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Washington +155
The Braves have managed one run in their last five games and it came on a HR. The Braves have now lost five straight and are just 6-15 in their last 21. The offence has produced two runs or less in 13 of those 15 losses. Hudson has had his own problems. He opened the season in Cy Young form as the Braves won 7 of his first 9 starts. Hudson was sailing along with a 1.77 ERA and in 66 innings allowed just 48 hits, and he walked just 13 while striking out 43. His last seven starts have been mostly horrible. Hudson has pitched 39 innings and has allowed nearly as many hits, 47, as he did in his opening 66 innings. His walks have gone from 13 in 66 innings, to 13 in 39, and his strikeouts from 43 in 66, to just 15 in 39. That 1.77 ERA has now ballooned to 6.23 over his last 7 starts.
Jason Bergman gets the ball today for the Nats. The Nats have been one of the best road teams in the league over the past month, as they have gone 11-5, and have a winning overall record covering their last 30 games at 16-14. Bergman has pitched almost as well as Hudson did at the beginning of the season all year. He has worked 6+ innings in each of his last seven starts and his ERA is 2.20 during that stretch. He has already held the Braves in check twice this season allowing 0 runs, and 1 run. The Braves are hitting just .150 over their last 5 games, and have just three extra base hits. We like the Nats and we think they can win even if Hudson comes up with a surprising gem.
Tampa Bay -140
The White Sox have been an ugly 5-22 over their last 27 games, and will come to Tampa having lost five straight, while having scored just 2 runs in their last 3 games. They have been out-scored 150-93 in those 27 games and that is over two runs per game (RPG). The offense has been horrible, but against LHP even worse. The Sox have now dropped 10 of their last 11 against southpaws and are the worst team in baseball against LHP. J.P. Howell has made two home starts and has allowed 2 earned runs in 15 innings. That comes off of his last home start last year when he pitched an eye-opening shutout over the Yankees. Tampa has played as good as they have all season, as they have won 11 of their last 20.
Toronto -150
There is one thing that is hard to ignore - the Toronto Blue Jays are always a good wager when Halladay is on the mound. Over the past three seasons the Jays are 47-17, 73.5% with Halladay. This year has been no exception. The Jays are 10-3 in his starts. Halladay pitched two awful games prior to heading for the DL, and another in his first start off the DL. All his other starts have been gems and we expect another from him tonight as the Twins will be without Morneau who has a bruised lung. The Jays have been under the radar as a team as well. They have played .600 baseball going back to May 10, covering their last 40 games. The Twins have won all four Slowey starts, but it has been more of a product of run support than his efforts. The Twins have piled up 7.5-rpg in his starts, and it is always easier pitching from ahead. Those runs likely will not be there tonight, and for a rookie pitcher, it changes the equation considerably.
posted by sherlock37
June 25 2007 12:00pm -
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Took the interleague week off. Hard for me to cap that stuff.
Two plays today
Padres -107
Rockies -110 (fade me and win. I'm 0-6 on Cub's sides this year).
posted record 46-26-1 (+15.13 units).
Good luck
posted by gocubsgo22
June 25 2007 12:42pm -
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sorry fellas didn't post over the weekend
tonight i'm taking over in tex/det 9 1/2 -115
record is 44-18-3.
gl
posted by jtmoney16
June 25 2007 4:04pm -
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MLB
detriot -1.5 RL -120
posted by maximus
June 25 2007 4:21pm -
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Prop bet: No score 1st inning Dodgers/Zona
posted by hilly
June 25 2007 6:09pm -
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Nats/Braves Under 8.5
Braves offense has been bad (1.67 rpg last week…although it was vs BOS and DET). One Jones is always hurt, the other is batting a solid .199. Bergmann is coming off DL for Nats, which hopefully isn’t an issue. He has dominated the Braves this year in two starts: 0.64 ERA, 14 IP, 3 H, 18 K, 5 BB. His road ERA is 2.25 in 4 starts. Nats have played better in June, but their lead-off man Guzman, who was a major part of that (in June led team in runs, OBP, 2nd in hits, etc), went on the DL yesterday. Hudson hasn’t been great recently, but looking at the WAS probable starters, they are a career 13-82 (.159) vs him; Young 2-16, Lopez 3-17, Zimmerman 0-6, Kearns 4-14, Church 1-9, Schneider 2-13, etc. He has a career 1.30 ERA vs Nats and Braves desperately could use him to get them a win.
Considered taking a shot on the Nats at +172 due to Bergmann’s performance vs them and the ATL offense struggling, but I’ll stick with the total.
GL.
posted by teeks75
June 25 2007 6:18pm -
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hey fellas...i have been extremely busy lately so thats why i havent posted..im focusing on a game tonight, and guess which one??? yup, its a cub game! heres the play..
COLORADO ROCKIES ML -115
I forget what my record was involving cubs games but i know it was in the black..lets hit this one tonight!
GL
posted by jivany
June 25 2007 7:31pm