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Here are current odds at my book (Skybook)
Home Run Derby
Player to Hit Most Home Runs in ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14001 Prince Fielder +300
14002 Ryan Howard +250
14003 Justin Morneau +475
14004 Vladimir Guerrero +600
14005 Magglio Ordoñez +700
14006 Albert Pujols +300
14007 Alex Rios +800
14010 The Field +850
* Note: AT&T Park - San Francisco, CA
Player to Win the Home Run Derby
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14011 Prince Fielder +300
14012 Ryan Howard +250
14013 Justin Morneau +500
14014 Vladimir Guerrero +800
14015 Magglio Ordoñez +1000
14016 Albert Pujols +275
14017 Alex Rios +1200
14020 The Field +1000
* Note: AT&T Park - San Francisco, CA
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14021 Albert Pujols -200
14022 Alex Rios +160
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14023 Albert Pujols -140 14024
Justin Morneau +110
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14025 Albert Pujols -185
14026 Magglio Ordonez +155
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14027 Albert Pujols -115
14028 Prince Fielder -115
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14029 Albert Pujols +115
14030 Ryan Howard -145
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14031 Albert Pujols -155
14032 Vladimir Guerrero +125
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14033 Alex Rios +150
14034 Justin Morneau -180
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14035 Alex Rios +100
14036 Magglio Ordonez -130
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14037 Alex Rios +190
14038 Prince Fielder -240
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14039 Alex Rios +220
14040 Ryan Howard -280
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14041 Alex Rios +125
14042 Vladimir Guerrero -155
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14043 Justin Morneau -175
14044 Magglio Ordonez +145
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14045 Justin Morneau +105
14046 Prince Fielder -135
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14047 Justin Morneau +130
14048 Ryan Howard -160
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14049 Justin Morneau -135
14050 Vladimir Guerrero +105
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14051 Magglio Ordonez +150
14052 Prince Fielder -180
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14053 Magglio Ordonez +160
14054 Ryan Howard -200
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14055 Magglio Ordonez +105
14056 Vladimir Guerrero -135
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14057 Prince Fielder +105
14058 Ryan Howard -135
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14059 Prince Fielder -155
14060 Vladimir Guerrero +125
Matchups - Most Home Runs ROUND 1
Mon 7/9 5:00PM(PST)
14061 Ryan Howard -200
14062 Vladimir Guerrero +160
* Note: Player Must Star the Derby -
posted by drtnapper07
July 9 2007 3:05pm -
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MagPipes at +1000 is tempting..though I think a lefty is gonna win. Heard Holliday is the last entry for the N.L. Does Baby Cecil have the stamina?
posted by hilly
July 9 2007 3:13pm -
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Here are some takes -
1 ---
First off, scratch Rios (not enough power) and Ordonez (overweight). Next, toss out Howard (who will try to hard to win) and Pujols (struggling right now). That leaves Morneau, wild card, Guerrero and Fielder.
2 ---
History was the last thing on Justin Monreau's mind when he became the first Twins player since Tony Oliva in 1973 to hit three home runs in a game.
No, instead Morneau was concerned about whether he had used up all of his homers before taking part in his first Home Run Derby contest.
"To me, it's almost as cool as the game, and you just don't want to put up a zero," Morneau said with a laugh. "But maybe I'm just getting warmed up."
The Twins first baseman is on pace for his first ever 40-plus home run season. His three dinger game on Friday night, along with a solo homer Morneau hit on Sunday, helped him to finish the first half with 24 homers. It's the most he's ever hit before break.
In '06, Morneau belted 34 homers, with 23 coming in the first half, en route to earning the AL Most Valuable Player Award.
Being that it's Morneau's first All-Star Game, it will be his first appearance in the Derby. But that doesn't mean that the first baseman has no experience in such events.
"I've been a part of them since I was little," Morneau said. "I've been a part of Little League home run derbies and then some in high school and even in the Minor Leagues a few times."
3 ---
Most of the attention is being focused on a couple of left-handed swinging first basemen, Philadelphia’s Ryan Howard and Milwaukee’s Prince Fielder. A third lefty swinger, Twins first baseman Justin Morneau, is also attracting attention.
Like the river behind the Pirates’ backyard last year, we’ve got water in play this time as McCovey Cove resides just beyond the right field wall at AT&T Park in San Francisco. And that’s why the left-handed hitters are being talked up now as, theoretically, at least, they should stand the best chances of sending balls into the water.
Some of the prop bets at The Greek included head-to-head matchups between Howard, Fielder and Morneau as to just which one will park the most balls into McCovey Cove. Howard (-155) is the favorite over Morneau (+125), and the favorite (-125) over Fielder (-105). Cecil’s little boy is priced at -150 against Morneau (+120).
My money’s on one of the fat guys, Howard or Fielder, to take it, and not just because they’re likely to send the most balls into the bay.
For Howard, this will be his moment to shine since he’s not in the actual game on Tuesday night. It’s going to be tough to defend his title, but he does have Ramon Henderson on his side. Who’s Ramon Henderson, you ask?
Henderson has been the BP pitcher for the last two home run champs, Howard a year ago and Bobby Abreu when he was with the Phillies and captured the 2005 derby at the game in Detroit.
"That man can groove," Phillies bullpen catcher Mick Billmeyer said in a recent interview. Billmeyer is no stranger to the event having thrown to then-Phillies first baseman Jim Thome in the 2004 event that took place in Houston. "(Henderson) throws a high floater and his speed is the same. He's the best I've ever seen."
Fielder, being the young pup, could upset Howard’s title defense. If he can find his own groove early on and not wear his offensive lineman physique out in the first round, he the Brewers’ young slugger should present a challenge.
One concern about the Home Run Derby is the weather at AT&T Park. Winds generally blow in from the bay this time of year, but the latest weather reports forecast west winds tonight in the 10-20 MPH range. That means balls will be blowing out to center field, if they are true west winds. And that could result in the flotilla of kayakers and boaters being busy retrieving their soggy souvenirs.
posted by drtnapper07
July 9 2007 3:34pm -
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Well, I was really looking at the lefties as that has been the talk - But, I am not so sure now.
Just how much of an adsvantage will the LHers have?
Dimensions: 339-L, 364-LC, 399-C, 421-RC, 309-R
http://www.ballparks.com/baseball/national/pacbelse.htm [ballparks.com]">http://www.ballparks.com/baseball/national/pacbelse.htm [ballparks.com]>
posted by drtnapper07
July 9 2007 4:04pm -
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Real advantage if the lefty can turn and jerk one..but deep to the lefties power alley!
posted by hilly
July 9 2007 4:14pm -
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Here is a take on righties ---
http://www.sportsmemo.com/handicappers/er/articles/1181/ [sportsmemo.com]">http://www.sportsmemo.com/handicappers/ [sportsmemo.com] ... cles/1181/
The dimensions for AT&T are 339-feet down the left-field line; while 309 down the right-field line however keep in mind, the wall in right field is 25-feet high, while just 8-feet in left.
Crucial in this contest could be the power alleys. The left-field power alley is just 364-feet, while the right-center alley is a cruel 421-feet away from home plate. I believe this will give a ‘boost’ to the right-handed hitters. In fact, left-handed hitter and Colorado Rockies first baseman said he would never want to play in AT&T Park everyday. In addition, for all the criticism Barry Bonds takes, it’s rarely noted just how challenging it is to consistently hit home runs in his home park.
posted by drtnapper07
July 9 2007 4:46pm -
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Here is how I am playing this thing...nothing big on any..just some fun.
MaggLIO ORDOñEZ FIRST ROUND +110
936 VLADIMIR GUERRERO FIRST ROUND -140
Half unit on Mags
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
907 ALBERT PUJOLS FIRST ROUND +105
908 PRINCE FIELDER FIRST ROUND -135
Half unit on Albert
___________________________________________________
927 JUSTIN MORNEAU FIRST ROUND +130
928 RYAN HOWARD FIRST ROUND -160
Half unit on Morneau
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
And then to win it all:
JUSTIN MORNEAU +475
Again a half unit.
GL fellas
posted by hilly
July 9 2007 5:11pm -
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Albert changed to +125 before I bet it so I'll take it.
posted by hilly
July 9 2007 5:14pm -
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Good luck Hilly -
FYI -
I am on ----
ROUND 1 Match-up- Albert Pujols over Justin Morneau
ROUND 1 Match-up- Albert Pujols over Magglio Ordonez
To WIN --- Albert Pujols
The bet is probably the pitcher - who is going for his 3rd in a row.
.
posted by drtnapper07
July 9 2007 5:28pm -
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Watch Rios screw us all! LMAO
posted by hilly
July 9 2007 6:54pm -
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Adding 1 unit on Albert over Vladdy -145
posted by hilly
July 9 2007 6:56pm -
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2-2 in the first round but dropped some cash since I put a whole unit on Albert over Vladdy...damn Superball bat the Big Sloppy gave him anyway.
posted by hilly
July 9 2007 9:31pm -
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RH hitters ruled
I wonder if I win my Albert Pujols over Justin Morneau BET with the tie-breaker - or will they PUSH that bet?
posted by drtnapper07
July 9 2007 9:38pm -
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Should win I would think..he won the swingoff. I should know never to trust a Canadian..haaaaaaaaaaa!
posted by hilly
July 9 2007 9:40pm -
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New Lines
# Money Line
805 VLADIMIR GUERRERO +250
807 ALBERT PUJOLS +100
808 ALEX RIOS +350
809 FIELD +350
posted by hilly
July 9 2007 9:41pm -
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Just took a small play on Holliday (Field) +350
posted by hilly
July 9 2007 9:42pm -
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"hilly":3u53c53r
Should win I would think..he won the swingoff. I should know never to trust a Canadian..haaaaaaaaaaa!
LOOKS LIKE YOU DIDN'T TRUST ME IN ARENA FOOTS YESTERDAY EH HAHAHAHA$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
posted by takis28
July 10 2007 1:49pm -
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good call bro..figured you'd catch that one.
posted by hilly
July 10 2007 1:51pm -
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"hilly":2hq8isgz
good call bro..figured you'd catch that one.
DID U PLAY IT 52-20 CHICAGO EAZY EAZY WIN.... LAST TIME BOTH TEAMS PLAYED IN CHICAGO ...CHI WON BY 30 THIS TIME BY 32 LMAO$$
THIS PLACE IS DEAD LOL HAHAHAHA BUT WE ARE WINNING$$$
posted by takis28
July 10 2007 1:55pm -
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Na but played Chicago -3 2h $$$$$
posted by hilly
July 10 2007 2:00pm