation a pair of sophomores and a true freshman. None of them have had the time to develop any real chemistry with either Matt Flynn or Ryan Perrilloux, and they are going to be hard-pressed to make big plays against a veteran secondary with excellent coverage skills. Without being able to strike quickly on offense, this pointspread becomes a mountain.
Look for the Ole Ball Coach to get this tempo slowed to a crawl, and for a solid South Carolina team to be in the hunt for the outright win for a long time, while staying comfortably under this spread throughout.
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:29pm -
0 likes
Gator Report
Big 10 GOW (0-0 0.00)(Saturday): Purdue -13.5
Steamroller GOW (0-2 -2.2)(Saturday): Oregon -17
NCAA System GOW: Connecticut vs. Pittsburgh
System:
Play AGAINST a home/neutral site favorite of more than 1 point with less than 13 days rest seeking revenge for a 1-point SU loss as a favorite of 7+ points in the previous matchup the last 2 seasons 0-23 ATS since 1982
Selection: Connecticut +9.5
NFL "Tech" Total GOW: Jacksonville vs. Denver
Technical Set: Game 3 road teams off back to back "Unders" are 5-16 Under since 1996 and a perfect 0-8 Under as underdogs of 8 points or less. NFL Home Favorites off back to back SU wins but off back to back ATS losses are 1-9 Under since 1986. Game 3 road teams who began the year with two straight home games are 1-7 Under since 1999. Jacksonville is 1-4 Under in their first road game of the season and 0-2 Under versus Denver the last two meetings. Denver is 0-13-1 Under off a division home game and 3-10 Under after facing the Raiders. Play Under NFL teams when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points after allowing 9 points or less last game facing an opponent after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. 12-38 Under the last 10 years.
Selection: UNDER 35
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:30pm -
0 likes
rossbenjaminsports
Utah @ UNLV 10:00 PM ET 9/22/2007
Play On: UNLV +8.5
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Utah comes off a stunning 44-6 home win over UCLA. The final score is a bit deceiving considering the fact that Utah was the beneficiary of 5 UCLA turnovers and the total yardage in the game was virtually even. In spite of the 44 points last week this is not a very good offensive team. UNLV had been very competitive early on until being whacked at home by a very good Hawaii team. I look for the Rebels to bounce back with a strong effort and the Utes to suffer a bit of a let down after their upset win a week ago over a nationally ranked team. Laying more than a touchdown on the road is just a reaction by the books to adhere to public perception based on the results of both squads from last week. Take the home underdog UNLV Rebels.
Any conference away favorite of 17.0 or less that is off a home underdog SU win in which they scored 34 or more points, versus a foe playing with revenge, and has a win percentage of .125 or better is 1-13 ATS since 1980.
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:30pm -
0 likes
Greg Roberts Roast of Week--LOUISVILLE
Dog of Week---TOLEDO
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:30pm -
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nflpicks.com-COLLEGE
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College:
IND +3
Houston -6
Ohio +4
usc -25
stanford +17
8-2 last 2 saturday college..6-0 nfl last 2 sundays from another site
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:31pm -
0 likes
Suppose to fade these guys:
Football Chicks released some games early in order for clients to take advantage before any line movement.
6 units - 363 New Mexico St +17
5 units - 355 Maryland +3
4 units - 314 Akron +3.5
2 units - 325 Georgia +3.5
1 unit - 335 Michigan St -14
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:31pm -
0 likes
LVTR POWER PLAY: OKLAHOMA vs TULSA
Play: TULSA +23
Comments: LVTR POWER PLAY: TULSA +23: W let you down last night in football and MLB, but it won't happen two nights in a row. It hasn't happened yet and it won't happen tonight. We learned our lesson as we broke our own rule and went against a home team on national TV in a weekly matchup. Lesson Learned! We'll without hesitation take the big dog tonight at home under the national lights and TV cameras. Tulsa is being way under rated here and with Big !2 play beginning next week, we can't see Oklahoma with the desire to pour it on. Typiical David vs Goliath college story as we get them every week, but add the espn factor and for Tulsa it's like a world championship and a chance for positive recruiting where as for the Sonners, it's just a bump in the road until it's showtime next week. Oklahoma is 2-10 ATS off 3+ ATS wins. Tulsa: 7-0 ATS off a non-conference game. This game means everything to Tulsa, but for Oklahoma, it's an appetizer before the main course. Tak the generous dog points for an ATS win on Friday
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:32pm -
0 likes
Sebastian
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sebastian
10* Tulsa
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:32pm -
0 likes
WINNING SPORTS PLAYS
TULSA +23 ***PLAY OF THE DAY***> Tonight we catch the Sooners in a very similar situation as Texas A&M> last night; off 3 home starts and going on the road for the first> time!! And despite their early season domination history suggests> this one might not be as easy as the public thinks. Certain> undefeated home teams are an impressive 13-2 ATS since 1994 whne they> are an underdog of more than 7 points and facing a non-conference> foe!! Additionally, certain weekday home teams are an impressive> 15-1-1 ATS when coming off a game in which they scored 49 or more> points!! Certain weekday home dogs are also a PERFECT 9-0 ATS when> coming off a SU win as a dog!! In a similar angle these weekday home> dogs are also an impressive 10-1 ATS when playing a non-conference> foe!! Oklahoma's defense is tough but Tulsa shredded a BYU defense> that held 2 PAC-10 foes to just 34 total points in their first 2> contests of the season. Oklahoma has a conference game on deck so> perhaps a little bit of a look ahead possible. Oklahoma is just 2-10> ATS in their L12 off 3 or more consecutive ATS wins while Tulsa is a> PERFECT 7-0 ATS in ther L7 off a non-conference win so we will gladly> back the home team tonight!!
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 2:33pm -
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THE HERD (Colin Cowherd ESPN Radio):
Record 8-5
ARKANSAS
U C L A
PENN STATE
GEORGIA
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 5:31pm -
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Ness 20* Pac-10 game of the year
UCLA
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 5:31pm -
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Wayne Root
Tulsa
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 5:31pm -
0 likes
Posted: Sat Sep 22nd 2007, 9:45am Post subject:
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BobBalfe
College Football
Oklahoma -23.5 over Tulsa
This game is on the road, but close enough in distance to look like a home game. Oklahoma may just be the best team in the country and their defense will stop Tulsa's high powered offense. There is no way Coach Stoops allows this to turn into a shootout. Look for Oklahoma to score at win on a suspect Tulsa defense. This spread might seem like a lot, but these teams are not even close in talent. Take Oklahoma.
Good Luck
Bob Balfe
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 5:32pm -
0 likes
NORTHCOAST BIG 12 GAME OF THE WEEK // 24-6 last two years oklahoma state //
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 6:11pm -
0 likes
Scott Spreitzer's CFB Friday Night Bookie-Buster! 38-18, 68%!
I'm taking the points with Tulsa on Friday. It has taken the Golden Hurricane no time at all to grasp new HC Todd Graham's no-huddle-based system. QB Paul Smith has the spread-attack firing on all cylinders. The senior QB has thrown for 761 yards at over 11 yards per pass in Tulsa's first two games. But Tulsa is not just about the pass. Tarrion Adams is averaging 104 RYPG, keeping opposing defenses honest. Now, this will be the best opposing defense they've faced yet. But it will also be an Oklahoma offense with a RSFR making his first road start at QB. Bradford, Murray and company have been unbelievably good. But let's not forget they were up against North Texas & Utah State in two of those wins. We used OU when they rocked Miami, but we will take the points in this one with Tulsa, who are 3-1-1 ATS against the Sooners. The Golden Hurricane are my Friday night release. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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NORTHCOAST
Friday Night Marquee Play
Oklahoma -23
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2007 6:16pm -
0 likes
Burns
Ben Burns' 2007 "SHOCKER" OF THE YEAR *National TV
Last year, Ben Burns released his NFL "Shocker" GOY and Underdog Oakland WON OUTRIGHT by 12. He followed that up by releasing his NCAA "Shocker" GOY and +10 UNLV SHOCKED THE WORLD by WINNING OUTRIGHT vs. Air Force. Last week, Ben cashed his NFL "Shocker" GOY on the Browns who WON OUTRIGHT vs. Cincinnati.
Notre Dame
Burns' BIG-10 GAME OF THE YEAR ***17-4 L21 GOYs***
BIG Game Expert Ben Burns is a PERFECT 3-0 with his college football "Game of the Year" releases and a SIMPLY INCREDIBLE 17-4 his L21 "GOY" picks overall. If you've been enjoying that 81% RUN of BIG GAME DOMINANCE, then you'll simply LOVE Ben's BIG 10 CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR.
Iowa
Ben Burns' #1 NCAA Total of the Week ***5-0 YTD***
Ben Burns is off to a SIZZLING 5-0 START with his college football over/under picks this season. This renowned "Totals Guru" puts that PERFECT RECORD on the line with a single SUPERB "total" BLOWOUT on Saturday. Don't wait for the line to move
AZ St/Ore St UNDER
Ben Burns 3-Game EXECUTIVE Report **
Ben Burns LOVES Saturday's college schedule and is STEPPING OUT with one of his HIGHLY COVETED EXECUTIVE Reports. This COMMANDING CARD contains a TRIO OF ABSOLUTE GEMS, including Ben's #1 BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK. Ben's went 2-1 with his last "Executive Report" but today's card has SWEEP WRITTEN ALL OVER IT.
Stanford
UNLV
NC State (Annihilator)
Texas (Blowout of the week)
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 1:37am -
0 likes
Gameday
4* Brigham Young
Nationwide (GoldSheet)SUPER 7 Indiana
TOP UConn
Regular Oregon, South carolina under, Iowa under
Pointwise
4* Wisconsin, Nebraska
3* Brigham Young, Navy, Yoledo, Penn State Concinnati
2* Oregon, Maryland
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 1:37am -
0 likes
Brandon Lang
SATURDAY
25 DIME
COLORADO
10 DIME
Washington
Memphis
5 DIME
Army
Colorado St
Navy
Maryland
Free Pick - Purdue - (For analysis see Daily video)
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 1:39am -
0 likes
Mike Neri
4* Nebraska
3* LSU
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 1:39am -
0 likes
Doc Enterprises:
5-pur, Buff, 4-oh St, Army, Col, Scar, Iowa, Iowa Under
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 1:40am -
0 likes
ultra sports
5 north carolina st.
5 arkansas
4 indiana
3 arizona st.
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 1:40am -
0 likes
Billy Hill
12* Purdue
BankerSports
5* Oregon
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 5:23am -
0 likes
Scott Spreizter
Underdog Schocker UNLV
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 5:23am -
0 likes
Norm Hitzges
Weekend of 9/22/2007
NCAA
Double Play--Arizona St -11.5 vs Oregon St.
Double Play--Purdue -13.5 vs Minnesota
Double Play--Florida Atlantic -6.5 vs North Texas
Louisville -36.5 vs Syracuse
Navy -13.5 vs Duke
Buffalo +3 vs Baylor
BYU -11 vs Air Force
Penn State -2.5 vs Michigan
Central Florida -7 vs Memphis
California -13.5 vs Arizona
Bowling Green -21 vs Temple
Toledo +3.5 vs Iowa St
Arkansas -7 vs Kentucky
Wyoming -4 vs Ohio
Texas -37.5 vs Rice
Oregon -17.5 vs Stanford
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 5:24am -
0 likes
HUDDLE UP SPORTS
(Big 10 College Lock of the Month)
Illinois -3
Best Bets
Nebraska -22
Ohio State -22
Penn State -3'
Wake Forest -3
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 5:24am -
0 likes
TOM SCOTT'S FIVE STAR PERFECT SYSTEM PLAY 29-0!
Kentucky at ARKANSAS - 6:00 PM EST
Play ON: #362 - ARKANSAS minus the points
Everyone who pays attention to college football knows that Houston Nutt's job is on the line this season and he HAS TO WIN this game to keep it. He can. Kentucky has lost 14 straight road games when it has been outrushed, a very distinct possibility here since the net rushing yardage differential between the two is 122 yards in favor of the Hogs. When Arkansas wins, it usually covers. The Pigs are 41-12 ATS in their last 53 SU wins off a loss, including a sterling 31-6 ATS in SEC play and a perfect 13-0 ATS when playing an opponent who is off back-to-back wins. Kentucky has covered just three times in 19 chances on the road off a win when favored or when an underdog of less than 10. One other point - How are the BlueGrass Cats going to get back up after that last second emotional win over their state rival?
PREDICTION: ARKANSAS 38 - Kentucky 23
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 5:24am -
0 likes
Wild Bill
He likes alot of action
Arkansas -6 1/2 (5 units)
UCLA -5 1/2 (5 units)
Penn St -2 (5 units)
Georgia +3 1/2 (2 units)
Indiana +3 (4 units)
Over 53 Buffalo-Baylor (3 units)
Akron +3 (1 unit)
Nebraska -22 1/2 (1 unit)
Florida -21 (1 unit)
Over 42 1/2 Mich St-Notre Dame (2 units)
Cal -16 (3 units)
Bowling Green -21 (1 unit)
Toledo +4 (2 units)
South Florida -13 (2 units)
NC State +7 (2 units)
Connecticut +9 1/2 (1 unit)
Washington State +24 1/2 (3 units)
South Carolina ML +670 (1 unit)
South Carolina +16 1/2 (3 units)
TCU -21 (1 unit)
Arizona State -12 (1 unit)
Over 54 Fla Int'l-Kansas (2 units)
UL-Lafayette +10 1/2 (2 units)
North Texas +6 1/2 (2 units)
5 unit..........................2-3, -6.5 units
4 unit..........................3-0, +12.0 units
3 unit..........................2-2, -0.6 units
2 unit..........................6-5-1, +1.0 units
1 unit..........................24-20, +2.0 units
Parlay........................
Money Line...............
WON 37 LOSS 30, +7.9 units as of 9/18/07
_________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 5:25am -
0 likes
Gary Greene - Purdue Over, Arkansas Over, Ohio State, UNLV.
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 5:25am -
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Scott Spreitzer - Arizona State and Byu as BEST BETS.
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 5:26am -
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KELSO ( 50* 4-0 ):
50* Pac 10 UnderDog Game of the Year - WASHINGTON
15* FLORIDA ATLANTIC
(Alert! - Sunday 100* NFL Blowout)
PURELOCK ( 3-0 in NCAAFB ):
VIRGINIA
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:05pm -
0 likes
LT Profits
Kent
Akron
u46.5 (-110) / 2 units
3:00p
LT Profits
Air Force
BYU
u52.5 (-110) / 2 units
7:00p
LT Profits
U Connecticut
Pittsburgh
o44.0 (-110) / 2 units
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:06pm -
0 likes
Northcoast
Marquee
Florida Atl
Nc St
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:06pm -
0 likes
Ppp Sides
5% Byu –11.5
4% Arkansas –7
4% Wyoming –3.5
3% Purdue –13.5
3% Alabama –3.5
____________________________
Ppp Totals
5% Over 56 Florida Atlantic / North Texas
3% Over 53.5 Navy/ Duke
3% Over 56 Cal / Arizona
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:07pm -
0 likes
Root
Chairman - Virginia
Millionaire - S. Carolina
Money Maker - Michigan
No Limit - Okla St
Insider Circle - Maryland
Billionaire - Iowa
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:07pm -
0 likes
MADDUX Sports
5 units on Arizona +16
3 units on Michigan +3
3 units on Memphis +7
3 units on Virginia +3.5
3 units on Connecticut +10
3 units on LSU -17.5
3 units on North Texas +7
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:07pm -
0 likes
New postPosted: Sun Sep 23rd 2007, 4:54am Post subject: Reply with quote
1. A-PLAY
2. ASA
3. ATS LOCK CLUB/ 7 KENT, BUFF/ 6 UCONN , WAKE/ 5 BYU , ND
4. BEN BURNS /SOY ND/ BIG 10 GOY IOWA/ TOW ARI ST UND/ 3 STANFORD, UNLV, NC ST
5. BIG AL/ IOWA, WASHINGTON, AND LOCK 5 UNLV
6. DAVE COKIN/ Top- GaTech , NWestern , Miss
7. DOC'S/ 5 BUFF, PURDUE/ 4 OH ST, ARMY, COL, SC, IOWA, IOWA UND
8. EXECUTIVE
9. DR BOB/ 3 LSU, ARIZONA/ 2 NAVY/ OPINIONS NC, MIA OH, HOUSTON, ARK, BUFF, UL LAY , CINCY, IOWA
10. FINAL SCORE
11. GOLD KEY
12. GOLD SHEET/ Top- Conn/ LOCK Indiana
13. GUARANTEED/ Top- Alab
14. HILTON CONTEST
15. INSIDE EDGE
16. JB SPORTS
17. JIM FIEST/ Top- Navy , N.Car
18. KELSO/ best bets 10 COL, LSU/ 5 COL ST, IDAHO/ 15 FLA ATL/ 50 ACC LOCK WASH
19. LARRY NESS/ 20 PAC 10 GOY UCLA
20. LATE INFO PLAYS
21. LENNY STEVENS/ 20 GOM ARK, 20 OREGON/ 10 UNLV, MI, AUB
22. LOCKEROOM
23. MASTERS EDGE
24. MIKE LEE
25. MIKE NERI/ 4 NEB/ 3 LSU
26. MVP POWER LOCKS
27. NATIONAL SPORTSLINE
28. NORTHCOAST/ 3 Neb , Kansas/ LOCKS 4 Byu
4 NDame , So.Car
29. POINTWISE/ 4 WIS, NEB/ 3 NAVY, TOLEDO, CINCY, BYU
30. PRIME STAR
31. PREFERRED PICKS/ 4 Mich
32. PPP/ STEAM ROLLERS/ 5 NEB, / 3 NAVY, KANSAS/ REG PLAYS 4 Ark , Wyo/ 5 Byu , Over-N.Tex
33. SCORE
34. SPORTS ADVISOR
35. SPORTS NETWORK/ LK- MichSt
36. SPORTS ONE/ 7 Virg
37. SPREITZER/ UNDERDOG SHOCKER UNLV/ ARI ST, BYU BEST BETS
38. TIPPS
39. TEXAS INSIDERS
40. UNDERDOG
41. VEGAS STEAM/ 10 PennSt
42. VEGASH HI ROLLERs
43. VICTORY SPORTS/ LK- GaTech
44. VIP SPORTS
45. WAYNE ROOT/ LK- OklaSt
46. WORLD WAGER/LK- PennSt
47. WIZARD
48. ANIMAL
49. ENDZONE/ LK- Navy
50. YOURWINNERSONLY/4 WASH/ 3 NEB/ 2 INDIANA/ 1 NAVY
51. LANG/ 25 COL/ 10 WASH , MEMPHIS/ 5 ARMY, COL ST, NAVY, MD
52.YOURWINNERSONLY HI LIFE CLUB/ 3 BYU/ 2 UCLA/ 2 KENT
53.GAMEDAY/ 4 Byu
BACK AT 12 25
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:08pm -
0 likes
Dave Cokin
Top: Georgia Tech, Northwestern, Mississippi, Iowa, Air Force, Auburn
Regular: USC, UCLA, Louisville
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:08pm -
0 likes
BIG AL's #1 NCAA GAME OF THE WEEK (100% THIS YEAR)
At 8 pm, on ABC TV, our College Football Game of the Week is on the Iowa Hawkeyes plus the points over Wisconsin. The Badgers are 3-0 and have the nation's longest win streak (at 15 games), yet were tied with The Citadel at 21 last week, early in the 3rd quarter, before finally winning 45-31. Wisconsin also struggled against UNLV the previous week, winning 20-13 as a 25 point favorite. Meanwhile, the Hawkeyes have NOT allowed a touchdown all season, and have given up just 18 points (on six field goals), ranking third in scoring defense and fifth in total defense (at 212.7 yards per game). Even though Kirk Ferentz' men didn't give up a touchdown last week, they were upset by Iowa State 15-13, and the Hawkeyes now fall into two systems of mine that are 62-15 and 27-2 ATS that involve playing on conference teams to rebound off outright losses as a favorite. Take the Hawkeyes. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my other big College Winners: my 3-game package including our SEC Game of the Month; a Conference Game of the Year out of a 15-0 System; and a play out of a super 18-0 System.
BIG AL's 100% (15-0) CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR!
At 10 pm, our Mountain West Game of the Year is on the UNLV Rebels plus the points over Utah. Last week, the Utes upset UCLA 44-6 as a 15-point home dog for their first win of the season (after losing to Air Force and Oregon State in their first two games). But conference single- road favorites have covered just 17 of 61 games off an upset win as a 6-point (or greater) underdog, if they're matched up against a foe with a win percentage from .100 to .730. UNLV is 1-2 this season. The Rebels opened with a road win at Utah State, but have dropped back-to-back home games vs. Wisconsin and Hawaii to fall to 1-2. However, since 1980, teams are 15-0 ATS as conference home dogs of 3+ points, if they are off two straight home losses, and have a win percentage between .200 and .400. Take UNLV. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my other big College Winners: my Game of the Week (100% this year on our #1 Weekly play); my 3-game package including our SEC Game of the Month; and a play out of a super 18-0 System.
BIG AL'S EYE-POPPING 100% (18-0 ATS) TV WINNER.
At 10:15 pm, on FOX Sports Net, our selection is on the Washington Huskies over UCLA. Last week, Karl Dorrell's Bruins inexplicably lost 44-6 to Utah as a 15-point road favorite. A lot of gamblers will be on UCLA to bounce back from that loss, but teams rarely do when matched up against a conference opponent that is also off a loss. Consider that, since November 2, 1991, .230 (or better) road dogs off a SU loss are a perfect 18-0 ATS vs. conference foes who lost outright as a 14-point (or greater) favorite the previous week. With Washington checking in off a loss to Ohio State last week, we'll play on Tyrone Willingham's men as conference road dogs on Saturday night. Good luck, as always, Al McMordie. And don't miss my other big College Winners: my 3-game package including our SEC Game of the Month; a Conference Game of the Year out of a 15-0 System; and my #1 Game of the Week (3-0 this year on my Top Weekly Play).
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:10pm -
0 likes
EXPERT: Bryan Leonard
TITLE: Blowout of the Week
REASON FOR PICK: UCLA (-) over Washington
The Bruins return home after being blow out in their trip to Utah 44-6. UCLA actually outgained the Utes but a negative 4 turnover margin was too much to overcome. It’s quite possible and more likely probable that UCLA simply overlooked the banged up Utes. Utah entered the game 0-2 and without their top three impact players who were out with injuries. The Bruins started the season with double digit victories over Stanford and BYU and they had easily defeated these same Utes 31-10 last season. In the Karl Dorrell era UCLA is just 4-7 in the role of road favorite, so the outcome isn’t such a big surprise.
But we expect a focused Bruin to emerge on Saturday. UCLA has beaten the Huskies the last five visits here, all but once by a hefty margin. UCLA is on a 12-4 spread run as home favorites and they are on a 9-1 spread run coming off of a loss. Quarterback Ben Olson suffered a concussion last week in Utah so backup Patrick Cowan will start behind center. A quick look at career numbers shows there should be no drop-off in production. In fact, Cowan took over the reigns last year after an Olson injury and led the team to a perfect 3-0 record including the major upset of USC in the regular season finale.
Washington has gotten off to a solid start despite their home defeat last week at the hands of Ohio State. Quarterback Jake Locker has been very impressive especially with his scrambling ability. Unfortunately he will be facing a very quick and active Bruin defense. UCLA is permitting just 72.7 rushing yards a game, a 2.5 yards per carry clip. Washington hosts #1 USC next week for their chance to shock the world. They almost did that last year in a 26-20 loss in Los Angeles. If this game gets out of hand early we can see coach Willingham pulling his starters in anticipation for the Trojan visit next week. Simply put this hasn’t been a very good match-up for the Huskies and UCLA has something to prove at home off an embarrassing performance.
PLAY UCLA
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:10pm -
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Big Money Alabama
Doc Enterprises 5 Purdue Buff 4 Ohio St Army Col St Sc Iowa Iowa Over
Dr Bob 3 Ariz Lsu 2 Navy
Inside Steam 3 Texas Alab Utah St
Dolphin 5 Flor 3 Gt Oreg St
Nationwide 7 Indy Tp U-conn Reg Oreg Sc Und Iowa Und
Neri 4 Neb 3 Lsu
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:11pm -
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northcoast
Play of the day
Arkansas
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:12pm -
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gus marone underdog lock of the year on unlv
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:13pm -
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marc lawrence
4* MICHIGAN +2.5 VS PENN STATE
3* NORTHWESTERN +23.5 VS OHIO STATE
3* MEMPHIS +7 VS CENTRAL FLORIDA
3* IOWA +7.5 VS WISCONSIN
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:14pm -
0 likes
Ed Redmon
5* Navy
5* HOU over
5* GT
5* IU
4* NEB over
4*Clem under
3* UNLV
3* Ore St
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:15pm -
0 likes
Hank Green...
Big Ten G.o.m. Ohio St
6* Buff. U.
5* S. Car.
5* Wisc
5* Byu
3* Nebr
3* Ucla
3* Idaho
3* E. Car.
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:15pm -
0 likes
psychic sports picks
paid & confirmed
2 units Indiana +2
2 units North Texas +7
2 units Washington +6
3 units West Virginia -24
3 units Michigan +2.5
3 units Kentucky +7
3 units Georgia +3.5
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:17pm -
0 likes
Dave Malinsky
5* Tennessee -18 over Arkansas St
5* Army +29 over Boston College
4* Florida -21 over Mississippi
4* Iowa/Wisconsin Under 44
4* Georgia / Alabama under 48 1/2
4* Illinois / Indiana Under 63
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:19pm -
0 likes
Guaranteed Pick: Lenny Del Genio
Game: Ball St. at Nebraska Sep 22 2007 12:30PM
Prediction: Nebraska
Reason: Play on Nebraska at 12:30 ET. The last thing Ball St. needed was Nebraska getting embarrassed by USC, the week before the Cardinals visited Lincoln. Unfortunately for Ball St, that's exactly what happened! After opening with a 14-13 home loss to Miami-Ohio, Ball St. has won two straight on the road, including last week's draining 34-31 OT win at Navy. The Cardinals won despite allowing 521 rushing yards and now get a Nebrska team looking to "make up" for its non-competitive performance against USC. Making matters worse, this will be Ball St's third straight road game. Ball St. QB Nate Davis has not been quite as sharp completion-wise as LY (61.2%), connecting on just 53.3% so far, but he does have eight TDs versus just one interception. The problem though, is that the Ball St. defense (allowing 268.7 ypg on the ground and 6.2 ypc), will have to face a solid Nebraska running game (186.3 ypg) plus face a QB in Sam Keller, looking for a breakout game. Expectations were high entering the USC game and all Nebraska can do now is "take it out" on Ball ST. Expect just that to happen! Since losing to Southern Miss in Lincoln in his first year at Nebraska ('04), Callahan has won all five of his home games versus non-conference opponents, going 4-1 ATS. In the four ATS wins, the Cornhuskers have 'covered' by a combined total of 91 points, winning the last three games by the combined score of 157-20! Fill in the blanks here. Nebraska is my 25* Blowout GOY.
Guaranteed Pick: Lenny Del Genio
Game: East Carolina at West Virginia Sep 22 2007 12:00PM
Prediction: East Carolina
Reason: Play on East Carolina at 12:00 ET. West Va's dynamic duo of RB Steve Slaton (392 yards / 5.9 ypc / 8 TDs) and QB Pat White (244 yards / 6.4 ypc plus 63.3 % with a 4-0 ratio) have been joined by freshman RB noel Devine (256 yards / 15.1 ypc)! West Va. has averaged 343.7 ypg and 7.1 ypc with 16 rushing TDs in '07. In comparison, East Carolina averages just 101.0 ypg on the ground (2.9 ypc). The Pirates' leading rusher is QB Patrick Pinkney, who has only 109 yards. Pinkney has however, proven to be an effective passer (65.7%), who has made few mistakes (five TDs and just one INT). On paper it's all Mountaineers but just as we saw on September 1 in Blacksburg, East Carolina is better on the field than on paper. Va. Tech, a 27 1/2-point favorite, escaped with just a 17-7 win at home that day. So what else is new? East Carolina is now 10-1 as a road dog under Skip Holtz! Last year, West Va. came to Greenville and beat East Carolina 27-10 (East Carolina covered as a 21-point dog) and it's hard to imagine any team playing any better against the West Va. rushing attack than the Pirates, who held the Mountaineers to 153 yards and 3.6 ypc. East Carolina's rush D has allowed only 86.0 ypg in '07 and 2.5 ypc. Take the points! 15* East Carolina.
Game: Air Force at BYU Sep 22 2007 3:00PM
Prediction: BYU
Reason: Play on BYU at 3:00 ET. BYU has handled Air Force easily in each of the last three years, winning by an average margin of 19 ppg. The Cougars won't take the Falcons lightly though, as Air Force, under first-year head coach Troy Calhoun, has opened 3-0. The Falcons are already 2-0 in MWC play (beat Utah and TCU), while the Cougars will be playing their conference opener, here. Air Force may been lucky to beat both Utah and TCU (especially the Horned Frogs, who basically gave the game to Air Force) but none the less, Air Force is 3-0. The Cougars have had problems with turnovers and penalties in losses to UCLA and Tulsa but QB Max Hall, a question mark at the beginning of the season, keeps getting better. He threw for 537 yards and four TDs in the 55-47 loss at Tulsa and there is no way the Air Force secondary can effectively stop the Cougars' passing game. The UCLA loss ended a BYU 11-game winning streak and now, after back-to-back losses, the Cougars will be focused and ready. How about this pointspread stat? The SU winner of this series has gone 19-1 ATS the last 20 meetings! 15* BYU.
Game: Miami Ohio at Colorado Sep 22 2007 3:30PM
Prediction: Colorado
Reason: Play on Colorado at 3:30 ET. Miami-Ohio got lucky back on August 30, edging Ball St, 14-13. The RedHawks have since lost back-to-back games, a three-OT affair at Minnesota, before getting crushed by rival Cincinnati last Saturday, 47-10. Miami's OL has been banged up all season but the expected return to health of RB Brandon Murphy gave Miami hope its running game (under 100 ypg in '06) would take some pressure of its two QBs. Neither Kokal nor Raudabaugh figured to remind anyone of Roethlisbeger and they haven't. Kokal's been benched and Raudabaugh will start. However, the bigger news is that Murphy is done for the year (injured again) and his backup (Bratton), will sit out this week out as well. Miami has allowed 451 ypg and 33.7 ppg after three games and this trip to Boulder is the team's third road game in its first four! Colorado QB Cody Hawkins had 306 passing yards versus Florida St last Saturday night and RB Hugh Charles could be ready to contribute again to a running game that really misses him. Dan Hawkins was a big winner at Boise State but after a 2-10 mark in his first year at Boulder, sees no win is insignificant these days. The Buffs have seven teams on their schedule which played in bowl games last year and Miami is NOT one of them. Like, Colorado, Miami has fallen on hard times (also 2-10 in '06) but all the scheduling edges favor Colorado is this one. Plus, Hawkins' team owns the talent edge on both sides of the ball. 15* Colorado.
Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness
Game: Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Indians Sep 22 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: Cleveland Indians
Reason: The Indians (91-62) beat Oakland 4-3 on Friday to lower their magic number to win the division to two. Cleveland, which is 21-5 since Aug 25 and now owns MLB's best record (91-62), remained 7 1/2 games ahead of the Detroit Tigers, who won 5-4 over Kansas City on Friday. With a win on Saturday and a loss by the Tigers to the Royals, the Indians would capture the division title for the first time since 2001. Cleveland will turn to Paul Byrd (15-6, 4.36 ERA) on Saturday, who is 5-1 with a 3.83 ERA over his last seven outings. Byrd's having a career season and he's 8-2 since the break with the Indians going 10-3 in his 13 starts. Oakland, which has lost five straight and 17 of 26, will turn to Dan Haren (14-8, 3.12 ERA), who is NOT the same pitcher these days. Haren was 10-3 with a 2.30 ERA before the All-Star break (he got the start for the AL!), but since has gone 4-5 with a 4.43 ERA. However, that doesn't tell the whole story. Since picking up his 14th win of the season on Aug 21 (he's also won exactly 14 games each of the previous two seasons), he's 0-4 with a 5.74 ERA over his last five starts (5.74 ERA). He's allowed 10-plus hits over each of his last FOUR starts, allowing a total of 45 hits in just 25.1 innings! Friday, the Indians opened at minus-$1.70 vs the A's but this game opened at just minus-$1.35. Why? My guess is because Haren is on the mound but that makes little sense considering the way he's pitched. This line is 35-cents "too low!" Oddsmaker's Error on the Cle Indians.
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:19pm -
0 likes
Pointwise Phones
4* Wisconsin
4* Nebraska
3* Navy
3* Toledo
3* BYU
3* Cincy
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:22pm -
0 likes
TOM SCOTT'S FIVE STAR PERFECT SYSTEM PLAY 29-0!
Kentucky at ARKANSAS - 6:00 PM EST
Play ON: #362 - ARKANSAS minus the points
Everyone who pays attention to college football knows that Houston Nutt's job is on the line this season and he HAS TO WIN this game to keep it. He can. Kentucky has lost 14 straight road games when it has been outrushed, a very distinct possibility here since the net rushing yardage differential between the two is 122 yards in favor of the Hogs. When Arkansas wins, it usually covers. The Pigs are 41-12 ATS in their last 53 SU wins off a loss, including a sterling 31-6 ATS in SEC play and a perfect 13-0 ATS when playing an opponent who is off back-to-back wins. Kentucky has covered just three times in 19 chances on the road off a win when favored or when an underdog of less than 10. One other point - How are the BlueGrass Cats going to get back up after that last second emotional win over their state rival?
PREDICTION: ARKANSAS 38 - Kentucky 23
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:23pm -
0 likes
1. Insider Sports Report CFB Air Force +11.5 3-1 (+170) 4-0 (+400)
2. Shark Handicapping CFB Under Iowa 42.5 2-2 (-75) 5-1 (+390)
3. Jeff Alexander CFB Iowa +8 3-2 (+10) 4-1 (+290)
4. Free Winning Sports Picks CFB Michigan +3 1-4 (-250) 4-3 (+225)
5. SecureOnlineSportsbooks MLB Phillies -135 1-1 (+0) 4-1 (+220)
6. TodaysPicks MLB Phillies -135 1-1 (+0) 4-1 (+220)
7. Dave Price CFB Syracuse +37 3-1 (+125) 4-2 (+195)
8. TheForceFree2007 CFB Wyoming Ov 44 1-0 (+185) 2-1 (+100)
9. VegasSI CFB Connecticut +9 1-1 (+0) 2-1-1(+90)
10. Tony O Sports CFB Navy -13½
4-1 (+250) 3-2 (+60)
11. National Sports Advisors CFB Over Ok. St. 72 1-2-1(-110) 2-2-2(-20)
12. Fast Eddie Sports CFB Miss +23 2-2 (+0) 3-3 (-20)
13. Info Plays CFB UNC Over 48.5 1-3 (-195) 2-2-1(-45)
14. Jimmy Boyd CFB W. Va -24.5 3-1 (+235) 2-2 (-60)
15. Black Magic Sports CFB Boston Coll. -27 3-0 (+300) 2-3 (-110)
16. GuaranteedPicks CFB Bowl. Green -22 1-1 (-55) 1-2 (-115)
17. Black Widow Sports CFB Wash. St. +25 2-2 (-15) 3-4 (-130)
18. The Parlay King CFB Florida -23 2-1 (+235) 2-5 (-240)
19. Master Sports Picks CFB Boston Coll. -29 3-2 (+80) 1-3 (-285)
20. YouWinNow CFB Michigan St. -10.5 1-1 (-30) 1-4 (-295)
21. SportsAction365 CFB Cincinnati -23.5 2-2 (-10) 1-5 (-450)
22. DirectPicks 2-1 (+90) 1-0 (+100)*
23. Guaranteed Sports Pick CFB Alabama -3 1-1 (-50) 1-1 (-10)*
_________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:35pm -
0 likes
Blazer 4*New Mex st
\ 4* Memphis
3* Co. St, Georgia, & Northwester
Gold or Nationwide 2 * Indiana
1 1/2 Conn.
1 Oregon, Sth Carolina Under, Iowa/Wis Over
Northcoast 4* Byu, Notre Dame, South Carolina
3* Nebraska & Kansas
Totals 4* Duke Over
3* Colorado st Over, Colorado /Miami Over, & Arizona/cal Over
Doc's 5* Purdue & Buffalo
4* Army, Ohio St, Colorado, Sth Carolina, Iowa, & Iowa Under
Good Luck
PRobability 4* Oregon St
3* Sth Carolina, San Jose, &Unlv
Tutorial Plays New Mex st, Memphis, Purde, Buffalo, Indiana
Conn., Byu
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 12:36pm -
0 likes
FINAL REPORT
1. A-PLAY
2. ASA/LOCK HOUSTON
3. ATS LOCK CLUB/ 7 KENT, BUFF/ 6 UCONN , WAKE/ 5 BYU , ND
4. BEN BURNS /SOY ND/ BIG 10 GOY IOWA/ TOW ARI ST UND/ 3 STANFORD, UNLV, NC ST
5. BIG AL/ IOWA, WASHINGTON, AND LOCK 5 UNLV
6. DAVE COKIN/ Top- GaTech , NWestern , Miss
7. DOC'S/ 5 BUFF, PURDUE/ 4 OH ST, ARMY, COL, SC, IOWA, IOWA UND
8. EXECUTIVE/ 600 Hous
400 Baylor
9. DR BOB/ 3 LSU, ARIZONA/ 2 NAVY/ OPINIONS NC, MIA OH, HOUSTON, ARK, BUFF, UL LAY , CINCY, IOWA
10. FINAL SCORE
11. GOLD KEY
12. GOLD SHEET/ Top- Conn/ LOCK Indiana
13. GUARANTEED/ Top- Alab
14. HILTON CONTEST
15. INSIDE EDGE/4 Byu
16. JB SPORTS/Reg- Alab
17. JIM FIEST/ Top- Navy , N.Car
18. KELSO/ best bets 10 COL, LSU/ 5 COL ST, IDAHO/ 15 FLA ATL/ 50 ACC LOCK WASH
19. LARRY NESS/ 20 PAC 10 GOY UCLA
20. LATE INFO PLAYS/ 100 LOCK TEX TECH
21. LENNY STEVENS/ 20 GOM ARK, 20 OREGON/ 10 UNLV, MI, AUB
22. LOCKEROOM/100 Wisc LOCK PLAY FOR THEM
23. MASTERS EDGE LOCK 100 UCLA
24. MIKE LEE
25. MIKE NERI/ 4 NEB/ 3 LSU
26. MVP POWER LOCKS/ 300 W.For
27. NATIONAL SPORTSLINE/ 10 LOCK ARK
28. NORTHCOAST/ 3 Neb , Kansas/ LOCKS 4 Byu
4 NDame , So.Car/ 4 Over-Duke
29. POINTWISE/ 4 WIS, NEB/ 3 NAVY, TOLEDO, CINCY, BYU
30. PRIME STAR/3 Ariz
31. PREFERRED PICKS/ 4 Mich
32. PPP/ STEAM ROLLERS/ 5 NEB, / 3 NAVY, KANSAS/ REG PLAYS 4 Ark , Wyo/ 5 Byu , Over-N.Tex/ 5 S FLA/ 3 EST CAR. FLA ATL, PUR, ALABAMA
33. SCORE/400 Byu , ArizSt
34. SPORTS ADVISOR/ 10 lock pitt
35. SPORTS NETWORK/ LK- MichSt/ LOCK MI
36. SPORTS ONE/ 7 Virg 10 LOCK ARK
37. SPREITZER/ UNDERDOG SHOCKER UNLV/ ARI ST, BYU BEST BETS
38. TIPPS
39. TEXAS INSIDERS/ 100 lock baylor
40. UNDERDOG/ lock nd
41. VEGAS STEAM/ 10 PennSt
42. VEGASH HI ROLLERS/ LOCK 100 ARI ST
43. VICTORY SPORTS/ LK- GaTech/ LOCK ARK
44. VIP SPORTS/ LOCK 300 Miami-Oh
45. WAYNE ROOT/ LK- OklaSt
46. WORLD WAGER/LK- PennSt
47. WIZARD
48. ANIMAL
49. ENDZONE/ LK- Navy/ LOCK ARK
50. YOURWINNERSONLY/4 WASH/ 3 NEB/ 2 INDIANA/ 1 NAVY
51. LANG/ 25 COL/ 10 WASH , MEMPHIS/ 5 ARMY, COL ST, NAVY, MD
52.YOURWINNERSONLY HI LIFE CLUB/ 3 BYU/ 2 UCLA/ 2 KENT
53.GAMEDAY/ 4 Byu
54. SPECIAL K/ 15 ND, SF , COL ST, ARK, SOUTH CAR
_________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2007 2:03pm