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Pointwise
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COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
ARIZONA STATE over Colorado RATING: 1
MICHIGAN STATE over Bowling Green RATING: 1
VIRGINIA TECH over Lsu RATING: 2
WYOMING over Utah State RATING: 3
HAWAII over Louisiana Tech RATING: 4
WEST VIRGINIA over Marshall RATING: 4
NO CARO ST over Boston College RATING: 5
SOUTH FLORIDA over Auburn RATING: 5
posted by phantom
Sept. 4 2007 3:07pm -
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THE CONFIDENTIAL Kick-Off
CKO Vol. 46 September 6 - 10, 2007 No. 2
Confidential Kick-Off!! The Gold Sheet!!
America's Handicapping Leaders For 50 Seasons!
11 *KANSAS STATE over San Jose St.
Late Score Forecast:
*KANSAS STATE 38 - San Jose State 7
It would be a mistake to gauge current status of these respective programs
based simply on their results in openers. Granted, both tasted defeat last
week, but similarities end there. That's because KSU's feisty effort at
Auburn confirmed reports from Big XII scouts that Wildcat roster has
sufficiently re-stocked with athletes under 2nd-year HC Prince. And if KSU's
blitz packages could keep Tiger QB Cox off balance for most of night, imagine
what havoc Cats might wreak against SJSU "O" that's forced back to drawing
board after hugely disappointing performance (mere 7 FDs) in blowout loss at
Arizona State. Meanwhile, after dealing with Auburn's voracious stop unit,
KSU soph QB Freeman and Wildcat infantry get to enjoy manpower advantage just
as Sun Devils did vs. undersized Spartan "D" at Tempe (33 FDs and 520
yards!).
10 *PENN STATE over Notre Dame
Late Score Forecast:
*PENN STATE 40 - Notre Dame 13
Penn State's offense picked up right where it left off at the end of last
season when sr. QB Anthony Morelli demonstrated why he was one of the most
prized recruits in the country a few years ago. Joe Paterno has surrounded
Morelli with speedy, talented weapons, and the Nittany Lion offensive line is
improved over last season despite losing star OT Levi Brown to the NFL. Penn
State has some technical edges in this game, as Paterno's bunch has covered
11 of last 15 laying double digits, and Lions figure to be especially focused
after absorbing a 41-17 shellacking at South Bend last season. Notre Dame is
obviously rebuilding, but the inability to slow GT RB Tashard Choice (196 YR)
indicates that Irish d.c. Corwin Brown's new 3-4 scheme might not be the cure
for an inexperience defensive line.
10 SOUTH CAROLINA over *Georgia
Late Score Forecast:
SOUTH CAROLINA 23 - *Georgia 17
SEC sources report that shrewd HC Spurrier stayed pretty vanilla in
lackluster 28-14 win vs. La.-Lafayette week ago. But Spurrier-who suffered
his 1st shutout in 197 games in 18-0 whitewash vs. Georgia year ago-will have
the full "fun and gun" package installed for unsuspended QB Mitchell, who
benefits from a stronger ground attack this time (with RBs Boyd & M. Davis)
after generating just 22 YR in '06 meeting. Meanwhile, don't expect Dawg QB
Stafford to have much time to survey field behind a young OL unable to
consistently pick up 'Cocks well-designed blitz packages. And a deeper, more
physical Carolina front 7 will keep UGA's quality RBs (198 YR in '06) under
control. And keep in mind, poised, tough-minded 'Cocks are just a blocked FG
away (vs. Florida LY) from reeling off 6 straight SEC road wins. Make that
7.
10 *ARKANSAS STATE over Memphis
Late Score Forecast:
*ARKANSAS STATE 26 - Memphis 20
CKO sources surprised Memphis is favored at all in this southern rivalry,
considering veteran, smartly-coached Arkansas State actually outgained
powerful Texas in confidence-building 21-13 loss in Austin week ago (Indians
also missed 2 FGs!). Memphis made valiant comeback try in 23-21 setback vs.
Ole Miss (trailed 21-0 at H), but Tigers could be missing ace RB Doss (knee
injury in 4th Q...on crutches following game). In any case, it's unlikely
Memphis' pass-happy spread (61 attempts vs. Rebels!) converts many big plays
vs. Indian 2ndary that pulled down 19 ints. LY & passed a major test vs.
Longhorns Colt McCoy. Meanwhile ASU's multi-talented QB Leonard (accounted
for 327 yds. vs. UT) & his balanced attack find seams in suspect Tiger
defense, just as Leonard did in LY's 26-23 upset (425 yds.; won on 56-yd.
Hail Mary pass on final play!). Roberts' squad covers its 5th in past 6
meetings.
10 MIAMI over *Washington
Late Score Forecast:
MIAMI 20 - *Washington 13
(Sunday, September 9)
CKO insiders from Florida report that head coach Cam Cameron has restored
faith and confidence in the Miami attack with his clever designs and
personnel moves (most importantly, QB Trent Green-a former Redskin by the
way). RB Ronnie Brown has had a fine preseason, and former Charger RB Jesse
Chatman has been a revelation in camp when spelling him. Scouts say team has
taken a liking to the encouraging Cameron after previously hanging the
nickname of "Nick-tator" on the intense, control-everything Nick Saban. And
free-agent addition OLB Joey Porter (arthro knee surgery in camp) reportedly
ready to contribute in opener. That means lots of pressure on young
Washington QB Jason Campbell, who missed time in summer due to a knee sprain.
TOTALS: OVER (43) in the Chicago-San Diego game-Careless turnovers by Rex,
combined with league-leading number of takeaways by defense helped Chicago
produce 11-4-1 "over" mark in regular season LY...OVER (44) in N.Y.
Giants-Dallas game-Potent receiving corps of both teams, plus injuries in
both secondaries, point to lots of production on Sunday Night Football.
HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games): RUTGERS (-16) vs. Navy (Friday
Night)-Ray Rice and Scarlet Knight offense is way too much for the rebuilding
Navy defense; few teams defend the Middie option as well as Rutgers...CENTRAL
MICHIGAN (-3.5) vs. Toledo-MAC champion Chippewas not nearly as bad as the
52-7 whoopin' they absorbed in Kansas; Toledo defense was way too lenient in
home opener vs. Purdue...OREGON (+8) at Michigan-Ducks' speed on offense
should exploit same flaws in Wolverine defense that Appalachian State
did...LA.-LAFAYETTE (+1) vs. Ohio-Ragin' Cajuns played better than expected
at South Carolina; boast more trickery on offense than Bobcats...BALTIMORE
(+2.5) at Cincinnati (Monday Night)-Cincy has three players suspended (WR C.
Henry, MLB O. Thurman, DE F. Rucker); Raven offense should get a big spark
from new RB McGahee.
posted by phantom
Sept. 4 2007 5:02pm -
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THE GOLD SHEET
College Analysis
KEY TO FOOTBALL ANALYSES
Home team in CAPS. *—indicates night game. Statistics after game writeups are listed in the following order: Score of game, first downs, rushing attempts/rushing yards, passes completed/passes attempted/passes intercepted/passing yards, and fumbles lost. In each statistical category the leader is listed first. Scores and pointspreads (in parentheses) are results of most recent meetings in series. P—Pick Game. SR—Series Record (official league games only), with team leading in series, number of games won, lost and tied. NL—No Line. OPR—Average Opponents’ Power Rating (at the time they met) of all TGS-rated teams played. TGS Key Releases are underlined and denoted with a star ().
Some frequently-appearing abbreviations. HC—Head Coach (also, college Homecoming Game, when listed in score line). “Oâ€â€”Offense. “Dâ€â€”Defense. DDs—Double Digits. OL—Offensive Line or Lineman. DL—Defensive Line or Lineman. KR-Kick Returner. o.c.—Offensive Coordinator. d.c.—Defensive Coordinator. YR—Yards Rushing. YP—Yards Passing. recs.—Receptions. ints.—Interceptions. STs—Special Teams. ypg—Yards per Game. ppg—Points per Game. ypc—Yards per Carry (or Catch, for receivers). LY—Last Year. TY—This Year. Y—Year or Years. TDP—Touchdown Passes. FA—Free Agent. SU—Straight Up. Games are listed in the Don Best rotation used in the majority of Las Vegas sportsbooks.
All score predictions are made with Las Vegas pointspreads and over-under lines in mind. Please note: All selections indicating a preference for the underdog do not necessarily forecast the underdog as the straight-up winner of the game. A predicted victory by the favorite of less than the pointspread on the game indicates the underdog is the preferred side in the game.
THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 6
*CINCINNATI 20 - Oregon State 17--If opening-night win over Utah any indication, hot-pursuing OSU "D" capable of taking pressure off still-evolving Beaver "O" and its rotating new QBs Canfield & Moevao. But Mike Riley's attack still minus extra gear that absent WR/KR Stroughter could provide. And even though Championship Subdivision SE Mizzou offered little resistance in opener, Cincy's Wake Forest transfer QB Mauk already quite comfy at controls for Bearcats. TV--ESPN (FIRST MEETING)
ADDED GAME
*LOUISVILLE 56 - Middle Tennessee St. 13--Former Cardinal HC Petrino was 16-2 vs. spread his last 18 at Papa John's Stadium. New mentor Kragthorpe has the offensive guns to continue that home dominance. Limited Sun Belt rep Middle Tennessee (just 18 YR in opener) can't play keepaway; can't keep pace. TV-ESPN2
(06-Lvl. 44-MTSU 17...L.26-15 L.31/186 M.35/83 L.17/32/1/340 M.17/34/1/167 L.1 M.0)
(06-Louisville -31 44-17 at Nashville, TN...SR: Louisville 1-0)
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 7
*RUTGERS 33 - Navy 16--We've seen Navy cover enough games for Paul Johnson to never underestimate Mids. And remember that Rutgers took advantage in Annapolis LY after Navy QB Hampton was KO'd in 1st Q. But Greg Schiano's "D" also held Mid option to its lowest rush total of '05 in win at New Brunswick. And emergence of WR Underwood (10 catches in opener) gives Scarlet Knights another weapon to stretch still-suspect Navy "D." CABLE TV--ESPN
(06-Rutgers 34-NAVY 0...R.14-9 R.33/124 N.50/113 R.15/26/1/215 N.4/16/0/48 R.2 N.1)
(06-Rutgers +2' 34-0 05-RUTGERS -6' 31-21 04-NAVY -3' 54-21...SR: Navy 11-10-1)
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 8
West Virginia 49 - MARSHALL 19--Crowd in Huntington will be at fever pitch for first visit from in-state big brother West Virginia since 1915 (Mountaineers won that meeting 92-6!). Doubt visitor will come close to hanging nearly a hundred again vs. aroused Thundering Herd defense. Still, scintillating White-Slaton duo figures to steadily stretch margin. WV scored at least 2 TDs in each quarter of last week's easy opening win vs. Western Michigan. CABLE TV--ESPN2
(06-W. VA. 42-Mar. 10...W.29-16 W.52/312 M.34/154 W.11/15/0/173 M.12/22/1/168 W.0 M.0)
(06-WEST VIRGINIA -22 42-10...SR: West Virginia 6-0)
NORTHWESTERN 30 - Nevada 18--Nevada "D" disappeared quicker than George W. Bush's support on Capitol Hill when getting overrun at Nebraska last week, and would expect Northwestern to employ similar smashmouth tactics vs. Nevada after it ran with some success at Reno LY. No QB edge for Wolf Pack like '06, either, with soph Graziano struggling to master Chris Ault's Pistol and Cats' jr. Bacher (23 of 29 in opener) now brimming with confidence.
(06-NE 31-Nw'stern 21...Nv.24-18 Nw.37/246 Nv.45/156 Nv.17/26/1/197 Nw.9/21/3/122 Nv.0 Nw.2)
(06-NEVADA -7 31-21...SR: Nevada 1-0)
Nebraska 34 - WAKE FOREST 23--Wake suffered key injuries (see Special Ticker) in last week's loss at BC, including nifty starting QB Skinner. That attrition notwithstanding, dangerous to lay inflated points against resourceful Deacons (2 defensive TDs vs. Eagles). However, balanced Husker attack (625 total yards vs. Nevada in opener!) will move ball effectively against vulnerable Wake stop unit.
TV--ESPN (05-NEBRASKA -6' 31-3...SR: Nebraska 2-0)
OKLAHOMA 22 - Miami-Florida 17--Sooner RS frosh RB Murray had 5 TDRs and classmate Bradford passed for 363 yds. and 3 TDs in OU's opening 79-10 rout of North Texas. But points won't come so easy for the youngsters vs. rejuvenated Miami, whose defense had 6 sacks in its 31-3 domination of Marshall in Randy Shannon's debut as HC. Mobility and experience of QB Freeman should help Hurricanes keep things tight as long as defense does its job. TV--ABC
(DNP...SR: Miami-Florida 3-2)
Miami-Ohio 31 - MINNESOTA 30--Minnesota's OT loss to Bowling Green last week troublesome on several levels. Gopher RS frosh QB Weber (15 of 31 passing with 2 costly ints.) clearly struggled in the "Spread Coast" attack, and the Minny defense showed graduation and suspensions have left its 2ndary vulnerable. Vet Miami-O. QB Kokal, RB Brandon Murphy (123 YR & 2 scores vs. Ball St.) and a vet OL capable of trading points with rebuilding Gophers. (DNP...SR: Minnesota 1-0)
Buffalo 20 - TEMPLE 19--Buffalo dropping back into its own class, and Bull defense won't have to contend with the likes of Ray Rice this week. Second-year HC Al Golden is doing some positive things at Temple, but Owls are young, and mistakes that plagued them last season continue. Buffalo HC Gill will find a way to pierce Temple "D" that allowed 6.0 ypc LY & 6.4 ypc vs. Navy.
(06-BUF. 9-Temple 3 (OT)...B.19-13 B.41/168 T.27/80 B.13/24/0/188 T.20/25/1/103 B.1 T.0)
(06-BUFFALO -6 9-3 (OT)...SR: Buffalo 2-0)
OHIO STATE 44 - Akron 10--Ohio State appears to have "reloaded" with Boeckman at QB, and receiving corp has been infused with explosive frosh Sanzenbacher & Taurian Washington. Akron WR Jabari Arthur was the difference in Zip win vs. Army with 11 catches, but big, veteran Buckeye 2ndary is the strength of OSU defense. Akron RB Dennis Kennedy was enrolled at OSU in 2004, but had he stayed in Columbus, he'd be buried on the depth chart. (DNP...SR: Ohio State 5-1)
VIRGINIA 35 - Duke 10--If beleaguered Cavalier HC Groh is possessed of any instinct for self-preservation, he'll clout downtrodden Duke in front of increasingly-disgruntled home faithful. But does UVa (just 89 total yards & 5 first downs in opening loss at Wyoming!) have enough firepower to cover substantial spread? Groh 26-11 vs. line at Charlottesville since 2001.
(06-Va. 37-DUKE 0...V.13-8 V.38/106 D.36/M21 V.16/23/0/147 D.11/25/3/121 V.1 D.2)
(06-Virginia -5' 37-0 05-VIRGINIA -24' 38-7 04-Virginia -25 37-16...SR: Va. 31-27)
Alabama 20 - VANDERBILT 19--Bama more varied offensively (used no-huddle & 3-WR sets in opener) under HC Saban. But would still take ascending, vet Vandy squad (17 starters back) that has covered 10 of last 12 in series (including 5 straight). 'Dores multi-talented QB Nickson (Bama product had 4 TDP vs. Richmond), who benefits from return of now-healthy RB Jennings (out LY; 6.1 ypc vs. Spiders), will hook up with uncoverable WR Bennett (95 grabs since '06) often enough to keep this one close.
(06-ALA. 13-Vandy 10...A.23-12 A.40/134 V.23/80 A.18/29/1/207 V.16/24/3/155 A.2 V.1)
(06-ALABAMA -15 13-10...SR: Alabama 58-19-4)
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 37 - Toledo 26--Both off ragged defensive efforts in openers, but feel CMU QB LeFevour and RB Ontario Sneed capable of doing more damage than visitor in new Chip HC Butch Jones' home debut. Toledo's defensive issues vs. the run obvious, allowing Purdue 7.1 ypc in 52-24 loss. CMU 6-0-1 vs. number last 7 hosting MAC foes.
(06-C. Mich. 42-TOLEDO 20...T.29-20 T.41/174 C.30/92 T.32/53/2/313 C.21/29/0/295 C.0 T.2)
(06-Cmu +2' 42-20 05-CMU +7' 21-17 04-TOLEDO -24 27-22...SR: Toledo 17-15-3)
MICHIGAN STATE 37 - Bowling Green 24--MSU shoved the ball down much smaller UAB's collective throats behind bruising RB Caulcrick last week, as the 255-lb. sr. scored 4 times in the first 18 minutes. However, vet Bowling Green defense more physically-equipped to slow Spartan attack. And Falcon QB Sheehan's passing effort at Minnesota (388 yds, 2 TDs, 0 ints.) an indication BG capable of trading points with new HC Dantonio's improved MSU bunch. (DNP...SR: Michigan State 1-0)
BAYLOR 26 - Rice 24--Baylor QB Szymanski suffered 3 ints. in 27-0 shutout at TCU, while Rice's Chase Clement had 3 in Owls' home loss to Nicholls State (fell 16-14 on a 4th-Q blocked punt out of the end zone for a safety!). Offensive edge to Rice (WR Jarrett Dillard had his string of TDCs snapped after at 15 games last week), but Bears have the better athletes on defense. Rice 5-1 as road dog LY. (DNP...SR: Baylor 44-30-2)
WYOMING 38 - Utah State 6--Well, in the glass-is-half-full category, at least USU's "O" showed a pulse in opener vs. UNLV after going all of September without scoring a TD in '06. But we're not about to drink the Aggie Kool-Aid just yet, certainly not traveling to Laramie venue where Dick Cheney's alma mater has covered last 6 vs. non-MWC foes. Fun time for Wyo QB Sween, who dissected an athletic Virginia "D" in opener.
(06-WYO. 38-Utah St. 7...W.31-5 W.51/221 U.26/55 W.18/27/1/239 U.10/22/1/74 W.2 U.0)
(06-WYOMING -12' 38-7...SR: Utah State 34-23-4)
KANSAS STATE 37 - San Jose State 13--San Jose's output of only 7 FDs in its 45-3 pummeling at Arizona State does not inspire much confidence vs. home-lovin' K-State (3-0 as home favorite under Ron Prince). Once Wildcats get their running game going (Spartans gave up 250 YR at Tempe), strong-armed KSU QB Freeman will have a plethora of opportunities. Wildcat defense kept Auburn QB Cox on the run for more than 3 Qs last week. (DNP...SR: San Jose State 1-0)
California 30 - COLORADO STATE 23--An early test for CSU's recuperative powers after bitter opening-week loss vs. rival Colorado. But Rams at least rediscovered some offensive balance with RB Bell (40 carries vs. Buffs!) back in fold after missing all of '06, allowing capable QB Hanie to dust off play-action once again. And let's say we'll be a bit surprised if Sonny Lubick gives Cal punt return ace Jackson a chance to alter the proceedings as Phil Fulmer mistakenly did at Berkeley. (DNP...SR: Colorado State 1-0)
MISSISSIPPI 31 - Missouri 30--If improving Ole Miss (led 21-0 vs. Memphis) is a home dog, favor aroused Rebels, who are primed to avenge 34-7 bashing at Mizzou LY. Ole Miss' new, steadier sr. QB Adams (19 of 30 for 201 vs. Tigers), slashing RB Green-Ellis (1079 YR last 1+) & mates will burn still-slowish Mizzou "D" that allowed Illinois' backup QB McGee to throw for 257 in 40-34 shootout.
(06-MO. 34-Miss. 7...Mo.26-10 Mo.42/218 Mi.28/72 Mo.25/41/0/253 Mi.13/29/3/90 Mo.1 Mi.0)
(06-MISSOURI -10 34-7...SR: Missouri 4-1)
BOSTON COLLEGE 27 - North Carolina State 20--Eagles sky high for early visit from former HC & new Wolfpack mentor O'Brien. All-ACC sr. QB Ryan had 408 YP and fired 5 TDP at trigger of new BC attack last week. Despite disappointing home loss to UCF in opener, O'Brien has top-notch RBs & lots of speed on defense. Soph QB Beck (Nebraska transfer) nearly led State all the way back from 25-3 halftime deficit in relief of struggling starter Evans vs. Golden Knights. CABLE TV--ESPN
(06-N. CAR. ST. 17-Bc 15...B.16-13 B.42/172 N.23/141 N.15/32/1/179 B.13/25/1/149 N.0 B.0)
(06-NCS +6' 17-15 05-BOS. COL. -4' 30-10...SR: EVEN 2-2)
EASTERN MICHIGAN 21 - Ball State 20--EMU QB Andy Schmitt & Eagle offense should find going a bit easier this week facing BSU defense that yielded 5.0 ypc & 240 ypg passing LY and lost its best defensive player in July workouts (MLB W. Brown; out for the season with a torn pectoral). Card QB N. Davis has an edge, but not willing to lay points on road with BSU.
(06-BALL ST. 38-E. Mich. 20...E.22-21 E.38/226 B.36/159 B.17/28/0/230 E.18/28/1/209 B.0 E.0)
(06-BSU -5 38-20 05-Bsu +6 26-25 04-Emu +7 31-24...SR: Ball State 26-20-2)
MICHIGAN 29 - Oregon 26--Humiliated Michigan eager to bounce back from one of the all-time upsets in college football. However, Oregon spread offense equipped to do many of the same things that fueled Appalachian State's big win, even though Wolverines sealed their own fate with mental mistakes and lack of intensity. Duck QB Dixon (141 YR vs. Houston) and strong supporting cast will do some damage against Michigan defense. (DNP...SR: Mich. 3-1)
Boise State 27 - WASHINGTON 26--U-Dub fans who took Barack Obama's best-selling Audacity of Hope to heart might be clamoring for a new chapter devoted to RS frosh QB Locker, who lived up to hype (and then some) in impressive debut at Syracuse. And even though Huskies' 2ndary issues were not exploited at Carrier Dome, we're not sure Boise's new 5th-yr. sr. starting QB Tharp and rebuilt Bronco receiving corps ready to take advantage. Note overvalued BSU just 5-10-1 vs. line last 16 as visitor. (FIRST MEETING)
TEXAS A&M 31 - Fresno State 9--Ground-oriented A&M seeking a more dynamic aerial game, but Aggies' ball-control approach should work vs. Fresno team that didn't exactly crush visiting Sacramento State, 24-3, in opener. With only one cover their last 15 games on the line, Bulldogs and jr. QB Brandstater (16 of 27 last week) must re-prove they can hang around with the "big boys." (FIRST MEETING)
*FLORIDA STATE 45 - Uab 3--Seminoles have been sub-par chalk last few seasons. But want no part of young, thin UAB squad that traveled only 67 scholarship players (18 fewer than NCAA limit) last week to Michigan State, where Blazers fell behind 42-0 mid-way thru 2nd Q. This is FSU's only game at Tallahassee during first month of campaign. CABLE TV--ESPNU
(04-FLORIDA STATE -22' 34-7...SR: Florida State 2-0)
*South Carolina 20 - GEORGIA 19--Points inviting with poised, road-tested South Carolina (9-2 vs. spread away under HC Spurrier!) back to full strength offensively with return of unsuspended, accurate sr. QB B. Mitchell (67% LY), who should move chains vs. reloading UGA defense (lost 8 starters). On other side, Dawgs green OL struggles to protect gifted QB Stafford vs. 'Cocks well-designed blitz packages, mainly unused vs. ULL's heavy option attack week ago. Spurrier, who nearly won at Florida LY, proves he's legit SEC contender. CABLE TV--ESPN2
(06-Ga. 18-S. CAR. 0...G.19-15 G.39/198 S.22/35 S.23/33/0/220 G.10/22/3/189 G.0 S.3)
(06-Uga -3 18-0 05-UGA -18 17-15 04-Uga -7' 20-16...SR: Georgia 44-13-2)
*PENN STATE 38 - Notre Dame 14--Rumors of Notre Dame's demise were evidently not greatly exaggerated. Inability to run or defend the run at home a sign it could be a long season for the Irish. Meanwhile, Penn State HC Paterno confident in his team this season, as 5th-year sr. QB Morelli fully in command of innovative o.c. Galen Hall's scheme, and OL much more efficient and disciplined than last season. Nittany Lions' looking for revenge, and Irish HC Charlie Weis isn't likely to get enough offensive relief from true frosh QB Clausen, especially with Beaver Stadium packed with 100,000 Penn State supporters. CABLE TV--ESPN
(06-N. DAME 41-Penn St. 17...P.25-22 P.33/158 N.36/110 N.25/36/0/287 P.24/41/1/225 N.0 P.2)
(06-NOTRE DAME -8' 41-17...SR: Notre Dame 9-8-1)
*UTAH 24 - Air Force 22--Well, we can think of a few people (Sen. Larry Craig and Wolverine coach Lloyd Carr come to mind) who had a worse week than Utah HC Whittingham, who lost his QB (B. Johnson) and top RB (touted juco Asiata) in opening loss at Oregon State. Can Utes extend margins with backup QB Grady at controls? Meanwhile, AFA sr. QB Carney effectively piloted new HC Calhoun's better-balanced Falc attack in opener, and competitive series history suggests "take."
(06-Utah 17-A. FORCE 14...U.21-17 U.35/119 A.41/116 U.24/38/0/236 A.16/22/0/218 U.0 A.0)
(06-Utah -1 17-14 05-UTAH -7 38-35 04-UTAH -21' 49-35...SR: Air Force 13-10)
*EAST CAROLINA 23 - North Carolina 16--New HC Butch Davis has quickly re-energized sagging Tar Heel program. While future looks bright for UNC, it's one of nation's youngest teams this season. ECU took the fight to fired up Va. Tech last week at Blacksburg. Pirates' veteran, athletic defensive front 7 very stout, new QB P. Pinkney showed plenty of poise vs. Hokies, and savvy HC Skip Holtz now 19-6 vs. spread. (DNP...SR: North Carolina 8-1-1)
UCLA 31 - Byu 10--Not to get too excited about opener vs. Stanford, but new-look UCLA "O" under 1st-year o.c. Norvell appears a lot snazzier than LY's choppy version. And while BYU is similarly encouraged by its win over Arizona, o.c. Anae admits new Coug QB Hall remains a work in progress, and vet Bruin "D" that shut down USC last December should prove difficult riddle to solve. Special game for UCLA QB Olson (5 TDP in opener!), an ex-BYU recruit who transferred to Westwood after LDS mission. (DNP...SR: UCLA 6-1)
*TENNESSEE 27 - Southern Miss 23--Sure, UT eager to bounce back from 45-31 setback at Cal. But still uncomfortable laying pts. in Knoxville, where overvalued Vols are a mere 7-22 as chalk since '02. USM's mature dual threat of QB Young & nifty RB Fletcher (1544 YR last 1+) find openings in UT defense that lacks proven pass rushers & still misses too many tackles, according to d.c. Chavis. Vol QB Ainge is sharp, but HC Fulmer unlikely to show full package with Florida showdown on deck.
(DNP...SR: Tennessee 4-0)
*TEXAS 27 - Tcu 12--First road start for TCU's RS frosh QB Dalton (52 TDP in HS), who was 18 of 30 in opener vs. Baylor. Things went swimmingly for Dalton and Horned Frogs in that 27-0 blanking, but out-scoring Colt McCoy (2 ints. last week) and Longhorns in Austin is a different deal. 2007 UT team far from a finished product, but sr. DTs Okam & Lokey will help Horns control line of scrimmage and put pressure on Dalton.
(DNP...SR: Texas 60-20-1)
*Mississippi State 21 - TULANE 20--MSU HC Croom's "hot seat" warming up again following mistake-fileld 45-0 blowout loss vs. LSU, but still can't support bumbling Bulldogs, who're just 3-22 SU on road since '02. MSU QB Henig's (school-record tying 6 "picks" vs. Tigers) confidence level at low ebb, and doubt smashmouth tactics work (only 98 YR LY) vs. veteran, deep Tulane front 7. New Wave HC Toledo owns a prime-time weapon in bruising 6-2, 225 RB Forte (859 YR).
(06-Tulane 32-MSU 29...M.18-17 T.36/129 M.32/98 T.16/24/0/298 M.18/35/1/252 T.1 M.1)
(06-Tulane +11 32-29 05-Msu -2' 21-14 at Shreve. 04-MSU -6' 28-7...SR: MSU 29-26-2)
*KENTUCKY 38 - Kent State 31--With Kent State's self-confidence rising following solid 23-14 victory at Iowa State, recommend taking number vs. offensively-dynamic UK team that still must prove itself on the defensive side (116th LY). Golden Flashes elusive jr. QB Edelman (accounted for 236 yds. vs. Cyclones) possesses weaponry (swift 5-5 RB Jarvis is hard to find) to trade most of way with Wildcats, who have a major lookahead vs. rival L'Ville next week. (DNP...SR: Kentucky 5-0)
*TEXAS TECH 38 - Utep 17--Can't expect UTEP RS frosh QB Vittatoe (only 6 of 21 in opener vs. New Mexico) to keep pace through the air with TT's Harrell (38 TDP in 2006). But Miner defense improved TY, and Oregon transfer Terrell Jackson (11 for 70 rushing in win over New Mexico) adds spark to ground game. Should Red Raiders lose Monday night opener at SMU, be mindful they're 21-7-1 vs. spread in ensuing game after a setback.
(06-Tex. Tech 38-UTEP 35 (OT)...T.29-26 U.26/120 T.18/103 T.40/53/1/376 U.35/52/2/375 T.0 U.0)
(06-Texas Tech -7 38-35 (OT)...SR: Texas Tech 11-6-1)
*WASHINGTON STATE 31 - San Diego State 23--We'll give SDSU and 2nd-year HC Chuck Long the benefit of the doubt after injuries qualified Aztecs for FEMA aid before Columbus Day LY. And with sr. QB O'Connell and rangy group of wideouts finally healthy, perhaps SDSU can do some business vs. rebuilt Wazzu 2ndary that was torched by Wisconsin QB Donovan in opener. Note that Cougs 0-4 vs. line in recent cross-state "home" games at Qwest Field. (at Seattle, WA) (FIRST MEETING)
*Hawaii 59 - LOUISIANA TECH 24--With Colt Brennan picking up where he left off in record-breaking '06 (6 TDP in 1st half of opener) and UH no longer cringing about trips to mainland after 4-0-1 spread mark on road LY, don't mind laying hefty price with Warriors. No resemblance between June Jones' Red Gun and Championship Subdivision Central Arkansas "O" that committed 6 TOs vs. La Tech "D" (which ranked last in '06!) in HC Dooley's Bulldog debut last week.
(06-HAWAII 61-La. Tech 17...H.27-21 L.41/135 H.12/112 H.30/44/1/506 L.17/38/2/225 H.1 L.0)
(06-HAWAII -37' 61-17 05-TECH -3' 46-14 04-HAWAII -4 34-23...SR: Hawaii 4-1)
*IOWA 31 - Syracuse 6--Orange OL was a sieve in opener, allowing 7 sacks in crushing home loss to Washington. Bad matchup for that unit against hard-charging, veteran Hawkeye defense. Retooling Iowa attack a work in progress, but RBs Young & Sims (combined for 254 YR last week) will wear down overworked Syracuse stop unit.
(06-Iowa 20-SYR. 13...I.18-14 I.33/134 S.32/58 S.19/32/0/186 I.14/28/4/178 I.0 S.0)
(06-Iowa -18 20-13 (OT)...SR: Iowa 2-1)
*WESTERN MICHIGAN 31 - Indiana 26--Indiana's tuneup vs. outclassed Ind. St. squad went well for the Hoosiers and provided a fitting tribute to coach Terry Hoeppner, who died on June 19. Indiana's productive big-play WRs Hardy & Bailey will challenge vet WMU defense that yielded 62 points to W. Virginia. Bronco QB Hiller has put on 15 lbs. in the weight room since his spectacular 2005 debut, and he should do better at home vs. Hoosiers now that he's shaken off the rust. CABLE TV--ESPNU
(06-IND. 39-W. Mich. 20...I.20-19 W.32/72 I.28/71 I.20/35/1/252 W.25/34/2/217 I.1 W.1)
(06-INDIANA -6' 39-20...SR: Indiana 3-0)
*South Florida 17 - AUBURN 14--Southern sources remain bullish on seasoned (16 starters back) USF squad, so must support Bulls, who believe they can "shock the world" again following upset at West Virginia late LY. USF's dangerous run-pass QB Grothe (turns 21 on this day) has the mobility to elude Auburn pass rushers, who must always be aware of new, potent RB Ford (former Bama signee). Rebuilt Tiger OL, which had headaches vs. Kansas State last week, has it no easier vs. USF's hard-charging front 7. Tuberville's squad has dropped 6 straight as home chalk. CABLE TV--ESPN2 (FIRST MEETING)
*LSU 23 - Virginia Tech 17--With fewer distractions this week, believe battle-tested VT (16 starters back) will have more focused effort in this crucial contest with national title implications. Hokies sr. QB Glennon, quick RB Ore, and corps of quality WRs an infinitely tougher test than pedestrian Miss. State was week ago. Tigers new QB Flynn hard-pressed to find comfort level vs. a fast, swarming VT defense (led nation LY). Crafty Beamer is 5-0 as underdog since '04. CABLE TV--ESPN (DNP...SR: Virginia Tech 1-0)
*NEW MEXICO 31 - New Mexico State 28--While Rocky Long's New Mexico "O" (only a pair of FGs in opening loss at UTEP) in another adjustment phase with its third o.c. in as many years, Hal Mumme's NMSU Air Raid ready to soar with prolific QB Holbrook (4 TDP in opener vs. SE La.) picking up where he left off in '06 when tossing 34 TDP. Still some leaks to be plugged in undersized Aggie stop unit, but back door wide open for potent rivalry dog.
(06-N. Mx. 34-NMS 28...S.29-15 U.26/109 S.30/60 S.37/57/1/472 U.12/28/0/317 U.0 S.4)
(06-Unm -6 34-28 05-UNM -22 38-21 04-Unm -6 38-3...SR: New Mexico 64-28-5)
*Wisconsin 40 - UNLV 10--Replacing John Stocco at QB isn't like replacing John Elway, but early indications are that Wiscy won't miss a beat with 5th-yr. sr. Donovan (3 TDP in opening win over Wazzu) at controls. And facing a real "D" might prove a bit more daunting for UNLV's green RS frosh QB T. Dixon, who's unlikely to compensate for his rudimentary understanding of Mike Sanford's Shotgun Spread with scrambles vs. Badgers as he did in Utah State opener.
(04-WISCONSIN -15' 18-3...SR: Wisconsin 5-2)
*ARIZONA STATE 30 - Colorado 19--Okay, CU apparently has a QB again in RS frosh Cody Hawkins (HC Dan's son), whose record since HS days now 60-0 (really!) after thrilling OT win over CSU. But Dennis Erickson must feel like he's won the lotto after inheriting full cupboard at ASU, and Pac-10 scouts also raving about improved Sun Devil "D" that throttled San Jose in opener. Unless oddsmakers overreact, not interested in bucking ASU at Tempe, where it is 12-3 vs. line last 15 vs. non-Pac 10 foes.
(06-Ariz. St. 21-COLO. 3...A.24-13 A.37/182 C.44/133 A.21/37/2/248 C.8/18/1/86 A.2 C.2)
(06-Arizona State -11 21-3...SR: Arizona State 1-0)
ADDED GAMES
CLEMSON 45 - La.-Monroe 13--Tigers off emotional Labor Day clash vs. rival Fla. State. Still, Clemson crushed outclassed Florida Atlantic, North Carolina, Louisiana Tech, and Temple by a combined 220-22 LY! More of same vs. severely outgunned Warhawks. (FIRST MEETING)
*FLORIDA 38 - Troy 16--With Florida mentor Urban Meyer holding back some with Tennessee battle on horizon, might take heavy lumber with athletic, fired-up Troy squad (loaded with native Floridians) that has excelled in this situation. Tough-minded Trojans 7-3 as a double-digit dog. Capable sr. QB Haugabook should sustain a few drives vs. youthful Gator defense facing 1st real test of '07. (FIRST MEETING)
*OKLAHOMA STATE 42 - Florida Atlantic 10--OSU's vaunted offense laid an egg in opener at Georgia, while new defensive coordinator Tim Beckman (from Ohio State) says Cowboys hurt themselves several times by blowing assignments. Look for defensive improvement in second game, while the Bobby Reid-Dantrell Savage-Adarius Bowman offense gets cooking at home. FAU improved, but Owls 0-7 last 7 vs. line when out of the Sun Belt.
(06-OK. ST. 48-Fla. Atl. 8...O.19-13 O.43/246 F.35/49 O.9/19/0/186 F.16/28/2/166 O.0 F.1)
(06-OSU -29' 48-8 05-Osu -14 23-3 at Dolphins Stadium...SR: Oklahoma St. 2-0)
*LA.-LAFAYETTE 24 - Ohio 19--Visiting Bobcats LY earned their first bowl invitation since 1968! However, no surprise if ULL's jr. QB Desormeaux & jr. RB Fenroy (combined 204 YR in last week's 28-14 loss at S. Carolina) find some holes in Ohio "D" that's trying to replace top 4 tacklers. (FIRST MEETING)
*Maryland 28 - FLORIDA INTL. 10--Hard to find any buy signs for FIU in last week's 59-0 shellacking at Penn State. However, don't trust Maryland (4-12 as favorite since 2004) laying substantial points on road.
(06-MARY. 14-Fiu 10...M.20-12 M.40/117 F.19/89 F.15/34/1/221 M.17/30/1/158 M.0 F.0)
(06-MARYLAND -20 14-10...SR: Maryland 1-0)
*ARKANSAS STATE 24 - Memphis 21--Scrappy Indians never quit in covering at mighty Texas last week. Memphis sr. QB Hankins (343 YP, 4 ints. in opener) is top offensive weapon on field. Tigers bent on revenge, but hard-pressed to get it if their trigger-happy QB digs them another early hole (as he did in last week's home loss to Ole Miss).
(06-Asu 26-MEM. 23...A.27-19 A.51/216 M.31/127 A.12/23/2/219 M.13/28/0/215 A.1 M.0)
(06-Asu +9 26-23 04-Memphis -24 47-35...SR: Memphis 27-21-5)
*SMU 42 - North Texas 13--Oklahoma gave new UNT HC Dodge, who was promoted directly from high school ranks, a rude introduction to college game, scorching his not-so-Mean Green for 79 points & 669 yards. Now, SMU gets payback for LY's disappointing loss, when then-RS frosh Mustang QB Willis (26 TDP, only 6 ints. in 2006) was still learning the ropes.
(06-N. TEXAS 24-Smu 6...N.15-14 N.38/168 S.32/111 S.20/29/2/159 N.12/17/0/145 N.1 S.1)
(06-NORTH TEXAS +4 24-6...SR: SMU 27-4-1)
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
MIAMI-OHIO by 1 over Minnesota
UCLA by 21 over Byu
SOUTH FLORIDA by 3 over Auburn
OKLAHOMA STATE by 32 over Florida Atlantic
posted by phantom
Sept. 4 2007 5:06pm -
0 likes
Phil Steeles Power Plays
4* Nebraska
4* Oklahoma
4* Ohio St
4* Virginia
4* Alabama
4* Oregon
4* Washington
4* Texas A&M
4* Penn State
4* Arizona State
4* Maryland
posted by phantom
Sept. 6 2007 5:37pm -
0 likes
Gator Report for Week of Sept 6-10
Gator's NCAA Game of the Week Report
Each week in this section Gator will provide his College Games of the Week which will include his Conference, Steamroller and Underdog PLUS Bonus Selections during the season.
SEC GOW (Saturday): South Carolina +5
Steamroller GOW (Saturday): Michigan State -18
Underdog GOW (Saturday): pass
__________________________________________________ ____________________
System Game of the Week:
Game: Nevada vs. Northwestern
System: Play On a College home favorite of 1+ points with less than 11 days rest seeking revenge for a non-Saturday road underdog SU loss in the previous match up last season and not off a SU loss. 18-1-1 ATS since 1991 averages covering the spread by 11.7 points per game.
Selection: Northwestern -8
posted by phantom
Sept. 6 2007 5:37pm -
0 likes
Greg Roberts
Roast of the Week (0-1) Hawaii 61-20 over LA TECH
Barking Dog (0-1) Kent St over KENTUCKY by 1
Totals Play (1-0) TEX / TCU under 44-
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 6 2007 5:37pm -
0 likes
Marc Lawrence also
College Football 2-Minute Handicap
Thursday, Sep 6th
Oregon St 6-1 L7 as RF’s… 1-6 Game two… 1-5 A off SU non conf home W… 3-7 A vs non conf opp
CINCINNATI 5-1 as non conf HD’s… 3-1 Game Two… 15-5 in 2nd of BB HG… 0-4 on weekdays… 3-7 bef Miami-Oh
Mid Tenn St 3-1 on Weekdays… 7-3 as dogs 20 > pts… 1-3 A off conf RG
LOUISVILLE 6-0 Game Two… 7-1 weekday HG… 5-1 as non conf favs 14 > pts… 4-1 in 2nd of BB HG
Friday, Sep 7th
Navy 6-1 as DD dogs… 1-3-1 Game two… 1-3 aft Temple… 1-3 on weekdays
RUTGERS SERIES: 5-1 L6 / 3-0 H… 3-1 H Game Two… 3-1 on Weekdays… 1-6 H vs non conf opp w/ rev… 1-4 as favs in 2nd of BB HG
Saturday, Sep 8th
W Virginia 6-1 Game two… 5-1 off SU home W 21 > pts… 6-2 as DD RF’s… 1-3 in 1st of BB RG
MARSHALL 3-0 Game Two… 5-1 in 1st of BB HG… 0-4 L4 as DD dogs… 0-2 vs Big East… 1-3 off SU road L 14 > pts
Nevada 4-1 Game Two… 1-5 A vs non conf opp… 2-5 in 2nd of BB RG
NORTHWESTERN 4-0 in 1st lined gm… 1-3 Game two… 3-7 H vs non conf opp
Nebraska 3-1 vs ACC… 1-5 Game Two… 2-8 off DD non conf home W
WAKE FOREST 0-3 Game Two… 1-7 H vs non conf opp… 1-6 in 1st of BB HG
Miami-Fla 2-0 vs Big 12… 15-6 Game Two (8-2 A)… 3-10 off SU win 20 > pts…2-6 dogs > 8 pts
OKLAHOMA 3-1 vs ACC… 5-2 H Game Two… 1-10 off SU W 21 > pts… 2-9 as non conf favs 14 < pts
Miami-Oh 1-5 A vs non conf opp… 1-3 dogs in Game Two
MINNESOTA 4-1 Game Two… 5-12 in 2nd of BB HG
Buffalo 4-1 in 2nd of BB RG… 0-3-1 aft Rutgers… 2-6 vs opp w/ rev… 1-3 Game Two
TEMPLE 7-1 in 2nd of BB HG… 4-1 as fav/dog 4 < pts… 7-2 H w/ rev… 1-4 Game Two
Akron 3-1 Game Two…3-1 A vs non conf opp… 5-2 dogs 21 > pts… 3-7 dogs in 2nd of BB RG
OHIO ST 5-0 in 1st lined gm… 4-0 in 2nd of BB HG… 1-4 favs 21 > pts vs MAC… 1-3 Game Two
Duke 7-1 A Game Two… 4-1 RD’s 24 < Pts w/ conf rev… SEPT: 3-12… 4-13 off non conf home L
VIRGINIA SERIES: 3-0 L3 / 3-1 H… 5-0-1 in 1st conf gm… 4-1 favs vs conf opp w/ rev… 6-2 H in between RG… 1-3 Game Two
Alabama 5-1-1 A vs conf opp w/ rev… 4-1 A bef BB HG… 3-1 bef Arkansas… 8-3 as RF’s < 6 pts… 2-6 in 1st lined gm
VANDERBILT SERIES: 9-2-1 L12 / 4-1-1 H… 5-0 Game Two… 1-6 in 2nd of BB HG… 1-4 bef Mississippi… 1-4 H w/ conf rev… 4-10 as conf dogs 6 < pts
Toledo 10-3 w/ conf rev… 3-1 aft Big 10 opp… 1-6 in 1st of BB RG… 1-3 in 1st RG
C MICHIGAN SERIES: 3-0 L3… 8-0-1 in 1st lined gm… 6-0 Game Two… 5-0 vs conf opp w/ rev… 4-0 as conf HF’s
Bowling Green 5-1 A vs Big 10… 3-1 in 2nd of BB RG… 0-2 Game Two… SEPT: 1-4-1 A
MICHIGAN ST 1-9 H off non conf home W… 1-4 Game Two… 3-8 favs on 2nd of BB HG
Rice 4-0-1 Game Two… 6-1 A in between HG… 5-1 A bef Texas Tech… 1-3-1 vs Big 12…
BAYLOR SERIES: 3-0 L3… 5-1 as non conf HF’s… 3-1 aft RG vs TCU… 0-4 in 1st of BB HG… 1-3 Game Two
Utah St 4-1-1 Game Two… 0-2 aft UNLV… 1-6 in 1st of BB RG… 3-12 as non conf RD’s < 27 pts
WYOMING SERIES: 3-0 L3… 4-0 as non conf favs… 4-0 H Game Two… 4-1 favs 10 > pts… 1-3 in 2nd of BB HG
San Jose St 1-6 off SU non conf road L 14 > pts… 3-9 Game Two… 2-6 dogs in 2nd of BB RG
KANSAS ST 6-0 in 1st of BB HG… 9-3 in 1st lined gm… 1-3 Game Two
California 4-1 Game Two… 6-2 off non conf home W… 1-7 as non conf RF’s… 1-4 vs Mountain West
COLORADO ST 9-3 L12 as HD’s… 0-2 H Game Two… 1-7 aft Colorado… 1-4 vs Pac 10
Missouri 4-1 aft Illinois… 1-7 Game Two… 1-6 in 2nd of BB RG… 1-5 A vs non conf opp
MISSISSIPPI 1-8 Game Two… 1-7 aft Memphis… 1-5-1 H vs non conf opp… 2-6 bef Vanderbilt
NC State 7-0 as dogs 8 > pts… 0-4 Game Two… 1-4 A vs conf… 3-10 vs con opp w/ rev
BOST COLL SERIES: Host 2-0… 4-0 Game Two… 7-3 favs 4 > pts in 2nd of BB HG… 0-2 aft Wake Forest… 2-5 H w/ conf rev
Ball St SERIES: 3-1 L4 A… 4-0 aft Mia-Oh… 2-0 Game Two… 4-1 favs vs conf opp w/ rev… 3-8 in 1st of BB RG (but 3-0 L3)
E MICHIGAN 4-1 H in between RG… 8-4 w/ conf rev… 1-5 Game Two… 2-6 bef N Illinois
Oregon 3-0 A Game Two… 2-0 bef Fresno St… 7-1 A vs non conf opp… 6-2 dogs 8 > pts
MICHIGAN 3-1 bef HG vs Notre Dame… 5-2 in 1st lined gm… 0-6 in 2nd of BB HG… 0-4 vs Pac 10… 0-3 Game Two… 1-6 H vs non conf opp
Boise St 4-0 vs Pac 10… 3-0 Game Two… 2-0 bef Wyoming… 4-1 as RF’s 10 < pts… 3-7 A in between HG
WASHINGTON 0-4-1 Game Two… 2-6 in 1st of BB HG… 2-6 H vs non conf opp (*but 2-0 as dogs)… 2-5 vs WAC
Fresno St 4-1 as dogs > 14 pts… 3-1-1 in 1st of BB RG… 5-2 as non conf RD’s… 0-2 Game Two
TEXAS A&M 5-0 H vs non conf opp… 4-0 vs WAC… 3-0 Game Two… 5-2-1 in 2nd of BB HG… 1-6 in 1st lined gm
Uab 6-3 dogs 20 > pts… 6-3 A vs non conf opp… 1-4 Game Two… 1-3 in 2nd of BB RG
FLORIDA ST 4-1 as non conf favs 20 > pts… 3-1 in 1st lined gm… 2-6 Game Two… 2-5 aft Clemson
S Carolina 4-1 w/ conf rev… 3-1 Game Two… lost 18-0 to Dawgs in home opener LY
GEORGIA SERIES: 8-4 L12 H… 8-2 off SUATS non conf home W… 0-3 H Game Two… 1-5 H vs con opp w/ rev… 1-5 in 2nd of BB HG
Notre Dame 6-1 in 1st of BB RG… 4-1 Game Two… 10-4 bef Michigan… 1-6 vs Big 10 opp w/ rev
PENN ST SERIES: 3-1 L4 / 4-1 L5 H… 5-1 H w/ rev… 1-6 Game Two… 1-5 as non conf favs 10 < pts… 3-7 in 2nd of BB HG
Air Force SERIES: 5-0 A… 9-1 Game Two… 0-4 as dogs w/ rev… 1-3 bef TCU… 2-5 A vs conf opp
UTAH 8-1-1 Game Two… 4-1 vs conf opp w/ rev… 6-2 in 1st of BB HG… *2-9 as HF’s 7 < pts
N Carolina SERIES: Visitor 2-0… 8-3 A vs non conf opp… 1-5 Game Two… 1-4 in 1st lined gm… 1-4 bef Virginia
E CAROLINA 5-0 H vs non conf opp… 3-0 Game Two… 5-1 vs ACC opp… 3-1 in 1st of BB HG… 0-5 aft Va Tech
Byu 4-1-1 A vs Pac 10 opp… 7-2 Game Two… 16-5 in 1st of BB RG (7-0 as dogs)
UCLA SERIES: 5-1 L6… 5-1 vs Mountain West opp… 2-6 aft Stanford… 4-10 H in between RG
S Mississippi 4-1 Game Two… 7-2 in 1st of BB RG… 3-9 vs SEC opp… 2-5 bef E Carolina
TENNESSEE 0-9-1 H in between RG… 2-10 L12 as DD favs… 2-9-1 Game Two… 2-6 vs CUSA opp… 1-4 bef Florida
Tcu 7-1 vs Big 12 opp… 9-3 as DD dogs… 1-4 A Game Two… 3-9 in 1st of BB RG
TEXAS SERIES: 7-2-1 L10… *8-3 as non conf DD favs… 1-4 in 2nd of BB HG… 1-3 Game Two
Miss St SERIES: 7-2 L9… 3-1 A w/ non conf rev… 5-2 bef Auburn… 1-6 in 1st of BB RG… 2-11 Game Two… 2-6 aft LSU
TULANE 1-9 H vs SEC opp… 1-7 dogs 7 < pts… 1-6 Game One… 1-6 dogs vs non conf opp w/ rev
Kent St 4-0 in 2nd of BB RG… 5-1 A vs non conf opp
KENTUCKY 5-1 favs in 2nd of BB HG… *0-3 favs 7 > pts… 1-3 vs MAC opp… 2-6 in 1st lined gm… 2-5 Game Two
Utep 6-1 as dogs 17 > pts… 5-1 w/ non conf rev… 4-1 dogs in Game Two… 2-9 aft N Mexico… 3-10 A vs non conf opp
TEXAS TECH 6-1 H vs non conf opp… 5-1 in 1st HG… 6-2 as HF’s 17 > pts… 3-10 bef Rice… 1-3 Game Two
San Diego St 6-1 as non conf RD’s 7 > pts… 0-6 in 1st of BB RG… 1-7 vs Pac 10 opp… 1-3 Game One
WASH ST 6-1 Game Two… Host is 0-4 vs Mountain West opp… 2-5 off SU DD L
Hawaii SERIES: 4-1 L5… 1-4 as favs in Game Two… 1-3 in 1st lined gm… 3-8 A vs con opp / rev
LA TECH 3-0-1 in 2nd of BB HG… *3-1 as HD’s 7 > pts… 5-2 in 1st lined gm… 1-5 as dogs w/ conf rev… 2-6 Game Two
Syracuse 3-0 Game Two… 5-1 A vs n on conf opp… 7-3 as dogs w/ non conf rev
IOWA 5-1 in 1st lined gm… 4-1 bef Iowa St… 0-3 Game Two… 1-5 vs non conf opp w/ rev
Indiana 1-5-1 Game Two… 1-6 as fav/dog 4 < pts… 2-6 A vs non conf opp… 2-5 in 1st lined gm
W MICHIGAN 3-1 vs Big 10 opp… 3-1 as HF/HD 4 < pts… 0-3 H off SU road L 20 > pts… 1-4 Game Two… 1-3-1 in 1st lined HG
S Florida 0-4 A in between HG… 0-3 vs SEC opp… 0-2 Game Two… 1-5 as non conf dogs 14 < pts… 1-3 in 1st lined gm
AUBURN 5-1 Game Two… 0-4 as non conf favs 14 < Pts… 0-3 vs Big East opp… 2-8 bef HG vs Miss St
Virginia Tech 4-0 aft E Carolina… 9-1 Game Two… 7-1 A in between HG… 5-2 vs SEC opp
LSU 12-2 Game Two… 9-2 H vs non conf opp… 4-1 in 1st of BB HG… 1-4 off SU road W 17 > pts
New Mexico St SERIES: 3-1-1 L5 / 3-1 L4 A… 3-0 w/ non conf rev… 0-3 bef UTEP… 1-9 A in between HG… 1-5-1 on 1st lined gm
NEW MEXICO 1-7 aft UTEP… 1-5 as favs 7 > pts… 2-7-1 Game Two… 1-3 in 1st HG… 3-7 H in between RG
Wisconsin 2-0 A Game Two… 9-2 A in between HG… 4-1 as non conf favs 8 > pts… 1-8 as DD RF’s
UNLV SERIES: 2-0 L2… 5-0 bef Hawaii… 6-1 as DD HD’s… 0-3 H Game Two… 2-5 in 1st of BB HG… 3-8 as non conf dogs
Colorado 4-1 as dogs w/ non conf rev… 3-1 A Game Two… 1-4 dogs in 2nd of BB RG… 3-9 vs Pac 10 opp
ARIZONA ST 3-0 vs non conf opp w/ rev… 5-1 as DD favs… 3-1 vs Big 12 opp… 5-2 as favs in 2nd of BB HG… 1-4 favs Game Two
ADDED GAMES
La-Monroe 6-1 in 1st of BB RG… SEPT: 5-2 away… 7-3 as non conf RD’s 15 > pts… 1-4 off SU non conf home L
CLEMSON 3-0 vs Sunbelt opp… 4-1 H Game Two… 7-3 as non conf favs 17 > pts… 4-11 aft Florida St
Troy 5-0 as dogs 28 > pts… 0-4 off DD SU non conf L… 2-5 A vs non conf opp
FLORIDA 4-0 Game Two… 5-1 bef Tennessee… 6-1 in 2nd of BB HG… 5-1 in 1st lined gm… 8-2 as favs 28 > pts
Florida Atl 0-6 A vs non conf opp.. 0-5 in 1st of BB RG… 0-2 Game Two… 1-5 off non conf HG
OKLAHOMA ST 4-0 vs non conf opp w/ rev… 12-3 as favs 17 > pts… 3-1 Game Two… 0-7 as favs off SU non conf road L
Ohio U 2-0 Game two… 1-3 in 1st lined gm… 2-8 A vs non conf opp… 2-5 in 1st of BB RG… *3-7 L10 as RF’s
LA-LAFAYETTE 4-1-1 L6 as HD’S… *0-5 off SU L 21 > pts… 1-5 Game Two… 3-7 in 1st of BB HG
Maryland 9-3 as non conf RF’s… 0-5 in 1st lined gm… 0-4 Game Two… 0-3 bef West Virginia… 2-5 as favs 17 > pts
FLORIDA INTL 0-6 off SU L 21 > pts… 0-3 bef BB RG… 0-4 as non conf dogs 20 > pts… 1-2 Game Two
Memphis 4-1 Game Two… 0-6 A in between HG… 1-6 as favs 8 < pts… 2-6 favs w/ non conf rev… 3-8 aft Mississippi
ARKANSAS ST SERIES: 4-1 L5… 7-1 H vs non-conf opp… 3-1 in 1st of BB HG… *7-2 off SU L 21 > pts… 0-5 Game Two
N Texas 2-0 bef Fla Atlantic… 4-2 Game Two… 0-3 A off SU L 28 > pts… 1-5 in 2nd of BB RG
SMU 4-1 as favs 4 > pts… 7-1 in 2nd of BB HG… 0-3 aft Texas Tech… 2-7 Game Two
posted by phantom
Sept. 6 2007 5:38pm -
0 likes
GOLD SHEET
KEY RELEASES
College---Miami-OH, UCLA, S. Florida, Ok. State
Pro---Steelers, Raiders, OVER Titans/Jags
XTRA
College---UVA, NCST, OLE Miss, VTech
Pro---OVER ARIZ/SF
CKO
College---11-Kansas St, 10-PSU, 10-S. Carolina, 10-Ark State
Pro---10-Dolphins
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 6 2007 5:38pm -
0 likes
power sweep 9-8-07
college key selections
4* miss. st 24-10
3* baylor 30-16
3* fsu 52-3
2* e. michigan 20-18
2* penn st 34-3
2* washington 30-27
underdog of the week s. florida 16-15
posted by phantom
Sept. 6 2007 5:39pm -
0 likes
power sweep 9-8-07
college key selections
4* miss. st 24-10
3* baylor 30-16
3* fsu 52-3
2* e. michigan 20-18
2* penn st 34-3
2* washington 30-27
underdog of the week s. florida 16-15
nfl selections
4* jacksonville 27-7
3* san diego 20-7
2* houston 16-6
2* cleveland 16-13
totals
3* kc under
3*oakland under
3* denver over
2* cleveland under
2* atlanta under
posted by phantom
Sept. 6 2007 5:40pm -
0 likes
Doc's phone service 3* Cinn
Northcoast top oppinion Saints & Oregon st Over
posted by diceday
Sept. 6 2007 6:32pm -
0 likes
SportsMemo
Best Bets:
Cash: UMiami
Jones: Indiana W Mich Over
Jay: Colorado State
Teddy: Cal / Colo St Over
Erin: Bowling Green
Crow: Oklahoma State
Black: New Mexico State
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 4:58pm -
0 likes
Winning Points
NCAA Best Bets: 4* Northwestern, 3* Penn State
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 5:03pm -
0 likes
SportsReporter
College Best Bets: Northwestern, MiamiOhio, Buffalo, Michigan
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 5:03pm -
0 likes
The Red Sheet
89-N"western
89-ASU
88-TTech
88-PSU
88-Hawaii
88-Chargers
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 11:17pm -
0 likes
Dr Bob 2 Star Selection
**Navy 23 RUTGERS (-16.5) 30
04:00 PM Pacific, 07-Sep-07
Rutgers dominated a pretty good Navy team last season, winning 34-0 as a 2 point do in Annapolis. However, that was the game in which Navy starting quarterback Brian Hampton was injured and inexperienced Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada was forced into action running the option against a very good Scarlet Knights defense. Navy was held to negative passing yards after Hampton went out and the option was stopped dead in its tracks. Kaheaku-Enhada rebounded from that game and ended the season in fine fashion, so expect different results this year from the Middies’ offense. Navy ran for 5.8 yards per rushing play at Rutgers in 2005 against a good Scarlet Knights’ defense, so the option can work against Greg Schiano’s defense. Rutgers’ offense should also work well as the Knights’ good all-around attack should move the ball at a good rate against a mediocre Navy stop unit. However, my ratings only favor Rutgers by 14 points and the line on this game has gone up considerably from the opening number of 12 ½ points. The line value is nice, but the reason for the play is an 82-31 ATS game 2 situation and a 49-17-2 ATS game 2 situation that both apply to Navy. I certainly don’t mind going with a Navy squad that is 73-33-1 ATS in regular season games away from home, including 23-9 ATS under coach Johnson and 45-18 ATS as an underdog of more than 7 points. I’ll take Navy in a 2-Star Best Bet at +14 points or more and for 3-Stars at +17 points or more.
2 Star Selection
**Oregon 31 MICHIGAN (-8.0) 30
12:30 PM Pacific, 08-Sep-07
First off, Michigan’s loss to Appalachian State was not nearly the biggest upset ever – not even close. Appalachian State has won the Division 1AA Championship in each of the last two years and they rated at just better than an average Division 1A team last season. I would have made Michigan a 17 ½ point favorite last week and it’s not all that unlikely to have a 17 ½ point favorite lose straight up. I was a little upset about the upset loss since I was looking forward to playing against the overrated Wolverines. I had Michigan rated 19th in my ratings to start the season, so I knew there was going to be some value playing against them early on. The loss last week took away a lot of that value, which is too bad. However, there are still reasons to play against Michigan this week. Oregon, like Appalachian State, has a quick quarterback that can pass and run equally well in Dennis Dixon, and the Ducks have plenty of speed at the skill positions on offense too. That sort of speed gave Michigan trouble last week and it will probably give the Wolverines trouble again this week. However, Michigan’s offense looked as good as I figured it would look last week and they’ll be able to run the ball pretty easily against an Oregon defense that was 0.4 yards per rushing play worse than average last season and allowed 326 rushing yards at 6.8 yprp to Houston last week. That figure is actually not all that horrible given that Houston running back Anthony Alridge, who ran for 205 yards on 22 carries, has now run for 1161 yards on just 117 carries (9.9 ypr!!!) since last season and Houston has averaged 6.5 yprp since game 8 of last season when Alridge was moved from receiver to tailback. In other words, allowing 6.8 yprp to a team that has averaged 6.5 yprp over their last 8 games is not all that bad. Still, Michigan should run for about 6 ypr in this game. The good news for Ducks’ fans is that their pass defense has been 1.3 yards per pass play better than average in each of the last two seasons and should be just as good this year. More good news comes from the fact that Oregon’s offense, which I rate as better than Michigan’s offense, should move the ball well against an inexperienced Michigan defense that was shredded for 5.9 yppl last week. My ratings favor Michigan by 5 points in this game and Oregon applies to a solid 82-31 ATS game 2 non-conference underdog angle. People seem to might think that Michigan is due to bounce back strong after last week’s embarrassing loss (the line has gone up from -7 to -8), but you should think otherwise. Teams that lose their opening game at home as a favorite or in a game in which there was no line (most likely would have been favored in such games since no lined games are generally against Division 1AA teams) are just 20-39 ATS as a favorite in game 2. Also, teams that lose a game in which there was no line (once again, these are mostly against lesser teams) are only 30-62-2 ATS as a favorite or as a dog of 2 points or less the next week, including 8-38 ATS in the first 4 games of the season (1-22 ATS in early season non-conference games). I’ll take Oregon in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more and a Strong Opinion at +5 to +6 ½ points.
2 Star Selection
**South Carolina 27 GEORGIA (-4.0) 24
02:45 PM Pacific, 08-Sep-07
My preseason ratings had South Carolina a few points better than Georgia, but the Bulldogs impressed me with their 35-14 win over a potent Oklahoma State team and it appears their inexperienced defense (just 3 returning starters) is just as good as last year’s strong unit (1.1 yards per play better than average). I had already figured that sophomore quarterback Matthew Stafford would be significantly better than he was as a freshman starter and he was as sharp as expected. Georgia’s rushing attack, however, took a major hit when last year’s leading rusher Kregg Lumpkin was injured after just 3 carries. The Bulldogs struggled to run the ball against a mediocre Oklahoma State run defense, averaging just 3.5 yards per rushing play on 45 runs. South Carolina’s weakness defensively is defending the run, which Georgia may not be able to take advantage of. The Gamecocks are solid defending the pass, but Georgia has an edge through the air and should move the ball pretty well in this game. South Carolina should also move the ball well with quarterback Blake Mitchell back from his one game suspension. Mitchell came back from an ankle injury late last season and it became obvious that he had finally learned the nuances of coach Steve Spurrier’s system. Mitchell averaged 8.3 yards per pass ply on 211 pass plays against a schedule of teams that would combine to allow just 5.6 yppp to an average quarterback. I don’t expect numbers quite that good without Sydney Rice to throw to this season, but Mitchell should be one of the best quarterbacks in the nation. My ratings favor Georgia by just 3 points and the South Carolina applies to a 95-43-1 ATS revenge situation and a solid 49-17-2 ATS game 2 situation. The Gamecocks were in look-ahead mode last week against lowly UL Lafayette, but they’ll bring the ‘A’ game today and I’ll take South Carolina in a 2-Star Best Bet at +4 points or more (a Strong Opinion at +3 ½ or +3).
2 Star Selection
**TULANE 24 Mississippi St. (-6.5) 23
04:00 PM Pacific, 08-Sep-07
Last week’s 0-45 home loss to LSU is not a good omen for Mississippi State this week. I know that Tulane is not LSU, but laying points on the road is a lot to ask of a team that was shutout in their opener and also lost at home as an 11 point favorite to the Green Wave last season. Mississippi State applies to a negative 3-20 ATS subset of a 30- 80-3 ATS game 2 situation while Tulane applies to a 69-19-1 ATS situation. Some people think that having a game under your belt is an advantage, but that just isn’t the case. Mississippi State has no film on Tulane’s new offensive and defensive schemes, while Bob Toledo and company have film to study. Supporting my claim is the fact that teams that lose their opening game are just 49-75-1 ATS in their next game against a team playing their first game of the season, including just 2-15 ATS as a road favorite. My ratings favor Miss State by 6 points, so the line is fair, and the situation is strongly in favor to Tulane. I’ll take Tulane in a 2-Star Best Bet at +6 points or more and for 3- Stars at +7 or more (Strong Opinion from +4 to +5 ½ points).
2 Star Selection
**Virginia Tech 17 LSU (-12.5) 20
06:15 PM Pacific, 08-Sep-07
It appears as if the week 1 results have influenced the line way to much in this game, as LSU probably would have been about a 6 or 7 point favorite prior to last week’s games being played. LSU started off the season on Thursday night and destroyed Mississippi State 45-0 on the road while Virginia Tech struggled at home against East Carolina before winning 17-7. LSU’s win was not all that impressive given that their offense only averaged 4.8 yards per play. The Tigers’ defense was certainly great, allowing just 2.6 yppl, but they’re not going to be +7 in turnover margin every week and the +2.2 yppl differential was about what was expected. Virginia Tech only out-gained ECU 4.3 yppl to 4.0 yppl but the emotions surrounding that game could have taken some of the Hokies’ focus away from their opponent. Virginia Tech’s offense struggled, but East Carolina has a good defense and we know that Virginia Tech’s offense isn’t any worse than last year’s mediocre unit given their 8 returning starters (including the quarterback and leading rusher). We also know that Virginia Tech’s defense was the best in the nation last year and is one of the top 3 units this season (along with USC and LSU). LSU’s offense struggled last week and new starting quarterback Matt Flynn is likely to struggle even more against Virginia Tech’s strong stop unit just as the Hokies are likely to struggle against LSU’s defense. In a battle between two great defensive teams taking the points looks like the way to go. My ratings only favor LSU by 8 ½ points after making adjustments based on last week’s games and taking strong defensive teams getting more than a touchdown is generally a good bet. Virginia Tech is 7-1 ATS as an underdog the last 6 seasons and 62% over 20 years while the Hokies are also 20-3 ATS in their last 23 regular season non-conference games when not favored by 25 points or more. In addition to the line value and team trends Virginia Tech also applies to a 41-12-2 ATS game 2 situation and I’ll take Virginia Tech in a 2-Star Best Bet at +10 points or more.
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 11:18pm -
0 likes
RAS "Early Looks" - Week 2 - Four Plays
Buffalo at Temple (-3) - 10:00am Pacific - Game #319-320
Popular second year head coach Al Golden has Temple going in the right direction. Most power ratings have Temple just a few points better than where they ended last season, but I am convinced they have improved by at least a touchdown. They showed many signs of life in season opener vs Navy losing 30-19 after losing 42-7 to them at the end of last season. Owl junior QB Adam DiMichele completed 21 of 29 and showed good leadership qualities. Speedster Travis Shelton is one of the best all purpose talents in the MAC and may single handedly be the difference maker in this game. Buffalo also has a second year coach in Turner Gill who is also trying to turn around a longtime doormat program. Gill has much less to work with in terms of location and facilities, and is taking more of a long term approach by mostly avoiding JC transfers. Buffalo did not show many positive signs in 45-3 loss to Rutgers in week one. Bulls top receiver Terrance Breaux (knee) missed the game and remains a reserve on the team depth chart as of this writing. Temple lost in overtime at Buffalo last season but has gained much more ground since then and gets to play host this time. Give the points.
RAS Early Look: Temple -3 1/2 UNIT
California at Colorado State (+15) - 11:00am Pacific - Game #337-338
The Rams played very well vs Colorado in season opener but let a likely win slip away in the second half before losing in overtime. Despite the loss this is clearly going to be one of Sonny Lubick's better Colorado State teams. Senior QB Caleb Hanie was very impressive in the opener going 20-of-27 with 3 touchdowns. Senior TE/HB Kory Sperry emerged as an impact player with 100+ receiving yards and 3 touchdown catches. Sperry's career has been disappointing but he appears ready for a break out season. RB Kyle Bell returned from a one year absence due to injury to rush for 135 yards. The Rams defense was very respectable allowing 330 total yards despite being caught off guard by some new formations early on. Cal is coming off an emotional revenge win over Tennessee on national television. The Bears capitalized on fumble and punt returns for touchdowns in the first half of a 14 point win. Cal features a formidable offense but their defense is still very suspect. Expect Colorado State to move the ball consistently and score enough points to keep this game competitive. This will be CSU's biggest non-conference home game in years and they are 9-4 ATS as a home dog under Lubick. Take the points..
RAS Early Look: Colorado State +15 1/2 UNIT
North Carolina at East Carolina (-3.5) - 3:00pm Pacific - Game #359-360
East Carolina was so bad in 2003-04 that oddsmakers are still having a tough time catching up. The Pirates have come a long way under third year head coach Skip Holtz. They faced an almost unwinnable situation at Virginia Tech last week but if not for throwing an interception runback for a touchdown, they would have taken the Hokies down to the wire as a +28 dog. East Carolina actually outrushed Virginia Tech 142 to 33, demonstrating their much improved size and strength. Junior QB Patrick Pinkney has been plagued by injuries throughout his career and was 3rd string prior to the season opener, but was impressive off the bench vs an outstanding Hokie defense. He completed 56% of his passes for 115 yards with no turnovers while rushing for another 48. Holtz was so pleased with his play that on Sunday he named Pinkney the starter for next week over projected starter Rob Kaas who was suspended for the opener. UNC is very young and in rebuilding mode under new head coach Butch Davis following a hapless 3-9 season (wins vs Furman, NC State, and Duke). The Tar Heels had twelve players (all underclassmen) make their first start in win over 1-AA James Madison last week. UNC has a redshirt freshman at QB and was held to 2.9ypc (no sacks) on the ground. UNC starting center Lenahan (calf) and starting LB Rice (high ankle sprain) left the game with injuries. East Carolina cherishes the rare opportunity to host ACC rivals and went 2-0 SU and ATS vs Virginia and at NC State last season. The Pirates are 19-5 ATS overall under Holtz. Give the points.
RAS Early Look: East Carolina -3.5 1/2 UNIT
BYU (+8.5) at UCLA - 3:30pm Pacific - Game #361-362
The Cougars are not getting due respect for the current run they are on. They have won eleven games in a row, with the last two being dominating wins over Pac-10 teams, 38-8 vs Oregon in the Las Vegas Bowl, and 20-7 over Arizona to open the season last week. The win over the Wildcats was much more impressive than the final score indicates. BYU had twice as many first downs and 140 more total yards despite finishing -1 in turnover ratio. Arizona's only points came with under a minute to play. BYU QB Max Hall had a solid debut (26 for 39, 288 yards, no INT) vs an excellent Arizona defense. Meanwhile, BYU's unheralded defense has picked off right where they left off last year. They were physically dominant in holding Arizona to just 32 rushing yards and came just shy of a shutout. This is a game that many people have overlooked on UCLA's schedule. The Bruins went 7-6 last year and did not have to do much in easy win over rebuilding Stanford last week. UCLA still has some question marks on offense. They will have their hands full here with a very good and underrated BYU team. The Rose Bowl is rarely an intimidating venue for visitors, and BYU is sure to bring plenty of their own fans. Take the points.
RAS Early Look: BYU +8.5 1/2 UNIT
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 11:18pm -
0 likes
Northcoast Infomercial
Monday
Early Bird POW - Arizona St.
Tuesday
Underdog POW - Kent St.
Power Plays - 4* Oklahoma
Wednesday
Economy Club - Kansas St.
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 11:18pm -
0 likes
PPP
5% NORTHWESTERN (-9.5) over Nevada
Nevada got Steamrolled 52-10 by Nebraska LW allowing 625 TY and 413 RY on 5.9 YPR. Their “pistol†offense had no pop as they are breaking in a new QB and have just 5 returning offensive starters. Northwestern recorded a rare shutout, 27-0 vs. Northeastern holding the Huskies to just 260 TY. 8 returning starters to each side of the ball with veteran leadership from QB Bacher figures to have great success against a Wolfpack team who plays much better in their home den. Wildcat’s RB Sutton goes wild as the Wildcats STEAMROLL the Wolfpack.
3% KANSAS ST (-16.5) over San Jose
The Spartans were Steamrolled at my command LW as they were drubbed 45-3 at Arizona St. The Sundevils put up a balanced 520 TY including 250 RY while controlling the clock 37-23 against the Spartans. The Spartans, LY’s spread darlings, were able to total just 115 TY. Meanwhile, the reborn Wildcats were experiencing a hard fought opening day loss, but cover at Auburn. They actually led in the 4th Q before letting the game slip away. With 15 returning starters, including their QB and the majority of their OL, expect the Wildcats to be an early season play on. They have a history of early season excellence in Manhattan where they have won 17 straight openers, are on a 10-3 ATS run including 3-0 ATS LY under then first year HC Prince, winning by an average of 33-6. Wildcat QB Freeman will lead a balanced Wildcat attack that will enjoy stepping down in class against the outmanned Spartan defense.
3% IOWA (-21.5) over Syracuse
It’s addition by subtraction as the Hawkeyes will return to prosperity without prima donna QB Tate in their lineup. LW they return to the MO that had made them so successful in previous years. They dominated a solid Northern Illinois team as they controlled the point of attack out rushing the Huskies 250-21. With a game of experience under his belt and returning home where the Hawkeyes stand 19-8 ATS HF, expect a more confident, explosive performance. A solid running game will thrive against a Syracuse team that was out rushed 302-8 in a home opening loss to Washington, 42-12. Expect even less success as they travel to one of the most underrated venues in CFB. Adding fuel to our fire is the line value we get, not only from the Hawkeyes poor 2-10 ATS performance LY but also the fact they were challenged by the Orangemen in the Carrier Dome LY. Today, the Hawkeyes put them away in the first half and continue to STEAMROLL them until games end.
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 11:19pm -
0 likes
Larry Ness
Ohio -2.0 (-110) vs La.-Lafayette
Analysis: Ohio U is my alma mater and the school's "heyday" was from 1924 through 1946 with Don Peden as its head coach (121-46-11, .711). His teams went undefeated three times and his only losing season was in 1945. There hasn't been much to talk about since. Ohio's only two bowl appearances (prior to 2006) came in 1962 and 1968 (both losses). However, Frank Solich (player, assistant coach and head coach at Nebraska for decades) has brought new life to Athens. He went 4-7 in his first season ('05) but last year went 9-3 to win the MAC-East. Ohio was overmatched in the MAC title game by Central Michigan (31-10) and in the GMAC Bowl by Southern Miss (28-7), as Ohio finished 9-5, but the Bobcats have "turned the corner." RB Kalvin McRae has two straight 1,000-yard seasons and opened with 142 yards (two TDs) in the team's season-opening win over Gardner-Webb (36-14). QB Brad Bower went 12-of-25 for 180 yards with one TD and no interceptions. Ohio's strength is its defense and while just six starters return, it will be a strength again this year. Despite allowing 31 and 28 points in its final two games, the Bobcats allowed just 18.1 PPG in '06. Against Gardner-Webb, they allowed only 68 yards rushing (2.8 YPC) and 14 points. UL-Lafayette had NINE straight losing seasons from 1996 through 2004, before going 6-5 in '05 (went 6-6 LY). This Sun Belt school opened by losing at South Carolina 28-14, with QB Desormeaux providing almost all the highlights. He ran for 163 yards (one TD) and completed 10-of-17 passes (but for only 59 yards). RB Fenroy (1,197 YR in '06) had 97 yards on 15 carries. However, running effectively against Ohio will NOT be easy. The Bobcats have Va Tech next but how can there be a "look-ahead" for a game the team can't possibly win? The Bobactas CAN win this game.
Take Ohio.
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 11:19pm -
0 likes
Burns Saturday CFB
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Ben Burns' EARLY (11:00 am) Afternoon ANNIHILATOR!
Ben Burns has gotten off to an AWESOME START to his '07 college campaign. He SWEPT THE BOARD last Saturday, going a PERFECT 5-0, including his 'Annihilator' on Miami, a 31-3 winner over Marshall. The Thundering Herd are back in action VERY EARLY (11:00 am EST!) this afternoon. Is this Documented Champion "taking" or "laying" the points?
Marshall
Burns' Non-Conference MAIN EVENT *EARLY TV WINNER
Last week, Ben Burns won his "Non-Conference Main Event" on California, part of a PERFECT 5-0 Saturday card. That was no surprise though as Ben's "Main Events" have been MONEY IN THE BANK for years. This week's Non-conf. MAIN EVENT is another NATIONALLY TELEVISED MONSTER. Its Nebraska at Wake Forest and it kicks-off at noon!
Wake Forest
Burns' Conference GAME OF THE YEAR *14-3 L17 GOYs!
BIG GAME DOMINANCE! Big Game Expert Ben Burns BLUDGEONED THE BOOKS with his "ACC Game of the Year" on Boston College last Saturday, part of a PERFECT 5-0 CARD. Now an AMAZING 14-3 his L17 "GOY" releases, Burns returns with another ABSOLUTE BLOCKBUSTER that qualifies as his second CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR!
Lousiana Tech
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 11:19pm -
0 likes
Colin Cowherd
HERD: ( 3-0 )
VIRGINIA TECH
MICHIGAN
U C L A
PENN STATE
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 11:19pm -
0 likes
Tim Sullivan
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very good capper last year and most years..good luck
September 6, 2007 -- THERE are commercials and highlight shows still showing the nightmare. It's on the cover of a video game. Heck, there's even going to be a documentary about it coming to a screen near you.
Yes, that unforgettable, miraculous, 43-42 Fiesta Bowl win was the greatest thing to happen to Boise State. And the worst to happen to Oklahoma.
All of a sudden, a Big 12-winning season was washed away. The comeback of Adrian Peterson, the perseverance of Bob Stoops through an injury-riddled, referee-challenged season, all buried by the Broncos.
Nine months later, the Sooners can get off the mat. No, Boise State won't stroll into Norman Saturday. But the new-look Miami Hurricanes (1-0) will.
And with them comes a national-television audience. In other words, a perfect opportunity for the Sooners to show and tell everyone: "We'll be OK."
"We are really excited," Stoops said. "(Miami is) another tradition-rich program who we have a good history with. Miami is a program we have great respect for."
All the more reason to get up for a game that could ignite another stellar season. With apologies to North Texas - and the 79-10 beating it took in Norman - this is the kind of tilt that can solidify the Sooners' No. 5 ranking and catapult them into those early national-title talks.
"It's just a game. Every game is big," Miami coach Randy Shannon said. "Don't ever look too far forward."
The Sooners won't. Oklahoma (-101/2) is the pick.
TOMORROW
RUTGERS (-161/2) over Navy: The Knights won't allow themselves to stumble in prime-time. RU has won the past two in the series by a combined 44.
SATURDAY
West Virginia (-24) over MARSHALL: High number on the road, but the Mountaineers are playing instate against a team that can't stop anyone.
Nebraska (-8) over WAKE FOREST: You think Nebraska coach Bill Callahan and QB Sam Keller watched Boston College's aerial show vs. the Deacons?
Alabama (-31/2) over VANDERBILT: Word out of Tuscaloosa is that Nashville will be surrounded by so much Crimson, it'll seem like a 'Bama home game.
Cal (-14) over COLORADO STATE: The Rams can move the ball, but this is a perfect chance for the Bears to dodge a letdown and prove their legitimacy.
BC (-14) over N.C. State: The return of Tom O'Brien is a nice, little revenge story. But, when you get down to it, BC is a better team and probably doesn't even need the extra motivation.
MICHIGAN (-8) over Oregon: Coach Lloyd Carr may be on the hottest of seats, but here's thinking a guy with a national title can figure out a way to turn this group of wounded Wolverines around, for one week at least.
GEORGIA (-5) over South Carolina: Steve Spurrier pulled out his "Maybe I overstated our team" routine. We don't buy it. The Gamecocks are good, he knows it. That said, we like the Bulldogs to win the SEC East and they need this one to get there.
PENN STATE (-171/2) over Notre Dame: The number is a little rich with teams of this caliber. But the revenge factor on the home side and the quarterback quandary on the road side makes the decision easier.
Brigham Young (+7) over UCLA: We don't see the Cougars on the Heroes grid often, but we lean toward one of the best spread teams around when they do make it.
TEXAS (-7) over Texas Christian: The Frogs' defense is one of the toughest, but Texas' subpar effort vs. Arkansas State has given the Longhorns - and this line - far too much value. Jump on it.
Southern Miss (+101/2) over TENNESSEE: The Volunteers are hungry to greet their Orange-clad fans with a win. Not saying they won't get it, but the Eagles should make it tough.
AUBURN (-7) over South Florida: Another value play here for a ranked home team that, like Texas, stumbled in Week 1. The rise of the Bulls is a nice tale, but jump on this line.
LSU (-121/2) over Virginia Tech: Hokies QB Sean Glennon struggled against East Carolina at home. LSU snared six interceptions last week and the Tigers have nine days to prepare.
OFF THE GRID
BAYLOR (-6) over Rice: Two bad Texas teams, but we love the home one, the Big 12 one, and the one that didn't lose to a Division I-AA team (Nicholls State) last week.
LAST WEEK: 10-5 Overall; 2-1 Best Bets; 1-0 Off The Grid.
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 11:20pm -
0 likes
Larry ~ Ness
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Larry Ness' Oddsmaker's Error-CFB (2-0 start in CFB '07 / both outright winners!)-Saturday
My Oddsmaker's Error is on Va Tech at 9:15 ET. . The seven-point line was too high. This higher line gives us lots of "wiggle room!" Oddsmaker's Error on Va Tech.
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Larry Ness' CFB Superstar Triple Play (3 blockbuster 15*s on ONE report!)-It's Back!
Things will 'different' this Saturday, in "the Big House!" 15* Michigan.
. 15* UCLA.
. 15* Central Michigan.
Non-Conference GOY 20* Texas.
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 11:20pm -
0 likes
Docs Sports
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doc sports
3 Unit Play. #20 Take Penn State -17 ½ over Notre Dame (Saturday 6:00 pm ESPN) We stated last week that Georgia Tech over Notre Dame might be the real gift of the weekend and Christmas it was, as the Irish were destroyed. Things will not get any better here, as Notre Dame will pay for that 41-17 win in South Bend last season. Reports are freshman QB Clausen will start and this is not the best spot for the youngster against a swarming defense. I predicted the Irish would lose their first four, loss No. 2 comes Saturday. Would pull more money out of my wallet, but the inflated line make me a bit cautious, but not enough to worry. Penn State 35, Notre Dame 10.
4 Unit Play. #43 Take South Carolina +4 ½ over Georgia (Saturday 5:45 pm ESPN 2) Big conference game with two of the heavyweight coaches in Richt and Spurrier. QB Mitchell should be back for the Gamecocks after being suspended for the opener. South Carolina has now lost five straight to the Bulldogs, but this is the best team that Spurrier has had to end this losing streak. Talent edge, motivation, plus getting points in what should be a low scoring affair, spells trouble. Gamecocks finally take this game by a field goal. South Carolina 20, Georgia 17.
5 Unit Play. #49 Take California -14 over Colorado State (Saturday 2:00 pm CSTV) Normally would not rate a game this high, since the favorite is playing on the road; however, the Bears are loaded with talent and have one of the top college coaches in the country. A college coach told me this week that this Bear team has as much speed as any team he has seen in the past ten years. What really caught my eye was their win over Tennessee was the balance. Cal rushed 37 times for 230 yards and completed 19 passes for 241 yards against a good Volunteer team. As I looked at this game, my first impression was letdown after such an emotional victory, but the letdown will occur by the Rams. CSU lost a tough game last weekend to Colorado and will not be able to bounce back in this affair. 14 points is tough to lay on the road, but have not doubts about this game, as California explodes against a weak club. Cal 42, Colorado St 14.
3 Unit Play. #59 Take South Florida +7 over Auburn (Saturday 9:00 pm ESPN 2) The Bulls toyed with Elon last week, but look for them to pull out all the stops this week. This team has scheduled difficult games the last couple of years and is accustomed to playing the big boys in hostile environments. The Bulls offensive line was injured and a couple were held out in the opener but most will be back for this contest. Last year’s 9-4 record was no fluke; they have the talent to play against anyone in the country. As I look at Auburn, not the team of the past couple of years. They have a questionable running attack, gaining only 62 yards in 37 carries last week. The defense is solid but will have to carry this team all season. There is no talent gap between the programs and will call the upset here. South Florida 21, Auburn 17.
4 Unit Play. #64 Take East Carolina -5 over North Carolina (Saturday 6:00 pm CSTV) The Pirates always get up for this in-state game, see no let up here. Coach Holtz has a good nucleus of players returning and put a good showing in a narrow loss to Virginia Tech. The Pirates held the Hokies ground game in check, as they could only muster 33 yards. The stats alone could spell trouble for North Carolina, as they managed only 14 first downs against James Madison. Coach Butch Davis may get the Tar Heels program turned around, but help has not arrived yet. The talent gap is bigger then the posted line and there is never a problem with a mid-major program getting up for facing a BCS team, especially when both teams lie in the same state. Homer gets the call. East Carolina 27, North Carolina 14.
6 Unit Play. #65 Take Troy +26 ½ over Florida (Saturday 6 pm ESPN Gameplan) Underdog Game of the Year. Spotted this one several weeks ago. Certainly respect Florida and Coach Meyer; however, this team has lost heavy to graduation and will show in the early going. Defense may be the real question mark on this team with only two starters back. The Trojans did have difficulty with Arkansas stopping the run; however, McFadden will not be lining up in the backfield against them. QB Haugabook is in his second year as a starter and he is able to run a wide open offense that utilizes his legs and his arm. The Trojans always get up to play SEC teams and as a 29-point underdog, they almost beat Florida State last year (lost 24-17). With Tennessee up next, young Gators take this one lightly and vision of Appalachian State/Michigan come to mind. A nail bitter for the Gators and an easy cash for us. Florida 28, Troy 21.
4 Unit Play. #104 Take UNLV +25 over Wisconsin (Saturday 10:00 pm Versus) Saw the Badgers play Washington State last week and was impressed, but not so impressed to give them the call here. Will make this statement and will be right, “Wisconsin is not the number 5 team in the country.†The passing attack looked good, but did not have to worry about the Cougar running attack and this is a team that can be run on. Can the Badgers be upset? Little chance of that, but feel line is much too steep and inflated since Bucky fans will be packing the sportsbooks in Vegas. Injuries hit the Rebels hard last year and much of their personnel is back this season. Nice win last week on the road in Logan (Utah State) and that will give them confidence for this home opener. The Rebels are much strong then in 2006 and the 95 degree heat will make it tough on Bucky, no lights out here, Badgers win, but no blowout. Wisconsin 35, UNLV 17.
4 Unit Play. #106 Take Washington State -14 over San Diego State (Saturday 7:00 pm) A big day in the state of Washington, when the Cougars and Huskies will both be playing games in Seattle. I was able to watch the Cougars in person last week against Wisconsin and their secondary looked overmatched, but the offense moved the ball and they appear to have a nice ball club. QB Brink should be able to exploit a young Aztec defense. In 2006, Washington State opened the season in Auburn and lost 40-14, yet rebounded the next week by beating Idaho 56-10. Defense steps up and Brink has a big day. Washington State 42, San Diego State 17.
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 11:20pm -
0 likes
Gold Sheet -Phone Plays
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1 1/2 * Kent
1* Hawaii-Ucla-Colorado State-Vt
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 11:21pm -
0 likes
Special K
20* S Carolina
posted by phantom
Sept. 7 2007 11:21pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
Dunkel Index
Week 2
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 7
Game 307-308: Navy at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 82.356; Rutgers 104.589
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 22; 44
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 12 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-12 1/2); Under
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 8
Game 309-310: West Virginia at Marshall
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 106.824; Marshall 79.321
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 27 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 23 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-23 1/2); Under
Game 311-312: Nevada at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 87.022; Northwestern 91.613
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 4 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 10; 48
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+10); Under
Game 313-314: Nebraska at Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 107.377; Wake Forest 94.146
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 13; 57
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 7 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-7 1/2); Over
Game 315-316: Miami (FL) at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 94.073; Oklahoma 113.635
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 19 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 10 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-10 1/2); Over
Game 317-318: Miami (OH) at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 74.754; Minnesota 85.977
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 11; 45
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 8 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-8 1/2); Under
Game 319-320: Buffalo at Temple
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 66.577; Temple 66.980
Dunkel Line: Even; 41
Vegas Line: Temple by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+3 1/2); Under
Game 321-322: Akron at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 75.248; Ohio State 110.208
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 35; 42
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 28 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-28 1/2); Under
Game 323-324: Duke at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 67.255; Virginia 88.871
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 21 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: Virginia by 16 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-16 1/2); Under
Game 325-326: Alabama at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 87.582; Vanderbilt 88.740
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 1; 51
Vegas Line: Alabama by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+3 1/2); Over
Game 327-328: Toledo at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 73.831; Central Michigan 83.562
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 10; 63
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 3; 54
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-3); Over
Game 329-330: Bowling Green at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 72.478; Michigan State 93.614
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 21; 66
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 16; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-16); Over
Game 331-332: Rice at Baylor
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 76.826; Baylor 79.524
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 3; 36
Vegas Line: Baylor by 6 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+6 1/2); Under
Game 333-334: Utah State at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 56.985; Wyoming 93.131
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 36; 35
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 24; 40
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-24); Under
Game 335-336: San Jose State at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 76.151; Kansas State 90.735
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 14 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 17 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+17 1/2); Under
Game 337-338: California at Colorado State
Dunkel Ratings: California 109.933; Colorado State 85.750
Dunkel Line: California by 24; 65 1/2
Vegas Line: California by 13 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-13 1/2); Over
Game 339-340: Missouri at Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 94.686; Mississippi 85.399
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 9; 59
Vegas Line: Missouri by 5 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-5 1/2); Over
Game 341-342: NC State at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 78.300; Boston College 100.615
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 22; 52
Vegas Line: Boston College by 13 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-13 1/2); Over
Game 343-344: Ball State at Eastern Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 75.967; Eastern Michigan 69.802
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 6; 37
Vegas Line: Ball State by 4 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-4 1/2); Under
Game 345-346: Oregon at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 101.868; Michigan 104.977
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 3; 68
Vegas Line: Michigan by 8 1/2; 63
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+8 1/2); Over
Game 347-348: Boise State at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 105.370; Washington 94.502
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 11; 52
Vegas Line: Boise State by 3; 59
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-3); Under
Game 349-350: Fresno State at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 79.904; Texas A&M 101.036
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 21; 47
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 17; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-17); Under
Game 351-352: UAB at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 68.875; Florida State 97.670
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 29; 55
Vegas Line: Florida State by 34; 51
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+34); Over
Game 353-354: South Carolina at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 101.878; Georgia 104.848
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 3; 46
Vegas Line: Georgia by 5 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+5 1/2); Over
Game 355-356: Notre Dame at Penn State
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 93.212; Penn State 105.657
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 12; 47
Vegas Line: Penn State by 17 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+17 1/2); Over
Game 357-358: Air Force at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 86.605; Utah 89.949
Dunkel Line: Utah by 3; 39
Vegas Line: Utah by 8; 48
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+8); Under
Game 359-360: North Carolina at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 83.876; East Carolina 90.631
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 7; 37
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 4 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-4 1/2); Under
Game 361-362: BYU at UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 102.418; UCLA 101.127
Dunkel Line: BYU by 1; 45
Vegas Line: UCLA by 8 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: BYU (+8 1/2); Under
Game 363-364: Southern Mississippi at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 86.720; Tennessee 100.296
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 13 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 10 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-10 1/2); Over
Game 365-366: TCU at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 104.367; Texas 100.969
Dunkel Line: TCU by 3 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Texas by 10; 46
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+10); Under
Game 367-368: Mississippi State at Tulane
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 80.150; Tulane 70.713
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 9 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 6; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-6); Over
Game 369-370: Kent at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Kent 77.876; Kentucky 96.765
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 19; 48
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 12 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-12 1/2); Under
Game 371-372: UTEP at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 77.147; Texas Tech 105.885
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 28 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 24; 64
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-24); Under
Game 373-374: San Diego State at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 74.769; Washington State 95.702
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 21; 55
Vegas Line: Washington State by 14; 48
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-14); Over
Game 375-376: Hawaii at Louisiana Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 102.357; Louisiana Tech 73.263
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 29; 70
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 28; 77 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-28); Under
Game 377-378: Syracuse at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 76.947; Iowa 98.207
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 21; 36
Vegas Line: Iowa by 23; 42
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+23); Under
Game 379-380: Indiana at Western Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 84.765; Western Michigan 80.375
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 4; 67
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 1; 59
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+1); Over
Game 381-382: South Florida at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 91.809; Auburn 96.684
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 5; 36
Vegas Line: Auburn by 7; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+7); Under
Game 383-384: Virginia Tech at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 102.106; LSU 115.996
Dunkel Line: LSU by 14; 35
Vegas Line: LSU by 12 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-12 1/2); Under
Game 385-386: New Mexico State at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 71.960; New Mexico 83.824
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 12; 45
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 7; 55
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-7); Under
Game 387-388: Wisconsin at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 103.589; UNLV 72.723
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 31; 56
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 25 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-25 1/2); Over
Game 389-390: Colorado at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 84.355; Arizona State 106.829
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 22 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Arizona State (-14 1/2) 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-14 1/2); Over
Game 391-392: UL Monroe at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 69.034; Clemson 102.958
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 34; 44
Vegas Line: Clemson by 26; 52
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-26); Over
Game 393-394: Troy at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 81.673; Florida 109.054
Dunkel Line: Florida by 27 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Florida by 25 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-25 1/2); Over
Game 395-396: Florida Atlantic at Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 73.888; Oklahoma State 99.628
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 26; 46
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 23; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-23); Under
Game 397-398: Ohio at UL Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 77.472; UL Lafayette 74.613
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 3; 42
Vegas Line: Ohio by 1 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-1 1/2); Under
Game 399-400: Maryland at Florida International
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 90.160; Florida International 55.808
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 34; 50
Vegas Line: Maryland by 23 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-23 1/2); Over
Game 401-402: Memphis at Arkansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 73.758; Arkansas State 76.319
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 3; 41
Vegas Line: Memphis by 3 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+3 1/2); Under
Game 403-404: North Texas at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 58.881; SMU 84.363
Dunkel Line: SMU by 25 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: SMU by 17; 43
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-17); Over
OTHER MAJOR GAMES:
Grambling at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Grambling 57.952; Pittsburgh 94.788
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 37
Eastern Illinois at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 64.009; Purdue 95.393
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 31
Richmond at Northeastern
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 68.541; Northeastern 65.903
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 3
Lafayette at Georgetown
Dunkel Ratings: Lafayette 65.540; Georgetown 44.149
Dunkel Line: Lafayette by 21
Hampton at Howard
Dunkel Ratings: Hampton 73.228; Howard 49.281
Dunkel Line: Hampton by 24
Wagner at Iona
Dunkel Ratings: Wagner 32.591; Iona 30.632
Dunkel Line: Wagner by 2
Rhode Island at Army
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 50.241; Army 71.692
Dunkel Line: Army by 21
Massachusetts at Colgate
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 79.890; Colgate 58.214
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 21 1/2
Robert Morris at Monmouth
Dunkel Ratings: Robert Morris 37.658; Monmouth 65.113
Dunkel Line: Monmouth by 27 1/2
Villanova at Lehigh
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 71.324; Lehigh 66.163
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 5
LaSalle at Sacred Heart
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 17.815; Sacred Heart 39.008
Dunkel Line: Sacred Heart by 21
Morehead State at St. Francis (PA)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 33.403; St. Francis (PA) 29.191
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 4
William & Mary at VMI
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 53.485; VMI 41.843
Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 11 1/2
Samford at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 42.340; Georgia Tech 104.462
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 62
Northern Arizona at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 63.687; Arizona 93.613
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 30
Chattanooga at Jacksonville State
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 56.064; Jacksonville State 59.187
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 3
Towson at Morgan State
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 64.108; Morgan State 51.839
Dunkel Line: Towson by 12
South Carolina State at Bethune-Cookman
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina State 59.810; Bethune-Cookman 45.443
Dunkel Line: South Carolina State by 14 1/2
Cal Poly at Idaho
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 65.770; Idaho 72.684
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 7
Southern at Mississippi Valley State
Dunkel Ratings: Southern 49.756; Mississippi Valley State 48.125
Dunkel Line: Southern by 1 1/2
North Carolina A&T at Prairie View
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina A&T 24.511; Prairie View 49.266
Dunkel Line: Prairie View by 25
New Hampshire at James Madison
Dunkel Ratings: New Hampshire 75.905; James Madison 80.957
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 5
Delaware State at Florida A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware State 60.442; Florida A&M 48.983
Dunkel Line: Delaware State by 11 1/2
Austin Peay at Indiana State
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 25.299; Indiana State 48.754
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 23 1/2
Western Carolina at Eastern Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 47.017; Eastern Kentucky 60.595
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 13 1/2
Stony Brook at Bucknell
Dunkel Ratings: Stony Brook 47.252; Bucknell 52.349
Dunkel Line: Bucknell by 5
Albany at Fordham
Dunkel Ratings: Albany 54.305; Fordham 49.665
Dunkel Line: Albany by 5
Jacksonville at Gardner-Webb
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 29.458; Gardner-Webb 51.631
Dunkel Line: Gardner-Webb by 22
South Dakota State at Youngstown State
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 70.181; Youngstown State 80.027
Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 10
Maine at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Maine 69.729; Connecticut 89.117
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 19 1/2
Winston-Salem at Coastal Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Winston-Salem 44.881; Coastal Carolina 63.356
Dunkel Line: Coastal Carolina by 18 1/2
Northern Iowa at Iowa State
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 74.964; Iowa State 77.025
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 2
Western Illinois at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 71.302; Illinois 87.494
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 16
Furman at Hofstra
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 63.639 ; Hofstra 64.901
Dunkel Line: Hofstra by 1
Southeastern Louisiana at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Southeastern Louisiana 48.538; Kansas 99.186
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 50 1/2
Central Arkansas at Northwestern State
Dunkel Ratings: Central Arkansas 58.827; Northwestern State 63.434
Dunkel Line: Northwestern State by 4 1/2
Jackson State at Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: Jackson State 46.165; Tennessee State 50.031
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 4
Charleston Southern at Wofford
Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 47.965; Wofford 74.349
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 26 1/2
Stephen F. Austin at North Dakota State
Dunkel Ratings: Stephen F. Austin 60.906; North Dakota State 88.396
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 27 1/2
Murray State at Illinois State
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 39.290; Illinois State 67.640
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 28
Southern Illinois at Northern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 74.830; Northern Illinois 84.795
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 10
Marist at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 29.519; San Diego 73.289
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 44
Alabama State at Texas Southern
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama State 56.947; Texas Southern 39.769
Dunkel Line: Alabama State by 17
UC Davis at Portland State
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 76.151; Portland State 72.612
Dunkel Line: UC Davis by 3 1/2
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posted by phantom
Sept. 8 2007 12:04pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
Long Sheet
Week 2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday, September 8
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W VIRGINIA (11 - 2) at MARSHALL (5 - 7) - 9/8/2007, 11:00 AM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 1-0 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEVADA (8 - 5) at NORTHWESTERN (4 -
- 9/8/2007, 12:00 PMTop Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEBRASKA (9 - 5) at WAKE FOREST (11 - 3) - 9/8/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 1-0 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 1-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MIAMI (7 - 6) at OKLAHOMA (11 - 3) - 9/8/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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MIAMI OHIO (2 - 10) at MINNESOTA (6 - 7) - 9/8/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BUFFALO (2 - 10) at TEMPLE (1 - 11) - 9/8/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in September games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 0-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AKRON (5 - 7) at OHIO ST (12 - 1) - 9/8/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DUKE (0 - 12) at VIRGINIA (5 - 7) - 9/8/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ALABAMA (6 - 7) at VANDERBILT (4 -
- 9/8/2007, 12:30 PMThere are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOLEDO (5 - 7) at C MICHIGAN (10 - 4) - 9/8/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BOWLING GREEN (4 -
at MICHIGAN ST (4 - - 9/8/2007, 12:00 PMThere are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RICE (7 - 6) at BAYLOR (4 -
- 9/8/2007, 7:00 PMTop Trends for this game.
RICE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UTAH ST (1 - 11) at WYOMING (6 - 6) - 9/8/2007, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SAN JOSE ST (9 - 4) at KANSAS ST (7 - 6) - 9/8/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CALIFORNIA (10 - 3) at COLORADO ST (4 -
- 9/8/2007, 2:00 PMThere are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MISSOURI (8 - 5) at OLE MISS (4 -
- 9/8/2007, 6:00 PMThere are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 1-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 1-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NC STATE (3 - 9) at BOSTON COLLEGE (10 - 3) - 9/8/2007, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BALL ST (5 - 7) at E MICHIGAN (1 - 11) - 9/8/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 2-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OREGON (7 - 6) at MICHIGAN (11 - 2) - 9/8/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BOISE ST (13 - 0) at WASHINGTON (5 - 7) - 9/8/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 65-37 ATS (+24.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 65-37 ATS (+24.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FRESNO ST (4 -
at TEXAS A&M (9 - 4) - 9/8/2007, 3:30 PMTop Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.
TEXAS A&M is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UAB (3 - 9) at FLORIDA ST (7 - 6) - 9/8/2007, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
S CAROLINA (8 - 5) at GEORGIA (9 - 4) - 9/8/2007, 5:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
S CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
GEORGIA is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-1 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOTRE DAME (10 - 3) at PENN ST (9 - 4) - 9/8/2007, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AIR FORCE (4 -
at UTAH (8 - 5) - 9/8/2007, 6:00 PMThere are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
N CAROLINA (3 - 9) at E CAROLINA (7 - 6) - 9/8/2007, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BYU (11 - 2) at UCLA (7 - 6) - 9/8/2007, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BYU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SOUTHERN MISS (9 - 5) at TENNESSEE (9 - 4) - 9/8/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TCU (11 - 2) at TEXAS (10 - 3) - 9/8/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 9) at TULANE (4 -
- 9/8/2007, 7:00 PMTop Trends for this game.
TULANE is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
TULANE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
TULANE is 1-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KENT ST (6 - 6) at KENTUCKY (8 - 5) - 9/8/2007, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UTEP (5 - 7) at TEXAS TECH (8 - 5) - 9/8/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SAN DIEGO ST (3 - 9) vs. WASHINGTON ST (6 - 6) - 9/8/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAWAII (11 - 3) at LOUISIANA TECH (3 - 10) - 9/8/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SYRACUSE (4 -
at IOWA (6 - 7) - 9/8/2007, 8:00 PMTop Trends for this game.
IOWA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
IOWA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INDIANA (5 - 7) at W MICHIGAN (8 - 5) - 9/8/2007, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 1-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
S FLORIDA (9 - 4) at AUBURN (11 - 2) - 9/8/2007, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
VIRGINIA TECH (10 - 3) at LSU (11 - 2) - 9/8/2007, 9:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in September games since 1992.
LSU is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW MEXICO ST (4 -
at NEW MEXICO (6 - 7) - 9/8/2007, 9:30 PMTop Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WISCONSIN (12 - 1) at UNLV (2 - 10) - 9/8/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
COLORADO (2 - 10) at ARIZONA ST (7 - 6) - 9/8/2007, 10:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LA MONROE (4 -
at CLEMSON (8 - 5) - 9/8/2007, 1:00 PMThere are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TROY (8 - 5) at FLORIDA (13 - 1) - 9/8/2007, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 7) at OKLAHOMA ST (7 - 6) - 9/8/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OHIO U (9 - 5) at LA LAFAYETTE (6 - 6) - 9/8/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MARYLAND (9 - 4) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 12) - 9/8/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 1-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MEMPHIS (2 - 10) at ARKANSAS ST (6 - 6) - 9/8/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NORTH TEXAS (3 - 9) at SMU (6 - 6) - 9/8/2007, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 1-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
posted by phantom
Sept. 8 2007 12:05pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
Short Sheet
Week 2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday, September 8th
West Virginia at Marshall, 11:00am ET ESPN2
West Virginia: 9-1 ATS away after forcing 3+ turnovers
Marshall: 8-20 ATS off a non-conference game
Nevada at Northwestern, 12:00 ET
Nevada: 7-1 ATS after allowing 37+ points
Northwestern: 5-1 Over off a home win by 17+ points
Nebraska at Wake Forest, 12:00 ET ESPN
Nebraska: 16-32 ATS off a home win by 28+ points
Wake Forest: 7-1 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers
Miami FL at Oklahoma, 12:00 ET ABC
Miami FL: 8-1 Under off an ATS win
Oklahoma: 21-38 ATS off a non-conference game
Miami OH at Minnesota, 12:00 ET
Miami OH: 7-1 Under playing on artificial turf
Minnesota: 19-8 ATS at home off a non-conference game
(TC) Buffalo at Temple, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 6-1 Under in September
Temple: 14-31 ATS in the first month of the season
Akron at Ohio State, 12:00 ET
Akron: 2-6 ATS in road games
Ohio State: 6-0 ATS at home after allowing 9 points or less
Duke at Virginia, 12:00 ET
Duke: 6-15 ATS as an underdog
Virginia: 9-2 Under in home games
Alabama at Vanderbilt, 12:30 ET
Alabama: 8-0 Under after scoring 42+ points
Vanderbilt: 2-12 ATS off a home win by 17+ points
(TC) Toledo at Central Michigan, 7:00 ET
Toledo: 7-13 ATS off an Over
Central Michigan: 8-0 ATS off an Over
(TC) Bowling Green at Michigan State, 12:00 ET
Bowling Green: 15-5 ATS after allowing 3 or less first-half points
Michigan State: 22-9 Over off a win by 17+ points
(TC) Rice at Baylor, 7:00 ET
Rice: 9-2 ATS as an underdog
Baylor: 2-8 ATS in home games
Utah State at Wyoming, 2:00 ET
Utah State: 18-36 ATS off an ATS loss
Wyoming: 8-1 ATS in the first month of the season
(TC) San Jose State at Kansas State, 7:00 ET
San Jose State: 14-2 Under off an Under
Kansas State: 8-1 ATS off a road game
California at Colorado State, 2:00 ET CSTV
California: 22-9 Under after scoring 37+ points
Colorado State: 1-5 ATS vs. Pac-10 opponents
(TC) Missouri at Mississippi, 6:00 ET
Missouri: 8-1 Under as a road favorite
Mississippi: 1-6 ATS in the first month of the season
NC State at Boston College, 2:30 ET ESPN2
NC State: 2-10 ATS away off a loss by 6 points or less
Boston College: 6-1 Over as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points
(TC) Ball State at Eastern Michigan, 12:00 ET
Ball State: 6-1 ATS off an ATS loss
Eastern Michigan: 3-11 ATS in the first two weeks of the season
Oregon at Michigan, 3:30 ET ABC
Oregon: 6-1 Over in September
Michigan: 1-5 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Boise State at Washington, 3:30 ET
Boise State: 34-17 ATS off a combined score of 60+ points
Washington: 26-44 ATS off a road game
Fresno State at Texas A&M, 3:30 ET FSN
Fresno State: 0-6 ATS in road games
Texas A&M: 19-8 ATS at home in September
UAB at Florida State, 5:00 ET ESPNU
UAB: 2-7 ATS after committing 1 or 0 turnovers
Florida State: 6-1 Over off a loss as a favorite
South Carolina at Georgia, 5:45 ET ESPN2
South Carolina: 8-1 ATS in road games
Georgia: 24-5 Under off a win by 21+ points
Notre Dame at Penn State, 6:00 ET ESPN
Notre Dame: 2-9 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Penn State: 18-5 Under after scoring 42+ points
Air Force at Utah, 6:00 ET
Air Force: 21-9 ATS away off a home win
Utah: 3-11 ATS in the first half of the season
North Carolina at East Carolina, 6:00 ET CSTV
North Carolina: 1-5 ATS off a home win
East Carolina: 6-0 ATS after scoring 14 points or less
BYU at UCLA, 6:30 ET VER
BYU: 8-1 Over off a home win
UCLA: 8-2 ATS off a road game
Southern Miss at Tennessee, 7:00 ET
Southern Miss: 27-11 ATS in the first month of the season
Tennessee: 1-9 ATS as a home favorite
TCU at Texas, 7:00 ET FSN
TCU: 15-5 ATS off a win
Texas: 17-5 Over off a win
Mississippi State at Tulane, 7:00 ET
Mississippi State: 2-8 ATS off a home game
Tulane: 9-1 Over vs. non-conference opponents
(TC) Kent State at Kentucky, 6:00 ET
Kent State: 6-1 ATS as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points
Kentucky: 8-2 Under after scoring 24+ first-half points
UTEP at Texas Tech, 7:00 ET
UTEP: 6-1 Under off a home win
Texas Tech: 50-26 ATS in home games
San Diego State at Washington State, 7:00 ET
San Diego State: 11-3 Over as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points
Washington State: 2-8 ATS off a road game
Hawaii at Louisiana Tech, 7:00 ET
Hawaii: 12-3 ATS as a favorite
Louisiana Tech: 3-12 ATS as an underdog
Syracuse at Iowa, 8:00 ET
Syracuse: 13-26 ATS as a road underdog
Iowa: 11-1 ATS as a favorite of 21.5+ points
Indiana at Western Michigan, 8:00 ET ESPNU
Indiana: 7-1 Over off a win by 21+ points
Western Michigan: 10-3 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
South Florida at Auburn, 9:00 ET ESPN2
South Florida: 13-1 Under off a win
Auburn: 1-6 ATS off a SU win / ATS loss
Virginia Tech at LSU, 9:15 ET ESPN
Virginia Tech: 8-3 Over as a road underdog
LSU: 8-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
New Mexico State at New Mexico, 9:30 ET
New Mexico State: 7-1 ATS off a home win by 17+ points
New Mexico: 1-6 ATS as a home favorite
Wisconsin at UNLV, 10:00 ET VER
Wisconsin: 8-0 ATS off a non-conference game
UNLV: 9-23 ATS off an Under
Colorado at Arizona State, 10:15 ET FSN
Colorado: 0-6 ATS away off a win
Arizona State: 5-1 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points
Added Games:
(TC) Louisiana Monroe at Clemson, 1:00 ET
LA Monroe: 7-1 Over off an Under
Clemson: 8-2 ATS in September
Troy at Florida, 6:00 ET
Troy: 6-1 ATS vs. SEC opponents
Florida: 6-1 Under off a win by 21+ points
Florida Atlantic at Oklahoma State, 7:00 ET
Florida Atl: 1-7 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Oklahoma State: 15-3 ATS at home off a loss by 21+ points
Ohio U at Louisiana Lafayette, 7:00 ET
Ohio U: 2-9 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
LA Lafayette: 7-1 ATS after having 75 or less passing yards
Maryland at Florida International, 7:00 ET
Maryland: 15-5 Under off a win by 17+ points
Florida Int: 1-6 ATS after scoring 9 points or less
Memphis at Arkansas State, 4:00 ET
Memphis: 15-5 ATS off a loss by 3 points or less
Arkansas State: 5-1 Under as a home underdog
North Texas at SMU, 8:00 ET
North Texas: 1-9 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
SMU: 12-2 Under off an ATS loss
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
posted by phantom
Sept. 8 2007 12:05pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
Write-up
Week 1
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday's college football info
Top 10 games
Miami covered just three of last ten on road, though they are 7-3 vs. spread in last ten tries as underdog; last week, in a 31-3 win vs. Marshall, ‘canes completed just nine of 21 passes, but had four INTs, 251-64 rushing edge. Oklahoma starts redshirt frosh QB, but they were 25-28/403 passing last week; they’re just 5-8 in last 13 tries as home favorite, though they did crush North Texas last week, 79-10.
Alabama won last 19 games vs. Vanderbilt (33-1 in last 34) but LY’s game was just 13-10 (341-235 TY, Bama). Tide covered 13 of last 22 on road; Commodores are 3-6 vs. spread in last nine as home dog, and 7-49 SU in SEC in this century-- with 18 starters back, including five senior starters on OL, this is Vanderbilt’s version of Super Bowl. Tide was 12-18-2 vs. spread in last 32 SEC games under Shula.
NC State’s O’Brien returns to Boston College without his best RB (out for year) and with Nebraska transfer at QB, who rallied Wolfpack from 25-3 halftime deficit last week, only to fail on the tying 2-pt conversion try in 25-23 loss to Central Florida. Dog is 31-15 vs. spread in State’s last 46 games. BC trailed 14-0 in first 5:00 vs. Wake last week, but Ryan was 32-52/406 passing, and Eagles won by 10.
Michigan looks to rebound from last week’s disaster, vs. more talented Oregon team that does lot of same things App State does; with only four starters back on defense, Wolverines are vulnerable there. Ducks upset Big Blue 31-27 in last meeting, at Autzen in ’03. Wolverines are 7-11 vs. spread as home favorite. Oregon beat Houston 48-27 LW, but Cougars ran ball for 310 yards, so Michigan could make hay there.
Washington crushed Syracuse LW 42-12 behind redshirt frosh QB Locker (20-23/199 passing), now is home dog vs. Boise State team that covered just four of last 12 away from blue carpet. I am impressed by 302-8 rushing edge in road game, but am unsure if it was Washington’s improvement, or just how dismal Syracuse is playing. Big game for revival of Washington program; they’re 5-13 SU in last 18 home games.
Hard to tell much about Fresno State, Texas A&M, since both opened with I-AA foes last week. Fresno has covered 10 of last 13 on road vs. BCS teams, is 23-11 vs. spread out of conference Texas A&M is 7-4 vs. spread in last 11 as home favorite, 5-3 in non-Big 12 games, but they were outgained LW vs. Montana State (game was 17-7 A&M at half). Would never give Pat Hill 17 points, that I know.
Spurrier has covered five of six as road dog at Carolina, eight of nine on road overall. Four of last six Georgia-So. Carolina games were decided by six or less pts, but Dawgs won 18-0 LY (-3), rare shutout for a Spurrier offense, and fith straight Dawg series win. UGa started two freshmen in opener LW (first time since ’64); they’re 5-10-1 vs. spread as home favorite. Carolina allowed 254 rushing yards to ULL last week; they get suspended Mitchell back to QB this important game.
Notre Dame waxed Penn State 41-17 LY (-8), as Quinn was 25-36/ 287 passing, and Irish had +3 turnover ratio, but now Quinn is gone, Irish are rebuilding- they lost 33-3 at home LW, gaining just 121 TY (Tech had 260-M9 edge in rushing yards). Penn St. crushed FIU 59-0 LW; they have senior QB, are 7-3-1 vs. spread in last 11 tries as home favorite. Irish are 9-5 vs. spread as road dog, since 2002.
Auburn struggled vs. K-State last week, trailing in last 3:00, had only 62 rushing yards, and were just 3-15 on 3rd down. In comes upstart South Florida, which has upset West Virginia, Louisville last couple years; Bulls are 7-4 vs. spread as dog last two years- they had good QB, but he is only a soph. Tuberville covered just three of last 11 outside of SEC. USF’s best RB transferred in from Alabama- interesting.
Virginia Tech struggled in emotional home game last week, now visits rabid Baton Rouge on a Saturday night. Hokies ran ball for only 33 yards LW, had three turnovers, Glennon was 22-33/ 245 passing, and they’ve covered five of six as a dog since ’01. LSU won 45-0 at Miss State in the opener, picking off six passes holding Bulldogs to 10 rushing yards; Tigers are just 8-12 vs. spread as home favorite since ’04.
Rest of the Card
-- West Virginia covered 12 of last 15 as road favorite; they won this in-state contest 42-10 LY, rushing for 312 yards. Marshall (5-0 as home dog) is hosting this game for first time since 1915. This is Herd’s Super Bowl.
-- Northwestern lost 31-21 in Reno LY (-7), thanks to -4 turnover ratio; they’ve covered only two of last 12 as home favorite. Nevada lost 52-10 at Nebraska last week; they’re 2-9 vs. spread in last 11 tries as a road dog.
-- Wake Forest QB Skinner separated shoulder LW; they blew early 14-0 lead in Boston. Nebraska has USC coming to Lincoln next week; they’re 6-2-1 vs. spread in their last nine road games. Wake is still 26-13 as dog under Grobe.
-- Minnesota trailed 21-0 at half LW to MAC’s Bowling Green, rallied to force OT but lost; Gophers are 16-9 in last 25 as home favorite, but learning all new systems. Miami, also of MAC, is
4-7 vs. spread in last 11 tries as road dog.
-- Temple was last favored in ’03 (vs. Rutgers); they were 21-29/ 199 passing LW, but gave up 361 rushing yards to Navy. Bulls gave up 563 yards in loss at Rutgers; both sides see this game as winnable, so very important contest between two struggling programs. Investing in this game? Might think about GA.
-- Ohio St is 13-6 vs. spread in last 19 as home favorite, 11-8 vs. spread in non-league games. Akron is 8-6 vs. spread as road dog under Brookhart; first road start for their new QB. Zips played in a bowl LY, so they’re OK, but you know Buckeyes are aware of what Michigan is going through now- they’ll be alert.
-- Virginia got outgained 474-108 at Wyoming LW; Groh now on hot seat. Duke led 14-11 at half, lost 45-14 to UConn; their winless streak is now 21. Cavs won last seven series games by an average score of 22-9- they held Duke to only 8 first downs in LY’s 37-0 win.
-- Central Michigan beat Toledo last two years, is favored over Rockets for first time since ’95; LY, they beat Toledo 42-20 LY, using +4 turnover ratio to offset being outgained 487-387. Both teams gave up 52 pts last week; Chippewas lost 52-7 at Kansas, Toledo 52-24 at home to Purdue.
-- Bowling Green won at Minnesota in OT last week, after blowing 21-0 halftime lead. Michigan State led outmanned UAB 45-3 at the half. Falcons covered nine of last 12 vs. "big boys" (BCS schools). Falcons gave up 246 rushing yards to Minnesota, despite leading whole game.
-- Hard to lay six with Baylor team that got shut out last week, but Bears are 4-3 as home fave since ’01, while Rice lost storm-delayed game to I-AA Nicholls State LW, 16-14. Owls are 16-12 as road dog since ’01, but have third HC in three years, which is tough on players.
-- Wyoming won 48-21 at Utah State LY, outgaining State 460-129 (221-55 rushing yards). Cowboys are 6-4 in last ten games as home favorite- they crushed Virginia LW, outgaining Cavs 474-108, holding them to five first downs. State got beat 23-16 at home by UNLV in its opener.
-- San Jose lost 45-3 at Arizona State, bad start after bowl season in ’06. Kansas State covered six of last seven as home favorite; they led at Auburn in final 3:00, before Tigers rallied for win- Wildcats threw 58 passes, ran 27 times, but their defense held Auburn to 62 rushing yards.
-- Upset alert for Cal team that got revenge win vs. Tennessee LW, now visits Colorado State club that blew 11-point lead in 4th quarter to rival Buffaloes. Rams beat Cal 23-21 in ’03, but they’re 0-3 as home dog since 2002. Hanie converted 11 of 19 on 3rd down LW. Cal is 8-6 as road favorite with Tedford.
-- Missouri blasted Ole Miss LY 34-7 (-10) in Columbia, running for 218 yards, passing for 253 (471-162 in total yards). Rebels had 20-0 halftime lead LW, with special teams, defensive score, then hung on for dear life at end in Memphis. Tigers gave up 34 pts to Illinois LW, still won on neutral field.
-- Ball State lost MAC home game to Miami LW, giving up winning TD in last minute, now is favored on road vs. Eastern Michigan team that was outgained 357-145 LW by Pitt team that is searching for QB. Ball is 2-5 vs. spread as a road favorite in this century.
-- UAB was horrible LW, trailing 45-3 at half at Michigan State; they’re 18 players under scholarship limit, and run into angry Seminole group here, five days after second half rally fell short at Clemson. FSU is just 13-21 vs. spread as home fave, since ’01.
-- Utah won last four games vs. Air Force, winning last two here,.49-35/38-35, but Utes lost their QB for month LW, and their best RB for season- they’re 3-6-1 vs. spread as home favorite. Air Force is 9-6 vs. spread as home dog since ’02; they’re more diverse on offense than they’ve been.
-- East Carolina played good defense at Virginia Tech LW, outrushing Hokies 142-33, but loss of their starting QB (susp-DUI) stung; Pirates are 5-1 as home fave under Holtz. UNC has just nine starters back from LY; new coach Davis has brought hope back to Chapel Hill.
-- UCLA QB Olson went to BYU, went on his LCD mission, then transferred to UCLA, so this has to be special game for him, but BYU beat Oregon (38-8), Arizona (20-7) in last two games, so they have to be confident being a dog vs. Pac-10 opponent.
-- Tennessee lost at Cal LW, has Florida on deck, so this becomes huge game; Vols have covered only 13 of last 41 at home, three of 17 if favored. Southern Miss is just 7-13 vs. spread as road dog since ’01; they have a senior QB, as do Vols. Ainge was 32-47/271 passing at Cal, despite broken pinky.
-- TCU has its Super Bowl here vs. Texas club that got outgained 397-340 by Arkansas State LW, winning 21-13, because ASU had four empty trips inside Texas red zone. Horned Frogs covered four of last five as a road dog; they shut Baylor out LW, picking off four Bear passes.
-- Visiting team won last two Miss State-Tulane games, with Wave winning 32-29 LY (429-350 TY); State is 5-9 vs. spread in non-SEC games since ’02. Tulane is 1-6-1 as home dog last two years- this is first game for new coach Toledo (the former UCLA coach), State threw six picks in 45-0 home loss to LSU.
-- Kentucky is 8-4-1 in last thirteen tries as home favorite, but has Louisville on deck, huge game for them- can’t look past Kent squad that won 23-14 at Iowa State LW, running ball for 205 yards. Flashes covered five of last six as road underdog.
-- UTEP beat New Mexico 10-6 LW, despite dismal 8-26/80 night passing; Lobos outgained them 383-209, but Miners won. Texas Tech is on short week after drilling SMU 49-9 Monday. Harrell was 49-65/470 passing, so Miners will need lot more than 10 points to win here.
-- San Diego State is just 6-9 in last 15 tries as road dog; game is in Seattle, not Pullman, but still road game for Long’s Aztecs. Wisconsin was 20-30/304 passing vs. Wazzu LW, as Cougars yielded 486 TY in loss at Madison. Wazzu is 9-17 vs. spread in last 26 tries as favorite.
-- Home side won three of last four Hawai'i-Louisiana Tech tilts, with Tech winning last game here, 46-14, but if they gave up 276 passing yards to Central Arkansas LW, what happens against Colt Brennan, whose Rainbow Warriors led 42-3 at half LW.
-- Iowa beat Syracuse in OT at Carrier Dome LY, stopping SU on seven plays from Hawkeye 2-yard line; starting QB Tate missed that game. Orange were outrushed 302-8 by Washington LW.
-- Indiana beat Western Michigan 39-20 LY (323-289 TY); IU has 16 starters back, four on OL- they're explosive. Western yielded 316 rushing yards at West Virginia LW, was outgained 542-277.
-- New Mexico won last four games vs in-state rivals by average score of 33-17; Lobos averaged 26.4 yards/reception, and a +5 turnover ratio in win, but they lost last week in El paso, despite holding the Miners to 10 points.
-- Wisconsin covered six of last seven non-league games, and is 3-0 in last three tries as road favorite; UNLV covered eight of its last 12 as home dog. Badgers covered 14-pt spread last week vs good Washington State team.
-- Colorado beat Colorado State in OT LW, in QB Hawkins' first college game, now they go up in class visiting Arizona St squad that hammered San Jose State 45-3 LW. ASU had balance, with 239 passing yards, 269 passing.
-- Short week for Clemson after beating Florida State for fourth time in five years; letdown likely vs UL-Monroe squad that lost 35-14 at home to Tulsa, after leading 17-14 at half.
-- Troy is spunky, going anywhere for big paychecks; last week, they lost 46-26 at Arkansas, covering in last minute, despite an awful passing performance (17-49/214). Florida has Tennessee on deck, so you won't see much of their playbook here.
-- Oklahoma State beat Florida Atlantic last two years, 23-3 and 48-8; LY, OSU outgained Owls 432-215. Cowboys covered ten of last fifteen tries as home favorite, were stung at Georgia in 35-14 loss last week. FAU won a league game last week.
-- UL-Lafayette ran ball for 254 yards at South Carolina last week and hung within 28-14 of Gamecocks (SC's starting QB Mitchell didn't play). Ohio U blocked three punts LW, but Gardner-Webb isn't I-A.ULL's coach comes from Va Tech; Ohio ain't blocking three kicks in this game.
-- Florida International lost 59-0 at Penn State last week, so hard to tell anything about that. Steffy won Maryland's QB job when his competition was declared ineligible, so they're shaky at QB.
-- Arkansas State outgained Texas LW, lost because they were empty on four different drives in Longhorn red zone. Memphis trailed Ole Miss 20-0 at half LW, rallied to 23-21, but conversion to tie game in last 0:31 failed.
-- Short week for SMU club that got waxed 49-9 by Texas Tech Monday; very long week for North Texas club that lost 79-10 to an angry Oklahoma team. North Texas upset Mustangs 24-6 in 2006, but SMU covered five of last six as home favorite.
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posted by phantom
Sept. 8 2007 12:06pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
Saturday, September 8
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Tips and Trends
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Miami at #5 Oklahoma (ABC | 12 PM ET)
Miami has played 10 of the current members of the Big 12 conference and has compiled a 31-19 record against the league. The Hurricanes have a 3-2 lead in the series versus the Sooners, having won the last three meetings. EDGE: MIAMI
In the season opener, Miami held Marshall to 51 yards rushing on 32 carries for an average of 1.6 yards per carry. In its last 14 games, the Miami defense has only allowed one team to rush for more than 100 yards. The Hurricanes defense ranked fourth in the NCAA last season in rush defense, allowing an average of 67.8 yards per game – a school record. EDGE: MIAMI
Oklahoma is 48-2 at Gaylord Family – Oklahoma Memorial Stadium under head coach Bob Stoops and has won its last 12 in a row there and 32 of its last 33. During the Stoop’s tenure, which included win streaks of 19 and 17 games, OU has registered six shutouts on Owen Field. EDGE: OKLAHOMA
The Sooners defense has forced at least one turnover in 95 of Bob Stoops’ 106 games and has at least one interception in 71 of the last 93 games. Opponents completed 50 percent or more of their passes in less than half of their games against Stoops-coached OU teams. EDGE: OKLAHOMA
The OVER is 5-0 in the Sooners' last five non-conference games.
#16 Nebraska at Wake Forest (ESPN | 12 PM ET)
Nebraska opened the 2007 season in impressive fashion, rolling up huge offensive numbers in a 52-10 victory over Nevada at Memorial Stadium. The Huskers racked up their top offensive effort in several seasons, amassing 625 yards of total offense. The defense held its own, allowing just 185 yards of total offense and nine first downs. EDGE: NEBRASKA
The Cornhuskers finished 17th nationally in scoring offense at 30.6 points per game in 2006, thanks primarily to an impressive offensive output at home. Nebraska averaged 50 points per game in its first four home games and average 41.6 per game at home in 2006. EDGE: NEBRASKA
Wake Forest wide receiver Kenneth Moore leads the nation in receptions after tying the school record with 15 catches against Boston College in the season opener. EDGE: WAKE FOREST
The Demon Deacons has just three non-offensive touchdowns in all of the 2006 season – they had two on Saturday at Boston College. Wake scored twice with Alphonso Smith returning an interception 21 yards for a score on BC’s first play from scrimmage. In the second quarter, Chip Vaughn returned a fumble 38 yards for a touchdown. EDGE: WAKE FOREST
The Demon Deacons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.
Oregon at Michigan (ABC | 3:30 PM ET)
The Oregon Ducks surpassed the 300-yard rushing mark as a team versus Houston, totaling 339 yards. It was the Ducks third game of 300-plus since the start of 2006 and highest total since setting the school record of 446 yards at Washington State on October 27, 2001. EDGE: OREGON
Oregon has been outscored 59-0 in the three prior meetings in Ann Arbor, the last being a 24-0 shutout on October 6, 1973. EDGE: MICHIGAN
The Ducks now have the very difficult chore of facing a team that is undoubtedly angry and determined to perform worthy of their preseason No. 5 ranking, before losing to Appalachian State last week. Michigan hasn’t lost back-to-back home games since 1994. EDGE: MICHIGAN
Michigan has compiled an impressive 44-21-1 record against teams that currently compete in the Pacific-10 Conference. The Wolverines are 5-6 against its foes from the West over the past 12 years, but 0-3 in road games played at its opposition’s home field. SLIGHT EDGE: MICHIGAN
The Wolverines are 7-3-1 in their last 11 games overall.
South Carolina at #11 Georgia (ESPN2 | 5:45 PM ET)
This is the 60th meeting between these two schools. Georgia holds a 44-13-2 lead in the all-time series, including a 25-6 advantage when the teams have played in Athens. The Bulldogs have won each of the last five meetings, but three of those contests were decided by six points or less. EDGE: GEORGIA
South Carolina head coach Steve Spurrier owns an 11-3 record against Georgia. He was 11-1 while in charge of the Florida Gator program, with his lone loss coming in the 1997 season. His squads have scored 30 or more points in nine of 14 contests against the Bulldogs. EDGE: SOUTH CAROLINA
Georgia’s 18-0 win at South Carolina in 2006 was the first SEC road shutout by the Bulldogs since 1982 and only the second time a Steve Spurrier-coached team didn’t score a point. EDGE: GEORGIA
The Bulldogs have the SEC’s best record during the last six seasons as well as the last 11 seasons. Georgia is the only SEC team to be ranked in the AP Top 25 ten straight seasons. EDGE: GEORGIA
The Fighting Gamecocks are 7-0 in their last seven road games.
BYU at #13 UCLA (6:30 PM ET)
UCLA owns a 6-1 record in the series, including six consecutive wins dating back to 1985. The Bruins have beaten the Cougars by an average of 15.5 points in their six wins. EDGE: UCLA
The BYU defense held Arizona scoreless through 59 minutes in a 20-7 victory over the Wildcats to extend the nation’s second longest active win streak to 11 straight games. In its last two games, the Cougars have kept each of their PAC-10 opponents under 10 points on its way to outscoring the two by a total of 58-15. EDGE: BYU
UCLA’s 624 yards of total offense in the 2007 opener versus Stanford is the 11th highest total in school history. Their 45 points were the most in a season opener since 1998 when it scored 49 to open the season versus Texas at the Rose Bowl. EDGE: UCLA
Under head coach Karl Dorrell, the Bruins home record is 20-5. UCLA has won its last two home openers, posting a 31-10 win last season against Utah and bested Rice 63-21 in the 2004 season. EDGE: UCLA
The Cougars are 17-4-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
#19 TCU at #7 Texas (7 PM ET)
Dating back to the 2005 campaign, the Horned Frogs will play a Big 12 opponent for the sixth time in their last 27 games. During that stretch, the Frogs are 5-0 while allowing just 8.8 points per contest. EDGE: TCU
Texas has won the last three games with TCU and 27 of the past 28 meetings. The Frogs’ lone win in that stretch was a 23-14 victory in Fort Worth in 1992. Since winning 24-17 in 1967, TCU has dropped its last 14 contests in Austin. BIG EDGE: TEXAS
TCU is one of only five teams to have reached 11 wins three times in the last four seasons. At 65-21, the Horned Frogs have the 11th-best record in the nation since the start of the 2000 campaign. EDGE: TCU
The Longhorns are 20-9-1 in their last 30 games following a ATS loss.
#9 Virginia Tech at #2 LSU (ESPN | 9:15 PM ET)
Virginia Tech has won its last 14 opening road games. The Hokies are also 48-6 overall and 18-2 on the road in the month of September since the start of the 1993 season. EDGE: VA TECH
The Hokies are 1-4 all-time against the No. 2 team in the AP’s poll and 0-7 all-time against the No. 1 team in the country. EDGE: LSU
Virginia Tech has won 30 straight games when scoring first. The last time Tech scored first and lost was against West Virginia in 2002. BIG EDGE: VA TECH – SECOND HALF (IF THEY SCORE FIRST)
Myth has it that LSU plays better at night in Tiger Stadium than they do during the day. The facts show that since 1960, LSU is 201-59-3 at night under the lights compared to 19-22-3 mark in Tiger Stadium during the day. EDGE: LSU
The OVER is 10-2 in the Hokies last 12 games as a road underdog.
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posted by phantom
Sept. 8 2007 12:06pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
College Football Betting News & Notes
Week 2
STARS
-Matt Ryan completed 32-of-52 passes for a career-high 408 yards and five touchdowns and Boston College beat Wake Forest 38-28.
-Armanti Edwards threw for 227 yards, three scores and rushed for another in Appalachian State's 34-32 win over Michigan.
-Tim Tebow threw for 300 yards and three touchdowns and ran for another as Florida crushed Western Kentucky 49-3.
-Nate Kmic rushed for four touchdowns and finished with 151 yards on seven carries in Mount Union's record-breaking 75-7 win over Averett.
-Tashard Choice rushed for a career-high 196 yards and two touchdowns and Georgia Tech beat Notre Dame 33-3.
-Ben Olson threw five touchdown passes in UCLA's 45-17 victory over Stanford.
-Marlon Lucky rushed for a career-high 233 yards and three touchdowns in Nebraska's 52-10 rout of Nevada.
- Penn State linebacker Sean Lee led the defense with seven tackles, a forced fumble and a sack in a 59-0 rout of Florida International.
-Jehuu Caulcrick ran for 93 yards and a career-high four touchdowns as Michigan State rolled past Alabama-Birmingham, 55-18.
BRINGING DOWN THE HOUSE
Julian Rauch's 24-yard field goal with 26 seconds left put Appalachian State ahead of Michigan and Corey Lynch blocked a field goal in the final seconds to seal one of college football's biggest upsets. The two-time defending champions from college football's former Division I-AA beat Michigan 34-32. No Division I-AA team had beaten a team ranked in The Associated Press poll from 1989-2006.
HURTING
Ohio State's starting defensive end Lawrence Wilson broke his right leg midway through the second quarter against Youngstown State. ... Illinois quarterback Juice Williams left the game against Missouri early in the second quarter after taking a shot to the head. Williams ran to the right side and took what appeared to be a helmet-to-helmet hit from Missouri's Hardy Ricks. No penalty was called. He was replaced by redshirt freshman Eddie McGee.
DYNAMIC DUO
Pat White threw two touchdown passes and ran for two more scores, and Steve Slaton scored four times in No. 3 West Virginia's 62-24 rout of Western Michigan. It was the Mountaineers' highest scoring game since an 80-7 win over Rutgers in 2001. White finished 10-of-18 for 192 yards and 97 yards rushing, while Slaton finished with 109 yards.
IRISH STING
Georgia Tech's defense shut down Notre Dame in a 33-3 victory. The only score for Notre Dame came on a 24-yard field goal by Brandon Walker in the third quarter. The Fighting Irish were held to minus-8 yards rushing.
HEALING
After 4 1/2 months of mourning, No. 9 Virginia Tech struggled to beat East Carolina 17-7, even hearing boos from a home crowd that honored a plea not to jeer the Pirates. The Hokies appeared a bit overwhelmed by the burden of what they'll face all year: rallying a school that is desperate to move on from the worst mass shooting in modern American history. The 32 victims of April's campus massacre were honored in a heart-tugging pregame ceremony, which was followed by an uninspiring performance on the field.
ONE NITTANY LION
Penn State welcomed 80-year-old Joe Paterno back to the sidelines with a suffocating show of defense. The 17th-ranked Nittany Lions routed Florida International 59-0, as Paterno made his first appearance on the sidelines since breaking his left leg last year at Wisconsin. A cart took Paterno off the field at Wisconsin last November after two players ran into him on the sideline in a violent collision. He spent the next week at home while recovering from surgery - missing a game for the first time since 1977.
FLYING HIGH
Matt Ryan threw for five touchdowns - second-most at Boston College only to Doug Flutie - to help the Eagles beat Wake Forest 38-28. Ryan completed 32-of-52 passes, and threw for more than 400 yards against Wake Forest for the second consecutive year. No BC quarterback has thrown for as many as five touchdowns in a game since Flutie connected for six against North Carolina en route to the 1984 Heisman Trophy.
REMEMBER WHEN
Ohio State's Jim Tressel was the coach at Youngstown State for 15 years and led the Penguins to four I-AA championships before taking over the Buckeyes in 2001.
STRONG IN DEFEAT
Mike Hart rushed for 188 yards and three touchdowns in Michigan's 34-32 lost to Appalachian State. ... Anthony Alridge had 22 carries for 205 yards and a touchdown, he also caught three passes for 88 yards and another score but Houston lost to Oregon 48-27. ... Kenneth Moore tied a Wake Forest record with 15 catches - one short of the ACC record held by four players - for 126 yards and a touchdown in the Demon Deacons 38-28 loss to Boston College. ...
THE REPLACEMENTS
Todd Boeckman completed 17-of-23 passes for 225 yards and two touchdowns, in his first game replacing Heisman Trophy winner Troy Smith and Ohio State beat Youngstown St. 38-6. ... Notre Dame's replacements for Brady Quinn were shut down in the Fighting Irish's 33-3 loss to Georgia Tech on Saturday. Demetrius Jones, Evan Sharpley and Jimmy Clausen combined to go 15-for-22 for a 130 yards.
SCORING SPREE
Nate Kmic rushed for four touchdowns in the first quarter as Mount Union shattered the NCAA record for points in a quarter, piling up 52 in its 75-7 rout of Averett. The defending Division III champion Purple Raiders broke the previous record of 50 points, scored by Alabama State in the second quarter against Prairie View on Oct. 26, 1991.
DEBUTS
- Michigan State rolled past Alabama-Birmingham, 55-18, giving Mark Dantonio a win in his debut as Spartan coach. UAB coach Neil Callaway also made his debut.
- Randy Shannon's coaching debut at Miami was a breeze. Unranked entering a season for the first time since 1998, Miami beat Marshall 31-3.
- Mario Cristobal's debut with Florida International was one to forget as the Golden Pathers were beaten by Penn State 59-0.
- UCLA defeated Stanford 45-17 to spoil the debut of Jim Harabaugh.
- Jeff Jagodzinski got a victory in his coaching debut as Boston College defeated Wake Forest 38-28.
- Air Force easily defeated South Carolina St. 34-3, to earn new coach Troy Calhoun his first victory.
STREAKING
With a 34-32 victory over Michigan, Appalachian State has won 15 straight games, the longest streak in the nation. ...
SPEAKING
''I wouldn't call it embarrassing because that takes away from them. We're disappointed. I can tell you that. ''It is one of the biggest losses ever, but give all the credit to Appalachian State.''- Michigan's Mike Hart after the Wolverines 34-32 loss to Appalachian State.
posted by phantom
Sept. 8 2007 12:06pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
College Football Betting Trends
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Week 2 Betting Trends
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at Illinois Fighting Illini by NL Western Illinois O/U NL
Illinois Fighting Illini are 13-27-0 ATS After 1 Losses (All Lines)
Illinois Fighting Illini are 8-20-0 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)
at Purdue Boilermakers by NL Eastern Illinois O/U NL
Purdue Boilermakers are 17-31-3 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Purdue Boilermakers are 5-19-1 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Purdue Boilermakers are 4-13-1 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Purdue Boilermakers are 3-11-0 O/U After 1 Overs (All Lines)
at Arizona Wildcats by NL Northern Arizona O/U NL
Arizona Wildcats are 11-26-1 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Arizona Wildcats are 3-17-1 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Arizona Wildcats are 0-5-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Arizona Wildcats are 1-11-1 O/U After 1 Away (All Lines)
at Connecticut Huskies by NL Maine O/U NL
Connecticut Huskies are 17-7-2 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)
at Iowa State Cyclones by NL Northern Iowa O/U NL
Iowa State Cyclones are 8-22-0 ATS After 1 Losses (All Lines)
Iowa State Cyclones are 7-23-0 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)
Nebraska Cornhuskers by 8.0 at Wake Forest Demon Deacons O/U 50.0
Nebraska Cornhuskers are 1-8-0 O/U As Favorite (7 -> 9.5)
at Oklahoma Sooners by 10.5 Miami Hurricanes O/U 43.0
Miami Hurricanes are 14-36-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Miami Hurricanes are 6-17-0 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
Miami Hurricanes are 7-18-0 O/U After 1 Home (All Lines)
at Minnesota Golden Gophers by 9.0 Miami of Ohio Redskins O/U 50.0
Minnesota Golden Gophers are 17-7-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
at Ohio State Buckeyes by 29.0 Akron Zips O/U 50.0
Ohio State Buckeyes are 25-12-1 ATS As Home (All Lines)
at Virginia Cavaliers by 17.0 Duke Blue Devils O/U 38.0
Virginia Cavaliers are 25-9-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Virginia Cavaliers are 17-6-1 ATS After 1 Losses (All Lines)
Alabama Crimson Tide by 3.5 at Vanderbilt Commodores O/U 47.0
Alabama Crimson Tide are 8-19-0 O/U After 1 Wins (All Lines)
Vanderbilt Commodores are 7-18-1 ATS After 1 Home (All Lines)
at Central Michigan Chippewas by 3.0 Toledo Rockets O/U 54.0
Central Michigan Chippewas are 1-7-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Central Michigan Chippewas are 0-5-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Central Michigan Chippewas are 6-0-0 ATS After 1 Overs (All Lines)
at Michigan State Spartans by 18.0 Bowling Green Falcons O/U 57.0
Michigan State Spartans are 22-38-1 ATS All Games (All Lines)
Michigan State Spartans are 17-6-0 O/U After 1 Wins (All Lines)
at Baylor Bears by 6.0 Rice Owls O/U 44.0
Rice Owls are 18-5-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Rice Owls are 16-5-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
at Wyoming Cowboys by 24.0 Utah State Aggies O/U 40.0
Wyoming Cowboys are 22-8-0 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
at Kansas State Wildcats by 17.0 San Jose State Spartans O/U 45.0
Kansas State Wildcats are 13-4-0 O/U After 1 Away (All Lines)
California Golden Bears by 14.0 at Colorado State Rams O/U 61.0
Missouri Tigers by 6.0 at Mississippi Rebels O/U 54.0
Missouri Tigers are 1-7-0 O/U As Away Favorite (All Lines)
Mississippi Rebels are 3-11-2 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)
Mississippi Rebels are 7-18-1 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
Mississippi Rebels are 0-5-0 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (3 -> 6.5)
at Boston College Eagles by 13.5 North Carolina State Wolfpack O/U 49.5
Boston College Eagles are 0-6-0 ATS All Games (10 -> 13.5)
Boston College Eagles are 14-5-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Ball State Cardinals by 5.0 at Eastern Michigan Hurons O/U 43.0
Ball State Cardinals are 13-4-0 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)
Ball State Cardinals are 6-0-0 ATS As Away (3 -> 6.5)
at Michigan Wolverines by 8.0 Oregon Ducks O/U 64.0
Michigan Wolverines are 8-1-0 O/U After 1 Losses (All Lines)
Boise State Broncos by 3.0 at Washington Huskies O/U 57.5
Boise State Broncos are 5-0-1 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)
Boise State Broncos are 5-0-0 ATS After 1 Wins (3 -> 6.5)
Washington Huskies are 9-21-1 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Washington Huskies are 5-17-1 ATS After 1 Away (All Lines)
at Georgia Bulldogs by 4.5 South Carolina Gamecocks O/U 44.5
Georgia Bulldogs are 13-3-2 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)
Georgia Bulldogs are 10-1-1 ATS As Favorite (3 -> 6.5)
Georgia Bulldogs are 9-2-2 ATS After 1 Wins (3 -> 6.5)
Georgia Bulldogs are 6-0-1 ATS After 1 Home (3 -> 6.5)
Georgia Bulldogs are 0-5-0 O/U vs. South Carolina (All Lines)
South Carolina Gamecocks are 0-5-0 O/U vs. Georgia (All Lines)
at Tennessee Volunteers by 10.5 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles O/U 50.0
Tennessee Volunteers are 12-25-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Tennessee Volunteers are 8-23-0 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Tennessee Volunteers are 5-14-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
at Texas Longhorns by 9.5 Texas Christian Horned Frogs O/U 44.5
Texas Longhorns are 11-3-0 O/U After 1 Unders (All Lines)
Mississippi State Bulldogs by 6.5 at Tulane Green Wave O/U 45.5
Mississippi State Bulldogs are 18-35-2 ATS All Games (All Lines)
Mississippi State Bulldogs are 9-26-2 ATS After 1 Losses (All Lines)
at Kentucky Wildcats by 13.0 Kent Golden Flashes O/U 51.5
Kent Golden Flashes are 3-12-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Kent Golden Flashes are 1-8-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
Kent Golden Flashes are 1-8-0 O/U As Away (All Lines)
Kent Golden Flashes are 0-7-0 O/U As Away Dog (All Lines)
at Texas Tech Red Raiders by 24.0 Texas El Paso Miners O/U 63.5
Texas Tech Red Raiders are 16-6-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Texas Tech Red Raiders are 22-7-1 O/U After 1 Wins (All Lines)
Texas Tech Red Raiders are 21-4-1 O/U After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
at Washington State Cougars by 13.5 San Diego State Aztecs O/U 49.5
Washington State Cougars are 14-4-0 O/U After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)
Washington State Cougars are 6-17-0 ATS After 1 Away (All Lines)
Hawaii Warriors by 28.0 at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs O/U 76.5
Hawaii Warriors are 18-5-0 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)
Hawaii Warriors are 13-3-0 O/U After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 21-37-1 ATS All Games (All Lines)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 9-25-1 ATS As Dog (All Lines)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 3-19-1 ATS After 1 Wins (All Lines)
at Iowa Hawkeyes by 21.5 Syracuse Orangemen O/U 42.0
Iowa Hawkeyes are 24-9-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Iowa Hawkeyes are 21-7-0 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Syracuse Orangemen are 4-13-0 O/U After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)
at Western Michigan Broncos by PK Indiana Fightin Hoosiers O/U 60.0
Indiana Fightin Hoosiers are 14-30-1 ATS As Dog (All Lines)
Indiana Fightin Hoosiers are 7-20-1 ATS After 1 Home (All Lines)
at Auburn Tigers by 6.5 South Florida Bulls O/U 39.0
South Florida Bulls are 8-24-1 O/U All Games (All Lines)
South Florida Bulls are 2-16-0 O/U After 1 Wins (All Lines)
South Florida Bulls are 3-11-0 O/U After 1 Home (All Lines)
at Louisiana State Fighting Tigers by 12.5 Virginia Tech Hokies O/U 38.0
Virginia Tech Hokies are 17-7-0 ATS After 1 Unders (All Lines)
at New Mexico Lobos by 7.0 New Mexico State Aggies O/U 54.5
New Mexico Lobos are 7-0-0 ATS After 1 Unders (7 -> 9.5)
New Mexico State Aggies are 1-7-0 ATS All Games (7 -> 9.5)
at Florida Gators by 26.5 Troy Trojans O/U 53.0
Florida Gators are 15-29-2 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)
at Oklahoma State Cowboys by 23.0 Florida Atlantic Owls O/U 54.0
Oklahoma State Cowboys are 13-3-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
Oklahoma State Cowboys are 6-0-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Ohio Bobcats by 1.5 at UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns O/U 43.5
Maryland Terrapins by 23.5 at Florida Intl Golden Panthers O/U 47.0
Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 2-9-0 O/U After 1 Losses (All Lines)
Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 1-7-0 O/U After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)
Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 2-10-0 ATS After 1 Away (All Lines)
Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 1-7-0 O/U After 1 Away (All Lines)
Memphis Tigers by 4.0 at Arkansas State Indians O/U 48.0
at Southern Methodist Mustangs by 17.0 North Texas Eagles O/U 44.0
Southern Methodist Mustangs are 8-0-0 O/U After 1 Home (All Lines)
North Texas Eagles are 7-17-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)
North Texas Eagles are 0-5-0 O/U After 1 Overs (All Lines)
North Texas Eagles are 2-10-0 O/U After 1 Away (All Lines)
posted by phantom
Sept. 8 2007 12:07pm -
0 likes
NCAAF
Gameday
Saturday, September 8
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NCAAF Gameday
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College Football Gameday
The second week of the college football season kicks off this weekend with a number of solid matchups. A Top 10 battle between Virginia Tech and LSU highlights the schedule that also includes an SEC matchup between South Carolina and Georgia, and a Top 25 clash between TCU and Texas.
South Carolina at Georgia (11)
Steve Spurrier’s Gamecocks started the season with a 28-14 win over Louisiana-Lafayette as a 28-point favorite. South Carolina got that win without starting quarterback Blake Mitchell, who was serving a one-game suspension for missing too many summer school classes. With Mitchell out, backup quarterbacks Chris Smelley and Tommy Beecher both saw action. Smelley finished the day completing 10-of-14 passes for 101 yards with a touchdown and an interception, while Beecher was 11-of-15 for 137 yards with a touchdown. Running back Cory Boyd had a pair of rushing touchdowns in the win. Mitchell will be back for Saturday’s game and should give the Gamecocks’ offense a jolt.
The Bulldogs easily won their opener 35-14 over Oklahoma State as a 6-point favorite. Matthew Stafford had a solid start to the season while completing 18-of-24 passes for 234 yards with two touchdowns. Thomas Brown ran in two touchdowns, while the defense smothered the usually potent Cowboys’ offense and registered five sacks.
The Bulldogs have won their last five meetings with the Gamecocks, including an 18-0 shutout last season as a 3-point favorite. The Bulldogs are favored by 3.5 points this time.
TCU (19) at Texas (7)
The Horned Frogs' defense pitched a shutout in their opener last week, a 27-0 win over Baylor as a 21.5-point favorite. The defense held the Bears at bay all game despite missing star defensive end Tommy Blake. After two long absences, Blake was held out of the opener and there has been no word yet if he’ll suit up on Saturday. While the Frogs’ defense held firm, the offense got rolling behind quarterback Andy Dalton. In his first college start Dalton completed 18-of-30 passes for 205 yards with a touchdown.
The Longhorns almost found themselves in the same boat as Michigan after they barely got past Arkansas State 21-13 as a huge 40.5-point favorite in their opener. Quarterback Colt McCoy played a very sloppy game while completing 22-of-33 passes for 223 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Running back Jamaal Charles started the season strong with 112 yards and a touchdown on 27 carries. The Texas defense will need to be much better the rest of the way after allowing the Indians to record 397 yards of offense.
The last time TCU and Texas squared off was way back in 1995 when the Longhorns defeated the Horned Frogs 27-19 as an 18-point favorite. The Longhorns are a 9-point favorite this weekend.
Virginia Tech (9) at LSU (2)
The Hokies weren’t exceptionally good in their season opener, but they did enough to get a 17-7 win over East Carolina as a 28-point favorite. Quarterback Sean Glennon was inconsistent throughout the game while completing 22-of-33 passes for 245 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Branden Ore was held to only 70 rushing yards on 23 carries, while Sam Wheeler led the Hokies with seven receptions for 81 yards and a touchdown. Virginia Tech’s saving grace in the win was an 18-yard interception return for a touchdown by Victor Harris.
The Tigers showed why they’re considered to be a top national championship contender in their 45-0 rout of Mississippi State last week. LSU was a 20-point favorite in the easy win. Quarterback Matt Flynn completed 12-of-19 passes for 128 yards and two touchdowns, while backup QB Ryan Perrilloux also threw a TD pass and ran in for a score. The Tigers’ defense pestered the Bulldogs all day long and picked off six passes in the shutout win.
Virginia Tech and LSU last faced off in 2002 when the Hokies dropped the Tigers 26-8 as a 6-point favorite. The Tigers are an 11.5-point favorite at home.
posted by phantom
Sept. 8 2007 12:07pm -
0 likes
LB Sports
JB Sports sorry
3* Texas
3* San Jose state
3* Boston college
Score
400 California
300 Penn State
300 Washington state
Scott Spreitzer
Revenge TKo game of Month
SMU
Mike Neri
4* Penn state
3* Virginia
3*UCLA
3* Arizona State
posted by phantom
Sept. 8 2007 12:09pm -
0 likes
Greg Roberts:
5* Arizona State -15
3* UCLA -7 1/2
3* Northwestern -10 1/2
posted by phantom
Sept. 8 2007 12:09pm -
0 likes
Asa
5* Arizona State
Lenny Stevens
20* S. Carolina
20* S. Florida
10* Virginia
10* Kentucky
10* Arizona state
Alatex
20* Mew Mexico State
posted by phantom
Sept. 8 2007 12:09pm -
0 likes
PPP (penthouse Totals)
5% Kentucky / Kent St Over 52.5
3% Akron / Ohio St Under 49
3% Michigan St / Bowling Green Over 57
posted by phantom
Sept. 8 2007 12:10pm -
0 likes
Wayne Root
Chairman: Nc St
Millionaires Mismatch Goy: Washington
Money Maker: South Florida
No Limit Home Dog Of Month: Vandy
Source Play: South Carolina
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 8 2007 12:10pm -
0 likes
HERD ( 3-0 ):
VIRGINIA TECH
MICHIGAN
U C L A
PENN STATE
KELSO ( 50* 1-0 ):
50* KANSAS STATE
PURELOCK ( 1-0 ):
AIR FORCE
McGREW ( 1-0 ):
VIRGINIA TECH
SEBASTAIN ( 9-3 + 100* 1-0 ):
100* TEXAS TECH
posted by phantom
Sept. 8 2007 12:17pm