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   College Football Trend Report

   MIAMI OHIO (2 - 10) at BALL ST (5 - 7) - 8/30/2007, 7:00 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   BALL ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons

   BALL ST is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   BUFFALO (2 - 10) at RUTGERS (11 - 2) - 8/30/2007, 7:00 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons

   RUTGERS is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   LSU (11 - 2) at MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 9) - 8/30/2007, 8:00 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons

   LSU is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons

   2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   KENT ST (6 - 6) at IOWA ST (4 - - 8/30/2007, 8:00 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   UNLV (2 - 10) at UTAH ST (1 - 11) - 8/30/2007, 8:05 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   UNLV is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

   UNLV is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   UTAH ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons

   UTAH ST is 1-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   UTAH (8 - 5) at OREGON ST (10 - 4) - 8/30/2007, 10:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   UTAH is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

   UTAH is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

   UTAH is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   TULSA (8 - 5) at LA MONROE (4 - - 8/30/2007, 7:00 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   NAVY (9 - 4) at TEMPLE (1 - 11) - 8/31/2007, 7:30 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   NAVY is 93-60 ATS (+27.0 Units) in all games since 1992.

   NAVY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

   NAVY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

   NAVY is 93-60 ATS (+27.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

   NAVY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

   NAVY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

   TEMPLE is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   TEMPLE is 1-1 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons

   NAVY is 2-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   WASHINGTON (5 - 7) at SYRACUSE (4 - - 8/31/2007, 8:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   SYRACUSE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   W MICHIGAN (8 - 5) at W VIRGINIA (11 - 2) - 9/1/2007, 12:00 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   E CAROLINA (7 - 6) at VIRGINIA TECH (10 - 3) - 9/1/2007, 12:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   VIRGINIA TECH is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

   VIRGINIA TECH is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in September games since 1992.

   E CAROLINA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

   E CAROLINA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

   E CAROLINA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

   E CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

   E CAROLINA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

   E CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

   E CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   MARSHALL (5 - 7) at MIAMI (7 - 6) - 9/1/2007, 12:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   MARSHALL is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

   MARSHALL is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in road games since 1992.

   MARSHALL is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   UAB (3 - 9) at MICHIGAN ST (4 - - 9/1/2007, 12:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   UAB is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   CONNECTICUT (4 - at DUKE (0 - 12) - 9/1/2007, 2:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   CONNECTICUT is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

   DUKE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

   DUKE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

   DUKE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

   DUKE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   VIRGINIA (5 - 7) at WYOMING (6 - 6) - 9/1/2007, 2:00 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   WYOMING is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons

   VIRGINIA is 1-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   NEVADA (8 - 5) at NEBRASKA (9 - 5) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   NEBRASKA is 50-26 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

   NEBRASKA is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

   NEBRASKA is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games since 1992.

   NEBRASKA is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

   NEVADA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

   NEVADA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

   NEVADA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

   NEVADA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   OLE MISS (4 - at MEMPHIS (2 - 10) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   OLE MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons

   OLE MISS is 2-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   IOWA (6 - 7) vs. N ILLINOIS (7 - 6) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   IOWA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons.

   IOWA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

   IOWA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

   IOWA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons

   IOWA is 1-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   HOUSTON (10 - 4) at OREGON (7 - 6) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   OREGON is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons

   OREGON is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   WASHINGTON ST (6 - 6) at WISCONSIN (12 - 1) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

   WISCONSIN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

   WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

   WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   GEORGIA TECH (9 - 5) at NOTRE DAME (10 - 3) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   GEORGIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons

   NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   MISSOURI (8 - 5) vs. ILLINOIS (2 - 10) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   ILLINOIS is 42-71 ATS (-36.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   UCLA (7 - 6) at STANFORD (1 - 11) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   UCLA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1992.

   STANFORD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   STANFORD is 1-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons

   UCLA is 2-0 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons

   2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   WAKE FOREST (11 - 3) at BOSTON COLLEGE (10 - 3) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons

   BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   ARIZONA (6 - 6) at BYU (11 - 2) - 9/1/2007, 5:30 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   BYU is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   BYU is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons

   ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   ARMY (3 - 9) vs. AKRON (5 - 7) - 9/1/2007, 6:00 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   ARMY is 1-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons

   ARMY is 1-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   UCF (4 - at NC STATE (3 - 9) - 9/1/2007, 6:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   NC STATE is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   BAYLOR (4 - at TCU (11 - 2) - 9/1/2007, 6:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   BAYLOR is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

   TCU is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

   TCU is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

   TCU is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

   TCU is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

   TCU is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   TCU is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons

   TCU is 1-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   OKLAHOMA ST (7 - 6) at GEORGIA (9 - 4) - 9/1/2007, 6:45 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   C MICHIGAN (10 - 4) at KANSAS (6 - 6) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   C MICHIGAN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

   C MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

   C MICHIGAN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

   KANSAS is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) in all games since 1992.

   KANSAS is 62-87 ATS (-33.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

   KANSAS is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   COLORADO ST (4 - vs. COLORADO (2 - 10) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   COLORADO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

   COLORADO is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   E MICHIGAN (1 - 11) at PITTSBURGH (6 - 6) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   E MICHIGAN is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   PURDUE (8 - 6) at TOLEDO (5 - 7) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   TOLEDO is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

   TOLEDO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

   TOLEDO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games since 1992.

   TOLEDO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   KANSAS ST (7 - 6) at AUBURN (11 - 2) - 9/1/2007, 7:45 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   BOWLING GREEN (4 - at MINNESOTA (6 - 7) - 9/1/2007, 8:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   MINNESOTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   TENNESSEE (9 - 4) at CALIFORNIA (10 - 3) - 9/1/2007, 8:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   CALIFORNIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.

   CALIFORNIA is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons

   TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   NEW MEXICO (6 - 7) at UTEP (5 - 7) - 9/1/2007, 10:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   UTEP is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

   UTEP is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   UTEP is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons

   UTEP is 1-1 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons

   2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   SAN JOSE ST (9 - 4) at ARIZONA ST (7 - 6) - 9/1/2007, 10:00 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   IDAHO (4 - at USC (11 - 2) - 9/1/2007, 10:15 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 12) at PENN ST (9 - 4) - 9/1/2007, 12:00 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   ARKANSAS ST (6 - 6) at TEXAS (10 - 3) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   TEXAS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   NORTH TEXAS (3 - 9) at OKLAHOMA (11 - 3) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   NORTH TEXAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   LA LAFAYETTE (6 - 6) at S CAROLINA (8 - 5) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   S CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   TROY (8 - 5) at ARKANSAS (10 - 4) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   MIDDLE TENN ST (7 - 6) at FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 7) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

   There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons

   MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons

   2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   TEXAS TECH (8 - 5) at SMU (6 - 6) - 9/3/2007, 4:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   TEXAS TECH is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   TEXAS TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons

   TEXAS TECH is 1-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   FLORIDA ST (7 - 6) at CLEMSON (8 - 5) - 9/3/2007, 8:00 PM

   Top Trends for this game.

   CLEMSON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

   Head-to-Head Series History

   CLEMSON is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons

   CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons

   1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   

   posted by phantom

   Aug. 29 2007 7:49pm
2. 0 likes

   NCAAF

   Week 1

   Write-up

   Thursday's college football information

   Ball State upset Miami at home LY, 20-17 (+5), even though they were outgained, 359-226. Cardinals covered six of last seven as a home favorite; Miami is 3-7 in last ten as aroad dog. Both sides have four starters back on offensive line.

   Rutgers has tough act to follow after dream season in '06; they covered five of last seven as home favorite, are 18-8-1 vs spread in last 27 non-league games. Buffalo lost 41-0 at Boston College LY, 38-7 at Auburn; they're 5-2 as road underdog with Gill.

   LSU has Virginia Tech on deck, lookahead possible vs Miss St team they've beaten seven times in row, last six by an average of 42-7, with last two games at this site by 41-6/37-7 margins. LSU is 9-2-1 vs spread in last dozen tries as road favorite. Bulldogs are 6-15 as home underdog since 2002.

   Iowa State has a new coach, only one starter back on offensive line, but they have a senior QB who has 36 starts, so that helps. Cyclones are 13-7 vs spread as home fave, 12-7 vs spread out of conference. Kent is 12-8 as road dog since '04; they were 4-1 last season- they have four starters back on OL.

   UNLV, Utah State are both 4-19 last two years; Rebels are a road favorite despite having lost last 15 games on foreign soil, and a 1-4 mark in last five tries as road favorite. USU covered four of last 12 as home dog. Aggies won meetings in '04, '05; teams did not play last season.

   Oregon State's best WR is out (personal); they're alternating QB by quarter, but do have four starters back on OL. Utah covered nine of last 11 as road dog; they have junior QB who didn't play last year, but had 10 starts in '05. Beavers are 3-7-1 vs spread in non-league games, Utah covered just one of last five.

   Tulsa covered ten of last thirteen road games, but lost its first road game in each of last twelve years; new coach, but a senior QB with 28 career starts. UL-Monroe has all five starters back on OL; they're 11-4 vs spread as underdog last two years, but at home, have covered only five of last fourteen games.

   

   posted by phantom

   Aug. 29 2007 7:50pm
3. 0 likes

   NCAAF

   Week 1

   Early Betting Trends

   MIAMI-OHIO at BALL ST

   The visitor has cashed in seven of the last eight meetings in this Mid-American Conference rivalry. Ball State has 'covered' seven of its last nine as favorites. The Cardinals have lost nine of their last 11 season openers.

   BUFFALO at RUTGERS

   Buffalo has been shut out 10 times and has lost six of its last seven weekday games. Rutgers is 8-2 against the spread at home versus non-conference competition. The Bulls have failed in nine of their last 11 non-conference games

   LSU at MISS ST .

   LSU has won seven straight and 14 of its last 15 against Mississippi State . The Tigers had cashed nine straight against the Bulldogs until falling just short last year as 33 ½-point favorites, 48-17. LSU has won its last three at Starkville by 42, 35 and 30 points, respectively.

   KENT ST at IOWA ST

   Kent State is 2-27-1 straight up in road openers. Iowa State has won eight straight home openers by an average score of 33-12. The Cyclones are 20-2 SU against teams from the MAC and they have won four straight against the Golden Flashes by an average margin of 22 points.

   UNLV at UTAH ST

   UNLV has lost 15 straight and 17 of its last 18 on the road and failed to cash 10 of its last 12. Utah State has lost seven of its last eight at home and come up short in six of eight ATS.

   UTAH at OREGON ST

   Utah has cashed 11 of its last 12 as a road short of 3+ points. The Utes have been on the low side in 10 of 11 on the road when the number was between 49 ½ and 56. They have also fallen below the total in 14 of 18 non-conference battles.

   

   posted by phantom

   Aug. 29 2007 7:50pm
4. 0 likes

   AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK

   Marc's Awesome Angle Of The Week

   Wins 67% In PLAYBOOK Last Four Years!

   ATS W-L Record

   Since 1990:

   11-1 (92%)

   DOUBLE TROUBLE PLAY ON any college road dog or favorite of 5 < points who won 4 > games last season if they return 17 > starters for the 2nd straight season vs a foe that returns 11 < starters from last season.

   Play On: ARIZONA

   For what it’s worth, there are no less

   than eleven teams that will enter the

   2007 season with 100-yard improved

   defenses. They are: Arizona State,

   Illinois, North Texas, Northwestern,

   Ohio U, Rutgers, Texas A&M, UCLA,

   Western Michigan, Wisconsin and

   Wyoming.

   You know what to do – do it to me

   one more time...

   2-MINUTE HANDICAP ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog

   F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up

   Saturday September 1

   East Carolina 6-1 bef BB HG… 6-2 A vs non conf… 2-5 A Game One

   VA TECH 13-3 H vs non conf… 0-3 non conf favs 23 > pts

   Marshall 5-2 dogs 15 > pts… 0-3 A vs non conf… 1-4 Game One

   MIAMI FL 13-4 Game One (6-0 DD favs)… 0-5 vs CUSA

   Virginia 1-7 A bef conf HG… 2-7 vs non conf opp w/ rev

   WYOMING 5-1 in 1st of BB HG… 1-4 dogs 6 < pts… 4-8 Game One

   Houston 3-0 bef RG vs Tulane… 4-1 dogs 9 > pts vs Pac 10

   OREGON 4-1 Game One… 7-3 favs 14 > Pts… Sept: 4-8 as HF’s

   Wash St 1-4 bef BB HG… 2-7 Game One… 3-7 dogs > 13 pts

   WISCONSIN Sept: 10-2-1 home… 2-10 non conf favs 14 > pts

   Ga Tech Series 3-0 L3… 9-0 A bef BB HG… 1-5 dogs 4 < pts

   NOTRE DAME 1-5 HF’s 4 < pts… 1-3 bef RG vs Penn St… Sept: 2-5 HF’s

   Wake Forest Series: 4-0 L4… 8-0 as dogs 7 < pts… 4-1 A in Game One

   BOSTON COLL 5-1 in 1st of BB HG… 1-5 H w/ rev… 3-7 favs 7 < pts

   Arizona 3-0 A vs non conf opp w/ rev… 3-7 dogs < 7 pts

   BYU 7-1 Game One… 2-7 H vs Pac 10… 2-5 favs < 7 pts

   Okla St 6-2 non conf dogs > 2 pts… 6-17 dogs 7 < pts

   GEORGIA 4-1 Game One favs < 8 pts… 3-7 in 1st of BB HG

   Kansas St 0-4 A bef BB HG… 1-5 non conf dogs 10 > pts

   AUBURN 1-4 non conf HF’s 15 < pts… Sept: 2-6 vs non conf

   Tennessee 1-5 dogs 4 > pts vs opp w/ rev… Sept: 3-7-2 L12 RG

   CALIFORNIA 1-4 H w/ non conf rev… 6-17 as non conf favs (1-5 L3Y)

   San Jose St 3-0 L3 vs Pac 10… 7-1 Game One… 3-7 dogs 14 > pts

   ARIZONA ST 9-1 favs 14 > pts… 4-1 H Game One… 7-3 vs WAC

   Idaho 0-4 dogs > 31 pts… 1-6 vs Pac 10… 4-8 A vs non conf

   USC 7-3 favs 28 > pts (but 0-3 favs 31 > pts)… 1-3 H vs WAC

   Arkansas St 4-2 A vs non conf… 0-4 bef Memphis… 0-4 A bef BB HG

   TEXAS 11-3 favs > 28 pts (7-1 vs non conf)… 7-3 in 1st of BB HG

   Monday September 3

   Texas Tech Series: Visitor 0-4… 0-5 A Game One… 1-4 RF’s 7 > pts

   SMU 4-1 H vs non conf… 6-2 dogs 14 < pts… 2-8 Game One

   Florida St 1-4 as RF’s 10 < pts… 3-7 w/ conf rev (0-3 A)

   CLEMSON Series: 3-1 L4 / 6-1 L7 H… 2-6 H vs conf opp w/ rev

   INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK

   Navy's Midshipmen are

   29-1 ATS in their last 30 straight-up

   road victories.

   SMART BOX

   NEW COLLEGE COACHES

   New Head Coaches Are Moneyburners

   Pair a ‘new coach lousy team’ against a ‘good team’ (one

   who won six or more games last year) in season openers

   and you have the makings of a massacre, as these pairings

   fi nd ‘new head coach-lousy team’ combinations at 4-42

   SU & 11-30-2 ATS. There are fi ve such pairings to open the

   2007 season (the ‘new head coach-lousy team’ listed first):

   8/30 – IOWA STATE vs Kent State,

   9/1 – IDAHO vs Usc, FLORIDA INT’L vs Penn State, NORTH TEXAS vs Oklahoma and STANFORD vs Ucla.

   New Head Coaches With Lousy Teams

   are Lousy in Season Openers

   New Head Coaches with Lousy Teams

   vs Good Teams Spell Disaster

   For the most part, new coaches are brought into college

   football programs that are in need of a transfusion. Much like

   a body that undergoes alterations during a lifestyle change of

   diet and exercise, it also takes a while before fi rst year coaches

   turn a program around. In fact, all teams with 1st year head

   coaches are 1077-1205-35, or 46.8% ATS, since 1990.

   The groundwork is laid in the fi rst year, when new coaches

   install new playbooks and game plans. Consequently, these

   teams really struggle out of the gate. That’s confirmed by the

   fact that, since 1990:

   • 1st Year College Football Head Coaches in Game One are

   a 42.7% pointspread proposition, going 71-95-6 ATS.

   A lousy team is often defi ned as winning four or fewer games

   the previous year. We agree with that statement because:

   • Four win (or less) teams, with a new 1st year head coach,

   are 30-48-5 ATS in their initial game scheduled. No less than

   eleven teams open the season in this role: Army, Florida

   International, Idaho, Iowa St, Michigan St, North Carolina,

   NC State, North Texas, Stanford, Tulane (9/ and UAB.

   BALL ST over Miami Ohio by 3

   RedHawks had amassed a 28-10 SU record since 2003 but crashed

   hard last year with a 2-10 disaster. Now the crew from Oxford opens

   ‘07 as a virtual touchdown underdog to fi rst-time series favorite Ball

   State. The Testicular Ones are at odds with history: the visitor in this

   matchup is currently 4-0 ATS. Miami is also a ‘mission team’ (won three

   straight years prior to losing season last year) and we like mission dogs

   – especially those with revenge. We’ll fade the Gonads.

   RUTGERS over Buffalo by 27

   Rutgers silenced their doubters last December when they carried a

   10-2 record into the Texas Bowl and ground Kansas State into a 37-10

   dustpile, ending the season at 9-3 ATS. The Scarlet Knights may have

   some diffi culty continuing that streak here as they’ve been saddled

   with a huge -31 point impost (biggest spread last year was -19.5). The

   stats certainly support RU: they’re 8-2 ATS home vs non conf foes and

   a sweet 7-1 ATS when playing the fi rst of back-to-back home games.

   Conversely, Buffalo takes the bullet with a 2-8 ATS mark vs the Big East.

   We think the Scarlet Knights have the most exciting offense this side

   of West Virginia but we also know Navy is on deck. That means a big

   early lead over Buffy could trigger wholesale substitutions – leaving

   the back door perilously ajar.

   Lsu over MISSISSIPPI ST by 20

   Much is expected of LSU this season as every major college preview

   publication in America has tabbed them as a Top Three team – and

   the favorite to dispose of Florida in the SEC title game. Such lofty

   predictions aside, LSU couldn’t have hand-picked a better opponent

   to open against than the Starkville dawgs. If the Tigers’ recent 5-1

   ATS (3-0 away) mark in the series doesn’t impress you, how about an

   average winning margin of 30.6 ppg over the same span? That number

   falls right in line with the Bulldogs’ record of despair in SEC openers,

   losing by 31 ppg the previous fi ve years. With the Bengals on a 8-1

   ATS run as conference road favs and Mississippi St struggling to a 3-9

   ledger as double-digit home dogs, we’re thinking LSU or pass.

   Kent St over IOWA ST by 7

   Questions abound in Ames as Gene Chizik takes over for the well-liked

   Dan McCarney, and fi nds himself with an awfully green team: only

   fi ve returning starters on both sides of the ball and a miniscule 28

   lettermen. Kent State is somewhat of a mystery, too. Doug Martin’s

   Golden Flashes shocked everyone with a 5-2 SU start in ‘06 but lost

   power as they stumbled to a 1-4 SU fi nish. Kent has enjoyed success

   against non-MAC foes lately, going 4-1 ATS (3-0 as a dog of less than

   14 points), and they do return a boatload of starters. With ISU a triple

   qualifi er in this week’s SMART BOX (page 3), we’ll overlook Kent’s

   late-season hiccup and back the Flashes as road warriors today.

   Unlv over UTAH ST by 4

   No matter how we examine the combined pointspread stats for these

   two teams, the result always reads like a litany of failure. Utah State’s

   numbers are certainly worse overall but with Rebels QB Rocky Hinds

   likely unable to start (knee), any interest in the visitor fades away.

   We’ll put it this way: if Lindsay and Britney bet on football, THIS is

   the type of game they’d play. No rehab for us.

   GAME OF THE WEEK UPSET UPSET

   Utah over OREGON ST by 3

   With each team returning a sizable number of starters, installing

   the PAC 10 rep as 7-point chalk looks about right... until you

   look further. Despite Oregon State’s 10-win season, the offense

   actually regressed by 57 YPG last year – not too encouraging

   when facing a schedule mined with seven bowl opponents. Utah’s

   similar offensive decline was mainly due to the absence of star QB

   Brian Johnson. Johnson’s back, joined by his top six wide receivers.

   With Utah a sterling 21-4-1 ATS as a road dog, look for them to

   improve their 16-5-1 ATS record as pups vs the PAC 10.

   Tulsa over LA MONROE by 1

   New Tulsa head coach Todd Graham will bring Sr QB Paul Smith

   to Monroe but not much else: 11 starters plus a 0-7-1 ATS mark in

   the season’s fi rst lined game makes for some light luggage. Charlie

   Weatherbie’s Warhawks sprinted to the finish line in ‘06 with

   fi ve consecutive ATS covers but a tough non-conference schedule

   (Clemson, Texas A&M and Alabama) makes this a must-win game

   if Monroe is to claim its fi rst winning season since 1994. With 17

   returning starters and a solid system in place, we’ll do the Louisiana

   Lean here. Tell ‘em Charlie sent ya.

   Friday, August 31st

   Navy over TEMPLE by 24

   With only 9 starters and 26 lettermen returning for Navy in 2007,

   Paul Johnson’s coaching acumen will be sorely tested. But not here.

   The Temple Owls have redefi ned BAD over the past two seasons,

   winning just one of 23 games while being outscored by an average of

   32.5 points per contest. The disciplined Midshipmen feast on bottom

   feeders like this (won 42-6 LY) and boast an amazing 19-3 ATS record

   in the fi rst of back-to-back road games. Still, the Middies have a score

   to settle with Rutgers next week (humiliating 0-34 loss) and could ease

   up on the outclassed Owls. Our INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3 certainly

   makes a case for weighing anchor with the Midshipmen.

   SYRACUSE over Washington by 3

   On a disastrous 5-18 SU run under Greg Robinson, the ‘Cuse has

   managed just ONE conference win in two years – while being

   outstatted in 19 of those 23 games! The cavernous Carrier Dome

   seems to be the only advantage the Orange can still claim. Syracuse

   has buried non-conference visitors to the tune of 18-2 ATS, a stat that

   has continued under Robinson (5-0 ATS). With Washington appearing

   to be equally confused under coach Ty Willingham, we’ll play the

   Carrier card. The Syracuse program needs a major shot in the arm

   and a win here could be just what the doctor ordered.

   WEST VIRGINIA over W Michigan by 27

   Make no mistake: Western Michigan has a quality football team,

   improving their defense by 100 yards from 2006. But opening the

   season in Morgantown, WV with 26 sophomores and and 26 juniors

   renders the previous stat darn near meaningless. When Pat White,

   Steve Slaton and the Mountaineer offense get in synch, the points

   pile up quickly... regardless of who’s on the defensive side of the ball.

   Though WVU’s 2-8 ATS log as home favorites of 21 or more points is

   cause for concern, we can’t buck this awesome machine.

   VIRGINIA TECH over East Carolina by 34

   Another situation where a good team is in over their heads. ECU

   brings strong numbers under Skip Holtz (18-6 ATS) but the emotional

   overtones of this game profoundly favor the host Hokies. Black

   armbands will be worn to honor the victims of last spring’s campus

   killings and we expect a supremely motivated Virginia Tech team to

   add to its 13-3 ATS ledger vs non-conf foes. This will be a very diffi cult

   game to play – and to watch.

   MIAMI FL over Marshall by 17

   This sets up nicely for the new-look Hurricanes, who are 13-4 ATS in

   Game One (6-0 as double-digit favorites). Miami’s rush defense was

   the BEST in school history and eight of those starters return. With a

   paltry 2-12 ATS mark in Saturday road games, Marshall might need to

   bring Matthew McConaughey if they want to avoid a blowout. We like

   the Canes’ chances this year under Randy Shannon but the ‘New Coach

   - Game One’ hex (see SMART BOX) has us on the sidelines today.

   MICHIGAN ST over Uab by 20

   Former Cincy coach Mark D’antonio inherits some dreadful numbers

   with these Spartans – 2-10 ATS home vs non conference opponents

   and 3-10 in the fi rst of back-to-back home games – but he also gets

   the luxury of three straight homers to begin his regime. Michigan

   State owns the superior personnel but with both squads breaking in

   brand new coaching staffs, it may not matter. The Blazers, however,

   are missing the services of 30 graduated seniors and limp into town

   on the heels of a 3-win season. Go green or go home.

   Connecticut over DUKE by 10

   No truth to the rumor that “Abandon all hope, ye who enter here’ is

   inscribed above the entrance to the Duke locker room but a lack of

   winning has bedeviled this program since Steve Spurrier left town. Not

   so with UConn's Randy Edsall, who fashioned a 17-7 mark in 2003-04

   before cluster injuries doomed him to consecutive losing seasons. With

   upcoming games against Maine and Temple, Edsall is eying a fast start

   for this year’s Huskies. Hard to like a Duke team that’s beaten only

   ONE TEAM (VMI) in two years. We lean to the sled dogs.

   Virginia over Wyoming by 1

   The Cowboys can claim a 5-0 ATS record at home vs recent nonconference

   foes and are members of the ‘100-yard defensive

   improvement club’ (see BDK, page 2). Virginia is another one of our

   ‘mission teams’ but head coach Al Groh’s ‘Jekyll & Hyde’ pointspread

   history confuses the situation. Groh is a respectable 26-10 ATS in

   Charlottesville but put him behind the wheel and he skids to just

   11-20-1 ATS – including a horrible 4-15-1 ATS mark when tackling an

   avenging foe away. Road favorites with those tendencies are not to

   our liking. Time to saddle up with the bronc busters from Laramie.

   NEBRASKA over Nevada by 20

   Nevada makes its initial foray into BIG 12 territory off a storybook

   season, fi nishing 11-2 ATS and coming within two points of bringing

   down mighty Miami Florida in the MPC Computers Bowl. Now they

   run smack into the defending BIG 12 North champion Huskers, a

   team that fi nally appears to be solving head coach Bill Callahan’s

   complex schemes. Sam Keller, a 6-4 senior transfer from Arizona State,

   has the arm and poise to guide the Big Red to a big year. Since the

   linemaker tends to treat pointspread Cinderallas with disdain the

   following season, Nebraska’s 8-3 ATS mark in Game One will help us

   lean slightly to the Huskers.

   MEMPHIS over Mississippi by 1

   In a tightly-contested series (last two decided by 4 and 3 points), both

   sides come up empty in the ATS department. Ole Miss is a dreadful

   1-7 ATS lately as a road favorite while Memphis has dropped four

   straight to non-conf opponents – and both are moneyburners in

   Game One. However, the Tigers are one of our ‘mission teams’ for

   2007 and since the series underdog currently stands 4-1 ATS, home

   pup Memphis gets the bone today.

   Iowa over No Illinois by 7

   Harmony and light had ruled the cornfi elds for fi ve years... until The

   Season From Hell crept from the shadows and engulfed the Iowa

   football program in 2006. Armed with a senior QB and a wealth of

   talent, Kirk Ferentz & Company never recovered from a 17-38 beating

   at Ohio State and dropped six of seven games to end the season at

   6-7, their worst since 2000. Northern Illinois managed to remain on

   the tracks in ‘06, posting its seventh consecutive winning campaign.

   Only the loss of the Huskies’ top two offensive weapons – RB Garrett

   Wolfe and QB Phil Horvath – can possibly explain why the Hawkeyes

   are double-digit favorites. With Iowa only 2-9 ATS in September as

   of late, we’ll take Northern Illinois to continue its 20-8 ATS run as

   dogs of 8 or more points.

   OREGON over Houston by 20

   Question: was it departed QB Kevin Kolb or Art Briles’ offensive

   system that carried the Cougars to bowl games three of the last

   four years? One thing is for sure – Oregon coach Mike Bellotti will

   not include the Ducks’ last game, a 38-8 evisceration by BYU in the

   Las Vegas Bowl, in his book of memories. At least Bellotti welcomes

   back two of the Quack Attack’s main cogs, Sr QB Dennis Dixon and

   RB Jonathan Stewart. The big line may have many siding with the

   bowl-dog Cougars but the Duck Pond is more to our liking.

   WISCONSIN over Wash St by 17

   HUGE game for the Badgers as last year’s strong fi nish has them

   primed for a legitimate run at the BIG 10 title and possible national

   honors. The skeptical Wisconsin fans who wondered if Bret Bielema

   could replace the legendary Barry Alvarez can now rest easy. The

   steely-eyed Bielema owns some impressive stats after just one

   season: 12-1 SU & 9-2-1 ATS, including a superb 8-0 ATS mark as a

   favorite of less than 21 points, and an average winning margin of 17

   ppg. WSU struggled to its 3rd consecutive non-winning season in ‘06

   and will have to play inspired, mistake-free ball to have any chance

   at springing the upset. With a raucous Camp Randall crowd fueling

   Wisky’s 12-point per game defense, the Badgers should prevail – and

   add to their 10-2-1 ATS ledger in September home games.

   Georgia Tech over NOTRE DAME by 3

   Notre Dame opens 2007 with a ‘green’ team, and not because they’ll

   be wearing shamrock-colored jerseys. A mere eight starters and 30

   lettermen return, meaning coach Charlie Weis will face a monster

   rebuilding task. Both teams suffered heavy offensive losses but

   while the Irish will dearly miss departed QB Brady Quinn (Browns),

   the loss of inconsistent signal-caller Reggie Ball (CFL) may prove to

   be a blessing in disguise for the Yellow Jackets. Tech certainly brings

   the better defense to the battle and that looks to be a major edge.

   The linemaker, guilty of consistently overpricing the Irish, must be

   scared silly to make them just a fi eld-goal favorite. We’ll pile as many

   points as we can into the back of our jalopy and ride the Ramblin’

   Wreck into South Bend.

   Missouri over Illinois by 1

   This year’s border war is being billed as the ‘Arch Rivalry’ since it

   takes place at the Edward Jones Dome in St Louis. At fi rst glance,

   Missouri would seem to be the obvious choice. The Tiger offense, led

   by QB Chase Daniels, set school records for passing yards and total

   offense, and Mizzou has been hyped as a serious contender for this

   year’s BIG 12 North title. With coach Gary Pinkel riding a 16-3 SU &

   13-6 ATS wave as a non-conference favorite, the Tigers should notch

   another win in a series they’ve dominated (5-1 L6), right? Not so

   fast! Ron Zook’s Illini return 18 starters, own one of the country’s top

   recruiting classes, and saw their defense improve by 100 ypg in 2006.

   Also, our Coaches League stats (inside the Handicappers Lounge at

   Playbook.com) tell us that Zook is a classic ‘good underdog’ (16-11-1

   ATS), ‘bad favorite’ (9-21 ATS) coach. With Illinois aching to lose its

   label as BIG 10 doormat, this could go right down to the wire.

   Ucla over STANFORD by 18

   The PAC 10 is loaded with quality teams this year and these Bruins

   are among the best. One of only two squads to slay the Trojan beast

   in 2006, UCLA returns virtually its entire starting contingent, most

   notably a defense that held seven foes to under 300 yards while

   improving by an astounding 164 ypg! They probably won’t have to

   break a sweat to hammer a Cardinal program that lies in shambles

   after a ruinous two-year stint by the incompetent Walt Harris.

   Upbeat Jim Harbaugh replaces Harris but his team is light years

   away from being competitive. We have a soft spot for downtrodden

   home dogs opening a new season but with Harbaugh facing the

   ‘new coach - Game One hex’ (SMART BOX), this looks elementary,

   Watson.

   BOSTON COLLEGE over Wake Forest by 7

   BC coach Tom O’Brien may have relocated to Raleigh but the

   Eagles look to be in capable hands with former NFL assistant Jeff

   Jagodzinski. J-God will look to 1st team all-ACC QB Matt Ryan (14-4

   SU as a starter) to shoulder the load against a Wake Forest team that

   has owned this series (4-0 L4). The Deacs were the most improved

   team in the land last year but that accomplishment only lands them

   on our ‘Play Against’ list this season. Still, as much as we’d like to

   snap the rubberband on this revenge special (BC lost 21-14 at Wake

   as 4-point favs LY), that pesky ‘new coach - Game One hex’ keeps us

   on the sidelines.

   Arizona over BYU by 3

   With the Tucson natives growing more restless by the day, coach

   Mike Stoops chose to defl ect some of the heat from his 12-22 SU

   record with the Cats by hiring new OC Sonny Dykes, co-architect of

   Texas Tech’s lethal spread offense. If Dykes can’t revive the lethargic

   Arizona attack (17 ppg last year), Stoops may fi nd himself working

   for a Norman, OK car dealership. The Wildcats will need to bring

   their ‘A’ game to Provo if they intend to halt BYU’s current 10-game

   winning streak. With a little help from the ANGLE OF THE WEEK

   (see page 2) and the return of talented QB Willie Tuitama, the

   Desert Cats could have some success against a Cougar team that has

   struggled at home (2-7 ATS) against PAC 10 opposition.

   5 BEST BET

   If you think Army has a shot at an outright win, here’s a sobering

   fact to consider: Army has NEVER won a season opener away

   from the banks of the Hudson in their 122-year history! The

   Cadets don’t take to the role of underdog, either, going 0-11

   ATS lately as a pups of 7 or fewer points – plus they’re breaking

   in a new coaching staff today. Akron just missed a 4th straight

   winning season in ‘06 with an 0-2 fi nish and the Zips would love

   to extract revenge for a 20-0 home whitewash loss to the Cadets

   in 2005. The supposedly ‘neutral’ Cleveland site also strongly

   favors J.D. Brookhart’s troops, with Browns’ Stadium a short 30-

   minute ride up I-77 from the Rubber Bowl. Army strong? Zip it.

   Akron over Army by 17

   NC STATE over C Florida by 4

   After a 2-5 SU home record in ‘06 doomed coach Chuck Amato, the

   Wolfpack brain trust searched for a replacement who would make

   winning in Raleigh a priority. They succeeded by luring Tom O’Brien

   and his 42-17 SU home mark (34-22-1 ATS) away from Boston

   College. O’Brien makes his debut today against former ACC coach

   George O’Leary, who was 6-1 SU and 4-2-1 ATS vs The Pack when he

   toiled for Georgia Tech. Dogged by a 1-11 ATS performance lately

   as favorites of less than 10 points – and a 7-game SU losing steak

   – NC State’s problems are probably too numerous for a quick fi x. In

   a genuine Irish donnybrook (O’B vs O’L), we’ll take the visitors to

   emerge from the den with a pointspread cover.

   TCU over Baylor by 25

   While the Baylor football program struggles to fi nd an identity

   under Guy Morris, Gary Patterson has already taken TCU to the

   next level. The Horned Frogs have racked up a 22-3 SU record the

   previous two years and return nine members from a defense that

   ranked 2nd nationally in 2006, allowing a mere 12 points per game.

   Yes, there’s a possibility that TCU may be looking ahead to next

   week’s monumental showdown with Texas but the Froggies will win

   this game... and they’ve covered the number in 19 of their last 23

   SU wins. PS: if you have access to fi rst-half action in college football,

   you may want to put this in your pocket – TCU outscored opponents

   192-13 in the opening stanzas of last year’s games.

   GEORGIA over Oklahoma St by 3

   Intriguing matchup between an established SEC power and an

   on-the-rise program from the BIG 12. Okie State hasn’t fared well

   lately as a TD or less dog (6-17 ATS) but they start strong and head

   man Mike Gundy has logged a 7-1 SU mark against non conference

   adversaries. Georgia’s Mark Richt has enjoyed tremendous success

   when playing outside the SEC, losing only ONCE in 26 tries – but he’s

   just 12-11 ATS (5-9 ATS home) in these frays. Oklahoma State clearly

   owns the bigger offensive arsenal but the Dawgs hunker down

   better on defense. With Georgia facing their conference opener

   against South Carolina next week and the Cowboys due to line up

   for a scrimmage against Florida Atlantic, we’ll back the visitors from

   Stillwater in a close one.

   3 BEST BET

   Volunteers burst Cal’s bubble big time in last year’s seasonopener,

   an 18-35 thrashing that ultimately cost the Golden

   Bears a BCS bid. Well, payback’s at the door and it could be

   Tennessee’s turn. Jeff Tedford’s Bears are virtually bulletproof

   at Berkeley, winning 18 of their last 20 homers SU.

   Equally impressive is their 35-5 ATS mark when winning

   with revenge. The Davy Crockett boys, however, have not

   fared well away from Knoxville recently, limping to a 3-7-2

   ATS road record. Cal should know one other fact about their

   visitors: when UT loses, they don’t cover. In the Vols’ last 43

   SU losses, they’ve cashed the ticket just THREE times. Even

   better, they’re a horrifi c 0-13 ATS when playing outside the

   SEC. Bears get their revenge.

   CALIFORNIA over Tennessee by 16

   4 BEST BET

   Joe Tiller’s stock continues to fall at Purdue, as he’s failed to reach

   the 9-win mark for three straight years and hasn’t brought home

   a bowl win since 2002. We’re certainly mystifi ed that the Boilers

   are a TD favorite here. Yes, Toledo did disintegrate during last

   season’s 5-7 disappoinment but it marked just the Rockets’ fi rst

   losing season under coach Tom Amstutz. Thus, Toledo qualifi es

   as another ‘mission team’ and, since Amstutz is the answer to

   this week’s TRIVIA TEASER (page 2), the possibilities are good

   for a successful liftoff. The Boilermakers have performed poorly

   in their initial road game of the season, staggering to a 2-9-1

   ATS mark as a favorite or dog of 14 or fewer points. We feel

   Purdue will evolve into a winning edition in 2007 – just not here

   tonight. Rocketmen soar to the outright win.

   TOLEDO over Purdue by 3

   KANSAS over C Michigan by 13

   2006 was a year to remember for the Chippewas. They went 10-4 SU

   (11-2-1 ATS), claimed the MAC championship and smashed Middle

   Tennessee State in the Motor City Bowl. Unfortunately, CMU’s success

   translated into the loss of head coach Brian Kelly to Cincinnati, so

   new man Butch Jones is immediately hamstrung by the ‘new coach

   - Game One hex’. Not so with the Jayhawks’ Mighty Mark Mangino,

   a coach who likes to throw his weight around as a medium-sized

   favorite (11-3 when favored by 15 or fewer pts). Kansas also shines

   in home openers, winning 14 of the last 16 SU before the Lawrence

   faithful. The return of QB Kerry Meier seals the deal for KU.

   Colorado St over Colorado by 1

   Both teams tumbled deep into the abyss last season but the greater

   degree of suffering was felt in Boulder. After hiring away ultra

   successful Dan Hawkins from Boise State, the Buffalo brass did not

   expect to be blindsided by a 2-10 campaign that included a loss

   to Montana State! Meanwhile, the countdown continues in Fort

   Collins, where 14-year veteran coach Sonny Lubick is feeling the

   heat from three straight losing seasons. Hawkins, who will start his

   son, Cody, at quarterback, must avoid another disastrous start or the

   charge of nepotism will be added to his growing list of crimes. With

   the Rams covering three straight in the series and fl aunting a 13-1-1

   ATS record as dogs of less than 4 points, our money’s on Sonny.

   PITTSBURGH over E Michigan by 24

   Head chef Dave Wannstedt served up a feast of false hope to

   Panther followers last year, starting 6-1 SU versus the appetizer tray

   but choking on the main course with an ugly 0-5 fi nish. Despite his

   sorry 11-12 record, however, Wannstedt has managed to bully his

   lesser opponents – and Eastern Michigan certainly fi ts that category.

   The Eagles managed just ONE win in 2006 (12-34 since ‘03) and don’t

   have the personnel to match up here. Though the sight of Pittsburgh

   as such a fat favorite makes us queasy (2-11 ATS as favorites of 20 or

   more points), we will note that the Steel City Cats are a perfect 14-0

   ATS in their last 14 SU victories. Today’s lean cuisine? Pittsburgh.

   AUBURN over Kansas St by 13

   Confl icting trends abound in this matchup – and nearly all of them

   are bad. The Wildcats have not won or covered versus an SEC foe in

   some time, standing 0-6 SU & ATS. Adding to their misery is a 1-5 ATS

   straitjacket worn in the role of non-conf DD dogs. Auburn, despite

   their superb SU records, simply can’t be trusted lately as chalk in this

   price range (0-7 as favorites of 6 or more points). Our confi dence is

   further shaken by the fact that Tuberville has lost two of his last four

   home openers outright. The more we look, the less we like...

   MINNESOTA over Bowling Green by 14

   A new era begins for Minnesota football as Tim Brewster replaces

   10-year veteran Glen Mason... and becomes another victim of the

   ‘new coach - Game One hex’. That’s fi ne because we know that

   Minny’s glowing early-season numbers (6-1 ATS Game One / 6-1 ATS

   home vs non conference opponents) were compiled by the departed

   Mason. We’re really more interested in BGSU’s 8-3 ATS road record

   vs non-MAC teams - and that the BeeGees had earned fi ve straight

   winning seasons before last year’s slide to 4-8. The presence of the

   SMART BOX, though, begs our disinterest.

   New Mexico over UTEP by 1

   Troubling role reversal here: road favorite Lobos were near doubledigit

   home dogs (took +9.5) in last year’s meeting, winning 26-13.

   Trying to even the score with New Mexico, however, is far from

   automatic, as the Lobos stand 9-1-1 ATS when playing on the road

   against an avenging foe. UTEP underachieved last year under Mike

   Price and their miserable 3-14 ATS tally when getting 6 or less points

   at home should steer us toward the visitors. Still, Price can get the

   job done against non-conference teams, winning 39 of the last 56

   games SU. Maybe if there hadn’t been such big line swing...

   NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK

   selection is in Bold. Should we pass or not have a

   strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded.

   Texas Tech over SMU by 3

   Based on last year’s 35-3 demolition of the Mustangs by Texas

   Tech, today’s double-digit spread appears justifi ed. A close look at

   the numbers tell us otherwise. The Red Raiders are 0-5 ATS away

   in Game One and have covered just two of 13 chances playing a

   non-conference team on the road. Tech is also mighty green this

   year, returning just nine starters to a complex system. Conversely,

   SMU has 16 returning Ponies in the corral, poised to capture a longawaited

   bowl bid under Phil Bennett. With the Mustangs standing

   7-1 SU in their last eight at home, the Red Raiders will be lucky to

   escape Dallas with a win.

   CLEMSON over Florida St by 1

   Death Valley will be rocking for this latest edition of the eagerlyanticipated

   Bowden Bowl. Even though FSU is playing with double

   revenge off back-to-back SU losses as favorites over the Tigers,

   they’ve performed poorly in conference revenge situations...

   especially away from Tallahassee. Clemson has won eight out of 10

   home openers SU and has cashed six straight as home underdogs.

   With Tiger coach Tommy still red-faced over last year’s dreadful

   bowl loss to Kentucky, expect an all out effort from the Tiger Paw

   tonight.

   PENN ST over Florida Int’l by 35

   He may bear little resemblance to The Energizer Bunny but Penn

   State’s Joe Paterno has come right back for more. Joe Pa dropped

   out of the picture near the end of last season when his leg was

   broken in a nasty sideline collision. But the 80-year old legend is

   prowling familiar territory again and should get his Nittany Lions

   off to a good start against an FIU squad that put up the Big Zero

   in 2006. Dare we say it... they also have a new head coach in

   former Miami Hurricane assistant Mario Cristobal. Again, when the

   pointspread climbs to such heights (-35 at this writing), there’s a lack

   of relevant data for making an informed decision. In layman’s terms:

   we’ll pass.

   TEXAS over Arkansas St by 38

   Bevo has never had a problem with trampling the meek but

   Arkansas State has shown a surprising ability – for a Sun Belt team,

   that is – to avoid such carnage. In 72 games with current head coach

   Steve Roberts, the Jonesboro Indians have only suffered eight losses

   by more than 38 points. Does that mean we like ‘em here? Are you

   kidding? The Longhorns are 11-3 ATS as chalk of more than 28

   points and could probably polish off Arky State with their 3rd team.

   Still, a big early lead for Texas could vanish like a prairie whisper if

   the Horns start thinking about Frogs instead of Indians. Turn your

   back and look elsewhere.

   OKLAHOMA over North Texas by 48

   It’s ‘rock and a hard place’ time again. We’d love to give the Eagles

   a look because of their 100-yard improvement of defense but the

   addition of a brand new coaching staff puts us back to square

   one. The ascending North Texas coach, however, is none other

   than Lone Star high school football coaching legend, Todd Dodge.

   Dodge won four Texas state championships while compiling a 78-

   1 record, including 48 straight wins. TD will look to install a new

   spread offense in Denton but it certainly won’t take fl ight overnight

   – especially against this gang of headhunters. OU faces a plight

   similar to most of the other big favorites this week: a dangerous

   opponent awaits them on the horizon. Still, the Sooners are in a

   foul mood after being ambushed recently by the NCAA and they

   may not let up here.

   ARIZONA ST over San Jose ST by 14

   Spartans coach Dick Tomey has a history with ASU as he spent many

   years on the sidelines with the Sun Devils’ blood enemy, Arizona.

   Tomey acquitted himself well, going 8-5-1 SU during the rivalry. Even

   so, if his San Jose State team cracks the .500 barrier in 2007, it will

   be the FIRST TIME in 15 years that the Spartans have won in backto-

   back seasons. That’s not the sort of thing that strikes fear into the

   hearts of a PAC 10 squad like Arizona State. The 14-point favored

   Sun Devils are 9-1 ATS lately in this price range and have covered

   six straight against non-conf teams. They also own one of the few

   defensive units that improved by 100 yards last year. A problem,

   however, does remain: new head coach (you know what that

   means) Dennis Erickson takes over for the departed Dirk Koetter.

   The bottom line here is we’re going to leave this alone.

   SOUTHERN CAL over Idaho by 49

   What the hell was the Idaho Athletic Director thinking when he

   signed on for this? USC has been annointed by so many preseason

   publications that it conjures visions of coach Pete Carroll observing

   the weekly goings-on from a golden throne on the sidelines.

   And make no mistake – when you waltz onto the fi eld laying 45

   points, you must treat your opponent as a sacrifi cial lamb waiting

   to be bloodied and vanquished. We could supply you with endless

   numbers extolling USC’s pointspread virtue but, in truth, the Vandals

   have had little to do with any of it. Oh, did we fail to mention the

   fact that Idaho has (gulp) a new head coach? Now we know what

   Marlon Brando saw in his mind’s eye as he mumbled, “The horror...

   the horror.”

   SOUTH CAROLINA over La Lafayette by 27

   Steve Spurrier has certainly made South Carolina competitive

   in a hurry but his career ATS numbers in non-conference tilts are

   downright mediocre: 27-29-1. Unfortunately for the Cajuns, they’ll

   be marching into Columbia without the services of 4-year starting QB

   Jerry Babb. Spurrier’s signal caller, Blake Mitchell, WILL be returning

   along with 16 other starters and 54 lettermen. South Carolina barely

   eked out a 14-7 victory (laying 24 pts!) over Lafayette in 2003 but that

   was under the direction of the stodgy Lou Holtz. Spurrier’s armory

   has a great deal more weapons but with the Georgia Dawgs waiting

   between the hedges, this game is just too rich for our blood.

   ARKANSAS over Troy by 20

   If there’s any man in America who can’t wait for the college

   football season to start, it’s the Razorbacks’ Houston Nutt. The 9-

   year Arkansas coach has been beaten from pillar to post over the

   transfer of star QB Mitch Mustain, as well as other assorted team

   problems and personal transgressions. Perhaps the best medicine

   for Nutt will be getting the ball to sensational RB Darren McFadden

   and simply turning him loose. Winning heals a lot of wounds and

   with eight home games in 2007, the Hog family should eventually

   pull together. Troy will not be an easy foe to subdue, particularly

   with the return of Sr QB Omar Haugabook, the Sun Belt Conference

   Player of the Year. McFadden will prove to be too much for the

   Trojan defense but Arky may not make the big number.

   Mid Tenn St over FLORIDA ATL by 3

   They say you can’t be the best without beating the best but for the

   Blue Raiders to be scheduling the likes of Louisville and LSU is just

   plain masochistic. Fortunately for the defending Sun Belt champs,

   those two games take place after today’s clash with lowly Florida

   Atlantic. MTSU doesn’t mind taking the bus out of Murfreesboro:

   they won four consecutive road games last season. Add the Raiders’

   6-1 ATS mark in Game One to FAU’s 2-6 ATS failure vs conference

   foes at home, and we’ll head to the blue corner for today’s bout.

   BEST BET SELECTIONS THIS WEEK'S BEST BETS FOR WEEK ENDING MONDAY SEPTEMBER 3, 2007

   3* CALIFORNIA

   4* TOLEDO

   5* AKRON

   

   posted by phantom

   Aug. 29 2007 7:51pm
5. 0 likes

   Red Sheet

   Rating 89

   Nebraska 44 Nevada 13

   Akron 31 Army 17

   Rating 88

   Syracuse 24 Washington 17

   Penn State 60 Florida International 10

   Illinois 27 Missouri 21

   Oklahoma State 26 Georgia20

   Close Calls Rating 87

   New Mexico

   Minnesota

   West virginia

   California

   Miami (Florida)

   

   posted by phantom

   Aug. 30 2007 10:00pm
6. 0 likes

   Sports Reporter

   Best Bets

   Memphis over Mississippi by 16

   Wake Forest over Boston College by 4

   California over Tennessee by 17

   Purdue over Toledo by 15

   

   posted by phantom

   Aug. 30 2007 10:00pm
7. 0 likes

   The Gold Sheet

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Key Releases

   Iowa St by 15

   Vir. Tech by 36

   Arizona by 6

   Colorado St. by 9

   

   posted by phantom

   Aug. 30 2007 10:01pm
8. 0 likes

   Powersweep

   4 Mich St 38-10

   3 Oregon 38-13

   3 Stanford 17-14

   2 Kent St 20-16

   Underdog Wake Forest 24-23

   

   posted by phantom

   Aug. 30 2007 10:01pm
9. 0 likes

   phantom is back to work

   thx for the info bud

   

   posted by ricky

   Aug. 30 2007 10:49pm
10. 0 likes

    "ricky":1fxhlur5
    

    phantom is back to work

    thx for the info bud

    thanks bossman!.....goodluck this season!!

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 4:06am
11. 0 likes

    VegasSportsPics.com

    08/31

    Washington Huskies - 3 over (at) Syracuse Orange

    Syracuse went 1-6 final seven games last season including a 38-7 loss at so so Rutgers in its finale. The Orange, returning 11 starters, ranked 110th in the nation in total offense and 107th in total defense. Washington went 2-3 final five road games last season including hard fought losses at nationally ranked USC 26-20, and at Cal 31-24. The Huskies figure to improve under third year coach Tyrone Willingham.

    09/01

    Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + 3 over (at) Notre Dame

    Notre Dame returns just 10 starters off losing most key players from last season’s 10-3 team which lost to No.3 LSU 41-14 in the Sugar Bowl. The Irish are 5-11 ATS last 16 games. Tech returns 17 starters from last season’s 9-5 team which lost to No.10 WVU 38-35 in the Gator Bowl. The Jackets are 10-4 ATS last 14 road games.

    Tennessee Volunteers + 6 over (at) Cal Golden Bears

    No.12 California is 1-5 ATS last six games. Teams met for first time since ’87 last season, Tenn at home beat Cal 35-18. Volunteers head coach Fulmer is 14-1 all-time in season-openers. The No.15 Vols are 5-1 ATS last six road games. Tenn Sr.QB Ainge set a single season record for pass completions (67%) last season.

    09/03

    Florida State Seminoles - 3 over (at) Clemson Tigers

    Clemson QB Harper is making his first career start behind an O line which lost four of the five starters from last season. Florida State is 16-1 last 17 season openers, and 13-2 last 15 ACC openers by an average of 35-15. FSU QB Weatherford’s passing yardage last season set a school record for a sophomore QB. The Noles are well placed for payback off losing at home to Clemson 27-20 last season.

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 4:07am
12. 0 likes

    GREG ROBERTS

    Roast of the week(11-2 ly)-TEXAS 56 ov Ark St 3

    Barking Dog(9-3-1 ly)- NO ILL 27 ov Iowa 25

    Totals Game GT/ND UNDER

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 4:07am
13. 0 likes

    PPP

    5* Big East Game of the Week

    GA Tech (+2.5) over NOTRE DAME by 7

    First of all, if you are wondering, we include the independents, Notre Dame, Navy and Army with our Big East handicapping. In recent years, we had a group of games entitled Perception / Reality. The purpose was to find line value against teams that were over valued by the public forcing the line maker to incorporate public opinion into his opening line. Such is the case today. The Aura of the Golden Dome and the reputation of HC Weis as OC of the Superbowl champion Patriots leaves Notre Dame grossly overvalued in this opening day spot. Adding emotional fuel is the fact that Tech blew a 10-0 home lead before the Irish rallied behind Vet QB Quinn for an eventual 14-10 win. That was one of the few times that the Irish performed well against a quality opponent. In all, they went 2-5 ATS against Bowlers and were destroyed by the Big Boys LSU, USC and Michigan. Now it gets worse for the Irish. They have less experience than almost any other College team returning just 9 starters, only 52% of their lettermen and need to break in a new QB. It’s an inexperienced offense that will be dominated by the blitzing schemes designed by Tech’s DC Tenuta. On offense, Tech is improved as well. No longer are they held down by the “Chain that was Ball”. A vet OL will make the transition easy for new QB Bennett and talented RB Choice. The reality clearly outweighs the perception as Tech is superior on both sides of the ball. It results in what could be a surprisingly easy double digit victory today.

    3* Wake Forest (+6.5) over Boston College by 1

    Despite the return of 16 starters, including QB Ryan, the opening of the season will not be smooth for a BC team who’s transitioning from the loss of HC O’Brien to new HC “Jag”. Despite their run to the top of the ACC LY and 14 returning starters of their own including QB Skinner, the Deacons continue to get little respect HC Grobe is a master tactician who improved his defense to a surprising 3.1 YPR, 323 TY and 15 PPG. Meanwhile, the offensive ingenuity continues to baffle opponents. It’s a good reason why he stands 20-8 ATS as dog including a perfect 8-0 ATS in that role in the regular season last year. And it’s a good reason why we are looking to grab a TD with this quality dog and coach vs. a team transitioning to a new mentor.

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 4:08am
14. 0 likes

    Winning Points

    4* Georgia Tech by 17

    3* UCLA by 33

    2* West Virginia by 10

    2* Oklahoma State by 4

    2* Nebraska by 34

    2* South Carolina by 17

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 4:12am
15. 0 likes

    The Gold Sheet

    Key Releases

    Iowa St by 15

    Vir. Tech by 36

    Arizona by 6

    Colorado St. by 9

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 4:12am
16. 0 likes

    RAS

    UAB at Michigan State (-20) - 9:00am Pacific - Game #157-158

    The Spartans never recovered from an inexplicable 4th quarter collapse vs Notre Dame and greatly underachieved last season. Well regarded head coach Mike Dantonio now takes over the program and a quick turnaround is expected. Touted junior QB Brian Hoyer has been waiting patiently behind Drew Stanton for a chance to play and reportedly has looked sharp in preseason scrimmages. Top RB Ringer returns and an offensive line plagued by injuries last year should be more productive. Defensively, MSU returns 10 of their top 14 tacklers from last season and the coaching staff upgrade should lead to improved numbers. UAB has all the looks of a go against team. The Blazers are breaking in an entirely new coaching staff who is said to be "cleaning house" with many players leaving the program in the offseason. The most recent defection being projected starting WR Courtney Smith who transferred. UAB went 3-9 last year and only returns 7 combined starters. Their two-deep depth chart released on Tuesday includes 11 true freshmen, 4 redshirt freshmen, 12 sophomores, and very few bright spots. A hungry Michigan State team will start the Dantonio era by having their way with UAB. Give the big number before it gets to -21.

    RAS Early Look: Michigan State -20 1/2 UNIT

    Colorado vs Colorado State (+2.5) - 9:00am Pacific - Game #193-194

    It is all systems go for the Rams. They return 18 starters overall plus get back all conference RB Kyle Bell who missed last season due to injury. Longtime head coach Sonny Lubick is confident that this is one of his strongest teams ever. Under Lubick CSU is 44-18 with a returning senior QB and they have just that in Caleb Hanie who has 17 career starts. Defensively, the Rams are coming off their best season since 2000 and return 17 of their top 19 tacklers. Unlike recent seasons, CSU has stayed healthy throughout fall camp. Colorado went 2-10 last season despite a +8 turnover ratio (3rd best in Big 12). They are still in transition mode under second year coach Dan Hawkins and likely are still a year away from a winning season. The Buffs will be starting a redshirt freshman at QB and offensive captain Bernard Jackson (starting WR, versatile athlete) is doubtful to play due to academic and personal issues that have kept him away from most of Fall practice. The +2.5 points is valuable in this hard fought rivalry that has been decided by a combined 22 points over last five meetings. CSU surprisingly leads the series 4-3 when played in Denver. Lubick is known for starting well, CSU is an impressive 9-2 ATS in first lined game of the season since 1996. Expect the more experienced and seasoned Rams to emerge victorious.

    RAS Early Look: Colorado State +2.5 1/2 UNIT

    Virginia at Wyoming (+4.5) - 11:00am Pacific - Game #161-162

    The Cowboys are coming off a 6-6 season in which they endured injuries, a QB change midseason, two OT losses, and two other losses by 7 or less. Promising redshirt freshman QB Sween started the last seven and led the team to a 5-2 finish with only losses coming on the road vs ranked teams BYU and TCU. Sween is back as is a deep WR group and top RB which should translate into better offensive production. The Cowboys were stellar on defense last year ranking 9th nationally in total yards allowed despite playing 3 OT periods. With five starters back, including a solid group of LB's, coaches are optimistic about not having any drop off. Virginia was embarrassingly bad offensively last year. They figure to be improved this year on paper but offseason wrist surgery on the throwing hand of starting QB Sewell has slowed his development and top WR Ogletree (more than twice the yards and TD's of #2 receiver last year) suffered a knee injury in Spring that has him expected to miss the season. Wyoming outgained Virginia by over 100 yards on the road in last years matchup but lost after missing an extra point in overtime. Considering revenge factor and it being the season opener, this is Wyoming's biggest non-conference home game in at least 7 years. Wyoming is 7-3 ATS as a home dog under Joe Glenn and road teams tend to be hampered by the high altitude here. Virginia has struggled on the road under Groh, they are a miserable 2-9 ATS in last 11 away games. Take the live home dog.

    RAS Early Look: Wyoming +4.5 1/2 UNIT

    Central Michigan at Kansas (-7.5) - 4:00pm Pacific - Game #191-192

    Big expectations for Kansas this year as head coach Mangino enters his 6th year and a very favorable schedule lends the opportunity for a breakout season. Expect Kansas to be much more balanced on offense under new OC Ed Warinner thanks to an improved passing game. Soph QB Todd Reesing got his feet wet last year and had an impressive spring and fall to win the starting job. An injury ravaged and inexperienced back seven struggled at defending the pass last season but with nearly everyone back big improvements are promised. The return of star CB Aqib Talib (22 PBU's & 6 INT's in 10 games) and well regarded DC Bill Young (6th year) will make success easier. Central Michigan is coming off their most successful season in at least 13 years thanks in part to a favorable schedule and +2 or more turnovers in five wins. This year they must replace their head coach, both coordinators, and three NFL draft picks from the line of scrimmage alone, not an easy task for a MAC school. Sources indicate as many as 19 Chippewa players underwent surgery in the offseason, forcing 14 to miss Spring drills. This has further slowed the development process and has even more untested players seeing action than expected. CMU went 0-3 SU and 3-0 ATS vs BCS schools last year but all came via backdoor covers as they trailed by at least 21 (vs BC, at Michigan, at Kentucky) at some point in all three games. The Chippewas are only 7-13 ATS as a road dog since 2002. Night game setting in Lawrence will help boost the Jayhawks to a convincing win.

    RAS Early Look: Kansas -7.5 1/2 UNIT

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 4:14am
17. 0 likes

    Good Job Phant ... and LETS GO HAWAIIIIIIIIIII !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! BRENNAN for PRES !!!!!!!!!!!

    

    posted by dab2dap

    Aug. 31 2007 12:37pm
18. 0 likes

    Navy(-21) at Temple

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Navy 37 Temple 10

    Washington(-3) at Syracuse

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Syracuse 21 Washington 20

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 2:43pm
19. 0 likes

    Ben Burns

    ESPN GOY - NCAAF Syracuse

    AFC GOY - NFL Cincy Bengals

    AL Total of Month - MLB CWS/Cleveland UNDER

    Friday Feast - MLB Atlanta

    Personal Favorite - MLB Oakland

    _________________

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 2:44pm
20. 0 likes

    Winning Points Online

    8 pm

    * CLOSE CALL

    Syracuse* over Washington by 1

    Washington comes in with serious body-count problems in its

    secondary, which is not too big a deal because Syracuse's pass

    offense has been pretty poor. However, the Syracuse defense

    knows how to get turnovers. Washington's hasn't show that it

    can do that, and by playing with an undermanned secondary

    tonight, they will be forced to keep the play in front of them

    by playing soft zone. Never too good to have a plan to be back

    on your heels on the road all night.

    The Orange has the fewest returning starters (12) of any team

    in the Big East, but you have to remember that coach Greg

    Robinson was left with an empty cupboard by Paul Pasqualoni's

    regime and that many of Pasqualoni's duds are now out of the

    program, a program where Robinson has installed new systems on

    both sides of the ball. Most of the new starters have been

    groomed in the systems for two seasons and are juniors.

    Rest assured that as an ex-NFL defensive coordinator, Robinson

    -- whose defense ranked 19th in the nation in sacks last season

    -- has already locked his pass rushers in a room and shown them

    photos of Washington's first-time starting redshirt freshman QB

    Jake Locker. They are already fighting over who will hit him first,

    and second. Last season, Washington's QB Isiah Stanback had speed

    to get to the edge, which forced defenses to spread out and account

    for that trait. Locker is not that kind of player. SYRACUSE, 23-22

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 2:44pm
21. 0 likes

    Pointwise

    NAVY over Temple RATING: 5

    _________________

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 2:44pm
22. 0 likes

    Bob Balfe

    08/31/2007

    College Football

    Temple +20.5 over Navy &

    Temple/Navy Over 51.5

    This is a rare game where you play both side and total. First we will start will Navy. The Midshipmen have a running game that looks so easy to stop and has you yelling at the TV when defenders tackle the guy and the TV camera also makes the mistake of zooming in on the guy without the ball only to readjust to see a guy running free to the end zone. This offensive unit is pretty much intact and nobody in the nation can stop them, let alone contain them. Temple's defense was last in the nation at stopping the run. This team is a lot better, but they will still struggle. Navy should have their way on the ground. The Owls offense is improved and for the first time they have some depth on their offensive line. The good news for Temple is they will be playing against an undersized Navy defense that only returns two starters. There is no doubt Navy puts up points and I don't think the Navy defense will be good at all especially not early on this season. Temple is now in the MAC, they have a good new coach and they have been pounded as hard as it could get in the 2006 season. These are both young teams and a lot of mistakes will be made on defense. This line is at 20.5 for a reason and the public is all over Navy It opened at 21 so why drop it down a half point? Let's hope for a high scoring game with Temple hanging around enough to cash in on both sides.

    Preseason Football

    Cincinnati -5 over Indianapolis

    The Bengals are looking for a good performance to carry over into the regular season. The Colts played great last week and now they can rest their starters this week. The Bengals have yet to win a preseason game and should have their regulars play a bit more than Indy's. The Colts never really like to show up for preseason games so a big Bengals win might create a spark going into week one.

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 2:45pm
23. 0 likes

    NCAAF

    Dunkel Index

    FRIDAY, AUGUST 31

    Game 147-148: Navy at Temple

    Dunkel Ratings: Navy 87.538; Temple 61.539

    Dunkel Line: Navy by 26; 54

    Vegas Line: Navy by 21; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: Navy (-21); N/A

    Game 149-150: Washington at Syracuse

    Dunkel Ratings: Washington 81.058; Syracuse 86.143

    Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 5; 41

    Vegas Line: Washington by 3; 45 1/2

    Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+3); Under

    SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 1

    Game 151-152: Western Michigan at West Virginia

    Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 81.815; West Virginia 102.055

    Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 20; 63

    Vegas Line: West Virginia by 24; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+24); N/A

    Game 153-154: East Carolina at Virginia Tech

    Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 80.348; Virginia Tech 107.505

    Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 27; 34

    Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 24; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-24); N/A

    Game 155-156: Marshall at Miami (FL)

    Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 81.639; Miami (FL) 97.073

    Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 15 1/2; 45

    Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 19; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+19); N/A

    Game 157-158: UAB at Michigan State

    Dunkel Ratings: UAB 70.782; Michigan State 91.707

    Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 21; 48 1/2

    Vegas Line: Michigan State by 18; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-18); N/A

    Game 159-160: Connecticut at Duke

    Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 83.083; Duke 73.289

    Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 10; 55

    Vegas Line: Connecticut by 4 1/2; 52

    Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-4 1/2); Over

    Game 161-162: Virginia at Wyoming

    Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 85.871; Wyoming 87.884

    Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 2; 39

    Vegas Line: Virginia by 4 1/2; 41

    Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+4 1/2); Under

    Game 163-164: Nevada at Nebraska

    Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 89.427; Nebraska 105.568

    Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 16; 45

    Vegas Line: Nebraska by 21; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+21); N/A

    Game 165-166: Mississippi at Memphis

    Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 84.711; Memphis 83.948

    Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 1; 46

    Vegas Line: Mississippi by 3; 49

    Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+3); Under

    Game 167-168: Iowa vs. Northern Illinois (N)

    Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 90.332; Northern Illinois 82.447

    Dunkel Line: Iowa by 8; 41

    Vegas Line: Iowa by 12; 44 1/2

    Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+12); Under

    Game 169-170: Houston at Oregon

    Dunkel Ratings: Houston 91.714; Oregon 100.114

    Dunkel Line: Oregon by 8 1/2; 59

    Vegas Line: Oregon by 15 1/2; 57

    Dunkel Pick: Houston (+15 1/2); Over

    Game 171-172: Washington State at Wisconsin

    Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 86.290; Wisconsin 106.849

    Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 20 1/2; 45 1/2

    Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 14; 49 1/2

    Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-14); Under

    Game 173-174: Georgia Tech at Notre Dame

    Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 96.629; Notre Dame 95.629

    Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 1; 50 1/2

    Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 2 1/2; 45 1/2

    Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+2 1/2); Over

    Game 175-176: Missouri vs. Illinois (N)

    Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 97.727; Illinois 83.563

    Dunkel Line: Missouri by 14; 50

    Vegas Line: Missouri by 5; 56

    Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-5); Under

    Game 177-178: UCLA at Stanford

    Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 96.887; Stanford 85.551

    Dunkel Line: UCLA by 11; 42

    Vegas Line: UCLA by 17; 47

    Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+17); Under

    Game 179-180: Wake Forest at Boston College

    Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 95.570; Boston College 99.733

    Dunkel Line: Boston College by 4; 38

    Vegas Line: Boston College by 6 1/2; 43

    Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+6 1/2); Under

    Game 181-182: Arizona at BYU

    Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 97.351; BYU 109.750

    Dunkel Line: BYU by 12 1/2; 44 1/2

    Vegas Line: BYU by 4 1/2; 46 1/2

    Dunkel Pick: BYU (-4 1/2); Under

    Game 183-184: Army vs. Akron (N)

    Dunkel Ratings: Army 66.804; Akron 75.337

    Dunkel Line: Akron by 8 1/2; 46

    Vegas Line: Akron by 4 1/2; 43 1/2

    Dunkel Pick: Akron (-4 1/2); Over

    Game 185-186: Central Florida at North Carolina State

    Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 74.610; North Carolina State 87.965

    Dunkel Line: North Carolina State by 13; 41

    Vegas Line: North Carolina State by 8; 48

    Dunkel Pick: North Carolina State (-8); Under

    Game 187-188: Baylor at TCU

    Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 77.542; TCU 107.332

    Dunkel Line: TCU by 30; 57

    Vegas Line: TCU by 20 1/2; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: TCU (-20 1/2); N/A

    Game 189-190: Oklahoma State at Georgia

    Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 92.151; Georgia 106.188

    Dunkel Line: Georgia by 14; 48

    Vegas Line: Georgia by 6 1/2; 54 1/2

    Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-6 1/2); Under

    Game 191-192: Central Michigan at Kansas

    Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 85.684; Kansas 89.658

    Dunkel Line: Kansas by 4; 55

    Vegas Line: Kansas by 8; 52

    Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+8); Over

    Game 193-194: Colorado State vs. Colorado (N)

    Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 80.543; Colorado 86.894

    Dunkel Line: Colorado by 6; 39

    Vegas Line: Colorado by 2 1/2; 44 1/2

    Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-2 1/2); Under

    Game 195-196: Eastern Michigan at Pittsburgh

    Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 66.802; Pittsburgh 91.123

    Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 24 1/2; 48

    Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 19 1/2; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-19 1/2); N/A

    Game 197-198: Purdue at Toledo

    Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 89.620; Toledo 80.731

    Dunkel Line: Purdue by 9; 51

    Vegas Line: Purdue by 7; 55

    Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-7); Under

    Game 199-200: Kansas State at Auburn

    Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 86.972; Auburn 103.824

    Dunkel Line: Auburn by 17; 43

    Vegas Line: Auburn by 13 1/2; 45 1/2

    Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-13 1/2); Under

    Game 201-202: Bowling Green at Minnesota

    Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 72.478; Minnesota 96.480

    Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 24; 55

    Vegas Line: Minnesota by 14 1/2; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-14 1/2); N/A

    Game 203-204: Tennessee at California

    Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 97.296; California 112.810

    Dunkel Line: California by 15 1/2; 48

    Vegas Line: California by 6; 53

    Dunkel Pick: California (-6); Under

    Game 205-206: New Mexico at UTEP

    Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 83.704; UTEP 77.147

    Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 6 1/2; 57

    Vegas Line: New Mexico by 3; 52

    Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-3); Over

    Game 207-208: San Jose State at Arizona State

    Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 82.314; Arizona State 103.249

    Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 21; 44

    Vegas Line: Arizona State by 14 1/2; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-14 1/2); N/A

    Game 209-210: Idaho at USC

    Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 63.004; USC 115.008

    Dunkel Line: USC by 52; 52

    Vegas Line: USC by 45; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: USC (-45); N/A

    Game 211-212: Florida International at Penn State

    Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 53.952; Penn State 102.986

    Dunkel Line: Penn State by 49; 49

    Vegas Line: Penn State by 38; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-38); N/A

    Game 213-214: Arkansas State at Texas

    Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 68.481; Texas 110.117

    Dunkel Line: Texas by 42; 42

    Vegas Line: Texas by 39; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: Texas (-39); N/A

    Game 215-216: North Texas at Oklahoma

    Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 63.193; Oklahoma 107.136

    Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 44; 44

    Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 40; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-40); N/A

    Game 217-218: UL-Lafayette at South Carolina

    Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 67.729; South Carolina 100.881

    Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 33; 46

    Vegas Line: South Carolina by 28 1/2; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-28 1/2); N/A

    Game 219-220: Troy at Arkansas

    Dunkel Ratings: Troy 81.847; Arkansas 99.961

    Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 18; 46

    Vegas Line: Arkansas by 24; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: Troy (+24); N/A

    Game 221-222: Middle Tennessee St. at Florida Atlantic

    Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee St. 78.861; Florida Atlantic 76.888

    Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 2; 43

    Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 2 1/2; No Total

    Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee St. (+2 1/2); N/A

    OTHER MAJOR GAMES:

    Northeastern at Northwestern

    Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 64.799; Northwestern 91.452

    Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 27

    Appalachian State at Michigan

    Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 83.372; Michigan 111.733

    Dunkel Line: Michigan by 28

    Youngstown State at Ohio State

    Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 77.254; Ohio State 109.981

    Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 32 1/2

    Holy Cross at Massachusetts

    Dunkel Ratings: Holy Cross 57.488; Massachusetts 84.995

    Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 27 1/2

    Fordham at Rhode Island

    Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 38.243; Rhode Island 63.476

    Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 25

    Albany at Colgate

    Dunkel Ratings: Albany 54.523; Colgate 55.017

    Dunkel Line: Colgate by 1

    Dayton at Robert Morris

    Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 33.959; Robert Morris 52.785

    Dunkel Line: Robert Morris by 19

    St. Peter's at St. Francis (PA)

    Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 16.954; St. Francis (PA) 35.065

    Dunkel Line: St. Francis (PA) by 18

    Western Kentucky at Florida

    Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 65.517; Florida 117.180

    Dunkel Line: Florida by 52

    South Carolina State at Air Force

    Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina State 60.277; Air Force 88.671

    Dunkel Line: Air Force by 28

    Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Mississippi Valley St.

    Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 49.416; Mississippi Valley St. 49.328

    Dunkel Line: Even

    Charleston Southern at The Citadel

    Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 48.617; The Citadel 62.881

    Dunkel Line: The Citadel by 14

    Southern at Florida A&M

    Dunkel Ratings: Southern 45.469; Florida A&M 53.785

    Dunkel Line: Florida A&M by 8

    Southern Utah at Montana

    Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 50.043; Montana 84.965

    Dunkel Line: Montana by 35

    Jacksonville at Bethune-Cookman

    Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 32.596; Bethune-Cookman 54.583

    Dunkel Line: Bethune-Cookman by 22

    Villanova at Maryland

    Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 64.695; Maryland 95.580

    Dunkel Line: Maryland by 31

    Eastern Kentucky at Kentucky

    Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 57.595; Kentucky 95.999

    Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 38

    Monmouth at Maine

    Dunkel Ratings: Monmouth 53.615; Maine 75.731

    Dunkel Line: Maine by 22

    James Madison at North Carolina

    Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 83.441; North Carolina 84.979

    Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 1 1/2

    Bucknell at Duquesne

    Dunkel Ratings: Bucknell 48.872; Duquesne 45.776

    Dunkel Line: Bucknell by 3

    Marist at Lafayette

    Dunkel Ratings: Marist 30.264; Lafayette 62.482

    Dunkel Line: Lafayette by 32

    Georgetown at Stony Brook

    Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 39.268; Stony Brook 52.128

    Dunkel Line: Stony Brook by 13

    Gardner-Webb at Ohio

    Dunkel Ratings: Gardner-Webb 46.369; Ohio 86.046

    Dunkel Line: Ohio by 40

    North Carolina A&T at Winston-Salem

    Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina A&T 25.812; Winston-Salem 52.557

    Dunkel Line: Winston-Salem by 27

    Montana State at Texas A&M

    Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 68.478; Texas A&M 100.821

    Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 32

    Presbyterian at Furman

    Dunkel Ratings: Presbyterian 25.000; Furman 70.630

    Dunkel Line: Furman by 45 1/2

    Cal Poly at Texas State

    Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 72.639; Texas State 64.693

    Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 8

    Richmond at Vanderbilt

    Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 64.606; Vanderbilt 88.166

    Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 23 1/2

    Grambling at Alcorn State

    Dunkel Ratings: Grambling 42.327; Alcorn State 49.621

    Dunkel Line: Alcorn State by 7

    Coastal Carolina at Delaware State

    Dunkel Ratings: Coastal Carolina 63.019; Delaware State 59.791

    Dunkel Line: Coastal Carolina by 3

    Central Arkansas at Louisiana Tech

    Dunkel Ratings: Central Arkansas 61.219; Louisiana Tech 70.872

    Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 9 1/2

    Tennessee-Martin at Southern Mississippi

    Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 59.282; Southern Mississippi 94.584

    Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 35

    Alabama A&M at Tennessee State

    Dunkel Ratings: Alabama A&M 51.734; Tennessee State 58.373

    Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 7

    Elon at South Florida

    Dunkel Ratings: Elon 54.221; South Florida 101.286

    Dunkel Line: South Florida by 47

    Western Carolina at Alabama

    Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 47.077; Alabama 95.713

    Dunkel Line: Alabama by 48 1/2

    Indiana State at Indiana

    Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 46.752; Indiana 85.767

    Dunkel Line: Indiana by 39

    Jacksonville State at Alabama State

    Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 64.443; Alabama State 51.176

    Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 13

    Nicholls State at Rice

    Dunkel Ratings: Nicholls State 55.476; Rice 79.826

    Dunkel Line: Rice by 24

    Prairie View at Texas Southern

    Dunkel Ratings: Prairie View 38.147; Texas Southern 43.787

    Dunkel Line: Texas Southern by 5 1/2

    Portland State at McNeese State

    Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 75.648; McNeese State 65.347

    Dunkel Line: Portland State by 10

    Sacramento State at Fresno State

    Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 58.832; Fresno State 82.919

    Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 24

    Northern Colorado at Hawaii

    Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 44.138; Hawaii 109.646

    Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 65 1/2

    MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 3

    Game 223-224: Texas Tech at SMU

    Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 93.696; SMU 86.838

    Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 7; 64

    Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 10; 59

    Dunkel Pick: SMU (+10); Over

    Game 225-226: Florida State at Clemson

    Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 94.670; Clemson 96.431

    Dunkel Line: Clemson by 2; 41

    Vegas Line: Florida State by 3 1/2; 45 1/2

    Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+3 1/2); Under

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 2:46pm
24. 0 likes

    NCAAF

    Long Sheet

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Friday, August 31

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NAVY (9 - 4) at TEMPLE (1 - 11) - 8/31/2007, 7:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    NAVY is 93-60 ATS (+27.0 Units) in all games since 1992.

    NAVY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    NAVY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

    NAVY is 93-60 ATS (+27.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

    NAVY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

    NAVY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

    TEMPLE is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    TEMPLE is 1-1 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons

    NAVY is 2-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (5 - 7) at SYRACUSE (4 - - 8/31/2007, 8:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    SYRACUSE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Saturday, September 1

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    W MICHIGAN (8 - 5) at W VIRGINIA (11 - 2) - 9/1/2007, 12:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    E CAROLINA (7 - 6) at VIRGINIA TECH (10 - 3) - 9/1/2007, 12:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    VIRGINIA TECH is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    VIRGINIA TECH is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in September games since 1992.

    E CAROLINA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

    E CAROLINA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

    E CAROLINA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

    E CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

    E CAROLINA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

    E CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

    E CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MARSHALL (5 - 7) at MIAMI (7 - 6) - 9/1/2007, 12:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    MARSHALL is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    MARSHALL is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in road games since 1992.

    MARSHALL is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UAB (3 - 9) at MICHIGAN ST (4 - - 9/1/2007, 12:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    UAB is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CONNECTICUT (4 - at DUKE (0 - 12) - 9/1/2007, 2:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    CONNECTICUT is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

    DUKE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

    DUKE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

    DUKE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    DUKE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    VIRGINIA (5 - 7) at WYOMING (6 - 6) - 9/1/2007, 2:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    WYOMING is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons

    VIRGINIA is 1-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEVADA (8 - 5) at NEBRASKA (9 - 5) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    NEBRASKA is 50-26 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    NEBRASKA is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

    NEBRASKA is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games since 1992.

    NEBRASKA is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

    NEVADA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

    NEVADA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

    NEVADA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    NEVADA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OLE MISS (4 - at MEMPHIS (2 - 10) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    OLE MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons

    OLE MISS is 2-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    IOWA (6 - 7) vs. N ILLINOIS (7 - 6) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    IOWA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons.

    IOWA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

    IOWA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

    IOWA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons

    IOWA is 1-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (10 - 4) at OREGON (7 - 6) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    OREGON is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons

    OREGON is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON ST (6 - 6) at WISCONSIN (12 - 1) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

    WISCONSIN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

    WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

    WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GEORGIA TECH (9 - 5) at NOTRE DAME (10 - 3) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    GEORGIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons

    NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MISSOURI (8 - 5) vs. ILLINOIS (2 - 10) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    ILLINOIS is 42-71 ATS (-36.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UCLA (7 - 6) at STANFORD (1 - 11) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    UCLA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1992.

    STANFORD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    STANFORD is 1-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons

    UCLA is 2-0 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons

    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WAKE FOREST (11 - 3) at BOSTON COLLEGE (10 - 3) - 9/1/2007, 3:30 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons

    BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARIZONA (6 - 6) at BYU (11 - 2) - 9/1/2007, 5:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    BYU is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    BYU is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons

    ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARMY (3 - 9) vs. AKRON (5 - 7) - 9/1/2007, 6:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    ARMY is 1-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons

    ARMY is 1-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UCF (4 - at NC STATE (3 - 9) - 9/1/2007, 6:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    NC STATE is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BAYLOR (4 - at TCU (11 - 2) - 9/1/2007, 6:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    BAYLOR is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

    TCU is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

    TCU is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

    TCU is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    TCU is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

    TCU is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    TCU is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons

    TCU is 1-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OKLAHOMA ST (7 - 6) at GEORGIA (9 - 4) - 9/1/2007, 6:45 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    C MICHIGAN (10 - 4) at KANSAS (6 - 6) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    C MICHIGAN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

    C MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    C MICHIGAN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

    KANSAS is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) in all games since 1992.

    KANSAS is 62-87 ATS (-33.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    KANSAS is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    COLORADO ST (4 - vs. COLORADO (2 - 10) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    COLORADO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

    COLORADO is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    E MICHIGAN (1 - 11) at PITTSBURGH (6 - 6) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    E MICHIGAN is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PURDUE (8 - 6) at TOLEDO (5 - 7) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    TOLEDO is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

    TOLEDO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

    TOLEDO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games since 1992.

    TOLEDO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    KANSAS ST (7 - 6) at AUBURN (11 - 2) - 9/1/2007, 7:45 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOWLING GREEN (4 - at MINNESOTA (6 - 7) - 9/1/2007, 8:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    MINNESOTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TENNESSEE (9 - 4) at CALIFORNIA (10 - 3) - 9/1/2007, 8:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    CALIFORNIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.

    CALIFORNIA is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons

    TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW MEXICO (6 - 7) at UTEP (5 - 7) - 9/1/2007, 10:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    UTEP is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

    UTEP is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    UTEP is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons

    UTEP is 1-1 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons

    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN JOSE ST (9 - 4) at ARIZONA ST (7 - 6) - 9/1/2007, 10:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    IDAHO (4 - at USC (11 - 2) - 9/1/2007, 10:15 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 12) at PENN ST (9 - 4) - 9/1/2007, 12:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARKANSAS ST (6 - 6) at TEXAS (10 - 3) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    TEXAS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NORTH TEXAS (3 - 9) at OKLAHOMA (11 - 3) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    NORTH TEXAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA LAFAYETTE (6 - 6) at S CAROLINA (8 - 5) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    S CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TROY (8 - 5) at ARKANSAS (10 - 4) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIDDLE TENN ST (7 - 6) at FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 7) - 9/1/2007, 7:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons

    MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons

    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Monday, September 3

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TEXAS TECH (8 - 5) at SMU (6 - 6) - 9/3/2007, 4:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    TEXAS TECH is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    TEXAS TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons

    TEXAS TECH is 1-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FLORIDA ST (7 - 6) at CLEMSON (8 - 5) - 9/3/2007, 8:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    CLEMSON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    CLEMSON is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons

    CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 2:47pm
25. 0 likes

    NCAAF

    Short Sheet

    Friday, August 31st

    Navy at Temple, 7:30 ET ESPNU

    Navy: 6-0 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents

    Temple: 13-31 ATS in the first month of the season

    Washington at Syracuse, 8:00 ET ESPN

    Washington: 14-7 Under as a home underdog

    Syracuse: 8-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

    Saturday, September 1st

    (TC) Western Michigan at West Virginia, 3:30 ET

    Western Michigan: 8-4 Under as an underdog

    West Virginia: 2-7 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points

    East Carolina at Virginia Tech, 12:00 ET ESPN

    East Carolina: 12-4 Under as an underdog

    Virginia Tech: 30-13 ATS in the first month of the season

    Marshall at Miami FL, 12:00 ET ESPNU

    Marshall: 2-9 ATS in road games

    Miami FL: 1-7 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

    UAB at Michigan State, 12:00 ET ESPN2

    UAB: 33-17 ATS as an underdog

    Michigan State: 3-9 ATS in home games

    Connecticut at Duke, 2:00 ET

    Connecticut: 19-8 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents

    Duke: 2-9 ATS in home games

    Virginia at Wyoming, 2:00 ET VER

    Virginia: 2-8 ATS in road games

    Wyoming: 6-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

    Nevada at Nebraska, 3:30 ET ABC

    Nevada: 13-4 ATS playing on artificial turf

    Nebraska: 12-4 Over playing on artificial turf

    Mississippi at Memphis, 3:30 ET

    Mississippi: 1-5 ATS in the first month of the season

    Memphis: 5-1 Under as a home underdog

    Iowa vs. Northern Illinois, 3:30 ET at Chicago, Illinois | ESPNU

    Iowa: 1-7 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points

    Northern Illinois: 5-1 Under as an underdog

    Houston at Oregon, 3:30 ET

    Houston: 7-17 ATS in the first two weeks of the season

    Oregon: 5-1 Over in September

    Washington State at Wisconsin, 3:30 ET ABC

    Washington State: 8-2 Over as an underdog

    Wisconsin: 8-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

    Georgia Tech at Notre Dame, 3:30 ET NBC

    Georgia Tech: 16-6 Under with a line of +3 to -3

    Notre Dame: 7-2 ATS at home with a total of 42 points or less

    Missouri vs. Illinois, 3:30 ET at St. Louis, Missouri

    Missouri: 5-1 Over playing on artificial turf

    Illinois: 1-8 ATS in dome stadiums

    UCLA at Stanford, 3:30 ET FSN

    UCLA: 10-2 ATS away with a total of 45.5 to 49 points

    Stanford: 0-6 ATS in September

    Wake Forest at Boston College, 3:30 ET ABC

    Wake Forest: 15-5 Under in September

    Boston College: 8-4 ATS in home games

    Arizona at BYU, 5:30 ET VER

    Arizona: 10-3 Over as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points

    BYU: 11-4 ATS as a favorite

    (TC) Army vs. Akron, 7:00 ET at Cleveland, Ohio

    Army: 1-5 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points

    Akron: 7-3 Under with a total of 42.5 to 49 points

    Central Florida at NC State, 6:00 ET

    Central Florida: 10-1 Under in September

    NC State: 9-2 Under as a favorite

    Baylor at TCU, 6:00 ET CSTV

    Baylor: 5-1 Under in September

    TCU: 8-2 ATS in home games

    Oklahoma State at Georgia, 6:45 ET ESPN2

    Oklahoma State: 1-6 ATS as a road underdog

    Georgia: 20-7 Under in September

    Central Michigan at Kansas, 7:00 ET

    Central Michigan: 13-3 ATS playing on artificial turf

    Kansas: 12-4 Over vs. non-conference opponents

    (TC) Colorado State vs. Colorado, 12:00 ET at Denver, Colorado | FSN

    Colorado State: 8-3 ATS in the first half of the season

    Colorado: 6-1 Under vs. non-conference opponents

    (TC) Eastern Michigan at Pittsburgh, 6:00 ET

    Eastern Michigan: 5-18 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

    Pittsburgh: 9-2 Over in home games

    Purdue at Toledo, 7:00 ET ESPNU

    Purdue: 20-6 Under as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

    Toledo: 9-1 ATS at home in September

    Kansas State at Auburn, 7:45 ET ESPN

    Kansas State: 14-3 Over as a road underdog

    Auburn: 7-14 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points

    Bowling Green at Minnesota, 8:00 ET

    Bowling Green: 1-6 ATS in the first half of the season

    Minnesota: 7-1 ATS as a home favorite

    Tennessee at California, 8:00 ET ABC

    Tennessee: 8-2 Under as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points

    California: 8-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points

    New Mexico at UTEP, 10:00 ET CSTV

    New Mexico: 8-3 ATS in road games

    UTEP: 2-10 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points

    San Jose State at Arizona State, 10:00 ET

    San Jose State: 9-2 Under in road games

    Arizona State: 6-2 ATS as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points

    Idaho at USC, 10:15 ET FSN

    Idaho: 7-12 ATS vs. Pac-10 opponents

    USC: 5-1 ATS in the first month of the season

    Added Games:

    Florida International at Penn State, 12:00 ET

    Florida Int: 6-1 Under vs. non-conference opponents

    Penn State: 9-16 ATS in the first two weeks of the season

    Arkansas State at Texas, 7:00 ET

    Arkansas State: 18-11 ATS in September

    Texas: 6-0 Over as a favorite of 31+ points

    North Texas at Oklahoma, 7:00 ET FSN

    North Texas: 7-2 Over vs. non-conference opponents

    Oklahoma: 10-23 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5+ points

    Louisiana Lafayette at South Carolina, 7:00 ET

    LA Lafayette: 7-2 Over as a road underdog

    South Carolina: 6-0 ATS as a favorite

    Troy at Arkansas, 7:00 ET

    Troy: 5-1 ATS vs. SEC opponents

    Arkansas: 1-6 ATS in September

    (TC) Middle Tennessee State at Florida Atlantic, 4:00 ET

    Mid Tenn State: 6-1 Under in September

    Florida Atl: 2-8 ATS in home games

    ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

    Monday, September 3rd

    Texas Tech at SMU, 4:00 ET ESPN

    Texas Tech: 0-7 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

    SMU: 8-3 ATS as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points

    Florida State at Clemson, 8:00 ET ESPN

    Florida State: 5-1 Over as a road favorite

    Clemson: 6-0 ATS as an underdog

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 2:47pm
26. 0 likes

    NCAAF

    Write-up

    Friday's college football information

    Navy is 16-5 vs spread on road since Johnson has been coach. Temple is 6-3 vs spread as home dog last two years; they lost to Navy last two years, 38-17/42-6; Middies had 420 rushing yards in last year's game. Home side covered five of last six in series; Temple is hoping for sellout, with Navy (hour away) hoping to bring 25,000-30,000 fans.

    Syracuse has new QB, and 5-18 record under Robinson, but are 17-7 vs spread in last 24 home games, 22-5 vs spread outside of the Big East. Washington lost 17 of last 21 road games, has new QB (highly touted redshirt freshman); they're 6-3-1 vs spread on road under Willingham. Huskies have two OL starters back.

    Saturday's college football information

    Top 10 Games of Week

    Ole Miss starting less-mobile, more dependable Adams at QB in place of Tennessee transfer Schaeffer; Rebels beat Memphis the last two years (10-6/28-25), but Ole Miss covered just six of last 15 on road, lost nine of last 10 SU on road. Tigers covered four of last 12 as dog; they have senior QB and four starters back on OL. Ole Miss is 2-6 vs spread as road favorite since 2001.

    Wisconsin is 11-5-1 vs spread in last 17 tries as home fave; they covered six of last seven non-league games, last four openers. Washington State has senior QB with 28 starts; they are 6-4 vs spread in last ten road games, but are 3-5 as road dog last three seasons. Badgers have four starters back on OL, but also have new QB, who has started only two games in his college career.

    Georgia Tech won last three road openers, all vs ranked teams; they lost 14-10 to Notre Dame LY (+6.5); they were outgained in that game, 384-259. Irish are 6-13 in last 19 tries as home favorite, 4-8 under Weis. Tech is 9-5 vs spread on road last three years; they have new QB, which will be improvement, because Ball was horrible. Irish have only nine starters back (4 offense, 5 defense)

    Missouro-Illinois is annual hoop game in St Louis; now they are doing it in football too; good idea. Mizzou won last five openers is 10-6 vs spread in last 16 games away from home. Illini is 8-28 SU last three years, 4-7 vs spread in last 11 non-league games. Both sides have three seniors starting on OL; biggest variable is how much did Illini's Williams improve as a passer?

    Home side won eight of last nine UCLA-Stanford games; Bruins won last visit here 30-27 (OT) in '05. First game for Harbaugh as Cardinal coach; they have senior QB who started seven games when Edwards was hurt LY. UCLA is 3-6 vs spread as a favorite on road under Dorrell; they had seven sacks in 31-0 home win vs Cardinal LY, but have junior QB with only five starts.

    Wake Forest is 17-7 as road dog under Grobe, 26-12 as dog at all sites; they won three of last four games vs Boston College, with all four decided by seven or less points. Deacons are 11-6 vs the spread in last 17 ACC games. BC was 42-57/402 passing in last year's 21-14 loss to Wake. Eagles have senior QB with 18 starts, but have new coach- they're 5-2-1 in last eight as a home fave.

    Great chance for explosive Oklahoma State to play on national stage at Georgia, where Dawgs are just 5-10-1 in last sixteen as a home favorite, and have SEC rival South Carolina on deck. OSU covered eight of last 11 non-league games, but they've been bad on road (just 7-19 as road dog, 2-6 with Gundy). OSU QB Reid is vet with 19 starts. Georgia has soph QB with eight starts.

    Underdog covered four of last five Colorado-Colorado St games with last five all decided by seven or less pts, and four decided by five or less. Both sides are struggling; Buffs covered six of last 17 non-league games- they had only 146 total yards last yr, in 14-10 loss. Colorado's new QB is coach Hawkins' son, redshirt freshman. State has a senior QB with 17 career starts.

    Kansas State covered two of last seven as road dog, and three of last 11 non-league games; they have soph QB with five starts under his belt, vs Auburn defense with seven starters back, so they'll be tough. Tigers have senior QB, but new punter, kicker, long snapper, and four new starters on OL. K-State got good by scheduling weak teams early; this game is cash grab by them.

    Tennessee waxed Cal LY, 35-18, in game that was 35-3 after 3rd quarter; Vols outgained Bears 514-336, and had four TD plays of 40+ yards. Cal covered just two of last seven non-league games. Both sides have vet QB and three starters back on OL, but three of Vols' OL starters are sophs, still young. Tennessee is 8-3 vs spread in last 11 tries as dog; since '04, they're 6-4 as road dog.

    Rest of the Card

    Western Michigan is 8-6 vs spread as road dog last three years, 5-3 vs spread outside of MAC. West Virginia is 6-12-1 vs spread in last nineteen games as home favorite.

    Emotional day for Virginia Tech team that won last three home openers by combined score of 146-0; they play LSU next; Tech covered 15 of last 23 tries as home favorite.

    Miami covered just nine of last 28 as home favorite; they open last season in Orange Bowl hosting Marshall squad that lost its three games vs bigtime opponents LY, 42-10/23-7/33-7.

    Michigan State covered eight of last 27 as home favorite; they won last eight home openers by 18-point average. UAB has new coach, new QB; new head coaches on both sidelines here.

    UConn covered four of last 14 road games. Duke lost twenty in row SU, has covered only six of last 21 at home, but they have whole OL back and vet QB, while UConn has a new QB.

    Virginia beat Wyoming 13-12 in OT LY (-9) on missed PAT; UVa lost nine of last ten road games, covered one of last seven out of ACC. Wyoming outgained Cavs 313-206 LY; they're 18-11 vs spread in their last 29 home games.

    Arizona State transfer Keller makes Nebraska debut at QB; they are 15-10 vs spread in last 25 tries as home favorite. Nevada has covered just two of last 10 as road dog, but they were 5-1 vs the spread away from home last season.

    Iowa failed to cover last six tries as favorite away from home; in '06, they were 1-6 as favorite, beating Northern Illinois 24-14 as a 16-pt favorite. New QB this year for Hawkeyes, who outgained Huskies 405-196 in last year's meeting.

    Houston breaks in new QB, replacing Kolb, who had played in Briles' system for seven years (HS/college). Oregon won 38-24 at Houston in '05; they've covered seven of last nine as favorite at home. Lookahead alert: Ducks play Michigan next week.

    Arizona beat BYU last season 16-13 on 48-yd FG with 0:06 left; 'cats are 7-3 vs spread in last ten road games, but lost last five road openers- they have 17 starters back and explosive vet QB in Tuitama, with 13 career starts. BYU has new QB.

    Army actually shut Zips out 20-0 in Akron in '05, but since, the Cadets fell apart, to point that former Arenaball coach Brock is their new coach. Zips lost their QB and four starters on OL, and are 7-12 vs spread in last nineteen tries as home favorite.

    Central Florida is 7-12 vs spread in last nineteen tries as dog on road; they have four starters back on OL, but new QB. NC State has new coach; they're 3-13 vs spread in last 16 as home fave, and have ACC game at Boston College up next.

    Underdog Baylor led TCU 7-0 at halftime LY, but Horned Frogs were 11-13/148 passing in second half, and won 17-7. Frogs are 6-2 vs spread in last eight as home favorite, but they have date at Texas next week, so could be looking ahead.

    Kansas is 7-4 vs spread in last 11 tries as home favorite, but the QB is a soph, and they lost three starters off OL. Central Mich lost their coach to Cincinnati, but they have a prolific soph QB, and new coach who was WR coach at West Virginia.

    Pittsburgh is 6-3 as home favorite under Wannstedt, but they'll have freshman at QB, so hard to lay 20 with them. E. Michigan is 10-7 vs spread as road underdog under Genyk, but are 5-14 in non-league games since 2000.

    Purdue is 2-0-1 vs spread in last three tries as road favorite, but is 8-13-1 overall as favorite since 2004; they have junior QB with 19 career starts. Both sides have three starters back on the OL.

    Minnesota is switching from running team to spread offense, so new coach, new QB for team that covered 10 of last 13 as home favorite under Mason. Bowling Green is 10-12 last two seasons, after Brandon had great success taking over for Urban Meyer.

    Home side won last two New Mexico-UTEP games, with Lobos losing last visit here, 21-13 (+2.5). Miners covered just four of 11 at home last two years. Lobos covered 16 of last 21 on the road; they have 18 starters back (8 offense, 10 defense).

    Arizona State is 21-15 as home favorite since '00; they have QB with 18 career starts, as Erickson makes his debut at ASU, third Pac-10 team he's coached. San Jose had resurgence LY, playing in a bowl; their QB is senior, with 26 career starts.

    USC is 45-point favorite over Idaho; Trojans' DL coach is former head coach of Vandals. USC covered 11 of last 15 in non-league games. Idaho has new QB, and third head coach in three years.

    Penn State has Notre Dame coming to town next week, so they'll be under wraps here, vs Florida International squad that has a new coach, new QB, but OL with five starters back. Penn State is 6-3-1 as home favorite the last two years.

    Texas is 24-16 as home favorite since '00; they've covered five of last six non-league games. Both teams lost three starters on OL and have soph QB. Longhorns won last seven openers by 52-5 average score.

    Oklahoma plays Miami next week, so could be underwraps vs a North Texas team coached by former Texas QB Dodge, who was a great high school coach before taking this job. Both teams are breaking in new QBs; Sooners have five juniors starting on OL.

    South Carolina QB Mitchell is out for this game (academics) and one of their CBs is suspended for legal reasons, so with Georgia on deck, Gamecocks have issues to deal with; they're 7-2 as fave under Spurrier, 4-2 at home.

    Arkansas has great RBs, shaky QBs, and coach under scrutiny after last year's lousy finish. Troy State played at Florida State, Georgia Tech and Nebraska in consecutive weeks last year and covered two of the three; they're 7-5 as road dog since 2004.

    Middle Tennessee beat Florida Atlantic by 35-14 score in each of last two years; MTSU is 5-3 as road dog last two years. FAU is 0-4 as home favorite in program history; they have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense, after rebuilding 5-7 mark in '06.

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 2:47pm
27. 0 likes

    NCAAF

    Friday, August 31

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Tips and Trends

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Navy at Temple (ESPNU | 7:30 PM ET)

    Navy is 4-0 all-time at Lincoln Financial Field, winning by an average of 22 points. All four victories have come over Army. This will be Navy’s only appearance in Philadelphia in 2007 as this year’s Army-Navy game will be played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. EDGE: NAVY

    The Midshipmen are 4-1 in season openers under head football coach Paul Johnson and are averaging 30 points per game in those five games. This is the first time the Mids have opened on the road since Johnson’s first year in 2002 when Navy traveled to Dallas and beat SMU, 38-7. EDGE; NAVY

    Johnson has posted a 15-7 record as Navy’s coach when having more than one week to prepare and 13-5 with more than one week to prepare over the last four season. SLIGHT EDGE: NAVY

    Temple returns eight starters on offense and seven on defense from their 43 returnees with game day experience. The Owls played the biggest amount of true freshmen (22) in the nation in 2006. SLIGHT EDGE: TEMPLE

    Washington at Syracuse (ESPN | 8 PM ET)

    Washington has played against only three current football-playing members of the Big East Conference. The Huskies are 3-5 all-time against the trio: Connecticut, Pittsburgh and Syracuse. SLIGHT EDGE: SYRACUSE

    The Huskies are 80-31-6 all-time in season openers, good for a mark of .709. Since 1989, Washington has posted a 10-7 record in season openers, including 4-5 on the road. SLIGHT EDGE: WASHINGTON

    Syracuse is 76-36-4 all-time in season openers, 65-15-4 at home in those openers and 11-21 on the road. A lot of their opener success took place from 1900-42, as the Orange posted a 41-0-2 record. SLIGHT EDGE: SYRACUSE

    Friday night’s game against Washington marks the sixth time Syracuse will take the field during the month of August and only its second August clash ever contested in the Carrier Dome. The Orangemen are 1-4 in the summer’s final month, with the one victory coming on August 24, 1997 when it shutout Wisconsin, 34-0. SLIGHT EDGE: WASHINGTON

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 2:48pm
28. 0 likes

    NCAAF

    Betting Trends

    Week 1

    at South Florida Bulls by NL Elon O/U NL

    South Florida Bulls are 8-24-1 O/U All Games (All Lines)

    South Florida Bulls are 2-11-0 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)

    South Florida Bulls are 3-11-1 O/U As Home (All Lines)

    South Florida Bulls are 1-7-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)

    South Florida Bulls are 1-11-0 O/U After 2 Wins (All Lines)

    at Maryland Terrapins by NL Villanova O/U NL

    Maryland Terrapins are 6-18-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)

    Maryland Terrapins are 3-13-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)

    at Missouri Tigers by NL Illinois Fighting Illini O/U NL

    Illinois Fighting Illini are 5-14-0 O/U As Away (All Lines)

    Illinois Fighting Illini are 0-5-0 ATS After 7 Losses (All Lines)

    at Ohio State Buckeyes by NL Youngstown State O/U NL

    Ohio State Buckeyes are 25-12-1 ATS As Home (All Lines)

    at Vanderbilt Commodores by NL Richmond O/U NL

    Vanderbilt Commodores are 7-18-1 ATS After 1 Home (All Lines)

    at Iowa Hawkeyes by NL Northern Illinois Huskies O/U NL

    Iowa Hawkeyes are 24-9-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)

    Iowa Hawkeyes are 21-7-0 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)

    at Air Force Falcons by NL South Carolina State O/U NL

    Air Force Falcons are 0-5-0 O/U After 2 Overs (All Lines)

    at Florida Gators by NL Western Kentucky O/U NL

    Florida Gators are 15-29-2 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)

    Florida Gators are 0-5-0 O/U After 2 ATS Wins (All Lines)

    at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs by NL Central Arkansas O/U NL

    Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 21-37-1 ATS All Games (All Lines)

    at Fresno State Bulldogs by NL Cal State Sacramento O/U NL

    Fresno State Bulldogs are 3-20-1 ATS After 1 Losses (All Lines)

    at Rice Owls by NL Nicholls State O/U NL

    Rice Owls are 18-5-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)

    Rice Owls are 10-2-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)

    Rice Owls are 7-1-0 O/U After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)

    Rice Owls are 11-2-0 O/U After 1 Away (All Lines)

    at Miami Hurricanes by 18.0 Marshall Thundering Herd O/U NL

    Miami Hurricanes are 14-35-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)

    Miami Hurricanes are 18-33-0 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)

    Miami Hurricanes are 11-28-0 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)

    Miami Hurricanes are 6-19-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)

    Miami Hurricanes are 6-17-0 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)

    Miami Hurricanes are 0-5-0 ATS After 2 Wins (17 -> 19.5)

    Miami Hurricanes are 8-19-0 O/U After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)

    at Michigan State Spartans by 21.0 UAB Blazers O/U NL

    Michigan State Spartans are 21-38-1 ATS All Games (All Lines)

    Connecticut Huskies by 4.0 at Duke Blue Devils O/U 52.0

    Duke Blue Devils are 7-1-1 O/U As Home Dog (All Lines)

    Virginia Cavaliers by 4.0 at Wyoming Cowboys O/U 41.0

    Virginia Cavaliers are 8-20-1 ATS As Away (All Lines)

    Virginia Cavaliers are 2-10-0 ATS As Away (3 -> 6.5)

    Virginia Cavaliers are 17-6-1 ATS After 1 Losses (All Lines)

    Virginia Cavaliers are 9-2-0 ATS After 1 Losses (3 -> 6.5)

    Mississippi Rebels by 2.5 at Memphis Tigers O/U 49.5

    Mississippi Rebels are 1-7-0 O/U After 2 Unders (All Lines)

    at Wisconsin Badgers by 14.0 Washington State Cougars O/U 49.5

    Wisconsin Badgers are 7-0-1 ATS After 2 Unders (All Lines)

    Washington State Cougars are 14-4-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)

    at Notre Dame Fighting Irish by 2.5 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets O/U 46.0

    Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 8-19-1 O/U As Dog (All Lines)

    UCLA Bruins by 17.0 at Stanford Cardinal O/U 47.0

    UCLA Bruins are 0-5-0 O/U vs. Stanford (All Lines)

    Stanford Cardinal are 12-32-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)

    Stanford Cardinal are 10-30-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)

    Stanford Cardinal are 3-16-0 O/U After 2 Losses (All Lines)

    Stanford Cardinal are 5-16-0 O/U After 1 Away (All Lines)

    Stanford Cardinal are 0-5-0 O/U vs. UCLA (All Lines)

    at Boston College Eagles by 6.0 Wake Forest Demon Deacons O/U 43.0

    Boston College Eagles are 1-7-0 O/U After 1 Wins (3 -> 6.5)

    Wake Forest Demon Deacons are 1-7-1 O/U All Games (3 -> 6.5)

    at Brigham Young Cougars by 4.0 Arizona Wildcats O/U 46.5

    Arizona Wildcats are 11-25-1 O/U All Games (All Lines)

    Arizona Wildcats are 1-9-0 O/U All Games (3 -> 6.5)

    at Akron Zips by 5.0 Army Black Knights O/U 43.5

    Army Black Knights are 0-12-1 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)

    Army Black Knights are 0-8-1 ATS As Dog (3 -> 6.5)

    Army Black Knights are 0-7-0 ATS As Away (3 -> 6.5)

    at North Carolina State Wolfpack by 8.0 UCF Golden Knights O/U 48.0

    North Carolina State Wolfpack are 2-9-0 O/U After 2 ATS Loss (All Lines)

    North Carolina State Wolfpack are 0-9-0 O/U After 3 Unders (All Lines)

    UCF Golden Knights are 1-7-0 ATS All Games (7 -> 9.5)

    at Texas Christian Horned Frogs by 20.5 Baylor Bears O/U NL

    Texas Christian Horned Frogs are 5-0-0 O/U After 8 Wins (All Lines)

    at Georgia Bulldogs by 6.5 Oklahoma State Cowboys O/U 54.5

    Georgia Bulldogs are 12-3-2 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5)

    Georgia Bulldogs are 9-1-1 ATS As Favorite (3 -> 6.5)

    at Kansas Jayhawks by 7.5 Central Michigan Chippewas O/U 52.0

    Central Michigan Chippewas are 1-7-1 ATS After 2 Home (All Lines)

    Purdue Boilermakers by 6.5 at Toledo Rockets O/U 55.0

    Purdue Boilermakers are 16-31-3 O/U All Games (All Lines)

    Purdue Boilermakers are 8-19-2 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)

    Purdue Boilermakers are 1-10-0 O/U After 2 Losses (All Lines)

    Purdue Boilermakers are 6-17-1 O/U After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)

    Toledo Rockets are 18-7-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)

    Toledo Rockets are 11-2-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)

    Toledo Rockets are 5-0-0 O/U As Home Dog (All Lines)

    at Minnesota Golden Gophers by 14.5 Bowling Green Falcons O/U NL

    Minnesota Golden Gophers are 25-12-0 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)

    at California Golden Bears by 6.0 Tennessee Volunteers O/U 53.0

    California Golden Bears are 7-1-0 ATS As Home (3 -> 6.5)

    New Mexico Lobos by 3.0 at Texas El Paso Miners O/U 52.0

    Texas El Paso Miners are 0-5-0 ATS As Dog (3 -> 6.5)

    at Southern California Trojans by 45.0 Idaho Vandals O/U NL

    Southern California Trojans are 23-9-0 ATS As Home (All Lines)

    Southern California Trojans are 23-9-0 ATS As Home Favorite (All Lines)

    Southern California Trojans are 19-5-0 ATS After 1 Overs (All Lines)

    at Penn State Nittany Lions by 38.0 Florida Intl Golden Panthers O/U NL

    Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 2-9-0 O/U As Dog (All Lines)

    Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 1-7-0 O/U As Away (All Lines)

    Florida Intl Golden Panthers are 0-7-0 O/U As Away Dog (All Lines)

    at Oklahoma Sooners by 40.5 North Texas Eagles O/U NL

    North Texas Eagles are 6-17-0 O/U All Games (All Lines)

    North Texas Eagles are 2-10-0 O/U After 1 Away (All Lines)

    at South Carolina Gamecocks by 29.0 UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns O/U NL

    South Carolina Gamecocks are 17-7-1 O/U As Home (All Lines)

    South Carolina Gamecocks are 9-1-1 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)

    at Arkansas Razorbacks by 24.0 Troy Trojans O/U NL

    Arkansas Razorbacks are 5-0-0 ATS After 3 Losses (All Lines)

    at Florida Atlantic Owls by 2.5 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders O/U NL

    Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are 0-5-0 ATS All Games (PK -> 2.5)

    

    posted by phantom

    Aug. 31 2007 2:48pm
29. 0 likes

    Steam Sheet

    Smoker

    California 33 Tennessee 17

    Upset Special

    Wyoming 24 Virgina 17

    Blowout

    Nebraska 43 Nevada 10

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 1 2007 6:09am
30. 0 likes

    Mark Lawrence Newsletter

    Off another site

    AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK

    Marc's Awesome Angle Of The Week

    Wins 67% In PLAYBOOK Last Four Years!

    ATS W-L Record

    Since 1990:

    11-1 (92%)

    DOUBLE TROUBLE PLAY ON any college road dog or favorite of 5 < points who won 4 > games last season if they return 17 > starters for the 2nd straight season vs a foe that returns 11 < starters from last season.

    Play On: ARIZONA

    For what it’s worth, there are no less

    than eleven teams that will enter the

    2007 season with 100-yard improved

    defenses. They are: Arizona State,

    Illinois, North Texas, Northwestern,

    Ohio U, Rutgers, Texas A&M, UCLA,

    Western Michigan, Wisconsin and

    Wyoming.

    You know what to do – do it to me

    one more time...

    2-MINUTE HANDICAP ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog

    F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up

    Saturday September 1

    East Carolina 6-1 bef BB HG… 6-2 A vs non conf… 2-5 A Game One

    VA TECH 13-3 H vs non conf… 0-3 non conf favs 23 > pts

    Marshall 5-2 dogs 15 > pts… 0-3 A vs non conf… 1-4 Game One

    MIAMI FL 13-4 Game One (6-0 DD favs)… 0-5 vs CUSA

    Virginia 1-7 A bef conf HG… 2-7 vs non conf opp w/ rev

    WYOMING 5-1 in 1st of BB HG… 1-4 dogs 6 < pts… 4-8 Game One

    Houston 3-0 bef RG vs Tulane… 4-1 dogs 9 > pts vs Pac 10

    OREGON 4-1 Game One… 7-3 favs 14 > Pts… Sept: 4-8 as HF’s

    Wash St 1-4 bef BB HG… 2-7 Game One… 3-7 dogs > 13 pts

    WISCONSIN Sept: 10-2-1 home… 2-10 non conf favs 14 > pts

    Ga Tech Series 3-0 L3… 9-0 A bef BB HG… 1-5 dogs 4 < pts

    NOTRE DAME 1-5 HF’s 4 < pts… 1-3 bef RG vs Penn St… Sept: 2-5 HF’s

    Wake Forest Series: 4-0 L4… 8-0 as dogs 7 < pts… 4-1 A in Game One

    BOSTON COLL 5-1 in 1st of BB HG… 1-5 H w/ rev… 3-7 favs 7 < pts

    Arizona 3-0 A vs non conf opp w/ rev… 3-7 dogs < 7 pts

    BYU 7-1 Game One… 2-7 H vs Pac 10… 2-5 favs < 7 pts

    Okla St 6-2 non conf dogs > 2 pts… 6-17 dogs 7 < pts

    GEORGIA 4-1 Game One favs < 8 pts… 3-7 in 1st of BB HG

    Kansas St 0-4 A bef BB HG… 1-5 non conf dogs 10 > pts

    AUBURN 1-4 non conf HF’s 15 < pts… Sept: 2-6 vs non conf

    Tennessee 1-5 dogs 4 > pts vs opp w/ rev… Sept: 3-7-2 L12 RG

    CALIFORNIA 1-4 H w/ non conf rev… 6-17 as non conf favs (1-5 L3Y)

    San Jose St 3-0 L3 vs Pac 10… 7-1 Game One… 3-7 dogs 14 > pts

    ARIZONA ST 9-1 favs 14 > pts… 4-1 H Game One… 7-3 vs WAC

    Idaho 0-4 dogs > 31 pts… 1-6 vs Pac 10… 4-8 A vs non conf

    USC 7-3 favs 28 > pts (but 0-3 favs 31 > pts)… 1-3 H vs WAC

    Arkansas St 4-2 A vs non conf… 0-4 bef Memphis… 0-4 A bef BB HG

    TEXAS 11-3 favs > 28 pts (7-1 vs non conf)… 7-3 in 1st of BB HG

    Monday September 3

    Texas Tech Series: Visitor 0-4… 0-5 A Game One… 1-4 RF’s 7 > pts

    SMU 4-1 H vs non conf… 6-2 dogs 14 < pts… 2-8 Game One

    Florida St 1-4 as RF’s 10 < pts… 3-7 w/ conf rev (0-3 A)

    CLEMSON Series: 3-1 L4 / 6-1 L7 H… 2-6 H vs conf opp w/ rev

    INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK

    Navy's Midshipmen are

    29-1 ATS in their last 30 straight-up

    road victories.

    SMART BOX

    NEW COLLEGE COACHES

    New Head Coaches Are Moneyburners

    Pair a ‘new coach lousy team’ against a ‘good team’ (one

    who won six or more games last year) in season openers

    and you have the makings of a massacre, as these pairings

    fi nd ‘new head coach-lousy team’ combinations at 4-42

    SU & 11-30-2 ATS. There are fi ve such pairings to open the

    2007 season (the ‘new head coach-lousy team’ listed first):

    8/30 – IOWA STATE vs Kent State,

    9/1 – IDAHO vs Usc, FLORIDA INT’L vs Penn State, NORTH TEXAS vs Oklahoma and STANFORD vs Ucla.

    New Head Coaches With Lousy Teams

    are Lousy in Season Openers

    New Head Coaches with Lousy Teams

    vs Good Teams Spell Disaster

    For the most part, new coaches are brought into college

    football programs that are in need of a transfusion. Much like

    a body that undergoes alterations during a lifestyle change of

    diet and exercise, it also takes a while before fi rst year coaches

    turn a program around. In fact, all teams with 1st year head

    coaches are 1077-1205-35, or 46.8% ATS, since 1990.

    The groundwork is laid in the fi rst year, when new coaches

    install new playbooks and game plans. Consequently, these

    teams really struggle out of the gate. That’s confirmed by the

    fact that, since 1990:

    • 1st Year College Football Head Coaches in Game One are

    a 42.7% pointspread proposition, going 71-95-6 ATS.

    A lousy team is often defi ned as winning four or fewer games

    the previous year. We agree with that statement because:

    • Four win (or less) teams, with a new 1st year head coach,

    are 30-48-5 ATS in their initial game scheduled. No less than

    eleven teams open the season in this role: Army, Florida

    International, Idaho, Iowa St, Michigan St, North Carolina,

    NC State, North Texas, Stanford, Tulane (9/8) and UAB.

    BALL ST over Miami Ohio by 3

    RedHawks had amassed a 28-10 SU record since 2003 but crashed

    hard last year with a 2-10 disaster. Now the crew from Oxford opens

    ‘07 as a virtual touchdown underdog to fi rst-time series favorite Ball

    State. The Testicular Ones are at odds with history: the visitor in this

    matchup is currently 4-0 ATS. Miami is also a ‘mission team’ (won three

    straight years prior to losing season last year) and we like mission dogs

    – especially those with revenge. We’ll fade the Gonads.

    RUTGERS over Buffalo by 27

    Rutgers silenced their doubters last December when they carried a

    10-2 record into the Texas Bowl and ground Kansas State into a 37-10

    dustpile, ending the season at 9-3 ATS. The Scarlet Knights may have

    some diffi culty continuing that streak here as they’ve been saddled

    with a huge -31 point impost (biggest spread last year was -19.5). The

    stats certainly support RU: they’re 8-2 ATS home vs non conf foes and

    a sweet 7-1 ATS when playing the fi rst of back-to-back home games.

    Conversely, Buffalo takes the bullet with a 2-8 ATS mark vs the Big East.

    We think the Scarlet Knights have the most exciting offense this side

    of West Virginia but we also know Navy is on deck. That means a big

    early lead over Buffy could trigger wholesale substitutions – leaving

    the back door perilously ajar.

    Lsu over MISSISSIPPI ST by 20

    Much is expected of LSU this season as every major college preview

    publication in America has tabbed them as a Top Three team – and

    the favorite to dispose of Florida in the SEC title game. Such lofty

    predictions aside, LSU couldn’t have hand-picked a better opponent

    to open against than the Starkville dawgs. If the Tigers’ recent 5-1

    ATS (3-0 away) mark in the series doesn’t impress you, how about an

    average winning margin of 30.6 ppg over the same span? That number

    falls right in line with the Bulldogs’ record of despair in SEC openers,

    losing by 31 ppg the previous fi ve years. With the Bengals on a 8-1

    ATS run as conference road favs and Mississippi St struggling to a 3-9

    ledger as double-digit home dogs, we’re thinking LSU or pass.

    Kent St over IOWA ST by 7

    Questions abound in Ames as Gene Chizik takes over for the well-liked

    Dan McCarney, and fi nds himself with an awfully green team: only

    fi ve returning starters on both sides of the ball and a miniscule 28

    lettermen. Kent State is somewhat of a mystery, too. Doug Martin’s

    Golden Flashes shocked everyone with a 5-2 SU start in ‘06 but lost

    power as they stumbled to a 1-4 SU fi nish. Kent has enjoyed success

    against non-MAC foes lately, going 4-1 ATS (3-0 as a dog of less than

    14 points), and they do return a boatload of starters. With ISU a triple

    qualifi er in this week’s SMART BOX (page 3), we’ll overlook Kent’s

    late-season hiccup and back the Flashes as road warriors today.

    Unlv over UTAH ST by 4

    No matter how we examine the combined pointspread stats for these

    two teams, the result always reads like a litany of failure. Utah State’s

    numbers are certainly worse overall but with Rebels QB Rocky Hinds

    likely unable to start (knee), any interest in the visitor fades away.

    We’ll put it this way: if Lindsay and Britney bet on football, THIS is

    the type of game they’d play. No rehab for us.

    GAME OF THE WEEK UPSET UPSET

    Utah over OREGON ST by 3

    With each team returning a sizable number of starters, installing

    the PAC 10 rep as 7-point chalk looks about right... until you

    look further. Despite Oregon State’s 10-win season, the offense

    actually regressed by 57 YPG last year – not too encouraging

    when facing a schedule mined with seven bowl opponents. Utah’s

    similar offensive decline was mainly due to the absence of star QB

    Brian Johnson. Johnson’s back, joined by his top six wide receivers.

    With Utah a sterling 21-4-1 ATS as a road dog, look for them to

    improve their 16-5-1 ATS record as pups vs the PAC 10.

    Tulsa over LA MONROE by 1

    New Tulsa head coach Todd Graham will bring Sr QB Paul Smith

    to Monroe but not much else: 11 starters plus a 0-7-1 ATS mark in

    the season’s fi rst lined game makes for some light luggage. Charlie

    Weatherbie’s Warhawks sprinted to the finish line in ‘06 with

    fi ve consecutive ATS covers but a tough non-conference schedule

    (Clemson, Texas A&M and Alabama) makes this a must-win game

    if Monroe is to claim its fi rst winning season since 1994. With 17

    returning starters and a solid system in place, we’ll do the Louisiana

    Lean here. Tell ‘em Charlie sent ya.

    Friday, August 31st

    Navy over TEMPLE by 24

    With only 9 starters and 26 lettermen returning for Navy in 2007,

    Paul Johnson’s coaching acumen will be sorely tested. But not here.

    The Temple Owls have redefi ned BAD over the past two seasons,

    winning just one of 23 games while being outscored by an average of

    32.5 points per contest. The disciplined Midshipmen feast on bottom

    feeders like this (won 42-6 LY) and boast an amazing 19-3 ATS record

    in the fi rst of back-to-back road games. Still, the Middies have a score

    to settle with Rutgers next week (humiliating 0-34 loss) and could ease

    up on the outclassed Owls. Our INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3 certainly

    makes a case for weighing anchor with the Midshipmen.

    SYRACUSE over Washington by 3

    On a disastrous 5-18 SU run under Greg Robinson, the ‘Cuse has

    managed just ONE conference win in two years – while being

    outstatted in 19 of those 23 games! The cavernous Carrier Dome

    seems to be the only advantage the Orange can still claim. Syracuse

    has buried non-conference visitors to the tune of 18-2 ATS, a stat that

    has continued under Robinson (5-0 ATS). With Washington appearing

    to be equally confused under coach Ty Willingham, we’ll play the

    Carrier card. The Syracuse program needs a major shot in the arm

    and a win here could be just what the doctor ordered.

    WEST VIRGINIA over W Michigan by 27

    Make no mistake: Western Michigan has a quality football team,

    improving their defense by 100 yards from 2006. But opening the

    season in Morgantown, WV with 26 sophomores and and 26 juniors

    renders the previous stat darn near meaningless. When Pat White,

    Steve Slaton and the Mountaineer offense get in synch, the points

    pile up quickly... regardless of who’s on the defensive side of the ball.

    Though WVU’s 2-8 ATS log as home favorites of 21 or more points is

    cause for concern, we can’t buck this awesome machine.

    VIRGINIA TECH over East Carolina by 34

    Another situation where a good team is in over their heads. ECU

    brings strong numbers under Skip Holtz (18-6 ATS) but the emotional

    overtones of this game profoundly favor the host Hokies. Black

    armbands will be worn to honor the victims of last spring’s campus

    killings and we expect a supremely motivated Virginia Tech team to

    add to its 13-3 ATS ledger vs non-conf foes. This will be a very diffi cult

    game to play – and to watch.

    MIAMI FL over Marshall by 17

    This sets up nicely for the new-look Hurricanes, who are 13-4 ATS in

    Game One (6-0 as double-digit favorites). Miami’s rush defense was

    the BEST in school history and eight of those starters return. With a

    paltry 2-12 ATS mark in Saturday road games, Marshall might need to

    bring Matthew McConaughey if they want to avoid a blowout. We like

    the Canes’ chances this year under Randy Shannon but the ‘New Coach

    - Game One’ hex (see SMART BOX) has us on the sidelines today.

    MICHIGAN ST over Uab by 20

    Former Cincy coach Mark D’antonio inherits some dreadful numbers

    with these Spartans – 2-10 ATS home vs non conference opponents

    and 3-10 in the fi rst of back-to-back home games – but he also gets

    the luxury of three straight homers to begin his regime. Michigan

    State owns the superior personnel but with both squads breaking in

    brand new coaching staffs, it may not matter. The Blazers, however,

    are missing the services of 30 graduated seniors and limp into town

    on the heels of a 3-win season. Go green or go home.

    Connecticut over DUKE by 10

    No truth to the rumor that “Abandon all hope, ye who enter here’ is

    inscribed above the entrance to the Duke locker room but a lack of

    winning has bedeviled this program since Steve Spurrier left town. Not

    so with UConn's Randy Edsall, who fashioned a 17-7 mark in 2003-04

    before cluster injuries doomed him to consecutive losing seasons. With

    upcoming games against Maine and Temple, Edsall is eying a fast start

    for this year’s Huskies. Hard to like a Duke team that’s beaten only

    ONE TEAM (VMI) in two years. We lean to the sled dogs.

    Virginia over Wyoming by 1

    The Cowboys can claim a 5-0 ATS record at home vs recent nonconference

    foes and are members of the ‘100-yard defensive

    improvement club’ (see BDK, page 2). Virginia is another one of our

    ‘mission teams’ but head coach Al Groh’s ‘Jekyll & Hyde’ pointspread

    history confuses the situation. Groh is a respectable 26-10 ATS in

    Charlottesville but put him behind the wheel and he skids to just

    11-20-1 ATS – including a horrible 4-15-1 ATS mark when tackling an

    avenging foe away. Road favorites with those tendencies are not to

    our liking. Time to saddle up with the bronc busters from Laramie.

    NEBRASKA over Nevada by 20

    Nevada makes its initial foray into BIG 12 territory off a storybook

    season, fi nishing 11-2 ATS and coming within two points of bringing

    down mighty Miami Florida in the MPC Computers Bowl. Now they

    run smack into the defending BIG 12 North champion Huskers, a

    team that fi nally appears to be solving head coach Bill Callahan’s

    complex schemes. Sam Keller, a 6-4 senior transfer from Arizona State,

    has the arm and poise to guide the Big Red to a big year. Since the

    linemaker tends to treat pointspread Cinderallas with disdain the

    following season, Nebraska’s 8-3 ATS mark in Game One will help us

    lean slightly to the Huskers.

    MEMPHIS over Mississippi by 1

    In a tightly-contested series (last two decided by 4 and 3 points), both

    sides come up empty in the ATS department. Ole Miss is a dreadful

    1-7 ATS lately as a road favorite while Memphis has dropped four

    straight to non-conf opponents – and both are moneyburners in

    Game One. However, the Tigers are one of our ‘mission teams’ for

    2007 and since the series underdog currently stands 4-1 ATS, home

    pup Memphis gets the bone today.

    Iowa over No Illinois by 7

    Harmony and light had ruled the cornfi elds for fi ve years... until The

    Season From Hell crept from the shadows and engulfed the Iowa

    football program in 2006. Armed with a senior QB and a wealth of

    talent, Kirk Ferentz & Company never recovered from a 17-38 beating

    at Ohio State and dropped six of seven games to end the season at

    6-7, their worst since 2000. Northern Illinois managed to remain on

    the tracks in ‘06, posting its seventh consecutive winning campaign.

    Only the loss of the Huskies’ top two offensive weapons – RB Garrett

    Wolfe and QB Phil Horvath – can possibly explain why the Hawkeyes

    are double-digit favorites. With Iowa only 2-9 ATS in September as

    of late, we’ll take Northern Illinois to continue its 20-8 ATS run as

    dogs of 8 or more points.

    OREGON over Houston by 20

    Question: was it departed QB Kevin Kolb or Art Briles’ offensive

    system that carried the Cougars to bowl games three of the last

    four years? One thing is for sure – Oregon coach Mike Bellotti will

    not include the Ducks’ last game, a 38-8 evisceration by BYU in the

    Las Vegas Bowl, in his book of memories. At least Bellotti welcomes

    back two of the Quack Attack’s main cogs, Sr QB Dennis Dixon and

    RB Jonathan Stewart. The big line may have many siding with the

    bowl-dog Cougars but the Duck Pond is more to our liking.

    WISCONSIN over Wash St by 17

    HUGE game for the Badgers as last year’s strong fi nish has them

    primed for a legitimate run at the BIG 10 title and possible national

    honors. The skeptical Wisconsin fans who wondered if Bret Bielema

    could replace the legendary Barry Alvarez can now rest easy. The

    steely-eyed Bielema owns some impressive stats after just one

    season: 12-1 SU & 9-2-1 ATS, including a superb 8-0 ATS mark as a

    favorite of less than 21 points, and an average winning margin of 17

    ppg. WSU struggled to its 3rd consecutive non-winning season in ‘06

    and will have to play inspired, mistake-free ball to have any chance

    at springing the upset. With a raucous Camp Randall crowd fueling

    Wisky’s 12-point per game defense, the Badgers should prevail – and

    add to their 10-2-1 ATS ledger in September home games.

    Georgia Tech over NOTRE DAME by 3

    Notre Dame opens 2007 with a ‘green’ team, and not because they’ll

    be wearing shamrock-colored jerseys. A mere eight starters and 30

    lettermen return, meaning coach Charlie Weis will face a monster

    rebuilding task. Both teams suffered heavy offensive losses but

    while the Irish will dearly miss departed QB Brady Quinn (Browns),

    the loss of inconsistent signal-caller Reggie Ball (CFL) may prove to

    be a blessing in disguise for the Yellow Jackets. Tech certainly brings

    the better defense to the battle and that looks to be a major edge.

    The linemaker, guilty of consistently overpricing the Irish, must be

    scared silly to make them just a fi eld-goal favorite. We’ll pile as many

    points as we can into the back of our jalopy and ride the Ramblin’

    Wreck into South Bend.

    Missouri over Illinois by 1

    This year’s border war is being billed as the ‘Arch Rivalry’ since it

    takes place at the Edward Jones Dome in St Louis. At fi rst glance,

    Missouri would seem to be the obvious choice. The Tiger offense, led

    by QB Chase Daniels, set school records for passing yards and total

    offense, and Mizzou has been hyped as a serious contender for this

    year’s BIG 12 North title. With coach Gary Pinkel riding a 16-3 SU &

    13-6 ATS wave as a non-conference favorite, the Tigers should notch

    another win in a series they’ve dominated (5-1 L6), right? Not so

    fast! Ron Zook’s Illini return 18 starters, own one of the country’s top

    recruiting classes, and saw their defense improve by 100 ypg in 2006.

    Also, our Coaches League stats (inside the Handicappers Lounge at

    Playbook.com) tell us that Zook is a classic ‘good underdog’ (16-11-1

    ATS), ‘bad favorite’ (9-21 ATS) coach. With Illinois aching to lose its

    label as BIG 10 doormat, this could go right down to the wire.

    Ucla over STANFORD by 18

    The PAC 10 is loaded with quality teams this year and these Bruins

    are among the best. One of only two squads to slay the Trojan beast

    in 2006, UCLA returns virtually its entire starting contingent, most

    notably a defense that held seven foes to under 300 yards while

    improving by an astounding 164 ypg! They probably won’t have to

    break a sweat to hammer a Cardinal program that lies in shambles

    after a ruinous two-year stint by the incompetent Walt Harris.

    Upbeat Jim Harbaugh replaces Harris but his team is light years

    away from being competitive. We have a soft spot for downtrodden

    home dogs opening a new season but with Harbaugh facing the

    ‘new coach - Game One hex’ (SMART BOX), this looks elementary,

    Watson.

    BOSTON COLLEGE over Wake Forest by 7

    BC coach Tom O’Brien may have relocated to Raleigh but the

    Eagles look to be in capable hands with former NFL assistant Jeff

    Jagodzinski. J-God will look to 1st team all-ACC QB Matt Ryan (14-4

    SU as a starter) to shoulder the load against a Wake Forest team that

    has owned this series (4-0 L4). The Deacs were the most improved

    team in the land last year but that accomplishment only lands them

    on our ‘Play Against’ list this season. Still, as much as we’d like to

    snap the rubberband on this revenge special (BC lost 21-14 at Wake

    as 4-point favs LY), that pesky ‘new coach - Game One hex’ keeps us

    on the sidelines.

    Arizona over BYU by 3

    With the Tucson natives growing more restless by the day, coach

    Mike Stoops chose to defl ect some of the heat from his 12-22 SU

    record with the Cats by hiring new OC Sonny Dykes, co-architect of

    Texas Tech’s lethal spread offense. If Dykes can’t revive the lethargic

    Arizona attack (17 ppg last year), Stoops may fi nd himself working

    for a Norman, OK car dealership. The Wildcats will need to bring

    their ‘A’ game to Provo if they intend to halt BYU’s current 10-game

    winning streak. With a little help from the ANGLE OF THE WEEK

    (see page 2) and the return of talented QB Willie Tuitama, the

    Desert Cats could have some success against a Cougar team that has

    struggled at home (2-7 ATS) against PAC 10 opposition.

    5 BEST BET

    If you think Army has a shot at an outright win, here’s a sobering

    fact to consider: Army has NEVER won a season opener away

    from the banks of the Hudson in their 122-year history! The

    Cadets don’t take to the role of underdog, either, going 0-11

    ATS lately as a pups of 7 or fewer points – plus they’re breaking

    in a new coaching staff today. Akron just missed a 4th straight

    winning season in ‘06 with an 0-2 fi nish and the Zips would love

    to extract revenge for a 20-0 home whitewash loss to the Cadets

    in 2005. The supposedly ‘neutral’ Cleveland site also strongly

    favors J.D. Brookhart’s troops, with Browns’ Stadium a short 30-

    minute ride up I-77 from the Rubber Bowl. Army strong? Zip it.

    Akron over Army by 17

    NC STATE over C Florida by 4

    After a 2-5 SU home record in ‘06 doomed coach Chuck Amato, the

    Wolfpack brain trust searched for a replacement who would make

    winning in Raleigh a priority. They succeeded by luring Tom O’Brien

    and his 42-17 SU home mark (34-22-1 ATS) away from Boston

    College. O’Brien makes his debut today against former ACC coach

    George O’Leary, who was 6-1 SU and 4-2-1 ATS vs The Pack when he

    toiled for Georgia Tech. Dogged by a 1-11 ATS performance lately

    as favorites of less than 10 points – and a 7-game SU losing steak

    – NC State’s problems are probably too numerous for a quick fi x. In

    a genuine Irish donnybrook (O’B vs O’L), we’ll take the visitors to

    emerge from the den with a pointspread cover.

    TCU over Baylor by 25

    While the Baylor football program struggles to fi nd an identity

    under Guy Morris, Gary Patterson has already taken TCU to the

    next level. The Horned Frogs have racked up a 22-3 SU record the

    previous two years and return nine members from a defense that

    ranked 2nd nationally in 2006, allowing a mere 12 points per game.

    Yes, there’s a possibility that TCU may be looking ahead to next

    week’s monumental showdown with Texas but the Froggies will win

    this game... and they’ve covered the number in 19 of their last 23

    SU wins. PS: if you have access to fi rst-half action in college football,

    you may want to put this in your pocket – TCU outscored opponents

    192-13 in the opening stanzas of last year’s games.

    GEORGIA over Oklahoma St by 3

    Intriguing matchup between an established SEC power and an

    on-the-rise program from the BIG 12. Okie State hasn’t fared well

    lately as a TD or less dog (6-17 ATS) but they start strong and head

    man Mike Gundy has logged a 7-1 SU mark against non conference

    adversaries. Georgia’s Mark Richt has enjoyed tremendous success

    when playing outside the SEC, losing only ONCE in 26 tries – but he’s

    just 12-11 ATS (5-9 ATS home) in these frays. Oklahoma State clearly

    owns the bigger offensive arsenal but the Dawgs hunker down

    better on defense. With Georgia facing their conference opener

    against South Carolina next week and the Cowboys due to line up

    for a scrimmage against Florida Atlantic, we’ll back the visitors from

    Stillwater in a close one.

    3 BEST BET

    Volunteers burst Cal’s bubble big time in last year’s seasonopener,

    an 18-35 thrashing that ultimately cost the Golden

    Bears a BCS bid. Well, payback’s at the door and it could be

    Tennessee’s turn. Jeff Tedford’s Bears are virtually bulletproof

    at Berkeley, winning 18 of their last 20 homers SU.

    Equally impressive is their 35-5 ATS mark when winning

    with revenge. The Davy Crockett boys, however, have not

    fared well away from Knoxville recently, limping to a 3-7-2

    ATS road record. Cal should know one other fact about their

    visitors: when UT loses, they don’t cover. In the Vols’ last 43

    SU losses, they’ve cashed the ticket just THREE times. Even

    better, they’re a horrifi c 0-13 ATS when playing outside the

    SEC. Bears get their revenge.

    CALIFORNIA over Tennessee by 16

    4 BEST BET

    Joe Tiller’s stock continues to fall at Purdue, as he’s failed to reach

    the 9-win mark for three straight years and hasn’t brought home

    a bowl win since 2002. We’re certainly mystifi ed that the Boilers

    are a TD favorite here. Yes, Toledo did disintegrate during last

    season’s 5-7 disappoinment but it marked just the Rockets’ fi rst

    losing season under coach Tom Amstutz. Thus, Toledo qualifi es

    as another ‘mission team’ and, since Amstutz is the answer to

    this week’s TRIVIA TEASER (page 2), the possibilities are good

    for a successful liftoff. The Boilermakers have performed poorly

    in their initial road game of the season, staggering to a 2-9-1

    ATS mark as a favorite or dog of 14 or fewer points. We feel

    Purdue will evolve into a winning edition in 2007 – just not here

    tonight. Rocketmen soar to the outright win.

    TOLEDO over Purdue by 3

    KANSAS over C Michigan by 13

    2006 was a year to remember for the Chippewas. They went 10-4 SU

    (11-2-1 ATS), claimed the MAC championship and smashed Middle

    Tennessee State in the Motor City Bowl. Unfortunately, CMU’s success

    translated into the loss of head coach Brian Kelly to Cincinnati, so

    new man Butch Jones is immediately hamstrung by the ‘new coach

    - Game One hex’. Not so with the Jayhawks’ Mighty Mark Mangino,

    a coach who likes to throw his weight around as a medium-sized

    favorite (11-3 when favored by 15 or fewer pts). Kansas also shines

    in home openers, winning 14 of the last 16 SU before the Lawrence

    faithful. The return of QB Kerry Meier seals the deal for KU.

    Colorado St over Colorado by 1

    Both teams tumbled deep into the abyss last season but the greater

    degree of suffering was felt in Boulder. After hiring away ultra

    successful Dan Hawkins from Boise State, the Buffalo brass did not

    expect to be blindsided by a 2-10 campaign that included a loss

    to Montana State! Meanwhile, the countdown continues in Fort

    Collins, where 14-year veteran coach Sonny Lubick is feeling the

    heat from three straight losing seasons. Hawkins, who will start his

    son, Cody, at quarterback, must avoid another disastrous start or the

    charge of nepotism will be added to his growing list of crimes. With

    the Rams covering three straight in the series and fl aunting a 13-1-1

    ATS record as dogs of less than 4 points, our money’s on Sonny.

    PITTSBURGH over E Michigan by 24

    Head chef Dave Wannstedt served up a feast of false hope to

    Panther followers last year, starting 6-1 SU versus the appetizer tray

    but choking on the main course with an ugly 0-5 fi nish. Despite his

    sorry 11-12 record, however, Wannstedt has managed to bully his

    lesser opponents – and Eastern Michigan certainly fi ts that category.

    The Eagles managed just ONE win in 2006 (12-34 since ‘03) and don’t

    have the personnel to match up here. Though the sight of Pittsburgh

    as such a fat favorite makes us queasy (2-11 ATS as favorites of 20 or

    more points), we will note that the Steel City Cats are a perfect 14-0

    ATS in their last 14 SU victories. Today’s lean cuisine? Pittsburgh.

    AUBURN over Kansas St by 13

    Confl icting trends abound in this matchup – and nearly all of them

    are bad. The Wildcats have not won or covered versus an SEC foe in

    some time, standing 0-6 SU & ATS. Adding to their misery is a 1-5 ATS

    straitjacket worn in the role of non-conf DD dogs. Auburn, despite

    their superb SU records, simply can’t be trusted lately as chalk in this

    price range (0-7 as favorites of 6 or more points). Our confi dence is

    further shaken by the fact that Tuberville has lost two of his last four

    home openers outright. The more we look, the less we like...

    MINNESOTA over Bowling Green by 14

    A new era begins for Minnesota football as Tim Brewster replaces

    10-year veteran Glen Mason... and becomes another victim of the

    ‘new coach - Game One hex’. That’s fi ne because we know that

    Minny’s glowing early-season numbers (6-1 ATS Game One / 6-1 ATS

    home vs non conference opponents) were compiled by the departed

    Mason. We’re really more interested in BGSU’s 8-3 ATS road record

    vs non-MAC teams - and that the BeeGees had earned fi ve straight

    winning seasons before last year’s slide to 4-8. The presence of the

    SMART BOX, though, begs our disinterest.

    New Mexico over UTEP by 1

    Troubling role reversal here: road favorite Lobos were near doubledigit

    home dogs (took +9.5) in last year’s meeting, winning 26-13.

    Trying to even the score with New Mexico, however, is far from

    automatic, as the Lobos stand 9-1-1 ATS when playing on the road

    against an avenging foe. UTEP underachieved last year under Mike

    Price and their miserable 3-14 ATS tally when getting 6 or less points

    at home should steer us toward the visitors. Still, Price can get the

    job done against non-conference teams, winning 39 of the last 56

    games SU. Maybe if there hadn’t been such big line swing...

    NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK

    selection is in Bold. Should we pass or not have a

    strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded.

    Texas Tech over SMU by 3

    Based on last year’s 35-3 demolition of the Mustangs by Texas

    Tech, today’s double-digit spread appears justifi ed. A close look at

    the numbers tell us otherwise. The Red Raiders are 0-5 ATS away

    in Game One and have covered just two of 13 chances playing a

    non-conference team on the road. Tech is also mighty green this

    year, returning just nine starters to a complex system. Conversely,

    SMU has 16 returning Ponies in the corral, poised to capture a longawaited

    bowl bid under Phil Bennett. With the Mustangs standing

    7-1 SU in their last eight at home, the Red Raiders will be lucky to

    escape Dallas with a win.

    CLEMSON over Florida St by 1

    Death Valley will be rocking for this latest edition of the eagerlyanticipated

    Bowden Bowl. Even though FSU is playing with double

    revenge off back-to-back SU losses as favorites over the Tigers,

    they’ve performed poorly in conference revenge situations...

    especially away from Tallahassee. Clemson has won eight out of 10

    home openers SU and has cashed six straight as home underdogs.

    With Tiger coach Tommy still red-faced over last year’s dreadful

    bowl loss to Kentucky, expect an all out effort from the Tiger Paw

    tonight.

    PENN ST over Florida Int’l by 35

    He may bear little resemblance to The Energizer Bunny but Penn

    State’s Joe Paterno has come right back for more. Joe Pa dropped

    out of the picture near the end of last season when his leg was

    broken in a nasty sideline collision. But the 80-year old legend is

    prowling familiar territory again and should get his Nittany Lions

    off to a good start against an FIU squad that put up the Big Zero

    in 2006. Dare we say it... they also have a new head coach in

    former Miami Hurricane assistant Mario Cristobal. Again, when the

    pointspread climbs to such heights (-35 at this writing), there’s a lack

    of relevant data for making an informed decision. In layman’s terms:

    we’ll pass.

    TEXAS over Arkansas St by 38

    Bevo has never had a problem with trampling the meek but

    Arkansas State has shown a surprising ability – for a Sun Belt team,

    that is – to avoid such carnage. In 72 games with current head coach

    Steve Roberts, the Jonesboro Indians have only suffered eight losses

    by more than 38 points. Does that mean we like ‘em here? Are you

    kidding? The Longhorns are 11-3 ATS as chalk of more than 28

    points and could probably polish off Arky State with their 3rd team.

    Still, a big early lead for Texas could vanish like a prairie whisper if

    the Horns start thinking about Frogs instead of Indians. Turn your

    back and look elsewhere.

    OKLAHOMA over North Texas by 48

    It’s ‘rock and a hard place’ time again. We’d love to give the Eagles

    a look because of their 100-yard improvement of defense but the

    addition of a brand new coaching staff puts us back to square

    one. The ascending North Texas coach, however, is none other

    than Lone Star high school football coaching legend, Todd Dodge.

    Dodge won four Texas state championships while compiling a 78-

    1 record, including 48 straight wins. TD will look to install a new

    spread offense in Denton but it certainly won’t take fl ight overnight

    – especially against this gang of headhunters. OU faces a plight

    similar to most of the other big favorites this week: a dangerous

    opponent awaits them on the horizon. Still, the Sooners are in a

    foul mood after being ambushed recently by the NCAA and they

    may not let up here.

    ARIZONA ST over San Jose ST by 14

    Spartans coach Dick Tomey has a history with ASU as he spent many

    years on the sidelines with the Sun Devils’ blood enemy, Arizona.

    Tomey acquitted himself well, going 8-5-1 SU during the rivalry. Even

    so, if his San Jose State team cracks the .500 barrier in 2007, it will

    be the FIRST TIME in 15 years that the Spartans have won in backto-

    back seasons. That’s not the sort of thing that strikes fear into the

    hearts of a PAC 10 squad like Arizona State. The 14-point favored

    Sun Devils are 9-1 ATS lately in this price range and have covered

    six straight against non-conf teams. They also own one of the few

    defensive units that improved by 100 yards last year. A problem,

    however, does remain: new head coach (you know what that

    means) Dennis Erickson takes over for the departed Dirk Koetter.

    The bottom line here is we’re going to leave this alone.

    SOUTHERN CAL over Idaho by 49

    What the hell was the Idaho Athletic Director thinking when he

    signed on for this? USC has been annointed by so many preseason

    publications that it conjures visions of coach Pete Carroll observing

    the weekly goings-on from a golden throne on the sidelines.

    And make no mistake – when you waltz onto the fi eld laying 45

    points, you must treat your opponent as a sacrifi cial lamb waiting

    to be bloodied and vanquished. We could supply you with endless

    numbers extolling USC’s pointspread virtue but, in truth, the Vandals

    have had little to do with any of it. Oh, did we fail to mention the

    fact that Idaho has (gulp) a new head coach? Now we know what

    Marlon Brando saw in his mind’s eye as he mumbled, “The horror...

    the horror.”

    SOUTH CAROLINA over La Lafayette by 27

    Steve Spurrier has certainly made South Carolina competitive

    in a hurry but his career ATS numbers in non-conference tilts are

    downright mediocre: 27-29-1. Unfortunately for the Cajuns, they’ll

    be marching into Columbia without the services of 4-year starting QB

    Jerry Babb. Spurrier’s signal caller, Blake Mitchell, WILL be returning

    along with 16 other starters and 54 lettermen. South Carolina barely

    eked out a 14-7 victory (laying 24 pts!) over Lafayette in 2003 but that

    was under the direction of the stodgy Lou Holtz. Spurrier’s armory

    has a great deal more weapons but with the Georgia Dawgs waiting

    between the hedges, this game is just too rich for our blood.

    ARKANSAS over Troy by 20

    If there’s any man in America who can’t wait for the college

    football season to start, it’s the Razorbacks’ Houston Nutt. The 9-

    year Arkansas coach has been beaten from pillar to post over the

    transfer of star QB Mitch Mustain, as well as other assorted team

    problems and personal transgressions. Perhaps the best medicine

    for Nutt will be getting the ball to sensational RB Darren McFadden

    and simply turning him loose. Winning heals a lot of wounds and

    with eight home games in 2007, the Hog family should eventually

    pull together. Troy will not be an easy foe to subdue, particularly

    with the return of Sr QB Omar Haugabook, the Sun Belt Conference

    Player of the Year. McFadden will prove to be too much for the

    Trojan defense but Arky may not make the big number.

    Mid Tenn St over FLORIDA ATL by 3

    They say you can’t be the best without beating the best but for the

    Blue Raiders to be scheduling the likes of Louisville and LSU is just

    plain masochistic. Fortunately for the defending Sun Belt champs,

    those two games take place after today’s clash with lowly Florida

    Atlantic. MTSU doesn’t mind taking the bus out of Murfreesboro:

    they won four consecutive road games last season. Add the Raiders’

    6-1 ATS mark in Game One to FAU’s 2-6 ATS failure vs conference

    foes at home, and we’ll head to the blue corner for today’s bout.

    BEST BET SELECTIONS THIS WEEK'S BEST BETS FOR WEEK ENDING MONDAY SEPTEMBER 3, 2007

    3* CALIFORNIA

    4* TOLEDO

    5* AKRON

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 1 2007 6:09am
31. 0 likes

    Confidential Kickoff (CKO) from Gold Sheet.

    Rating

    11 Exceptional

    10 Strong

    9 Abover Average

    11 Miami (Florida) 38 Marshall 6

    10 Syracuse 23 Washington 16

    10 Wake Forest 23 Boston College 20

    10 Bowling Green 23 Minnesota 26

    10 South Carolina 48 UL Layfayette 6

    Missouri/Illinois over 58

    Wake Forest/Boston college under 43

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 1 2007 6:10am
32. 0 likes

    Ben Burns' EARLY Afternoon Annihilator **SPECIAL** $25.00 = Miami Fl

    **BIG GAME ALERT** Ben Burns' ACC GAME OF THE YEAR $45.00 = Boston College

    TENNESSEE/CALIFORNIA: Burns Non-Conf. MAIN EVENT! $40.00 = California

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 1 2007 6:12am
33. 0 likes

    Pointwise

    4 Va. Tech

    3 Oregon

    3 Cent. Fla.

    3 Wynoming

    3 Akron

    2 Minn.

    2 New Mex.

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 1 2007 6:13am
34. 0 likes

    Carolina Sports

    5* Notre Dame

    PPP Totals

    5* Missouri Over

    3* Georgia Over

    3* California Over

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 1 2007 6:13am
35. 0 likes

    n.c. marquee play

    fla. st. under 45.5

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 2:03pm
36. 0 likes

    Michael Cannon Money Train

    Monday Plays:

    30 Dime -

    FLORIDA STATE

    10 Dime -

    SMU

    5 Dime -

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 2:05pm
37. 0 likes

    wolosky milan

    51-30-1 last sixteen days!!!

    2-3 Yesterday

    Football is back!

    Today:

    20* SMU +9

    20* SEMINOLES -3.5

    10* FSU/CLE UNDER 45.5

    10* TTU/SMU OVER 59.5

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 2:05pm
38. 0 likes

    rockys winners circle

    SEPTEMBER 3

    FREE PLAY OF THE DAY

    SMU - TEXAS TECH UNDER 59.5

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 2:05pm
39. 0 likes

    the wunderdog

    Game: Florida State at Clemson (Sunday 9/02 8:00 PM Eastern)

    Pick: Clemson +3.5

    Primetime father vs. son matchup here in round #9 of the "Bowden Bowl." While Bobby Bowden won the first four, the younger Bowden has won three of the last four. Clemson got off to a very fast start last year, going 7-1 with the only loss coming in OT at Boston College. Then the wheels fell off as the Tigers finished 1-3 and lost their Bowl game as a big favorite to Kentucky. But, Clemson is a powerful team at home as they own a 34-12 mark over the last seven years. They are even better as a home dog as they are a perfect 6-0 ATS as a home dog over the past few years. Florida State has contributed to that record and hasn't won at Clemson since 2001. The Seminoles brought their #3 ranked team here in 2003 as a huge 17.5 point favorite and got hammered 26-10. The 2005 Seminoles came in ranked #17 as 2.5 point favorite and were handed a 35-14 loss. Last year Clemson went on the road to face the Seminoles and won again, 27-20. What we see here is a case of the younger Bowden putting a large emphasis facing off against his father, and knowing the Seminole system inside and out. Last season Florida State suffered first losing season ever in the ACC finishing just 3-5. It was Florida State's worst season since 1976! Coach Bowden brought in lots of new coaches and there will be a lot of new schemes and processes to learn. That is not condusive to playing a perfect game early in the season, and especially on the road in a very hostile environment. Defense is the calling card for Clemson. They allowed just 16.2 points per game last season and their defense returns seven starters. The defense was even stronger at home allowing just 10 per game! Florida State needed a Bowl win to avoid finishing the season with a losing record last year. The last two years this team has lost 11 games, and if you turn back the clock in the Bowden era, this team notched a decade's worth of losses in just two years. Florida ! State ma y be improved, but playing on the road, with three new coaches in Amato, Jimbo Fisher and Rick Trickett, it is hard to believe this team is going to be ultra-sharp here. Clemson, after a rough 2006 finish, will be motivated to start strong here in front of the home crowd. The Tigers are a perfect 6-0 the past three years as an underdog and we like them to win, or at least keep it close here.

    Note, this game is +3.5 at most sportsbooks. If yours has it at +3 with low juice, buy the hook to get 3.5.

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 2:06pm
40. 0 likes

    Charlie Sports

    college football. fl state @ clemson under 45' ( 500*)

    college football. texas tech @ smu over 59' (30*)

    college football. fl. state-3' (20*)

    college fotball. smu+9 (20*)

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 2:06pm
41. 0 likes

    NCAAF

    Dunkel Index

    MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 3

    Game 223-224: Texas Tech at SMU

    Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 93.696; SMU 86.838

    Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 7; 64

    Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 10; 59

    Dunkel Pick: SMU (+10); Over

    Game 225-226: Florida State at Clemson

    Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 94.670; Clemson 96.431

    Dunkel Line: Clemson by 2; 41

    Vegas Line: Florida State by 3 1/2; 45 1/2

    Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+3 1/2); Unde

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 2:09pm
42. 0 likes

    NCAAF

    Long Sheet

    Monday, September 3

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TEXAS TECH (8 - 5) at SMU (6 - 6) - 9/3/2007, 4:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    TEXAS TECH is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    TEXAS TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons

    TEXAS TECH is 1-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FLORIDA ST (7 - 6) at CLEMSON (8 - 5) - 9/3/2007, 8:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    CLEMSON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    CLEMSON is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons

    CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 2:09pm
43. 0 likes

    NCAAF

    Short Sheet

    Monday, September 3rd

    Texas Tech at SMU, 4:00 ET ESPN

    Texas Tech: 0-7 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

    SMU: 8-3 ATS as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points

    Florida State at Clemson, 8:00 ET ESPN

    Florida State: 5-1 Over as a road favorite

    Clemson: 6-0 ATS as an underdog

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 2:10pm
44. 0 likes

    NCAAF

    Monday, September 3

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Tips and Trends

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Texas Tech at SMU (ESPN | 4 PM ET)

    This will be the 44th meeting between Texas Tech and SMU on the gridiron. The Red Raiders hold a 28-15 advantage in the all-time series and have won the last 11 meetings, dating back to 1989. Texas Tech head coach Mike Leach has a 4-0 record against the Mustangs, including a 1-0 mark in Dallas. EDGE: TEXAS TECH

    Texas Tech has a pretty good run going in the month of September in the Mike Leach era. Over the past seven the season, the Red Raiders are 20-6 during the initial month of the season. They’ve outscored the opposition 978-570 and are averaging 34.9 points per game over that span. EDGE: TEXAS TECH

    SMU returns a load of offensive talent with 90 percent of its 2006 total offense back on the roster. The Mustangs also return 88 percent of its rushing output and 75 percent of its scoring totals. EDGE: SMU

    The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

    #19 Florida State at Clemson (ESPN | 8 PM ET)

    Florida State enters tonight’s game with Clemson having won 16 of its last 17 season-openers. Head coach Bobby Bowden is a dominant 27-4 all-time at FSU in season-openers. BIG EDGE: FSU

    Clemson has won two straight games versus the Seminoles for the first time in the series history. The Seminoles have lost two straight games in Clemson and have lost three of the last four overall versus the Tigers. EDGE: CLEMSON

    After scoring 20 or more points just five times in the first 14 series meetings, Clemson has posted at least 20 points in each of the last six meetings. EDGE: OVER

    This is the ninth Bowden Bowl and Bobby Bowden has a 5-3 advantage over his son Tommy Bowden in the previous eight. SLIGHT EDGE: FSU

    The Seminoles are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite.

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 2:10pm
45. 0 likes

    NCAA Football Trends..

    Once again these are from my book that i recieved.. this will be the last set of trends i have until they send me another book which they say one is on the way and i will have it before the weekend..

    Texas Tech VS SMU:

    TT is 3-7 ATS past 10 road games

    SMU is 7-3 SU past 10 @ home

    FSU VS Clemson:

    FSU is 6-4 ATS past 10 road games

    Clemson is 7-3 SU past 10 @ home

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 2:11pm
46. 0 likes

    NCAAF

    70% Situation

    NCAA (Monday): Play On NCAA underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points returning 8 or more offensive starters and QB facing an opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters during the first month of the season.

    (38-13 ATS since 1992.) (74.5%) PLAY: SMU +8.5

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 2:11pm
47. 0 likes

    09/03/07

    12:20 AM Lineups

    CFB

    Monday: Florida State's G Dumaka Atkins (knee) is expected to miss the game.

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 2:11pm
48. 0 likes

    NCAAF

    Write-up

    Monday's college football information

    Texas Tech outgained SMU 501-189 LY, in its 35-3 home win vs Mustangs, but Tech covered just two of last ten as favorite on road. Red Raiders won last four series games by average score of 36-10. SMU lost last five season openers by average of 26 pts but they do have 14 starters back and three seniors starting on OL. Tech has veteran QB starting for first time in seven years, but has just one starter back on OL.

    Home side won four of last five Bowden Bowls, with FSU losing last two visits to Death Valley, 26-10/35-14. Clemson won three of last four games vs Florida St., as father and son head coaches match wits; Tigers have a new QB, three new starters on OL, and one of youngest teams in America, but Seminoles have lot of new assistant coaches, are just 10-15 vs spread in their last 25 ACC games, but have four senior starters on offensive line.

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 2:12pm
49. 0 likes

    Doc Enterprises

    3* Florida State

    Dr Bob

    3* Texas tech

    Gold Sheet

    Regular Clemson under

    Score

    200 Fla St

    Wildcat

    5* Florida State under

    PPP

    OPINION Florida State

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 2:14pm
50. 0 likes

    Monday, September 3

    Southern Methodist Mustangs +9 (2 Units)

    The Texas Tech Red Raiders have always had one of the most powerful offenses in college football and they have averaged more than 30 points per game for God knows how many seasons now. However they are coming off an 8-5 with a big win over Minnesota in the Insight Bowl and although they did play well in 2006, it was their lowest scoring output in a very long time and I don'tknow that they are going to be any better this year with only 5 starters back on offense. Sure it helps that Texas Tech is 11-0 SU against this Southern Methodist team the last 11 times they have played (dating back to 1989) winning every game by a margin of at least 27 points per game. Yeah thats pretty damn scary for anyone joining me on the SMU train because the odds are stacked against us but taking the Red Raiders is a bit too obvious here. QB Graham Harrell did a pretty damn good job in his first season as the starter and RB Shannon Woods is a Big 12 first teamer so we know that this team is loaded with weapons anyways. However, the top two receivers from 2006 are gone and replacing them could be a bit more complicated than people think. Despite allowing less than 30 points per game in each of the last two seasons, SMU is not strong on defense and they are probably going to get picked apart like a operating patient in this game. I know they allowed only 3.2 yards per carry last season but they have a weak defensive line this time around and Texas Tech will probably score at will in this game. However, the Tech offensive line needs a lot of re-working and this being the first game and this being a road game, it won't be as easy as it looks to just pound away on the ground and make guys miss in the air. Don't forget SMU have very good run defense last year and seeing how the TT offensive line not up to snuff, I think Harrell could be under pressure most of the game and that could cause a few mishaps here and there.

    The Southern Methodist Mustangs have to be jacked up about this game. I mean they are coming off one of their best seasons in recent memory and head coach Phil Bennett has this team pointed in the right direction. The utlimate goal this season is going to be to get this team back into a Bowl Game by winning the Conference USA. It would be their first Bowl game since 1984 and the faithful fans (those won I guess don't like the Horns for some reason instead) and study body have deserved this as well. It has been ages since SMU was able to keep this kind of game close against Texas Tech but I think they can get the job done as they return 14 starters (8 on offense) and are up against one of the weakest Texas Tech defensive units in a very long time. QB Justin Willis cannot be understimated, like I think he will be by the Red Raiders in this game, because he passed for 2047 yards and 26 touchdowns in 2006 while throwing only 6 interceptions and looking damn good all season. Willis was a freshman last year and now he's back a year older with a bunch of games under his belt. Texas Tech has done a good job of fine tuning thier defense in recent year but its rellapse time for these guys as they return only 5 starters on defense and unlike last season, that spells big trouble. I say that because their linebacking unit is the worst in the Big 12, their special teams are horrendous and their defensive line is not hard to push over. That means I fully expect both Willis and DeMyron Martin to lead the way on the ground in this game as they both combined for 723 rushing yards last season on 224 rush attempts which is not too bad. So no matter how many points Texas Tech is able to score in this game, I think coach Bennett is more than ready to shoot things out in the season openers and make things interesting for both teams. The Mustangs are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 home games as the underdog. It's not like Justin Willis had any help from any other offensive position last season so with 8 starters back on offense again this year, I think his numbers will improve and this kid is going to raise some eyebrows in the very competitive Conference USA. Other than that all the tools are there for this team to make this game a good ole fashion Texas shootout and once the dust settles, I think a lot of people are going to have new found respect for the team that has had two straight winning ATS seasons.

    I know the public is most definitely going to pound away on Texas Tech in this game but that could be a huge mistake. Yes they have some big time weapons both in the air and on the ground but they lack experience a lot more so than previous Texas Tech teams have lacked experience. Too many times last year we saw Texas Tech come out of the gates in slow fashion and too many times we saw them go down early against shitty teams and end up losing the game or keeping it too close. I think with so many guys to replace on offense and on defense, the Red Raiders are going to end up flustedred at times and I don't know that they can recover in time for some of their bigger games in upcoming weeks. So let's get this party started and lets all watch what this Justin Willis kid is all about. He has more weapons in the air than Graham Harrell does and when both offenses are unleashed, it will be tough for anyone to win by more than 10 points.

    Trend of the Game: Texas Tech is only 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games as the favorite (3 seasons deep).

    Texas Tech 34, SMU 33

    Florida State Seminoles -3 (10 Units) ***PLAY OF THE DAY***

    Could this be the year that the Seminoles finally turn things around or what? This is one hell of a tough place to start your season but you try telling that to these guys who are almost always starting on the road against tough in-conference opponents. I know it's not ideal to bet on a team that was 4-7 ATS last season and that lost road games to Maryland and North Carolina State but this is a totally different team and a totally different season. The Noles lost only 14 lettermen this season while keeping a whopping 58 of them (which has to be one of the highest numbers in the country) and I think the fact that they got rid of Jeff Bowden as offensive coordinator is going to make a big time difference. Jimbo Fisher is the new offensive boss and although im not a big fan of starter Drew Weatherford (the guy cost me a lot of cash the last two seasons), I think the connection between the two is going to be pretty damn good. The main concern for most Florida State backers tonight is going to be the status of Myron Rolle, Tony Carter and Roger Williams who are basically the defensive backbone of his team. Even without one or two of them, the team is deep enough at every position and I don't think the new Clemson QB is going to exploit the inexperience. Clemson's defense was amongst the best in the Nation last season but out of the TOP 20 defenses in the Nation in 2006, only five allowed more rushing yards per game than the Tigers. That's great news for us because RB Antone Smith is going to get his number called by Jimbo quite a few times tonight and this kid can run like lightning. The addition of more running plays and the ability to run on a Clemson defense that struggles against the run is going to allow Drew Weatherford to find his groove a lot better than he did last year and I think the options down the field (Gregg Carr is an animal, another Calvin Johnson) are going to have a lot of success in this game. The general betting public taking Clemson is going to make the mistake of thinking this FSU team can't score without realizing that they are in a completely different setting this season and the only way to go is up for these guys. Should be a fun game to watch and its going to be even funner when the Noles look like they have a clue what they are doing on offense.

    The Clemson Tigers are fresh off the re-signing of their half of the Bowden Bowl which could be a good thing and maybe a bad thing. The Tigers are also coming off a very embarassing 28-20 Bowl game loss to Kentucky last year and losses like that can have immediate carryover effects on games like this. What I would be most concerned about in this one, if I was on Clemson, would be how the new QB Cullen Harper is going to react to the craziness and toughness of the Seminoles defense. The fact that they have so many outstanding DB's is really scary for a new QB and Harper might be a bit overwhelmed to start this game. So that many Clemson is most defintiely going to run the ball a lot of with their RB CJ Spiller who is now the offensive superstar on this team. The problem with that though is that FSU is going to stack the box and let the DB's move up to act as linebackers (one at a time of course). That should confuse Harper and believe when I say that once they go down in this game (early), running the ball over and over won't really do much. The Seminoles defense returns way too many guys and they were in the TOP 10 defenses against the run last season. They could actually the best run defense in the Nation this time around which is also going to frustrate the Tigers in this game and probably force them to go to the air a lot more than they really want to. Spiller and RB James Davis are damn good backs and yes they might have success against this FSU defense, even though I think they're great against the run, but the key for the Seminoles is going to get to Harper as much as they can and make sure Spiller and Davis don't hit home runs with any of their carries. If you guys really like Clemson that much take them in the first half because they had a 227-81 first half scoring advantage last year and they really knew how to come out strong in games. I just don't trust the new QB even though he knows Spence's system pretty damn well and I really trust the Florida State defense to bend a few times but not break and hold to field goals. Clemson is going to be a good team again this year, how could they not be with some solid defenders and some superstars on offense, but with the National audience watching this game with a close eye, I don't think they can win with an inexperienced QB. All it takes is a few turnovers/mistakes and the Seminoles defense is going to turn this game around and help their offense.

    The term Bowden Bowl has a lot more significance than a lot of you would imagine. Not only are fater and son coaching against each other but one son has been cut loose (Jeff) and that could ultimately be the difference in how this Noles team comes out to play. Getting rid of him was a team-changing move that I think is going to pay off immediately. This is not the same Clemson opponent that walked into FSU last year and beat these guys 27-20. Jimbo Fisher wants to show the Nation that his style of play-calling is agressive and that his style is about 100 times better than the 'put me to sleep' gameplan Jeff Bowden had as the OC. What I find funny is that we have two shaddy QB's in this game. One has 20 starts under his belt and the other is coming and trying to takeover for a departed offensive star. In the end though I would much rather have money on the experienced guy, even though he sucks, playing for a new offensive coordinator and backed by this kind of defense. Florida State has not covered the spread here in ages, but thats about to change.

    Trend of the Game: Florida State is 6-2 ATS in their last eight september games.

    Florida State 24, Clemson 13

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 3:05pm
51. 0 likes

    SEBASTIAN

    50* - CLEMSON/FLORIDA ST. UNDER 45

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 4:42pm
52. 0 likes

    Sports Line Investment Club

    Fla. St.

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 4:42pm
53. 0 likes

    Rocketman

    2* SMU +9.5

    

    posted by phantom

    Sept. 3 2007 4:43pm