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Championship Week Trends

March 4, 2007

By Marc Lawrence

VegasInsider.com

With the NCAA tournament race to Atlanta set to tip off March 15th, let's do some pre-dance 'number crunching' as we look inside the conference tourneys. Listed below are relevant team trends and technical notes that have occurred in conference tournament play of late. Meanwhile, we present stats and facts for the remaining NINE Conference Tourneys. Note that all trends are Conference Tournament results. Enjoy these numbers.

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE

Extra Tourney Trends & Notes

BOSTON COLLEGE 6-0 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 8-1 ATS vs opp off BB SU & ATS wins, 10-2-1 ATS w/3+ days rest, 12-3 SU & ATS vs #5-12 seeds…

CLEMSON 0-8 SU vs .750 > opp, 0-7 SU 2nd Conference Tournament games, 2-8 ATS when allow > 75 points

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DUKE 0-4 SU & ATS as a dog or favorite of 3 < points in this tourney, 1-6 ATS vs #5 or #6 seeds, 1-5 ATS after score <74> 4 points, 5-12 ATS off a SU & ATS win

FLORIDA ST 6-2 ATS with a win percentage of .600, 0-4 ATS as a Double Digit dog, 0-9 SU vs #1-3 seeds

GEORGIA TECH 7-1 ATS in 2nd Conference Tournament game, 0-4 ATS vs opp off SU fav loss, 1-9 SU & ATS when win percentage <600> points

NC STATE 10-1 ATS1st game, 5-1 ATS off loss vs opp off win, 8-2 ATS pick-or-favorite,6-2 ATS off SU & ATS loss

NORTH CAROLINA 10-3 ATS 1st game, 9-0 SU & 6-2-1 ATS vs #7 lower seed, 6-3 ATS dog, 0-5-1 ATS L6 games, 0-5-1 ATS L6 favs

VIRGINIA 5-0 ATS favorite, 4-0-1 ATS L5 games, 0-4-1 ATS vs opp off BB SU & ATS wins, 3-7 ATS1st game

VIRGINIA TECH 4-0-1 vs same season single revenge, 4-0-1 ATS DD dog, 0-4 ATS favorite > 3 points, 1-5 ATS vs revenge

WAKE FOREST 0-11 SU & 2-9 ATS vs opp fav > 7 points last game, 1-6 ATS favorite > 2 points, 1-4 ATS vs revenge, 5-12 ATS L17 games

Tech Notes: Favorites off 3-0 SU & ATS L3 games are 10-5 ATS, The SU winner of games in this tourney is 103-26-2 ATS since 1991, Teams who score 90 > points in this tourney are 18-1 SU & 17-2 ATS#1 seeds are 6-1 ATS as favorites of > 17 points, #5 seeds are 1-5 ATS as favorites, #7 seeds are 6-1 ATS off a loss 13> points and 1-7 ATS off a win 9 > points, #9 seeds are 0-5 ATS as dogs > 17 points

ATLANTIC TEN CONFERENCE

Extra Tourney Trends & Notes

CHARLOTTE 8-2 ATS vs a opp off BB SU & ATS wins, 1-6 ATS L7 games, 1-6 ATS off a loss, 1-6 ATS with revenge

DAYTON 5-0 ATS DD favorite, 6-1-1 ATS1st game, 1-10 ATS as a dog

DUQUESNE 0-6 SU 2nd game, 2-8 ATS w/revenge, 6-2 ATS L8 as favorite,1-6 ATS off a win

FORDHAM 1-10 SU 1st game

GEORGE WASHINGTON 11-2 ATS off DD win, 5-1 SU & ATS as a #1 seed, 8-2 ATS as a favorite, 9-3 ATS overall L3Y, 7-3 ATS 1st game

LASALLE 4-1 ATS vs revenge,1-6-1 ATS as a dog 5 > points, 2-10 SU & ATS vs #1-4 seeds

MASSACHUSETTS is 6-1 ATS vs a foe off BB SU & ATS wins, 6-1 ATS vs Temple in L7 games,5-1 ATS vs opp off SU dog win,12-6 ATS as a dog

RHODE ISLAND 6-2 ATS as a favorite,1-8 ATS L9 games, 1-8 ATS off a SU dog win, 1-5 ATS off BB SU & ATS wins

RICHMOND 4-2 ATS 1st game, 1-8-1 ATS as a dog 2 > points

ST. BONAVENTURE 5-1 ATS off a loss of 8 > points, 0-4 ATS vs fopp off SU dog win,1-7 ATS as 2nd Round dog < 10 points, 2-7 ATS as a dog <7> opp), teams with SSR2 (same season double revenge) are 17-37 ATS (8-24 ATS off win; 4-17 ATS off BB wins), teams with SSR1 (same season single revenge) are 24-14 ATS (12-5 ATS vs opp off BB wins), #1 seed favorites are 13-1 SU & ATS L14 games and 25-1 SU & 20-5-1 ATS - 5 > points, #2 seeds are 11-5-2 ATS L18 games, #3 seeds are 5-12 ATS L17 games, #6 seeds are 1-8 ATS L9 games, #7 seeds are 8-12-2 ATS L22 games, #8 seeds are 1-8-1 ATS L10 games, #11 seeds are 7-1 ATS L8 games

MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE

Extra Tourney Trends & Notes

AIR FORCE 0-12 SU L12 games, 0-6 ATS favorite or dog 8 < points, 0-5 ATS vs opp off loss, 1-8 ATS vs < .740 opp, 1-8 ATS vs opp off loss or win 10 < points, 1-6 ATS when win-loss percentage <333> points, 5-1 ATS at home, 0-5 ATS L5 games, 0-4 ATS vs opp off DD win, 2-8 ATS as dogs

COLORADO ST 4-0 ATS vs opp off SUATS win, 7-1 ATS off ATS win 4 > points, 7-1 ATS off SUATS win, 8-2 ATS vs > .666 opp, 8-2 ATS as #6-7 seed, 7-2 ATS dogs > 6 points, 3-10 ATS vs .666 < opp

NEW MEXICO 7-0 SU & ATS vs <520> 7 points, 4-0 ATS vs foe off SUATS loss, 5-1-1 ATS off BB SUATS wins, 5-1-1 ATS vs foe off ATS win 7 > points, 10-2 ATS off ATS loss > 3 points, 9-2-1 ATS L12 as dog, 12-3 SU & ATS when win-loss percentage > .777, 16-6 ATS 1st game

SAN DIEGO ST 5-0 ATS off ATS win 7 > points, 4-0 ATS off DD ATS loss, 7-1 ATS off loss, 6-1 ATS when win-loss percentage .425 <, 10-2 ATS w/3+ days rest, 10-3 ATS 1st game, 8-2 ATS favorite or dog <5> points, 0-5 SUATS vs .785 > foe, 1-7 ATS when win-loss percentage .650 >, 1-6 ATS off SU dog win, 1-6 ATS off win with revenge, 4-13 ATS off win, 2-6 ATS dog 7 > points

UNLV 17-1 SU 1st game, 4-0 ATS vs #2 seed, 8-1-1 ATS dog, 5-1 ATS vs opp off ATS win 14 > points, 8-2 ATS vs #1-2 seeds

UTAH 2-10 ATS 2nd game, 3-15-1 ATS vs opp off ATS win > 2 points, 3-10 ATS 1st game, 3-10 ATS vs .666 > opp, 3-10 ATS vs opp off win 8 > points, 4-15-1 ATS when win-loss percentage <830> points, 0-5 ATS off DD win, 0-5 ATS vs opp off DD win, 0-5 ATS vs opp off SUATS loss, 2-17 ATS as a favorite, 4-16 ATS 1st game, 3-10 ATS off win

Tech Notes: Teams who are 0-3 SU & ATS L3 games are 7-1 ATS, teams who are 3-0 SU & ATS L3 games are 0-3 ATS, teams w/revenge are 24-9-2 ATS, dogs are 25-9-1 ATS L5Y (7-1 ATS LY), #1 seeds are 3-12 ATS (0-6 ATS off ATS win), #5 seeds are 8-3-1 ATS, #6 seeds are 7-2 ATS L9 games

PAC 10 CONFERENCE

Extra Tourney Trends & Notes

ARIZONA 4-1 ATS vs opp w/revenge, 3-1 SUATS vs opp off ATS win 7 > points, 0-3 SU & ATS vs #1-2 seed

ARIZONA ST 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in this tourney

CALIFORNIA 0-5-1 ATS vs opp off win, 0-4 SU& ATS dog > 1 point,1-4-1 ATS off win, 1-5-1 ATS vs opp off win

OREGON 4-0 ATS w/3+ days rest, 4-0 SU & ATS vs opp off ATS loss, 6-1-1 ATS as dog or fav <5> 6 points, 0-3 ATS vs .700 > opp, 0-3 ATS vs #1-3 seed, 1-3 ATS w/revenge

SOUTHERN CAL 3-1 ATS with 3+ days days rest, 3-1 ATS with revenge, 3-1 ATS with same season double revenge, 5-2 ATS vs opp off SU& ATS win, 5-2 ATS when win-loss percentage <700> opp

WASHINGTON 0-3 ATS fav > 7 points, 1-5 ATS vs opp off ATS loss or win <5> points are 4-0 ATS, teams w/revenge vs opp off SU & ATS loss are 1-5 ATS, #1 seeds are 6-1 ATS L7 games and 5-1 ATS as favs > 10 points

SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE

Extra Tourney Trends & Notes

ALABAMA 6-0 ATS fav off DD win, 4-0 SU& ATS vs opp off ATS win 21 > points, 8-1 ATS fav vs opp off win (5-0 ATS opp off SU dog win), 6-1 ATS when win-loss percentage .560 <12> points, 14-3 SU & 13-4 ATS vs #4-8 seed, 11-4 ATS vs opp off win 7 > points, 15-6-1 ATS vs <700> .700 opp, 3-10 ATS dog vs opp off win, 3-9-1 ATS vs #1-2 seed

ARKANSAS 7-1 ATS off ATS win > 7 points, 17-4 ATS L21 as favorite, 8-2 ATS vs opp off BB SU& ATS wins, 0-4 SU& ATS as #4 or lower seed,1-6-1 ATS L8 games

AUBURN 6-0 SU& ATS off loss 8 > points, 6-0 SU & ATS when win-loss percentage <555>, 4-8 ATS as dog

FLORIDA 6-0-1 ATS off ATS loss > 3 points, 2-12 ATS off a SU& ATS Conference Tournament win, 2-7-1 ATS off DD ATS win, 3-6 ATS 2nd game

GEORGIA 5-0 ATS favorites > 7 points, 5-1 ATS vs opp off loss 2 > points, 0-6 SU& ATS off ATS loss > 2 points, 1-5 SU& ATS off ATS win 11 > points, 2-9 ATS L11 games, 2-8 ATS vs .700 > opp

KENTUCKY 36-5 SU & 29-10-2 ATS L41 games, 6-0 ATS as favs of > 16 points, 11-1-1 ATS when win-loss percentage .870 >, 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS vs .760 > opp, 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS vs .535 <opp> points, 7-1 ATS vs #3 seed, 7-2 ATS vs #5-6 seeds, had been #1 or #2 seed each year from 1991-2005

LSU 8-2-1 ATS off win 5 > points, 9-4 ATS L13 games, 0-6 SU& ATS off SU& ATS loss, 1-7 SU& ATS off loss, 1-6 SUATS when win-loss percentage <500> points)

MISSISSIPPI 0-5 ATS vs #5-8 seeds, 1-10 ATS vs opp off ATS win > 4 points, 1-6 ATS vs opp off win 9 > points, 3-12 ATS 'pick' or dog <10> opp, 3-8 ATS 1st game

MISSISSIPPI ST 7-0-1 ATS vs opp off BB SU& ATS wins, 8-3-1 ATS off win 7 > points, 8-3-1 ATS when win-loss percentage > .700, 0-5 ATS vs opp off loss, 4-10 ATS when win-loss percentage <700> points, 9-2 ATS 1st game, 8-2 ATS vs opp w/revenge, 1-5 SU& ATS when win-loss percentage .800 >

TENNESSEE 0-8 SU & ATS off a Conference Tournament win, 0-5 ATS dog 9 > points, 0-4 ATS when win-loss percentage < .666, 0-4 SU& ATS vs .630 <opp> opp, 1-8 SU& ATS vs #1-2 seeds, 1-7 ATS vs opp off win 9 > points,1-5 ATS off win 10 > points, 4-11 ATS L15 games

VANDERBILT 0-4 ATS off BB SU& ATS wins, 0-4 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 0-4 ATS vs opp off BB SU& ATS wins, 1-6-1 ATS off BB wins, 1-12 SU & 2-11 ATS off ATS win > 3 points, 2-8 ATS off win 7 > points, 4-14-1 ATS L19 games, 4-13-1 ATS as a dog or favorite <3> points, #2 seeds are 8-1 ATS as favorites 9 > points, #3 seeds are 14-7-1 ATS L22 games, #4 seeds are 2-13-1 ATS as dogs <8> points, #6 seeds are 2-8 ATS L10 games and 4-10 ATS off a win, the SU winner in a FLORIDA post season game is 61-4-1 ATS since 1992 (7-1-1 ATS LY)

WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE

Extra Tourney Trends & Notes

BOISE ST 6-1 SU& ATS vs #3-10 seeds, 6-1 SU& ATS vs <550> opp, 1-6 ATS as dogs > 4 points, 2-8 SUATS vs #1-2 seeds

FRESNO ST 6-0 SU& ATS off loss, 4-0 ATS vs .850 > opp, 4-0 SU& ATS off ATS loss > 6 points, 4-0 ATS as #7 seed, 0-4 SU& ATS off win 19 > points, 0-3 ATS as #1 seed, 1-6 ATS vs opp off ATS win > 14 points, 1-5 ATS when win-loss percentage .700 >, 1-6 ATS off a Conference Tournament win, 3-8 ATS as a favorite > 2 points, 3-8 ATS L11 games

HAWAII 6-0 ATS as dog off SU dog win, 5-0 ATS as dog off BB SU & ATS wins, 3-0 SU& ATS as #1 seed,10-4 ATS L14 games

IDAHO 1-8 SU in Conference Tournament games, 2-4-2 ATS vs > .450 opp

LA TECH 2-7 SU & 2-5-2 ATS L7 games, 1-6 SU & 1-5-1 ATS vs opp off win or loss <10> 14 points, 5-1-1 ATS when win-loss percentage < .575

NEW MEXICO ST 5-1 ATS when win-loss percentage .700 <6> points, 1-5 ATS off win 17 > points

SAN JOSE ST 3-0 ATS vs opp off DD ATS win, 6-1 ATS as #6-7 seed

UTAH ST 15-3 SU L18 games, 5-11 ATS w/ 3+ rest (1-7 ATS vs opp off win)

Tech Notes: teams off SU fav losses are 17-10-1 ATS (11-4 ATS as dogs, favs vs opp off loss are 10-25-2, favs w/revenge are 1-6 ATS, #1 seeds are 12-1 SU & 9-3-1 ATS L5Y, #4 seeds are 3-10 ATS L13 games, #8-9 seeds favorites 1-7 ATS, #10 seeds are 0-5-1 ATS